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Jan	
  Van	
  den	
  Bergh	
  –	
  Holaba	
  –	
  Sanoma	
  Mediaparade	
  2014	
  –	
  jevedebe@holaba.com	
  The	
  Recommender	
  RevoluBon	
  -­‐	
  
6	
  Takeaways	
  for	
  those	
  who	
  don’t	
  stay	
  the	
  whole	
  session	
  
1.  Your	
  brand	
  recommenders	
  are	
  the	
  most	
  important	
  asset	
  in	
  your	
  database.	
  	
  
Chances	
  are	
  you	
  haven’t	
  iden8fied	
  them	
  yet.	
  
2.  If	
  you	
  iden8fy	
  them	
  and	
  win	
  them	
  all	
  …	
  you	
  win	
  plenty	
  of	
  ba@les.	
  	
  
3.  You	
  can	
  iden8fy	
  them	
  while	
  benchmarking	
  your	
  recommenda8on	
  power.	
  	
  
Maybe	
  you	
  already	
  benchmark.	
  Good.	
  
4.  Move	
  on	
  from	
  RFM	
  to	
  RRFM	
  
5.  Go	
  for	
  a	
  non-­‐customer	
  centric	
  approach.	
  
Stop	
  navel-­‐gazing.	
  Your	
  customers	
  are	
  promiscuous	
  
6.  Join	
  the	
  “Media	
  Influencers	
  Index”	
  Hype.	
  
Jan	
  Van	
  den	
  Bergh	
  –	
  Holaba	
  –	
  Sanoma	
  Mediaparade	
  2014	
  –	
  jevedebe@holaba.com	
  The	
  Recommender	
  RevoluBon	
  -­‐	
  
Recommenders	
  directly	
  influence	
  20-­‐50%	
  of	
  all	
  purchase	
  decisions.	
  
“	
  
“	
  
Jan	
  Van	
  den	
  Bergh	
  –	
  Holaba	
  –	
  Sanoma	
  Mediaparade	
  2014	
  –	
  jevedebe@holaba.com	
  The	
  Recommender	
  RevoluBon	
  -­‐	
  
Their	
  oral	
  interacBons	
  however	
  are	
  not	
  in	
  your	
  Big	
  Data!	
  	
  	
  
Over	
  90%	
  of	
  the	
  influenBal	
  recommendaBons	
  take	
  place	
  off	
  line.	
  
Face2Face	
  …or	
  whatever	
  you	
  might	
  call	
  it.	
  	
  
Jan	
  Van	
  den	
  Bergh	
  –	
  Holaba	
  –	
  Sanoma	
  Mediaparade	
  2014	
  –	
  jevedebe@holaba.com	
  The	
  Recommender	
  RevoluBon	
  -­‐	
  
h$p://www.youtube.com/watch?v=erZ2YidTZp4.	
  Minute	
  06:45	
  
“If	
  you	
  know	
  the	
  enemy	
  and	
  know	
  yourself,	
  you	
  need	
  not	
  fear	
  
the	
  result	
  of	
  a	
  hundred	
  baYles.	
  If	
  you	
  know	
  yourself	
  but	
  not	
  
the	
  enemy,	
  for	
  every	
  victory	
  gained	
  you	
  will	
  also	
  suffer	
  a	
  
defeat.	
  If	
  you	
  know	
  neither	
  the	
  enemy	
  nor	
  yourself,	
  you	
  will	
  
succumb	
  in	
  every	
  baYle”	
  	
  
Sun	
  Tzu,	
  The	
  Art	
  of	
  War,	
  
Open	
  your	
  windows,	
  	
  benchmark	
  your	
  enemies	
  conBnuously	
  and	
  spot	
  
the	
  brand	
  recommenders.	
  
Jan	
  Van	
  den	
  Bergh	
  –	
  Holaba	
  –	
  Sanoma	
  Mediaparade	
  2014	
  –	
  jevedebe@holaba.com	
  The	
  Recommender	
  RevoluBon	
  -­‐	
  
In	
  fairy	
  tales	
  asking	
  the	
  Magic	
  Mirror	
  about	
  “the	
  most	
  beau8ful	
  brand	
  in	
  the	
  
world”	
  takes	
  7	
  years	
  to	
  get	
  an	
  answer.	
  IRL	
  you	
  have	
  to	
  move	
  faster.	
  
Research	
  
Brand	
  	
  
aka	
  SnowWhite’s	
  mother	
  
Jan	
  Van	
  den	
  Bergh	
  –	
  Holaba	
  –	
  Sanoma	
  Mediaparade	
  2014	
  –	
  jevedebe@holaba.com	
  The	
  Recommender	
  RevoluBon	
  -­‐	
  
Look	
  through	
  the	
  window	
  and	
  discover	
  who	
  your	
  toughest	
  compeBtors	
  are	
  
and	
  why	
  even	
  your	
  best	
  clients	
  are	
  aYracted	
  to	
  them	
  too.	
  
