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Automotive Report
Analysis of New Car Registrations
August 2020
2
Analysis of New Car Registrations in Europe and Italy
* EU (27 Countries) + EFTA Countries (Iceland, Norway, Switzerland) + UK; ** Δ% August 2020 / August 2019
Executive Summary
◼ Areas: North-East +5,3%, North-West -13,5%, Centre +5,9%, South +8,6% and Islands
+4,6%, in volume in August 2020 compared to August 2019
◼ Customer segments: Retail -33,6%, Fleet -43,7% and Business -49,1% in volume in August
2020YTD compared to August 2019YTD
◼ Brands: among theTop 15 by volume, smallest decrease for BMW -29,5%,Audi -29,6% and
Kia -31,0% in August 2020YTD compared to August 2019YTD
◼ Premium brands: among theTop 15 by volume Mercedes-Benz -33,4%,Audi -29,6% and
BMW -29,5% in volume in August 2020YTD compared to August 2019YTD
◼ Top 3 Countries by variations (increase & decrease) in new registrations: Cyprus +14,1%,
Portugal -0,1% and Italy -0,4% in volume in August 2020 compared to August 2019
◼ Top 3 Countries by market share: Germany 24,4% (+1,4 p.p.), France 13,7% (+0,2 p.p.) and
UK 12,6% (-1,4 p.p.) in August 2020YTD compared to August 2019YTD
◼ Brands: among theTop 15 by volume, smallest decrease for Toyota -22,0%, Skoda -23,4%
and Kia -23,4% in August 2020YTD compared to August 2019YTD
◼ Premium brands:Audi -31,1%, Mercedes-Benz -24,2% and BMW -23,8% in volume in
August 2020YTD compared to August 2019YTD
Europe*
Italy
-17,6%**
-0,4%**
3
Agenda
1 Europe
1.1 Market Overview
1.2 New Car Registrations by Brand
2 Italy
3 New Car Models Launches in Italy
4 Focus:Analysis of Italian fleet emissions
4
Top 10 European Markets* – August 2020 vs August 2019
Europe – Market Overview
Source: ACEA, Arthur D. Little Analysis, Sweden Transport Analysis Agency
EU New Car Registrations
884.394
1.073.920
20192020
-17,6%
* EU (27 Countries) + EFTA Countries (Iceland, Norway, Switzerland) + UK
##
#°
##
Ranking on August 2020 data
New Car Registrations in August 2020
Δ% August 2020 / August 2019
-0,4
3°
88.801
-30,1
10°
20.906
-27,9
7°
34.707
1°
251.044
-10,1
5°
66.925
-19,8
2°
103.631
-5,8
4°
87.226
-20,0
During the month of August the EU car market posted a stronger decline than in July (-18.9% vs. -3,7%).
Not only Top 10 but also other countries in the region recorded losses compared to August 2019, with
the exception of Cyprus (+14.1%). Looking at the four major EU markets, Italy performed best, with a
slight drop of 0.4%, while the strongest declines were seen in Germany (-20.0%) and France (-19.8%).
-24,1
6°
36.387
-13,4
9°
25.522
◼ EU demand for new passenger cars
continues to be contracted due to COVID-
19 outbreak. The forecast is still uncertain
as far as measures to deal with new
outbreaks are imposed across Europe
8°
26.461
-21,5
5
On a year-to-date basis, European PC registrations (7.267.621 units in total) decreased by -32,9% compared to
2019YTD.The Market Share inTop 5 European Markets decreased for 3 major markets (UK, Italy and Spain) except
Germany and France (that show positive signs for the second month in a row)
Top 10 European Markets* – August 2020YTD
Source: ACEA, Arthur D. Little Analysis
Europe – Market Overview
Highlights Market Share
# Country
August
2020 YTD
∆ Vs 2019
1 Germany 24,4% 1,4%
2 France 13,7% 0,2%
3 UK 12,6% -1,4%
4 Italy 11,1% -1,1%
5 Spain 7,2% -0,9%
6 Belgium 4,1% 0,4%
7 Poland 3,5% 0,1%
8 Netherlands 3,0% 0,3%
9 Sweden 2,4% 0,4%
10 Austria 2,2% 0,0%
-28,8
-32,0
-39,7-38,9
-40,6
-26,3
-31,6
-25,2-21,3
-33,2
Market Share
∆ % Volume
August 20/19
* EU (27 Countries) + EFTA Countries (Iceland, Norway, Switzerland) + UK
20%
New Car Registrations August 2020 YTD
10%
-35
-45
-20
-25
-30
-40
6
Top 15 – August 2020YTD
Europe – New Car Registrations by Brand
Source: ACEA, Arthur D. Little Analysis
∆ M.S.
20/19
-0,01 0,03 0,01 0,13 0,14 0,14 -0,08 0,16 0,03 -0,06 -0,27 -0,06 0,14 0,03 -0,11
Vol.’20 821.279 501.070 451.407 437.360 409.586 402.178 401.722 393.652 370.080 294.608 294.252 283.478 259.442 259.410 247.581 7.267.621
M.S.’20 11,3% 6,9% 6,2% 6,0% 5,6% 5,5% 5,5% 5,4% 5,1% 4,1% 4,0% 3,9% 3,6% 3,6% 3,4%
-33,4
-30,7 -32,1
-24,2 -23,8 -23,4
-38,3
-22,0
-31,1
-36,9
-51,0
-37,1
-23,4
-31,1
-40,5
-32,9
∆ %
20/19
Tot.**
*
* Opel includes Vauxhall New Car Registrations; ** EU (27 Countries) + EFTA Countries (Iceland, Norway, Switzerland) + UK
7
Agenda
1 Europe
2 Italy
2.1 Market Overview
2.2 Market Highlights
2.3 New Car Registrations by Brand
2.4 New Car Registrations by Group
2.5 New Car Registrations by Fuel Type
3 New Car Models Launches in Italy
4 Focus:Analysis of Italian fleet emissions
8
Italian Market –Variation of New Car Registrations 2020 vs 2019
Italy – Market Overview
Source: UNRAE, Arthur D. Little Analysis ∆’19/’18 ∆’20/’19
After five months of recession due to the COVID-19 outbreak, the car market in August shows first signs of near-to-zero
performance (-0,4% vs.August 2019). Still, in the first 8 months, the market has had a significant drop: -38.9% with 809.655 units
compared to 1.325.704 in January-August 2019, with a final balance of 516.049 units less. Private segment in August was recovering
better than other segments (-33.6% for Private, -43.7% for Fleet and -49.1% for Business). Main optimistic numbers are related to
EV sales (+249.5% in August 2020 vs. 2019 with 1.877 registered units this month) and hybrid sales (+647.7% or 10.609 units
registered more than in August 2019).The balance sheet for the half year is still dramatic: sales fell by 38,9% or 516.049 units sold
less respect to the first 8 month of 2019.
