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3D PRINTING & PIRACY
What lessons can we learn from the piracy of digital content?

Prof. Thierry Rayna
ESG Management School
trayna@esg.fr
PROF. THIERRY RAYNA
Professor of Economics
Department of
Economics & Finance
Chair of Digital Business
ESG Management School,
Paris
Email: trayna@esg.fr
THE STORY SO FAR…
• Massive

consumer piracy has appeared in all industries that
have become digital

• Firms

have had tremendous difficulties adapting their business
models

• As

object go digital, will the piracy phenomenon spread to the
physical world?
3D PIRACY:
WILL IT HAPPEN?
NO, BUT IF I COULD
DOWNLOAD A COPY, I WOULD
IT IS ALREADY HAPPENING

• “Physible” section
• Cease

on the Pirate Bay opened in January 2012

& Desist letters sent to online design hosting platforms
WARHAMMER 40,000
ON A SMALL SCALE?
• So

far, very limited extent

• But, adoption
• Technology
• Early

of 3D printers by consumers is still low

is yet immature

days of MP3, VCDs, etc. were similar

• Brace

yourself for a far larger phenomenon!
3D

Piracy as easy as 1-2-3

r
te

in

Pr

3D

an
Sc

er
n
‘HISTORICAL’ EVOLUTION OF
PIRACY
Cyberlocker war
Tablets

Blu-ray

Broadband
Napster
CD-ROM

CD-R

DRM

Floppy disks

BitTorrent
eMule
Internet

1985

1990

1995

KaZaA

2000

2005

2010

2015

t
LESSON #1:
WHEN SOMETHING GOES DIGITAL,
IP INFRINGEMENT ALWAYS HAPPENS
3D PIRACY
CAN IT BE PREVENTED?
THERE ARE LAWS TO
PREVENT PIRACY
• Multiple
• Vast

means to protect IP

majority of legal systems are protective of IP

• Trend
• Does

towards stronger protection of IP

it work?
Ho

ff
di
w

t?
en
er
WHY IPR LAWS DON’T WORK
AGAINST PIRACY?
Counterfeiting

Consumer Piracy

Infringers

Few (relatively)

Many

Activity

Production/sale

Consumption

Sphere

Public

Mostly private

Identification

Easy (relatively)

Difficult

Profit (infringers)

High

Low

Net Benefit (holders)

Positive

Negative

Net Social Outcome
(of litigation)

Positive

Negative
IF LAW DOESN’T WORK, WHY
NOT USE TECHNOLOGY?
• Anti-piracy

technologies have been used since dawn of digital

age
• Digital

Rights Management (DRM) have been rather ineffective

• Non-protected

versions always available

• Obnoxious

for legitimate users, may turn them to piracy or
slow down adoption

• Costly

to develop and manage
IF TECHNOLOGY AND LAW DON’T
WORK WHY NOT CHANGE THE LAW?
• Graduated

response “3-strike laws” adopted in France, New
Zealand, U.K.
• Legal

monitoring of private communications

• Reversal
• After

of burden of proof

3 strikes, internet is cut and/or fine
WHY WOULD GRADUATED
RESPONSE WORK AGAINST PIRACY?
Consumer Piracy

Graduated response

Infringers

Many

Technological use

Activity

Consumption

Sphere

Mostly private

Identification

Difficult

Profit (infringers)

Low

Moderate punishment

Net Benefit (holders)

Negative

No litigation cost/Market effect

Negative

Lower public
expenditure

Net Social Outcome
(of litigation)

Presumption of guilt/
Less privacy
DOES THIS WORK?
• Ambiguous

effect on consumers:

• improbable

very high (and uncertain) cost vs more probable
set and relatively low cost

• strategic
• In

behaviour with regard to warnings

fact, very costly

• Who

bears the cost?
HOW EFFECTIVE?
•

HADOPI:
•

2+ million emails in 2 years
•

Including 186,000 as “second warning”

•

3 people found guilty: 1 got internet access cut for 15 days and
600€ fine, second 150€ fine, last one no fine

•

No serious evidence of effect

•

Dropped by new government
LESSON #2:
NEITHER THE LAW NOR
TECHNOLOGY (ALONE) CAN
PREVENT PIRACY
3D PIRACY:
CAN IT BE AVOIDED?
YES, PIRACY CAN BE AVOIDED
• Successful

examples of piracy avoidance strategies

• Lower

prices (e.g. apps on iOS)

• Open

Source

• Revenues

linked to complementary products and services

• “O.E.M.” type
• Requires

contracts

radical changes in business models
LESSON #3:
PIRACY CANNOT BE PREVENTED
BUT CAN BE AVOIDED
Think Different
≠
Legend
Digital
Technology

Technology

Economic
characteristic

Replicability

Behaviour

Non-rivalness

Sharing

Type of
good

Durability

Durable
Good

Experience
Good

Nonexcludability

Public
Good

Freeriding/
Piracy

Delaying
purchase

Sampling
Behaviour

Imperfect
information
THE DIGITAL ECONOMY:
A LAND OF OPPORTUNITIES
THE DIGITAL ECONOMY:
WHAT MOST COMPANIES ARE TRYING TO DO
THE MUSIC INDUSTRY
C. 2012
THE DIGITAL ECONOMY:
WHAT GOOGLE IS DOING
THE DIGITAL ECONOMY:
WHAT WE ARE DOING
DIGITAL ECONOMICS AIKIDO
• Stop

fighting against nature

• Channel

the strength of
digital economy to your
advantage...