Jan	
  Van	
  den	
  Bergh	
  –	
  Holaba	
  –	
  Sanoma	
  Mediaparade	
  2014	
  –	
  jevedebe@holaba.com	
  The	
  Recommender	
  RevoluBon	
  -­‐	
  
And	
  then:	
  aYack.	
  But	
  don’t	
  kill.	
  MarkeBng	
  is	
  a	
  war	
  without	
  weapons	
  no?	
  
Jan	
  Van	
  den	
  Bergh	
  –	
  Holaba	
  –	
  Sanoma	
  Mediaparade	
  2014	
  –	
  jevedebe@holaba.com	
  The	
  Recommender	
  RevoluBon	
  -­‐	
  
If	
  you	
  don’t	
  aYack,	
  you	
  will	
  end	
  up	
  being	
  only	
  a	
  winner	
  in	
  your	
  wet	
  dreams.	
  
Too	
  bad.	
  
The	
  reality	
  
The	
  dream	
  
Jan	
  Van	
  den	
  Bergh	
  –	
  Holaba	
  –	
  Sanoma	
  Mediaparade	
  2014	
  –	
  jevedebe@holaba.com	
  The	
  Recommender	
  RevoluBon	
  -­‐	
  
“Customers’	
  saIsfacIon	
  levels	
  explain	
  less	
  than	
  1%	
  of	
  the	
  variaIon	
  in	
  changes	
  in	
  their	
  
share	
  of	
  category	
  spending.	
  Yes,	
  the	
  relaIonship	
  is	
  staIsIcally	
  significant,	
  but	
  it	
  is	
  not	
  
very	
  managerially	
  relevant.”	
  
There	
  	
  is	
  not	
  a	
  strong	
  relaIonship	
  between	
  saIsfacIon	
  and	
  marketshare.	
  Being	
  “saIsfied”	
  
doesn’t	
  mean	
  that	
  you	
  also	
  recommend	
  acIvely	
  or	
  when	
  asked	
  your	
  opinion.	
  The	
  
more	
  “mass	
  market”	
  you’re	
  in	
  the	
  less	
  customers	
  are	
  saIsfied.	
  
Don’t	
  ask	
  about	
  saBsfacBon.	
  Ask	
  about	
  recommendaBon.	
  Only	
  when	
  when	
  
you	
  measure	
  recommendaBon	
  power,	
  you	
  measure	
  influenBal	
  acBvity.	
  
Don’t	
  be	
  sad	
  about	
  clients	
  being	
  less	
  loyal	
  
than	
  before.	
  Face	
  the	
  reality	
  and	
  move	
  on.	
  
Jan	
  Van	
  den	
  Bergh	
  –	
  Holaba	
  –	
  Sanoma	
  Mediaparade	
  2014	
  –	
  jevedebe@holaba.com	
  The	
  Recommender	
  RevoluBon	
  -­‐	
  
Benchmarking	
  is	
  measuring	
  recommendaBon	
  power.	
  	
  
“I	
  am	
  saBsfied	
  …	
  but	
  I	
  don’t	
  need	
  these	
  	
  
superthings.	
  Who	
  cares.	
  I	
  don’t	
  want	
  to	
  pay	
  for	
  
the	
  extra’s”	
  
“I	
  am	
  saBsfied	
  …	
  but	
  others	
  are	
  cheaper.”	
  
“I	
  am	
  saBsfied	
  …	
  but	
  it	
  is	
  Bme	
  for	
  a	
  change”	
  
“I	
  am	
  saBsfied	
  ….	
  but	
  I	
  prefer	
  buying	
  more	
  	
  
in	
  my	
  neighbourhood”	
  
“I	
  am	
  saBsfied	
  ….	
  but	
  some	
  brands	
  are	
  beYer	
  	
  
and	
  I	
  go	
  for	
  the	
  best”	
  
“I	
  am	
  saBsfied	
  …	
  but	
  my	
  friends	
  suggested	
  	
  
to	
  check	
  out	
  a	
  compeBtor.”	
  
“I	
  am	
  saBsfied	
  …but	
  some	
  others	
  are	
  easier	
  to	
  handle”	
  
“I	
  am	
  saBsfied	
  ….but	
  I	
  prefer	
  buying	
  more	
  	
  online”	
  
Only	
  when	
  when	
  you	
  measure	
  your	
  WOM-­‐strength,	
  you	
  measure	
  useful	
  
acBvity	
  of	
  the	
  major	
  players	
  in	
  the	
  market	
  
Jan	
  Van	
  den	
  Bergh	
  –	
  Holaba	
  –	
  Sanoma	
  Mediaparade	
  2014	
  –	
  jevedebe@holaba.com	
  The	
  Recommender	
  RevoluBon	
  -­‐	
  
Promiscuous	
  behavior	
  of	
  consumers	
  is	
  a	
  big	
  opportunity	
  for	
  deeper	
  
penetraBon	
  i.e.	
  daBng	
  real	
  prospects.	
  
