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Fall River Mill Building Re-Use
              and
      Avoided CO2 Impact

                   R. Kieronski      rnrower@msn.com
                   Fall River Mill Owners Association
• “There are huge scientific
  obstacles to making sense of
  green economics. The metrics
  are far from straightforward.”




                  New Scientist , 30 June report on
                  2012 Earth Conference – Rio de Janeiro
CO2 Contributes to Global Warming
Anthropocene

The National Academy of Science report* on climate
change concludes that:

“The world is entering a new geologic epoch, sometimes
called the Anthropocene, in which human activities will
largely control the evolution of Earth’s environment.”

The responsibility is ours to manage CO2 buildup either
with knowledge and diligence or without.




                    * http://dels-old.nas.edu/climatechange/understanding-climate-change.shtml
1. Travel reduction by activity concentration
2. Energy (& CO2) Reduction by incorporation of
Intrinsic Site Geometry
3. Building non-Demolition/Construction
Savings
But FIRST: A Bit on Carbon Credits

• Carbon credits purchased by emitters* are the
  source of funding for energy saving projects that
  result in the reduction of greenhouse gasses

• These can be used to help us migrate to a low
  carbon economy

                               * such as power plants
BRAYTON POINT


Power PLANT
CO2 Output
Approx. .9 tons CO2 per MWh




                                Tons CO2       MWh Energy       Intensity

      BRAYTON
                     2000:      7,925,715      8,163,924        1,942
      POINT
                     Present:   7,879,629      9,014,123        1,748
      United States
                     Future:    7,929,829      9,084,372        1,746
      Fall River, Ma

                                  http://carma.org/dig/show/city+88827+plant
A TON OF CO2




This cube represents a metric ton of CO2 which is 2,204 pounds. It is 27 feet
wide by 27 feet high by 27 feet deep – about what the average US citizen creates
in 2 weeks
CASH FLOW
• Given the baseline allowances for plant emissions, the
  Brayton Point power plant should be buying carbon
  allowances for 7.9M tons of CO2 annually

• At $1.94/ tonne*, they are paying ~ $15.3 M annually
  for their indulgence.

• This money should be credited toward the reduction of
  greenhouse gasses achieved through energy efficiency
  measures.

                        • Compliance Requirement Auction –
                        • Price from RGGI # 16 data, June 2012
                        http://www.rggi.org/market/co2_auctions/results
Making & Receiving Carbon Credits




Whether they in fact lead to a reduction in greenhouses compared with the do-nothing case, carbon credits unquestionably cause
industries in rich countries to pay money into a marketplace, and receive a certificate of indulgence for doing so. The resulting
money must find an outlet. The system is highly controversial, as it allows wealthy countries to go on polluting as long as they can
pay others to cut back for them.

         But they do provide financial incentives for the creation of green projects.
Df:    ADDITIONALITY

• It is important for any carbon allowance (offset)
  to prove a concept called additionality.
• The concept of additionality addresses the
  question of whether the project would have
  happened anyway, even in the absence of
  revenue from carbon offsets. Only carbon offsets
  from projects that are "additional to" the
  business-as-usual scenario represent a net
  environmental benefit
A study by the Preservation Green Lab* provides
       the most comprehensive analysis to date
  of the potential environmental impact reductions
            associated with building re-use



                      But

Satisfactory means for measuring CO2 avoidance
               for building re-use
            have not been established

                            *   www.preservationnation.org/issues/sustainability/green-lab/
1. Travel reduction by activity concentration

2. Energy (& CO2) Reduction by incorporation of
Intrinsic Site Geometry
3. Building non-Demolition/Construction
Savings
1. Travel reduction by activity
             concentration
• In the 1800s, before widespread automobile use,
  cities based around mills were compactly designed
  for foot traffic and low energy materials transport

• The Mills were the essential part of that structure

• Returning to that paradigm in a modern context will
  result in large savings in automobile commuting
  energy
• Travel Reduction is an additionality that
  would not occur without the planning
  and execution that re-creates the mills as
  combined live-work spaces
Changing travel patterns by activity concentration
                                             Personally Owned Vehicle data
NHTS – National Household Travel Survey          in Massachusetts 2009
                                                    By purpose of trip
            a division of the
    Federal Highway Administration
    maintains a statistical database
        Of U.S. travel patterns

   •   The average POV commute time is
       20 minutes over an average
       distance of 16 miles – on a bad
       day 46 minutes*

   •   Bringing work and living together
       would save an average of around
       4800 miles and 100 hours per year
       per person.

