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Background Document 
Global Environment Facility 
Sustainable Cities Integrated Approach Pilot (IAP): 
A common platform to help build sustainable cities1 
for 
Sustainable Cities IAP Consultative Meeting 
(version as of 25 August 2014) 
This background document is intended to support the discussions at the GEF Sustainable Cities 
IAP Consultative Meeting, held on 27 and 28 August 2014. The aim of the meeting is to seek the 
guidance of key stakeholders and potential beneficiaries on what the Sustainable Cities IAP will 
do, and how the IAP may be managed. 
Proposed guiding questions: 
1. The proposed common platform for the IAP consists of a sustainability plan and a set 
of tools with common metrics. How can we strengthen the IAP design to foster the 
generation of global environmental benefits while building on existing initiatives? 
What suggestions do you have on the key attributes of the proposed common 
platform? 
2. We have so far identified four tools. How are these four tools likely to promote the 
intended goals of the IAP? What additional tools could be considered by the IAP? 
What set of common metrics can be brought to use by all participating cities? 
3. The selection criteria for pilot cities/urban areas are presented. What suggestions do 
you have to further refine them? 
1 Based on a report prepared for GEF by Dan Hoornweg, University of Ontario Institute of Technology and Mila 
Freire, International Consultant, Urban Economics. Reviews by Warren Evans and Christopher Kennedy. 
Supporting working papers by D. Hoornweg, K. Pope, M. Hosseini, and A. Behdadi. 
Reviewed and revised by Naoko Ishii, Gustavo Fonseca, Chizuru Aoki, David Rodgers, and Xiaomei Tan, GEF 
Secretariat.
1 
Summary 
Context 
The Global Environment Facility (GEF)’s ambitious GEF2020 strategy presents a bold use of 
leveraged investments and innovative and better-integrated cross-cutting projects and programs 
aimed at addressing the root causes of environmental degradation and climate change. 
The GEF is poised to play a significant role by convening key partners, promoting synergies, and 
catalyzing greater and better-targeted investment across public and private sectors. As a key 
component to deliver the objectives of the GEF2020 strategy, the GEF Council approved a 
strategy for the next four years (GEF-6) that includes development of an Integrated Approach 
Pilot (IAP) for sustainable cities. 
No area provides more opportunity to address the world’s environmental degradation and work 
toward sustained global environmental benefits than cities and urbanization. The task is 
enormous and urgent; cities drive our economies, are responsible for significant environmental 
degradation, and also experience impacts from such degradation. In just one generation, cities 
worldwide are to double in size, and without a concerted effort will triple resource consumption 
and corresponding pollution. The good news is that cities are also able to harness their energy 
and human potential to understand the impending problems, develop efficient solutions, and 
attract sufficient resources to embark on a path of sustainability. 
Objectives of GEF Sustainable Cities IAP 
To demonstrate innovative models of sustainable urban management through integrated urban 
policy and strategy support and piloting of high impact options, and to foster replication of 
sustainable urban management models through partnership and sharing of lessons learned. 
Common Platform 
The IAP will support a common platform, which consists of sustainability plans and a set of 
tools that underpin the plan development and implementation with common metrics. The 
common platform catalyzes the numerous partners now working on urban issues and supports 
the pilot with a few key cities willing to enter into an iterative, ‘organic’ network program, that 
at its core is designed to bring about the enormous potential cities possess to reduce local and 
global environmental degradation, while developing robust, resilient and equitable economies 
and communities. The key attributes of the common platform are summarized in Table S1. 
 The sustainability plan is a clear, rolling plan that provides in one place, an agreed and 
vetted assessment of the challenges and opportunities facing the selected pilot city/urban 
area. The sustainability plan is to be consistent with existing ones spearheaded by 
partners, including ICLEI Local Agenda 21, Cities Alliance City Development Strategy, 
and World Business Council for Sustainable Development (WBCSD) Urban 
Infrastructure Initiative, and will also address global environmental concerns. The 
sustainability plan would have a short-term horizon consistent with GEF’s 2020 strategy 
as well as a longer-term horizon to 2050.
 The tools are used to help cities develop and implement the sustainability plans. It is 
important for the IAP to agree and use the common set of tools, so that diagnosis that the 
participating cities and partners arrive to is agreed by all, and can be compared across 
cities and over time. Four tools are currently identified as follows, with additional tools 
that may be considered as they become available: 
1. Common metrics and a consistent terminology, such as those included in ISO 
37120 and the C40-ICLEI-WRI greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions inventory; 
2. Quantifying energy and material flows through urban metabolism assessments – 
2 
resource efficient cities; 
3. Identification of a hierarchy of urban management that prioritizes service 
provision, increasing resilience and decreasing emissions and environmental 
impact; 
4. Identification of local and global system boundaries, consistent with the tenets of 
sustainable development and key limits such as climate change and biodiversity. 
There is a need among partners and participating cities to agree to use the same set of 
tools and metrics. 
Table S1: Key Attributes of Sustainable Cities IAP Common Platform 
 Based on a planning horizon to 2050, with a milestone of 2020 
 Starts with a common public sustainability planning document (similar to a consolidated Local Agenda 21, City 
Development Strategies (CDS), and other relevant ones) 
 Pilot cities should use a common suite of urban diagnostic tools (described in following sections) 
 Broad partner support 
 Within two years, consolidate existing city plans 
 Within several months of selection, propose at least one long-term ‘sustainability investment’ (i.e., those 
investments by partner Agency or local/national entity in excess of $10 million that show high sustainability) 
 With own resources, agree to improve, with measured progress, one activity within the urban management 
hierarchy 
 Support programmatic efforts across the urban agglomeration (metropolitan area) 
 Enter into long-term partnership with relevant local academic institutions 
 Agree to share lessons learned to regional and global city comparators 
 Communicate program plan and progress with residents and businesses 
 Facilitate partnerships; cities to assume leadership, but to avail themselves of potential national and 
international support 
 Provide regular feedback to GEF and other partners on their efficacy, suggest areas for improvement 
 Participate where practicable in the ‘global community of cities’ (e.g. relevant memberships, national and 
international influence) 
 Publish the sustainability plan, and regularly update, on local website or alternate media 
Benefit to Cities 
Cities/urban areas participating in the pilot would receive support to define baselines and 
develop medium- and long- term sustainability scenarios that impact emissions and resilience; 
provide population, economic and material flows projections; maximize the benefits of 
integration; enhance a city’s ability to attract technological and financial support; and use 
common metrics and terminology to help cities learn from each other and increase the pace of
replication. GEF financial support would be directed to programs and activities identified 
through participant’s sustainability plan as high priority in both the short-term and long-term. 
Benefit to Partners 
The common platform with sustainability plan is intended to help publicize and where practical, 
coordinate the many, and growing, urban support initiatives in pilot cities/urban areas. Through a 
shared objective –helping cities move toward sustainable development – all partners can enhance 
a city’s ability to integrate initiatives and measure progress against a common baseline. Working 
better together results in refined requirements for cities, reduce overlap, and better defined and 
monitored priorities. 
GEF Comparative Advantages 
The Sustainable Cities IAP and its common platform maximize GEF’s comparative advantage in 
sustainable cities, namely by: 
(i) Embracing a global environment perspective to better understand how cities are key 
drivers of environmental degradation and how to reduce their impacts while 
enhancing social and economic development; 
(ii) Catalyzing, integrating and bringing together a broad array of urban-focused partners 
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as well as strategic financing; 
(iii) Harnessing support from national governments for the development of a common 
platform to support cities; 
(iv) Applying long-standing experience with support to urban infrastructure projects, 
global agreements and accords, and related management capacity initiatives. 
Selection Criteria 
Cities/urban areas would be selected based on the quality of proposed activities, proposed 
methodology, guarantee of rigor in analysis, and capacity to lead and mentor. Pilot cities are to 
be selected from those projected to have a population greater than 5 million by 2050. The 
proposed criteria include the following: 
1. Local and national level commitment to integrated urban management and policy, and 
articulation of urbanization challenges in relevant national sustainable development 
strategies and policies. 
2. Experiences with managing key sectors and causes of local and global environmental 
isues with demonstrated results, and existence of coordination mechanisms. 
3. Characterization of current and projected urbanization trends and their impacts on the 
global environment in the city/urban area as well as the country. 
4. Relevance of the proposed city within the context of the global urbanization challenges 
and within the context of global enivonmental conditions (i.e., why is it important to 
address this particular city from the global urbanization perspective and from the global 
environmental perspective). 
5. Commitment to partnerships, with potential for leveraging, coordination, and synergy.
6. Replication potential within country and globally. 
7. Agreement to monitor, track, and report on a harmonized set of performance indicators 
(metrics) on regular intervals as agreed. Provision of current city indicators with the 
proposal to show existing data and informations is available, credible, and readily shared. 
8. Likelihood of progress by the 2018 review. 
9. Availability of exisiting and projected baseline support, with provision of credible overall 
financing plans for activities identified in city proposal. 
10. Diversity of selected cities/urban areas, including regional distribution and status of 
urbanization (addressing current cities versus managing for the future). 
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1. GEF Integrated Approach to Sustainable Cities 
Introduction 
Many agencies and corporations are emerging or expanding their city-specific initiatives. 
Examples include C40, Rockefeller Resilient Cities Program, World Business Council for 
Sustainable Development (WBCSD) Urban Infrastructure Initiative, Siemens Green City Index, 
World Wildlife Fund (WWF) Earth Hour Capital Award, the World Council on City Data 
(WCCD) and their newly published ISO 37120.2 More should be expected. ICLEI has been a 
strong advocate for member cities. The Local Agenda 21, modeled after National Agenda 21 as 
recommended at the Rio summit, provided comprehensive plans for cities to work toward 
sustainable development. Similarly, the Cities Alliance provides a compelling starting point for 
city-specific sustainability through its long-standing City Development Strategy process. 
The role of international finance institutions (IFIs) and bilateral agencies in cities is considerable. 
These institutions likely have more than 3,000 active city-based investment projects around the 
world at any given time. A typical larger city in a Part-2 member country can easily have more 
than 100 active international assistance projects supporting key aspects of infrastructure and 
social development. For example, a recent review of the solid waste sector in Dar es Salaam 
provides a powerful example for the need to consolidate approaches by external agencies. More 
than 40 international organizations support solid waste activities in the city and there are more 
than nine solid waste master plans, many with differing objectives. In addition the city has at 
least 26 reports and unsolicited proposals for energy from waste facilities.3 
With this crowded landscape of city-specific initiatives, a clear need has emerged to help cities 
and national governments integrate efforts and also move towards more holistic management of 
global environmental issues. 
Unique opportunity for GEF and to catalyze partnerships 
The Global Environment Facility (GEF) has a unique catalytic opportunity to work with cities, 
the agencies that support cities, and their national governments. GEF’s assistance would not 
duplicate existing efforts, but rather help integrate efforts under the common goal of sustainable 
development. Helping the world’s cities move toward greater sustainability is one the most 
impactful ways to address local and global environmental threats. The GEF can help define that 
road map, specific to individual cities as well as collectively at a global scale, and help measure 
and share genuine progress. 
At the recent GEF Assembly, a new GEF 2020 Strategy was endorsed with the goal of protecting 
and enhancing natural capital while ensuring the sustainable use of ecosystems and resources. 
The recent GEF replenishment supported the GEF2020 Strategy, and called for the development 
2 ISO 37120 – Sustainable Development of Communities: Indicators for city services and quality of life is the first ISO 37120 
international standard on city indicators. The first ISO standard was developed using the Global City Indicators Facility (GCIF) 
framework and input from the ISO Technical Committee on Sustainable Development of Communities (ISO/TC 268). 
3 Field review notes and personal communication Bob Breeze, waste management consultant. 
5
of Integrated Approach Pilots (IAPs). Initial support funding of $55 million was allocated for 
establishment of a Sustainable Cities4 IAP. 
Cities are a logical area for GEF support for the following reasons: 
 Cities address all mega-trends; 
 Massive urbanization is taking place, therefore action now yields significant benefits; 
 The majority of the world’s resources are consumed in cities; 
 Cities may have capacity to quickly scale and replicate activities; 
 ‘Greening the grassroots’ is occurring successfully in cities; 
 Effective support to cities demands broad-based and mutually supportive partnerships. 
Changes in the global environmental benefits and ecosystem services manifest quickly and 
intensely in the day-to-day lives of urban residents. By the nature of their pragmatism and desire 
to implement workable solutions, cities are powerful allies for GEF. Cities, and their leaders, are 
aware of deteriorating ecosystems, both in their localities and internationally. Many cities 
realize it is in their best interest to act now. The GEF has a unique opportunity–arguably 
responsibility–to work with cities as this powerful stakeholder is mobilized through concrete and 
quantified action in an integrated, prioritized and locally relevant manner to address global 
environmental concerns. 
What will GEF Sustainable Cities IAP do? 
The goal of the Sustainable Cities IAP is to foster development of sustainable cities that are 
cleaner, more efficient, resilient, and prosperous with global environmental benefits. 
Specifically, the Sustainable Cities IAP will establish a common platform for city support and 
broad partnership on integrated solutions around water, energy, transport and other issues 
important to the global environment, as recommended by GEF’s Scientific and Technical 
Advisory Panel (STAP).5 The common platform will consist of two key elements. The first is the 
support to cities/urban areas for their sustainability plans. In pilot cities, the management and 
implementation of a sustainability plan will be facilitated through baseline projects and programs 
aimed at addressing the root causes of environmental degradation and climate change. 
The second element of the common platform consists of four broad urban management tools that 
underpin the development and implementation of the sustainability plans: 
(i) Common metrics and a consistent terminology through applications of tools such as 
ISO 37120 and the C40-ICLEI-WRI greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions inventory; 
(ii) Quantifying energy and material flows through urban metabolism assessments – 
6 
resource efficient cities; 
4 Sustainable cities are defined as: ‘urban communities committed to improving the well-being of their current and future 
residents, while integrating economic, environmental and social considerations’ (World Bank, 2013), and sustainable cities are 
resilient, efficient, equitable, well-managed and socially vibrant. Sustainable cities increase opportunity while reducing 
ecosystem impacts and negative externalities such as congestion and crime. 
5 STAP. Sustainable Urbanization Policy Brief: Proliferation of urban centres, their impact on the world’s environment and the 
potential role of the GEF.
(iii) Identification of a hierarchy of urban management that prioritizes service provision, 
increasing resilience and decreasing emissions and environmental impact; 
(iv) Identification of local and global system boundaries, consistent with the tenets of 
sustainable development and key limits such as climate change and biodiversity. 
Additional tools may be considered as they become available. There is a need among partners 
and participating cities to agree to use the same set of tools, along with common metrics. 
The common platform initially serves a catalytic function bringing together many potential 
partners; a harmonized approach for cities to propose and monitor sustainability; links to relevant 
support; and a means to encourage robust partnerships between local governments (contiguous in 
a metropolitan area) and their respective regional and national governments. The common 
platform also provides the means to better mobilize private sector support and provide ongoing 
communications with citizens. The GEF would work with participating cities/urban areas, their 
national governments, and serve an integrating function for various initiatives supported in most 
cities. The common platform and the key elements are explained in the following sections. 
The Sustainable Cities IAP investment represents a very modest input to city investment 
requirements.6 Even with ambitious leveraging and strong support of partner international 
finance institutions, financial assistance envisaged through this program only represents a very 
minor share of cities’ needs. The Sustainable Cities IAP is therefore not about providing large-scale 
financial support, but rather its strength is to provide a safe (and supported) space for cities 
to experiment, reflect, share, and establish a sensible and rigorous framework of analysis. 
Overall, the Sustainable Cities IAP seeks to demonstrate innovative models of sustainable urban 
management through integrated urban policy and strategy support and piloting of high impact 
options, and to foster replication of sustainable urban management models through partnership 
and sharing of lessons learned. 
6 Cities and their associated agencies are likely to spend at least $80 trillion in infrastructure and service delivery by 2050. 
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2. A Common Platform for Sustainable Cities IAP 
The common platform of the GEF Sustainable Cities IAP comprises a coordinating sustainability 
plan underpinned by four common tools. To serve cities well, external partners need to follow a 
common blueprint that includes the city’s aspirations and agreement to measure progress. As 
more partners emerge and as more emphasis on urbanization and cities accrues throughout the 
world, common platforms will increase in value. The strength of the platform can readily be 
measured by the degree of city ‘ownership’ and commitment to specific targets and willingness 
to accurately measure progress toward these targets. The key attributes of the common platform 
are summarized in Table 1. 