August 2020
March
2,2%
-7,5%
January February SeptemberApril May
-8,8%
July August October November
-3,1%
December
-5,9% -2,4%
-9,6%
-0,1%
-85,4%
1,5%
13,4%
-97,6%
-2,1%
-23,1%
6,7%
12,5%
-11,0%
June
-49,6%
-1,2% -0,4%
9
24,7
16,9
16,7
11,8
8,4
8,3
-6,3
-13,0
-18,1
-35,7
Italian Market – August 2020 vs August 2019
Source: UNRAE, Arthur D. Little Analysis
Italy – Market Overview
2015
2014
Δ% August 2020 / August 2019
88.801 89.184
-0,4%
2019
-13,5%
North-West
25.362
Islands
5.825
+5,3%
North-East
26.700
+5,9%
Centre
20.086
South
10.828
##
aa
##
Region
New Car Registrations in August 2020
Δ% August 2020 / August 2019
Growth of the Top 10
brands by volumes
6
+4,6%
+8,6%
2020
10
Diesel
35,4%
Petrol
41,4%
LPG
6,4%
CNG* 2,4%
EV*
14,3%
Other
23,1%
Italian Market – August 2020YTD vs August 2019YTD
Source: UNRAE, Arthur D. Little Analysis
Italy – Market Highlights
Analysis by “Customer Segment” Analysis by “Fuel Type”
Analysis by “Geographical Area” Analysis by “Car Segment”
498.981
192.403
118.271
751.583
341.820
232.301
BusinessRetail Fleet
-33,6% -43,7% -49,1%∆’20/’19
242.767
268.606
172.014
84.266
42.003
401.951
454.594
267.297
133.137
68.725
CentreNorth-EastNorth-West South Islands
124.698
809.655
295.320
269.062
102.213 15.340 3.022
C EA B D F Total
-43,8% -36,7% -40,9% -34,0% -35,7% -22,5%-39,6% -40,9% -35,6% -36,7% -38,9%
2020
2019
∆’20/’19 ∆’20/’19
2020
2019
-48,2
-41,2
∆% Volume August 2020 / August 2019
(YTD)* CNG: Compressed Natural Gas (Methane and Ethanol); EV: Electric Vehicle (Hybrid and Electric)
809.655
1.325.704
2019
2020
-38,9
+49,4
-45,6
-14,5
11
Italian Market – Distribution channels – August 2020YTD vs August 2019
YTD
Source: UNRAE, Arthur D. Little Analysis
Italy – Market Highlights
∆% Volume August 2020 / August 2019
(YTD)*) Self-registrations related to LTR&STR use made by Dealers and OEMs;
**) Including Dealers and OEMs self-registrations not related to LTR & STR
Retail
Private Customers
-43,7%
MS:
23,8%
26,1
192,5
123,2
15,1
2019
127,2
50,1
2020
341,8
192,4
-33,9%
-33,6%
MS:
61,6%
-49,1%
MS:
14,6%-59,3%
-42,1%
42,7
65,1
167,2
2019 2020
75,6
232,3
118,3
-34,4%
2019 2020
751,6
499,0
-33,6%
-54,8%
Private Customers LTR STR Captive LTR&STR* Companies Captive self-registrations
◼ Respect August 2019YTD, in 2020, Retail
segment of the Italian market was
recovering better than other segments
(252.602 units sold less or -3.6%) and has
increased its Market ShareYTD (56.7% in
August 2019 vs. 61.6% in August 2020)
◼ All of Fleet subsegments decreased in August
2020YTD due to COVID-19 outbreak: STR
segment (-59,3% or 73.079 units sold less vs.
August 2019).The decrease of LTR segment
was also relevant (-33,9% or 65.346 units
sold less vs.August 2019)
◼ The decrease of the Business segment
registrations in August 2020YTD vs.August
2019YTD was related both to the reduction
of Captive self-registrations (-54,8% or 91.667
units less sold) and Company registrations
(-34.4% or 22.363 units less sold)
Fleet
LTR, STR and Captive LTR&STR*
Business
Company registrations**
Market Share YTD increase / decrease
12
New Car Registrations by Brand – August 2020YTD (1/3)
Italy – New Car Registrations by Brand
Source: UNRAE, Arthur D. Little Analysis
121.789
77.286
53.492 48.913 47.764
38.076 37.986 34.351 33.741 31.058 30.994 27.465 27.180 24.670 22.016
-40,3 -36,0 -35,5 -36,2 -41,1 -37,2 -38,6
-53,1
-42,5
-49,9
-29,6 -29,5 -33,4
-40,6
-31,0
Volume
∆Volume
20/19 %
∆ M.S.
20/19 %
Market
Share %
-0,34 0,44 0,36 0,25 -0,22 0,13 0,03 -1,28 -0,26 -0,84 0,51 0,45 0,28 -0,08 0,31
15,04 9,55 6,61 6,04 5,90 4,70 4,69 4,24 4,17 3,84 3,83 3,39 3,36 3,05 2,72
13
New Car Registrations by Brand – August 2020YTD (2/3)
Italy – New Car Registrations by Brand
Source: UNRAE, Arthur D. Little Analysis
20.884
17.461
15.828 14.954
13.265
10.227 9.875 9.444
7.376
5.835
3.852 3.748 2.892 2.609 2.501
-34,7 -32,1
-47,2
-20,1
-28,0 -23,9
-44,4
-33,4 -34,0
-24,1
-10,2
-36,0
14,4
-53,0
-32,5
Volume
∆Volume
20/19 %
∆ M.S.
20/19 %
Market
Share %
0,17 0,22 -0,31 0,44 0,25 0,25 -0,12 0,10 0,07 0,14 0,16 0,02 0,17 -0,10 0,03
2,58 2,16 1,95 1,85 1,64 1,26 1,22 1,17 0,91 0,72 0,48 0,46 0,36 0,32 0,31
14
New Car Registrations by Brand – August 2020YTD (3/3)
Italy – New Car Registrations by Brand
Source: UNRAE, Arthur D. Little Analysis
2.198 2.083
1.689 1.596
1.195
775 773 720
377 235 200
26 11 2
-61,9 -88,6 -45,6
5,8
-28,7 -55,2
3,3
-51,8 -2,3
473,2
-19,4 -40,9
-95,4 -94,4
Volume
∆Volume
20/19 %
∆ M.S.
