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“Livestock Insurance Schemes:
demand for and application by small
    holders and pastoralists”.*
                  Wyn Richards
       Livestock Development Practice UK

       * Based on a review funded by IFAD CoP-PPLD.


                                                      1
Poverty and Insurance
• Risk and poverty are inextricably linked
• Susceptibility to risk is a defining feature of what
  it means to be poor – and it is the poorest who
  have the fewest tools to cope with the effects of
  weather(drought, floods) disease, conflict etc.
• Breaking the link between risk and poverty by
  insuring poor people lessens poverty, increases
  resilience and enables them to take part in
  income growth.
                                                         2
Market research
• 97% of the poor have no access to insurance.
• Insurance companies wary of insuring the poor; conventional
    policies have high transaction costs. Need for new ‘fit for
    purpose policies’ for the poor. Interest increasing rapidly; yet
    it is very hard to sell insurance to the poor- difficult concept.
• Principal insurance interests of the poor are for:
  i)Health –highest demand but hardest to provide. 24% of those
    entering hospital leave totally impoverished due to costs
    involved. In India, 1.7 million poor people pay $8pa for $500
    medical cover.
  ii)Life -funeral expenses often account for 3-6 months income
    each year for the poor.
  iii)Property/assets – including crops/livestock. Largely based
    on individual losses and covered traditionally by informal
    mechanisms.
 iv)Weather – without formal insurance, smallholder farmers
    (0.5-3ha) are perceived as a bad risk by Banks and other FIs .
                                                                    3
Reaction and consequences of shocks

• Households lose income, resilience, assets (and
  their lives).
• They cut back on consumption, reduce
  investments in education, sell productive assets
  such as land and livestock, borrow from relatives
  and friends, seek employment, migrate.
• They reduce risky new ventures which might
  prove profitable in favour of retaining as many
  assets as possible in easily disposable forms – so
  perpetuating their poverty.
                                                       4
Types of insurable risk
• Classification based on whether they affect a
  large population(covariate risk) and their
  frequency, or individual risk.
• Standard insurance contracts difficult to offer
  when risks are covariate – complex/transaction c.
• Weather events (droughts/floods) tend to affect
  farmers more than other risks – and are covariate
  in nature.
• Human health risks are normally individual in
  nature but transaction costs are normally too
  high for insurance providers in developing world.
                                                  5
Who can help poor farmers share risk?
•   Government-run social protection schemes that protect the poorest households
    against extreme risk through providing assets and transfers - but costly and
    difficult to deliver in a timely manner. Few and far between.
•   Commercial (formal) insurance and re-insurance markets – growing in
    importance but conventional products not suitable. Need for new product – eg.
    micro-insurance. Most insurance companies need support of large re-insurance
    co.
•   Financial institutions and farmers associations can make it easier for poor
    householders to save and borrow – but they require clients to have collateral and
    formal insurance cover.
•   Informal networks that can make it easier to save and borrow – but exposed to
    default risks and high interest.
•   Traditional societal systems from relatives/friends – most common and trusted
    but cannot cope with extreme events as everyone in network normally affected by
    extreme effects. Traditional systems tends to perpetuate poverty.
•   In Mongolia, good example of integrated protection system where catastrophic
    levels of livestock death due to the Dzud are covered by a public social protection
    scheme, large risks are covered by private insurance and the residue by farmers
                                                                                      6
Insurance as a business
• Sustainable and affordable insurance schemes depend on
  satisfying the basic equation

                (A+I)/P <1, where

     A = administrative costs,
     I = indemnities paid, and
     P= premiums paid.

• Historically most insurance schemes using conventional
  policies have incurred financial losses where A+I/P is >1.
  Scant information on viability of livestock insurance.