Table 1: Key Attributes of the GEF Sustainable Cities Common Platform 
 Based on a planning horizon to 2050, with a milestone of 2020 
 Starts with a common public sustainability planning document (similar to a consolidated Local Agenda 21, City 
Development Strategies (CDS), and other relevant ones) 
 Pilot cities should use a common suite of urban diagnostic tools (described in following sections) 
 Broad partner support 
 Within two years, consolidate existing city plans 
 Within several months of selection, propose at least one long-term ‘sustainability investment’ (i.e., those 
investments by partner Agency or local/national in excess of $10 million that show high sustainability) 
 With own resources, agree to improve, with measured progress, one activity within the urban management 
8 
hierarchy 
 Support programmatic efforts across the urban agglomeration (metropolitan area) 
 Enter into long-term partnership with relevant local academic institutions 
 Agree to share lessons learned to regional and global city comparators 
 Communicate program plan and progress with residents and businesses 
 Facilitate partnerships; cities to assume leadership, but to avail themselves of potential national and 
international support 
 Provide regular feedback to GEF and other partners on their efficacy, suggest areas for improvement 
 Participate where practicable in the ‘global community of cities’ (e.g. relevant memberships, national and 
international influence) 
 Publish the sustainability plan, and regularly update, on local website or alternate media 
Sustainability Plan 
The sustainability plan is a clear, rolling plan that provides in one place, an agreed and vetted 
assessment of the challenges and opportunities facing the selected pilot city/urban area. 
They are likened to a common ‘song sheet’ that all partners and senior levels of government sing 
to. They would include key investments and estimations of where the city is on hierarchy of 
urban management. 
ICLEI’s Local Agenda 21 has been a powerful planning document, as are City Alliance’s City 
Development Strategies and WBCSD’s ‘Issues’ and ‘Solutions Landscapes’. These documents 
have similar objectives: bring together numerous planning documents, common datasets, and (as 
much as possible) agreed-to regional approaches. These documents should exist in every 
participating city, and organization supporting the city should ensure that their assistance 
program (details and objectives) are included in a summary annex. Much of this common
planning document consolidates and summarizes existing programs, metrics, and infrastructure 
planning. 
The documents should have a shorter-term approach, focused on 2020, and longer-term, focused 
on 2050. Relevant IFIs, NGOs, international agencies should facilitate and/or support the 
preparation and regular updating of this common planning and communications document. 
Ideally every five years or so the documents should be updated, published and made publically 
available. 
Tools of City Building, Underpinning the Common Platform 
Building cities well requires a good set of tools, and clear and agreed-to blueprints, or plans. 
The world’s city builders are about to undertake the most ambitious and important task ever 
faced by humanity: Building sustainable cities for some seven billion residents by 2050.7 
Assessing short- and long-term aspects of a city requires different tools. For the long-term, 
getting large-scale civil works right in a city requires effective planning, such as how to 
accommodate expected populations over the next decade(s) as well as enhancing interaction 
between people –their mobility and connectivity, their accommodation, their basic services, their 
density of living and working. The more short-term, day-to-day aspects require adequate energy 
supply, material supply, waste removal, and constant connectivity and communications. 
The proposed common platform measures and strengthens the two main aspects of cities; long-lived 
infrastructure, and day-to-day management, economy, transactions and metabolism. The 
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four tools to be applied are described below. 
Tool #1: Common metrics and consistent terminology 
Common metrics and consistent terminology will be sought through applications of existing and 
emerging tools. For instance, the newly established World Council on City Data (WCCD), the 
evolution of Global City Indicators Facility (GCIF), is working with a reporting group of almost 
300 cities in 80 countries, including 19 WCCD Foundation cities that are piloting the new 
international standard on city indicators, ISO 37120.8 Also, C40, ICLEI, and WRI are working 
with more than 50 pilot cities as they introduce the community-based GHG-emissions inventory. 
C40 has several sub-groups of cities working on activities such as cities and deltas and low-carbon 
city growth. 
Tool #2: Quantifying energy and material flows through urban metabolism assessments: 
Establishing procedures by which cities determine energy and material flows on a regular basis is 
critical to a sustainability plan. This tool is used to quantify energy and material flows of cities, 
or urban metabolism, whose importance to sustainable development has been recognized. GHG 
inventories for cities are based on energy and material flows, though the data is not always 
explicitly given. Urban metabolism also provides measures of water consumption, waste and 
pollutant production, as well as the influence of cities on nitrogen and phosphorus cycles. 
7 By 2050 the world’s urban population is expected to increase to more than 6 billion. In 35 years the world’s current cities need 
to be rehabilitated and largely re-built, while at the same time new urban infrastructure and management systems need to be 
constructed for another 2.5 billion residents. 
8 WCCD Pilot Foundation Cities include: Amman, Buenos Aires, Barcelona, Bogota, Dubai, Guadalajara, Haiphong, Helsinki, 
Johannesburg, London, Makati, Minna, Makkah, Rotterdam, Sao Paulo, Shanghai, and Toronto.
Emerging methods of determining the impacts of cities on global biodiversity loss also rely upon 
energy and material flow data (Singh and Kennedy, 2014). Standardized approaches to 
quantifying urban metabolism have been developed (Kennedy and Hoornweg, 2012) and have 
been tested by the World Bank. Energy and material flows for the world's 27 megacities, as of 
2010, have recently been determined (Kennedy et al, 2014) and studies of other cities and 
metropolitan regions are increasing. The methodology is further described in Annex 1. 
Tool #3: Identification of a hierarchy of urban management that prioritizes service provision, 
increasing resilience and decreasing emissions and environmental impact: 
Solid waste managers often adhere to the hierarchy of waste management: reduce, reuse, recycle, 
and recover. With some variations exist, the concept follow a staged approach to waste 
management e.g., improve waste collection and simple disposal before bringing in more complex 
waste processing systems. A similar urban management hierarchy to waste management could be 
adopted for urban management and efforts toward developing sustainable cities. 
An urban management hierarchy may follow the continuum: (i) basic service provision; (ii) 
service coverage and reliability; (iii) connectivity, resilience, integrated finance; and, (iv) 
sustainability. A city’s progress on the management hierarchy may be observed and tracked 
through a scoring system (to be developed). The four stages of the hierarchy may include 
specific elements as follows: 
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Basic Service Provision 
 Credible legal and regulatory framework 
 Reliable governance and institutions 
 Clear and public performance and quality of life indicators 
 Agreed-to employee terms of references and accountability 
 Demarcated professional and political roles 
 Public safety and security 
 Service master plan and defined legal boundaries of relevant local governments 
 Water supply, wastewater collection, solid waste management, electricity, urban 
transportation – defined service levels and credible targets (with scheduled service plans) 
 Community and private sector inclusion 
 Defined and measured service levels to the poor and disadvantaged 
Service Coverage and Reliability 
 Environmental management and local ecosystem protection 
 Incentives integrated in order to enhance efficiency 
 Access to private sector involvement – assessment of opportunities for innovation 
 Coordination among multi-level governments 
 Monitoring of public perception – promotion of genuine public participation 
 Clear accountability – and defined oversight responsibilities 
 Measureable, regularly reported, agreed-to performance targets 
Connectivity, Resilience and Integrated Finance 
 Regular and sustained access to urban innovations (science, technology, governance)
 Access to local and global finance with preferential rates for superior local government 
performance (e.g. green bonds, preferential insurance rates) 
 Employee and citizen awareness of relevant global trends 
 Resilient to natural disasters – ongoing risk mitigation program 
 Innovation and constant improvement of local institutions 
 Regional and global collaboration 
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Sustainable City 
 Local and global environmental security (awareness of, and adherence to ecosystem 
limits) 
 Locally and globally competitive economy (with appreciation of benefits of cooperation) 
 Social inclusion and equity (Gini coefficient, local and global support to poor and 
disadvantaged) 
 Sustainability involves trade-offs; how the city considers and quantifies these is 
important, e.g., some cities may prefer less density but then may need to compensate with 
better transportation systems and carbon pricing. 
Tool #4: Identification and analysis of local and global system boundaries 
The GEF Sustainable Cities IAP proposes to include a system boundaries analysis as a tool, 
addressing both socio-economic indicators as well as physical science indicators. Rockstrom et 
al, 2009 propose a suite of quantified physical planetary systems limits; namely, climate change, 
ocean acidification, ozone depletion, nitrogen and phosphorous cycles, freshwater use, changes 
in land use, and biodiversity. Biodiversity, nitrogen cycle and climate change are estimated to 
now be beyond the planet’s sustainable carrying capacity. The planetary boundaries concept is 
referenced in the GEF 2020 strategy as a basis to help inform its drivers-based approach. 
Socio-economic indicators may include: youth opportunity, economy, energy poverty and 
intensity, mobility and connectivity, institutions, basic services, security and public safety. The 
socio-economic limits are aggregated globally (for the world’s largest cities); however their 
contribution to analysis is likely more at a city level (metropolitan area). While a simpler 
approach, with fewer than the seven sectors, may be pursued, sustainable development will only 
emerge through an integrated and holistic approach. Leaving one or more of the sectors for later 
invites delay and arguments on what should be left for later versus undertaken today. This 
reinforces the need to start the process with larger, more capable and open cities, willing to work 
with relevant partners as the methodology is developed and trialed. 
In taking a cities approach to planetary limits, both local and global impacts need to be 
considered from individual cities as well as global aggregate impacts. The global base level is 
provided for physical and socio-economic limits of the largest cities. Annex 2 further presents 
the proposed applications of this tool, and an example of its application. 
Additional tools that may be considered include urban credit worthiness assessments, 
sustainability cost curve applications, and others.
3. Proposed Time Horizon, IAP Focus, and Selection Criteria 
Proposed time horizon: short-term and long-term 
To provide a credible assessment of potential key infrastructure proposed for pilot cities, a 
sufficiently long time horizon is needed. The Sustainable Cities IAP needs to reflect both long-term 
sustainability objectives as well as meet shorter-term, need-for-visible-action objectives. 
The IAP thus proposes a 35-year timeframe to 2050 for the long- and short-term action by 2020. 
The IAP will also be reviewed in 2018. 
The short- and longer-timeframes facilitate a more fulsome comparison of existing technologies 
to new options, e.g. waste-to-energy options versus fuel cells. Identifying 2050 as the longer-term 
target for sustainability also meets with the objectives and aspirations of the Sustainable 
Development Goals (see Annex 3), and facilitates credible and comparable cost curves, and 
provides sufficient time to cover potential political transitions, technological advances, and 
personnel changes. Cities are usually built around large-scale ‘civil works.’9 For example, much 
of today’s major urban infrastructure was built more than 50 years ago. Rome’s aqueducts; 
Jakarta’s port-are; the subway systems of London, Paris and Moscow; most of European, 
Japanese and American railway alignments; key canals, bridges and airports – these major 
infrastructure works are well over 35-years old, and are still providing considerable service 
today. Much of the under-pinning of any city, and especially those aspiring to be a sustainable 
city, is infrastructure with 35 years or more life expectancy. 
Metropolitan Approach 
A key contribution of Sustainable Cities IAP is its ability to support an integrated, metropolitan 
approach to participating cities. 
All of the world’s 100 largest cities are urban agglomerations. Some are made up of more than 
40 local governments. Metropolitan Lagos (eventually to be the world’s largest city) is made up 
of 20 local governments. The boundary of the metropolitan area is often ill-defined. ‘Toronto’ 
for example is an urban area with at least six unique boundaries.10 Mayors of large cities often 
travel internationally speaking on behalf of ‘their city’, yet the city may be less than half the 
metropolitan area’s population, e.g., City of Jakarta 10.1 million versus metro ‘Jabodetabek’ 24.1 
million; Mexico City 8.8 million versus metro area 21.2 million; Mumbai city 13.9 million 
versus metro 21.2 million. 
A metropolitan-scale approach is critical as most of the large energy and materials intensive 
services like transportation need a metro-wide analysis. This often makes analysis more difficult 
as each local government may have disparate interests, however the broad efficiencies envisaged 
from sustainable cities will not materialize without comprehensive metro-wide planning and 
9 ‘Civil’ engineers were the first group of engineers to be distinguished – separate from ‘military’ engineers. Civil engineers 
typically design, build and manage infrastructure. They build cities (particularly ‘the bones’ of the city). 
10 Toronto’s six urban boundaries include: (i) the City of Toronto (population of 2.62 million); (ii) the Census Metropolitan Area 
(5.71 million); (iii) the Greater Toronto Area (6.13 million); (iv) the Greater Toronto and Hamilton Area (6.65 million); the 
Toronto Urban Region (8.05 million), and; (v) the Golden Horseshoe (9.09 million). 
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delivery. Each pilot city within the platform should first determine what local governments are 
included in the metropolitan city. 
Starting with Larger Cities 
There are about 340 cities larger than one million – more than half in middle- and low-income 
countries; these are all strong contenders to act as crucial pilot sites. In 2050 about 138 cities are 
expected to have 5-million or more residents, some like Dar es Salaam, Mumbai, Jakarta and 
Shanghai with more than 15-million citizens (see Table 2). 
The recommendation for the GEF IAP sustainable cities support is to focus on cities that are 
expected to have five million or more residents in 2050. These larger cities can be argued to be 
the priority as they are home to the majority of the world’s wealth, resource consumption, 
associated pollution and impacts to biodiversity. Also, large cities are traditionally more 
challenged by coordination issues, and should seek out objective external partnerships, especially 
with regard to metropolitan issues, which are emerging as one of the 21st Century’s most 
intractable challenges. Furthermore, large cities over the next few decades will drive the largest 
creation of wealth ever. As these cities grow, and local real estate values increase along with the 
growth in population and density, they should seek out opportunities to enhance and share this 
new wealth. 