“Companies	
  need	
  to	
  invest	
  to	
  re-­‐earn	
  penetraBon	
  over	
  and	
  over	
  again.	
  Winners	
  accept	
  
that	
  it’s	
  a	
  game	
  of	
  constant	
  recruitment.	
  That’s	
  why	
  they	
  invest	
  on	
  an	
  ongoing	
  basis	
  to	
  
acquire	
  more	
  new	
  consumers	
  every	
  year	
  than	
  they	
  lose.	
  (Bain	
  -­‐	
  2014)	
  
Jan	
  Van	
  den	
  Bergh	
  –	
  Holaba	
  –	
  Sanoma	
  Mediaparade	
  2014	
  –	
  jevedebe@holaba.com	
  The	
  Recommender	
  RevoluBon	
  -­‐	
  
Go	
  violently	
  for	
  a	
  penetraBon	
  strategy.	
  You’ll	
  love	
  it.	
  But	
  don’t	
  push.	
  
Move	
  when	
  there	
  is	
  an	
  intenBon.	
  When	
  the	
  situaBon	
  is	
  promising.	
  
Jan	
  Van	
  den	
  Bergh	
  –	
  Holaba	
  –	
  Sanoma	
  Mediaparade	
  2014	
  –	
  jevedebe@holaba.com	
  The	
  Recommender	
  RevoluBon	
  -­‐	
  
Indeed:	
  relevant	
  (pushed	
  or	
  pulled)	
  ads	
  are	
  sBll	
  an	
  excellent	
  and	
  needed	
  tool	
  
in	
  any	
  penetraBon	
  strategy.	
  
Jan	
  Van	
  den	
  Bergh	
  –	
  Holaba	
  –	
  Sanoma	
  Mediaparade	
  2014	
  –	
  jevedebe@holaba.com	
  The	
  Recommender	
  RevoluBon	
  -­‐	
  
And	
  since	
  more	
  and	
  more	
  consumers	
  use	
  online	
  channels	
  during	
  the	
  pre-­‐
sales	
  phase	
  don’t	
  overlook	
  them.	
  
Jan	
  Van	
  den	
  Bergh	
  –	
  Holaba	
  –	
  Sanoma	
  Mediaparade	
  2014	
  –	
  jevedebe@holaba.com	
  The	
  Recommender	
  RevoluBon	
  -­‐	
  
But	
  –	
  to	
  be	
  honest	
  –	
  these	
  (ads	
  in)	
  paid	
  media	
  are	
  not	
  the	
  most	
  trusted,	
  nor	
  
the	
  ones	
  that	
  push	
  consumers	
  into	
  acBon.	
  
Jan	
  Van	
  den	
  Bergh	
  –	
  Holaba	
  –	
  Sanoma	
  Mediaparade	
  2014	
  –	
  jevedebe@holaba.com	
  The	
  Recommender	
  RevoluBon	
  -­‐	
  
Earned	
  media	
  have	
  most	
  
influence,	
  are	
  more	
  
trusted	
  and	
  generate	
  
more	
  ac4on	
  
Paid	
  media	
  generate	
  
more	
  touch	
  points,	
  
hence	
  they	
  are	
  strong	
  
in	
  building	
  awareness.	
  	
  
Their	
  “Opportunity	
  To	
  
Be	
  Seen”	
  is	
  bigger.	
  
Paid	
  media	
  cost	
  more	
  than	
  earned	
  and	
  
owned	
  media.	
  Brands	
  plan	
  to	
  invest	
  	
  less	
  in	
  
paid	
  media	
  in	
  the	
  coming	
  years.	
  
And	
  the	
  “paid	
  media”	
  take	
  a	
  big	
  bite	
  of	
  a	
  brand’s	
  markeBng	
  budget.	
  The	
  
earned	
  media	
  cost	
  less.	
  You’ll	
  have	
  to	
  find	
  day	
  aker	
  day	
  the	
  best	
  mix.	
  
Jan	
  Van	
  den	
  Bergh	
  –	
  Holaba	
  –	
  Sanoma	
  Mediaparade	
  2014	
  –	
  jevedebe@holaba.com	
  The	
  Recommender	
  RevoluBon	
  -­‐	
  
Recency,	
  frequency,	
  monetary	
  value	
  
(RFM)	
  of	
  clients	
  were	
  decisive	
  for	
  
investment	
  in	
  markeIng	
  
communicaIon.	
  Therefore	
  lots	
  of	
  
money	
  spent	
  (wasted)	
  in	
  this	
  group	
  of	
  
heavy	
  and	
  recent	
  buyers	
  	
  
RFM	
  -­‐	
  axis	
  
Light	
  and	
  non	
  frequent	
  buyers	
  are	
  
oXen	
  “neglected”	
  	
  
From	
  RFM	
  to	
  RRFM	
  to	
  decide	
  about	
  what	
  to	
  invest	
  where.	
  
