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Barriers to Sustainable heating
A diverse challenge in a diverse market
• New/Large• Old/Large
• New/Small• Old/Small
Retrofit
domestic
>55C
(many)
New
domestic
<55C (few)
New cities/
Industry
>70C (more)
Retrofit
cities/
Industry
>70C (many)
Major focus areas
Political
Human
CommercialTechnical
Environmental
Major POLITICAL barriers
POLICY CLARITY
• DO WE REALLY MEAN RENEWABLE? Not SUSTAINABLE?
• USE P.E.F. TO JUDGE OPPORTUNITIES
• ACCEPT GAS PHASE DOWN IS NECESSARY AND NEEDS DRIVEN
POLICY ENFORCEMENT
• TIGHTEN ENFORCEMENT OF EEPBD
• REMOVE PLANNING OBSTACLES
POLICY REACH (RETROFIT)
• ESTABLISH RETROFIT POLICY
• SET TARGETS FOR EXISTING BUILDING STOCK (incl Landlord obligation)
• MINIMUM EFFICIENCY >110% FOR REFURBS.........CALIFORNIA ANNOUNCED
GAS IS CHEAP – WE KEEP CONSTRUCTING GAS HEATED BUILDINGS
• END "GAS IS CHEAP AND AVAILABLE/PERMISSABLE –MAKE TAX RELATIVE TO CO2
• DISTRICT HEATING READY REFURB MANDATORY
• CANADA ANNOUNCED CO2 TAX AT $50/t IN 2022 ($10/T IN 2018)
Major COMMERCIAL barriers
COST
• SIMPLIFY/STANDARDISE/REPEAT DEPLOYMENT
• ADJUST INDUSTRY USAGE FROM STEAM
REQUIRED ROI TOO HIGH
• ESTABLISH INVESTMENT/DEPLOYMENT MODEL
• SIMPLIFY SUPPLY CHAIN WITH UTILITY MODEL
STATUS QUO
• GAS TOO CHEAP
• LEVY TAX ON CO2
Major TECHNICAL barriers
USEABILITY
•SIMPLIFY/STANDARDISE DEPLOYMENT
•INTERFACES NOT FRIENDLY
RETRO-FITABILITY
•DEVELOP INDUSTRY NORMS eg DRYING
•SMALLER RESIDENTIAL UNITS
•BETTER TEMPERATURE LIFT
•LIFE CYCLE FOCUS WILL DRIVE HIGHER EFFICIENCY
INSTALLER BASE NOT BUSY ENOUGH
•ESTABLISH FUNDED MODELS TO DRIVE VOLUME UP/COSTS DOWN
Major ENVIRONMENT barriers
WORKING FLUIDS
• SIMPLIFY USE OF NATURALs (higher efficiency/warmer)
NOISE
• STANDARDISE GOALS
VARIABLE OUTCOMES
• STANDARD TESTING / LIFECYCLE TESTING
Major HUMAN barriers
CONFIDENCE
• SIMPLIFY/STANDARDISE DEPLOYMENT
• EC PUBLICITY – NO TIME FOR AGNOSTICS
ROLE OF EXISTING UTILITY OPERATORS
• ESTABLISH INVESTMENT/DEPLOYMENT MODEL
• COMPULSORY OFFER WITH GAS BILLS
BRING SOME PZAZZ
• APPLE, GOOGLE, AMAZON ETC
• FUNDED MODEL
Summary
• Force retrofit adoption
– (California 80% reductionn in 8 years – be bold)
• Make polluters pay on fossil fuel
• Bring Life Cycle (pay as you go) model
– Compulsory if selling gas to offer 10% Heat Purchase
• Smooth working fluid barriers
• Publicity from EC (are EC buildings on 2050 pathway?)
• Focus on repeating best practice
• MANAGEMENT THEORY
• HUMOUR
• REALITY
Crossing the chasm
The choice?
Listen to “Policy Needs” and act for the future now.......
Or wait till the Carrotis a just a faded memory!
