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• Psychodynamic 
• Behavioral 
• Humanistic 
• Cognitive 
• Biological 
• Sociocultural 
• Do genes effect your 
personality? 
• Can study habits be learned? 
• How do people from different 
cultures interact? 
• How do negative childhood 
experiences affect how 
people view stressful 
situations? 
• How can I achieve my goal 
of becoming a doctor? 
• What effect will rewards have 
in training my dog?
Hindsight Bias 
Hindsight Bias is the “I-knew-it-all-along” 
phenomenon. 
After learning the outcome of an event, 
many people believe they could have 
predicted that very outcome. We only knew 
the dot.com stocks would plummet after 
they actually did plummet.
Overconfidence 
Sometimes we think we 
know more than we 
actually know. 
Anagram 
WREAT WATER 
ETYRN ENTRY 
GRABE BARGE 
How long do you think it 
would take to unscramble 
these anagrams? 
People said it would take 
about 10 seconds, yet on 
average they took about 3 
minutes (Goranson, 1978).
Critical Thinking 
Critical thinking does 
not accept arguments 
and conclusions blindly. 
It examines 
assumptions, discerns 
hidden values, 
evaluates evidence and 
assesses conclusions. 
The Amazing Randi 
Courtesy of the James Randi Education Foundation
Scientific Method 
Psychologists, like all scientists, use the 
scientific method to construct theories that 
organize, summarize and simplify 
observations.
Hypothesis 
A Hypothesis is a testable prediction, that 
describes the relationship between two 
variables. 
They are often prompted by a theory, to 
enable us to accept, reject or revise the 
theory.
• Observe in a natural setting without 
interfering 
• Example: Rosenhan’s Mental Hospital Study 
(1973) 
– Pseudopatients checked themselves into 
mental institutions and faked schizophrenia 
– Demonstrated that normal people cannot 
be distinguished from the mentally ill 
– “If they are here, they must be crazy” 
– People who are treated in a certain way 
over time may begin to behave that way
• Involve an intensive investigation of one or 
more participants 
– Results cannot prove or disprove 
anything, but can be used to generate 
new hypotheses 
– Used by Freud 
• Anna O.
• Information is obtained by asking many 
individuals a fixed set of questions 
– Can include both interviews and 
questionnaires 
• Interviews allow for modification 
• Questionnaires take less time and reduce 
the possibility the researcher will influence 
the participant
How Surveys are conducted 
• Establish your population. 
• Population: all people with the 
characteristics a researcher wants to 
study. 
• Example: all high school seniors in the 
U.S., all retired teachers in Rhode Island
How Surveys are Conducted 
cont. 
• Most populations are too large to study. 
Therefore, samples are drawn from the 
populations. 
• Sample: a limited number of cases drawn 
from the larger population.
How Surveys are Conducted 
cont. 
• representative sample: sample that 
accurately reflects the characteristics of 
the population 
• The most common way to gather a 
representative sample is by random, or 
chance.
• Studying the same group of people 
at regular intervals over a period of 
years to assess how certain 
characteristics change or remain the 
same during development 
– Minnesota Twin Family Study 
• Twins reared apart study- twin similarities are a 
result of genes 
• Able to estimate the heritability of 
traits
Cross-Sectional Study 
• A research technique that compares 
individuals from different age groups 
at one time 
• Study a number of subjects from different 
age groups and then compare the results 
• Cheaper, easier than longitudinal studies, but 
group differences may be due to factors other 
than development.
Longitudinal/Cross Sectional Study
Correlation 
• This is the measure of a relationship 
between two variables or sets of data. 
• When one trait or behavior accompanies 
another, we say the two correlate. 
• CORRELATION DOES NOT EQUAL 
CAUSATION! 
• Can be positive or negative 
• Example: vaccines and autism 
– The majority of autistic children are diagnosed between the ages 
of 18 months and 3 years old. 
– Children receive many immunizations in this same period of 
time.
Correlation 
When one trait or behavior accompanies 
another, we say the two correlate. 
Correlation 
coefficient 
Indicates strength 
of relationship 
(0.00 to 1.00) 
r = +0.37 
Indicates direction 
of relationship 
(positive or negative) 
Correlation Coefficient is a 
statistical measure of the 
relationship between two 
variables.
Scatterplots 
Perfect positive 
correlation (+1.00) 
Scatterplot is a graph comprised of points that are 
generated by values of two variables. The slope of 
the points depicts the direction, while the amount 
of scatter depicts the strength of the relationship.