   •   This saves 160 gallons of gas and
       1.4 tons of CO2 . ( It also
       promotes a healthier life style and
       reduces traffic congestion)
1. Travel reduction by activity concentration
2. Energy (& CO2) Reduction by incorporation
of Intrinsic Site Geometry
3. Building non-Demolition/Construction
Savings
2. Energy (& CO2) Reduction by
  Incorporation of Intrinsic Site Geometry

• The compact multi-story structure of most mills has a good
  ratio of volume to surface area, allowing efficient HVAC
  utilization.

• Most modern industrial structures are less HVAC efficient

• Suburban tract housing is far less efficient
A Comparison …
         Industrial
          Building




                                                       Housing
Assuming uniform R Value on outer shell     Mill        Tract
                                          Building


   Compare surface heat loss for a 100 x 200 ft, 4 story mill with
   that of a 1 story industrial building, and a group of 1 story
   housing units all having equivalent total floor space
Large Mill Buildings are Intrinsically
         More Energy Efficient
 80,000 SqFt
 1.53x HVAC




                                         80,000 SqFt   80,000 SqFt
                                         1.00x HVAC    3.53x HVAC




Assumes uniform R Value on outer shell
SITE GEOMETRY SAVINGS
• Benefits of siting either housing or industrial
  activity within re-formatted mill spaces are
  immediately calculable in terms of HVAC
  savings in the aggregate

• Each project will require individual calculation
  but the savings would be reckoned on the
  additionality gained by new siting for an
  activity
• Standard insulation applied to a re-utilized mill
  structure of suitable geometry is substantially
  more effective than a similar amount of
  insulation applied to a building having a
  greater ratio of surface area to contained floor
  space
1. Travel reduction by activity concentration
2. Energy (& CO2) Reduction by incorporation
of Intrinsic Site Geometry
3. Building non-Demolition/Construction
  Savings
Savings
3. Building non-
   Demolition/Construction Savings


• Reuse of mill buildings with an average level of
  energy performance consistently offer
  immediate climate-change impact reduction
  when compared to more energy efficient new
  construction*.

                    * www.preservationnation.org/issues/sustainability/green-lab/
Energy costs of new building construction
                                                   SAVED
               Demolition at site                  With re-use
                        Diesel fuel
Energy cost                                     Totally avoided costs
    of         Haulage to Landfill
demolition              Diesel fuel               Partially avoided
                                                        costs
               + [ Labor ]

    +          Building materials creation
                         Embodied fabrication energy cost

 Energy cost   Building materials haulage
     of                  Diesel fuel
construction
               Energy required for assembly
                        Gas, Electric, Diesel

               + [ Labor ]
Demolition Costs vs. Value
Existing structure        Incremental improvement
Re-Use Cost $0.00         To desired standard
Building Envelope - R Value
•   The R-value is a measure of thermal resistance [1] used in the building and
    construction industry. Under uniform conditions it is the ratio of the temperature
    difference across an insulator and the heat flux Qa (heat transfer per unit area, )
    through it or R = ^T / Qa

•   Typical R Values:
                  Material                         R Value
                 8” thick Brick Wall               1.6
                 2” thick foamed Poly Panel        15
                 8” thick Poured Concrete          0.64



•   Appropriate R values can be chosen at time of design to meet or exceed that of
    any new structure. The basic building support elements are already in place.
Key Findings
• In this presentation, we have identified 3 measurable characteristics
  that will contribute to the reduction of CO2 when mill building
  structures are renovated

• In addition to energy and CO2 saving, the re-utilization of pre-
  existing mills presents some unique opportunities that restructure
  human usage patterns leading to sustainable development factors
  that avoid global warming and reduce sprawl.