Barriers to sustainable heating

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Barriers to sustainable heating

  • 1. Barriers to Sustainable heating A diverse challenge in a diverse market • New/Large• Old/Large • New/Small• Old/Small Retrofit domestic >55C (many) New domestic <55C (few) New cities/ Industry >70C (more) Retrofit cities/ Industry >70C (many)
  • 3.
  • 4. Major POLITICAL barriers POLICY CLARITY • DO WE REALLY MEAN RENEWABLE? Not SUSTAINABLE? • USE P.E.F. TO JUDGE OPPORTUNITIES • ACCEPT GAS PHASE DOWN IS NECESSARY AND NEEDS DRIVEN POLICY ENFORCEMENT • TIGHTEN ENFORCEMENT OF EEPBD • REMOVE PLANNING OBSTACLES POLICY REACH (RETROFIT) • ESTABLISH RETROFIT POLICY • SET TARGETS FOR EXISTING BUILDING STOCK (incl Landlord obligation) • MINIMUM EFFICIENCY >110% FOR REFURBS.........CALIFORNIA ANNOUNCED GAS IS CHEAP – WE KEEP CONSTRUCTING GAS HEATED BUILDINGS • END "GAS IS CHEAP AND AVAILABLE/PERMISSABLE –MAKE TAX RELATIVE TO CO2 • DISTRICT HEATING READY REFURB MANDATORY • CANADA ANNOUNCED CO2 TAX AT $50/t IN 2022 ($10/T IN 2018)
  • 5.
  • 6. Major COMMERCIAL barriers COST • SIMPLIFY/STANDARDISE/REPEAT DEPLOYMENT • ADJUST INDUSTRY USAGE FROM STEAM REQUIRED ROI TOO HIGH • ESTABLISH INVESTMENT/DEPLOYMENT MODEL • SIMPLIFY SUPPLY CHAIN WITH UTILITY MODEL STATUS QUO • GAS TOO CHEAP • LEVY TAX ON CO2
  • 7.
  • 8. Major TECHNICAL barriers USEABILITY •SIMPLIFY/STANDARDISE DEPLOYMENT •INTERFACES NOT FRIENDLY RETRO-FITABILITY •DEVELOP INDUSTRY NORMS eg DRYING •SMALLER RESIDENTIAL UNITS •BETTER TEMPERATURE LIFT •LIFE CYCLE FOCUS WILL DRIVE HIGHER EFFICIENCY INSTALLER BASE NOT BUSY ENOUGH •ESTABLISH FUNDED MODELS TO DRIVE VOLUME UP/COSTS DOWN
  • 9.
  • 10. Major ENVIRONMENT barriers WORKING FLUIDS • SIMPLIFY USE OF NATURALs (higher efficiency/warmer) NOISE • STANDARDISE GOALS VARIABLE OUTCOMES • STANDARD TESTING / LIFECYCLE TESTING
  • 11.
  • 12. Major HUMAN barriers CONFIDENCE • SIMPLIFY/STANDARDISE DEPLOYMENT • EC PUBLICITY – NO TIME FOR AGNOSTICS ROLE OF EXISTING UTILITY OPERATORS • ESTABLISH INVESTMENT/DEPLOYMENT MODEL • COMPULSORY OFFER WITH GAS BILLS BRING SOME PZAZZ • APPLE, GOOGLE, AMAZON ETC • FUNDED MODEL
  • 13. Summary • Force retrofit adoption – (California 80% reductionn in 8 years – be bold) • Make polluters pay on fossil fuel • Bring Life Cycle (pay as you go) model – Compulsory if selling gas to offer 10% Heat Purchase • Smooth working fluid barriers • Publicity from EC (are EC buildings on 2050 pathway?) • Focus on repeating best practice • MANAGEMENT THEORY • HUMOUR • REALITY
  • 15. The choice? Listen to “Policy Needs” and act for the future now....... Or wait till the Carrotis a just a faded memory!