Table 2: The World’s Largest Cities in 2050 (metro populations using WUP projections) 
World’s Largest Cities in 2050 - World Urbanization Prospects 
1 Mumbai (Bombay), India 47,405,075 51 Hanoi, Viet Nam 10,865,748 
2 Delhi, India 40,185,201 52 London, UK 10,846,263 
3 Dhaka, Bangladesh 37,463,323 53 Seoul, Republic of Korea 10,649,833 
4 Kinshasa, DRC 36,976,677 54 Hong Kong SAR, China 10,487,986 
5 Kolkata (Calcutta), India 36,789,002 55 Kampala, Uganda 10,385,081 
6 Lagos, Nigeria 36,317,189 56 Surat, India 10,316,941 
7 Tokyo, Japan 35,069,719 57 Chongqing, China 10,092,061 
8 Karachi, Pakistan 33,322,655 58 Ibadan, Nigeria 9,921,571 
9 New York-Newark (NY), USA 29,771,600 59 Alexandria, Egypt 9,865,148 
10 Ciudad De Mexico, Mexico 27,899,557 60 Dakar, Senegal 9,857,951 
11 Cairo, Egypt 27,269,877 61 Yangon, Myanmar 9,738,860 
12 Metro Manila, Philippines 26,964,744 62 Riyadh, Saudi Arabia 9,303,186 
13 Sao Paulo, Brazil 25,331,438 63 Bamako, Mali 8,965,158 
14 Shanghai, China 25,312,920 64 Miami (FL), USA 8,719,120 
15 Lahore, Pakistan 21,956,353 65 Santiago, Brazil 8,633,403 
16 Kabul, Afghanistan 20,091,832 66 Kanpur, India 8,135,258 
17 Los Angeles-Long Beach-Santa Ana (CA), USA 19,080,286 67 Philadelphia (PA), USA 8,025,967 
18 Chennai (Madras), India 18,952,129 68 Antananarivo, Madagascar 7,982,208 
19 Khartoum, Sudan 18,118,292 69 Belo Horizonte, Brazil 7,956,741 
20 Dar es Salaam, Tanzania 18,027,123 70 Faisalabad (Lyallpur), Pakistan 7,939,412 
21 Beijing (Peking), China 17,852,479 71 Toronto, Canada 7,885,326 
22 Jakarta, Indonesia 17,716,202 72 Abuja, Nigeria 7,808,832 
23 Bangalore, India 17,073,101 73 Jaipur, India 7,790,506 
24 Buenos Aires, Argentina 16,487,372 74 Ouagadougou, Burkina Faso 7,680,796 
25 Baghdad, Iraq 16,218,123 75 Niamey, Niger 7,679,709 
26 Hyderabad, India 15,967,802 76 Santiago, Chile 7,641,188 
13
27 Luanda, Angola 15,884,358 77 Dongguan, Guangdong, China 7,406,453 
28 Rio de Janeiro, Brazil 15,783,866 78 Shenyang, China 7,329,327 
29 Nairobi, Kenya 15,732,997 79 Mogadishu, Somalia 6,986,284 
30 Istanbul, Turkey 15,306,379 80 Giza, Egypt 6,966,613 
31 Addis Ababa, Ethiopia 13,627,624 81 Madrid, Spain 6,886,304 
32 Guangzhou, Guangdong, China 13,523,389 82 Dallas-Fort Worth (TX), USA 6,872,605 
33 Ahmedabad, India 13,150,247 83 Lucknow, India 6,849,837 
34 Chittagong, Bangladesh 13,137,100 84 Tlaquepaque, Mexico 6,794,759 
35 Chicago (IL), USA 13,072,586 85 Tonala, Mexico 6,744,462 
36 Ho Chi Minh, Viet Nam 12,904,720 86 Zapopan, Mexico 6,617,098 
37 Lima, Peru 12,775,694 87 Atlanta (GA), USA 6,582,660 
38 Bogota, D.C., Colombia 12,690,334 88 Lubumbashi, DRC 6,563,327 
39 Shenzhen, China 12,479,995 89 Conakry, Guinea 6,563,327 
40 Paris, France 12,295,334 90 Houston (TX), USA 6,563,327 
41 Bangkok, Thailand 12,203,182 91 Boston (MA), USA 6,563,327 
42 Tehran, Iran 11,879,486 92 Mbuji-Mayi, DRC 6,531,657 
43 Pune, India 11,832,375 93 Accra, Ghana 6,511,984 
44 Abidjan, Cote d'Ivoire 11,655,715 94 Aleppo, Syria 6,419,593 
45 Kano, Nigeria 11,498,011 95 Washington (DC), USA 6,392,701 
46 Wuhan, China 11,448,244 96 Chengdu, China 6,376,057 
47 Moscow, Russia 11,283,416 97 Sydney, Australia 6,191,586 
48 Osaka-Kobe, Japan 11,015,277 98 Guadalajara, Mexico 6,166,533 
49 Tianjin, China 10,988,333 99 Nagpur, India 6,140,764 
50 Sana'a, Yemen 10,983,039 100 Xi'an, Shaanxi, China 6,129,362 
World’s Largest Cities – Population Projection in 2050; World Urbanization Prospects 
101 Guadalupe, Nuevo León, Mexico 6,052,874 151 Lilongwe, Malawi 4,622,988 
102 Barcelona, Spain 6,052,874 152 Kunming, China 4,613,808 
103 Guiyang, China 5,932,345 153 Kalyoubia, Egypt 4,583,041 
104 Lusaka, Zambia 5,865,491 154 Blantyre City, Malawi 4,545,907 
105 Detroit (MI), USA 5,829,578 155 Mombasa, Kenya 4,479,017 
106 Maputo, Mozambique 5,809,972 156 Tashkent, Uzbekistan 4,472,662 
107 N'Djamena, Chad 5,802,201 157 Al-Hudaydah, Yemen 4,462,470 
108 Jiddah, Saudi Arabia 5,764,813 158 Pyongyang, DPR of Korea 4,454,102 
109 Ankara, Turkey 5,708,551 159 Khulna, Bangladesh 4,428,284 
110 Singapore, Singapore 5,683,847 160 Seattle (WA), USA 4,402,743 
111 Damascus, Syria 5,638,701 161 Multan, Pakistan 4,402,351 
112 Algiers (El Djazair), Algeria 5,606,205 162 Monrovia, Liberia 4,357,431 
113 Nanjing, Jiangsu, China 5,569,888 163 Gujranwala, Pakistan 4,352,880 
114 Phnom Penh, Cambodia 5,557,772 164 Vadodara, India 4,316,456 
115 Douala, Cameroon 5,534,631 165 Guayaquil, Ecuador 4,303,940 
116 Haerbin, China 5,491,072 166 Kuwait City, Kuwait 4,291,640 
117 Patna, India 5,481,378 167 Qingdao, China 4,274,770 
118 Melbourne, Australia 5,468,430 168 Benin City, Nigeria 4,225,914 
119 Monterrey, Mexico 5,377,637 169 Bhopal, India 4,224,606 
120 Surabaya, Indonesia 5,358,949 170 Curitiba, Brazil 4,206,267 
121 Rawalpindi, Pakistan 5,304,270 171 Jinan, Shandong, China 4,163,786 
122 Lome, Togo 5,302,399 172 Fuzhou, Fujian, China 4,161,406 
123 Medellín, Colombia 5,294,746 173 Coimbatore, India 4,139,848 
124 Porto Alegre, Brazil 5,291,291 174 Changsha, Hunan, China 4,134,314 
125 Casablanca (Dar-el-Beida), Morocco 5,218,962 175 Hyderabad, Pakistan 4,107,948 
126 Tel Aviv-Yafo, Israel 5,189,194 176 Ta'izz, Yemen 4,071,910 
127 Phoenix-Mesa (AZ), USA 5,177,419 177 San Diego (CA), USA 4,070,382 
14
128 Brasilia, Brazil 5,155,538 178 Lanzhou, China 4,052,240 
129 Kaduna, Nigeria 5,139,171 179 Mosul, Iraq 4,026,786 
130 Montréal, Canada 5,113,884 180 Ludhiana, India 4,008,734 
131 Indore, India 5,104,382 181 Xiamen, China 4,007,511 
132 Johannesburg, South Africa 5,100,604 182 Asuncion, Paraguay 4,005,345 
133 Changchun, China 5,090,505 183 Medan, Indonesia 3,997,931 
134 Kumasi, Ghana 4,996,497 184 Kathmandu, Nepal 3,949,111 
135 San Francisco-Oakland (CA), USA 4,952,191 185 Agra, India 3,949,111 
136 Port-au-Prince, Haiti 4,915,542 186 Jinxi, Liaoning, China 3,940,991 
137 Dalian, China 4,820,884 187 Zhengzhou, China 3,939,575 
138 Hangzhou, China 4,800,655 188 Durban, South Africa 3,938,210 
139 Recife, Brazil 4,787,886 189 Athens, Greece 3,881,866 
140 Haiphong, Viet Nam 4,776,388 190 Brazzaville, DRC 3,881,497 
141 Salvador, Brazil 4,771,066 191 Izmir, Turkey 3,872,851 
142 Cape Town, South Africa 4,740,223 192 San Martín Texmelucan, Mexico 3,844,931 
143 Kigali, Rwanda 4,736,155 193 Shijiazhuang, China 3,826,075 
144 Zibo, China 4,728,077 194 Mashhad, Iran 3,808,883 
145 Yaoundé, Cameroon 4,674,496 195 Jilin, China 3,807,492 
146 Fortaleza, Brazil 4,654,664 196 Nanchang, China 3,807,143 
147 St. Petersburg, Russia 4,652,293 197 Campinas, Brazil 3,792,487 
148 Taiyuan, Shanxi, China 4,648,609 198 Harare, Zimbabwe 3,759,690 
149 Bandung, Indonesia 4,637,687 199 Wenzhou, China 3,758,568 
150 Caracas, Venezuela 4,636,615 200 Taipei, China 3,755,185 
From: Hoornweg and Pope, Population Predictions of the 101 Largest Cities in the 21st Century. Working Paper 4, 
Global Cities Institute. 2014 
Selection Criteria 
Following are proposed criteria for selecting cities to participate in the pilot program: 
1. Local and national level commitment to integrated urban management and policy, and 
articulation of urbanization challenges in relevant national sustainable development 
strategies and policies. 
2. Experiences with managing key sectors and causes of local and global environmental 
isues with demonstrated results, and existence of coordination mechanisms. 
3. Characterization of current and projected urbanization trends and their impacts on the 
global environment in the city/urban area as well as the country. 
4. Relevance of the proposed city within the context of the global urbanization challenges 
and within the context of global enivonmental conditions (i.e., why is it important to 
address this particular city from the global urbanization perspective and from the global 
environmental perspective). 
5. Commitment to partnerships, with potential for leveraging, coordination, and synergy. 
6. Replication potential within country and globally. 
7. Agreement to monitor, track, and report on a harmonized set of performance indicators 
(metrics) on regular intervals as agreed. Provision of current city indicators with the 
proposal to show existing data and informations is available, credible, and readily shared. 
8. Likelihood of progress by the 2018 review. 
15
9. Availability of exisiting and projected baseline support, with pprovision of credible 
overall financing plans for activities identified in city proposal. 
10. Diversity of selected cities/urban areas, including regional distribution and status of 
urbanization (addressing current cities versus managing for the future). 
The pilot cities in GEF Sustainable Cities IAP should be cities and urban areas that want to lead; 
that want to bring together disparate but connected initiatives; that are willing to work with 
various levels of government and international agencies. These cities are needed to refine urban 
management tools, try out new approaches, and provide well-grounded, helpful feedback to 
myriad organizations as they expand their efforts with additional cities. Eventually many of the 
tools envisaged in the common platform may be adopted by all cities. Data management systems 
will be developed, responsibilities and financing agreed-to, and ways identified to better 
integrate these initiatives. 
The pilot cities need to offer a safe space where assistance and small amounts of additional 
funding can be integrated in a way that maximizes benefits to local citizens as well as local and 
global ecosystems. The pilot cities also need to act as catalysts for external organizations as 
disparate as engineering societies, NGOs, and financiers to come together. These pilots are not 
intended to end. To the contrary, they should grow into longer-term world-wide city activities. 
Building and managing a city is an honor. Doing it well requires public support, experience, 
open-mindedness, pragmatism, and always, a healthy dose of optimism. This is a skill that can be 
enhanced, but even more important in today’s rush to urbanization, this is a skill that needs to be 
shared. Everyone who works with cities knows well how in all regions and countries, a few cities 
stand out for being particularly well-managed. Not necessarily richer, or more privileged, or 
larger, but for one reason or another, a handful of cities often set the standard of good urban 
management. 
Elements to be Included in Proposal 
In order to apply to participate, an interested city, in partnership with its national government, is 
invited to submit a proposal that articulates the following elements: 
1. Provide an initial draft of the consolidated regional (sustainability) planning document. 
2. Confirmation of commitment from national government and participating city or 
metropolitan/regional authority (i.e. Council resolution or equivalent). 
3. Description of urbanization challenges (both current and projected) in the proposed city 
16 
and host country. 
4. Discussion of how the proposed initiatives address urban challenges in an integrated, 
multi-disciplinary manner and how the proposed initiatives work toward transformative 
change, and go beyond a single GEF focal area. 
5. Description of how developing and implementing the integrated urban management 
plans, with agreed-to investments, provides both local and global benefits, with metrics.
6. Analysis of challenges and barriers faced at the local and/or national levels, and how the 
GEF support, and potential partners, might be used to address them. 
7. Description of the mechanism and responsibilities of relevant institutions for: (1) 
integrated urban management planning; and (2) national-regional-local coordination. 
8. Baseline (current and/or planned) initiatives and descriptions (with quantification) of how 
the GEF support will build on the baseline and enhance synergy for transformational 
impacts. 
9. Provision of the first iteration of a low-carbon growth strategy for the city-wide urban 
area (with estimated GHG-emissions from 2015 to 2050). Inclusion of an assessment of 
projected energy demand and supply (in a consistent manner with the IEA-supported city 
projections). 
10. Record of at least one local dialogue with private sector partners (such as chamber of 
commerce) to discuss the role of the private sector in local city-building and management 
(prepare a report similar to the Urban Infrastructure Initiative of WBCSD). 
11. Expression of willingness to share lessons learned within the country, in partnership with 
relevant national and local institutions and with other participating countries/cities to 
facilitate mutual learning and to foster scaling-up. 
12. An initial list of current partners and highlights of program of support, and plan for 
17 
stakeholder engagement. 
13. Concise descriptions about how the proposed initiative may help address the goals of 
relevant multilateral environmental conventions. 
14. Inclusion of investment proposals which are leveraged, innovative, and scalable to bring 
about global environmental benefits.
18 
4. Potential Partners 
The Academics (Local and global academic institutions). How do you build a great city? Build a 
great university and wait two hundred years (from US Senator Monaghan). With regard to 
sustainable cities however, the world does not have 200 years to wait for a durable partnership 
between pilot cities and their local universities. Most cities with more than 1,000,000 residents 
have local academic institution(s) that are likely already working with their host community. 
These partnerships should be strengthened and the proposed pilot cities and their host countries 
should fully integrate a comprehensive research program with their local universities. 
Today there are more than 600 accredited teaching hospitals around the world: If you want to 
graduate as a fully-licensed doctor you will need to intern at one of these teaching hospitals. 
Surprisingly, even though urban management consumes a much larger share of global GDP, 
there is not (yet) a single partnered ‘teaching-city’ and university. Accredited, well-experienced 
and professional urban managers are urgently needed. This GEF supported platform provides an 
opportunity to catalyze broad-based local and global (long term) university-city support. 
As part of the platform, the pilot cities, plus several representative Part-1 member cities (and 
their local universities) should develop a global ad hoc academic-city teaching partnership. 
Several cities and universities are standing-by, willing to participate. 
Pilot cities should avail themselves to work with local universities to help with data collection, 
verification and modeling of proposed infrastructure works. 
The Engineers (American Society of Civil Engineers, ASCE, World Federation of Engineering 
Organizations). Arguably no profession or stakeholder is more responsible for encouraging 
efforts toward sustainable cities than the engineers, especially civil engineers. In most countries 
engineers are legally bound to adhere to the tenets of sustainable development, yet track-records 
are not exemplary. Engineering associations like ASCE, WFEO and Engineers without Borders, 
EWB, recognize this and are taking positive steps to address these needs. 
Every road, every bridge, every bolt, every power station has a calculated factor of safety. The 
design engineer used his or her professional judgment to include sufficient capacity to 
compensate for what is not known, or where failure might occur. When building sustainable 
cities during the next 35 years engineers need to be more assertive in calculating, communicating 
and assuring that a ‘factor of sustainability’ is included in the aggregate civil works of a city. 
Evaluating a single ‘green building’ within a congested, polluted, dangerous city is no greener 
than assuming a single tree can make a forest. 
A significant challenge to sustainable cities is the lack of engineers, especially in Africa. A more 
than 80-fold increase in engineers is needed in some countries (a task more daunting than finding 
funding). The UK for example has a population of about 1,100 per engineering graduate, while 
Cameroon, Ethiopia and Mozambique have populations greater than 81,000 per engineering 
graduate (and many of these engineers leave the country upon graduation). By 2050 an
additional 20,000,000 engineering students are needed in Africa (based on similar staffing levels 
in OECD-member countries) Hoornweg et al, 2014. 
The City Associations (ICLEI, UCLG [Metropolis], C40, GCIF, WCCD, Cities Alliance). 
Likely every country with more than a handful of cities has an active municipal (city) 
association. These associations, in countries like Colombia and the Philippines, provide 
important information sharing and capacity building among cities. As a first step, these 
associations should be identified and assisted where possible. Many of them are already talking 
to their international compatriots, however these discussions are generally more restrained than 
country-to-country dialogues as cities tend to have much smaller travel budgets and tend to be 
more parochial (local) than their national governments. 
A few international city associations emerged in the last 40 years. ICLEI, one of the first 
international city associations, was launched at the initial WCCD Rio Conference in 1992. 
Important follow on city associations include Union of Cities and Local Governments 
(established in 2003), with the larger city association of Metropolis. C40 (now representing 
some75 cities) started as a mayor-to-mayor initiative to encourage greater city-based 
involvement in climate change activities. Cities Alliance, a donor supported association focused 
on Part-2 member cities, is an important partner as its long standing ‘City Development Strategy’ 
is similar to GEF’s proposed city platform. The GCIF is another important city-member 
organization and the WCCD, building on GCIF’s membership base is growing city data platform 
that is working with cities to implement ISO 37120 standard on city indicators. 
The Foundations (e.g. Rockefeller, Gates). The Rockefeller Foundation helped publish a 
seminal book, ‘The Century of the City’ in 2009. More recently the Foundation launched the 100 
Resilient Cities campaign, requiring participating cities to create the position of ‘Chief 
Resilience Officer’ (cities are provided a grant of up to $1 million to enhance resilience). 