Scatterplots 
Perfect negative No relationship (0.00) 
correlation (-1.00) 
The Scatterplot on the left shows a negative correlation, 
while the one on the right shows no relationship between 
the two variables.
Correlations 
•Range from -1.00 to +1.00 
–The greater distance from 0, the stronger 
the correlation 
•Positive correlations indicate that as one 
variable increases, the other increases 
too 
•Negative correlations indicate that as 
one variable increases, the other 
decreases
• One young woman died in fear in a most 
peculiar way: When she was born on 
Friday the 13th, the midwife who delivered 
her and two other babies announced that 
all three were hexed and would die before 
their 23rd birthday. The other two did die 
young. As the third woman approached 
her 23rd birthday, she checked into a 
hospitals and informed the staff of her 
fears. The staff noted that she dealt with 
her anxiety by extreme hyperventilation 
(deep breathing). Shortly after her 
birthday, she hyperventilated to death.
• A situation in which a researcher’s 
expectations influence that person’s own 
behavior, and thereby influence the 
participant’s behavior 
– We consciously or unconsciously tip off 
people to what are expectations are; people 
pick up on those cues and act as expected.
Variables 
• Variables are factors that are 
capable of change.
Independent Variable 
An Independent Variable is a factor 
manipulated by the experimenter. The 
effect of the independent variable is the 
focus of the study.
Dependent Variable 
A Dependent Variable is a factor that 
may change in response to an 
independent variable. In psychology, it 
is usually a behavior or a mental process.
Experimental Group 
• The participants in an experiment 
who are exposed to the independent 
variable 
• Also called the experimental condition 
• The group being studied and compared to the 
control group
Control Group 
• The participants in an experiment 
who are not exposed to the 
independent variable 
• Results are compared to those of the 
experimental group 
• Also called the control condition
• Enables the investigator to control the 
situation and decrease the possibility that 
outside variables will influence the results 
– Hypothesis 
– Variables (Independent and Dependent)- 
If/then 
– Experimental Group and Control Group 
– Results must be replicated
• Methods of conduct or standards for 
proper behavior 
– Informed consent 
– Protection from harm 
– Confidentiality 
– Debriefing
• Single-Blind Experiment- participants 
are unaware of which participants received 
the treatment 
• Double-Blind Experiment- neither the 
experimenter nor the participants know 
which patient received which treatment 
– Drug evaluation studies
• 1960- Would participants administer painful 
shocks to others merely because an authority 
figure had instructed them to do so? 
– 2000 male participants 
– Told they were participating in a study on 
learning 
– Each time the learner made a mistake, the 
“teacher” was ordered to push a button to 
deliver an electric shock 
– Shocks were false, but they did not realize 
this because the learners displayed distress 
and pain
• 65% of the volunteers pushed the shock 
button until they reached maximum 
severity 
• Implied that ordinary individuals could 
easily inflict pain on others if such 
issues were ordered by an authority 
figure. 
• Ethical issues? 
• Replication? 
– Has been replicated with young, liberal 
college students
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0PassGyF8X8&feature=related
• A change in the participant’s illness or 
behavior that results from a belief that the 
treatment will have an effect, rather than 
the actual treatment 
•
• What type of correlation did we find 
between height and shoe size? 
• What would a graph of a negative 
correlation look like? No correlation? 
• What intervening variables might have 
been at work affecting our results?
• The branch of mathematics concerned 
with summarizing and making meaningful 
inferences from collections of data
• The listing and summarizing of data in a 
practical and efficient way, such as 
through graphs and averages
Hours Spent Studying Frequency 
0 2 
.5 8 
1 15 
1.5 10 
2 6 
2.5 3 
3 1 
Total 45
• Mean 
• Median 
• Mode
• A measure of the difference or spread of a 
set of data 
• Range – Subtract the lowest from the 
highest 
• Standard Deviation 
– Average distance of every score from the 
mean 
– The larger the standard deviation, the more 
spread out the scores are
• Describes the direction and strength of the 
relationship between two variables 
• Pearson Correlation Coefficient = r 
– (+)= positive- as one variable increases, so 
does the second variable 
– (-)= negative- as one variable increases, the 
second variable decreases 
– Can range from -1 to 1 including 0
• Roll your die 10 times. Make note of the 
results. 
• Make a frequency distribution 
• Make a frequency polygon 
• Find the mean, median, and mode of the data 
– Mean= sum of all rolls/10 
– Median- what was the median number of 
times rolled? 