20/19 %
Market
Share %
-0,17 -1,12 -0,02 0,09 0,02 -0,03 -0,01 0,00 0,00 0,00 0,00 0,00 0,00 0,00
0,27 0,26 0,21 0,20 0,15 0,10 0,10 0,09 0,05 0,03 0,02 0,00 0,00 0,00
15
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
New Car Registrations by Group – Top 15 – August 2020YTD
Source: UNRAE, Arthur D. Little Analysis
Italy – New Car Registrations by Group
23,6
16,9
15,3
9,7
6,6
5,3
5,0
4,6
3,6
2,2
2,0
1,3
1,2
0,7
0,5
Top 5: 72,2%
Top 10: 92,8%
-45,0%
-35,5%
-40,9%
-32,4%
-30,5%
-42,1%
-24,1%
-32,8%
-36,9%
-50,5%
-32,1%
-47,6%
-23,9%
-43,5%
-10,2%
191.172
136.699
124.142
78.822
53.492
42.900
40.577
36.909
29.263
17.461
15.839
10.227
9.574
5.835
3.852
FCA
Volkswagen
PSA
Renault
Ford
Hyundai Kia
Toyota
BMW
Daimler
Suzuki
Nissan
Volvo
JLR
Mazda
Porsche
Market Share
(%)
DeltaVolume
‘20 vs ‘19
VolumeGroup Brand
16
New Car Registrations by FuelType – Top 10 – Petrol and Diesel
Source: UNRAE, Arthur D. Little Analysis
Italy – New Car Registrations by Fuel Type








































DieselPetrol
August 2020 2020YTD
 Ranking variation compared to previous period
2.419
1.203
1.155
1.147
1.111
1.046
1.043
980
920
859
45.977
16.142
12.413
10.766
9.965
9.887
9.110
8.593
8.575
8.549
1.682
1.334
1.307
1.051
978
838
815
777
707
632
COMPASS
500X
RENEGADE
T-ROC
TIGUAN
QASHQAI
TIPO
500L
GOLF
STELVIO
PANDA
YPSILON
C3
CORSA
POLO
T-CROSS
208
500X
500
AYGO
COMPASS
RENEGADE
500X
T-ROC
3008
TIGUAN
TIPO
500L
DUSTER
QASHQAI
12.292
11.065
10.701
8.232
8.221
7.813
7.142
6.851
6.155
6.043
PANDA
POLO
C3
AYGO
500X
208
CORSA
2008
FIESTA
I10
17
1.012
962
852
500
490
359
339
214
190
165
New Car Registrations by FuelType – Top 10 – LPG and CNG
Source: UNRAE, Arthur D. Little Analysis




















CNGLPG
August 2020 2020YTD




















Italy – New Car Registrations by Fuel Type
 Ranking variation compared to previous period
3.926
2.869
2.391
1.990
1.586
1.492
1.451
968
966
642
462
387
299
287
228
211
188
151
122
46
DUSTER
SANDERO
CAPTUR
YPSILON
PANDA
CLIO
PICANTO
STONIC
FIESTA
SPORTAGE
DUSTER
PANDA
YPSILON
SANDERO
CLIO
CAPTUR
FIESTA
STONIC
PICANTO
SPORTAGE
GOLF
ARONA
POLO
OCTAVIA
PANDA
LEON
UP!
IBIZA
KAMIQ
A3
GOLF
ARONA
OCTAVIA
POLO
KAMIQ
UP!
PANDA
IBIZA
LEON
YPSILON
7.797
7.794
6.025
4.891
4.680
3.363
3.178
2.480
2.206
2.170
18
2.244
1.343
953
861
689
686
679
608
431
404
New Car Registrations by FuelType – Top 10 – Hybrid and Pure Electric
Source: UNRAE, Arthur D. Little Analysis
(*) Mild Hybrid Electric Vehicle (MHEV), Plug-in Hybrid Electric Vehicle (PHEV), Full Hybrid; (**) Battery Electric Vehicle (BEV)










PureElectric(**)Hybrid(*)
August 2020 2020YTD




















Italy – New Car Registrations by Fuel Type
 Ranking variation compared to previous period
506
201
189
180
174
162
159
158
153
143
PANDA
PUMA
C-HR
YPSILON
YARIS
500
IGNIS
COROLLA
SWIFT
RAV4
PUMA
YARIS
C-HR
PANDA
500
COROLLA
SWIFT
IGNIS
RAV4
RR EVOQUE
ZOE
FORTWO
UP!
MODEL 3
208
KUGA
XC40
COUNTRYMAN
CORSA
CAYENNE
ZOE
UP!
MODEL 3
KUGA
KONA
CORSA
RENEGADE
FORTWO
CAPTUR
XC40
9.090
7.470
7.232
6.148
5.854
5.070
4.896
4.514
4.349
3.662
2.767
1.703
1.451
1.342
1.139
1.132
781
764
733
599










19
New Car Registrations of Hybrid vs Pure ElectricVehicles
Source: UNRAE, Arthur D. Little Analysis
Italy – Focus on ElectricVehicles Market in Italy
43.284
59.401
77.493
115.805
2017 2018 2019 2020
EV RegistrationsTrend
Volume, DeltaYoY, EV Market Share August ‘20YTD
Hybrid and Pure ElectricVehiclesTrend
Volume August ‘20YTD
Delta
YoY
73,6% 37,2% 30,5% 49,4%
M.S. 3,2% 4,3% 5,8% 14,3%
CAGR
8,3%
94,8%
2,9%
5,2%
97,1%
91,7%
2017 2018 2019
11,5%
88,5%
2020
Electric Hybrid
+120,8%
+34,6%
Successful new models
Top selled in August ‘20
Hybrid
– Ford Puma (+1.343 units in August ’20, +9.090 unitsYTD)
– Fiat Panda (+ 2.244 units in August’ 20, +6.148 unitsYTD)
– Fiat 500 (+686 units in August’ 20, +5.854 unitsYTD)
20
Overview of New Car Registrations by Segment
Source: UNRAE, Arthur D. Little Analysis
Italy – New Car Registrations by Segment
Segments Growth in Market Share* Market Share andVolume**
-1,3%
D
«Executive»
+1,3%
B
«Supermini»
+0,1%
E
«Luxury»
-1,1%
C
«Medium»
+0,1%
F
«Ultra Luxury»
0,4%
A
F
12,6%
15.340
15,4%
C
1,9%
B 36,5%
33,2%
D
E
100,0%Tot.
124.698
102.213
295.320
269.062
3.022
809.655
A
«Utility/City»
* Δ% August 2020 YTD / August 2019 YTD; ** Market Share and Volume August 2020 YTD
+0,9%
21
Segment A and Segment B –Top 10 – August 2020YTD
Source: UNRAE, Arthur D. Little Analysis
Italy – New Car Registrations by Segment
A
“Utility/City”
B
“Supermini”
61.508
16.001
8.549 6.331 6.132 5.496 4.946 4.357 2.836 2.712
PANDA IGNIS500 PICANTO C1AYGO UP! I10 TWINGO 108
24.673
18.863
15.588 15.168 15.004 14.875 14.027 13.934 13.087 13.082
YPSILON CLIO C3 SANDERO CAPTUR208CORSA POLO T-CROSS FIESTA
∆ Vol. %
20/19 YTD
∆ Vol. %
20/19 YTD
Segment A has registered a decrease in terms of
MS (-1,3 p.p), while Segment B have registered
an increase (+1,3 p.p. vs August 2019YTD). But
in terms of volumes, both Segment A and
Segment B, in August 2020 have decreased vs.