The Gates Foundation, similar to many foundations working on sustainable development issues 
is increasingly targeting urban issues. Foundation support to cities, or their urban partners, is 
likely to continue to grow as urbanization grows and the power of cities to bring about greater 
local and global sustainability intensifies. The ‘simple’ driver that between now and 2050 the 
world’s cities over 5 million residents (with all the associated energy and materials use) is likely 
to increase from 58 to at least 138 is sobering – all partners are needed. 
The NGOs and ‘Think Tanks’ (e.g. World Resources Institute WRI, World Economic Forum 
WEF, World Wildlife Fund WWF). Many of these organizations have long-standing 
involvement with cities. WRI, for example prepared one of the most important papers on cities 
and material flows in 1997. Hopefully WWF will be amenable to preparing a draft index of city-based 
biodiversity impact (needed for sustainable city limit mapping). 
UN-Habitat, UNEP and other UN organizations. The UN, similar to organizations like the 
World Bank is ‘owned and managed’ by countries (although UN-Habitat has the express 
mandate to represent sub-sovereign governments directly). Countries often have different 
objectives than cities. Even though there is ‘only one voter and one taxpayer’ this tension 
between various levels of government waxes and wanes in most countries. Based on mandates 
19
and priorities, conciliation always needs to be practiced between national and city governments. 
Cities are also learning how to interact (directly) with international agencies, and what on-the-ground 
20 
assistance may be forthcoming. 
UNEP will likely grow its mandate vis-a-vis cities – probably in at least two areas. UNEP’s 
‘City-Level Decoupling’ initiative, which encourages greater efforts at reduced material flows 
and circular economies, is an important program for cities. UNEP may also be called to fulfill 
part of its original mandate – environmental monitoring – in cities. UNEP might emerge, for 
example, as an unbiased (urban) air and water quality monitor. 
UN-Habitat can assist cities through its important Habitat III Conference scheduled for 2016. 
UN-Habitat is also an important proponent for an urban focus in the proposed 2015 Sustainable 
Development Goals (see Annex 3). 
International Finance Institutions. IFIs like the World Bank, Asian, Inter-American, and 
African Development Banks, as well as the new BRIC Bank, provide considerable finance to 
activities within cities. Increasingly these activities are being directly supported through local 
governments. These investments should be evaluated within an urban area’s overall 
sustainability plan. 
The IFIs also have ancillary services important to cities, e.g. analysis and data collection 
services, partner institutions like the International Finance Corporation. 
Financiers and Insurance Agencies. These are two powerful global groups who would benefit 
considerably from more sustainable cities. Financiers, such as those issuing ‘green bonds’ and 
longer-term investments often sought through pensions and sovereign wealth funds, would 
benefit from more sustainable cities. So too would the insurance industry – who will benefit 
considerably as cities increase their resilience thereby reducing potential insurance claims. These 
two groups should be consulted as the GEF platform evolves as they could provide long-term 
support for the initiative. 
Private Sector Associations (e.g. WBCSD, Chambers of Commerce). WBCSD’s Urban 
Infrastructure Initiative is remarkably similar to the common platform proposed by GEF. 
Consolidating the UII experience and integrating the private sector supported approach would 
likely provide considerable benefits to pilot cities. Similarly, local and international chambers of 
commerce are important constituents as they provide direct feedback on how corporations 
perceive the receptivity and credibility of cities as they interact with the private sector. 
Corporations (e.g. Siemens, Cisco, GDF Suez, Unilever). Many magazines are awash in 
corporate adds for smart cities, connected cities, green city indices and city-based analysis, e.g. 
McKinsey, PwC, Accenture. These companies all appreciate the sheer enormity of the urban 
market. The world’s economy is driven by cities. These corporations have some of the best 
analytics and experience available. Much can be accessed by cities (without automatically 
paying). Through mutually-beneficial partnerships and clear assistance strategies, cities can take 
advantage of this wealth of expertise. The GEF platform can facilitate much of this support.
Local private sector. Most city managers prefer to deal with local representatives, and most of 
the world’s private sector is local. Cities do well to constantly assess local perceptions of their 
interactions with local (and global) companies. Participating pilot cities should ask to have a 
unique review for them included in the World Bank’s annual ‘Doing Business Review.’ The 
lessons and import are even more compelling when applied locally. 
21
Annex 1 Methodology on Material Flow Analysis in Cities 
This approach is consistent with UNEP’s Resource Efficient Cities initiative, as well as low-carbon 
city growth strategies. The measure of GHG emissions, for example, is based on the C40- 
ENERGYOUT 
MINERALPRO 
D. 
WATERINTERNA 
L 
22 
ICLEI-WRI community emissions inventory. 
MINERALSTOCK 
BIOMASSPR 
OD. 
WATERSTOCK 
WATEROUT 
MINERALOUT 
BIOMASSIN 
ENERGYI 
N 
WATERIN 
MINERALI 
N 
Figure A1.1. Urban system boundary showing inflows, outflows, internal flows, storage and 
production of biomass, minerals, water, and energy (adapted from Kennedy & Hoornweg, 2012)
Table A1.1: Data Requirements for Abbreviated Urban Metabolism Studies (GCIF=Global 
Cities Indicator Facility) 
Quantity GCIF Required 
for GHG 
calculation 
23 
Notes 
INFLOWS 
Food 
Water (imports) 
Water (precipitation) 
Groundwater abstraction 
Construction materials 
Fossil fuels (by type) 
Electricity 
Total incoming solar radiation 
Nitrogen & Phosphorus 
√ 
√ 
√ 
√* 
√* 
√* 
√* 
√ 
√ 
Standard climate data 
Primarily cement, aggregates, steel 
Standard climate data 
Example nutrient 
PRODUCED 
Food 
Construction materials 
√* 
√ 
Cement and steel production 
STOCKS 
Construction materials 
Nitrogen & Phosphorus 
Landfill waste 
Construction/demolition waste 
√ 
In the building stock 
Accumulated 
OUTFLOWS 
Exported landfill waste 
Incinerated waste 
Exported recyclables 
Wastewater 
Nitrogen & Phosphorus 
SO2 
NOx 
CO 
Volatile organics 
Particulates 
Methane 
Ozone 
Black carbon 
√ 
√ 
√ 
√ 
√+ 
√+ 
Air emission plus accumulated mass 
*: has upstream (embodied) GHG emissions 
+: typically omitted from GHG calculations due to difficulty in estimation
OW 
OM 
IE 
Iw 
Figure A1.2. Urban systems boundary broadly showing inflows (I), outflows (O), internal flows 
(Q), storage (S) and production (P) of biomass (B), minerals (M), water (W), and energy (E). 
24 
Inflows 
Biomass [t & J] 
food 
wood 
Fossil Fuel [t & J] 
transport 
heating/industrial 
Minerals [t] 
metals 
construction materials 
Electricity [kWh] 
Natural energy [J] 
Water [t] 
Drinking (surface & groundwater) 
Precipitation 
Substances [t] 
e.g. nutrients 
Produced goods [t] 
Production 
Biomass [t & J] 
Minerals [t] 
Outflows 
Waste Emissions [t] 
gases 
solid 
wastewater 
other liquids 
Heat [J] 
Substances [t] 
Produced goods [t] 
Stocks 
Infrastructure / Buildings [t] 
construction materials 
metals 
wood 
other materials 
Other (machinery, durable) [t] 
metals 
other materials 
Substances 
QW 
SW 
PB 
OE 
IB 
IM 
SM 
PM
Annex 2 Identification and Analysis of Local and Global System 
Boundaries 
Global and Local Physical Limits 
With Rockstrom et al boundaries (i.e. limits) as a starting point (Figure A2.1); Figure A2.2 
presents a global aggregate for proposed physical limits of the world’s largest cities. The limits 
are applicable to all cities however for ease of analysis investigation of the larger cities is 
prioritized, i.e., those cities (urban agglomerations) over 5 million population. The analysis 
includes an additional boundary (or limit) for geophysical risk. This includes seismic and 
weather related risk the city faces, e.g. sea level increase, earthquake, volcanoes, landslide, 
storms and flooding. The value is an aggregate estimate of risk to life and property. Geophysical 
risk includes rapid onset events such as typhoons and earthquakes: Long-term climate related 
events, such as drought, pestilence and changes to growing seasons are considered elsewhere. 
Figure A2.1: Physical science boundaries proposed by Rockstrom et al. 
Added to the Rockstrom et al boundaries is (local) ‘pollution’ which estimates local (and 
cumulative) values for air pollution (smog and indoor/outdoor particulate), water pollution 
(COD, BOD, flotsam, and heavy metals) and land pollution (solid waste and brownfields), which 
tend to be locally generated and experienced. These values are expected to vary markedly for 
assessed cities. 
This urban approach to Rockstrom et al limits facilitates the merging between local and global 
impacts and ecosystem services. Cities may react most quickly to immediate local needs, 
however cities are acutely aware that these impacts arise from a gradient of ecosystem impacts, 
25
whether it be local solid waste and habitat destruction or global GHG emissions and loss of 
biodiversity. 
Pollution 
Geophysical 
Risks (by City 
Figure A2.2: Physical science indicators for cities in a global context; adapted from the boundaries proposed 
by Rockstrom et al. 
The boundaries for climate change are consistent with Rockstrom et al (a total per capita GHG-emissions 
value provided – Scopes 1, 2 and 3). So too nitrogen and phosphorous boundaries; 
absolute per capita values are provided. Biodiversity, fresh water use, and land-use change, are 
consistent with Rockstrom et al. Values are derived through one-half local impact and one-half 
global impact. For activities like biodiversity loss, an index is used, dividing the participating 
cities into quintiles. 
Global Social Limits 
The social limits, or boundaries, of sustainability include seven metrics (i. youth opportunity, ii. 
economy, iii. energy poverty and intensity, iv. mobility and connectivity, v. institutions, vi. basic 
services, vii. security and public safety); all with equal weighting. Where definitive values are 
not available, values are estimated. 
The boundaries align with the Millennium Development Goals (MDGs) and Sustainable 
Development Goals (SDGs) now under preparation. Preliminary discussions are advocating for 
an ‘urban SDG’ however this may be of limited value as no single value can portend to connote 
‘urban progress’, rather a suite of indicators and goals are needed to capture progress in cities. 
26 
Climate Change 
Rate of 
Biodiversity 
Loss 
Fresh Water Use 
Change In Land 
Use 
Nitrogen Cycle 
level)
Figure A2.3 provides an approximation to the global social science boundaries (i.e. socio-economic) 
– estimated in relation to existing objectives and global limits. These are mainly a 
reflection of the MDGs, moving to SDGs. Most of the data is available on a regular basis 
through datasets hosted by organization such as the GCIF and soon the data platform and global 
registry for ISO 37120 to be hosted by the not-for-profit WCCD. Approximations are needed as 
values are required for the entire urban area, rather than an individual city alone. 
Basic 
Services 
Security and 
Public Safety 
Figure A2.3: Social Sciences: Global Situation Compared to Targets 
Application of local and global (i.e. the total spectrum) limits and ecosystem degradation is 
particularly relevant to large urban areas. Through this approach, local ‘greening’ programs 
(such as habitat protection and ‘welcoming wildlife to the city’, e.g. urban birdlife corridor), 
enhanced food security (e.g. urban agriculture), and an increased appreciation of embodied 
resources and vicarious ecosystem impacts, are all possible for the city resident and manager. 
The urban limits approach helps facilitate cities to be more aware, and able to respond, to 
common issues that manifest in different ways locally and globally. 
Using the physical and socio-economic limits as outlined above, large scale civil works can be 
assessed for their overall contribution to sustainability, similar to environmental assessments, 
feasibility studies, and detailed financing plans. These investments can be placed within an 
agreed-to and common sustainability cost curve for the city. Each of the world’s major cities 
should have a base sustainability cost curve that presents a rolling 35-year investment horizon. 
Potential (and recent) publicly-funded investments are placed along the curve relative to each 
other. This additional planning step is arguably mainly the responsibility of the engineering 
profession. The World Federation of Engineering Organizations, for example, calls for engineers 
to assess the unique and cumulative impacts of all major civil works. To-date this is only applied 
in piece-meal fashion and a community is not able to see where a proposed investment fits within 
the broader and longer term sustainability objectives of the investment. 
27 
Youth 
Opportunity 
Economy 
Energy 
Poverty 
Including 
Access to 
Electricity 
Mobility and 
Connectivity 
Institutions
The report, ‘Building Sustainability in an Urbanizing World: A Partnership Report’, World 
Bank, 2013 contained two annexes, ‘Sustainable Infrastructure Rating System’ (Annex 5) and 
‘Engineering for Sustainable Development’ (Annex 6) that set the framework for development of 
sustainability cost curves. Rather than for discrete projects in isolation the sustainability cost 
curve applies the concept across the city for all publicly-funded investments in excess of $10 
million (capital and operating costs). This approach is designed expressly to help ensure ‘well-built 
bones’ for the city. The World Federation of Engineering Organizations with local 
engineering faculties would help develop these sustainability ratings. 
Example: Dakar Metropolitan Area, Senegal 
Dakar Urban Region has a population around 2.7 million today. In 2050 the population is 
projected to be 9.86 million (making it then the 60th largest city in the world). Growing more 
than three-fold in one generation obviously presents enormous challenges (even if projections are 
high, the growth pressures are enormous). Energy projections for Dakar, for example, expect a 
greater than ten-fold increase in energy demand (and corresponding emissions; UOIT draft 
working paper 2014). 
Dakar Metropolitan Area covers 1% of Senegal’s land area; however, it is the host of nearly 50% 
of the country’s urban population. Dakar Metropolitan Area is prone to natural disasters such as 
flooding, coastal erosion, and sea level rise. For example, over 5% of the Dakar Metropolitan 
urban area is exposed to high risk natural hazards. The city also suffers from serious air pollution 
with 80 휇푔/푚3, compared to the WHO targets of 10 휇푔/푚3. Access to clean water is not yet 
provided to 10% of the population, and nearly 75 percent of solid waste is uncollected. Figures 
A2.4 and A2.5 illustrate the city’s physical and socio-economic limits relative to the global 
average. 
Dakar is well-studied. A Local Agenda 21 was prepared in 2001 by Gaye et al. Cities Alliance 
facilitated a comprehensive City Development Strategy (CDS) in November 2010. Dakar is one 
of the 100 Resilient Cities with the Rockefeller Foundation, and has several active World Bank 
projects, including the $531 million Diamniado Toll Road project. Dakar reports its GHG 
emissions through Carbon Disclosure Project. Dakar joined the Global City Indicators Facility 
April 2012. 
To achieve any semblance of sustainable development by 2050, it is especially important that 
cities like Dakar meet most of the criteria of a sustainable city. Many external agencies 
appreciate this need based on the long and comprehensive nature of assistance to Dakar. These 
assistance programs would benefit from integration, coordination, peer-review, historical capture 
and ownership by the community (residents and governments). 
28 
An indicative process follows: 
 Government officials of Dakar and Senegal informed of program. 
 Determine what area constitutes Dakar Metropolitan Area.
 Application made jointly by Dakar (Urban Authority) and Government of Senegal 
Change In 
Land Use 
29 
(presumably accepted in this example). 
 Review and consolidation of relevant reports, data and recommendations – likely with a 
particular focus on: (i) resilience (Dakar and the Cap-Vert Peninsula particularly 
susceptible to coastal flooding and storm events); (ii) low-carbon energy supply (with a 
ten-fold energy demand increase renewables and energy conservation (of growth) 
critical); (iii) social services (with a burgeoning population, jobs and economy will need 
to increase commensurately). 
 Application of common suite of urban diagnostics: (i) Access to ISO 37120 
standardization urban metrics through Dakar’s membership in GCIF; (ii) early material 
flows (urban metabolism) assessments complete (local and international engineering 
faculties could finalize and submit for peer-review); (iii) much of hierarchy of urban 
management completed through Cities Alliance CDS (needs updating); (iv) local and 
international sustainability limits – first draft completed in a working paper by UOIT. 
 Prepare Dakar-specific sustainability plan. 
Dakar Metropolitan Area (initial ‘sustainability limits’ review) 
Illustrative purposes only – not for reference. 