– Mode- what number was rolled the most 
frequently?

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Chapter 2 methods and statistics

  • 1.
  • 2. • Psychodynamic • Behavioral • Humanistic • Cognitive • Biological • Sociocultural • Do genes effect your personality? • Can study habits be learned? • How do people from different cultures interact? • How do negative childhood experiences affect how people view stressful situations? • How can I achieve my goal of becoming a doctor? • What effect will rewards have in training my dog?
  • 3. Hindsight Bias Hindsight Bias is the “I-knew-it-all-along” phenomenon. After learning the outcome of an event, many people believe they could have predicted that very outcome. We only knew the dot.com stocks would plummet after they actually did plummet.
  • 4. Overconfidence Sometimes we think we know more than we actually know. Anagram WREAT WATER ETYRN ENTRY GRABE BARGE How long do you think it would take to unscramble these anagrams? People said it would take about 10 seconds, yet on average they took about 3 minutes (Goranson, 1978).
  • 5. Critical Thinking Critical thinking does not accept arguments and conclusions blindly. It examines assumptions, discerns hidden values, evaluates evidence and assesses conclusions. The Amazing Randi Courtesy of the James Randi Education Foundation
  • 6. Scientific Method Psychologists, like all scientists, use the scientific method to construct theories that organize, summarize and simplify observations.
  • 7. Hypothesis A Hypothesis is a testable prediction, that describes the relationship between two variables. They are often prompted by a theory, to enable us to accept, reject or revise the theory.
  • 8. • Observe in a natural setting without interfering • Example: Rosenhan’s Mental Hospital Study (1973) – Pseudopatients checked themselves into mental institutions and faked schizophrenia – Demonstrated that normal people cannot be distinguished from the mentally ill – “If they are here, they must be crazy” – People who are treated in a certain way over time may begin to behave that way
  • 9. • Involve an intensive investigation of one or more participants – Results cannot prove or disprove anything, but can be used to generate new hypotheses – Used by Freud • Anna O.
  • 10. • Information is obtained by asking many individuals a fixed set of questions – Can include both interviews and questionnaires • Interviews allow for modification • Questionnaires take less time and reduce the possibility the researcher will influence the participant
  • 11. How Surveys are conducted • Establish your population. • Population: all people with the characteristics a researcher wants to study. • Example: all high school seniors in the U.S., all retired teachers in Rhode Island
  • 12. How Surveys are Conducted cont. • Most populations are too large to study. Therefore, samples are drawn from the populations. • Sample: a limited number of cases drawn from the larger population.
  • 13. How Surveys are Conducted cont. • representative sample: sample that accurately reflects the characteristics of the population • The most common way to gather a representative sample is by random, or chance.
  • 14. • Studying the same group of people at regular intervals over a period of years to assess how certain characteristics change or remain the same during development – Minnesota Twin Family Study • Twins reared apart study- twin similarities are a result of genes • Able to estimate the heritability of traits
  • 15. Cross-Sectional Study • A research technique that compares individuals from different age groups at one time • Study a number of subjects from different age groups and then compare the results • Cheaper, easier than longitudinal studies, but group differences may be due to factors other than development.
  • 17. Correlation • This is the measure of a relationship between two variables or sets of data. • When one trait or behavior accompanies another, we say the two correlate. • CORRELATION DOES NOT EQUAL CAUSATION! • Can be positive or negative • Example: vaccines and autism – The majority of autistic children are diagnosed between the ages of 18 months and 3 years old. – Children receive many immunizations in this same period of time.
  • 18. Correlation When one trait or behavior accompanies another, we say the two correlate. Correlation coefficient Indicates strength of relationship (0.00 to 1.00) r = +0.37 Indicates direction of relationship (positive or negative) Correlation Coefficient is a statistical measure of the relationship between two variables.
  • 19. Scatterplots Perfect positive correlation (+1.00) Scatterplot is a graph comprised of points that are generated by values of two variables. The slope of the points depicts the direction, while the amount of scatter depicts the strength of the relationship.
  • 20. Scatterplots Perfect negative No relationship (0.00) correlation (-1.00) The Scatterplot on the left shows a negative correlation, while the one on the right shows no relationship between the two variables.
  • 21. Correlations •Range from -1.00 to +1.00 –The greater distance from 0, the stronger the correlation •Positive correlations indicate that as one variable increases, the other increases too •Negative correlations indicate that as one variable increases, the other decreases
  • 22.
