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CASI NCR Survey
How Urbanization Affects Attitudes
Sumitra Badrinathan & Devesh Kapur
University of Pennsylvania
July 6, 2018
Badrinathan & Kapur (UPenn) CASI NCR Survey
2/22
Characteristics of NCR
Badrinathan & Kapur (UPenn) CASI NCR Survey
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Sample characteristics
Badrinathan & Kapur (UPenn) CASI NCR Survey
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Motivating questions
What do we mean by social change?
How do we measure it
What are the mechanisms?
What are the limitations in how we measure and interpret it?
Badrinathan & Kapur (UPenn) CASI NCR Survey
5/22
What do we mean by social change?
1 Attitudes
2 Perceptions
3 Reported behaviors
4 Observed behaviors
5 Outcomes
Badrinathan & Kapur (UPenn) CASI NCR Survey
6/22
What do we mean by social change?
1 Attitudes
2 Perceptions
3 Reported behaviors
4 Observed behaviors
5 Outcomes
Badrinathan & Kapur (UPenn) CASI NCR Survey
7/22
How do we measure social change?
1 Intra-household change
Changes in the family
Changes in two hierarchies: age and gender
2 Inter-household change (fraternity)
Changes in relationships with neighbors, non-relatives
Changes in two cleavages: caste and religion
3 Perception of interactions + frequency
Badrinathan & Kapur (UPenn) CASI NCR Survey
8/22
Dependent Variables
Attitudes
Would you invite an SC / ST person to your home for a meal?
Reasons for not interacting with other religion / caste
Perceptions
Are the people in your neighborhood of the same caste /
religion as you?
Do men eat before women in your family?
Reported behaviors
Have you eaten in any non-relative’s home in the past year?
Has any non-relative eaten at your home?
What is the frequency of interaction with your neighbor?
Badrinathan & Kapur (UPenn) CASI NCR Survey
9/22
Respondents who have eaten in a non-relative’s home (%)
Badrinathan & Kapur (UPenn) CASI NCR Survey
10/22
Reasons Hindu respondents provide for not sharing a meal
with a Muslim (%)
Badrinathan & Kapur (UPenn) CASI NCR Survey
11/22
Would You Invite an SC/ST Person for a Meal (%)
Badrinathan & Kapur (UPenn) CASI NCR Survey
12/22
Do Men Eat Before Women (%)
Badrinathan & Kapur (UPenn) CASI NCR Survey
13/22
Drivers of social change: Independent variables
1 Wealth: continuous asset index
2 Migration: binary measure, out of NCR migration
3 Demographic variables: age and gender
4 Occupation: thirteen categories (collapsed into four)
5 Neighborhood heterogeneity: both DV and predictor
6 Political affiliation: support for party at center
Badrinathan & Kapur (UPenn) CASI NCR Survey
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Questions
1 Do migrants have different attitudes as compared to
non-migrants?
2 Does wealth will have an independent impact on perceptions
and attitudes?
3 Is there a generational divide in attitudes?
4 Is there a gender divide in attitudes?
5 Does political affiliation shape social attitudes and perception?
Badrinathan & Kapur (UPenn) CASI NCR Survey
15/22
Do assets impact reported behaviors?
Figure: Predicted probability of cross-religious interaction in eating
Badrinathan & Kapur (UPenn) CASI NCR Survey
16/22
Does migration impact reported behavior?
Overall migration appears to have a negative impact
Lower likelihood of eating at non-relative’s
Lower likelihood of inviting non-relative
Lower likelihood of inviting neighbor
No effect on inviting SC / ST
Badrinathan & Kapur (UPenn) CASI NCR Survey
16/22
Does migration impact reported behavior?
Overall migration appears to have a negative impact
Lower likelihood of eating at non-relative’s
Lower likelihood of inviting non-relative
Lower likelihood of inviting neighbor
No effect on inviting SC / ST
But...
=⇒ Are migrants poorer?
=⇒ Do migrants have different baseline attitudes?
=⇒ Do migrants have less access to cross-cutting networks?
Badrinathan & Kapur (UPenn) CASI NCR Survey
17/22
Do migrants have less access to cross-cutting networks?
Do you perceive all the people in their neighborhood to be of the
same religion as you, most of the same religion, some, or none?
How often do you interact with them?