• With suitable case analysis, the features identified here have
  characteristics that can be incorporated into a deep retrofit
  program that should qualify for carbon credits
END
CDM
•   The Clean Development Mechanism (CDM) is one of the flexibility mechanisms
    defined in the Kyoto Protocol (IPCC, 2007) that provides for emissions reduction
    projects which generate Certified Emission Reduction units which may be traded in
    emissions trading schemes.[1]

•   However, a number of weaknesses of the CDM have been identified (World Bank,
    2010, p. 265-267). Several of these issues were addressed by the new Program of
    Activities (PoA) that moves to approving 'bundles' of projects instead of
    accrediting each project individually. In 2012, the report Climate change, carbon
    markets and the CDM: A call to action said governments urgently needed to
    address the future of the CDM. It suggested the CDM was in danger of collapse
    because of the low price of carbon and the failure of governments to guarantee its
    existence into the future. Writing on the website of the Climate & Development
    Knowledge Network, Yolanda Kakabadse, a member of the investigating panel for
    the report and founder of Fundacion Futuro Latinamericano, said a strong CDM is
    needed to support the political consensus essential for future climate progress.
    "Therefore we must do everything in our hands to keep it working," she said.[7]

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Building r euse v2

  • 1. Fall River Mill Building Re-Use and Avoided CO2 Impact R. Kieronski rnrower@msn.com Fall River Mill Owners Association
  • 2. • “There are huge scientific obstacles to making sense of green economics. The metrics are far from straightforward.” New Scientist , 30 June report on 2012 Earth Conference – Rio de Janeiro
  • 3. CO2 Contributes to Global Warming
  • 4. Anthropocene The National Academy of Science report* on climate change concludes that: “The world is entering a new geologic epoch, sometimes called the Anthropocene, in which human activities will largely control the evolution of Earth’s environment.” The responsibility is ours to manage CO2 buildup either with knowledge and diligence or without. * http://dels-old.nas.edu/climatechange/understanding-climate-change.shtml
  • 5. 1. Travel reduction by activity concentration 2. Energy (& CO2) Reduction by incorporation of Intrinsic Site Geometry 3. Building non-Demolition/Construction Savings
  • 6. But FIRST: A Bit on Carbon Credits • Carbon credits purchased by emitters* are the source of funding for energy saving projects that result in the reduction of greenhouse gasses • These can be used to help us migrate to a low carbon economy * such as power plants
  • 7. BRAYTON POINT Power PLANT CO2 Output Approx. .9 tons CO2 per MWh Tons CO2 MWh Energy Intensity BRAYTON 2000: 7,925,715 8,163,924 1,942 POINT Present: 7,879,629 9,014,123 1,748 United States Future: 7,929,829 9,084,372 1,746 Fall River, Ma http://carma.org/dig/show/city+88827+plant
  • 8. A TON OF CO2 This cube represents a metric ton of CO2 which is 2,204 pounds. It is 27 feet wide by 27 feet high by 27 feet deep – about what the average US citizen creates in 2 weeks
  • 9. CASH FLOW • Given the baseline allowances for plant emissions, the Brayton Point power plant should be buying carbon allowances for 7.9M tons of CO2 annually • At $1.94/ tonne*, they are paying ~ $15.3 M annually for their indulgence. • This money should be credited toward the reduction of greenhouse gasses achieved through energy efficiency measures. • Compliance Requirement Auction – • Price from RGGI # 16 data, June 2012 http://www.rggi.org/market/co2_auctions/results
  • 10. Making & Receiving Carbon Credits Whether they in fact lead to a reduction in greenhouses compared with the do-nothing case, carbon credits unquestionably cause industries in rich countries to pay money into a marketplace, and receive a certificate of indulgence for doing so. The resulting money must find an outlet. The system is highly controversial, as it allows wealthy countries to go on polluting as long as they can pay others to cut back for them. But they do provide financial incentives for the creation of green projects.
  • 11. Df: ADDITIONALITY • It is important for any carbon allowance (offset) to prove a concept called additionality. • The concept of additionality addresses the question of whether the project would have happened anyway, even in the absence of revenue from carbon offsets. Only carbon offsets from projects that are "additional to" the business-as-usual scenario represent a net environmental benefit
  • 12. A study by the Preservation Green Lab* provides the most comprehensive analysis to date of the potential environmental impact reductions associated with building re-use But Satisfactory means for measuring CO2 avoidance for building re-use have not been established * www.preservationnation.org/issues/sustainability/green-lab/
  • 13. 1. Travel reduction by activity concentration 2. Energy (& CO2) Reduction by incorporation of Intrinsic Site Geometry 3. Building non-Demolition/Construction Savings
  • 14. 1. Travel reduction by activity concentration • In the 1800s, before widespread automobile use, cities based around mills were compactly designed for foot traffic and low energy materials transport • The Mills were the essential part of that structure • Returning to that paradigm in a modern context will result in large savings in automobile commuting energy
  • 15. • Travel Reduction is an additionality that would not occur without the planning and execution that re-creates the mills as combined live-work spaces
