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Equities I Commodities I Currencies I Mutual Funds
Aaj Ka Trend
Technical View:
As expected MCX Gold achieved its short term target of
31850 levels. MCX Gold prices have witnessed breakout of its
falling wedge Pattern at 31574 levels on hourly basis. On the
other hand, MCX Gold prices have been trading above its 100
HEMA which indicates positive confirmation to the prices.
Moreover, Momentum Indicator RSI is trading above 50 levels
in hourly time frame. For now we expect prices should move
higher towards 32200 levels in the coming trading sessions.
SEBI Registered - Research Analyst Equities I Commodities I Currencies I Mutual Funds
Bullions
MCX Gold August Hourly Chart CMP: 31783
MCX Gold (Aug) Trend: Bullish
Price potential: 32200 Reversal:31600
MCX Silver Sept Hourly Chart CMP: 47465
Technical View:
As expected MCX Silver achieved its short term target of
47200 levels. MCX Silver prices are trading in higher High
Higher Low formation hourly basis. Counter has breached its
horizontal trend line resistance on hourly time frame. On the
other hand, MCX Silver prices have been trading above its 50
HEMA which indicates positive confirmation to the prices.
Moreover, momentum indicator RSI is trading above 70 levels
on hourly chart. For now we expect prices to move higher
towards 49000 levels in few trading sessions.
MCX Silver (Sept) Trend: Bullish
Price potential: 49000 Reversal: 47750
Pivot levels for the Day
S1 S2 S3 Pivot R1 R2 R3
Gold 31659 31504 31254 31754 31909 32004 32254
Silver 46941 45532 43128 47936 49345 50340 52744
05th July’16
Equities I Commodities I Currencies I Mutual Funds
Technical View:
MCX Copper prices are trading in Rising channel Formation
on hourly chart. Furthermore, prices have been trading
above its 50 HEMA on hourly chart. Moreover, Counter is
trading above its Super Trend indicator on hourly time
frame. MCX Copper is trading in a Higher high Higher low
formation. On the other hand, momentum indicator RSI is
trading above 50 levels on hourly chart. For now we expect
prices to move higher towards 342 levels in coming
trading sessions.
SEBI Registered - Research Analyst Equities I Commodities I Currencies I Mutual Funds
MCX Copper June hourly Chart CMP: 332.60
MCX Copper (June) Trend: Bullish
Price potential: 342 Reversal: 329
MCX Crude Oil July. Hourly Chart CMP: 3277
Technical View:
MCX Crude Oil prices are holding stiff resistance of
horizontal trend line on hourly basis. On the other hand
prices have been trading below its 21 HEMA on MCX Crude
Oil hourly chart. Furthermore, Negative Crossover is
observed in momentum Indicator MACD on hourly basis.
Moreover, Momentum indicator RSI is trading below 50
levels on hourly chart. For now we expect prices to move
lower towards 3210 levels in coming trading sessions.
MCX Crude Oil (July) Trend: Bearish
Price potential: 3210 Reversal: 3340
Pivot levels for the Day
S1 S2 S3 Pivot R1 R2 R3
Copper 330.9 328.6 323.3 334.0 336.2 339.3 344.7
Crude 3275 3254 3210 3298 3319 3342 3386
Base Metal
Energy
Aaj Ka Trend
05th July’16
Equities I Commodities I Currencies I Mutual FundsSEBI Registered - Research Analyst Equities I Commodities I Currencies I Mutual Funds
Other Base Metals & Energy
S1 S2 S3 Pivot R1 R2 R3 Trend
Copper 330.9 328.6 323.3 334.0 336.2 339.3 344.7
Aluminum 110.5 109.8 108.2 111.5 112.1 113.1 114.8
Lead 122.9 121.4 117.9 124.9 126.4 128.4 131.9
Nickel 670.5 653.6 621.2 686.0 702.9 718.4 750.8
Zinc 141.1 139.7 136.2 143.3 144.7 146.8 150.4
Natural Gas 193.4 191.5 187.0 196.0 197.9 200.5 205.0
Fundamental News:
 Gold prices rallied on Friday, closing just below a 27-month peak, amid fading expectations of a Federal Reserve
rate hike in the next couple of months and as investors continued to digest the political and economic aftermath
of the U.K.’s decision to leave the European Union.