August 2019 (-43,8% and -36,7% respectively)
-36,5% -36,9% -16,8% -47,1% -13,0% -34,5% -19,5% -18,4% -45,0% -34,7%
-40,6% -42,2% -47,5% -43,4% -8,7% -40,9% -38,1% -33,2% 33,8% -37,5%
22
Segment C and Segment D – Top 10 – August 2020YTD
Source: UNRAE, Arthur D. Little Analysis
Italy – New Car Registrations by Segment
C
“Medium”
D
“Executive”
19.295
17.495
15.750 15.108 14.670
11.675 11.647 10.848 10.637
9.619
TIPO500X RENEGADE T-ROC DUSTER COMPASS GOLF 3008 ECOSPORT QASHQAI
10.749
7.117
5.766
5.012
4.350 4.349 4.073 3.928 3.635 3.449
KUGA RR
EVOQUE
A4TIGUAN Q3 RAV4 STELVIOX1 OCTAVIA SERIE 3
∆ Vol. %
20/19 YTD
∆ Vol. %
20/19 YTD
-35,0% -42,8% -45,6% -51,2% -43,4% -40,1% -30,0% -44,6% -49,8% -44,7%
-33,9% -9,6% -24,9% -54,0% -16,1% -38,1% -47,9% -15,5% -30,9% 1,3%
Medium Segment and Executive Segment continue to
have a bad performance registering another
consecutive drop (respectively -40,9% and -34,0%
compared to August 2019). But in terms of MS onYTD
basis Segment C decreased (-1,1 p.p) and Segment D
increased (+0,9 p.p)
23
Segment E and Segment F – Top 10 – August 2020YTD
Source: UNRAE, Arthur D. Little Analysis
Italy – New Car Registrations by Segment
E
“Luxury”
F
“Ultra Luxury”
860
220
162 132 131 131 126 124 123 122
A8PANAMERA MODEL S488911 TAYCANGHIBLI PORTOFINO MODEL X F-TYPE
∆ Vol. %
20/19 YTD
∆ Vol. %
20/19 YTD
135,8% -46,7% -56,6% -43,8% -18,9% 34,6% -30,4% -65,5% -19,5% -7,6%
24,6% -52,7% -53,4% N/A -8,4% -32,1% 3,3% -28,3% -17,4% 5,2%
1.655
1.575
1.228 1.164 1.160
1.034 1.021
880
679
545
Q8RANGE
ROVER
SPORT
CAYENNEGLE A6 SERIE 5 X5 CLASSE E XC90 GRAND
CHEROKEE
Both Segment E and Segment F have slightly increased in
terms of market shares (+0.1 p.p and +0.1 p.p
respectively).While Segment F, despite COVID-19, has
lost only 22,5% (or 879 units sold less vs.August 2019),
the drop of Segment E was more relevant (-35.4% or
8.512 units less vs.August 2019)
24
Agenda
1 Europe
2 Italy
3 New Car Models Launches in Italy
4 Focus:Analysis of Italian fleet emissions
25
New Models Launch per Brand – Roadmap 2020 (1/5)
Source: Quattroruote; Arthur D. Little Analysis
New Car Models Launches in Italy
Jan Feb Mar Apr
Aug
ust
Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
A
B
C
D
F
Commercial Launch of New Model
Facelift / Technical Update
Premiere
Launch Concluded
Launch Postponed
Launch Anticipated
(P)
E-TronA3
Tonale
C5 Aircross
X6
Serie 2 Active
Tourer
Q5Q4 e-Tron
M 3 X5 M
Serie 4
Coupè
C4
RomaSF 90 812 GTS
Panda Mild
Hybrid
Giulia Plug-in Stelvio Plug-In
A5
iX3
DS 9
F8 Spider
500 Full Electric500 Mild Hybrid
Sandero
◼ The launch plans announced by
OEMs could be delayed/reversed
due to the contingent market
situation
26
New Models Launch per Brand – Roadmap 2020 (2/5)
Source: Quattroruote; Arthur D. Little Analysis
New Car Models Launches in Italy
Jan Feb Mar Apr
Aug
ust
Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
F
G
H
I
J
K
Commercial Launch of New Model
Facelift / Technical Update
Premiere
Launch Concluded
Launch Postponed
Launch Anticipated
(P)
Kuga
XCeed
Wrangler
Grand CherokeeRenegadeCompass
Mustang
Mach-E
Explorer
Plug-In
i 10
Jazz Hybrid e
F Type XJ Electric
e-Soul
◼ The launch plans announced by
OEMs could be delayed/reversed
due to the contingent market
situation
27
New Models Launch per Brand – Roadmap 2020 (3/5)
Source: Quattroruote; Arthur D. Little Analysis
New Car Models Launches in Italy
Jan Feb Mar Apr
Aug
ust
Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
L
M
Commercial Launch of New Model
Facelift / Technical Update
Premiere
Launch Concluded
Launch Postponed
Launch Anticipated
(P)
Road Rover
GLA
MX-30
E-Class S-ClassGLS
2 Hybrid
Ghibli
Mini Full Electric
UX 300e
Ypsilon Mild
Hybrid
Urus Plug-In
◼ The launch plans announced by
OEMs could be delayed/reversed
due to the contingent market
situation
28
Source: Quattroruote; Arthur D. Little Analysis
Commercial Launch of New Model
Facelift / Technical Update
Premiere
Launch Concluded
Launch Postponed
Launch Anticipated
New Models Launch per Brand – Roadmap 2020 (4/5)
New Car Models Launches in Italy
Jan Feb Mar Apr
Aug
ust
Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
M
N
O
P
R
S
(P)
Zoe
El Born
Mokka X
508 Plug-In
3008 Plug-In
InsigniaCorsa-e
Spacestar
ASX
Clio E-Tech
Captur E-tech
Leon
Cupra
Formentor
Octavia
◼ The launch plans announced by
OEMs could be delayed/reversed
due to the contingent market
situation
29
Commercial Launch of New Model
Facelift / Technical Update
Premiere
Launch Concluded
Launch Postponed
Launch Anticipated
New Models Launch per Brand – Roadmap 2020 (5/5)
Source: Quattroruote; Arthur D. Little Analysis
New Car Models Launches in Italy
Jan Feb Mar Apr
Aug
ust
Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
S
T
V
(P)
Model Y
ID.3
1) EQ fortwo
2) EQ forfour
Yaris
XV Hybrid
Vitara Hybrid
S-Cross Hybrid
MiraiRav 4 Plug-In
ID.4
XC 40 Recharge
◼ The launch plans announced by
OEMs could be delayed/reversed
due to the contingent market
situation
Arthur D. Little has been at the forefront of innovation since 1886.
