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Security Analysis and Portfolio
Management
By
Dr. Vinita Kalra
Investment
• Movement of funds from Surplus Sector to
Deficit Sector
• When a person has more money than he
requires for current consumption, he would
be a potential investor.
• Definition: “The process of sacrificing
something now for the purpose of gaining
something later.”
Dimensions of Investment
• Sacrifice – Today
• Gain – Later
• Time
Different views..
• Layman – Monetary Commitment
• Economist – Net Addition made to the
nation’s capital stock that consists of goods
and services that are used in the production
process.
• Financial investment is the allocation of
money to assets that are expected to yield
some gain over a period of time.
Features of Investment
• Return
• Risk
• Time Period
• Liquidity / Marketability
• Safety
Objectives of Investment
• Maximization of Return
1. Annual Income (Dividend, Interest etc)
2. Capital Appreciation
• Minimization of Risk
• Liquidity
• Hedge against Inflation
• Tax Considerations
Other…
• Near-Term High Priority Goals
• Long-Term High Priority Goals
• Low Priority Goals
• Entrepreneurial or Money - Making Goals
Features of an Ideal Investment
• Safety
• Liquidity
• Regularity and Stability of Income
• Stability of Purchasing Power
• Capital Appreciation
• Tax Benefits
• Legality
Types of Investors
• Individuals
• Institutions
1. Insurance Companies
2. Mutual Funds
3. Banks
4. FII
Investment Constraints
• Risk Tolerability
• Liquidity / Marketability
• Investors Age
• Need for Regular Income
• Tax Liability / Exemption
Errors While Investing
• Inadequate comprehension of return and risk.
• Vaguely formulated investment policy.
• Naive extrapolation of the past.
• Cursory decision-making.
• Simultaneous Switching
• Misplaced love for cheap stocks.
• Over diversification and under-diversification.
• Buying shares of familiar companies
• Wrong attitude toward losses and profits.
• Tendency to speculate.
Investment vs. Speculation
Basis Investment Speculation
1. Time Horizon Plans for a longer time
horizon
Plans for a very short period
2. Holding Period From 1 year to few years Varies from few days to
months
3. Risk Assumes moderate risk Willing to undertake high
risk
4. Return Likes to have moderate rate
of return
Likes to have high rate of
return
5. Decision Basis Considers fundamental
factors and evaluates the
performance of the
company regularly
Considers inside
information, hearsays and
market behavior
6. Funds / Leverage Uses his own funds and
avoids borrowed funds
Relies on borrowed funds to
supplement his personal
resources
Investment vs. Gambling
• Gambling is a very short term investment in a game.
• Time horizon is shortest.
• Results are determined by the roll of dice or turn of a
card.
• Entertainment is primary, Earning income is secondary.
• Employs artificial risks while investment involves
commercial risk.
• No risk-return trade-off; Negative outcomes are
expected.
• Financial analysis does not reduce the risk proportion
involved in gambling
Approaches to Investment Decision
Making
• Fundamental Approach
• Psychological Approach
• Academic Approach
• Eclectic Approach
Fundamental Approach
• Most commonly advocated.
• There is an intrinsic value of a security and this
depends upon the underlying fundamental
factors.
• Intrinsic value is based on EIC analysis.
• At any given point of time, there are some
securities for which the prevailing market price
would differ from the intrinsic value.
• Sooner or later, the market price would fall in line
with the intrinsic value.
• Superior returns can be earned by buying under-
valued securities & selling over-valued
securities.
Psychological Approach
• Stock prices are guided by emotions rather than
reason.
• Prices are influenced by the psychological mood
of the investors.
• Investors use some form of technical analysis
with a view to develop trading rules aimed at
profit making.
• Based on certain persistent and recurring
patterns of price movements.
• Uses a variety of tools like bar chart, point and
figure chart, moving averages analysis etc…
Academic Approach
• Believes that stock markets are reasonable
efficient in reacting quickly and rationally to the
flow of information.
• Stock prices reflect intrinsic value very well.
• Prices behavior corresponds to random walk.
Successive price changes are independent.
• There is a positive relationship between risk and
return.
• Expected return from a security is linearly related
to its systematic risk.
Eclectic Approach
• Based on all the three different approaches.
• Fundamental approach is helpful in
establishing basic standards and benchmarks.
• Technical analysis is useful in broadly gauging
the prevailing mood of the investors.
• Despite many instances of misprices
securities, there appears to be a fairly strong
correlation between risk and return.
Investment
Process
Investment
Policy
1. Investible
Funds
2. Objectives
3. Knowledge
Analysis
1. Market
2. Industry
3. Company
Valuation
1. Intrinsic
Value
2. Future
Value
Portfolio
Construction
1. Diversification
2. Selection &
Allocation
Portfolio
Evaluation
1. Appraisal
2. Revision
Sources of Investment Information
• International Affairs
• National Affairs
• Industry Information
• Company Information
• Stock Market Information

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Basics of SAPM

  • 1. Security Analysis and Portfolio Management By Dr. Vinita Kalra
  • 2. Investment • Movement of funds from Surplus Sector to Deficit Sector • When a person has more money than he requires for current consumption, he would be a potential investor. • Definition: “The process of sacrificing something now for the purpose of gaining something later.”