                                                               7
Financial performance of conventional crop
              insurance programmes in 6 countries***




*** Skees et al 1999




                                                           8
Livestock Losses
• As a proverb in the Horn of Africa goes: if the animals die, then
  the people will die too. Ca.1 billion poor people in the
  developing world rely on livestock for their nutritional
  wellbeing, for social standing, for financial security, for draft
  power, for dung for fuel and fertilizer, and for skins for myriad
  purposes.
• Despite many new developments in animal nutrition, breeding,
  husbandry practices, reproduction and animal health over the
  last 50 years, there are still annual losses of 50 million cattle
  and water buffalo, over 100 million sheep and goats and
  countless poultry from parasitic and infectious diseases alone.
  Many more succumb from inadequate feed and water
  supplies, climatic stresses, poor husbandry practices and poor
  policies.                                                         9
Different livestock insurance schemes
Type of Livestock Insurance                Description                                        Pros and Cons
Product
Individual coverage approach The herder is compensated for the number          A good approach but susceptible to high
                             of livestock lost.                                administrative costs, to moral hazard and
                                                                               adverse selection
A weather-based insurance       Uses weather indicators as its basis. It       Predictability of data for assessing risk and
index                           requires reliable historical weather data in   computing premium affected by global climate
                                order to develop the necessary weather         change and renders the approach questionable
                                index and good weather stations in the         and expensive; additional data system support
                                vicinity of the livestock population.          might be required
A Vegetation Index              A proxy for a weather based index which        Satellite imagery not developed sufficiently yet
                                assesses vegetative cover (as a result of      for every location/country – but this index likely
                                weather conditions) through satellite          to be preferred by insurance companies once
                                mapping                                        satellite coverage complete.
A mortality-based insurance    The insurance compensates individual            The system is not prone to moral hazard, or
index                          herders whenever the livestock mortality        adverse selection but it requires an inventory of
                               rate in a local region exceeds a specific       livestock species and census every year in all the
                               threshold. The scheme postulates that           local regions. The popularity of this method is
                               herders retain small losses that do not         increasing in Mongolia and has proved to be a
                               affect the viability of their business, while   good basis for insurance, even though it is not a
                               the larger losses are transferred to the        perfect solution.
                               private insurance company and the
                               government.
Indigenous or traditional risk Relatives, friends, others provide support      Despite its negative features, it is the system
avoidance and or coping        and/or financial and material resources in      most widely practiced. However, its use in
mechanisms – informal          event of catastrophic losses.                   conjunction with a formal insurance system is
insurance                                                                      likely to be the most favored in future.

                                                                                                                                 10
More on index-based insurance schemes
•    They allow farmers to protect themselves against catastrophic agricultural
    production risk by paying out when an independently observable trigger (such as
    a specific level of rainfall at a local weather station or satellite assessment of
    vegetative growth or livestock mortality within a defined geographical area) shows
    that an insurable event has occurred. This reduces the cost of providing insurance
    against a number of agricultural risks and allows insurance companies to reach
    poor households.
•   Index-based insurance schemes hold significant appeal for both commercial and
    development purposes because they allow for management of covariate risk –
    such as that associated with weather fluctuations, disease outbreaks, price shocks,
    etc. – and avoid the serious adverse selection and moral hazard problems that
    have long plagued conventional crop and livestock insurance programs
    throughout the world.
•   The creation of micro-insurance markets for risks whose likelihood of occurrence
    can be precisely calculated and associated to a well defined index is increasingly
    being championed as a way by which the benefits of insurance can be utilized by
    the poor. However, livestock insurance lagging far behind the crop insurance
    sector.



                                                                                     11
Specific Lessons on Index-based Livestock Insurance

                  IBLI – pros, challenges and solutions (mostly from Barrett 2009)


1. Pros to IBLI
Very low transactions costs associated with measuring losses
Preserves effort incentives (no moral hazard) as no single individual can influence
index
Adverse selection does not matter as payouts do not depend on the riskiness of
those who buy the insurance
Available on near real-time basis: faster response than conventional humanitarian
relief
Can be used to create a productive safety net needed to alter poverty dynamics
Encourages financial institutions to provide loans ( Skees and Barnett, 2006)