Climate 
Change 
Rate of 
Biodiversity 
Loss 
Fresh Water 
Use 
Pollution 
Geophysical 
Risks (by 
City level) 
Nitrogen 
Cycle 
Figure A2.4: Physical science limits: Dakar Metropolitan Area vs. global condition
Basic Services 
Security and 
Public Safety 
Figure A2.5: Socio-economic limits: Dakar Metropolitan Area vs. World’s Target 
30 
Youth 
Opportunity 
Economy 
Energy 
Poverty 
Including 
Access to 
Mobility and Electricity 
Connectivity 
Institutions
Annex 3 Proposed Draft Urban Sustainable Development Goal 
As part of the current draft 2015 Sustainable Development Goals, an ‘urban SDG’ is currently 
proposed. 
Goal Eleven: Make cities and human settlements inclusive, safe, resilient and sustainable 
11.1, by 2030, ensure access for all to adequate, safe and affordable housing and basic services, 
and upgrade slums 
11.2, by 2030, provide access to safe, affordable, accessible and sustainable transport systems for 
all, improving road safety, notably by expanding public transport, with special attention to the 
needs of those in vulnerable situations, women, children, persons with disabilities and older 
persons 
11.3, by 2030 enhance inclusive and sustainable urbanization and capacities for participatory, 
integrated and sustainable human settlement planning and management in all countries 
11.4, strengthen efforts to protect and safeguard the world’s cultural and natural heritage 
11.5, by 2030 significantly reduce the number of deaths and the number of affected people and 
decrease by y% the economic losses relative to GDP caused by disasters, including water-related 
disasters, with the focus on protecting the poor and people in vulnerable situations 
11.6, by 2030, reduce the adverse per capita environmental impact of cities, including by paying 
special attention to air quality, municipal and other waste management 
11.7, by 2030, provide universal access to safe, inclusive and accessible, green and public 
spaces, particularly for women and children, older persons and persons with disabilities 
11.a, support positive economic, social and environmental links between urban, peri-urban and 
rural areas by strengthening national and regional development planning 
11.b, by 2020, increase by x% the number of cities and human settlements adopting and 
implementing integrated policies and plans towards inclusion, resource efficiency, mitigation and 
adaptation to climate change, resilience to disasters, develop and implement in line with the 
forthcoming Hyogo Framework holistic disaster risk management at all levels 
11.c, support least developed countries, including through financial and technical assistance, for 
sustainable and resilient buildings utilizing local materials 
31

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GEF Sustainable Cities Integrated Approach Pilot (IAP): A common platform to help build sustainable cities

  • 1. Background Document Global Environment Facility Sustainable Cities Integrated Approach Pilot (IAP): A common platform to help build sustainable cities1 for Sustainable Cities IAP Consultative Meeting (version as of 25 August 2014) This background document is intended to support the discussions at the GEF Sustainable Cities IAP Consultative Meeting, held on 27 and 28 August 2014. The aim of the meeting is to seek the guidance of key stakeholders and potential beneficiaries on what the Sustainable Cities IAP will do, and how the IAP may be managed. Proposed guiding questions: 1. The proposed common platform for the IAP consists of a sustainability plan and a set of tools with common metrics. How can we strengthen the IAP design to foster the generation of global environmental benefits while building on existing initiatives? What suggestions do you have on the key attributes of the proposed common platform? 2. We have so far identified four tools. How are these four tools likely to promote the intended goals of the IAP? What additional tools could be considered by the IAP? What set of common metrics can be brought to use by all participating cities? 3. The selection criteria for pilot cities/urban areas are presented. What suggestions do you have to further refine them? 1 Based on a report prepared for GEF by Dan Hoornweg, University of Ontario Institute of Technology and Mila Freire, International Consultant, Urban Economics. Reviews by Warren Evans and Christopher Kennedy. Supporting working papers by D. Hoornweg, K. Pope, M. Hosseini, and A. Behdadi. Reviewed and revised by Naoko Ishii, Gustavo Fonseca, Chizuru Aoki, David Rodgers, and Xiaomei Tan, GEF Secretariat.
  • 2. 1 Summary Context The Global Environment Facility (GEF)’s ambitious GEF2020 strategy presents a bold use of leveraged investments and innovative and better-integrated cross-cutting projects and programs aimed at addressing the root causes of environmental degradation and climate change. The GEF is poised to play a significant role by convening key partners, promoting synergies, and catalyzing greater and better-targeted investment across public and private sectors. As a key component to deliver the objectives of the GEF2020 strategy, the GEF Council approved a strategy for the next four years (GEF-6) that includes development of an Integrated Approach Pilot (IAP) for sustainable cities. No area provides more opportunity to address the world’s environmental degradation and work toward sustained global environmental benefits than cities and urbanization. The task is enormous and urgent; cities drive our economies, are responsible for significant environmental degradation, and also experience impacts from such degradation. In just one generation, cities worldwide are to double in size, and without a concerted effort will triple resource consumption and corresponding pollution. The good news is that cities are also able to harness their energy and human potential to understand the impending problems, develop efficient solutions, and attract sufficient resources to embark on a path of sustainability. Objectives of GEF Sustainable Cities IAP To demonstrate innovative models of sustainable urban management through integrated urban policy and strategy support and piloting of high impact options, and to foster replication of sustainable urban management models through partnership and sharing of lessons learned. Common Platform The IAP will support a common platform, which consists of sustainability plans and a set of tools that underpin the plan development and implementation with common metrics. The common platform catalyzes the numerous partners now working on urban issues and supports the pilot with a few key cities willing to enter into an iterative, ‘organic’ network program, that at its core is designed to bring about the enormous potential cities possess to reduce local and global environmental degradation, while developing robust, resilient and equitable economies and communities. The key attributes of the common platform are summarized in Table S1.  The sustainability plan is a clear, rolling plan that provides in one place, an agreed and vetted assessment of the challenges and opportunities facing the selected pilot city/urban area. The sustainability plan is to be consistent with existing ones spearheaded by partners, including ICLEI Local Agenda 21, Cities Alliance City Development Strategy, and World Business Council for Sustainable Development (WBCSD) Urban Infrastructure Initiative, and will also address global environmental concerns. The sustainability plan would have a short-term horizon consistent with GEF’s 2020 strategy as well as a longer-term horizon to 2050.
  • 3.  The tools are used to help cities develop and implement the sustainability plans. It is important for the IAP to agree and use the common set of tools, so that diagnosis that the participating cities and partners arrive to is agreed by all, and can be compared across cities and over time. Four tools are currently identified as follows, with additional tools that may be considered as they become available: 1. Common metrics and a consistent terminology, such as those included in ISO 37120 and the C40-ICLEI-WRI greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions inventory; 2. Quantifying energy and material flows through urban metabolism assessments – 2 resource efficient cities; 3. Identification of a hierarchy of urban management that prioritizes service provision, increasing resilience and decreasing emissions and environmental impact; 4. Identification of local and global system boundaries, consistent with the tenets of sustainable development and key limits such as climate change and biodiversity. There is a need among partners and participating cities to agree to use the same set of tools and metrics. Table S1: Key Attributes of Sustainable Cities IAP Common Platform  Based on a planning horizon to 2050, with a milestone of 2020  Starts with a common public sustainability planning document (similar to a consolidated Local Agenda 21, City Development Strategies (CDS), and other relevant ones)  Pilot cities should use a common suite of urban diagnostic tools (described in following sections)  Broad partner support  Within two years, consolidate existing city plans  Within several months of selection, propose at least one long-term ‘sustainability investment’ (i.e., those investments by partner Agency or local/national entity in excess of $10 million that show high sustainability)  With own resources, agree to improve, with measured progress, one activity within the urban management hierarchy  Support programmatic efforts across the urban agglomeration (metropolitan area)  Enter into long-term partnership with relevant local academic institutions  Agree to share lessons learned to regional and global city comparators  Communicate program plan and progress with residents and businesses  Facilitate partnerships; cities to assume leadership, but to avail themselves of potential national and international support  Provide regular feedback to GEF and other partners on their efficacy, suggest areas for improvement  Participate where practicable in the ‘global community of cities’ (e.g. relevant memberships, national and international influence)  Publish the sustainability plan, and regularly update, on local website or alternate media Benefit to Cities Cities/urban areas participating in the pilot would receive support to define baselines and develop medium- and long- term sustainability scenarios that impact emissions and resilience; provide population, economic and material flows projections; maximize the benefits of integration; enhance a city’s ability to attract technological and financial support; and use common metrics and terminology to help cities learn from each other and increase the pace of
  • 4. replication. GEF financial support would be directed to programs and activities identified through participant’s sustainability plan as high priority in both the short-term and long-term. Benefit to Partners The common platform with sustainability plan is intended to help publicize and where practical, coordinate the many, and growing, urban support initiatives in pilot cities/urban areas. Through a shared objective –helping cities move toward sustainable development – all partners can enhance a city’s ability to integrate initiatives and measure progress against a common baseline. Working better together results in refined requirements for cities, reduce overlap, and better defined and monitored priorities. GEF Comparative Advantages The Sustainable Cities IAP and its common platform maximize GEF’s comparative advantage in sustainable cities, namely by: (i) Embracing a global environment perspective to better understand how cities are key drivers of environmental degradation and how to reduce their impacts while enhancing social and economic development; (ii) Catalyzing, integrating and bringing together a broad array of urban-focused partners 3 as well as strategic financing; (iii) Harnessing support from national governments for the development of a common platform to support cities; (iv) Applying long-standing experience with support to urban infrastructure projects, global agreements and accords, and related management capacity initiatives. Selection Criteria Cities/urban areas would be selected based on the quality of proposed activities, proposed methodology, guarantee of rigor in analysis, and capacity to lead and mentor. Pilot cities are to be selected from those projected to have a population greater than 5 million by 2050. The proposed criteria include the following: 1. Local and national level commitment to integrated urban management and policy, and articulation of urbanization challenges in relevant national sustainable development strategies and policies. 2. Experiences with managing key sectors and causes of local and global environmental isues with demonstrated results, and existence of coordination mechanisms. 3. Characterization of current and projected urbanization trends and their impacts on the global environment in the city/urban area as well as the country. 4. Relevance of the proposed city within the context of the global urbanization challenges and within the context of global enivonmental conditions (i.e., why is it important to address this particular city from the global urbanization perspective and from the global environmental perspective). 5. Commitment to partnerships, with potential for leveraging, coordination, and synergy.
  • 5. 6. Replication potential within country and globally. 7. Agreement to monitor, track, and report on a harmonized set of performance indicators (metrics) on regular intervals as agreed. Provision of current city indicators with the proposal to show existing data and informations is available, credible, and readily shared. 8. Likelihood of progress by the 2018 review. 9. Availability of exisiting and projected baseline support, with provision of credible overall financing plans for activities identified in city proposal. 10. Diversity of selected cities/urban areas, including regional distribution and status of urbanization (addressing current cities versus managing for the future). 4
  • 6. 1. GEF Integrated Approach to Sustainable Cities Introduction Many agencies and corporations are emerging or expanding their city-specific initiatives. Examples include C40, Rockefeller Resilient Cities Program, World Business Council for Sustainable Development (WBCSD) Urban Infrastructure Initiative, Siemens Green City Index, World Wildlife Fund (WWF) Earth Hour Capital Award, the World Council on City Data (WCCD) and their newly published ISO 37120.2 More should be expected. ICLEI has been a strong advocate for member cities. The Local Agenda 21, modeled after National Agenda 21 as recommended at the Rio summit, provided comprehensive plans for cities to work toward sustainable development. Similarly, the Cities Alliance provides a compelling starting point for city-specific sustainability through its long-standing City Development Strategy process. The role of international finance institutions (IFIs) and bilateral agencies in cities is considerable. These institutions likely have more than 3,000 active city-based investment projects around the world at any given time. A typical larger city in a Part-2 member country can easily have more than 100 active international assistance projects supporting key aspects of infrastructure and social development. For example, a recent review of the solid waste sector in Dar es Salaam provides a powerful example for the need to consolidate approaches by external agencies. More than 40 international organizations support solid waste activities in the city and there are more than nine solid waste master plans, many with differing objectives. In addition the city has at least 26 reports and unsolicited proposals for energy from waste facilities.3 With this crowded landscape of city-specific initiatives, a clear need has emerged to help cities and national governments integrate efforts and also move towards more holistic management of global environmental issues. Unique opportunity for GEF and to catalyze partnerships The Global Environment Facility (GEF) has a unique catalytic opportunity to work with cities, the agencies that support cities, and their national governments. GEF’s assistance would not duplicate existing efforts, but rather help integrate efforts under the common goal of sustainable development. Helping the world’s cities move toward greater sustainability is one the most impactful ways to address local and global environmental threats. The GEF can help define that road map, specific to individual cities as well as collectively at a global scale, and help measure and share genuine progress. At the recent GEF Assembly, a new GEF 2020 Strategy was endorsed with the goal of protecting and enhancing natural capital while ensuring the sustainable use of ecosystems and resources. The recent GEF replenishment supported the GEF2020 Strategy, and called for the development 2 ISO 37120 – Sustainable Development of Communities: Indicators for city services and quality of life is the first ISO 37120 international standard on city indicators. The first ISO standard was developed using the Global City Indicators Facility (GCIF) framework and input from the ISO Technical Committee on Sustainable Development of Communities (ISO/TC 268). 3 Field review notes and personal communication Bob Breeze, waste management consultant. 5
  • 7. of Integrated Approach Pilots (IAPs). Initial support funding of $55 million was allocated for establishment of a Sustainable Cities4 IAP. Cities are a logical area for GEF support for the following reasons:  Cities address all mega-trends;  Massive urbanization is taking place, therefore action now yields significant benefits;  The majority of the world’s resources are consumed in cities;  Cities may have capacity to quickly scale and replicate activities;  ‘Greening the grassroots’ is occurring successfully in cities;  Effective support to cities demands broad-based and mutually supportive partnerships. Changes in the global environmental benefits and ecosystem services manifest quickly and intensely in the day-to-day lives of urban residents. By the nature of their pragmatism and desire to implement workable solutions, cities are powerful allies for GEF. Cities, and their leaders, are aware of deteriorating ecosystems, both in their localities and internationally. Many cities realize it is in their best interest to act now. The GEF has a unique opportunity–arguably responsibility–to work with cities as this powerful stakeholder is mobilized through concrete and quantified action in an integrated, prioritized and locally relevant manner to address global environmental concerns. What will GEF Sustainable Cities IAP do? The goal of the Sustainable Cities IAP is to foster development of sustainable cities that are cleaner, more efficient, resilient, and prosperous with global environmental benefits. Specifically, the Sustainable Cities IAP will establish a common platform for city support and broad partnership on integrated solutions around water, energy, transport and other issues important to the global environment, as recommended by GEF’s Scientific and Technical Advisory Panel (STAP).5 The common platform will consist of two key elements. The first is the support to cities/urban areas for their sustainability plans. In pilot cities, the management and implementation of a sustainability plan will be facilitated through baseline projects and programs aimed at addressing the root causes of environmental degradation and climate change. The second element of the common platform consists of four broad urban management tools that underpin the development and implementation of the sustainability plans: (i) Common metrics and a consistent terminology through applications of tools such as ISO 37120 and the C40-ICLEI-WRI greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions inventory; (ii) Quantifying energy and material flows through urban metabolism assessments – 6 resource efficient cities; 4 Sustainable cities are defined as: ‘urban communities committed to improving the well-being of their current and future residents, while integrating economic, environmental and social considerations’ (World Bank, 2013), and sustainable cities are resilient, efficient, equitable, well-managed and socially vibrant. Sustainable cities increase opportunity while reducing ecosystem impacts and negative externalities such as congestion and crime. 5 STAP. Sustainable Urbanization Policy Brief: Proliferation of urban centres, their impact on the world’s environment and the potential role of the GEF.
