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Evaluation of precision and
accuracy of a measurement




                              1
Accuracy × precision
The term accuracy refers to the closeness
between measurements and their true values.
The further a measurement is from its true
value, the less accurate it is.
As opposed to accuracy, the term precision is
related to the closeness to one another of a set
of repeated observation of a random variable.
If such observations are closely gathered
together, then they are said to have been
obtained with high precision.
                                                   2
It should be apparent that observations may be
precise but not accurate, if they are closely
grouped together but about a value that is
different from the true value by a significant
amount.
Also, observations may be accurate but not
precise if they are well distributed about the
true value but dispersed significantly from one
another.


                                                  3
Example – rifle shots
(a) – both accurate and precise
(b) – precise but not accurate
(c) – accurate but not precise




                                  4
Errors

Errors are considered to be of three types:
1. mistakes,
2. systematic errors,
3. random errors.




                                              5
Mistakes

Mistakes actually are not errors because they
usually are so gross in size compared to the
other two types of errors. One of the most
common reasons for mistakes is simple
carelessness of the observer, who may take the
wrong reading of a scale or, if the proper value
was read, may record the wrong one by
transposing numbers, for example.

                                               6
Systematic errors

Systematic errors or effects occur according to
a system that, if known, always can be
expressed by a mathematical formulation. Any
change in one or more of the elements of the
system will cause a change in the character of
the systematic effects if the observational
process is repeated. Systematic errors occur
due to natural causes, instrumental factors and
the observer’s human limitation.
                                              7
Random errors
Random errors are unavoidable in so far as the
observer is concerned.
 Example: if the true value of an angle is
41,1336 gon and the angle is measured 20
times, it is usual to get values for each of the
measurements that differ slightly from the true
angle. Each of these values has a probability
that it will occur. The closer the value
approaches 41,1336 gon, the higher is the
probability, and the farther away it is, the
lower is the probability.                        8
Characteristics of random errors:
• probability of a plus and minus error of the
  certain size is the same,
• probability of a small error is higher than
  probability of a large error,
• errors larger than a certain limit do not occur
  (they are considered to be mistakes).

 The distribution of random errors is called
 normal (Gauss) distribution and is interpreted
 matematically with the Gauss curve →
                                                    9
E(x) - 2
            σ




     E(x) - 1
            σ
                    ϕ(x)



       E(x)
              A
              B



     E(x) + 1
            σ




     E(x) + 2
            σ
10
                x
E(x) is expected value (unknown true value of a
   quantity),
σ2 is variance = square of standard deviation.

 It is not possible to find out the real value of a
 quantity. The result of a measurement is the
 most reliable value of a quantity and its
 accuracy.



                                                      11
ε i = ∆i + ci

εi … real error of a measurement
Δi … random error
ci … systematic error
ε i = X − li


X … true (real) value of a quantity
 li … measured value of a quantity
                                      12
Processing of measurements with the
           same accuracy
Specification of measurement accuracy =
standard deviation.
                   n

     [ εε ]       ∑εi 2
σ=            =   i =1

       n               n


n … number of measurements,
σ … if n → ∞,
s … if n is smaller number.
                                          13
The true value of a quantity X is unknown
(→ the real error ε is also unknown).
Therefore the arithmetic mean is used as the
most probable estimation of X. The difference
between the average and a particular
measurement is called correction vi. The
standard deviation s is calculated using these
corrections.
                  n                                      n


      [ l]       ∑li                       [ vv ]       ∑v     i
                                                                   2


l   =        =   i =1
                        vi = l − li   s=
                                           n −1
                                                    =   i =1

                                                        n −1
       n           n


                                                                       14
If the standard deviation of one measurement
is known and the measurement is carried out
more than once, the standard deviation of the
average is calculated according to the formula
     σ
σl =
      n




                                                 15
Processing of measurements with the
     same accuracy – example
Problem: a distance was measured 5x under
the same conditions and by the same method
  (= with the same accuracy). Measured values
are: 5,628; 5,626; 5,627; 5,624; 5,628 m.
Calculate the average distance, the standard
deviation of one measurement and the standard
deviation of the average.


