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High Flying Technology
- A Personal Perspective
Nicholas Brown
1
Introduction
• Nick Brown - Engineering
Project Manager
• High Flying Technology - why
do we need to do things
differently?
• Importance of Experimentation
• De-risking
• Stakeholders
• System In-Service
2
Why?
3
CONTENTS
❖ Why
❖ Cold War
❖ Technology Invention vs Exploitation
❖ Implementation & Requirements
❖ How - Personal Example
❖ Technology Experimentation
❖ Assessment Methodology
❖ UAVs
❖ Stakeholder Engagement
❖ What
❖ What was actually procured
❖ Points to take away
4
Where were you?
5
The Cold War
❖ Bigger or Better Defences
❖ Cold War Defence drove invention
and innovation especially in
electronics world
❖ Only Budget to afford it
❖ Military to Civilian Transition
6
Example Military Products
7
❖ Pre Cold War
❖ Cold War
❖ Post Cold War
Moores Law
❖ "Moore's law" is the observation that, over the history of
computing hardware, the number of transistors in a dense
integrated circuit doubles approximately every two years.
8
Cheap Manufacturing
❖ During 1980’s China changed, a lot less insular
❖ Attracted western manufacturing in large quantity
❖ Drove down consumer prices and increased competition
9
Moores Law & Cheap Manufacturing
❖ Cost reasonable and highly useable
devices to the masses
❖ Consumer market size massively
increased
❖ Consumer drive for miniaturisation
❖ 2005 - Top Ten world commercial R&D
budgets equated to ~ $70Bn
❖ 2014 - Apple $6Bn in R&D alone
10
Research Budget
❖ Why is it important to understand the research budget for this presentation
11
What does this mean for Defence?
❖ Defence driven technology invention is mostly history
❖ New Defence Capability
❖ Cold War = ‘innovate and invent’
❖ Post Cold War = ‘react, adapt & exploit’
❖ Technology Push Vs Requirements Pull
❖ Niche defence areas still exist
12
Examples of adapted commercial equipment for the military
13
?
?
?
?
? ?
Implementation & Requirements
❖ How do we actually implement the
react, adapt and exploit philosophy
❖ Understand the market
technologies
❖ Identify how technologies may
be utilised in a military
environment
❖ Need to have product agnostic
requirements to meet
competition laws
❖ Work out when best to actually
try and procure technologies
based on development cycle not
in our control 14
Experimentation
❖ To develop and set realistic and achievable requirements in a world where
you mostly don’t drive the innovation and invention you must experiment
❖ Virtual/Simulation
❖ Live
❖ Measured
❖ Technological Risk Reduction
❖ Experimentation Issues
❖ Solution driven requirements
❖ Not prejudicing competitions
15
Experimentation within MOD
❖ Exercise Urban Warrior
❖ Land Open Systems
Architecture (LOSA)
Research, Experimentation
and Development (RED)
❖ Rotary Wing Unmanned Air
System (RWUAS) capability
concept demonstrator (CCD)
16
Personal Example
❖ Using UAVs as an example of reacting and adapting
and exploiting non defence development
❖ No specific UAV experimentation requirement
❖ Experimentation Steps Taken
❖ Management of Key Risks
❖ Stakeholder Management
❖ The End Result
17
Dismounted Experimentation Assessment
❖ Utilised an Iterative Live Trialling and Experimentation Process
for new technologies
❖ Level A - Bench Test
❖ Level B - Field and user Test
❖ Level C - Integrated user testing with other equipment
18
Experimentation Themes
❖ A range of themes where we wanted to develop our
understanding of technology not in service
❖ Tactical Situational Awareness
❖ “To provide adequate data resolution and
communications to enable mission success within a
complex environment. Information collection and
timely provision at the tactical level.”
19
What might satisfy this?
❖ Open source research conducted to understand
potential market place before advertised
❖ Expected:
20
Assessment Methodology
❖ Apart from UAVs well defined methods existed in
dismounted arena, UAVs were going to be much more
complex
❖ How would I initiate safe assessment of UAVs but still
get technology understanding answers we required?
❖ Safety?
❖ Operation?
❖ Training?