Jan	
  Van	
  den	
  Bergh	
  –	
  Holaba	
  –	
  Sanoma	
  Mediaparade	
  2014	
  –	
  jevedebe@holaba.com	
  The	
  Recommender	
  RevoluBon	
  -­‐	
  
Recommenda4on	
  axis	
  
+RFM	
  &	
  -­‐	
  REC	
  
-­‐	
  RFM	
  &	
  -­‐	
  REC	
  
+RFM	
  &	
  +	
  REC	
  
-­‐	
  RFM	
  &	
  +	
  REC	
  
RFM	
  -­‐	
  axis	
  
Does	
  not	
  mean	
  they	
  all	
  give	
  
posiBve	
  recommendaBons	
  
Frequency	
  and	
  intensity	
  
of	
  recommendaBon.	
  
The	
  recommendaBon	
  power	
  of	
  clients	
  becomes	
  the	
  decisive	
  tool	
  to	
  decide	
  
on	
  marcom-­‐investments	
  
Jan	
  Van	
  den	
  Bergh	
  –	
  Holaba	
  –	
  Sanoma	
  Mediaparade	
  2014	
  –	
  jevedebe@holaba.com	
  The	
  Recommender	
  RevoluBon	
  -­‐	
  
How	
  and	
  where	
  do	
  you	
  find	
  these	
  earned	
  media?	
  The	
  human	
  media.	
  The	
  
brand	
  recommenders?	
  Stop	
  navel-­‐gazing.	
  	
  	
  
Jan	
  Van	
  den	
  Bergh	
  –	
  Holaba	
  –	
  Sanoma	
  Mediaparade	
  2014	
  –	
  jevedebe@holaba.com	
  The	
  Recommender	
  RevoluBon	
  -­‐	
  
Start	
  by	
  asking	
  them	
  all	
  (!)	
  	
  how	
  likely	
  it	
  is	
  that	
  they	
  will	
  recommend	
  your	
  
brand?	
  	
  
Client 1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Client 2 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Client 3 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Client 4 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Client 5 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Client 6 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Client 7 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Client 8 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Client 9 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Client 10 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Client 11 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Client 12 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Client 13 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Client 14 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Client 15 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Client 16 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Client 17 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Client 18 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Client 19 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Client 20 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Client 21 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Client 22 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Client 23 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Client 24 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Client 25 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Client 26 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Client 27 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Client 28 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Client 29 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
2	
  clients	
  you	
  asked	
  give	
  a	
  9.	
  You’re	
  happy.	
  
Jan	
  Van	
  den	
  Bergh	
  –	
  Holaba	
  –	
  Sanoma	
  Mediaparade	
  2014	
  –	
  jevedebe@holaba.com	
  The	
  Recommender	
  RevoluBon	
  -­‐	
  
But	
  one	
  of	
  these	
  2	
  clients	
  gives	
  your	
  compeBtor	
  a	
  10.	
  	
  
Bad	
  news	
  for	
  you.	
  You’re	
  not	
  his	
  real	
  nr	
  1.	
  
Client 1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Client 2 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Client 3 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Client 4 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Client 5 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Client 6 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Client 7 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Client 8 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Client 9 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Client 10 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Client 11 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Client 12 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Client 13 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Client 14 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Client 15 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Client 16 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Client 17 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Client 18 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Client 19 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Client 20 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Client 21 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Client 22 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Client 23 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Client 24 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Client 25 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Client 26 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Client 27 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Client 28 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Client 29 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Jan	
  Van	
  den	
  Bergh	
  –	
  Holaba	
  –	
  Sanoma	
  Mediaparade	
  2014	
  –	
  jevedebe@holaba.com	
  The	
  Recommender	
  RevoluBon	
  -­‐	
  
Look	
  (less)	
  or	
  (not	
  only)	
  in	
  the	
  mirror	
  and	
  more	
  through	
  the	
  window.	
  	
  
There’s	
  the	
  market.	
  There	
  are	
  the	
  voters.	
  The	
  influencers.	
  The	
  buyers.	
  
Very bad ranking
for “You “
Excellent
ranking for “You”
More or less ok ranking for
“You”
1 Competitor 1.You (+20) 1 Competitor
2 Competitor 2 Competitor 2 Competitor
3 Competitor 3 Competitor 3 Competitor
4 Competitor 4 Competitor 4 Competitor
5 Competitor 5 Competitor 5.You (+20)
6 Competitor 6 Competitor 6 Competitor
7 Competitor 7 Competitor 7 Competitor
8 Competitor 8 Competitor 8 Competitor
9 Competitor 9 Competitor 9 Competitor
10.You (+20) 10 Competitor 10 Competitor
Jan	
  Van	
  den	
  Bergh	
  –	
  Holaba	
  –	
  Sanoma	
  Mediaparade	
  2014	
  –	
  jevedebe@holaba.com	
  The	
  Recommender	
  RevoluBon	
  -­‐	
  
That’s	
  how	
  we	
  do	
  it:	
  “How	
  likely	
  are	
  you	
  to	
  recommend	
  this	
  brand?”	
  
Jan	
  Van	
  den	
  Bergh	
  –	
  Holaba	
  –	
  Sanoma	
  Mediaparade	
  2014	
  –	
  jevedebe@holaba.com	
  The	
  Recommender	
  RevoluBon	
  -­‐	
  
That’s	
  how	
  we	
  do	
  it:	
  “How	
  likely	
  are	
  you	
  to	
  recommend	
  this	
  brand?”	
  