We are an acknowledged thought leader in linking strategy, innovation
and transformation in technology-intensive and converging industries.
We navigate our clients through changing business ecosystems to
uncover new growth opportunities.We enable our clients to build
innovation capabilities and transform their organizations.
Our consultants have strong practical industry experience combined
with excellent knowledge of key trends and dynamics.Arthur D. Little is
present in the most important business centers around the world.
We are proud to serve most of the Fortune 1.000 companies, in
addition to other leading firms and public sector organizations.
For further information please visit www.adlittle.com.
Copyright © Arthur D. Little 2020.All rights reserved.
Contacts:
Fabrizio Arena
Partner
Tel.: +39 06 68 882 344
Fax: +39 335 123 2387
e-mail: arena.fabrizio@adlittle.com
Arthur D. Little S.p.A.
Via Sardegna 40
00187 Rome – Italy
Tel.: +39 06 68 882 1
Fax: +39 06 68 882 322
Corso Monforte 54
20122 Milan – Italy
Tel.: +39 02 67 376 1
Fax: +39 02 67 376 251

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Arthur D. Little Automotive report August 2020

  • 1. Automotive Report Analysis of New Car Registrations August 2020
  • 2. 2 Analysis of New Car Registrations in Europe and Italy * EU (27 Countries) + EFTA Countries (Iceland, Norway, Switzerland) + UK; ** Δ% August 2020 / August 2019 Executive Summary ◼ Areas: North-East +5,3%, North-West -13,5%, Centre +5,9%, South +8,6% and Islands +4,6%, in volume in August 2020 compared to August 2019 ◼ Customer segments: Retail -33,6%, Fleet -43,7% and Business -49,1% in volume in August 2020YTD compared to August 2019YTD ◼ Brands: among theTop 15 by volume, smallest decrease for BMW -29,5%,Audi -29,6% and Kia -31,0% in August 2020YTD compared to August 2019YTD ◼ Premium brands: among theTop 15 by volume Mercedes-Benz -33,4%,Audi -29,6% and BMW -29,5% in volume in August 2020YTD compared to August 2019YTD ◼ Top 3 Countries by variations (increase & decrease) in new registrations: Cyprus +14,1%, Portugal -0,1% and Italy -0,4% in volume in August 2020 compared to August 2019 ◼ Top 3 Countries by market share: Germany 24,4% (+1,4 p.p.), France 13,7% (+0,2 p.p.) and UK 12,6% (-1,4 p.p.) in August 2020YTD compared to August 2019YTD ◼ Brands: among theTop 15 by volume, smallest decrease for Toyota -22,0%, Skoda -23,4% and Kia -23,4% in August 2020YTD compared to August 2019YTD ◼ Premium brands:Audi -31,1%, Mercedes-Benz -24,2% and BMW -23,8% in volume in August 2020YTD compared to August 2019YTD Europe* Italy -17,6%** -0,4%**
  • 3. 3 Agenda 1 Europe 1.1 Market Overview 1.2 New Car Registrations by Brand 2 Italy 3 New Car Models Launches in Italy 4 Focus:Analysis of Italian fleet emissions
  • 4. 4 Top 10 European Markets* – August 2020 vs August 2019 Europe – Market Overview Source: ACEA, Arthur D. Little Analysis, Sweden Transport Analysis Agency EU New Car Registrations 884.394 1.073.920 20192020 -17,6% * EU (27 Countries) + EFTA Countries (Iceland, Norway, Switzerland) + UK ## #° ## Ranking on August 2020 data New Car Registrations in August 2020 Δ% August 2020 / August 2019 -0,4 3° 88.801 -30,1 10° 20.906 -27,9 7° 34.707 1° 251.044 -10,1 5° 66.925 -19,8 2° 103.631 -5,8 4° 87.226 -20,0 During the month of August the EU car market posted a stronger decline than in July (-18.9% vs. -3,7%). Not only Top 10 but also other countries in the region recorded losses compared to August 2019, with the exception of Cyprus (+14.1%). Looking at the four major EU markets, Italy performed best, with a slight drop of 0.4%, while the strongest declines were seen in Germany (-20.0%) and France (-19.8%). -24,1 6° 36.387 -13,4 9° 25.522 ◼ EU demand for new passenger cars continues to be contracted due to COVID- 19 outbreak. The forecast is still uncertain as far as measures to deal with new outbreaks are imposed across Europe 8° 26.461 -21,5
  • 5. 5 On a year-to-date basis, European PC registrations (7.267.621 units in total) decreased by -32,9% compared to 2019YTD.The Market Share inTop 5 European Markets decreased for 3 major markets (UK, Italy and Spain) except Germany and France (that show positive signs for the second month in a row) Top 10 European Markets* – August 2020YTD Source: ACEA, Arthur D. Little Analysis Europe – Market Overview Highlights Market Share # Country August 2020 YTD ∆ Vs 2019 1 Germany 24,4% 1,4% 2 France 13,7% 0,2% 3 UK 12,6% -1,4% 4 Italy 11,1% -1,1% 5 Spain 7,2% -0,9% 6 Belgium 4,1% 0,4% 7 Poland 3,5% 0,1% 8 Netherlands 3,0% 0,3% 9 Sweden 2,4% 0,4% 10 Austria 2,2% 0,0% -28,8 -32,0 -39,7-38,9 -40,6 -26,3 -31,6 -25,2-21,3 -33,2 Market Share ∆ % Volume August 20/19 * EU (27 Countries) + EFTA Countries (Iceland, Norway, Switzerland) + UK 20% New Car Registrations August 2020 YTD 10% -35 -45 -20 -25 -30 -40
  • 6. 6 Top 15 – August 2020YTD Europe – New Car Registrations by Brand Source: ACEA, Arthur D. Little Analysis ∆ M.S. 20/19 -0,01 0,03 0,01 0,13 0,14 0,14 -0,08 0,16 0,03 -0,06 -0,27 -0,06 0,14 0,03 -0,11 Vol.’20 821.279 501.070 451.407 437.360 409.586 402.178 401.722 393.652 370.080 294.608 294.252 283.478 259.442 259.410 247.581 7.267.621 M.S.’20 11,3% 6,9% 6,2% 6,0% 5,6% 5,5% 5,5% 5,4% 5,1% 4,1% 4,0% 3,9% 3,6% 3,6% 3,4% -33,4 -30,7 -32,1 -24,2 -23,8 -23,4 -38,3 -22,0 -31,1 -36,9 -51,0 -37,1 -23,4 -31,1 -40,5 -32,9 ∆ % 20/19 Tot.** * * Opel includes Vauxhall New Car Registrations; ** EU (27 Countries) + EFTA Countries (Iceland, Norway, Switzerland) + UK