  • 16. Changing travel patterns by activity concentration Personally Owned Vehicle data NHTS – National Household Travel Survey in Massachusetts 2009 By purpose of trip a division of the Federal Highway Administration maintains a statistical database Of U.S. travel patterns • The average POV commute time is 20 minutes over an average distance of 16 miles – on a bad day 46 minutes* • Bringing work and living together would save an average of around 4800 miles and 100 hours per year per person. • This saves 160 gallons of gas and 1.4 tons of CO2 . ( It also promotes a healthier life style and reduces traffic congestion)
  • 17. 1. Travel reduction by activity concentration 2. Energy (& CO2) Reduction by incorporation of Intrinsic Site Geometry 3. Building non-Demolition/Construction Savings
  • 18. 2. Energy (& CO2) Reduction by Incorporation of Intrinsic Site Geometry • The compact multi-story structure of most mills has a good ratio of volume to surface area, allowing efficient HVAC utilization. • Most modern industrial structures are less HVAC efficient • Suburban tract housing is far less efficient
  • 19. A Comparison … Industrial Building Housing Assuming uniform R Value on outer shell Mill Tract Building Compare surface heat loss for a 100 x 200 ft, 4 story mill with that of a 1 story industrial building, and a group of 1 story housing units all having equivalent total floor space
  • 20. Large Mill Buildings are Intrinsically More Energy Efficient 80,000 SqFt 1.53x HVAC 80,000 SqFt 80,000 SqFt 1.00x HVAC 3.53x HVAC Assumes uniform R Value on outer shell
  • 21. SITE GEOMETRY SAVINGS • Benefits of siting either housing or industrial activity within re-formatted mill spaces are immediately calculable in terms of HVAC savings in the aggregate • Each project will require individual calculation but the savings would be reckoned on the additionality gained by new siting for an activity
  • 22. • Standard insulation applied to a re-utilized mill structure of suitable geometry is substantially more effective than a similar amount of insulation applied to a building having a greater ratio of surface area to contained floor space
  • 23. 1. Travel reduction by activity concentration 2. Energy (& CO2) Reduction by incorporation of Intrinsic Site Geometry 3. Building non-Demolition/Construction Savings Savings
  • 24. 3. Building non- Demolition/Construction Savings • Reuse of mill buildings with an average level of energy performance consistently offer immediate climate-change impact reduction when compared to more energy efficient new construction*. * www.preservationnation.org/issues/sustainability/green-lab/
  • 25. Energy costs of new building construction SAVED Demolition at site With re-use Diesel fuel Energy cost Totally avoided costs of Haulage to Landfill demolition Diesel fuel Partially avoided costs + [ Labor ] + Building materials creation Embodied fabrication energy cost Energy cost Building materials haulage of Diesel fuel construction Energy required for assembly Gas, Electric, Diesel + [ Labor ]
  • 26. Demolition Costs vs. Value Existing structure Incremental improvement Re-Use Cost $0.00 To desired standard
  • 27. Building Envelope - R Value • The R-value is a measure of thermal resistance [1] used in the building and construction industry. Under uniform conditions it is the ratio of the temperature difference across an insulator and the heat flux Qa (heat transfer per unit area, ) through it or R = ^T / Qa • Typical R Values: Material R Value 8” thick Brick Wall 1.6 2” thick foamed Poly Panel 15 8” thick Poured Concrete 0.64 • Appropriate R values can be chosen at time of design to meet or exceed that of any new structure. The basic building support elements are already in place.
  • 28. Key Findings • In this presentation, we have identified 3 measurable characteristics that will contribute to the reduction of CO2 when mill building structures are renovated • In addition to energy and CO2 saving, the re-utilization of pre- existing mills presents some unique opportunities that restructure human usage patterns leading to sustainable development factors that avoid global warming and reduce sprawl. • With suitable case analysis, the features identified here have characteristics that can be incorporated into a deep retrofit program that should qualify for carbon credits
  • 29. END
  • 30. CDM • The Clean Development Mechanism (CDM) is one of the flexibility mechanisms defined in the Kyoto Protocol (IPCC, 2007) that provides for emissions reduction projects which generate Certified Emission Reduction units which may be traded in emissions trading schemes.[1] • However, a number of weaknesses of the CDM have been identified (World Bank, 2010, p. 265-267). Several of these issues were addressed by the new Program of Activities (PoA) that moves to approving 'bundles' of projects instead of accrediting each project individually. In 2012, the report Climate change, carbon markets and the CDM: A call to action said governments urgently needed to address the future of the CDM. It suggested the CDM was in danger of collapse because of the low price of carbon and the failure of governments to guarantee its existence into the future. Writing on the website of the Climate & Development Knowledge Network, Yolanda Kakabadse, a member of the investigating panel for the report and founder of Fundacion Futuro Latinamericano, said a strong CDM is needed to support the political consensus essential for future climate progress. "Therefore we must do everything in our hands to keep it working," she said.[7]

