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From Burma to Myanmar
A Reintroduction of AB InBev’s Stella Artois
JACO B RUSO FF
1
Introduction
• Anheuser-Bush InBev
– (NYSE: BUD, Euronext:
ABI)
– Founded in 2008
• Stella Artois
– Belgian Pilsner
– Introduced in 1926
• Myanmar (Burma)
– Transition to Democracy
(2011-Present)
– Evolving Economy
2
Myanmar (Burma)
• Population: 56,320,206
• GDP / Capita: $4,700
(170th in the world)
• Socialist Military
Dictatorship (1962-2011)
– Global economic sanctions
and embargos
• Transition to Democracy
– Multi-party elections
– Economic liberalization
• Currency: Myanmar
Kyat (MMK)
– 1247.65 Kyat per USD 3
Political Risk
• Civil Unrest / Conflict
– Ethnic and religious tension
leading to civil war and
terrorism
– Kachin and Rakhine states
• Possible return to a
military state and
subsequent expropriation
Currency Risk
• Trade deficit
• Inflation
• Low natural gas prices
– 37% of total exports
– Source of investment
Anheuser-Busch InBev
• “Bringing people together for a
better world”
• Largest Brewing Company in
the World
– 20% of global share
– 30% if AB InBev SAB Miller
M&A goes through
– Top 5 Consumer Goods Companies
• Focused Branding
• Distributes Products in over 110
Countries
• Emerging Markets make up 53%
of AB InBev’s total revenue in
2014 4
31.1% 28.7% 26.4%
30.3% 28.0% 27.3%
9.4% 8.7% 8.0%
13.0% 11.2% 9.7%
14.3% 15.4% 18.0%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2012 2013 2014
AB InBev Volume by
Region (% of Total)
Global Export & Holding Companies
Asia Pacific
Europe
Latin America South
Latin America North
Mexico
North America
Historical Entry Strategies
5
Distribution Channels
• Brewery to customer (Belgium)
• Wholesalers to customers
– Legal reasons (USA & Canada)
– Historic market practice (China & Russia)
• Third-party distributor (Brazil &
Mexico)
2015
Acquisition History
Mergers &
Acquisitions
Joint-Ventures
Equity Based
Partnerships
Cooperative Export
Model
Licensing
Entry Strategy For Myanmar
• Acquire Mandaly Brewery to immediately gain
4% of the market share
– Approximately 150 Million USD
– Assuming continued 4% market share, and current
growth of market, the acquisition would generate 150
million in revenue by year 5
– Use plant to start brewing Stella Artois
– Gaining more market share
• Construct a larger more advanced plant outside
of Yangon within the first year
• Combining AB InBev’s industry knowledge
and economy of scale with Mandalay
Brewery’s local know-how
6
Myanmar Beer Market
• Market Size
– 265 million USD market in 2013
– 80% of adults in Myanmar drink beer
• Market Growth
– Projected to grow to 675 million USD in 2018
– A CAGR of 16.9%
• Market Needs
– A pilsner
– A premium international beer brand
• Market Trends
– Growth of foreign beverage companies
– Coca-Cola now controls 50% of the
carbonated beverage market, before 2012 the
drink was only available if smuggled
7
0.00
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
7.00
8.00
9.00
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1000
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Myanmar Beer Industry (Million USD) Liters per Capita
Year	1	
(2016)
Year	2	
(2017)
Year	3	
(2018)
Year	4	
(2019)
Year	5	
(2020)
Estimated	
Market	Size	
(Annual	
Revenue	
Million	US$)
464.38 559.87 674.99 813.79 981.13
Estimated	
Market	Share
4% 5% 6% 8% 10%
Estimated	
Revenue	
(Million	USD)
18.58 27.99 40.50 65.10 98.11
Understanding AB InBev’s Edge
Strengths
-Economy of Scale Advantage
-Brand Recognition
-History of distribution channel
design
Weaknesses
-Government Presence in Beer
Industry
-Low income per capita
-Large marketing required
Opportunities
-High projected annual growth rates
in the market
-Early entrance
Threats
-Downward currency pressure
-Political risk (military government,
human rights violations)
-Expropriation
SWOT
8
Competitor Analysis
• Myanmar Brewery Limited
– 45% owned by the Government
– 55% owned by Kirin Holdings after buying