Respondents significantly more likely to interact with
neighbors when neighborhood is less segregated
On average migrants in sample perceive they live in more
segregated neighborhoods
Badrinathan & Kapur (UPenn) CASI NCR Survey
18/22
Migrants and education
Badrinathan & Kapur (UPenn) CASI NCR Survey
19/22
Marginal effect of migration on gender at varying assets
Badrinathan & Kapur (UPenn) CASI NCR Survey
20/22
Marginal effect of political affiliation on gender at varying
assets
Badrinathan & Kapur (UPenn) CASI NCR Survey
21/22
Distribution of Assets by Caste
Badrinathan & Kapur (UPenn) CASI NCR Survey
22/22
Conclusion & Extensions
Cross-sectional data: hard to discern temporal effects
No comparison over time or across space
Selection effects a problem
Badrinathan & Kapur (UPenn) CASI NCR Survey

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CASI NCR Survey How Urbanization Affects Attitudes

  • 1. 1/22 CASI NCR Survey How Urbanization Affects Attitudes Sumitra Badrinathan & Devesh Kapur University of Pennsylvania July 6, 2018 Badrinathan & Kapur (UPenn) CASI NCR Survey
  • 2. 2/22 Characteristics of NCR Badrinathan & Kapur (UPenn) CASI NCR Survey
  • 3. 3/22 Sample characteristics Badrinathan & Kapur (UPenn) CASI NCR Survey
  • 4. 4/22 Motivating questions What do we mean by social change? How do we measure it What are the mechanisms? What are the limitations in how we measure and interpret it? Badrinathan & Kapur (UPenn) CASI NCR Survey
  • 5. 5/22 What do we mean by social change? 1 Attitudes 2 Perceptions 3 Reported behaviors 4 Observed behaviors 5 Outcomes Badrinathan & Kapur (UPenn) CASI NCR Survey
  • 6. 6/22 What do we mean by social change? 1 Attitudes 2 Perceptions 3 Reported behaviors 4 Observed behaviors 5 Outcomes Badrinathan & Kapur (UPenn) CASI NCR Survey
  • 7. 7/22 How do we measure social change? 1 Intra-household change Changes in the family Changes in two hierarchies: age and gender 2 Inter-household change (fraternity) Changes in relationships with neighbors, non-relatives Changes in two cleavages: caste and religion 3 Perception of interactions + frequency Badrinathan & Kapur (UPenn) CASI NCR Survey
  • 8. 8/22 Dependent Variables Attitudes Would you invite an SC / ST person to your home for a meal? Reasons for not interacting with other religion / caste Perceptions Are the people in your neighborhood of the same caste / religion as you? Do men eat before women in your family? Reported behaviors Have you eaten in any non-relative’s home in the past year? Has any non-relative eaten at your home? What is the frequency of interaction with your neighbor? Badrinathan & Kapur (UPenn) CASI NCR Survey
  • 9. 9/22 Respondents who have eaten in a non-relative’s home (%) Badrinathan & Kapur (UPenn) CASI NCR Survey
  • 10. 10/22 Reasons Hindu respondents provide for not sharing a meal with a Muslim (%) Badrinathan & Kapur (UPenn) CASI NCR Survey
  • 11. 11/22 Would You Invite an SC/ST Person for a Meal (%) Badrinathan & Kapur (UPenn) CASI NCR Survey
  • 12. 12/22 Do Men Eat Before Women (%) Badrinathan & Kapur (UPenn) CASI NCR Survey
  • 13. 13/22 Drivers of social change: Independent variables 1 Wealth: continuous asset index 2 Migration: binary measure, out of NCR migration 3 Demographic variables: age and gender 4 Occupation: thirteen categories (collapsed into four) 5 Neighborhood heterogeneity: both DV and predictor 6 Political affiliation: support for party at center Badrinathan & Kapur (UPenn) CASI NCR Survey
  • 14. 14/22 Questions 1 Do migrants have different attitudes as compared to non-migrants? 2 Does wealth will have an independent impact on perceptions and attitudes? 3 Is there a generational divide in attitudes? 4 Is there a gender divide in attitudes? 5 Does political affiliation shape social attitudes and perception? Badrinathan & Kapur (UPenn) CASI NCR Survey
  • 15. 15/22 Do assets impact reported behaviors? Figure: Predicted probability of cross-religious interaction in eating Badrinathan & Kapur (UPenn) CASI NCR Survey
  • 16. 16/22 Does migration impact reported behavior? Overall migration appears to have a negative impact Lower likelihood of eating at non-relative’s Lower likelihood of inviting non-relative Lower likelihood of inviting neighbor No effect on inviting SC / ST Badrinathan & Kapur (UPenn) CASI NCR Survey
  • 17. 16/22 Does migration impact reported behavior? Overall migration appears to have a negative impact Lower likelihood of eating at non-relative’s Lower likelihood of inviting non-relative Lower likelihood of inviting neighbor No effect on inviting SC / ST But... =⇒ Are migrants poorer? =⇒ Do migrants have different baseline attitudes? =⇒ Do migrants have less access to cross-cutting networks? Badrinathan & Kapur (UPenn) CASI NCR Survey
  • 18. 17/22 Do migrants have less access to cross-cutting networks? Do you perceive all the people in their neighborhood to be of the same religion as you, most of the same religion, some, or none? How often do you interact with them? Respondents significantly more likely to interact with neighbors when neighborhood is less segregated On average migrants in sample perceive they live in more segregated neighborhoods Badrinathan & Kapur (UPenn) CASI NCR Survey
  • 19. 18/22 Migrants and education Badrinathan & Kapur (UPenn) CASI NCR Survey
  • 20. 19/22 Marginal effect of migration on gender at varying assets Badrinathan & Kapur (UPenn) CASI NCR Survey
  • 21. 20/22 Marginal effect of political affiliation on gender at varying assets Badrinathan & Kapur (UPenn) CASI NCR Survey
  • 22. 21/22 Distribution of Assets by Caste Badrinathan & Kapur (UPenn) CASI NCR Survey
  • 23. 22/22 Conclusion & Extensions Cross-sectional data: hard to discern temporal effects No comparison over time or across space Selection effects a problem Badrinathan & Kapur (UPenn) CASI NCR Survey