AEC 2015 :Impact on IT



Assoc.Prof. Dr. Thanachart Numnonda
Director
Software Park Thailand
11 July 2011
                                      1
Agenda

AEC 2015
Comparison of ICT Index in ASEAN
ASEAN ICT Industry / Policy
Thailand ICT Policy
IT Professionals toward AEC 2015




                                   2
AEC 2015




           3
ASEAN




        4
ASEAN




        5
ASEAN

•
    Population: 613 million
•
    Trade: US$ 1,536 billion (2009)
•
    Trade between ASEAN: US$ 376 billion
•
    Employment: 276 million




                                           6
7
Source: Free Flow of Services AEC, Ronnarong Phoolpipat
Main Objective of AEC




                                                          8
Source: Free Flow of Services AEC, Ronnarong Phoolpipat
Key Elements of AEC




                                                          9
Source: Free Flow of Services AEC, Ronnarong Phoolpipat
Hubs and Spokes in Asia Pacific


                                      ASEAN
                                       +3/+6             Canada
            China ROK                                             NAFTA
          ASEAN
                     ASEAN
            +1
                       +1
                        ASEAN   Japan
                          +1
           ASEAN           Thailand
                                                  U.S.             Mexico
                           Malaysia
          ASEAN+1
                        Singapore

  India    ASEAN+1
                      Brunei




                  NZ
          Australia                            Chile
                                        P4
                                                              APEC          10
Source: METI & MEC
Priority Sectors under AEC
•
        Agro based Products   •
                                     Healthcare
•
       Air Travel            •
                                   Rubber based
•
       Automotive                Products
•
       E-ASEAN/ICT           •
                                   Textiles and Apparels
•
       Electronics           •
                                   Tourism
•
       Fisheries             •
                                   Wood Based Products
                              •
                                   Logistic


                                                       11
Impact of AEC

   •
       Gross GDP to 2.65 Trillion from 1.8
   •
       Free flow of Human Resources
   •
       Landing pad for re-export
   •
       Re-thinking of Investment Incentive
   •
       Large investment opportunity
   •
       Industry Shift


                                             12
Source: K.Nattasak, Oracle
13
Source: Dr.Tanit Sorat
14
Source: Dr.Tanit Sorat
15
Source: Dr.Tanit Sorat
Comparison of ICT Index in
        ASEAN




                             16
IT Industry Competitiveness 2011




                                         17
Source: EIU2011
IT Industry Competitiveness 2011




                                         18
Source: EIU2011
e-Government Ranking




                                      19
Source: UNPAN 2012
Network Readiness Index




                          20
Internet Access




                                     21
Source: ITU 2010
Mobile Growth




                                             22
Source: Frost & Sullivan Analysis
23
Information Society Opportunity Index
                      Rankings




                                                                          24
Source: Comparison of ICT Development Strategies in Asia, Keuk-Je Sung*
Cloud Readiness Index 2011




                                                            25
Source : Asia Cloud Computing Association: September 2011
Global Services Location Index 2011




                                        26
Source : AT Kearney Feb 2011
Industry Activity in Top 10 Countries




                                           27
Source : AT Kearney Feb 2011
Export of ICT Products ($bn)




                                                                          28
Source: Comparison of ICT Development Strategies in Asia, Keuk-Je Sung*
Export & Import of ICT Products 2009 ($m)




                                                                          29
Source: Comparison of ICT Development Strategies in Asia, Keuk-Je Sung*
Export ICT Services 2009 ($m)




                                                                          30
Source: Comparison of ICT Development Strategies in Asia, Keuk-Je Sung*
Global software industry




                                                          31
Source: Software Industry Survey 2010; Aalto University
Software and software-based
      services market in 2020




                                                          32
Source: Software Industry Survey 2010; Aalto University
ASEAN ICT Industry / Policy




                              33
Malaysia

MDEC : Multimedia Super Corridor (MSC) now MSC
 Malaysia
 Phase 3: Target Export to other countries:
  – Primary: Indonesia, Vietnam, Thailand
  – Secondary: China Middle East
 IT spending in 2010 is US$4.8bn and is expected
 to grow to U$5.2bn in 2011.

                                               34
CyberJaya

The idea of an IT-themed city, Cyberjaya, 1995
Spanning an area of about 28.94 square
kilometres (7,000 acres), the town is the nucleus of
the Multimedia Super Corridor (MSC) or now
known as MSC Malaysia.




