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Adapting to water scarcity forAdapting to water scarcity for
Yemen's vulnerabilityYemen's vulnerability
communities:communities:
The case studies of SanaThe case studies of Sana’’a,a, SadahSadah
and Adenand Aden
AbdullaAbdulla NoamanNoaman
Water Environmental CenterWater Environmental Center
SanaSana’’a University, Yemena University, Yemen
22
BACKGROUNDBACKGROUND
This research is funded through (NCAP)This research is funded through (NCAP)
Administered through ETC InternationalAdministered through ETC International
Executing Agency is EnvironmentalExecuting Agency is Environmental
Protection Authority (EPA) Yemen.Protection Authority (EPA) Yemen.
Case studies under this project conductedCase studies under this project conducted
by WEC in Sanaby WEC in Sana’’a universitya university
International technical backstopping isInternational technical backstopping is
provided by SEIprovided by SEI
33
BackgroundBackground
Water scarcity is the mainWater scarcity is the main
environmental problem inenvironmental problem in
YemenYemen
Varied climate and variableVaried climate and variable
annual rainfall (less thanannual rainfall (less than
50mm to near 600 mm).50mm to near 600 mm).
Groundwater is the mainGroundwater is the main
source for domestic uses &source for domestic uses &
for the growing irrigatedfor the growing irrigated
farming which uses morefarming which uses more
than 90% of the annualthan 90% of the annual
abstraction.abstraction.
This problem is getting worseThis problem is getting worse
due to climate changesdue to climate changes
resulting in less rainfall andresulting in less rainfall and
increase temperatureincrease temperature
44
Concentration of population in Yemen and RainfallConcentration of population in Yemen and Rainfall
distributiondistribution
55
Time change of cultivated areas in different farming system
Time Change of Cultivated Areas in Different
Farming Systems
0
20
40
60
80
100
1975 1983 1990 1995 2000
Year
%
Rain fed Flood’s Spring’s Groundwater
66
ObjectivesObjectives
Evaluation of current and future vulnerability of waterEvaluation of current and future vulnerability of water
resources to climate change,resources to climate change,
Identification of a comprehensive set of adaptationIdentification of a comprehensive set of adaptation
strategies that address water scarcity in vulnerablestrategies that address water scarcity in vulnerable
communities,communities,
Revise the proposed set of adaptation strategies basedRevise the proposed set of adaptation strategies based
on stakeholder consultationson stakeholder consultations
Implement one adaptation measure identified in theImplement one adaptation measure identified in the
analysis at the pilot scale within the case study areaanalysis at the pilot scale within the case study area
Identify a comprehensive set of changes to existingIdentify a comprehensive set of changes to existing
policies and laws to facilitate adaptation to climatepolicies and laws to facilitate adaptation to climate
changechange--induced water scarcityinduced water scarcity
77
Approaches and MethodologyApproaches and Methodology
Data collection from different authorities andData collection from different authorities and
related ministriesrelated ministries
Rapid appraisal for participatory assessmentsRapid appraisal for participatory assessments
among stakeholders.among stakeholders.
WEAP water modeling to evaluate water needsWEAP water modeling to evaluate water needs
and scarcity among all sectors under a range ofand scarcity among all sectors under a range of
potential climate change scenarios.potential climate change scenarios.
Multi Criteria Analysis (MCA) to identify a set ofMulti Criteria Analysis (MCA) to identify a set of
adaptation measuresadaptation measures
88
Case studies locationsCase studies locations
Case study 1 (highly urban
area, Sana'a)
Case study 2 (coastal urban
area, Aden)
Case study 3 (rural highland
area, Sadah)
Three case study areas were selected based on:Three case study areas were selected based on:
representing a different ecological zonerepresenting a different ecological zone
Water scarcity problemsWater scarcity problems
99
Case study 1 (Sana'a Basin)
1010
Heritage signification
1111
Urban area expansion in SanaUrban area expansion in Sana’’aa
basinbasin
1212
Background cont..Background cont..
Results:Results:
rapidly depleting aquifers and more frequent water conflicts duerapidly depleting aquifers and more frequent water conflicts due toto
growing competition for water.growing competition for water.