• ... without

harming your
customers
+
+

+
+
“IT’S COMPETITION, STUPID!”
• Piracy

is a sign of the problem, not the root

• Even

if it were possible to totally prevent piracy, the problem
would still be there
• 3D

printing and digital technology empower people with
creation, production and distribution tools

• Far

greater supply, far more competition
ON THE BRIGHT SIDE…

• Many

objects too complex to be printed at home

• Probably
• Growth
• Piracy

will remain so for the next few years

of connected objects
applies less for objects that are connected
Better a small slice in a big cake than a big slice of nothing

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3D Printing and Piracy: What lessons can be learned from the piracy of digital content? [3D Printing Event 2013]

  • 1. 3D PRINTING & PIRACY What lessons can we learn from the piracy of digital content? Prof. Thierry Rayna ESG Management School trayna@esg.fr
  • 2. PROF. THIERRY RAYNA Professor of Economics Department of Economics & Finance Chair of Digital Business ESG Management School, Paris Email: trayna@esg.fr
  • 3. THE STORY SO FAR… • Massive consumer piracy has appeared in all industries that have become digital • Firms have had tremendous difficulties adapting their business models • As object go digital, will the piracy phenomenon spread to the physical world?
  • 5. NO, BUT IF I COULD DOWNLOAD A COPY, I WOULD
  • 6.
  • 7. IT IS ALREADY HAPPENING • “Physible” section • Cease on the Pirate Bay opened in January 2012 & Desist letters sent to online design hosting platforms
  • 8.
  • 10.
  • 11.
  • 12.
  • 13. ON A SMALL SCALE? • So far, very limited extent • But, adoption • Technology • Early of 3D printers by consumers is still low is yet immature days of MP3, VCDs, etc. were similar • Brace yourself for a far larger phenomenon!
  • 14. 3D Piracy as easy as 1-2-3 r te in Pr 3D an Sc er n
  • 15. ‘HISTORICAL’ EVOLUTION OF PIRACY Cyberlocker war Tablets Blu-ray Broadband Napster CD-ROM CD-R DRM Floppy disks BitTorrent eMule Internet 1985 1990 1995 KaZaA 2000 2005 2010 2015 t
  • 16. LESSON #1: WHEN SOMETHING GOES DIGITAL, IP INFRINGEMENT ALWAYS HAPPENS
  • 17. 3D PIRACY CAN IT BE PREVENTED?
  • 18. THERE ARE LAWS TO PREVENT PIRACY • Multiple • Vast means to protect IP majority of legal systems are protective of IP • Trend • Does towards stronger protection of IP it work?
  • 20. WHY IPR LAWS DON’T WORK AGAINST PIRACY? Counterfeiting Consumer Piracy Infringers Few (relatively) Many Activity Production/sale Consumption Sphere Public Mostly private Identification Easy (relatively) Difficult Profit (infringers) High Low Net Benefit (holders) Positive Negative Net Social Outcome (of litigation) Positive Negative
  • 21. IF LAW DOESN’T WORK, WHY NOT USE TECHNOLOGY? • Anti-piracy technologies have been used since dawn of digital age • Digital Rights Management (DRM) have been rather ineffective • Non-protected versions always available • Obnoxious for legitimate users, may turn them to piracy or slow down adoption • Costly to develop and manage
  • 22. IF TECHNOLOGY AND LAW DON’T WORK WHY NOT CHANGE THE LAW? • Graduated response “3-strike laws” adopted in France, New Zealand, U.K. • Legal monitoring of private communications • Reversal • After of burden of proof 3 strikes, internet is cut and/or fine
  • 23. WHY WOULD GRADUATED RESPONSE WORK AGAINST PIRACY? Consumer Piracy Graduated response Infringers Many Technological use Activity Consumption Sphere Mostly private Identification Difficult Profit (infringers) Low Moderate punishment Net Benefit (holders) Negative No litigation cost/Market effect Negative Lower public expenditure Net Social Outcome (of litigation) Presumption of guilt/ Less privacy
  • 24. DOES THIS WORK? • Ambiguous effect on consumers: • improbable very high (and uncertain) cost vs more probable set and relatively low cost • strategic • In behaviour with regard to warnings fact, very costly • Who bears the cost?
  • 25. HOW EFFECTIVE? • HADOPI: • 2+ million emails in 2 years • Including 186,000 as “second warning” • 3 people found guilty: 1 got internet access cut for 15 days and 600€ fine, second 150€ fine, last one no fine • No serious evidence of effect • Dropped by new government
  • 26. LESSON #2: NEITHER THE LAW NOR TECHNOLOGY (ALONE) CAN PREVENT PIRACY
  • 27. 3D PIRACY: CAN IT BE AVOIDED?
  • 28. YES, PIRACY CAN BE AVOIDED • Successful examples of piracy avoidance strategies • Lower prices (e.g. apps on iOS) • Open Source • Revenues linked to complementary products and services • “O.E.M.” type • Requires contracts radical changes in business models
  • 29. LESSON #3: PIRACY CANNOT BE PREVENTED BUT CAN BE AVOIDED
  • 31.
  • 33. THE DIGITAL ECONOMY: A LAND OF OPPORTUNITIES
  • 34. THE DIGITAL ECONOMY: WHAT MOST COMPANIES ARE TRYING TO DO
  • 36. THE DIGITAL ECONOMY: WHAT GOOGLE IS DOING
  • 38. DIGITAL ECONOMICS AIKIDO • Stop fighting against nature • Channel the strength of digital economy to your advantage... • ... without harming your customers
  • 40. “IT’S COMPETITION, STUPID!” • Piracy is a sign of the problem, not the root • Even if it were possible to totally prevent piracy, the problem would still be there • 3D printing and digital technology empower people with creation, production and distribution tools • Far greater supply, far more competition
  • 41. ON THE BRIGHT SIDE… • Many objects too complex to be printed at home • Probably • Growth • Piracy will remain so for the next few years of connected objects applies less for objects that are connected
  • 42. Better a small slice in a big cake than a big slice of nothing