21
Safety
❖ Authority - Had to work with and comply with AA direction
❖ Civilian Regulations?
❖ Reliability, Technology Readiness Level
❖ Provider Experience/Competence
❖ Worst case?
22
Operation
❖ How could it be operated in a trial e.g. Overflight, exclusion zones,
potential functions
❖ What scenarios might it actually be useful for?
❖ What key attributes might we want to focus on?
❖ Response action plans?
23
Training
❖ Who could actually operate it on experiment operators/
pilotsWhat was the training burden?
❖ Achievable in trial time scales?
❖ What training existed already?
❖ Mitigations
24
Experimentation Risk Reduction
❖ How many UAVs to approve?
❖ Transferring the approval risk
❖ Non MOD experimentation
❖ System reliability
❖ Company competence
❖ Regulatory Compliance
❖ Multiple capability
assessment
❖ Robust Safety Case Development
25
Importance of System Weight & Soldier Integration
26
Potential UAVs
❖ Classifications
❖ Mini (2-7kg) - Already had
in service as UOR- DH3
❖ Micro (<2kg) - Significant
development in
commercial and military
world
❖ Various capabilities
dependant on size and type
❖ Many in-service around the
world
27
Nano UAVs
❖ Not Expected
❖ None in-service that I was aware of
anywhere
❖ Toys?
❖ Can’t possibly provide a defence
benefit?
❖ Surely impossible to have all these
quoted capabilities
❖ Classification
❖ <200g, <60g
❖ What regulations might apply?
28
Why were Nano UAVs now viable
❖ Consumer miniaturisation
❖ Moores Law & Cheap Manufacturing
❖ Mobile Phone cameras
❖ Mobile Phone GPS
❖ Not military driven
29
A different experimentation process for Nano?
❖ No - not a fair comparison, technology agnostic, capability
driven
❖ Identical Assessors
❖ Identical scenerios
❖ Identical user groups
❖ Experimentation Location
❖ Meteorological Events
❖ Impact on our safety constraints?
30
The Actual Experimentation
❖ Level A’s - Understanding and verifying the technology
❖ Assessment Team , Locations, Key Scenarios, Safety, Operation, Training
❖ Level B&C’s - Designed scenarios based on Level A findings
❖ Three week window (mitigate British weather)
❖ Image Quality
❖ Time to feed back information
❖ Usefulness of information in scenarios
❖ System Range
❖ Method of control (flown vs directed)
❖ In built safety measures
31
Translating Experimentation Results
❖ Utility of UAV as an organic dismounted asset
❖ The Overall System
❖ Dismounted Integration was easier as the system weight decreased
❖ Current unit structure
❖ What was the minimum level of utility
❖ Micro?
❖ Nano?
32
Stakeholder Management
❖ General Perception
❖ Toys
❖ Totally unknown within military
UAV world
❖ A research curiosity
❖ Operator Perception
❖ Capability Understanding
❖ Complementary Integration
❖ Robust Evidence Gathering
❖ Stakeholder demonstration
❖ Comparative Class Benefits &
Disadvantages
❖ Product Output Demonstrations
33
The Competition
❖ The experimentation allowed MOD to define achievable
and realistic technical requirements for a NUAS system.
❖ Aircraft weight <200g, System Weight <1.7kg
❖ >20 minute flight time, >300m range
❖ Following much more internal review into many other
non technical aspects, MOD decided to run a
competition for a NUAV.
http://www.publictenders.net/tender/1456421
34
What did the MOD actually buy?
35
UK Nano UAV In-Service - BBC Video
36
Thoughts to take away
❖ My belief is that in any technology projects or programmes in the
future will have to cater for unexpected technology advances
❖ Project managers will need to have robust plans to cope with
rampant technology development - Obsolescence
❖ Experimentation is key in understanding how a new technology
may benefit you
❖ In government - experimentation must not lead to requirements
that define a product and not a technology as the solution
❖ Stakeholders are wary of new or unknown technology - must
build in time and engagement sessions to your plans if you cross
into the unknown
37
Questions?