                                                                                      12
2. Challenges to sustainable IBLI                          Solutions to challenges
High quality data (reliable, timely, non-manipulable,      Satellite data (remotely sensed
long-term ) needed to calculate premium and to             vegetation: NDVI)
determine payouts
Innovation incentives for insurance companies to           Researchers do product design work,
design and market specific new products for discreet       develop awareness materials
audiences/locations.
Establish informed effective demand, especially among      Simulation games with real
a clientele with little experience with insurance much     information & incentives – see Carter
less a complex index insurance product                     et al 2008
Low cost mechanism for making insurance available for      Delivery through partners
numerous small and medium scale producers
Index insurance is new, and can be difficult for           Resources must be invested in
stakeholders to understand                                 explaining how it works
Index insurance is vulnerable to basis risk viz.           Obviously, if either of these
insurance payouts do not match actual losses – either      situations occurs too frequently the
there are losses but no payout, or a payout is triggered   insurance scheme will not be viable,
even though there are no losses                            and even damage livelihoods
                                                           (Skees,2008).
                                                                                                   13
Generic lessons learned from review.
It is best to offer poor livestock keepers a package of rural financial services rather than solely livestock insurance
viz a blend of savings, lending, financing and risk minimizing opportunities ( see Pearce et al 2004; Hofmann and
Brukoff, 2006; Vargas etal 2009)
Government needs to be involved from the start of insurance schemes to address the public financial burden, at
least initially
Risk must be sufficiently high to make banks and customers feel that insurance is useful, but not so high as to make
the premium unaffordable or scare off insurance companies
Get the big risk out of the way first. When agricultural insurance is placed into a broader framework motivated by
helping smallholder households smooth consumption over time, focusing on catastrophe insurance is likely to be
considered more optimal.
Involve users in insurance product development. Experience from pilot programmes stress the value of user
involvement in developing and refining prototypes
Need reliable historical data and contemporary data on livestock losses at national and regional levels to provide
necessary risk indicators and levels of confidence for engagement by private sector insurance community.
Incentives should be provided for poor livestock keepers to access suitable schemes.
Need modeling and modelers. Greater user involvement in product development would provide vital information
and feedback to modelers and product developers. Need to develop more modeling capacity in-country.
Give explicit consideration to the characteristics of different risk layers; this is part of the development of broader
financial services for development between the poor and the insurance industry
Promote partnership between users and providers of insurance services. Inclusive mix and shared responsibility
between livestock keepers, government and the private sector.
Appreciate client concerns. Low-income clients often live in remote rural areas, requiring a different distribution
channel to urban insurance products

                                                                                                                14
A basic guide to implementing livestock insurance
Understand the target audience, identify the specific risks for which insurance and/or financial services
requirements would result in reduced livestock mortality/losses and improved livelihoods.
Identify the most important factor for the poor farmer to insure. Is it catastrophic events resulting in
herd/flock mortality, individual animal losses or perhaps in some cases, loss of performance?
Identify trusted historical and contemporary sources of information/data on livestock mortality,
weather/climate data over the same time period, and other information on national
instability/insecurity
Appreciate/understand the insurance and financial services in-country and the business opportunity
afforded by high volume/low margin potential of insuring poor livestock keepers/pastoralists – and
access to willing re-insurance institutions.
Perform a pilot scheme (see ‘how to’ guide) and note the costs associated with implementing the
required monitoring of a potential scheme in distant rural communities.
Identify possible complementary roles for the government and for the private sector.
Decide on the most appropriate mix of traditional and commercial insurance and/or financial service
products for different levels of insurance – and their cost.
Market the schemes to livestock keepers with initial support/subsidy from government and increased
involvement of private sector actors. Identify trusted institutions who can market insurance/train poor.
Initiate market potential studies in a limited number of countries. It is also recommended that the
outcome of the studies be implemented through timely, pilot, ‘learning by doing’, micro-insurance
initiatives that are based on sound business models and practices premised on well - defined market
and comprehensive market analysis.                                                                   15

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Livestock Insurance Schemes: Demand for and Application by Small holders and Pastoralists