GW abstraction in Sana'a basin
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005
Year
Millioncubicmeter
GWL Recharge to the GW GW abstraction
1313
Rainfall trendRainfall trend
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
rainfall(mm
1932 1940 1944 1964 1968 1972 1976 1980 1985 1997
years
Sana'a Airport
1414
The WEAP model of the Sana’a basin…
The schematic view of the Sana’a basin application in WEAP. There are 22 sub basins
represented and 6 aquifer nodes. Each sub basin’s demand nodes link to the appropriate
groundwater node.
1515
Sub-structure of each sub-basin…
1616
The headflow/rainfed catchment nodes…
1717
The irrigated area catchment nodes…
1818
Simulation of hydrologic processes in the catchments…
1919
The reference scenarios is not able to create
sustainable use of the all demand sites….
2020
Scenarios explore 6 different adaptation strategies…
2121
Replacing Qat with wheat production….
2222
Qat (Cathula edulis) has become a very large part of the
economy - some estimate as much as 25% of GDP, 16% of
employment and 30% of water use.
2323
Differences in crop coefficients are the driver of this scenario….
In this scenario, the monthly crop coefficient values for wheat versus
qat are the key variables that drive the difference in water demand
2424
Yearly water demand for Qat versus wheat in Wadi A Sir….
2525
Replacing Qat with wheat results in less GW drawdown….
2626
Any one of the strategies alone is not enough to create
sustainable use of the Central Plains aquifer….
2727
…..and for all aquifers
2828
But when the effects of scenarios are added
via ‘inheritance’….
2929
Adding effects of strategies approaches sustainability
for Central Plains aquifer….
3030
Possible future climate scenarios also analyzed….
‘OSU Core’ climate scenario is expected climate change: +2 degrees C
And +5% rainfall by 2050
‘UKHI dry’ climate scenario is worst case climate change: +2 degrees C
And -20% rainfall by 2050
3131
Hydrology model in WEAP explicitly simulates
climate effects on crop water demands….
3232
Climate has only small effect on groundwater volume….
3333
Consultations with Farmers andConsultations with Farmers and
Decisions makersDecisions makers
The main aim was to discuss their concerns regarding issues of water
scarcity as well as to assess their willingness to participate and be
committed in implementing the project activities (adapted strategy).
3434
Consultations with Farmers andConsultations with Farmers and
stakeholders meetingsstakeholders meetings
All Information collected through interview will entered, processed and
analyzed by MCA program in accordance with the objectives specified.
3535
Meeting with decision makersMeeting with decision makers
3636
Identify a set of adaptationIdentify a set of adaptation
measures using MCAmeasures using MCA
3737
proposed location of check dam inproposed location of check dam in WadiWadi
AsserAsser
Implement one adaptationImplement one adaptation
measuremeasure
3838
AdaptationAdaptation
(Traditional Water Harvesting(Traditional Water Harvesting
Techniques)Techniques)
TerracesTerraces
CisternsCisterns
3939
Terraces after the rainfall
4040
4141
Traditional ponds and cisternsTraditional ponds and cisterns
4242
Traditional CisternsTraditional Cisterns
Source: SFD
greater capacitygreater capacity
upward and easy access,upward and easy access,
Local materialLocal material
sediment trapsediment trap
4343
Traditional subsurface cisterns in rural
areas
Source: SFD
4444
Underground reservoir in mountainous
area
Source: SFD
4545
4646
4747
4848
4949
ConclusionConclusion
Increase knowledge and information onIncrease knowledge and information on
the vulnerability of the water resourcesthe vulnerability of the water resources
The need to emphasize awareness amongThe need to emphasize awareness among
stakeholders and decision makersstakeholders and decision makers
Mainstreaming Climate Change in allMainstreaming Climate Change in all
governmental development plans andgovernmental development plans and
programsprograms
Special program on the issues of ClimateSpecial program on the issues of Climate
Change in various governmental officesChange in various governmental offices
5050
Thanks NCAP,ETC andThanks NCAP,ETC and
SEI staffs for the programSEI staffs for the program
and regular assistancesand regular assistances
AbdullaAbdulla NoamanNoaman
Water and Environment Center (WEC)Water and Environment Center (WEC)
WWW.wec.edu.yeWWW.wec.edu.ye
wec@y.net.yewec@y.net.ye

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Adapting to water scarcity for Yemen's vulnerability communities: The case studies of Sana a, Sadah and Aden

  • 1. 11 Adapting to water scarcity forAdapting to water scarcity for Yemen's vulnerabilityYemen's vulnerability communities:communities: The case studies of SanaThe case studies of Sana’’a,a, SadahSadah and Adenand Aden AbdullaAbdulla NoamanNoaman Water Environmental CenterWater Environmental Center SanaSana’’a University, Yemena University, Yemen