Jan	
  Van	
  den	
  Bergh	
  –	
  Holaba	
  –	
  Sanoma	
  Mediaparade	
  2014	
  –	
  jevedebe@holaba.com	
  The	
  Recommender	
  RevoluBon	
  -­‐	
  
3	
  quesBons:	
  your	
  experience,	
  your	
  score,	
  your	
  buying	
  intenBon.	
  
Jan	
  Van	
  den	
  Bergh	
  –	
  Holaba	
  –	
  Sanoma	
  Mediaparade	
  2014	
  –	
  jevedebe@holaba.com	
  The	
  Recommender	
  RevoluBon	
  -­‐	
  
Scores	
  
	
  9	
  -­‐10	
  
Scores
9-­‐10	
  
Scores	
  
9-­‐10	
  
Scores
9-­‐10	
  
Scores
9-­‐10	
   Scores
9-­‐10	
  
Scores
9-­‐10	
  
Scores
9-­‐10	
  
Scores
9-­‐10	
  
Scores
9-­‐10	
  
Scores
9-­‐10	
  Scores
9-­‐10	
  
Scores	
  	
  
0-­‐6	
  
Scores	
  	
  
0-­‐6	
  
Scores	
  	
  
0-­‐6	
  
Scores	
  	
  
0-­‐6	
  
Scores	
  	
  
0-­‐6	
  
Scores	
  	
  
0-­‐6	
  
Scores	
  	
  
0-­‐6	
  
Scores	
  	
  
0-­‐6	
  
Scores	
  	
  
0-­‐6	
   Scores	
  	
  
0-­‐6	
  
Scores	
  	
  
0-­‐6	
  
Scores	
  	
  
0-­‐6	
  
The	
  brands	
  these	
  boys	
  &	
  girls	
  
also	
  recommend	
  
Brand	
  Profile	
  of	
  boys	
  &	
  girls	
  18-­‐25	
  yrs	
  old,	
  	
  
who	
  all	
  give	
  a	
  very	
  high	
  9	
  &	
  10	
  
recommendaBon	
  score	
  to	
  brand	
  X.	
  
The	
  brands	
  they	
  don’t	
  
recommend	
  at	
  all.	
  
Scores	
  	
  
0-­‐6	
  
And	
  when	
  1000’s	
  of	
  consumers	
  do	
  it	
  every	
  now	
  and	
  then,	
  they	
  build	
  unique	
  
profiles	
  for	
  themselves	
  and	
  several	
  segments	
  with	
  their	
  peers.	
  
Jan	
  Van	
  den	
  Bergh	
  –	
  Holaba	
  –	
  Sanoma	
  Mediaparade	
  2014	
  –	
  jevedebe@holaba.com	
  The	
  Recommender	
  RevoluBon	
  -­‐	
  
Extra-­‐contacts	
  generated	
  :	
  	
  brands	
  reach	
  consumers	
  through	
  media,	
  
but	
  since	
  not	
  all	
  consumers	
  are	
  created	
  
equal,	
  some	
  become	
  “human	
  media”	
  and	
  
some	
  not.	
  
Brands	
  
Media	
  
“Human	
  media”	
  “Just	
  humans”	
   “Just	
  humans”	
  
And	
  they’re	
  influencers.	
  Brands	
  can	
  influence	
  these	
  influencers	
  by	
  running	
  
ads	
  in	
  the	
  media	
  these	
  influencers	
  engage	
  with.	
  
Jan	
  Van	
  den	
  Bergh	
  –	
  Holaba	
  –	
  Sanoma	
  Mediaparade	
  2014	
  –	
  jevedebe@holaba.com	
  The	
  Recommender	
  RevoluBon	
  -­‐	
  
The	
  Media	
  Influencer	
  Index.	
  
Jan	
  Van	
  den	
  Bergh	
  –	
  Holaba	
  –	
  Sanoma	
  Mediaparade	
  2014	
  –	
  jevedebe@holaba.com	
  The	
  Recommender	
  RevoluBon	
  -­‐	
  
Jan	
  Van	
  den	
  Bergh	
  –	
  Holaba	
  –	
  Sanoma	
  Mediaparade	
  2014	
  –	
  jevedebe@holaba.com	
  The	
  Recommender	
  RevoluBon	
  -­‐	
  
7	
  takeaways	
  for	
  those	
  who	
  arrived	
  too	
  late	
  
1.  Your	
  brand	
  recommenders	
  are	
  the	
  most	
  important	
  asset	
  in	
  your	
  database.	
  	
  
Chances	
  are	
  you	
  haven’t	
  iden8fied	
  them	
  yet.	
  
2.  If	
  you	
  iden8fy	
  them	
  and	
  win	
  them	
  all	
  …	
  you	
  win	
  plenty	
  of	
  ba@les.	
  	
  
3.  You	
  can	
  iden8fy	
  them	
  while	
  benchmarking	
  your	
  recommenda8on	
  power.	
  	
  
Maybe	
  you	
  already	
  benchmark.	
  Good.	
  
