ArroyoVictor rev 4.21.16
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This internship abstract examines the relationship between socioeconomic factors and presidential primary outcomes in swing states in 2016. The intern will use quantitative analysis to determine if a state's race, gender, political culture, and workforce participation affected whether candidates won primaries or caucuses. Preliminary descriptive statistics found non-minority populations correlated with certain candidates' success and inverse relationships between Democratic and Republican candidates. Workforce factors also correlated with outsider candidates' vote percentages. Further regression analysis was planned to estimate the predictive power of states' compositions.
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This document summarizes Gor Sargsyan's research on the influence of political partisanship on tax rates in Vermont. Sargsyan argues that partisanship is the primary cause of changes to tax rates. He plans to examine the role of partisanship in town meetings in Vermont, where locals decide on tax and policy issues. Previous literature suggests partisanship strongly influences political and economic behaviors. Sargsyan hypothesizes that towns voting Democrat will have higher taxes, while towns voting Republican will have lower taxes. He will analyze election and tax rate data from 1970-2012 to determine if patterns exist between a town's partisan affiliation and its tax rates.
Aimoneetal2018 altruisticpunishment voting_ejpe_resub_march_2017
This document discusses a study on altruistic punishment in elections. The study uses a voting experiment to provide evidence that many voters are willing to vote at a cost to punish candidates who broke electoral promises, even when the voter is indifferent to the election outcome. Specifically, the experiment found that at least 14% of indifferent voters chose to vote against a candidate who broke a promise, incurring a personal cost to do so, indicating they voted based on altruistic punishment motives rather than strategic concerns. This provides quantitative evidence that altruistic punishment, the desire to sanction uncooperative behavior, can influence political voting decisions.
Election, particiption and voting behaviour
Voting behavior in India is influenced by many determinants. Religious, caste, community, and linguistic factors play a role as politicians appeal to these identities. Money also influences votes as it is used by parties to win elections. Ideology and policies can sway voters, as can the purpose of an election. The extent of suffrage also impacts behavior. Additionally, the charisma of leaders is very influential, as slogans and personalities have changed voter minds and election outcomes in India. Some examples given are Indira Gandhi's "Garibi Hatao" slogan and Narendra Modi's strong image. Caste alliances and regionalism further guide how many Indians vote.
Door Knocker Essay
The document discusses several aspects of successful political campaigns, including building name recognition, voter mobilization through get-out-the-vote efforts, decreasing support for opponents, fundraising, hiring professional consultants, and focusing the campaign strategy. Fundraising is important in the beginning to hire staff who can work on voter outreach, while consultants can advise on multiple races. The campaign aims to get voters to the polls and persuade them through different methods.
Monitoring of the Last US Presidential Elections
This paper presents the results of a new monitoring project of the US presidential elections with the aim of establishing computer-based tools to track in real time the popularity or awareness of candidates. The designed and developed innovative methods allow us to extract the frequency of queries sent to numerous search engines by US Internet users. Based on these data, this paper demonstrates that Trump was more frequently searched than the Democratic candidates, either Hillary Clinton in 2016 or Joe Biden in 2020. When analyzing the topics, it is observed that in 2020 the US users had shown a remarkable interest in two subjects, namely, Coronavirus and Jobs (unemployment). Interest for other topics such as Education or Healthcare were less pronounced while issues such as Immigration were given even less attention by users. Finally, some “flame” topics such as Black Lives Matter (2020) and Gun Control (2016) appear to be very popular for a few weeks before returning to a low level of interest. When analyzing tweets sent by candidates during the 2020 campaign, one can observe that Trump was focused mainly on Jobs and on Riots, announcing what would happen if Democrats took power. To these negative ads, Biden answered by putting forward moral values (e.g., love, honesty) and political symbols (e.g., democracy, rights) and by underlying the failure of the current administration in resolving the pandemic situation.
PS 371 Research Project
This document summarizes a research project examining the relationship between membership in civic groups and political participation. The study finds that membership in civic groups, higher levels of education and income, and older age are all associated with higher levels of political participation. Specifically, regression analysis shows that involvement in civic groups, volunteering for charities, and membership in nonpartisan groups are most strongly correlated with political participation. The results support the hypothesis that social connections through civic involvement can increase individuals' likelihood of political involvement.
FinalThesis
This document discusses factors that influence youth voter turnout in the United States. It notes that while the youth vote could influence elections, youth voter turnout has declined significantly over time. Three main theories are discussed to explain voter participation: rational choice theory, which cites factors like competitiveness; socialization theory, which emphasizes the role of family and community in developing political behaviors; and psychological theories, which focus on individual attitudes and perceptions. However, the document notes that none of these theories fully explain the inconsistent and generally low levels of youth voter turnout seen in the U.S. The relationship between politicians and young voters is described as one of "mutual neglect," with lack of outreach to youth seen as an important factor.
Abstract.McCandless.6.23.15..FINAL
This master's thesis analyzes Latino voting behavior and how it influences Republican party public relations strategies in the 21st century. The 85-page study examines why Latinos have historically voted for the Democratic party through researching issue voting and other voting theories. It also investigates the political disconnect between Republicans and Latinos. Through a survey, the researcher aims to determine key issues for Latinos and why they tend to vote Democratic. The study also develops a public relations strategy for Republicans to connect with Latinos based on shared issues.