  • 7. 7 Agenda 1 Europe 2 Italy 2.1 Market Overview 2.2 Market Highlights 2.3 New Car Registrations by Brand 2.4 New Car Registrations by Group 2.5 New Car Registrations by Fuel Type 3 New Car Models Launches in Italy 4 Focus:Analysis of Italian fleet emissions
  • 8. 8 Italian Market –Variation of New Car Registrations 2020 vs 2019 Italy – Market Overview Source: UNRAE, Arthur D. Little Analysis ∆’19/’18 ∆’20/’19 After five months of recession due to the COVID-19 outbreak, the car market in August shows first signs of near-to-zero performance (-0,4% vs.August 2019). Still, in the first 8 months, the market has had a significant drop: -38.9% with 809.655 units compared to 1.325.704 in January-August 2019, with a final balance of 516.049 units less. Private segment in August was recovering better than other segments (-33.6% for Private, -43.7% for Fleet and -49.1% for Business). Main optimistic numbers are related to EV sales (+249.5% in August 2020 vs. 2019 with 1.877 registered units this month) and hybrid sales (+647.7% or 10.609 units registered more than in August 2019).The balance sheet for the half year is still dramatic: sales fell by 38,9% or 516.049 units sold less respect to the first 8 month of 2019. August 2020 March 2,2% -7,5% January February SeptemberApril May -8,8% July August October November -3,1% December -5,9% -2,4% -9,6% -0,1% -85,4% 1,5% 13,4% -97,6% -2,1% -23,1% 6,7% 12,5% -11,0% June -49,6% -1,2% -0,4%
  • 9. 9 24,7 16,9 16,7 11,8 8,4 8,3 -6,3 -13,0 -18,1 -35,7 Italian Market – August 2020 vs August 2019 Source: UNRAE, Arthur D. Little Analysis Italy – Market Overview 2015 2014 Δ% August 2020 / August 2019 88.801 89.184 -0,4% 2019 -13,5% North-West 25.362 Islands 5.825 +5,3% North-East 26.700 +5,9% Centre 20.086 South 10.828 ## aa ## Region New Car Registrations in August 2020 Δ% August 2020 / August 2019 Growth of the Top 10 brands by volumes 6 +4,6% +8,6% 2020
  • 10. 10 Diesel 35,4% Petrol 41,4% LPG 6,4% CNG* 2,4% EV* 14,3% Other 23,1% Italian Market – August 2020YTD vs August 2019YTD Source: UNRAE, Arthur D. Little Analysis Italy – Market Highlights Analysis by “Customer Segment” Analysis by “Fuel Type” Analysis by “Geographical Area” Analysis by “Car Segment” 498.981 192.403 118.271 751.583 341.820 232.301 BusinessRetail Fleet -33,6% -43,7% -49,1%∆’20/’19 242.767 268.606 172.014 84.266 42.003 401.951 454.594 267.297 133.137 68.725 CentreNorth-EastNorth-West South Islands 124.698 809.655 295.320 269.062 102.213 15.340 3.022 C EA B D F Total -43,8% -36,7% -40,9% -34,0% -35,7% -22,5%-39,6% -40,9% -35,6% -36,7% -38,9% 2020 2019 ∆’20/’19 ∆’20/’19 2020 2019 -48,2 -41,2 ∆% Volume August 2020 / August 2019 (YTD)* CNG: Compressed Natural Gas (Methane and Ethanol); EV: Electric Vehicle (Hybrid and Electric) 809.655 1.325.704 2019 2020 -38,9 +49,4 -45,6 -14,5
  • 11. 11 Italian Market – Distribution channels – August 2020YTD vs August 2019 YTD Source: UNRAE, Arthur D. Little Analysis Italy – Market Highlights ∆% Volume August 2020 / August 2019 (YTD)*) Self-registrations related to LTR&STR use made by Dealers and OEMs; **) Including Dealers and OEMs self-registrations not related to LTR & STR Retail Private Customers -43,7% MS: 23,8% 26,1 192,5 123,2 15,1 2019 127,2 50,1 2020 341,8 192,4 -33,9% -33,6% MS: 61,6% -49,1% MS: 14,6%-59,3% -42,1% 42,7 65,1 167,2 2019 2020 75,6 232,3 118,3 -34,4% 2019 2020 751,6 499,0 -33,6% -54,8% Private Customers LTR STR Captive LTR&STR* Companies Captive self-registrations ◼ Respect August 2019YTD, in 2020, Retail segment of the Italian market was recovering better than other segments (252.602 units sold less or -3.6%) and has increased its Market ShareYTD (56.7% in August 2019 vs. 61.6% in August 2020) ◼ All of Fleet subsegments decreased in August 2020YTD due to COVID-19 outbreak: STR segment (-59,3% or 73.079 units sold less vs. August 2019).The decrease of LTR segment was also relevant (-33,9% or 65.346 units sold less vs.August 2019) ◼ The decrease of the Business segment registrations in August 2020YTD vs.August 2019YTD was related both to the reduction of Captive self-registrations (-54,8% or 91.667 units less sold) and Company registrations (-34.4% or 22.363 units less sold) Fleet LTR, STR and Captive LTR&STR* Business Company registrations** Market Share YTD increase / decrease
  • 12. 12 New Car Registrations by Brand – August 2020YTD (1/3) Italy – New Car Registrations by Brand Source: UNRAE, Arthur D. Little Analysis 121.789 77.286 53.492 48.913 47.764 38.076 37.986 34.351 33.741 31.058 30.994 27.465 27.180 24.670 22.016 -40,3 -36,0 -35,5 -36,2 -41,1 -37,2 -38,6 -53,1 -42,5 -49,9 -29,6 -29,5 -33,4 -40,6 -31,0 Volume ∆Volume 20/19 % ∆ M.S. 20/19 % Market Share % -0,34 0,44 0,36 0,25 -0,22 0,13 0,03 -1,28 -0,26 -0,84 0,51 0,45 0,28 -0,08 0,31 15,04 9,55 6,61 6,04 5,90 4,70 4,69 4,24 4,17 3,84 3,83 3,39 3,36 3,05 2,72
  • 13. 13 New Car Registrations by Brand – August 2020YTD (2/3) Italy – New Car Registrations by Brand Source: UNRAE, Arthur D. Little Analysis 20.884 17.461 15.828 14.954 13.265 10.227 9.875 9.444 7.376 5.835 3.852 3.748 2.892 2.609 2.501 -34,7 -32,1 -47,2 -20,1 -28,0 -23,9 -44,4 -33,4 -34,0 -24,1 -10,2 -36,0 14,4 -53,0 -32,5 Volume ∆Volume 20/19 % ∆ M.S. 20/19 % Market Share % 0,17 0,22 -0,31 0,44 0,25 0,25 -0,12 0,10 0,07 0,14 0,16 0,02 0,17 -0,10 0,03 2,58 2,16 1,95 1,85 1,64 1,26 1,22 1,17 0,91 0,72 0,48 0,46 0,36 0,32 0,31