 Gold prices extended gains from last week in European trade on Monday, staying near the strongest level in
more than two years, while silver spiked to levels not seen since July 2014.
 Silver futures spiked to levels not seen since July 2014 on Monday, while gold stayed near the strongest level in
more than two years, as bullish momentum in the precious metals complex remained intact.
 Oil futures ended higher on Friday, as a weaker U.S. dollar lent support to the commodity and amid subsiding
fears about the Brexit referendum’s impact on crude demand.
 Oil prices pushed higher in European trade on Monday, as market players monitored more disruption to
supplies from Nigeria.
 Oil prices struggled for direction in North American trade on Monday, flipping between small gains and losses as
market players monitored supply disruptions across the world for further indications on the rebalancing of the
market.
 Oil prices eased on Monday after comments by Saudi Energy Minister Khaled Al-Faleh that the market was
heading towards balance were tempered by signs of slowing demand in Asia.
 U.S. natural gas futures declined for the first time in three sessions on Monday, as investors cashed out of the
market to lock in gains from a recent rally which took prices to a more than one-year high.
Aaj Ka Trend
05th July’16
Equities I Commodities I Currencies I Mutual FundsSEBI Registered - Research Analyst Equities I Commodities I Currencies I Mutual Funds
International Market
Commodity Closing Price
Gold 1350.83
Silver 20.35
Crude Oil 48.47
Brent Crude Oil 49.79
Natural Gas 2.91
COMEX/NYMEX/ICE ( Precious Metals & Energy) Currency & Commodity Index
Currency (Spot) Current Price
USD / INR 67.27
Dollar Index 95.61
EUR / USD 1.1145
CRB Index* 194.25
Closing as on 04.07.16 *Closing as on 04.07.16
LME (Base Metals) ( $ per tones)
Commodity Closing Price
Copper 4893
Aluminum 1649.50
Zinc 2118
Lead 1846
Nickel 10195
SHFE (Base Metals) (Yuan per tones)
Commodity Closing Price
Copper 37640
Aluminum 12365
Zinc 16385
Lead 13050
Closing as on 04.07.16 Closing as on 04.07.16
LME INVENTORY DATA
Aaj Ka Trend
28-June-16 29-June-16 30-June-16 01-July-16 04-July-16
Aluminium -8675 -6700 -5750 -5750 -7025
Copper 1250 1250 -2675 -2400 -725
Lead -275 900 -948 -75 -75
Nickel -708 -978 -1025 -228 -1452
Zinc -1200 -2350 16950 -475 -600
05th July’16
Equities I Commodities I Currencies I Mutual Funds
This is solely for information of clients of Choice Broking and does not construe to be an investment advice. It is also not intended as an offer or solicitation
for the purchase and sale of any financial instruments. Any action taken by you on the basis of the information contained herein is your responsibility alone
and Choice Broking its subsidiaries or its employees or associates will not be liable in any manner for the consequences of such action taken by you. We
have exercised due diligence in checking the correctness and authenticity of the information contained in this recommendation, but Choice Broking or any of
its subsidiaries or associates or employees shall not be in any way responsible for any loss or damage that may arise to any person from any inadvertent
error in the information contained in this recommendation or any action taken on basis of this information. Technical analysis studies market psychology,
price patterns and volume levels. It is used to forecast future price and market movements. Technical analysis is complementary to fundamental analysis
and news sources. The recommendations issued herewith might be contrary to recommendations issued by Choice Broking in the company research
undertaken as the recommendations stated in this report is derived purely from technical analysis. Choice Broking has based this document on information
obtained from sources it believes to be reliable but which it has not independently verified; Choice Broking makes no guarantee, representation or warranty
and accepts no responsibility or liability as to its accuracy or completeness. The opinions contained within the report are based upon publicly available
information at the time of publication and are subject to change without notice. The information and any disclosures provided herein are in summary form
and have been prepared for informational purposes. The recommendations and suggested price levels are intended purely for trading purposes. The
recommendations are valid for the day of the report however trading trends and volumes might vary substantially on an intraday basis and the
recommendations may be subject to change. The information and any disclosures provided herein may be considered confidential. Any use, distribution,
modification, copying, forwarding or disclosure by any person is strictly prohibited. The information and any disclosures provided herein do not constitute a
solicitation or offer to purchase or sell any security or other financial product or instrument. The current performance may be unaudited. Past performance
does not guarantee future returns. There can be no assurance that investments will achieve any targeted rates of return, and there is no guarantee against
the loss of your entire investment.