Voting and Participation
This document discusses factors that influence voter turnout and voting decisions. It examines who votes and who doesn't based on demographics like age, gender, income, and education. It explores how political views are shaped by socialization, party identification, and attitudes. Voting is analyzed through considerations of past performance and future plans of candidates, as well as costs and benefits like a vote's impact and civic duty. The media's role in agenda-setting and how voters compare candidates to ideals is also summarized.
Voting behaviour in osun 2014 governorship election in nigeria
The International Institute for Science, Technology and Education (IISTE). Science, Technology and Medicine Journals Call for Academic Manuscripts
U.s. government lecture#5
This document summarizes key aspects of measuring and understanding public opinion in the United States. It discusses how public opinion is defined and measured through polling. Polls must use representative sampling, carefully worded questions, and account for respondent knowledge and biases. Many factors influence political attitudes, including family, gender, religion, education, social class, race, and geography. Ideology in the U.S. is generally viewed on a liberal-conservative spectrum, though definitions have changed over time. Most Americans do not have highly ideological views and vote based on group interests or current economic conditions.
On What Basis Indian People Vote
International Journal of Humanities and Social Science Invention (IJHSSI) is an international journal intended for professionals and researchers in all fields of Humanities and Social Science. IJHSSI publishes research articles and reviews within the whole field Humanities and Social Science, new teaching methods, assessment, validation and the impact of new technologies and it will continue to provide information on the latest trends and developments in this ever-expanding subject. The publications of papers are selected through double peer reviewed to ensure originality, relevance, and readability. The articles published in our journal can be accessed online.
Pol 140 voting_political_participation
This document discusses factors that influence voter turnout and voting decisions. It examines who votes and who doesn't based on demographics like age, gender, income, and education. It explores how political views are shaped by socialization, party identification, and attitudes. Voting decisions are analyzed through perspectives like retrospective voting based on past performance, prospective voting based on future plans, and economic theories weighing costs and benefits. Media and interpersonal influences on political knowledge are also summarized.
2013 Rockefeller Center NH State of the State Poll
2013 Rockefeller Center NH State of the State PollRockefeller Center for Public Policy at Dartmouth College
The Rockefeller Center at Dartmouth College conducted a poll of 433 registered New Hampshire voters on politics, economics, and social issues. Key findings include:
- Over three-quarters of voters support universal background checks for firearm sales.
- Views of the state and national economy have improved since last year.
- Senator Ayotte's unfavorable rating increased by 7% after her vote against expanded background checks.
- In hypothetical 2014 Senate matchups, Senator Shaheen leads potential challengers Jeb Bradley and Scott Brown. In 2016 presidential matchups, Hillary Clinton leads Chris Christie and Marco Rubio.Andre blais 1
This document analyzes data from 27 election studies across 5 countries to estimate the percentage of voters who change their minds in the month before an election. It finds that on average, about 16% of voters change their preferred party between initial interviews conducted a month before the election and post-election surveys. However, rates vary significantly between countries, from about 4% of voters in the US to 30% in New Zealand. Voters are also more likely to change their minds earlier in the campaign period compared to the final weeks.
Similar to ArroyoVictor rev 4.21.16 (20)
The Problems Associated with Political Campaign Persuasion through Propaganda...
The Problems Associated with Political Campaign Persuasion through Propaganda...
Dov Levin - Partisan electoral interventions by the great powers: Introducing...
Dov Levin - Partisan electoral interventions by the great powers: Introducing...
Aimoneetal2018 altruisticpunishment voting_ejpe_resub_march_2017
Aimoneetal2018 altruisticpunishment voting_ejpe_resub_march_2017
Voting behaviour in osun 2014 governorship election in nigeria
Voting behaviour in osun 2014 governorship election in nigeria
2013 Rockefeller Center NH State of the State Poll
2013 Rockefeller Center NH State of the State Poll
ArroyoVictor rev 4.21.16
- 1. Internship Abstract Title: 2016 Presidential Lens Name: Victor Arroyo Preceptors: Professor Debra Borie-Holtz, Assistant Teaching Professor Agency: Edward J. Bloustein School of Planning and Public Policy Purpose: To identify whether a swing state's composition of race, gender, political culture and workforce participation, controlled by election type, primary versus caucus, had an effect on the 2016 presidential primary outcomes. Significance: Swing states are important battleground states for US presidential primary candidates since the voter preferences do not always predict general election outcomes. Swing states and early voting states receive more attention from US presidential primary candidates than states where polling for a specific presidential candidate or party is skewed towards a favorite. Understanding what factors influence voters in these states can inform policy and political scholars and experts making projections about electoral decision-making. Method/Approach: This project employs a quantitative strategy to measure if there is a statistically significant relationship between the socioeconomic factors (IV) and political outcomes (DV). To conduct this analysis, bivariate statistics and correlations were measured to assess the degree the IVs may have had on contest outcomes. A regression analysis will be modeled to estimate whether a state’s composition of race,gender, political culture and workforce can explain contest outcomes or predict the remaining contests. Outcomes: Descriptive statistics indicate the higher the percentage of non-minorities per state, the more likely leading party candidates were to be selected. There was also an inverse relationship observed between the Democrat and Republican candidates. Workforce factors appear to be correlated to the percentage of victory by “outsider” candidates. At the time of publication, the regression analysis has not been modeled. Evaluation: Both descriptive and inferential statistics (bivariate, correlations and Chi squared statistics) will be triangulated to evaluate the hypothesis that socioeconomic factors are predictive of primary contest outcomes.