  • 14. 14 New Car Registrations by Brand – August 2020YTD (3/3) Italy – New Car Registrations by Brand Source: UNRAE, Arthur D. Little Analysis 2.198 2.083 1.689 1.596 1.195 775 773 720 377 235 200 26 11 2 -61,9 -88,6 -45,6 5,8 -28,7 -55,2 3,3 -51,8 -2,3 473,2 -19,4 -40,9 -95,4 -94,4 Volume ∆Volume 20/19 % ∆ M.S. 20/19 % Market Share % -0,17 -1,12 -0,02 0,09 0,02 -0,03 -0,01 0,00 0,00 0,00 0,00 0,00 0,00 0,00 0,27 0,26 0,21 0,20 0,15 0,10 0,10 0,09 0,05 0,03 0,02 0,00 0,00 0,00
  • 15. 15 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 New Car Registrations by Group – Top 15 – August 2020YTD Source: UNRAE, Arthur D. Little Analysis Italy – New Car Registrations by Group 23,6 16,9 15,3 9,7 6,6 5,3 5,0 4,6 3,6 2,2 2,0 1,3 1,2 0,7 0,5 Top 5: 72,2% Top 10: 92,8% -45,0% -35,5% -40,9% -32,4% -30,5% -42,1% -24,1% -32,8% -36,9% -50,5% -32,1% -47,6% -23,9% -43,5% -10,2% 191.172 136.699 124.142 78.822 53.492 42.900 40.577 36.909 29.263 17.461 15.839 10.227 9.574 5.835 3.852 FCA Volkswagen PSA Renault Ford Hyundai Kia Toyota BMW Daimler Suzuki Nissan Volvo JLR Mazda Porsche Market Share (%) DeltaVolume ‘20 vs ‘19 VolumeGroup Brand
  • 16. 16 New Car Registrations by FuelType – Top 10 – Petrol and Diesel Source: UNRAE, Arthur D. Little Analysis Italy – New Car Registrations by Fuel Type                                         DieselPetrol August 2020 2020YTD  Ranking variation compared to previous period 2.419 1.203 1.155 1.147 1.111 1.046 1.043 980 920 859 45.977 16.142 12.413 10.766 9.965 9.887 9.110 8.593 8.575 8.549 1.682 1.334 1.307 1.051 978 838 815 777 707 632 COMPASS 500X RENEGADE T-ROC TIGUAN QASHQAI TIPO 500L GOLF STELVIO PANDA YPSILON C3 CORSA POLO T-CROSS 208 500X 500 AYGO COMPASS RENEGADE 500X T-ROC 3008 TIGUAN TIPO 500L DUSTER QASHQAI 12.292 11.065 10.701 8.232 8.221 7.813 7.142 6.851 6.155 6.043 PANDA POLO C3 AYGO 500X 208 CORSA 2008 FIESTA I10
  • 17. 17 1.012 962 852 500 490 359 339 214 190 165 New Car Registrations by FuelType – Top 10 – LPG and CNG Source: UNRAE, Arthur D. Little Analysis                     CNGLPG August 2020 2020YTD                     Italy – New Car Registrations by Fuel Type  Ranking variation compared to previous period 3.926 2.869 2.391 1.990 1.586 1.492 1.451 968 966 642 462 387 299 287 228 211 188 151 122 46 DUSTER SANDERO CAPTUR YPSILON PANDA CLIO PICANTO STONIC FIESTA SPORTAGE DUSTER PANDA YPSILON SANDERO CLIO CAPTUR FIESTA STONIC PICANTO SPORTAGE GOLF ARONA POLO OCTAVIA PANDA LEON UP! IBIZA KAMIQ A3 GOLF ARONA OCTAVIA POLO KAMIQ UP! PANDA IBIZA LEON YPSILON 7.797 7.794 6.025 4.891 4.680 3.363 3.178 2.480 2.206 2.170
  • 18. 18 2.244 1.343 953 861 689 686 679 608 431 404 New Car Registrations by FuelType – Top 10 – Hybrid and Pure Electric Source: UNRAE, Arthur D. Little Analysis (*) Mild Hybrid Electric Vehicle (MHEV), Plug-in Hybrid Electric Vehicle (PHEV), Full Hybrid; (**) Battery Electric Vehicle (BEV)           PureElectric(**)Hybrid(*) August 2020 2020YTD                     Italy – New Car Registrations by Fuel Type  Ranking variation compared to previous period 506 201 189 180 174 162 159 158 153 143 PANDA PUMA C-HR YPSILON YARIS 500 IGNIS COROLLA SWIFT RAV4 PUMA YARIS C-HR PANDA 500 COROLLA SWIFT IGNIS RAV4 RR EVOQUE ZOE FORTWO UP! MODEL 3 208 KUGA XC40 COUNTRYMAN CORSA CAYENNE ZOE UP! MODEL 3 KUGA KONA CORSA RENEGADE FORTWO CAPTUR XC40 9.090 7.470 7.232 6.148 5.854 5.070 4.896 4.514 4.349 3.662 2.767 1.703 1.451 1.342 1.139 1.132 781 764 733 599          
  • 19. 19 New Car Registrations of Hybrid vs Pure ElectricVehicles Source: UNRAE, Arthur D. Little Analysis Italy – Focus on ElectricVehicles Market in Italy 43.284 59.401 77.493 115.805 2017 2018 2019 2020 EV RegistrationsTrend Volume, DeltaYoY, EV Market Share August ‘20YTD Hybrid and Pure ElectricVehiclesTrend Volume August ‘20YTD Delta YoY 73,6% 37,2% 30,5% 49,4% M.S. 3,2% 4,3% 5,8% 14,3% CAGR 8,3% 94,8% 2,9% 5,2% 97,1% 91,7% 2017 2018 2019 11,5% 88,5% 2020 Electric Hybrid +120,8% +34,6% Successful new models Top selled in August ‘20 Hybrid – Ford Puma (+1.343 units in August ’20, +9.090 unitsYTD) – Fiat Panda (+ 2.244 units in August’ 20, +6.148 unitsYTD) – Fiat 500 (+686 units in August’ 20, +5.854 unitsYTD)
  • 20. 20 Overview of New Car Registrations by Segment Source: UNRAE, Arthur D. Little Analysis Italy – New Car Registrations by Segment Segments Growth in Market Share* Market Share andVolume** -1,3% D «Executive» +1,3% B «Supermini» +0,1% E «Luxury» -1,1% C «Medium» +0,1% F «Ultra Luxury» 0,4% A F 12,6% 15.340 15,4% C 1,9% B 36,5% 33,2% D E 100,0%Tot. 124.698 102.213 295.320 269.062 3.022 809.655 A «Utility/City» * Δ% August 2020 YTD / August 2019 YTD; ** Market Share and Volume August 2020 YTD +0,9%