                                           16
Solution:
      i              l/m        v/m        vv / m2
      1                 5,628    -0,0014       1,96E-06
      2                 5,626    0,0006        3,60E-07
      3                 5,627    -0,0004       1,60E-07
      4                 5,624    0,0026        6,76E-06
      5                 5,628    -0,0014       1,96E-06
     Σ                 28,133     0,000        1,12E-05

 l = 5,6266 m, sl = 0,0017 m, sl = 0,00075 m
                 i

                                                     17
Law of standard deviation propagation
  Sometimes it is not possible to measure a value of
  a quantity directly and then this value is
  determined implicitly by calculation using other
  measured values.
  Examples:
• area of a triangle – two distances and an angle are
  measured,
• height difference – a slope distance and a zenith
  angle are measured.
                                                  18
If a mathematical relation between measured
and calculated values is known, the standard
deviation of the calculated value can be
derived using the law of standard deviation
propagation.




                                               19
If a mathematical relation is known
 y = f ( x1 , x2 , x3 , x4 ,..., x k )
then
 y + ε y = f ( x1 + ε x1 , x2 + ε x2 , x3 + ε x3 , x4 + ε x4 ,..., xk + ε xk )

Real errors are much smaller than measured
values therefore the right part of the equation can
be expanded according to the Taylor’s expansion
(using terms of the first degree only).
                                                                          20
∂f          ∂f          ∂f                 ∂f
y + ε y = f ( x1 , x2 , x3 ,..., xk ) +      ε x1 +      ε x2 +      ε x3 + ... +      ε xk
                                        ∂ x1        ∂ x2        ∂ x3              ∂ xk


Law of real error propagation:

     ∂f          ∂f          ∂f                ∂f
εy =      ε x1 +      ε x2 +      ε x3 + ... +      ε xk
     ∂ x1        ∂ x2        ∂ x3              ∂ xk




                                                                                         21
Real errors of measured values are not usually
known but standard deviations are known.
The law of standard deviation propagation:
            2                2                2                    2
     ∂f  2          ∂f  2          ∂f  2               ∂f  2
σy =
  2
           ÷ σ x1   +      ÷ σ x2   +      ÷ σ x3 + ... +       ÷ σ xk
     ∂ x1           ∂ x2           ∂ x3                ∂ xk 




                                                                       22
It is possible to use the law of standard
     deviation propagation if only:

1.   Measured quantities are mutually independent.
2.   Real errors are random.
3.   Errors are much smaller than measured values.
4.   There is the same unit of all terms.




                                                 23
Examples
Problem 1: the formula for a calculation of the
standard deviation of the average should be
derived if the standard deviation of one
measurement is known and all measurements
were carried out with the same accuracy
Solution:         l1 + l2 + ...ln
              l =
                             n
                  1
                     {
             ε l = ε l1 + ε l2 + ... + ε ln
                  n
                                           }
                   1 2
                         {
             σ l = 2 σ l1 + σ l22 + ... + σ l2n
                2

                  n
                                                  }
                                                      24
The real errors are random and generally different
ε l1 ≠ ε l2 ≠ ... ≠ ε ln

The standard deviations are the same for all
measurements
σ l2 = σ l2 = ... = σ l2 = σ l2
  1       2            n




therefore
    1                             1             n          1 2
σ = 2 { σ l + σ l + ... + σ l } = 2 { n × l } = 2 { σ l } = σ l
  2
  l
          2     2           2
                                         σ 2          2

   n                             n             n           n
         1
σl =          σl
          n                                                 25
Problem 2: two distances were measured in a
  triangle a = 34,352 m, b = 28,311 m with the
  accuracy σa = σb = 0,002 m. The horizontal
  angle was also measured ω = 52,3452°,        σω
  = 0,0045°. Calculate the standard deviation of
  the area of the triangle.
                  1
  Solution: P = a ×b ×sin( ω )
                      2
      1                 1                  1                        π
ε P = b ×sin( ω ) ×ε a + a ×sin( ω ) ×ε b + a ×b ×cos( ω ) ×ε ω ×
      2                 2                  2                     180°
       180° 
 ρ° =
        π ÷                                                    26
1                    1                    1                      σω
                                                                       2
σ P = ( b ×sin( ω )) × a + ( a ×sin( ω )) × b + ( a ×b ×cos( ω ) ) ×
                    2                    2                        2
  2
                      σ2                   σ2
                                                                    ( ρ°)
                                                                          2
     4                    4                    4

σ a = σ b = σ d:
    1 2                        1                     σω
                                                      2
σP = ( b + a2 ) × 2 ( ω ) × d + ( a × ×
                                     b cos( ω ) ) ×
                                                 2
 2
                 sin      σ2
                                                   ( ρ°)
                                                         2
    4                          4



σP = 0,043 m2.