38

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A ProjeHigh flying technologies

  • 1. High Flying Technology - A Personal Perspective Nicholas Brown 1
  • 2. Introduction • Nick Brown - Engineering Project Manager • High Flying Technology - why do we need to do things differently? • Importance of Experimentation • De-risking • Stakeholders • System In-Service 2
  • 4. CONTENTS ❖ Why ❖ Cold War ❖ Technology Invention vs Exploitation ❖ Implementation & Requirements ❖ How - Personal Example ❖ Technology Experimentation ❖ Assessment Methodology ❖ UAVs ❖ Stakeholder Engagement ❖ What ❖ What was actually procured ❖ Points to take away 4
  • 6. The Cold War ❖ Bigger or Better Defences ❖ Cold War Defence drove invention and innovation especially in electronics world ❖ Only Budget to afford it ❖ Military to Civilian Transition 6
  • 7. Example Military Products 7 ❖ Pre Cold War ❖ Cold War ❖ Post Cold War
  • 8. Moores Law ❖ "Moore's law" is the observation that, over the history of computing hardware, the number of transistors in a dense integrated circuit doubles approximately every two years. 8
  • 9. Cheap Manufacturing ❖ During 1980’s China changed, a lot less insular ❖ Attracted western manufacturing in large quantity ❖ Drove down consumer prices and increased competition 9
  • 10. Moores Law & Cheap Manufacturing ❖ Cost reasonable and highly useable devices to the masses ❖ Consumer market size massively increased ❖ Consumer drive for miniaturisation ❖ 2005 - Top Ten world commercial R&D budgets equated to ~ $70Bn ❖ 2014 - Apple $6Bn in R&D alone 10
  • 11. Research Budget ❖ Why is it important to understand the research budget for this presentation 11
  • 12. What does this mean for Defence? ❖ Defence driven technology invention is mostly history ❖ New Defence Capability ❖ Cold War = ‘innovate and invent’ ❖ Post Cold War = ‘react, adapt & exploit’ ❖ Technology Push Vs Requirements Pull ❖ Niche defence areas still exist 12
  • 13. Examples of adapted commercial equipment for the military 13 ? ? ? ? ? ?
  • 14. Implementation & Requirements ❖ How do we actually implement the react, adapt and exploit philosophy ❖ Understand the market technologies ❖ Identify how technologies may be utilised in a military environment ❖ Need to have product agnostic requirements to meet competition laws ❖ Work out when best to actually try and procure technologies based on development cycle not in our control 14
  • 15. Experimentation ❖ To develop and set realistic and achievable requirements in a world where you mostly don’t drive the innovation and invention you must experiment ❖ Virtual/Simulation ❖ Live ❖ Measured ❖ Technological Risk Reduction ❖ Experimentation Issues ❖ Solution driven requirements ❖ Not prejudicing competitions 15
  • 16. Experimentation within MOD ❖ Exercise Urban Warrior ❖ Land Open Systems Architecture (LOSA) Research, Experimentation and Development (RED) ❖ Rotary Wing Unmanned Air System (RWUAS) capability concept demonstrator (CCD) 16
  • 17. Personal Example ❖ Using UAVs as an example of reacting and adapting and exploiting non defence development ❖ No specific UAV experimentation requirement ❖ Experimentation Steps Taken ❖ Management of Key Risks ❖ Stakeholder Management ❖ The End Result 17
  • 18. Dismounted Experimentation Assessment ❖ Utilised an Iterative Live Trialling and Experimentation Process for new technologies ❖ Level A - Bench Test ❖ Level B - Field and user Test ❖ Level C - Integrated user testing with other equipment 18
  • 19. Experimentation Themes ❖ A range of themes where we wanted to develop our understanding of technology not in service ❖ Tactical Situational Awareness ❖ “To provide adequate data resolution and communications to enable mission success within a complex environment. Information collection and timely provision at the tactical level.” 19
  • 20. What might satisfy this? ❖ Open source research conducted to understand potential market place before advertised ❖ Expected: 20
  • 21. Assessment Methodology ❖ Apart from UAVs well defined methods existed in dismounted arena, UAVs were going to be much more complex ❖ How would I initiate safe assessment of UAVs but still get technology understanding answers we required? ❖ Safety? ❖ Operation? ❖ Training? 21