4.  Move	
  on	
  from	
  RFM	
  to	
  RRFM	
  
5.  Go	
  for	
  a	
  non-­‐customer	
  centric	
  approach.	
  
Stop	
  navel-­‐gazing.	
  Your	
  customers	
  are	
  promiscuous	
  
6.  Join	
  the	
  “Media	
  Influencers	
  Index”	
  Hype.	
  
7.  Never	
  arrive	
  too	
  late.	
  

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20140522 sanoma mediaparade

  • 1. Jan  Van  den  Bergh  –  Holaba  –  Sanoma  Mediaparade  2014  –  jevedebe@holaba.com  The  Recommender  RevoluBon  -­‐   6  Takeaways  for  those  who  don’t  stay  the  whole  session   1.  Your  brand  recommenders  are  the  most  important  asset  in  your  database.     Chances  are  you  haven’t  iden8fied  them  yet.   2.  If  you  iden8fy  them  and  win  them  all  …  you  win  plenty  of  ba@les.     3.  You  can  iden8fy  them  while  benchmarking  your  recommenda8on  power.     Maybe  you  already  benchmark.  Good.   4.  Move  on  from  RFM  to  RRFM   5.  Go  for  a  non-­‐customer  centric  approach.   Stop  navel-­‐gazing.  Your  customers  are  promiscuous   6.  Join  the  “Media  Influencers  Index”  Hype.  
  • 2. Jan  Van  den  Bergh  –  Holaba  –  Sanoma  Mediaparade  2014  –  jevedebe@holaba.com  The  Recommender  RevoluBon  -­‐   Recommenders  directly  influence  20-­‐50%  of  all  purchase  decisions.   “   “  
  • 3. Jan  Van  den  Bergh  –  Holaba  –  Sanoma  Mediaparade  2014  –  jevedebe@holaba.com  The  Recommender  RevoluBon  -­‐   Their  oral  interacBons  however  are  not  in  your  Big  Data!       Over  90%  of  the  influenBal  recommendaBons  take  place  off  line.   Face2Face  …or  whatever  you  might  call  it.    
  • 4. Jan  Van  den  Bergh  –  Holaba  –  Sanoma  Mediaparade  2014  –  jevedebe@holaba.com  The  Recommender  RevoluBon  -­‐   h$p://www.youtube.com/watch?v=erZ2YidTZp4.  Minute  06:45   “If  you  know  the  enemy  and  know  yourself,  you  need  not  fear   the  result  of  a  hundred  baYles.  If  you  know  yourself  but  not   the  enemy,  for  every  victory  gained  you  will  also  suffer  a   defeat.  If  you  know  neither  the  enemy  nor  yourself,  you  will   succumb  in  every  baYle”     Sun  Tzu,  The  Art  of  War,   Open  your  windows,    benchmark  your  enemies  conBnuously  and  spot   the  brand  recommenders.  
  • 5. Jan  Van  den  Bergh  –  Holaba  –  Sanoma  Mediaparade  2014  –  jevedebe@holaba.com  The  Recommender  RevoluBon  -­‐   In  fairy  tales  asking  the  Magic  Mirror  about  “the  most  beau8ful  brand  in  the   world”  takes  7  years  to  get  an  answer.  IRL  you  have  to  move  faster.   Research   Brand     aka  SnowWhite’s  mother  
  • 6. Jan  Van  den  Bergh  –  Holaba  –  Sanoma  Mediaparade  2014  –  jevedebe@holaba.com  The  Recommender  RevoluBon  -­‐   Look  through  the  window  and  discover  who  your  toughest  compeBtors  are   and  why  even  your  best  clients  are  aYracted  to  them  too.  
  • 7. Jan  Van  den  Bergh  –  Holaba  –  Sanoma  Mediaparade  2014  –  jevedebe@holaba.com  The  Recommender  RevoluBon  -­‐   And  then:  aYack.  But  don’t  kill.  MarkeBng  is  a  war  without  weapons  no?  
  • 8. Jan  Van  den  Bergh  –  Holaba  –  Sanoma  Mediaparade  2014  –  jevedebe@holaba.com  The  Recommender  RevoluBon  -­‐   If  you  don’t  aYack,  you  will  end  up  being  only  a  winner  in  your  wet  dreams.   Too  bad.   The  reality   The  dream  
  • 9. Jan  Van  den  Bergh  –  Holaba  –  Sanoma  Mediaparade  2014  –  jevedebe@holaba.com  The  Recommender  RevoluBon  -­‐   “Customers’  saIsfacIon  levels  explain  less  than  1%  of  the  variaIon  in  changes  in  their   share  of  category  spending.  Yes,  the  relaIonship  is  staIsIcally  significant,  but  it  is  not   very  managerially  relevant.”   There    is  not  a  strong  relaIonship  between  saIsfacIon  and  marketshare.  Being  “saIsfied”   doesn’t  mean  that  you  also  recommend  acIvely  or  when  asked  your  opinion.  The   more  “mass  market”  you’re  in  the  less  customers  are  saIsfied.   Don’t  ask  about  saBsfacBon.  Ask  about  recommendaBon.  Only  when  when   you  measure  recommendaBon  power,  you  measure  influenBal  acBvity.   Don’t  be  sad  about  clients  being  less  loyal   than  before.  Face  the  reality  and  move  on.  
  • 10. Jan  Van  den  Bergh  –  Holaba  –  Sanoma  Mediaparade  2014  –  jevedebe@holaba.com  The  Recommender  RevoluBon  -­‐   Benchmarking  is  measuring  recommendaBon  power.     “I  am  saBsfied  …  but  I  don’t  need  these     superthings.  Who  cares.  I  don’t  want  to  pay  for   the  extra’s”   “I  am  saBsfied  …  but  others  are  cheaper.”   “I  am  saBsfied  …  but  it  is  Bme  for  a  change”   “I  am  saBsfied  ….  but  I  prefer  buying  more     in  my  neighbourhood”   “I  am  saBsfied  ….  but  some  brands  are  beYer     and  I  go  for  the  best”   “I  am  saBsfied  …  but  my  friends  suggested     to  check  out  a  compeBtor.”   “I  am  saBsfied  …but  some  others  are  easier  to  handle”   “I  am  saBsfied  ….but  I  prefer  buying  more    online”   Only  when  when  you  measure  your  WOM-­‐strength,  you  measure  useful   acBvity  of  the  major  players  in  the  market  