Editor's Notes

  1. … at any Rate, we are going to try. This presentation will introduce some new simple concepts that make sense in the context of mill building re-use and that impact sustainable development and the reduction of greenhouse gasses.
  2. We are in a precarious situation
  3. … A word we should know. Global warming is happening. Human activities appear to be a major contributor
  4. These savings exist only in the case of building re-use. They are in addition to whatever savings may result from systems modernization and other energy improvements.
  5. This is our local power plant. Every time you save a ton of CO2, you are compensating for the generation of approximately 1 Megawatt-Hour of electricityData source: http://carma.org/dig/show/city+88827+plant - national power generation data base
  6. Carbon Credits are denominated in metric tons of CO2. Here is the visualization of a ton of CO2
  7. http://www.rggi.org/market/co2_auctions/results
  8. http://affordablehousinginstitute.org/blogs/us/2010/11/a-sustainable-subsidy-part-1-harnessing-cynicism-to-altruism.htmlThe notion of Cap and Trade gives rise to the notion of Carbon Credits. In many instances they can be difficult to measure
  9. This is a term that applies to claiming carbon credits for GHG reduction. For example:The embodied energy of an existing structure, although saved by re-use, should not be counted when computing carbon offsets
  10. These can be combined in the context of rebuilding mills to meet the needs of a low carbon economy
  11. So, if we eliminate commuter travel, this is how much we save per person* http://askville.amazon.com/average-commuting-distance-americans/AnswerViewer.do?requestId=2554434 ** http://nhts.ornl.gov/det/ria/_PieBubbles.aspx
  12. These can be combined in the context of rebuilding mills to meet the needs of a low carbon economy.
  13. See following slides
  14. Information is entered in the white cells. The pink cells contain formulas that compute other values on the basis of identical floor area. . Results are on the right. HVAC (and therefore energy) requirements are proportional to the surface area exposed to weather. The gains are significant.
  15. See item III.d.3 End Use Energy Efficiency Improvement. Gold Standard Requirements V 2.2
  16. These can be combined in the context of rebuilding mills to meet the needs of a low carbon economy
  17. In an existing building, the structural component and some insulation come at no cost – so, the cost is only that required to effect the delta, not the entire structure
  18. Setting a market price for carbonhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Carbon_credit#Setting_a_market_price_for_carbonAssigned amount unitshttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Assigned_amount_unitsKyoto Protocolhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kyoto_Protocol
  19. Inconclusive
  20. What Density Doesn’t Tell Us AboutSprawlB Y E R I C E I D L IN