POTENTIAL CONFLICT OF INTEREST DISCLOSURE (as on date of report) Disclosure of interest statement – • Analyst interest of the stock
/Instrument(s): - No. • Firm interest of the stock / Instrument (s): - No.
Disclaimer
Contact Us
Amit Pathania
Research Associate
amit.pathania@choiceindia.com
Rohan Patil
Research Associate
rohan.patil@choiceindia.com
www.choiceindia.comcustomercare@choiceindia.com
SEBI Registered - Research Analyst Equities I Commodities I Currencies I Mutual Funds
Aaj Ka Trend
05th July’16
Neeraj Yadav
Research Advisor
neeraj.yadav@choiceindia.com
Anish Vyas
Senior Research Associate
anish.vyas@choiceindia.com
Anish Vyas
Digitally signed by Anish Vyas
DN: cn=Anish Vyas, o=Choice Merchandise
Broking Pvt. Ltd, ou=Sr. Research Associate,
email=anish.vyas@choiceindia.com, c=IN
Date: 2016.07.05 08:52:07 +05'30'

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Aaj ka trend 05.07.16

  • 1. Equities I Commodities I Currencies I Mutual Funds Aaj Ka Trend Technical View: As expected MCX Gold achieved its short term target of 31850 levels. MCX Gold prices have witnessed breakout of its falling wedge Pattern at 31574 levels on hourly basis. On the other hand, MCX Gold prices have been trading above its 100 HEMA which indicates positive confirmation to the prices. Moreover, Momentum Indicator RSI is trading above 50 levels in hourly time frame. For now we expect prices should move higher towards 32200 levels in the coming trading sessions. SEBI Registered - Research Analyst Equities I Commodities I Currencies I Mutual Funds Bullions MCX Gold August Hourly Chart CMP: 31783 MCX Gold (Aug) Trend: Bullish Price potential: 32200 Reversal:31600 MCX Silver Sept Hourly Chart CMP: 47465 Technical View: As expected MCX Silver achieved its short term target of 47200 levels. MCX Silver prices are trading in higher High Higher Low formation hourly basis. Counter has breached its horizontal trend line resistance on hourly time frame. On the other hand, MCX Silver prices have been trading above its 50 HEMA which indicates positive confirmation to the prices. Moreover, momentum indicator RSI is trading above 70 levels on hourly chart. For now we expect prices to move higher towards 49000 levels in few trading sessions. MCX Silver (Sept) Trend: Bullish Price potential: 49000 Reversal: 47750 Pivot levels for the Day S1 S2 S3 Pivot R1 R2 R3 Gold 31659 31504 31254 31754 31909 32004 32254 Silver 46941 45532 43128 47936 49345 50340 52744 05th July’16
  • 2. Equities I Commodities I Currencies I Mutual Funds Technical View: MCX Copper prices are trading in Rising channel Formation on hourly chart. Furthermore, prices have been trading above its 50 HEMA on hourly chart. Moreover, Counter is trading above its Super Trend indicator on hourly time frame. MCX Copper is trading in a Higher high Higher low formation. On the other hand, momentum indicator RSI is trading above 50 levels on hourly chart. For now we expect prices to move higher towards 342 levels in coming trading sessions. SEBI Registered - Research Analyst Equities I Commodities I Currencies I Mutual Funds MCX Copper June hourly Chart CMP: 332.60 MCX Copper (June) Trend: Bullish Price potential: 342 Reversal: 329 MCX Crude Oil July. Hourly Chart CMP: 3277 Technical View: MCX Crude Oil prices are holding stiff resistance of horizontal trend line on hourly basis. On the other hand prices have been trading below its 21 HEMA on MCX Crude Oil hourly chart. Furthermore, Negative Crossover is observed in momentum Indicator MACD on hourly basis. Moreover, Momentum indicator RSI is trading below 50 levels on hourly chart. For now we expect prices to move lower towards 3210 levels in coming trading sessions. MCX Crude Oil (July) Trend: Bearish Price potential: 3210 Reversal: 3340 Pivot levels for the Day S1 S2 S3 Pivot R1 R2 R3 Copper 330.9 328.6 323.3 334.0 336.2 339.3 344.7 Crude 3275 3254 3210 3298 3319 3342 3386 Base Metal Energy Aaj Ka Trend 05th July’16