  • 11. Jan  Van  den  Bergh  –  Holaba  –  Sanoma  Mediaparade  2014  –  jevedebe@holaba.com  The  Recommender  RevoluBon  -­‐   Promiscuous  behavior  of  consumers  is  a  big  opportunity  for  deeper   penetraBon  i.e.  daBng  real  prospects.   “Companies  need  to  invest  to  re-­‐earn  penetraBon  over  and  over  again.  Winners  accept   that  it’s  a  game  of  constant  recruitment.  That’s  why  they  invest  on  an  ongoing  basis  to   acquire  more  new  consumers  every  year  than  they  lose.  (Bain  -­‐  2014)  
  • 12. Jan  Van  den  Bergh  –  Holaba  –  Sanoma  Mediaparade  2014  –  jevedebe@holaba.com  The  Recommender  RevoluBon  -­‐   Go  violently  for  a  penetraBon  strategy.  You’ll  love  it.  But  don’t  push.   Move  when  there  is  an  intenBon.  When  the  situaBon  is  promising.  
  • 13. Jan  Van  den  Bergh  –  Holaba  –  Sanoma  Mediaparade  2014  –  jevedebe@holaba.com  The  Recommender  RevoluBon  -­‐   Indeed:  relevant  (pushed  or  pulled)  ads  are  sBll  an  excellent  and  needed  tool   in  any  penetraBon  strategy.  
  • 14. Jan  Van  den  Bergh  –  Holaba  –  Sanoma  Mediaparade  2014  –  jevedebe@holaba.com  The  Recommender  RevoluBon  -­‐   And  since  more  and  more  consumers  use  online  channels  during  the  pre-­‐ sales  phase  don’t  overlook  them.  
  • 15. Jan  Van  den  Bergh  –  Holaba  –  Sanoma  Mediaparade  2014  –  jevedebe@holaba.com  The  Recommender  RevoluBon  -­‐   But  –  to  be  honest  –  these  (ads  in)  paid  media  are  not  the  most  trusted,  nor   the  ones  that  push  consumers  into  acBon.  
  • 16. Jan  Van  den  Bergh  –  Holaba  –  Sanoma  Mediaparade  2014  –  jevedebe@holaba.com  The  Recommender  RevoluBon  -­‐   Earned  media  have  most   influence,  are  more   trusted  and  generate   more  ac4on   Paid  media  generate   more  touch  points,   hence  they  are  strong   in  building  awareness.     Their  “Opportunity  To   Be  Seen”  is  bigger.   Paid  media  cost  more  than  earned  and   owned  media.  Brands  plan  to  invest    less  in   paid  media  in  the  coming  years.   And  the  “paid  media”  take  a  big  bite  of  a  brand’s  markeBng  budget.  The   earned  media  cost  less.  You’ll  have  to  find  day  aker  day  the  best  mix.  
  • 17. Jan  Van  den  Bergh  –  Holaba  –  Sanoma  Mediaparade  2014  –  jevedebe@holaba.com  The  Recommender  RevoluBon  -­‐   Recency,  frequency,  monetary  value   (RFM)  of  clients  were  decisive  for   investment  in  markeIng   communicaIon.  Therefore  lots  of   money  spent  (wasted)  in  this  group  of   heavy  and  recent  buyers     RFM  -­‐  axis   Light  and  non  frequent  buyers  are   oXen  “neglected”     From  RFM  to  RRFM  to  decide  about  what  to  invest  where.  
  • 18. Jan  Van  den  Bergh  –  Holaba  –  Sanoma  Mediaparade  2014  –  jevedebe@holaba.com  The  Recommender  RevoluBon  -­‐   Recommenda4on  axis   +RFM  &  -­‐  REC   -­‐  RFM  &  -­‐  REC   +RFM  &  +  REC   -­‐  RFM  &  +  REC   RFM  -­‐  axis   Does  not  mean  they  all  give   posiBve  recommendaBons   Frequency  and  intensity   of  recommendaBon.   The  recommendaBon  power  of  clients  becomes  the  decisive  tool  to  decide   on  marcom-­‐investments  
  • 19. Jan  Van  den  Bergh  –  Holaba  –  Sanoma  Mediaparade  2014  –  jevedebe@holaba.com  The  Recommender  RevoluBon  -­‐   How  and  where  do  you  find  these  earned  media?  The  human  media.  The   brand  recommenders?  Stop  navel-­‐gazing.      
  • 20. Jan  Van  den  Bergh  –  Holaba  –  Sanoma  Mediaparade  2014  –  jevedebe@holaba.com  The  Recommender  RevoluBon  -­‐   Start  by  asking  them  all  (!)    how  likely  it  is  that  they  will  recommend  your   brand?     Client 1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Client 2 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Client 3 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Client 4 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Client 5 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Client 6 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Client 7 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Client 8 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Client 9 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Client 10 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Client 11 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Client 12 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Client 13 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Client 14 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Client 15 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Client 16 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Client 