                                                   35
MSC Malaysia Status Companies




                                          36
Source: MSC Malaysia Annual Report 2009
Employment by Cluster




                                          37
Source: MSC Malaysia Annual Report 2009
Singapore

Positioning as a ICT hub for this region
 Not much after AEC 2015
 IT spending in 2010 is SGP$37bn for Hardware,
 SGP$11bn for software, SGP$8.9bn for IT
 Services
 ICT manpower 141,300 (2010)



                                                 38
Singapore Infocomm Development
          Agency Vision

Infocomm-savvy workforce and globally
competitive infocomm manpower to drive
economic competitiveness
Boost the number of infocomm jobs by 55,000 yo
about 170,000 by 2015



                                                 39
Vietnam
Positioning as a outsourcing hub
IT spending in 2011 is US$8.7bn; software $1.2bn.
27.9 Million Internet users
Strong support from the government
The national strategy “Transforming Vietnam into
and advanced ICT country” in 2020
By 2020, IT will take 8-10% of GDP
Internet user 70% of total population.
                                                40
ICT Human Resource Vietnam

Labors of IT Industry 250,290 (2010)
HW Industry 127,548
SW Industry 71,814
DC Industry 50,928
Target one million IT engineers in 2020
New enrollment of IT students in university
reached 50,000 in 2011.
290 universities/colleges with ICT education.
                                                41
Indonesia

One of the fastest growing economy
 Need more ICT professionals
 Attracted by many other countries; in and outside
 ASEAN
 29.6 Million Internet users




                                                     42
Philippines

The IT/Business Process Outsourcing (BPO)
 industry, is already a very important factor in
 economy with over half a million full-time
 employees, between 4% and 5% contribution to
 GDP
 its status as the number one BPO location in the
 world.
 BPO (finance & accounting, HR, payroll);

                                                    43
Philippines Target

Over USD 20 Billion IT/BPO revenue by 2016, up
from USD 8.9 Billion in 2010;
Exceed 900,000 FTE in IT/BPO industry by 2016,
from 525,000 in 2010;
Over 50% of IT/BPO business is non-voice related
by 2016, from 20% in 2010;
Increased number of IT graduates to 60,000 by
2016, up from 38,809 in 2009
                                               44
Philippines




              45
ICT Market Survey

                                Value in Million Baht




                                                        46
Source: NECTEC; April 2012
Software Market Survey

                                 Value in Million Baht




                                                         47
Source: TDRI, SIPA; April 2012
IT Manpower in Thailand




                                       48
Source: NECTEC, SIPA ; 2009
Thailand ICT Policy




                      49
50
Source : การเปิดเสรีด้าน ICT Professional: เมธินี เทพมณี
ASEAN ICT Master Plan




                        51
Vision




                                                           52
Source : การเปิดเสรีด้าน ICT Professional: เมธินี เทพมณี
Objectives




                                                           53
Source : การเปิดเสรีด้าน ICT Professional: เมธินี เทพมณี
ASEAN ICT MasterPlan 2015




                                                             54
Source: Ministry of Information Communication & Technology
55
Source : การเปิดเสรีด้าน ICT Professional: เมธินี เทพมณี
ICT 2020 Framework




                     56
Thailand ICT Master Plan 2020




                                                           57
Source : การเปิดเสรีด้าน ICT Professional: เมธินี เทพมณี
Thailand ICT 2020 Strategies
Broadband infrastructure to allow access to
information via broadband Internet for
about 95 per cent of Thailand's population
by 2020.
Developing ICT human capital and general
IT literacy.
Aims for a domestic ICT industry that
represents at least 6.5 per cent of GDP by
2015, increasing to 7 per cent by 2020
Developing ICT for good governance and
smart government.                             58
Thailand ICT 2020 Strategies
Developing and applying ICT in order to lift
the productivity of manufacturing and
agricultural industries.
Developing ICT for "life-long learning".
Developing ICT for a green economy and
society.




                                               59
เป้าหมาย




                                                           60
Source : การเปิดเสรีด้าน ICT Professional: เมธินี เทพมณี
61
Source : การเปิดเสรีด้าน ICT Professional: เมธินี เทพมณี
IT Professional towards AEC 2015




                                   62
Human Capital Development
           Initiative 5.1: Build Capacity




                                            63
Source: ASEAN ICT Master Plan 2015
Human Capital Development
         Initiative 5.2: Developing Skills
            Upgrading & Certifications




                                             64
Source: ASEAN ICT Master Plan 2015
วิชาชีพ




          65
Area of Focus

  •
      Software Development
  •
      ICT Project Management
  •
      Enterprise Architecture Design
  •
      Network and System Administration
  •
      Information System and Network
      Security


                                          66
Source: MICT
67
Source: Dr.Tanit Sorat
68
Source: Dr.Tanit Sorat
69
Source: Dr.Tanit Sorat
Software park Annual Conference:
IT Professional towards AEC 2015

           7 September 2012
      Centara Grand Hyatt Ladprao




                                    70
Thank you
thanachart@swpark.or.th
twitter.com/thanachart
www.facebook.com/thanachart
www.swpark.or.th
www.facebook.com/softwareparkthailand
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AEC 2015 :Impact on IT