  • 23.
  • 24. • One young woman died in fear in a most peculiar way: When she was born on Friday the 13th, the midwife who delivered her and two other babies announced that all three were hexed and would die before their 23rd birthday. The other two did die young. As the third woman approached her 23rd birthday, she checked into a hospitals and informed the staff of her fears. The staff noted that she dealt with her anxiety by extreme hyperventilation (deep breathing). Shortly after her birthday, she hyperventilated to death.
  • 25. • A situation in which a researcher’s expectations influence that person’s own behavior, and thereby influence the participant’s behavior – We consciously or unconsciously tip off people to what are expectations are; people pick up on those cues and act as expected.
  • 26. Variables • Variables are factors that are capable of change.
  • 27. Independent Variable An Independent Variable is a factor manipulated by the experimenter. The effect of the independent variable is the focus of the study.
  • 28. Dependent Variable A Dependent Variable is a factor that may change in response to an independent variable. In psychology, it is usually a behavior or a mental process.
  • 29. Experimental Group • The participants in an experiment who are exposed to the independent variable • Also called the experimental condition • The group being studied and compared to the control group
  • 30. Control Group • The participants in an experiment who are not exposed to the independent variable • Results are compared to those of the experimental group • Also called the control condition
  • 31. • Enables the investigator to control the situation and decrease the possibility that outside variables will influence the results – Hypothesis – Variables (Independent and Dependent)- If/then – Experimental Group and Control Group – Results must be replicated
  • 32. • Methods of conduct or standards for proper behavior – Informed consent – Protection from harm – Confidentiality – Debriefing
  • 33. • Single-Blind Experiment- participants are unaware of which participants received the treatment • Double-Blind Experiment- neither the experimenter nor the participants know which patient received which treatment – Drug evaluation studies
  • 34. • 1960- Would participants administer painful shocks to others merely because an authority figure had instructed them to do so? – 2000 male participants – Told they were participating in a study on learning – Each time the learner made a mistake, the “teacher” was ordered to push a button to deliver an electric shock – Shocks were false, but they did not realize this because the learners displayed distress and pain
  • 35. • 65% of the volunteers pushed the shock button until they reached maximum severity • Implied that ordinary individuals could easily inflict pain on others if such issues were ordered by an authority figure. • Ethical issues? • Replication? – Has been replicated with young, liberal college students
  • 37. • A change in the participant’s illness or behavior that results from a belief that the treatment will have an effect, rather than the actual treatment •
  • 38.
  • 39. • What type of correlation did we find between height and shoe size? • What would a graph of a negative correlation look like? No correlation? • What intervening variables might have been at work affecting our results?
  • 40. • The branch of mathematics concerned with summarizing and making meaningful inferences from collections of data
  • 41. • The listing and summarizing of data in a practical and efficient way, such as through graphs and averages
  • 42. Hours Spent Studying Frequency 0 2 .5 8 1 15 1.5 10 2 6 2.5 3 3 1 Total 45
  • 43.
  • 44. • Mean • Median • Mode
  • 45. • A measure of the difference or spread of a set of data • Range – Subtract the lowest from the highest • Standard Deviation – Average distance of every score from the mean – The larger the standard deviation, the more spread out the scores are
  • 46.
  • 47. • Describes the direction and strength of the relationship between two variables • Pearson Correlation Coefficient = r – (+)= positive- as one variable increases, so does the second variable – (-)= negative- as one variable increases, the second variable decreases – Can range from -1 to 1 including 0
  • 48. • Roll your die 10 times. Make note of the results. • Make a frequency distribution • Make a frequency polygon • Find the mean, median, and mode of the data – Mean= sum of all rolls/10 – Median- what was the median number of times rolled? – Mode- what number was rolled the most frequently?

Editor's Notes

  1. OBJECTIVE 1| Describe hindsight bias and explain how it can make research findings seem like mere common sense. “Anything seems commonplace, once explained.” Dr. Watson to Sherlock Holmes. Two phenomena – hindsight bias and judgmental overconfidence – illustrate why we cannot rely solely on intuition and common sense.
  2. OBJECTIVE 2| Describe how overconfidence contaminates our everyday judgments.
  3. OBJECTIVE 4| Describe how psychological theories guide scientific research.
  4. OBJECTIVE 8| Describe positive and negative correlations and explain how correlational measures can aid the process of prediction.
  5. OBJECTIVE 14| Explain the difference between an independent variable and a dependent variable.