  • 8. (iii) Identification of a hierarchy of urban management that prioritizes service provision, increasing resilience and decreasing emissions and environmental impact; (iv) Identification of local and global system boundaries, consistent with the tenets of sustainable development and key limits such as climate change and biodiversity. Additional tools may be considered as they become available. There is a need among partners and participating cities to agree to use the same set of tools, along with common metrics. The common platform initially serves a catalytic function bringing together many potential partners; a harmonized approach for cities to propose and monitor sustainability; links to relevant support; and a means to encourage robust partnerships between local governments (contiguous in a metropolitan area) and their respective regional and national governments. The common platform also provides the means to better mobilize private sector support and provide ongoing communications with citizens. The GEF would work with participating cities/urban areas, their national governments, and serve an integrating function for various initiatives supported in most cities. The common platform and the key elements are explained in the following sections. The Sustainable Cities IAP investment represents a very modest input to city investment requirements.6 Even with ambitious leveraging and strong support of partner international finance institutions, financial assistance envisaged through this program only represents a very minor share of cities’ needs. The Sustainable Cities IAP is therefore not about providing large-scale financial support, but rather its strength is to provide a safe (and supported) space for cities to experiment, reflect, share, and establish a sensible and rigorous framework of analysis. Overall, the Sustainable Cities IAP seeks to demonstrate innovative models of sustainable urban management through integrated urban policy and strategy support and piloting of high impact options, and to foster replication of sustainable urban management models through partnership and sharing of lessons learned. 6 Cities and their associated agencies are likely to spend at least $80 trillion in infrastructure and service delivery by 2050. 7
  • 9. 2. A Common Platform for Sustainable Cities IAP The common platform of the GEF Sustainable Cities IAP comprises a coordinating sustainability plan underpinned by four common tools. To serve cities well, external partners need to follow a common blueprint that includes the city’s aspirations and agreement to measure progress. As more partners emerge and as more emphasis on urbanization and cities accrues throughout the world, common platforms will increase in value. The strength of the platform can readily be measured by the degree of city ‘ownership’ and commitment to specific targets and willingness to accurately measure progress toward these targets. The key attributes of the common platform are summarized in Table 1. Table 1: Key Attributes of the GEF Sustainable Cities Common Platform  Based on a planning horizon to 2050, with a milestone of 2020  Starts with a common public sustainability planning document (similar to a consolidated Local Agenda 21, City Development Strategies (CDS), and other relevant ones)  Pilot cities should use a common suite of urban diagnostic tools (described in following sections)  Broad partner support  Within two years, consolidate existing city plans  Within several months of selection, propose at least one long-term ‘sustainability investment’ (i.e., those investments by partner Agency or local/national in excess of $10 million that show high sustainability)  With own resources, agree to improve, with measured progress, one activity within the urban management 8 hierarchy  Support programmatic efforts across the urban agglomeration (metropolitan area)  Enter into long-term partnership with relevant local academic institutions  Agree to share lessons learned to regional and global city comparators  Communicate program plan and progress with residents and businesses  Facilitate partnerships; cities to assume leadership, but to avail themselves of potential national and international support  Provide regular feedback to GEF and other partners on their efficacy, suggest areas for improvement  Participate where practicable in the ‘global community of cities’ (e.g. relevant memberships, national and international influence)  Publish the sustainability plan, and regularly update, on local website or alternate media Sustainability Plan The sustainability plan is a clear, rolling plan that provides in one place, an agreed and vetted assessment of the challenges and opportunities facing the selected pilot city/urban area. They are likened to a common ‘song sheet’ that all partners and senior levels of government sing to. They would include key investments and estimations of where the city is on hierarchy of urban management. ICLEI’s Local Agenda 21 has been a powerful planning document, as are City Alliance’s City Development Strategies and WBCSD’s ‘Issues’ and ‘Solutions Landscapes’. These documents have similar objectives: bring together numerous planning documents, common datasets, and (as much as possible) agreed-to regional approaches. These documents should exist in every participating city, and organization supporting the city should ensure that their assistance program (details and objectives) are included in a summary annex. Much of this common
  • 10. planning document consolidates and summarizes existing programs, metrics, and infrastructure planning. The documents should have a shorter-term approach, focused on 2020, and longer-term, focused on 2050. Relevant IFIs, NGOs, international agencies should facilitate and/or support the preparation and regular updating of this common planning and communications document. Ideally every five years or so the documents should be updated, published and made publically available. Tools of City Building, Underpinning the Common Platform Building cities well requires a good set of tools, and clear and agreed-to blueprints, or plans. The world’s city builders are about to undertake the most ambitious and important task ever faced by humanity: Building sustainable cities for some seven billion residents by 2050.7 Assessing short- and long-term aspects of a city requires different tools. For the long-term, getting large-scale civil works right in a city requires effective planning, such as how to accommodate expected populations over the next decade(s) as well as enhancing interaction between people –their mobility and connectivity, their accommodation, their basic services, their density of living and working. The more short-term, day-to-day aspects require adequate energy supply, material supply, waste removal, and constant connectivity and communications. The proposed common platform measures and strengthens the two main aspects of cities; long-lived infrastructure, and day-to-day management, economy, transactions and metabolism. The 9 four tools to be applied are described below. Tool #1: Common metrics and consistent terminology Common metrics and consistent terminology will be sought through applications of existing and emerging tools. For instance, the newly established World Council on City Data (WCCD), the evolution of Global City Indicators Facility (GCIF), is working with a reporting group of almost 300 cities in 80 countries, including 19 WCCD Foundation cities that are piloting the new international standard on city indicators, ISO 37120.8 Also, C40, ICLEI, and WRI are working with more than 50 pilot cities as they introduce the community-based GHG-emissions inventory. C40 has several sub-groups of cities working on activities such as cities and deltas and low-carbon city growth. Tool #2: Quantifying energy and material flows through urban metabolism assessments: Establishing procedures by which cities determine energy and material flows on a regular basis is critical to a sustainability plan. This tool is used to quantify energy and material flows of cities, or urban metabolism, whose importance to sustainable development has been recognized. GHG inventories for cities are based on energy and material flows, though the data is not always explicitly given. Urban metabolism also provides measures of water consumption, waste and pollutant production, as well as the influence of cities on nitrogen and phosphorus cycles. 7 By 2050 the world’s urban population is expected to increase to more than 6 billion. In 35 years the world’s current cities need to be rehabilitated and largely re-built, while at the same time new urban infrastructure and management systems need to be constructed for another 2.5 billion residents. 8 WCCD Pilot Foundation Cities include: Amman, Buenos Aires, Barcelona, Bogota, Dubai, Guadalajara, Haiphong, Helsinki, Johannesburg, London, Makati, Minna, Makkah, Rotterdam, Sao Paulo, Shanghai, and Toronto.
  • 11. Emerging methods of determining the impacts of cities on global biodiversity loss also rely upon energy and material flow data (Singh and Kennedy, 2014). Standardized approaches to quantifying urban metabolism have been developed (Kennedy and Hoornweg, 2012) and have been tested by the World Bank. Energy and material flows for the world's 27 megacities, as of 2010, have recently been determined (Kennedy et al, 2014) and studies of other cities and metropolitan regions are increasing. The methodology is further described in Annex 1. Tool #3: Identification of a hierarchy of urban management that prioritizes service provision, increasing resilience and decreasing emissions and environmental impact: Solid waste managers often adhere to the hierarchy of waste management: reduce, reuse, recycle, and recover. With some variations exist, the concept follow a staged approach to waste management e.g., improve waste collection and simple disposal before bringing in more complex waste processing systems. A similar urban management hierarchy to waste management could be adopted for urban management and efforts toward developing sustainable cities. An urban management hierarchy may follow the continuum: (i) basic service provision; (ii) service coverage and reliability; (iii) connectivity, resilience, integrated finance; and, (iv) sustainability. A city’s progress on the management hierarchy may be observed and tracked through a scoring system (to be developed). The four stages of the hierarchy may include specific elements as follows: 10 Basic Service Provision  Credible legal and regulatory framework  Reliable governance and institutions  Clear and public performance and quality of life indicators  Agreed-to employee terms of references and accountability  Demarcated professional and political roles  Public safety and security  Service master plan and defined legal boundaries of relevant local governments  Water supply, wastewater collection, solid waste management, electricity, urban transportation – defined service levels and credible targets (with scheduled service plans)  Community and private sector inclusion  Defined and measured service levels to the poor and disadvantaged Service Coverage and Reliability  Environmental management and local ecosystem protection  Incentives integrated in order to enhance efficiency  Access to private sector involvement – assessment of opportunities for innovation  Coordination among multi-level governments  Monitoring of public perception – promotion of genuine public participation  Clear accountability – and defined oversight responsibilities  Measureable, regularly reported, agreed-to performance targets Connectivity, Resilience and Integrated Finance  Regular and sustained access to urban innovations (science, technology, governance)
  • 12.  Access to local and global finance with preferential rates for superior local government performance (e.g. green bonds, preferential insurance rates)  Employee and citizen awareness of relevant global trends  Resilient to natural disasters – ongoing risk mitigation program  Innovation and constant improvement of local institutions  Regional and global collaboration 11 Sustainable City  Local and global environmental security (awareness of, and adherence to ecosystem limits)  Locally and globally competitive economy (with appreciation of benefits of cooperation)  Social inclusion and equity (Gini coefficient, local and global support to poor and disadvantaged)  Sustainability involves trade-offs; how the city considers and quantifies these is important, e.g., some cities may prefer less density but then may need to compensate with better transportation systems and carbon pricing. Tool #4: Identification and analysis of local and global system boundaries The GEF Sustainable Cities IAP proposes to include a system boundaries analysis as a tool, addressing both socio-economic indicators as well as physical science indicators. Rockstrom et al, 2009 propose a suite of quantified physical planetary systems limits; namely, climate change, ocean acidification, ozone depletion, nitrogen and phosphorous cycles, freshwater use, changes in land use, and biodiversity. Biodiversity, nitrogen cycle and climate change are estimated to now be beyond the planet’s sustainable carrying capacity. The planetary boundaries concept is referenced in the GEF 2020 strategy as a basis to help inform its drivers-based approach. Socio-economic indicators may include: youth opportunity, economy, energy poverty and intensity, mobility and connectivity, institutions, basic services, security and public safety. The socio-economic limits are aggregated globally (for the world’s largest cities); however their contribution to analysis is likely more at a city level (metropolitan area). While a simpler approach, with fewer than the seven sectors, may be pursued, sustainable development will only emerge through an integrated and holistic approach. Leaving one or more of the sectors for later invites delay and arguments on what should be left for later versus undertaken today. This reinforces the need to start the process with larger, more capable and open cities, willing to work with relevant partners as the methodology is developed and trialed. In taking a cities approach to planetary limits, both local and global impacts need to be considered from individual cities as well as global aggregate impacts. The global base level is provided for physical and socio-economic limits of the largest cities. Annex 2 further presents the proposed applications of this tool, and an example of its application. Additional tools that may be considered include urban credit worthiness assessments, sustainability cost curve applications, and others.
  • 13. 3. Proposed Time Horizon, IAP Focus, and Selection Criteria Proposed time horizon: short-term and long-term To provide a credible assessment of potential key infrastructure proposed for pilot cities, a sufficiently long time horizon is needed. The Sustainable Cities IAP needs to reflect both long-term sustainability objectives as well as meet shorter-term, need-for-visible-action objectives. The IAP thus proposes a 35-year timeframe to 2050 for the long- and short-term action by 2020. The IAP will also be reviewed in 2018. The short- and longer-timeframes facilitate a more fulsome comparison of existing technologies to new options, e.g. waste-to-energy options versus fuel cells. Identifying 2050 as the longer-term target for sustainability also meets with the objectives and aspirations of the Sustainable Development Goals (see Annex 3), and facilitates credible and comparable cost curves, and provides sufficient time to cover potential political transitions, technological advances, and personnel changes. Cities are usually built around large-scale ‘civil works.’9 For example, much of today’s major urban infrastructure was built more than 50 years ago. Rome’s aqueducts; Jakarta’s port-are; the subway systems of London, Paris and Moscow; most of European, Japanese and American railway alignments; key canals, bridges and airports – these major infrastructure works are well over 35-years old, and are still providing considerable service today. Much of the under-pinning of any city, and especially those aspiring to be a sustainable city, is infrastructure with 35 years or more life expectancy. Metropolitan Approach A key contribution of Sustainable Cities IAP is its ability to support an integrated, metropolitan approach to participating cities. All of the world’s 100 largest cities are urban agglomerations. Some are made up of more than 40 local governments. Metropolitan Lagos (eventually to be the world’s largest city) is made up of 20 local governments. The boundary of the metropolitan area is often ill-defined. ‘Toronto’ for example is an urban area with at least six unique boundaries.10 Mayors of large cities often travel internationally speaking on behalf of ‘their city’, yet the city may be less than half the metropolitan area’s population, e.g., City of Jakarta 10.1 million versus metro ‘Jabodetabek’ 24.1 million; Mexico City 8.8 million versus metro area 21.2 million; Mumbai city 13.9 million versus metro 21.2 million. A metropolitan-scale approach is critical as most of the large energy and materials intensive services like transportation need a metro-wide analysis. This often makes analysis more difficult as each local government may have disparate interests, however the broad efficiencies envisaged from sustainable cities will not materialize without comprehensive metro-wide planning and 9 ‘Civil’ engineers were the first group of engineers to be distinguished – separate from ‘military’ engineers. Civil engineers typically design, build and manage infrastructure. They build cities (particularly ‘the bones’ of the city). 10 Toronto’s six urban boundaries include: (i) the City of Toronto (population of 2.62 million); (ii) the Census Metropolitan Area (5.71 million); (iii) the Greater Toronto Area (6.13 million); (iv) the Greater Toronto and Hamilton Area (6.65 million); the Toronto Urban Region (8.05 million), and; (v) the Golden Horseshoe (9.09 million). 12
  • 14. delivery. Each pilot city within the platform should first determine what local governments are included in the metropolitan city. Starting with Larger Cities There are about 340 cities larger than one million – more than half in middle- and low-income countries; these are all strong contenders to act as crucial pilot sites. In 2050 about 138 cities are expected to have 5-million or more residents, some like Dar es Salaam, Mumbai, Jakarta and Shanghai with more than 15-million citizens (see Table 2). The recommendation for the GEF IAP sustainable cities support is to focus on cities that are expected to have five million or more residents in 2050. These larger cities can be argued to be the priority as they are home to the majority of the world’s wealth, resource consumption, associated pollution and impacts to biodiversity. Also, large cities are traditionally more challenged by coordination issues, and should seek out objective external partnerships, especially with regard to metropolitan issues, which are emerging as one of the 21st Century’s most intractable challenges. Furthermore, large cities over the next few decades will drive the largest creation of wealth ever. As these cities grow, and local real estate values increase along with the growth in population and density, they should seek out opportunities to enhance and share this new wealth. Table 2: The World’s Largest Cities in 2050 (metro populations using WUP projections) World’s Largest Cities in 2050 - World Urbanization Prospects 1 Mumbai (Bombay), India 47,405,075 51 Hanoi, Viet Nam 10,865,748 2 Delhi, India 40,185,201 52 London, UK 10,846,263 3 Dhaka, Bangladesh 37,463,323 53 Seoul, Republic of Korea 10,649,833 4 Kinshasa, DRC 36,976,677 54 Hong Kong SAR, China 10,487,986 5 Kolkata (Calcutta), India 36,789,002 55 Kampala, Uganda 10,385,081 6 Lagos, Nigeria 36,317,189 56 Surat, India 10,316,941 7 Tokyo, Japan 35,069,719 57 Chongqing, China 10,092,061 8 Karachi, Pakistan 33,322,655 58 Ibadan, Nigeria 9,921,571 9 New York-Newark (NY), USA 29,771,600 59 Alexandria, Egypt 9,865,148 10 Ciudad De Mexico, Mexico 27,899,557 60 Dakar, Senegal 9,857,951 11 Cairo, Egypt 27,269,877 61 Yangon, Myanmar 9,738,860 12 Metro Manila, Philippines 26,964,744 62 Riyadh, Saudi Arabia 9,303,186 13 Sao Paulo, Brazil 25,331,438 63 Bamako, Mali 8,965,158 14 Shanghai, China 25,312,920 64 Miami (FL), USA 8,719,120 15 Lahore, Pakistan 21,956,353 65 Santiago, Brazil 8,633,403 16 Kabul, Afghanistan 20,091,832 66 Kanpur, India 8,135,258 17 Los Angeles-Long Beach-Santa Ana (CA), USA 19,080,286 67 Philadelphia (PA), USA 8,025,967 18 Chennai (Madras), India 18,952,129 68 Antananarivo, Madagascar 7,982,208 19 Khartoum, Sudan 18,118,292 69 Belo Horizonte, Brazil 7,956,741 20 Dar es Salaam, Tanzania 18,027,123 70 Faisalabad (Lyallpur), Pakistan 7,939,412 21 Beijing (Peking), China 17,852,479 71 Toronto, Canada 7,885,326 22 Jakarta, Indonesia 17,716,202 72 Abuja, Nigeria 7,808,832 23 Bangalore, India 17,073,101 73 Jaipur, India 7,790,506 24 Buenos Aires, Argentina 16,487,372 74 Ouagadougou, Burkina Faso 7,680,796 25 Baghdad, Iraq 16,218,123 75 Niamey, Niger 7,679,709 26 Hyderabad, India 15,967,802 76 Santiago, Chile 7,641,188 13
