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Managing costs in higher-income countries David Cameron University of Edinburgh
Economics
Is there anything more to be said?
France Highest per capita health care expenditure in Europe including €14 billion each year on cancer. Estimated annual GDP loss of €17 billion from cancer. ~ 20% of all cancer spend is on drugs
Cost of treatment ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Cost of treatment ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Cost of treatment ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
European cancer drug spend ,[object Object]
Rising drug costs ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Productivity is falling… Even allowing for inflation, industry is investing twice as much in R&D as it was a decade ago to produce two-fifths of the new medicines…..
Solutions ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
New models ? Phase I. Many drugs………………………… Phase II. Fewer drugs…………… Phase III.  Few drugs Phase I. € Phase II. €€ Phase III. €€€€€€€€€€€€€€€ Market €€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€ Phase I/II. Some drugs… Phase II/III smaller, less data Phase I/II. € Phase II/III. €€€€ Market €€€€€€€€€€€€€
Choice in spending
Choice in spending for society
So how to choose ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Lloyd A et al, British Journal of Cancer (2006) 95, 683 – 690
Price  ≠ Cost ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
The future ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Conclusion ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Conclusion ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Make drug development  AND  drug use cost-effective

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ABC1 - D.A. Cameron - Managing costs in higher-income countries

  • 1. Managing costs in higher-income countries David Cameron University of Edinburgh
  • 3. Is there anything more to be said?
  • 4. France Highest per capita health care expenditure in Europe including €14 billion each year on cancer. Estimated annual GDP loss of €17 billion from cancer. ~ 20% of all cancer spend is on drugs
  • 5.
  • 6.
  • 7.
  • 8.
  • 9.
  • 10. Productivity is falling… Even allowing for inflation, industry is investing twice as much in R&D as it was a decade ago to produce two-fifths of the new medicines…..
  • 11.
  • 12. New models ? Phase I. Many drugs………………………… Phase II. Fewer drugs…………… Phase III. Few drugs Phase I. € Phase II. €€ Phase III. €€€€€€€€€€€€€€€ Market €€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€€ Phase I/II. Some drugs… Phase II/III smaller, less data Phase I/II. € Phase II/III. €€€€ Market €€€€€€€€€€€€€
  • 14. Choice in spending for society
  • 15.
  • 16.
  • 17.
  • 18.
  • 19.
  • 20. Make drug development AND drug use cost-effective

Editor's Notes

  1. This slide has presented many times before, showing that whilst R&D spending has continued to increase, the number of new medicines approved has declined, so productivity of pharma R&D is falling.