  • 1. “Livestock Insurance Schemes: demand for and application by small holders and pastoralists”.* Wyn Richards Livestock Development Practice UK * Based on a review funded by IFAD CoP-PPLD. 1
  • 2. Poverty and Insurance • Risk and poverty are inextricably linked • Susceptibility to risk is a defining feature of what it means to be poor – and it is the poorest who have the fewest tools to cope with the effects of weather(drought, floods) disease, conflict etc. • Breaking the link between risk and poverty by insuring poor people lessens poverty, increases resilience and enables them to take part in income growth. 2
  • 3. Market research • 97% of the poor have no access to insurance. • Insurance companies wary of insuring the poor; conventional policies have high transaction costs. Need for new ‘fit for purpose policies’ for the poor. Interest increasing rapidly; yet it is very hard to sell insurance to the poor- difficult concept. • Principal insurance interests of the poor are for: i)Health –highest demand but hardest to provide. 24% of those entering hospital leave totally impoverished due to costs involved. In India, 1.7 million poor people pay $8pa for $500 medical cover. ii)Life -funeral expenses often account for 3-6 months income each year for the poor. iii)Property/assets – including crops/livestock. Largely based on individual losses and covered traditionally by informal mechanisms. iv)Weather – without formal insurance, smallholder farmers (0.5-3ha) are perceived as a bad risk by Banks and other FIs . 3
  • 4. Reaction and consequences of shocks • Households lose income, resilience, assets (and their lives). • They cut back on consumption, reduce investments in education, sell productive assets such as land and livestock, borrow from relatives and friends, seek employment, migrate. • They reduce risky new ventures which might prove profitable in favour of retaining as many assets as possible in easily disposable forms – so perpetuating their poverty. 4
  • 5. Types of insurable risk • Classification based on whether they affect a large population(covariate risk) and their frequency, or individual risk. • Standard insurance contracts difficult to offer when risks are covariate – complex/transaction c. • Weather events (droughts/floods) tend to affect farmers more than other risks – and are covariate in nature. • Human health risks are normally individual in nature but transaction costs are normally too high for insurance providers in developing world. 5
  • 6. Who can help poor farmers share risk? • Government-run social protection schemes that protect the poorest households against extreme risk through providing assets and transfers - but costly and difficult to deliver in a timely manner. Few and far between. • Commercial (formal) insurance and re-insurance markets – growing in importance but conventional products not suitable. Need for new product – eg. micro-insurance. Most insurance companies need support of large re-insurance co. • Financial institutions and farmers associations can make it easier for poor householders to save and borrow – but they require clients to have collateral and formal insurance cover. • Informal networks that can make it easier to save and borrow – but exposed to default risks and high interest. • Traditional societal systems from relatives/friends – most common and trusted but cannot cope with extreme events as everyone in network normally affected by extreme effects. Traditional systems tends to perpetuate poverty. • In Mongolia, good example of integrated protection system where catastrophic levels of livestock death due to the Dzud are covered by a public social protection scheme, large risks are covered by private insurance and the residue by farmers 6
  • 7. Insurance as a business • Sustainable and affordable insurance schemes depend on satisfying the basic equation (A+I)/P <1, where A = administrative costs, I = indemnities paid, and P= premiums paid. • Historically most insurance schemes using conventional policies have incurred financial losses where A+I/P is >1. Scant information on viability of livestock insurance. 7
  • 8. Financial performance of conventional crop insurance programmes in 6 countries*** *** Skees et al 1999 8
  • 9. Livestock Losses • As a proverb in the Horn of Africa goes: if the animals die, then the people will die too. Ca.1 billion poor people in the developing world rely on livestock for their nutritional wellbeing, for social standing, for financial security, for draft power, for dung for fuel and fertilizer, and for skins for myriad purposes. • Despite many new developments in animal nutrition, breeding, husbandry practices, reproduction and animal health over the last 50 years, there are still annual losses of 50 million cattle and water buffalo, over 100 million sheep and goats and countless poultry from parasitic and infectious diseases alone. Many more succumb from inadequate feed and water supplies, climatic stresses, poor husbandry practices and poor policies. 9
  • 10. Different livestock insurance schemes Type of Livestock Insurance Description Pros and Cons Product Individual coverage approach The herder is compensated for the number A good approach but susceptible to high of livestock lost. administrative costs, to moral hazard and adverse selection A weather-based insurance Uses weather indicators as its basis. It Predictability of data for assessing risk and index requires reliable historical weather data in computing premium affected by global climate order to develop the necessary weather change and renders the approach questionable index and good weather stations in the and expensive; additional data system support vicinity of the livestock population. might be required A Vegetation Index A proxy for a weather based index which Satellite imagery not developed sufficiently yet assesses vegetative cover (as a result of for every location/country – but this index likely weather conditions) through satellite to be preferred by insurance companies once mapping satellite coverage complete. A mortality-based insurance The insurance compensates individual The system is not prone to moral hazard, or index herders whenever the livestock mortality adverse selection but it requires an inventory of rate in a local region exceeds a specific livestock species and census every year in all the threshold. The scheme postulates that local regions. The popularity of this method is herders retain small losses that do not increasing in Mongolia and has proved to be a affect the viability of their business, while good basis for insurance, even though it is not a the larger losses are transferred to the perfect solution. private insurance company and the government. Indigenous or traditional risk Relatives, friends, others provide support Despite its negative features, it is the system avoidance and or coping and/or financial and material resources in most widely practiced. However, its use in mechanisms – informal event of catastrophic losses. conjunction with a formal insurance system is insurance likely to be the most favored in future. 10