  • 2. 22 BACKGROUNDBACKGROUND This research is funded through (NCAP)This research is funded through (NCAP) Administered through ETC InternationalAdministered through ETC International Executing Agency is EnvironmentalExecuting Agency is Environmental Protection Authority (EPA) Yemen.Protection Authority (EPA) Yemen. Case studies under this project conductedCase studies under this project conducted by WEC in Sanaby WEC in Sana’’a universitya university International technical backstopping isInternational technical backstopping is provided by SEIprovided by SEI
  • 3. 33 BackgroundBackground Water scarcity is the mainWater scarcity is the main environmental problem inenvironmental problem in YemenYemen Varied climate and variableVaried climate and variable annual rainfall (less thanannual rainfall (less than 50mm to near 600 mm).50mm to near 600 mm). Groundwater is the mainGroundwater is the main source for domestic uses &source for domestic uses & for the growing irrigatedfor the growing irrigated farming which uses morefarming which uses more than 90% of the annualthan 90% of the annual abstraction.abstraction. This problem is getting worseThis problem is getting worse due to climate changesdue to climate changes resulting in less rainfall andresulting in less rainfall and increase temperatureincrease temperature
  • 4. 44 Concentration of population in Yemen and RainfallConcentration of population in Yemen and Rainfall distributiondistribution
  • 5. 55 Time change of cultivated areas in different farming system Time Change of Cultivated Areas in Different Farming Systems 0 20 40 60 80 100 1975 1983 1990 1995 2000 Year % Rain fed Flood’s Spring’s Groundwater
  • 6. 66 ObjectivesObjectives Evaluation of current and future vulnerability of waterEvaluation of current and future vulnerability of water resources to climate change,resources to climate change, Identification of a comprehensive set of adaptationIdentification of a comprehensive set of adaptation strategies that address water scarcity in vulnerablestrategies that address water scarcity in vulnerable communities,communities, Revise the proposed set of adaptation strategies basedRevise the proposed set of adaptation strategies based on stakeholder consultationson stakeholder consultations Implement one adaptation measure identified in theImplement one adaptation measure identified in the analysis at the pilot scale within the case study areaanalysis at the pilot scale within the case study area Identify a comprehensive set of changes to existingIdentify a comprehensive set of changes to existing policies and laws to facilitate adaptation to climatepolicies and laws to facilitate adaptation to climate changechange--induced water scarcityinduced water scarcity
  • 7. 77 Approaches and MethodologyApproaches and Methodology Data collection from different authorities andData collection from different authorities and related ministriesrelated ministries Rapid appraisal for participatory assessmentsRapid appraisal for participatory assessments among stakeholders.among stakeholders. WEAP water modeling to evaluate water needsWEAP water modeling to evaluate water needs and scarcity among all sectors under a range ofand scarcity among all sectors under a range of potential climate change scenarios.potential climate change scenarios. Multi Criteria Analysis (MCA) to identify a set ofMulti Criteria Analysis (MCA) to identify a set of adaptation measuresadaptation measures
  • 8. 88 Case studies locationsCase studies locations Case study 1 (highly urban area, Sana'a) Case study 2 (coastal urban area, Aden) Case study 3 (rural highland area, Sadah) Three case study areas were selected based on:Three case study areas were selected based on: representing a different ecological zonerepresenting a different ecological zone Water scarcity problemsWater scarcity problems
  • 9. 99 Case study 1 (Sana'a Basin)
  • 11. 1111 Urban area expansion in SanaUrban area expansion in Sana’’aa basinbasin
  • 12. 1212 Background cont..Background cont.. Results:Results: rapidly depleting aquifers and more frequent water conflicts duerapidly depleting aquifers and more frequent water conflicts due toto growing competition for water.growing competition for water. GW abstraction in Sana'a basin 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 Year Millioncubicmeter GWL Recharge to the GW GW abstraction
  • 13. 1313 Rainfall trendRainfall trend 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 500 rainfall(mm 1932 1940 1944 1964 1968 1972 1976 1980 1985 1997 years Sana'a Airport
  • 14. 1414 The WEAP model of the Sana’a basin… The schematic view of the Sana’a basin application in WEAP. There are 22 sub basins represented and 6 aquifer nodes. Each sub basin’s demand nodes link to the appropriate groundwater node.