                                                                      27

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Accuracy

  • 1. Evaluation of precision and accuracy of a measurement 1
  • 2. Accuracy × precision The term accuracy refers to the closeness between measurements and their true values. The further a measurement is from its true value, the less accurate it is. As opposed to accuracy, the term precision is related to the closeness to one another of a set of repeated observation of a random variable. If such observations are closely gathered together, then they are said to have been obtained with high precision. 2
  • 3. It should be apparent that observations may be precise but not accurate, if they are closely grouped together but about a value that is different from the true value by a significant amount. Also, observations may be accurate but not precise if they are well distributed about the true value but dispersed significantly from one another. 3
  • 4. Example – rifle shots (a) – both accurate and precise (b) – precise but not accurate (c) – accurate but not precise 4
  • 5. Errors Errors are considered to be of three types: 1. mistakes, 2. systematic errors, 3. random errors. 5
  • 6. Mistakes Mistakes actually are not errors because they usually are so gross in size compared to the other two types of errors. One of the most common reasons for mistakes is simple carelessness of the observer, who may take the wrong reading of a scale or, if the proper value was read, may record the wrong one by transposing numbers, for example. 6
  • 7. Systematic errors Systematic errors or effects occur according to a system that, if known, always can be expressed by a mathematical formulation. Any change in one or more of the elements of the system will cause a change in the character of the systematic effects if the observational process is repeated. Systematic errors occur due to natural causes, instrumental factors and the observer’s human limitation. 7
  • 8. Random errors Random errors are unavoidable in so far as the observer is concerned. Example: if the true value of an angle is 41,1336 gon and the angle is measured 20 times, it is usual to get values for each of the measurements that differ slightly from the true angle. Each of these values has a probability that it will occur. The closer the value approaches 41,1336 gon, the higher is the probability, and the farther away it is, the lower is the probability. 8
  • 9. Characteristics of random errors: • probability of a plus and minus error of the certain size is the same, • probability of a small error is higher than probability of a large error, • errors larger than a certain limit do not occur (they are considered to be mistakes). The distribution of random errors is called normal (Gauss) distribution and is interpreted matematically with the Gauss curve → 9
  • 10. E(x) - 2 σ E(x) - 1 σ ϕ(x) E(x) A B E(x) + 1 σ E(x) + 2 σ 10 x
  • 11. E(x) is expected value (unknown true value of a quantity), σ2 is variance = square of standard deviation. It is not possible to find out the real value of a quantity. The result of a measurement is the most reliable value of a quantity and its accuracy. 11
  • 12. ε i = ∆i + ci εi … real error of a measurement Δi … random error ci … systematic error ε i = X − li X … true (real) value of a quantity li … measured value of a quantity 12
  • 13. Processing of measurements with the same accuracy Specification of measurement accuracy = standard deviation. n [ εε ] ∑εi 2 σ= = i =1 n n n … number of measurements, σ … if n → ∞, s … if n is smaller number. 13
  • 14. The true value of a quantity X is unknown (→ the real error ε is also unknown). Therefore the arithmetic mean is used as the most probable estimation of X. The difference between the average and a particular measurement is called correction vi. The standard deviation s is calculated using these corrections. n n [ l] ∑li [ vv ] ∑v i 2 l = = i =1 vi = l − li s= n −1 = i =1 n −1 n n 14