  • 22. Safety ❖ Authority - Had to work with and comply with AA direction ❖ Civilian Regulations? ❖ Reliability, Technology Readiness Level ❖ Provider Experience/Competence ❖ Worst case? 22
  • 23. Operation ❖ How could it be operated in a trial e.g. Overflight, exclusion zones, potential functions ❖ What scenarios might it actually be useful for? ❖ What key attributes might we want to focus on? ❖ Response action plans? 23
  • 24. Training ❖ Who could actually operate it on experiment operators/ pilotsWhat was the training burden? ❖ Achievable in trial time scales? ❖ What training existed already? ❖ Mitigations 24
  • 25. Experimentation Risk Reduction ❖ How many UAVs to approve? ❖ Transferring the approval risk ❖ Non MOD experimentation ❖ System reliability ❖ Company competence ❖ Regulatory Compliance ❖ Multiple capability assessment ❖ Robust Safety Case Development 25
  • 26. Importance of System Weight & Soldier Integration 26
  • 27. Potential UAVs ❖ Classifications ❖ Mini (2-7kg) - Already had in service as UOR- DH3 ❖ Micro (<2kg) - Significant development in commercial and military world ❖ Various capabilities dependant on size and type ❖ Many in-service around the world 27
  • 28. Nano UAVs ❖ Not Expected ❖ None in-service that I was aware of anywhere ❖ Toys? ❖ Can’t possibly provide a defence benefit? ❖ Surely impossible to have all these quoted capabilities ❖ Classification ❖ <200g, <60g ❖ What regulations might apply? 28
  • 29. Why were Nano UAVs now viable ❖ Consumer miniaturisation ❖ Moores Law & Cheap Manufacturing ❖ Mobile Phone cameras ❖ Mobile Phone GPS ❖ Not military driven 29
  • 30. A different experimentation process for Nano? ❖ No - not a fair comparison, technology agnostic, capability driven ❖ Identical Assessors ❖ Identical scenerios ❖ Identical user groups ❖ Experimentation Location ❖ Meteorological Events ❖ Impact on our safety constraints? 30
  • 31. The Actual Experimentation ❖ Level A’s - Understanding and verifying the technology ❖ Assessment Team , Locations, Key Scenarios, Safety, Operation, Training ❖ Level B&C’s - Designed scenarios based on Level A findings ❖ Three week window (mitigate British weather) ❖ Image Quality ❖ Time to feed back information ❖ Usefulness of information in scenarios ❖ System Range ❖ Method of control (flown vs directed) ❖ In built safety measures 31
  • 32. Translating Experimentation Results ❖ Utility of UAV as an organic dismounted asset ❖ The Overall System ❖ Dismounted Integration was easier as the system weight decreased ❖ Current unit structure ❖ What was the minimum level of utility ❖ Micro? ❖ Nano? 32
  • 33. Stakeholder Management ❖ General Perception ❖ Toys ❖ Totally unknown within military UAV world ❖ A research curiosity ❖ Operator Perception ❖ Capability Understanding ❖ Complementary Integration ❖ Robust Evidence Gathering ❖ Stakeholder demonstration ❖ Comparative Class Benefits & Disadvantages ❖ Product Output Demonstrations 33
  • 34. The Competition ❖ The experimentation allowed MOD to define achievable and realistic technical requirements for a NUAS system. ❖ Aircraft weight <200g, System Weight <1.7kg ❖ >20 minute flight time, >300m range ❖ Following much more internal review into many other non technical aspects, MOD decided to run a competition for a NUAV. http://www.publictenders.net/tender/1456421 34
  • 35. What did the MOD actually buy? 35
  • 36. UK Nano UAV In-Service - BBC Video 36
  • 37. Thoughts to take away ❖ My belief is that in any technology projects or programmes in the future will have to cater for unexpected technology advances ❖ Project managers will need to have robust plans to cope with rampant technology development - Obsolescence ❖ Experimentation is key in understanding how a new technology may benefit you ❖ In government - experimentation must not lead to requirements that define a product and not a technology as the solution ❖ Stakeholders are wary of new or unknown technology - must build in time and engagement sessions to your plans if you cross into the unknown 37