shares from F&N for 560 million USD
• Dagon Beverage Company
– Joint-venture between the State, Myanmar
Golden Star Company and Bermuda
Brewinvest
• Mandalay Brewery
– Founded in 1859
• Heineken
– 2015 60 million USD investment
• Carlsberg
– 2015 70 million USD joint-venture
• Chang (2013)
9
83
4
13
2013 Market Share
Myanmar Brewery Limited
Mandalay Brewery
Dagon Beverage Company Limited
International Market Entrants
(Thailand) (Netherlands) (Denmark) (Japan)
Customer Analysis
• Beer makes up 82% of alcohol
consumption in Myanmar
– Most of which is consumed at
“Beer Stations” during European
soccer matches
– Or in cities, purchased for home
consumption from small stores
• Males make up a vast portion of the
Myanmar beer market
– Men who drink consume roughly
10.3 times more then women who
drink
• Tourists
– Restaurants, resorts, and newly
emerging nightlife
– Increase in tourism 10
791505 816369 1058995
2044307
3081412
7000000
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2020
(Projected)
Annual Tourism in Myanmar
Marketing Mix
• Price
– Average domestic draught (.5 lt) $1.00
– Average imported bottle (.3 lt.) $1.3-2.50
• Promotion
– Electronic Billboard
– Soccer partnership (Man U)
– Cap Rewards
– Marketing to Women
• Place
– Domestic Consumers (Yangoon and
Mandalay)
– International Consumers
– Hotels, restaurants, clubs, tourist sights, etc.
• Product
– Stella Artois bottles and kegs 11
Conclusion
• Myanmar is economically liberalizing and politically
democratizing at a fast rate
– Political and currency risks still remain
• State owned joint-ventures control a large majority of the
market
– High marketing costs required in order to gain market share
• Logistical constraints
• A largely untapped international beer market with projected
exponential market growth
• Acquisition of Mandalay Brewery and construction of a new
plant will have immediate impact on AB InBev’s top-line and
local market success.
12
Questions
13

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Burma to Myanmar - A Reintroduction of AB InBev Stella Artois

  • 1. From Burma to Myanmar A Reintroduction of AB InBev’s Stella Artois JACO B RUSO FF 1
  • 2. Introduction • Anheuser-Bush InBev – (NYSE: BUD, Euronext: ABI) – Founded in 2008 • Stella Artois – Belgian Pilsner – Introduced in 1926 • Myanmar (Burma) – Transition to Democracy (2011-Present) – Evolving Economy 2
  • 3. Myanmar (Burma) • Population: 56,320,206 • GDP / Capita: $4,700 (170th in the world) • Socialist Military Dictatorship (1962-2011) – Global economic sanctions and embargos • Transition to Democracy – Multi-party elections – Economic liberalization • Currency: Myanmar Kyat (MMK) – 1247.65 Kyat per USD 3 Political Risk • Civil Unrest / Conflict – Ethnic and religious tension leading to civil war and terrorism – Kachin and Rakhine states • Possible return to a military state and subsequent expropriation Currency Risk • Trade deficit • Inflation • Low natural gas prices – 37% of total exports – Source of investment
  • 4. Anheuser-Busch InBev • “Bringing people together for a better world” • Largest Brewing Company in the World – 20% of global share – 30% if AB InBev SAB Miller M&A goes through – Top 5 Consumer Goods Companies • Focused Branding • Distributes Products in over 110 Countries • Emerging Markets make up 53% of AB InBev’s total revenue in 2014 4 31.1% 28.7% 26.4% 30.3% 28.0% 27.3% 9.4% 8.7% 8.0% 13.0% 11.2% 9.7% 14.3% 15.4% 18.0% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 2012 2013 2014 AB InBev Volume by Region (% of Total) Global Export & Holding Companies Asia Pacific Europe Latin America South Latin America North Mexico North America
  • 5. Historical Entry Strategies 5 Distribution Channels • Brewery to customer (Belgium) • Wholesalers to customers – Legal reasons (USA & Canada) – Historic market practice (China & Russia) • Third-party distributor (Brazil & Mexico) 2015 Acquisition History Mergers & Acquisitions Joint-Ventures Equity Based Partnerships Cooperative Export Model Licensing