  • 15. If the standard deviation of one measurement is known and the measurement is carried out more than once, the standard deviation of the average is calculated according to the formula σ σl = n 15
  • 16. Processing of measurements with the same accuracy – example Problem: a distance was measured 5x under the same conditions and by the same method (= with the same accuracy). Measured values are: 5,628; 5,626; 5,627; 5,624; 5,628 m. Calculate the average distance, the standard deviation of one measurement and the standard deviation of the average. 16
  • 17. Solution: i l/m v/m vv / m2 1 5,628 -0,0014 1,96E-06 2 5,626 0,0006 3,60E-07 3 5,627 -0,0004 1,60E-07 4 5,624 0,0026 6,76E-06 5 5,628 -0,0014 1,96E-06 Σ 28,133 0,000 1,12E-05 l = 5,6266 m, sl = 0,0017 m, sl = 0,00075 m i 17
  • 18. Law of standard deviation propagation Sometimes it is not possible to measure a value of a quantity directly and then this value is determined implicitly by calculation using other measured values. Examples: • area of a triangle – two distances and an angle are measured, • height difference – a slope distance and a zenith angle are measured. 18
  • 19. If a mathematical relation between measured and calculated values is known, the standard deviation of the calculated value can be derived using the law of standard deviation propagation. 19
  • 20. If a mathematical relation is known y = f ( x1 , x2 , x3 , x4 ,..., x k ) then y + ε y = f ( x1 + ε x1 , x2 + ε x2 , x3 + ε x3 , x4 + ε x4 ,..., xk + ε xk ) Real errors are much smaller than measured values therefore the right part of the equation can be expanded according to the Taylor’s expansion (using terms of the first degree only). 20
  • 21. ∂f ∂f ∂f ∂f y + ε y = f ( x1 , x2 , x3 ,..., xk ) + ε x1 + ε x2 + ε x3 + ... + ε xk ∂ x1 ∂ x2 ∂ x3 ∂ xk Law of real error propagation: ∂f ∂f ∂f ∂f εy = ε x1 + ε x2 + ε x3 + ... + ε xk ∂ x1 ∂ x2 ∂ x3 ∂ xk 21
  • 22. Real errors of measured values are not usually known but standard deviations are known. The law of standard deviation propagation: 2 2 2 2  ∂f  2  ∂f  2  ∂f  2  ∂f  2 σy = 2 ÷ σ x1 + ÷ σ x2 + ÷ σ x3 + ... +  ÷ σ xk  ∂ x1   ∂ x2   ∂ x3   ∂ xk  22
  • 23. It is possible to use the law of standard deviation propagation if only: 1. Measured quantities are mutually independent. 2. Real errors are random. 3. Errors are much smaller than measured values. 4. There is the same unit of all terms. 23
  • 24. Examples Problem 1: the formula for a calculation of the standard deviation of the average should be derived if the standard deviation of one measurement is known and all measurements were carried out with the same accuracy Solution: l1 + l2 + ...ln l = n 1 { ε l = ε l1 + ε l2 + ... + ε ln n } 1 2 { σ l = 2 σ l1 + σ l22 + ... + σ l2n 2 n } 24
  • 25. The real errors are random and generally different ε l1 ≠ ε l2 ≠ ... ≠ ε ln The standard deviations are the same for all measurements σ l2 = σ l2 = ... = σ l2 = σ l2 1 2 n therefore 1 1 n 1 2 σ = 2 { σ l + σ l + ... + σ l } = 2 { n × l } = 2 { σ l } = σ l 2 l 2 2 2 σ 2 2 n n n n 1 σl = σl n 25
  • 26. Problem 2: two distances were measured in a triangle a = 34,352 m, b = 28,311 m with the accuracy σa = σb = 0,002 m. The horizontal angle was also measured ω = 52,3452°, σω = 0,0045°. Calculate the standard deviation of the area of the triangle. 1 Solution: P = a ×b ×sin( ω ) 2 1 1 1 π ε P = b ×sin( ω ) ×ε a + a ×sin( ω ) ×ε b + a ×b ×cos( ω ) ×ε ω × 2 2 2 180°  180°   ρ° =  π ÷  26
  • 27. 1 1 1 σω 2 σ P = ( b ×sin( ω )) × a + ( a ×sin( ω )) × b + ( a ×b ×cos( ω ) ) × 2 2 2 2 σ2 σ2 ( ρ°) 2 4 4 4 σ a = σ b = σ d: 1 2 1 σω 2 σP = ( b + a2 ) × 2 ( ω ) × d + ( a × × b cos( ω ) ) × 2 2 sin σ2 ( ρ°) 2 4 4 σP = 0,043 m2. 27