  • 3. Equities I Commodities I Currencies I Mutual FundsSEBI Registered - Research Analyst Equities I Commodities I Currencies I Mutual Funds Other Base Metals & Energy S1 S2 S3 Pivot R1 R2 R3 Trend Copper 330.9 328.6 323.3 334.0 336.2 339.3 344.7 Aluminum 110.5 109.8 108.2 111.5 112.1 113.1 114.8 Lead 122.9 121.4 117.9 124.9 126.4 128.4 131.9 Nickel 670.5 653.6 621.2 686.0 702.9 718.4 750.8 Zinc 141.1 139.7 136.2 143.3 144.7 146.8 150.4 Natural Gas 193.4 191.5 187.0 196.0 197.9 200.5 205.0 Fundamental News:  Gold prices rallied on Friday, closing just below a 27-month peak, amid fading expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike in the next couple of months and as investors continued to digest the political and economic aftermath of the U.K.’s decision to leave the European Union.  Gold prices extended gains from last week in European trade on Monday, staying near the strongest level in more than two years, while silver spiked to levels not seen since July 2014.  Silver futures spiked to levels not seen since July 2014 on Monday, while gold stayed near the strongest level in more than two years, as bullish momentum in the precious metals complex remained intact.  Oil futures ended higher on Friday, as a weaker U.S. dollar lent support to the commodity and amid subsiding fears about the Brexit referendum’s impact on crude demand.  Oil prices pushed higher in European trade on Monday, as market players monitored more disruption to supplies from Nigeria.  Oil prices struggled for direction in North American trade on Monday, flipping between small gains and losses as market players monitored supply disruptions across the world for further indications on the rebalancing of the market.  Oil prices eased on Monday after comments by Saudi Energy Minister Khaled Al-Faleh that the market was heading towards balance were tempered by signs of slowing demand in Asia.  U.S. natural gas futures declined for the first time in three sessions on Monday, as investors cashed out of the market to lock in gains from a recent rally which took prices to a more than one-year high. Aaj Ka Trend 05th July’16
  • 4. Equities I Commodities I Currencies I Mutual FundsSEBI Registered - Research Analyst Equities I Commodities I Currencies I Mutual Funds International Market Commodity Closing Price Gold 1350.83 Silver 20.35 Crude Oil 48.47 Brent Crude Oil 49.79 Natural Gas 2.91 COMEX/NYMEX/ICE ( Precious Metals & Energy) Currency & Commodity Index Currency (Spot) Current Price USD / INR 67.27 Dollar Index 95.61 EUR / USD 1.1145 CRB Index* 194.25 Closing as on 04.07.16 *Closing as on 04.07.16 LME (Base Metals) ( $ per tones) Commodity Closing Price Copper 4893 Aluminum 1649.50 Zinc 2118 Lead 1846 Nickel 10195 SHFE (Base Metals) (Yuan per tones) Commodity Closing Price Copper 37640 Aluminum 12365 Zinc 16385 Lead 13050 Closing as on 04.07.16 Closing as on 04.07.16 LME INVENTORY DATA Aaj Ka Trend 28-June-16 29-June-16 30-June-16 01-July-16 04-July-16 Aluminium -8675 -6700 -5750 -5750 -7025 Copper 1250 1250 -2675 -2400 -725 Lead -275 900 -948 -75 -75 Nickel -708 -978 -1025 -228 -1452 Zinc -1200 -2350 16950 -475 -600 05th July’16