  • 15. 27 Luanda, Angola 15,884,358 77 Dongguan, Guangdong, China 7,406,453 28 Rio de Janeiro, Brazil 15,783,866 78 Shenyang, China 7,329,327 29 Nairobi, Kenya 15,732,997 79 Mogadishu, Somalia 6,986,284 30 Istanbul, Turkey 15,306,379 80 Giza, Egypt 6,966,613 31 Addis Ababa, Ethiopia 13,627,624 81 Madrid, Spain 6,886,304 32 Guangzhou, Guangdong, China 13,523,389 82 Dallas-Fort Worth (TX), USA 6,872,605 33 Ahmedabad, India 13,150,247 83 Lucknow, India 6,849,837 34 Chittagong, Bangladesh 13,137,100 84 Tlaquepaque, Mexico 6,794,759 35 Chicago (IL), USA 13,072,586 85 Tonala, Mexico 6,744,462 36 Ho Chi Minh, Viet Nam 12,904,720 86 Zapopan, Mexico 6,617,098 37 Lima, Peru 12,775,694 87 Atlanta (GA), USA 6,582,660 38 Bogota, D.C., Colombia 12,690,334 88 Lubumbashi, DRC 6,563,327 39 Shenzhen, China 12,479,995 89 Conakry, Guinea 6,563,327 40 Paris, France 12,295,334 90 Houston (TX), USA 6,563,327 41 Bangkok, Thailand 12,203,182 91 Boston (MA), USA 6,563,327 42 Tehran, Iran 11,879,486 92 Mbuji-Mayi, DRC 6,531,657 43 Pune, India 11,832,375 93 Accra, Ghana 6,511,984 44 Abidjan, Cote d'Ivoire 11,655,715 94 Aleppo, Syria 6,419,593 45 Kano, Nigeria 11,498,011 95 Washington (DC), USA 6,392,701 46 Wuhan, China 11,448,244 96 Chengdu, China 6,376,057 47 Moscow, Russia 11,283,416 97 Sydney, Australia 6,191,586 48 Osaka-Kobe, Japan 11,015,277 98 Guadalajara, Mexico 6,166,533 49 Tianjin, China 10,988,333 99 Nagpur, India 6,140,764 50 Sana'a, Yemen 10,983,039 100 Xi'an, Shaanxi, China 6,129,362 World’s Largest Cities – Population Projection in 2050; World Urbanization Prospects 101 Guadalupe, Nuevo León, Mexico 6,052,874 151 Lilongwe, Malawi 4,622,988 102 Barcelona, Spain 6,052,874 152 Kunming, China 4,613,808 103 Guiyang, China 5,932,345 153 Kalyoubia, Egypt 4,583,041 104 Lusaka, Zambia 5,865,491 154 Blantyre City, Malawi 4,545,907 105 Detroit (MI), USA 5,829,578 155 Mombasa, Kenya 4,479,017 106 Maputo, Mozambique 5,809,972 156 Tashkent, Uzbekistan 4,472,662 107 N'Djamena, Chad 5,802,201 157 Al-Hudaydah, Yemen 4,462,470 108 Jiddah, Saudi Arabia 5,764,813 158 Pyongyang, DPR of Korea 4,454,102 109 Ankara, Turkey 5,708,551 159 Khulna, Bangladesh 4,428,284 110 Singapore, Singapore 5,683,847 160 Seattle (WA), USA 4,402,743 111 Damascus, Syria 5,638,701 161 Multan, Pakistan 4,402,351 112 Algiers (El Djazair), Algeria 5,606,205 162 Monrovia, Liberia 4,357,431 113 Nanjing, Jiangsu, China 5,569,888 163 Gujranwala, Pakistan 4,352,880 114 Phnom Penh, Cambodia 5,557,772 164 Vadodara, India 4,316,456 115 Douala, Cameroon 5,534,631 165 Guayaquil, Ecuador 4,303,940 116 Haerbin, China 5,491,072 166 Kuwait City, Kuwait 4,291,640 117 Patna, India 5,481,378 167 Qingdao, China 4,274,770 118 Melbourne, Australia 5,468,430 168 Benin City, Nigeria 4,225,914 119 Monterrey, Mexico 5,377,637 169 Bhopal, India 4,224,606 120 Surabaya, Indonesia 5,358,949 170 Curitiba, Brazil 4,206,267 121 Rawalpindi, Pakistan 5,304,270 171 Jinan, Shandong, China 4,163,786 122 Lome, Togo 5,302,399 172 Fuzhou, Fujian, China 4,161,406 123 Medellín, Colombia 5,294,746 173 Coimbatore, India 4,139,848 124 Porto Alegre, Brazil 5,291,291 174 Changsha, Hunan, China 4,134,314 125 Casablanca (Dar-el-Beida), Morocco 5,218,962 175 Hyderabad, Pakistan 4,107,948 126 Tel Aviv-Yafo, Israel 5,189,194 176 Ta'izz, Yemen 4,071,910 127 Phoenix-Mesa (AZ), USA 5,177,419 177 San Diego (CA), USA 4,070,382 14
  • 16. 128 Brasilia, Brazil 5,155,538 178 Lanzhou, China 4,052,240 129 Kaduna, Nigeria 5,139,171 179 Mosul, Iraq 4,026,786 130 Montréal, Canada 5,113,884 180 Ludhiana, India 4,008,734 131 Indore, India 5,104,382 181 Xiamen, China 4,007,511 132 Johannesburg, South Africa 5,100,604 182 Asuncion, Paraguay 4,005,345 133 Changchun, China 5,090,505 183 Medan, Indonesia 3,997,931 134 Kumasi, Ghana 4,996,497 184 Kathmandu, Nepal 3,949,111 135 San Francisco-Oakland (CA), USA 4,952,191 185 Agra, India 3,949,111 136 Port-au-Prince, Haiti 4,915,542 186 Jinxi, Liaoning, China 3,940,991 137 Dalian, China 4,820,884 187 Zhengzhou, China 3,939,575 138 Hangzhou, China 4,800,655 188 Durban, South Africa 3,938,210 139 Recife, Brazil 4,787,886 189 Athens, Greece 3,881,866 140 Haiphong, Viet Nam 4,776,388 190 Brazzaville, DRC 3,881,497 141 Salvador, Brazil 4,771,066 191 Izmir, Turkey 3,872,851 142 Cape Town, South Africa 4,740,223 192 San Martín Texmelucan, Mexico 3,844,931 143 Kigali, Rwanda 4,736,155 193 Shijiazhuang, China 3,826,075 144 Zibo, China 4,728,077 194 Mashhad, Iran 3,808,883 145 Yaoundé, Cameroon 4,674,496 195 Jilin, China 3,807,492 146 Fortaleza, Brazil 4,654,664 196 Nanchang, China 3,807,143 147 St. Petersburg, Russia 4,652,293 197 Campinas, Brazil 3,792,487 148 Taiyuan, Shanxi, China 4,648,609 198 Harare, Zimbabwe 3,759,690 149 Bandung, Indonesia 4,637,687 199 Wenzhou, China 3,758,568 150 Caracas, Venezuela 4,636,615 200 Taipei, China 3,755,185 From: Hoornweg and Pope, Population Predictions of the 101 Largest Cities in the 21st Century. Working Paper 4, Global Cities Institute. 2014 Selection Criteria Following are proposed criteria for selecting cities to participate in the pilot program: 1. Local and national level commitment to integrated urban management and policy, and articulation of urbanization challenges in relevant national sustainable development strategies and policies. 2. Experiences with managing key sectors and causes of local and global environmental isues with demonstrated results, and existence of coordination mechanisms. 3. Characterization of current and projected urbanization trends and their impacts on the global environment in the city/urban area as well as the country. 4. Relevance of the proposed city within the context of the global urbanization challenges and within the context of global enivonmental conditions (i.e., why is it important to address this particular city from the global urbanization perspective and from the global environmental perspective). 5. Commitment to partnerships, with potential for leveraging, coordination, and synergy. 6. Replication potential within country and globally. 7. Agreement to monitor, track, and report on a harmonized set of performance indicators (metrics) on regular intervals as agreed. Provision of current city indicators with the proposal to show existing data and informations is available, credible, and readily shared. 8. Likelihood of progress by the 2018 review. 15
  • 17. 9. Availability of exisiting and projected baseline support, with pprovision of credible overall financing plans for activities identified in city proposal. 10. Diversity of selected cities/urban areas, including regional distribution and status of urbanization (addressing current cities versus managing for the future). The pilot cities in GEF Sustainable Cities IAP should be cities and urban areas that want to lead; that want to bring together disparate but connected initiatives; that are willing to work with various levels of government and international agencies. These cities are needed to refine urban management tools, try out new approaches, and provide well-grounded, helpful feedback to myriad organizations as they expand their efforts with additional cities. Eventually many of the tools envisaged in the common platform may be adopted by all cities. Data management systems will be developed, responsibilities and financing agreed-to, and ways identified to better integrate these initiatives. The pilot cities need to offer a safe space where assistance and small amounts of additional funding can be integrated in a way that maximizes benefits to local citizens as well as local and global ecosystems. The pilot cities also need to act as catalysts for external organizations as disparate as engineering societies, NGOs, and financiers to come together. These pilots are not intended to end. To the contrary, they should grow into longer-term world-wide city activities. Building and managing a city is an honor. Doing it well requires public support, experience, open-mindedness, pragmatism, and always, a healthy dose of optimism. This is a skill that can be enhanced, but even more important in today’s rush to urbanization, this is a skill that needs to be shared. Everyone who works with cities knows well how in all regions and countries, a few cities stand out for being particularly well-managed. Not necessarily richer, or more privileged, or larger, but for one reason or another, a handful of cities often set the standard of good urban management. Elements to be Included in Proposal In order to apply to participate, an interested city, in partnership with its national government, is invited to submit a proposal that articulates the following elements: 1. Provide an initial draft of the consolidated regional (sustainability) planning document. 2. Confirmation of commitment from national government and participating city or metropolitan/regional authority (i.e. Council resolution or equivalent). 3. Description of urbanization challenges (both current and projected) in the proposed city 16 and host country. 4. Discussion of how the proposed initiatives address urban challenges in an integrated, multi-disciplinary manner and how the proposed initiatives work toward transformative change, and go beyond a single GEF focal area. 5. Description of how developing and implementing the integrated urban management plans, with agreed-to investments, provides both local and global benefits, with metrics.
  • 18. 6. Analysis of challenges and barriers faced at the local and/or national levels, and how the GEF support, and potential partners, might be used to address them. 7. Description of the mechanism and responsibilities of relevant institutions for: (1) integrated urban management planning; and (2) national-regional-local coordination. 8. Baseline (current and/or planned) initiatives and descriptions (with quantification) of how the GEF support will build on the baseline and enhance synergy for transformational impacts. 9. Provision of the first iteration of a low-carbon growth strategy for the city-wide urban area (with estimated GHG-emissions from 2015 to 2050). Inclusion of an assessment of projected energy demand and supply (in a consistent manner with the IEA-supported city projections). 10. Record of at least one local dialogue with private sector partners (such as chamber of commerce) to discuss the role of the private sector in local city-building and management (prepare a report similar to the Urban Infrastructure Initiative of WBCSD). 11. Expression of willingness to share lessons learned within the country, in partnership with relevant national and local institutions and with other participating countries/cities to facilitate mutual learning and to foster scaling-up. 12. An initial list of current partners and highlights of program of support, and plan for 17 stakeholder engagement. 13. Concise descriptions about how the proposed initiative may help address the goals of relevant multilateral environmental conventions. 14. Inclusion of investment proposals which are leveraged, innovative, and scalable to bring about global environmental benefits.
  • 19. 18 4. Potential Partners The Academics (Local and global academic institutions). How do you build a great city? Build a great university and wait two hundred years (from US Senator Monaghan). With regard to sustainable cities however, the world does not have 200 years to wait for a durable partnership between pilot cities and their local universities. Most cities with more than 1,000,000 residents have local academic institution(s) that are likely already working with their host community. These partnerships should be strengthened and the proposed pilot cities and their host countries should fully integrate a comprehensive research program with their local universities. Today there are more than 600 accredited teaching hospitals around the world: If you want to graduate as a fully-licensed doctor you will need to intern at one of these teaching hospitals. Surprisingly, even though urban management consumes a much larger share of global GDP, there is not (yet) a single partnered ‘teaching-city’ and university. Accredited, well-experienced and professional urban managers are urgently needed. This GEF supported platform provides an opportunity to catalyze broad-based local and global (long term) university-city support. As part of the platform, the pilot cities, plus several representative Part-1 member cities (and their local universities) should develop a global ad hoc academic-city teaching partnership. Several cities and universities are standing-by, willing to participate. Pilot cities should avail themselves to work with local universities to help with data collection, verification and modeling of proposed infrastructure works. The Engineers (American Society of Civil Engineers, ASCE, World Federation of Engineering Organizations). Arguably no profession or stakeholder is more responsible for encouraging efforts toward sustainable cities than the engineers, especially civil engineers. In most countries engineers are legally bound to adhere to the tenets of sustainable development, yet track-records are not exemplary. Engineering associations like ASCE, WFEO and Engineers without Borders, EWB, recognize this and are taking positive steps to address these needs. Every road, every bridge, every bolt, every power station has a calculated factor of safety. The design engineer used his or her professional judgment to include sufficient capacity to compensate for what is not known, or where failure might occur. When building sustainable cities during the next 35 years engineers need to be more assertive in calculating, communicating and assuring that a ‘factor of sustainability’ is included in the aggregate civil works of a city. Evaluating a single ‘green building’ within a congested, polluted, dangerous city is no greener than assuming a single tree can make a forest. A significant challenge to sustainable cities is the lack of engineers, especially in Africa. A more than 80-fold increase in engineers is needed in some countries (a task more daunting than finding funding). The UK for example has a population of about 1,100 per engineering graduate, while Cameroon, Ethiopia and Mozambique have populations greater than 81,000 per engineering graduate (and many of these engineers leave the country upon graduation). By 2050 an
  • 20. additional 20,000,000 engineering students are needed in Africa (based on similar staffing levels in OECD-member countries) Hoornweg et al, 2014. The City Associations (ICLEI, UCLG [Metropolis], C40, GCIF, WCCD, Cities Alliance). Likely every country with more than a handful of cities has an active municipal (city) association. These associations, in countries like Colombia and the Philippines, provide important information sharing and capacity building among cities. As a first step, these associations should be identified and assisted where possible. Many of them are already talking to their international compatriots, however these discussions are generally more restrained than country-to-country dialogues as cities tend to have much smaller travel budgets and tend to be more parochial (local) than their national governments. A few international city associations emerged in the last 40 years. ICLEI, one of the first international city associations, was launched at the initial WCCD Rio Conference in 1992. Important follow on city associations include Union of Cities and Local Governments (established in 2003), with the larger city association of Metropolis. C40 (now representing some75 cities) started as a mayor-to-mayor initiative to encourage greater city-based involvement in climate change activities. Cities Alliance, a donor supported association focused on Part-2 member cities, is an important partner as its long standing ‘City Development Strategy’ is similar to GEF’s proposed city platform. The GCIF is another important city-member organization and the WCCD, building on GCIF’s membership base is growing city data platform that is working with cities to implement ISO 37120 standard on city indicators. The Foundations (e.g. Rockefeller, Gates). The Rockefeller Foundation helped publish a seminal book, ‘The Century of the City’ in 2009. More recently the Foundation launched the 100 Resilient Cities campaign, requiring participating cities to create the position of ‘Chief Resilience Officer’ (cities are provided a grant of up to $1 million to enhance resilience). The Gates Foundation, similar to many foundations working on sustainable development issues is increasingly targeting urban issues. Foundation support to cities, or their urban partners, is likely to continue to grow as urbanization grows and the power of cities to bring about greater local and global sustainability intensifies. The ‘simple’ driver that between now and 2050 the world’s cities over 5 million residents (with all the associated energy and materials use) is likely to increase from 58 to at least 138 is sobering – all partners are needed. The NGOs and ‘Think Tanks’ (e.g. World Resources Institute WRI, World Economic Forum WEF, World Wildlife Fund WWF). Many of these organizations have long-standing involvement with cities. WRI, for example prepared one of the most important papers on cities and material flows in 1997. Hopefully WWF will be amenable to preparing a draft index of city-based biodiversity impact (needed for sustainable city limit mapping). UN-Habitat, UNEP and other UN organizations. The UN, similar to organizations like the World Bank is ‘owned and managed’ by countries (although UN-Habitat has the express mandate to represent sub-sovereign governments directly). Countries often have different objectives than cities. Even though there is ‘only one voter and one taxpayer’ this tension between various levels of government waxes and wanes in most countries. Based on mandates 19
  • 21. and priorities, conciliation always needs to be practiced between national and city governments. Cities are also learning how to interact (directly) with international agencies, and what on-the-ground 20 assistance may be forthcoming. UNEP will likely grow its mandate vis-a-vis cities – probably in at least two areas. UNEP’s ‘City-Level Decoupling’ initiative, which encourages greater efforts at reduced material flows and circular economies, is an important program for cities. UNEP may also be called to fulfill part of its original mandate – environmental monitoring – in cities. UNEP might emerge, for example, as an unbiased (urban) air and water quality monitor. UN-Habitat can assist cities through its important Habitat III Conference scheduled for 2016. UN-Habitat is also an important proponent for an urban focus in the proposed 2015 Sustainable Development Goals (see Annex 3). International Finance Institutions. IFIs like the World Bank, Asian, Inter-American, and African Development Banks, as well as the new BRIC Bank, provide considerable finance to activities within cities. Increasingly these activities are being directly supported through local governments. These investments should be evaluated within an urban area’s overall sustainability plan. The IFIs also have ancillary services important to cities, e.g. analysis and data collection services, partner institutions like the International Finance Corporation. Financiers and Insurance Agencies. These are two powerful global groups who would benefit considerably from more sustainable cities. Financiers, such as those issuing ‘green bonds’ and longer-term investments often sought through pensions and sovereign wealth funds, would benefit from more sustainable cities. So too would the insurance industry – who will benefit considerably as cities increase their resilience thereby reducing potential insurance claims. These two groups should be consulted as the GEF platform evolves as they could provide long-term support for the initiative. Private Sector Associations (e.g. WBCSD, Chambers of Commerce). WBCSD’s Urban Infrastructure Initiative is remarkably similar to the common platform proposed by GEF. Consolidating the UII experience and integrating the private sector supported approach would likely provide considerable benefits to pilot cities. Similarly, local and international chambers of commerce are important constituents as they provide direct feedback on how corporations perceive the receptivity and credibility of cities as they interact with the private sector. Corporations (e.g. Siemens, Cisco, GDF Suez, Unilever). Many magazines are awash in corporate adds for smart cities, connected cities, green city indices and city-based analysis, e.g. McKinsey, PwC, Accenture. These companies all appreciate the sheer enormity of the urban market. The world’s economy is driven by cities. These corporations have some of the best analytics and experience available. Much can be accessed by cities (without automatically paying). Through mutually-beneficial partnerships and clear assistance strategies, cities can take advantage of this wealth of expertise. The GEF platform can facilitate much of this support.