  • 6. Entry Strategy For Myanmar • Acquire Mandaly Brewery to immediately gain 4% of the market share – Approximately 150 Million USD – Assuming continued 4% market share, and current growth of market, the acquisition would generate 150 million in revenue by year 5 – Use plant to start brewing Stella Artois – Gaining more market share • Construct a larger more advanced plant outside of Yangon within the first year • Combining AB InBev’s industry knowledge and economy of scale with Mandalay Brewery’s local know-how 6
  • 7. Myanmar Beer Market • Market Size – 265 million USD market in 2013 – 80% of adults in Myanmar drink beer • Market Growth – Projected to grow to 675 million USD in 2018 – A CAGR of 16.9% • Market Needs – A pilsner – A premium international beer brand • Market Trends – Growth of foreign beverage companies – Coca-Cola now controls 50% of the carbonated beverage market, before 2012 the drink was only available if smuggled 7 0.00 1.00 2.00 3.00 4.00 5.00 6.00 7.00 8.00 9.00 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1000 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Myanmar Beer Industry (Million USD) Liters per Capita Year 1 (2016) Year 2 (2017) Year 3 (2018) Year 4 (2019) Year 5 (2020) Estimated Market Size (Annual Revenue Million US$) 464.38 559.87 674.99 813.79 981.13 Estimated Market Share 4% 5% 6% 8% 10% Estimated Revenue (Million USD) 18.58 27.99 40.50 65.10 98.11
  • 8. Understanding AB InBev’s Edge Strengths -Economy of Scale Advantage -Brand Recognition -History of distribution channel design Weaknesses -Government Presence in Beer Industry -Low income per capita -Large marketing required Opportunities -High projected annual growth rates in the market -Early entrance Threats -Downward currency pressure -Political risk (military government, human rights violations) -Expropriation SWOT 8
  • 9. Competitor Analysis • Myanmar Brewery Limited – 45% owned by the Government – 55% owned by Kirin Holdings after buying shares from F&N for 560 million USD • Dagon Beverage Company – Joint-venture between the State, Myanmar Golden Star Company and Bermuda Brewinvest • Mandalay Brewery – Founded in 1859 • Heineken – 2015 60 million USD investment • Carlsberg – 2015 70 million USD joint-venture • Chang (2013) 9 83 4 13 2013 Market Share Myanmar Brewery Limited Mandalay Brewery Dagon Beverage Company Limited International Market Entrants (Thailand) (Netherlands) (Denmark) (Japan)
  • 10. Customer Analysis • Beer makes up 82% of alcohol consumption in Myanmar – Most of which is consumed at “Beer Stations” during European soccer matches – Or in cities, purchased for home consumption from small stores • Males make up a vast portion of the Myanmar beer market – Men who drink consume roughly 10.3 times more then women who drink • Tourists – Restaurants, resorts, and newly emerging nightlife – Increase in tourism 10 791505 816369 1058995 2044307 3081412 7000000 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2020 (Projected) Annual Tourism in Myanmar
  • 11. Marketing Mix • Price – Average domestic draught (.5 lt) $1.00 – Average imported bottle (.3 lt.) $1.3-2.50 • Promotion – Electronic Billboard – Soccer partnership (Man U) – Cap Rewards – Marketing to Women • Place – Domestic Consumers (Yangoon and Mandalay) – International Consumers – Hotels, restaurants, clubs, tourist sights, etc. • Product – Stella Artois bottles and kegs 11
  • 12. Conclusion • Myanmar is economically liberalizing and politically democratizing at a fast rate – Political and currency risks still remain • State owned joint-ventures control a large majority of the market – High marketing costs required in order to gain market share • Logistical constraints • A largely untapped international beer market with projected exponential market growth • Acquisition of Mandalay Brewery and construction of a new plant will have immediate impact on AB InBev’s top-line and local market success. 12