  • 17. 1717 The irrigated area catchment nodes…
  • 18. 1818 Simulation of hydrologic processes in the catchments…
  • 19. 1919 The reference scenarios is not able to create sustainable use of the all demand sites….
  • 20. 2020 Scenarios explore 6 different adaptation strategies…
  • 21. 2121 Replacing Qat with wheat production….
  • 22. 2222 Qat (Cathula edulis) has become a very large part of the economy - some estimate as much as 25% of GDP, 16% of employment and 30% of water use.
  • 23. 2323 Differences in crop coefficients are the driver of this scenario…. In this scenario, the monthly crop coefficient values for wheat versus qat are the key variables that drive the difference in water demand
  • 24. 2424 Yearly water demand for Qat versus wheat in Wadi A Sir….
  • 25. 2525 Replacing Qat with wheat results in less GW drawdown….
  • 26. 2626 Any one of the strategies alone is not enough to create sustainable use of the Central Plains aquifer….
  • 28. 2828 But when the effects of scenarios are added via ‘inheritance’….
  • 29. 2929 Adding effects of strategies approaches sustainability for Central Plains aquifer….
  • 30. 3030 Possible future climate scenarios also analyzed…. ‘OSU Core’ climate scenario is expected climate change: +2 degrees C And +5% rainfall by 2050 ‘UKHI dry’ climate scenario is worst case climate change: +2 degrees C And -20% rainfall by 2050
  • 31. 3131 Hydrology model in WEAP explicitly simulates climate effects on crop water demands….
  • 32. 3232 Climate has only small effect on groundwater volume….
  • 33. 3333 Consultations with Farmers andConsultations with Farmers and Decisions makersDecisions makers The main aim was to discuss their concerns regarding issues of water scarcity as well as to assess their willingness to participate and be committed in implementing the project activities (adapted strategy).
  • 34. 3434 Consultations with Farmers andConsultations with Farmers and stakeholders meetingsstakeholders meetings All Information collected through interview will entered, processed and analyzed by MCA program in accordance with the objectives specified.
  • 35. 3535 Meeting with decision makersMeeting with decision makers
  • 36. 3636 Identify a set of adaptationIdentify a set of adaptation measures using MCAmeasures using MCA
  • 37. 3737 proposed location of check dam inproposed location of check dam in WadiWadi AsserAsser Implement one adaptationImplement one adaptation measuremeasure
  • 38. 3838 AdaptationAdaptation (Traditional Water Harvesting(Traditional Water Harvesting Techniques)Techniques) TerracesTerraces CisternsCisterns
  • 40. 4040
  • 41. 4141 Traditional ponds and cisternsTraditional ponds and cisterns
  • 42. 4242 Traditional CisternsTraditional Cisterns Source: SFD greater capacitygreater capacity upward and easy access,upward and easy access, Local materialLocal material sediment trapsediment trap
  • 43. 4343 Traditional subsurface cisterns in rural areas Source: SFD
  • 44. 4444 Underground reservoir in mountainous area Source: SFD
  • 45. 4545
  • 46. 4646
  • 47. 4747
  • 48. 4848
  • 49. 4949 ConclusionConclusion Increase knowledge and information onIncrease knowledge and information on the vulnerability of the water resourcesthe vulnerability of the water resources The need to emphasize awareness amongThe need to emphasize awareness among stakeholders and decision makersstakeholders and decision makers Mainstreaming Climate Change in allMainstreaming Climate Change in all governmental development plans andgovernmental development plans and programsprograms Special program on the issues of ClimateSpecial program on the issues of Climate Change in various governmental officesChange in various governmental offices
  • 50. 5050 Thanks NCAP,ETC andThanks NCAP,ETC and SEI staffs for the programSEI staffs for the program and regular assistancesand regular assistances AbdullaAbdulla NoamanNoaman Water and Environment Center (WEC)Water and Environment Center (WEC) WWW.wec.edu.yeWWW.wec.edu.ye wec@y.net.yewec@y.net.ye