  • 5. Equities I Commodities I Currencies I Mutual Funds This is solely for information of clients of Choice Broking and does not construe to be an investment advice. It is also not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase and sale of any financial instruments. Any action taken by you on the basis of the information contained herein is your responsibility alone and Choice Broking its subsidiaries or its employees or associates will not be liable in any manner for the consequences of such action taken by you. We have exercised due diligence in checking the correctness and authenticity of the information contained in this recommendation, but Choice Broking or any of its subsidiaries or associates or employees shall not be in any way responsible for any loss or damage that may arise to any person from any inadvertent error in the information contained in this recommendation or any action taken on basis of this information. Technical analysis studies market psychology, price patterns and volume levels. It is used to forecast future price and market movements. Technical analysis is complementary to fundamental analysis and news sources. The recommendations issued herewith might be contrary to recommendations issued by Choice Broking in the company research undertaken as the recommendations stated in this report is derived purely from technical analysis. Choice Broking has based this document on information obtained from sources it believes to be reliable but which it has not independently verified; Choice Broking makes no guarantee, representation or warranty and accepts no responsibility or liability as to its accuracy or completeness. The opinions contained within the report are based upon publicly available information at the time of publication and are subject to change without notice. The information and any disclosures provided herein are in summary form and have been prepared for informational purposes. The recommendations and suggested price levels are intended purely for trading purposes. The recommendations are valid for the day of the report however trading trends and volumes might vary substantially on an intraday basis and the recommendations may be subject to change. The information and any disclosures provided herein may be considered confidential. Any use, distribution, modification, copying, forwarding or disclosure by any person is strictly prohibited. The information and any disclosures provided herein do not constitute a solicitation or offer to purchase or sell any security or other financial product or instrument. The current performance may be unaudited. Past performance does not guarantee future returns. There can be no assurance that investments will achieve any targeted rates of return, and there is no guarantee against the loss of your entire investment. POTENTIAL CONFLICT OF INTEREST DISCLOSURE (as on date of report) Disclosure of interest statement – • Analyst interest of the stock /Instrument(s): - No. • Firm interest of the stock / Instrument (s): - No. Disclaimer Contact Us Amit Pathania Research Associate amit.pathania@choiceindia.com Rohan Patil Research Associate rohan.patil@choiceindia.com www.choiceindia.comcustomercare@choiceindia.com SEBI Registered - Research Analyst Equities I Commodities I Currencies I Mutual Funds Aaj Ka Trend 05th July’16 Neeraj Yadav Research Advisor neeraj.yadav@choiceindia.com Anish Vyas Senior Research Associate anish.vyas@choiceindia.com Anish Vyas Digitally signed by Anish Vyas DN: cn=Anish Vyas, o=Choice Merchandise Broking Pvt. Ltd, ou=Sr. Research Associate, email=anish.vyas@choiceindia.com, c=IN Date: 2016.07.05 08:52:07 +05'30'