  • 22. Local private sector. Most city managers prefer to deal with local representatives, and most of the world’s private sector is local. Cities do well to constantly assess local perceptions of their interactions with local (and global) companies. Participating pilot cities should ask to have a unique review for them included in the World Bank’s annual ‘Doing Business Review.’ The lessons and import are even more compelling when applied locally. 21
  • 23. Annex 1 Methodology on Material Flow Analysis in Cities This approach is consistent with UNEP’s Resource Efficient Cities initiative, as well as low-carbon city growth strategies. The measure of GHG emissions, for example, is based on the C40- ENERGYOUT MINERALPRO D. WATERINTERNA L 22 ICLEI-WRI community emissions inventory. MINERALSTOCK BIOMASSPR OD. WATERSTOCK WATEROUT MINERALOUT BIOMASSIN ENERGYI N WATERIN MINERALI N Figure A1.1. Urban system boundary showing inflows, outflows, internal flows, storage and production of biomass, minerals, water, and energy (adapted from Kennedy & Hoornweg, 2012)
  • 24. Table A1.1: Data Requirements for Abbreviated Urban Metabolism Studies (GCIF=Global Cities Indicator Facility) Quantity GCIF Required for GHG calculation 23 Notes INFLOWS Food Water (imports) Water (precipitation) Groundwater abstraction Construction materials Fossil fuels (by type) Electricity Total incoming solar radiation Nitrogen & Phosphorus √ √ √ √* √* √* √* √ √ Standard climate data Primarily cement, aggregates, steel Standard climate data Example nutrient PRODUCED Food Construction materials √* √ Cement and steel production STOCKS Construction materials Nitrogen & Phosphorus Landfill waste Construction/demolition waste √ In the building stock Accumulated OUTFLOWS Exported landfill waste Incinerated waste Exported recyclables Wastewater Nitrogen & Phosphorus SO2 NOx CO Volatile organics Particulates Methane Ozone Black carbon √ √ √ √ √+ √+ Air emission plus accumulated mass *: has upstream (embodied) GHG emissions +: typically omitted from GHG calculations due to difficulty in estimation
  • 25. OW OM IE Iw Figure A1.2. Urban systems boundary broadly showing inflows (I), outflows (O), internal flows (Q), storage (S) and production (P) of biomass (B), minerals (M), water (W), and energy (E). 24 Inflows Biomass [t & J] food wood Fossil Fuel [t & J] transport heating/industrial Minerals [t] metals construction materials Electricity [kWh] Natural energy [J] Water [t] Drinking (surface & groundwater) Precipitation Substances [t] e.g. nutrients Produced goods [t] Production Biomass [t & J] Minerals [t] Outflows Waste Emissions [t] gases solid wastewater other liquids Heat [J] Substances [t] Produced goods [t] Stocks Infrastructure / Buildings [t] construction materials metals wood other materials Other (machinery, durable) [t] metals other materials Substances QW SW PB OE IB IM SM PM
  • 26. Annex 2 Identification and Analysis of Local and Global System Boundaries Global and Local Physical Limits With Rockstrom et al boundaries (i.e. limits) as a starting point (Figure A2.1); Figure A2.2 presents a global aggregate for proposed physical limits of the world’s largest cities. The limits are applicable to all cities however for ease of analysis investigation of the larger cities is prioritized, i.e., those cities (urban agglomerations) over 5 million population. The analysis includes an additional boundary (or limit) for geophysical risk. This includes seismic and weather related risk the city faces, e.g. sea level increase, earthquake, volcanoes, landslide, storms and flooding. The value is an aggregate estimate of risk to life and property. Geophysical risk includes rapid onset events such as typhoons and earthquakes: Long-term climate related events, such as drought, pestilence and changes to growing seasons are considered elsewhere. Figure A2.1: Physical science boundaries proposed by Rockstrom et al. Added to the Rockstrom et al boundaries is (local) ‘pollution’ which estimates local (and cumulative) values for air pollution (smog and indoor/outdoor particulate), water pollution (COD, BOD, flotsam, and heavy metals) and land pollution (solid waste and brownfields), which tend to be locally generated and experienced. These values are expected to vary markedly for assessed cities. This urban approach to Rockstrom et al limits facilitates the merging between local and global impacts and ecosystem services. Cities may react most quickly to immediate local needs, however cities are acutely aware that these impacts arise from a gradient of ecosystem impacts, 25
  • 27. whether it be local solid waste and habitat destruction or global GHG emissions and loss of biodiversity. Pollution Geophysical Risks (by City Figure A2.2: Physical science indicators for cities in a global context; adapted from the boundaries proposed by Rockstrom et al. The boundaries for climate change are consistent with Rockstrom et al (a total per capita GHG-emissions value provided – Scopes 1, 2 and 3). So too nitrogen and phosphorous boundaries; absolute per capita values are provided. Biodiversity, fresh water use, and land-use change, are consistent with Rockstrom et al. Values are derived through one-half local impact and one-half global impact. For activities like biodiversity loss, an index is used, dividing the participating cities into quintiles. Global Social Limits The social limits, or boundaries, of sustainability include seven metrics (i. youth opportunity, ii. economy, iii. energy poverty and intensity, iv. mobility and connectivity, v. institutions, vi. basic services, vii. security and public safety); all with equal weighting. Where definitive values are not available, values are estimated. The boundaries align with the Millennium Development Goals (MDGs) and Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) now under preparation. Preliminary discussions are advocating for an ‘urban SDG’ however this may be of limited value as no single value can portend to connote ‘urban progress’, rather a suite of indicators and goals are needed to capture progress in cities. 26 Climate Change Rate of Biodiversity Loss Fresh Water Use Change In Land Use Nitrogen Cycle level)
  • 28. Figure A2.3 provides an approximation to the global social science boundaries (i.e. socio-economic) – estimated in relation to existing objectives and global limits. These are mainly a reflection of the MDGs, moving to SDGs. Most of the data is available on a regular basis through datasets hosted by organization such as the GCIF and soon the data platform and global registry for ISO 37120 to be hosted by the not-for-profit WCCD. Approximations are needed as values are required for the entire urban area, rather than an individual city alone. Basic Services Security and Public Safety Figure A2.3: Social Sciences: Global Situation Compared to Targets Application of local and global (i.e. the total spectrum) limits and ecosystem degradation is particularly relevant to large urban areas. Through this approach, local ‘greening’ programs (such as habitat protection and ‘welcoming wildlife to the city’, e.g. urban birdlife corridor), enhanced food security (e.g. urban agriculture), and an increased appreciation of embodied resources and vicarious ecosystem impacts, are all possible for the city resident and manager. The urban limits approach helps facilitate cities to be more aware, and able to respond, to common issues that manifest in different ways locally and globally. Using the physical and socio-economic limits as outlined above, large scale civil works can be assessed for their overall contribution to sustainability, similar to environmental assessments, feasibility studies, and detailed financing plans. These investments can be placed within an agreed-to and common sustainability cost curve for the city. Each of the world’s major cities should have a base sustainability cost curve that presents a rolling 35-year investment horizon. Potential (and recent) publicly-funded investments are placed along the curve relative to each other. This additional planning step is arguably mainly the responsibility of the engineering profession. The World Federation of Engineering Organizations, for example, calls for engineers to assess the unique and cumulative impacts of all major civil works. To-date this is only applied in piece-meal fashion and a community is not able to see where a proposed investment fits within the broader and longer term sustainability objectives of the investment. 27 Youth Opportunity Economy Energy Poverty Including Access to Electricity Mobility and Connectivity Institutions
  • 29. The report, ‘Building Sustainability in an Urbanizing World: A Partnership Report’, World Bank, 2013 contained two annexes, ‘Sustainable Infrastructure Rating System’ (Annex 5) and ‘Engineering for Sustainable Development’ (Annex 6) that set the framework for development of sustainability cost curves. Rather than for discrete projects in isolation the sustainability cost curve applies the concept across the city for all publicly-funded investments in excess of $10 million (capital and operating costs). This approach is designed expressly to help ensure ‘well-built bones’ for the city. The World Federation of Engineering Organizations with local engineering faculties would help develop these sustainability ratings. Example: Dakar Metropolitan Area, Senegal Dakar Urban Region has a population around 2.7 million today. In 2050 the population is projected to be 9.86 million (making it then the 60th largest city in the world). Growing more than three-fold in one generation obviously presents enormous challenges (even if projections are high, the growth pressures are enormous). Energy projections for Dakar, for example, expect a greater than ten-fold increase in energy demand (and corresponding emissions; UOIT draft working paper 2014). Dakar Metropolitan Area covers 1% of Senegal’s land area; however, it is the host of nearly 50% of the country’s urban population. Dakar Metropolitan Area is prone to natural disasters such as flooding, coastal erosion, and sea level rise. For example, over 5% of the Dakar Metropolitan urban area is exposed to high risk natural hazards. The city also suffers from serious air pollution with 80 휇푔/푚3, compared to the WHO targets of 10 휇푔/푚3. Access to clean water is not yet provided to 10% of the population, and nearly 75 percent of solid waste is uncollected. Figures A2.4 and A2.5 illustrate the city’s physical and socio-economic limits relative to the global average. Dakar is well-studied. A Local Agenda 21 was prepared in 2001 by Gaye et al. Cities Alliance facilitated a comprehensive City Development Strategy (CDS) in November 2010. Dakar is one of the 100 Resilient Cities with the Rockefeller Foundation, and has several active World Bank projects, including the $531 million Diamniado Toll Road project. Dakar reports its GHG emissions through Carbon Disclosure Project. Dakar joined the Global City Indicators Facility April 2012. To achieve any semblance of sustainable development by 2050, it is especially important that cities like Dakar meet most of the criteria of a sustainable city. Many external agencies appreciate this need based on the long and comprehensive nature of assistance to Dakar. These assistance programs would benefit from integration, coordination, peer-review, historical capture and ownership by the community (residents and governments). 28 An indicative process follows:  Government officials of Dakar and Senegal informed of program.  Determine what area constitutes Dakar Metropolitan Area.
  • 30.  Application made jointly by Dakar (Urban Authority) and Government of Senegal Change In Land Use 29 (presumably accepted in this example).  Review and consolidation of relevant reports, data and recommendations – likely with a particular focus on: (i) resilience (Dakar and the Cap-Vert Peninsula particularly susceptible to coastal flooding and storm events); (ii) low-carbon energy supply (with a ten-fold energy demand increase renewables and energy conservation (of growth) critical); (iii) social services (with a burgeoning population, jobs and economy will need to increase commensurately).  Application of common suite of urban diagnostics: (i) Access to ISO 37120 standardization urban metrics through Dakar’s membership in GCIF; (ii) early material flows (urban metabolism) assessments complete (local and international engineering faculties could finalize and submit for peer-review); (iii) much of hierarchy of urban management completed through Cities Alliance CDS (needs updating); (iv) local and international sustainability limits – first draft completed in a working paper by UOIT.  Prepare Dakar-specific sustainability plan. Dakar Metropolitan Area (initial ‘sustainability limits’ review) Illustrative purposes only – not for reference. Climate Change Rate of Biodiversity Loss Fresh Water Use Pollution Geophysical Risks (by City level) Nitrogen Cycle Figure A2.4: Physical science limits: Dakar Metropolitan Area vs. global condition
  • 31. Basic Services Security and Public Safety Figure A2.5: Socio-economic limits: Dakar Metropolitan Area vs. World’s Target 30 Youth Opportunity Economy Energy Poverty Including Access to Mobility and Electricity Connectivity Institutions
  • 32. Annex 3 Proposed Draft Urban Sustainable Development Goal As part of the current draft 2015 Sustainable Development Goals, an ‘urban SDG’ is currently proposed. Goal Eleven: Make cities and human settlements inclusive, safe, resilient and sustainable 11.1, by 2030, ensure access for all to adequate, safe and affordable housing and basic services, and upgrade slums 11.2, by 2030, provide access to safe, affordable, accessible and sustainable transport systems for all, improving road safety, notably by expanding public transport, with special attention to the needs of those in vulnerable situations, women, children, persons with disabilities and older persons 11.3, by 2030 enhance inclusive and sustainable urbanization and capacities for participatory, integrated and sustainable human settlement planning and management in all countries 11.4, strengthen efforts to protect and safeguard the world’s cultural and natural heritage 11.5, by 2030 significantly reduce the number of deaths and the number of affected people and decrease by y% the economic losses relative to GDP caused by disasters, including water-related disasters, with the focus on protecting the poor and people in vulnerable situations 11.6, by 2030, reduce the adverse per capita environmental impact of cities, including by paying special attention to air quality, municipal and other waste management 11.7, by 2030, provide universal access to safe, inclusive and accessible, green and public spaces, particularly for women and children, older persons and persons with disabilities 11.a, support positive economic, social and environmental links between urban, peri-urban and rural areas by strengthening national and regional development planning 11.b, by 2020, increase by x% the number of cities and human settlements adopting and implementing integrated policies and plans towards inclusion, resource efficiency, mitigation and adaptation to climate change, resilience to disasters, develop and implement in line with the forthcoming Hyogo Framework holistic disaster risk management at all levels 11.c, support least developed countries, including through financial and technical assistance, for sustainable and resilient buildings utilizing local materials 31