  • 3. Dimensions of Investment • Sacrifice – Today • Gain – Later • Time
  • 4. Different views.. • Layman – Monetary Commitment • Economist – Net Addition made to the nation’s capital stock that consists of goods and services that are used in the production process. • Financial investment is the allocation of money to assets that are expected to yield some gain over a period of time.
  • 5. Features of Investment • Return • Risk • Time Period • Liquidity / Marketability • Safety
  • 6. Objectives of Investment • Maximization of Return 1. Annual Income (Dividend, Interest etc) 2. Capital Appreciation • Minimization of Risk • Liquidity • Hedge against Inflation • Tax Considerations
  • 7. Other… • Near-Term High Priority Goals • Long-Term High Priority Goals • Low Priority Goals • Entrepreneurial or Money - Making Goals
  • 8. Features of an Ideal Investment • Safety • Liquidity • Regularity and Stability of Income • Stability of Purchasing Power • Capital Appreciation • Tax Benefits • Legality
  • 9. Types of Investors • Individuals • Institutions 1. Insurance Companies 2. Mutual Funds 3. Banks 4. FII
  • 10. Investment Constraints • Risk Tolerability • Liquidity / Marketability • Investors Age • Need for Regular Income • Tax Liability / Exemption
  • 11. Errors While Investing • Inadequate comprehension of return and risk. • Vaguely formulated investment policy. • Naive extrapolation of the past. • Cursory decision-making. • Simultaneous Switching • Misplaced love for cheap stocks. • Over diversification and under-diversification. • Buying shares of familiar companies • Wrong attitude toward losses and profits. • Tendency to speculate.
  • 12. Investment vs. Speculation Basis Investment Speculation 1. Time Horizon Plans for a longer time horizon Plans for a very short period 2. Holding Period From 1 year to few years Varies from few days to months 3. Risk Assumes moderate risk Willing to undertake high risk 4. Return Likes to have moderate rate of return Likes to have high rate of return 5. Decision Basis Considers fundamental factors and evaluates the performance of the company regularly Considers inside information, hearsays and market behavior 6. Funds / Leverage Uses his own funds and avoids borrowed funds Relies on borrowed funds to supplement his personal resources
  • 13. Investment vs. Gambling • Gambling is a very short term investment in a game. • Time horizon is shortest. • Results are determined by the roll of dice or turn of a card. • Entertainment is primary, Earning income is secondary. • Employs artificial risks while investment involves commercial risk. • No risk-return trade-off; Negative outcomes are expected. • Financial analysis does not reduce the risk proportion involved in gambling
  • 14. Approaches to Investment Decision Making • Fundamental Approach • Psychological Approach • Academic Approach • Eclectic Approach
  • 15. Fundamental Approach • Most commonly advocated. • There is an intrinsic value of a security and this depends upon the underlying fundamental factors. • Intrinsic value is based on EIC analysis. • At any given point of time, there are some securities for which the prevailing market price would differ from the intrinsic value. • Sooner or later, the market price would fall in line with the intrinsic value. • Superior returns can be earned by buying under- valued securities & selling over-valued securities.
  • 16. Psychological Approach • Stock prices are guided by emotions rather than reason. • Prices are influenced by the psychological mood of the investors. • Investors use some form of technical analysis with a view to develop trading rules aimed at profit making. • Based on certain persistent and recurring patterns of price movements. • Uses a variety of tools like bar chart, point and figure chart, moving averages analysis etc…
  • 17. Academic Approach • Believes that stock markets are reasonable efficient in reacting quickly and rationally to the flow of information. • Stock prices reflect intrinsic value very well. • Prices behavior corresponds to random walk. Successive price changes are independent. • There is a positive relationship between risk and return. • Expected return from a security is linearly related to its systematic risk.
  • 18. Eclectic Approach • Based on all the three different approaches. • Fundamental approach is helpful in establishing basic standards and benchmarks. • Technical analysis is useful in broadly gauging the prevailing mood of the investors. • Despite many instances of misprices securities, there appears to be a fairly strong correlation between risk and return.
  • 19. Investment Process Investment Policy 1. Investible Funds 2. Objectives 3. Knowledge Analysis 1. Market 2. Industry 3. Company Valuation 1. Intrinsic Value 2. Future Value Portfolio Construction 1. Diversification 2. Selection & Allocation Portfolio Evaluation 1. Appraisal 2. Revision
  • 20. Sources of Investment Information • International Affairs • National Affairs • Industry Information • Company Information • Stock Market Information