  • 21. 21 Segment A and Segment B –Top 10 – August 2020YTD Source: UNRAE, Arthur D. Little Analysis Italy – New Car Registrations by Segment A “Utility/City” B “Supermini” 61.508 16.001 8.549 6.331 6.132 5.496 4.946 4.357 2.836 2.712 PANDA IGNIS500 PICANTO C1AYGO UP! I10 TWINGO 108 24.673 18.863 15.588 15.168 15.004 14.875 14.027 13.934 13.087 13.082 YPSILON CLIO C3 SANDERO CAPTUR208CORSA POLO T-CROSS FIESTA ∆ Vol. % 20/19 YTD ∆ Vol. % 20/19 YTD Segment A has registered a decrease in terms of MS (-1,3 p.p), while Segment B have registered an increase (+1,3 p.p. vs August 2019YTD). But in terms of volumes, both Segment A and Segment B, in August 2020 have decreased vs. August 2019 (-43,8% and -36,7% respectively) -36,5% -36,9% -16,8% -47,1% -13,0% -34,5% -19,5% -18,4% -45,0% -34,7% -40,6% -42,2% -47,5% -43,4% -8,7% -40,9% -38,1% -33,2% 33,8% -37,5%
  • 22. 22 Segment C and Segment D – Top 10 – August 2020YTD Source: UNRAE, Arthur D. Little Analysis Italy – New Car Registrations by Segment C “Medium” D “Executive” 19.295 17.495 15.750 15.108 14.670 11.675 11.647 10.848 10.637 9.619 TIPO500X RENEGADE T-ROC DUSTER COMPASS GOLF 3008 ECOSPORT QASHQAI 10.749 7.117 5.766 5.012 4.350 4.349 4.073 3.928 3.635 3.449 KUGA RR EVOQUE A4TIGUAN Q3 RAV4 STELVIOX1 OCTAVIA SERIE 3 ∆ Vol. % 20/19 YTD ∆ Vol. % 20/19 YTD -35,0% -42,8% -45,6% -51,2% -43,4% -40,1% -30,0% -44,6% -49,8% -44,7% -33,9% -9,6% -24,9% -54,0% -16,1% -38,1% -47,9% -15,5% -30,9% 1,3% Medium Segment and Executive Segment continue to have a bad performance registering another consecutive drop (respectively -40,9% and -34,0% compared to August 2019). But in terms of MS onYTD basis Segment C decreased (-1,1 p.p) and Segment D increased (+0,9 p.p)
  • 23. 23 Segment E and Segment F – Top 10 – August 2020YTD Source: UNRAE, Arthur D. Little Analysis Italy – New Car Registrations by Segment E “Luxury” F “Ultra Luxury” 860 220 162 132 131 131 126 124 123 122 A8PANAMERA MODEL S488911 TAYCANGHIBLI PORTOFINO MODEL X F-TYPE ∆ Vol. % 20/19 YTD ∆ Vol. % 20/19 YTD 135,8% -46,7% -56,6% -43,8% -18,9% 34,6% -30,4% -65,5% -19,5% -7,6% 24,6% -52,7% -53,4% N/A -8,4% -32,1% 3,3% -28,3% -17,4% 5,2% 1.655 1.575 1.228 1.164 1.160 1.034 1.021 880 679 545 Q8RANGE ROVER SPORT CAYENNEGLE A6 SERIE 5 X5 CLASSE E XC90 GRAND CHEROKEE Both Segment E and Segment F have slightly increased in terms of market shares (+0.1 p.p and +0.1 p.p respectively).While Segment F, despite COVID-19, has lost only 22,5% (or 879 units sold less vs.August 2019), the drop of Segment E was more relevant (-35.4% or 8.512 units less vs.August 2019)
  • 24. 24 Agenda 1 Europe 2 Italy 3 New Car Models Launches in Italy 4 Focus:Analysis of Italian fleet emissions
  • 25. 25 New Models Launch per Brand – Roadmap 2020 (1/5) Source: Quattroruote; Arthur D. Little Analysis New Car Models Launches in Italy Jan Feb Mar Apr Aug ust Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec A B C D F Commercial Launch of New Model Facelift / Technical Update Premiere Launch Concluded Launch Postponed Launch Anticipated (P) E-TronA3 Tonale C5 Aircross X6 Serie 2 Active Tourer Q5Q4 e-Tron M 3 X5 M Serie 4 Coupè C4 RomaSF 90 812 GTS Panda Mild Hybrid Giulia Plug-in Stelvio Plug-In A5 iX3 DS 9 F8 Spider 500 Full Electric500 Mild Hybrid Sandero ◼ The launch plans announced by OEMs could be delayed/reversed due to the contingent market situation
  • 26. 26 New Models Launch per Brand – Roadmap 2020 (2/5) Source: Quattroruote; Arthur D. Little Analysis New Car Models Launches in Italy Jan Feb Mar Apr Aug ust Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec F G H I J K Commercial Launch of New Model Facelift / Technical Update Premiere Launch Concluded Launch Postponed Launch Anticipated (P) Kuga XCeed Wrangler Grand CherokeeRenegadeCompass Mustang Mach-E Explorer Plug-In i 10 Jazz Hybrid e F Type XJ Electric e-Soul ◼ The launch plans announced by OEMs could be delayed/reversed due to the contingent market situation
  • 27. 27 New Models Launch per Brand – Roadmap 2020 (3/5) Source: Quattroruote; Arthur D. Little Analysis New Car Models Launches in Italy Jan Feb Mar Apr Aug ust Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec L M Commercial Launch of New Model Facelift / Technical Update Premiere Launch Concluded Launch Postponed Launch Anticipated (P) Road Rover GLA MX-30 E-Class S-ClassGLS 2 Hybrid Ghibli Mini Full Electric UX 300e Ypsilon Mild Hybrid Urus Plug-In ◼ The launch plans announced by OEMs could be delayed/reversed due to the contingent market situation
  • 28. 28 Source: Quattroruote; Arthur D. Little Analysis Commercial Launch of New Model Facelift / Technical Update Premiere Launch Concluded Launch Postponed Launch Anticipated New Models Launch per Brand – Roadmap 2020 (4/5) New Car Models Launches in Italy Jan Feb Mar Apr Aug ust Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec M N O P R S (P) Zoe El Born Mokka X 508 Plug-In 3008 Plug-In InsigniaCorsa-e Spacestar ASX Clio E-Tech Captur E-tech Leon Cupra Formentor Octavia ◼ The launch plans announced by OEMs could be delayed/reversed due to the contingent market situation
  • 29. 29 Commercial Launch of New Model Facelift / Technical Update Premiere Launch Concluded Launch Postponed Launch Anticipated New Models Launch per Brand – Roadmap 2020 (5/5) Source: Quattroruote; Arthur D. Little Analysis New Car Models Launches in Italy Jan Feb Mar Apr Aug ust Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec S T V (P) Model Y ID.3 1) EQ fortwo 2) EQ forfour Yaris XV Hybrid Vitara Hybrid S-Cross Hybrid MiraiRav 4 Plug-In ID.4 XC 40 Recharge ◼ The launch plans announced by OEMs could be delayed/reversed due to the contingent market situation
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