  • 11. More on index-based insurance schemes • They allow farmers to protect themselves against catastrophic agricultural production risk by paying out when an independently observable trigger (such as a specific level of rainfall at a local weather station or satellite assessment of vegetative growth or livestock mortality within a defined geographical area) shows that an insurable event has occurred. This reduces the cost of providing insurance against a number of agricultural risks and allows insurance companies to reach poor households. • Index-based insurance schemes hold significant appeal for both commercial and development purposes because they allow for management of covariate risk – such as that associated with weather fluctuations, disease outbreaks, price shocks, etc. – and avoid the serious adverse selection and moral hazard problems that have long plagued conventional crop and livestock insurance programs throughout the world. • The creation of micro-insurance markets for risks whose likelihood of occurrence can be precisely calculated and associated to a well defined index is increasingly being championed as a way by which the benefits of insurance can be utilized by the poor. However, livestock insurance lagging far behind the crop insurance sector. 11
  • 12. Specific Lessons on Index-based Livestock Insurance IBLI – pros, challenges and solutions (mostly from Barrett 2009) 1. Pros to IBLI Very low transactions costs associated with measuring losses Preserves effort incentives (no moral hazard) as no single individual can influence index Adverse selection does not matter as payouts do not depend on the riskiness of those who buy the insurance Available on near real-time basis: faster response than conventional humanitarian relief Can be used to create a productive safety net needed to alter poverty dynamics Encourages financial institutions to provide loans ( Skees and Barnett, 2006) 12
  • 13. 2. Challenges to sustainable IBLI Solutions to challenges High quality data (reliable, timely, non-manipulable, Satellite data (remotely sensed long-term ) needed to calculate premium and to vegetation: NDVI) determine payouts Innovation incentives for insurance companies to Researchers do product design work, design and market specific new products for discreet develop awareness materials audiences/locations. Establish informed effective demand, especially among Simulation games with real a clientele with little experience with insurance much information & incentives – see Carter less a complex index insurance product et al 2008 Low cost mechanism for making insurance available for Delivery through partners numerous small and medium scale producers Index insurance is new, and can be difficult for Resources must be invested in stakeholders to understand explaining how it works Index insurance is vulnerable to basis risk viz. Obviously, if either of these insurance payouts do not match actual losses – either situations occurs too frequently the there are losses but no payout, or a payout is triggered insurance scheme will not be viable, even though there are no losses and even damage livelihoods (Skees,2008). 13
  • 14. Generic lessons learned from review. It is best to offer poor livestock keepers a package of rural financial services rather than solely livestock insurance viz a blend of savings, lending, financing and risk minimizing opportunities ( see Pearce et al 2004; Hofmann and Brukoff, 2006; Vargas etal 2009) Government needs to be involved from the start of insurance schemes to address the public financial burden, at least initially Risk must be sufficiently high to make banks and customers feel that insurance is useful, but not so high as to make the premium unaffordable or scare off insurance companies Get the big risk out of the way first. When agricultural insurance is placed into a broader framework motivated by helping smallholder households smooth consumption over time, focusing on catastrophe insurance is likely to be considered more optimal. Involve users in insurance product development. Experience from pilot programmes stress the value of user involvement in developing and refining prototypes Need reliable historical data and contemporary data on livestock losses at national and regional levels to provide necessary risk indicators and levels of confidence for engagement by private sector insurance community. Incentives should be provided for poor livestock keepers to access suitable schemes. Need modeling and modelers. Greater user involvement in product development would provide vital information and feedback to modelers and product developers. Need to develop more modeling capacity in-country. Give explicit consideration to the characteristics of different risk layers; this is part of the development of broader financial services for development between the poor and the insurance industry Promote partnership between users and providers of insurance services. Inclusive mix and shared responsibility between livestock keepers, government and the private sector. Appreciate client concerns. Low-income clients often live in remote rural areas, requiring a different distribution channel to urban insurance products 14
  • 15. A basic guide to implementing livestock insurance Understand the target audience, identify the specific risks for which insurance and/or financial services requirements would result in reduced livestock mortality/losses and improved livelihoods. Identify the most important factor for the poor farmer to insure. Is it catastrophic events resulting in herd/flock mortality, individual animal losses or perhaps in some cases, loss of performance? Identify trusted historical and contemporary sources of information/data on livestock mortality, weather/climate data over the same time period, and other information on national instability/insecurity Appreciate/understand the insurance and financial services in-country and the business opportunity afforded by high volume/low margin potential of insuring poor livestock keepers/pastoralists – and access to willing re-insurance institutions. Perform a pilot scheme (see ‘how to’ guide) and note the costs associated with implementing the required monitoring of a potential scheme in distant rural communities. Identify possible complementary roles for the government and for the private sector. Decide on the most appropriate mix of traditional and commercial insurance and/or financial service products for different levels of insurance – and their cost. Market the schemes to livestock keepers with initial support/subsidy from government and increased involvement of private sector actors. Identify trusted institutions who can market insurance/train poor. Initiate market potential studies in a limited number of countries. It is also recommended that the outcome of the studies be implemented through timely, pilot, ‘learning by doing’, micro-insurance initiatives that are based on sound business models and practices premised on well - defined market and comprehensive market analysis. 15