17 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Client 18 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Client 19 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Client 20 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Client 21 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Client 22 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Client 23 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Client 24 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Client 25 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Client 26 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Client 27 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Client 28 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Client 29 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 2  clients  you  asked  give  a  9.  You’re  happy.  
  • 21. Jan  Van  den  Bergh  –  Holaba  –  Sanoma  Mediaparade  2014  –  jevedebe@holaba.com  The  Recommender  RevoluBon  -­‐   But  one  of  these  2  clients  gives  your  compeBtor  a  10.     Bad  news  for  you.  You’re  not  his  real  nr  1.   Client 1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Client 2 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Client 3 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Client 4 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Client 5 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Client 6 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Client 7 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Client 8 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Client 9 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Client 10 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Client 11 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Client 12 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Client 13 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Client 14 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Client 15 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Client 16 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Client 17 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Client 18 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Client 19 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Client 20 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Client 21 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Client 22 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Client 23 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Client 24 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Client 25 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Client 26 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Client 27 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Client 28 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Client 29 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
  • 22. Jan  Van  den  Bergh  –  Holaba  –  Sanoma  Mediaparade  2014  –  jevedebe@holaba.com  The  Recommender  RevoluBon  -­‐   Look  (less)  or  (not  only)  in  the  mirror  and  more  through  the  window.     There’s  the  market.  There  are  the  voters.  The  influencers.  The  buyers.   Very bad ranking for “You “ Excellent ranking for “You” More or less ok ranking for “You” 1 Competitor 1.You (+20) 1 Competitor 2 Competitor 2 Competitor 2 Competitor 3 Competitor 3 Competitor 3 Competitor 4 Competitor 4 Competitor 4 Competitor 5 Competitor 5 Competitor 5.You (+20) 6 Competitor 6 Competitor 6 Competitor 7 Competitor 7 Competitor 7 Competitor 8 Competitor 8 Competitor 8 Competitor 9 Competitor 9 Competitor 9 Competitor 10.You (+20) 10 Competitor 10 Competitor
  • 23. Jan  Van  den  Bergh  –  Holaba  –  Sanoma  Mediaparade  2014  –  jevedebe@holaba.com  The  Recommender  RevoluBon  -­‐   That’s  how  we  do  it:  “How  likely  are  you  to  recommend  this  brand?”  
  • 24. Jan  Van  den  Bergh  –  Holaba  –  Sanoma  Mediaparade  2014  –  jevedebe@holaba.com  The  Recommender  RevoluBon  -­‐   That’s  how  we  do  it:  “How  likely  are  you  to  recommend  this  brand?”  
  • 25. Jan  Van  den  Bergh  –  Holaba  –  Sanoma  Mediaparade  2014  –  jevedebe@holaba.com  The  Recommender  RevoluBon  -­‐   3  quesBons:  your  experience,  your  score,  your  buying  intenBon.  
  • 26. Jan  Van  den  Bergh  –  Holaba  –  Sanoma  Mediaparade  2014  –  jevedebe@holaba.com  The  Recommender  RevoluBon  -­‐   Scores    9  -­‐10   Scores 9-­‐10   Scores   9-­‐10   Scores 9-­‐10   Scores 9-­‐10   Scores 9-­‐10   Scores 9-­‐10   Scores 9-­‐10   Scores 9-­‐10   Scores 9-­‐10   Scores 9-­‐10  Scores 9-­‐10   Scores     0-­‐6   Scores     0-­‐6   Scores     0-­‐6   Scores     0-­‐6   Scores     0-­‐6   Scores     0-­‐6   Scores     0-­‐6   Scores     0-­‐6   Scores     0-­‐6   Scores     0-­‐6   Scores     0-­‐6   Scores     0-­‐6   The  brands  these  boys  &  girls   also  recommend   Brand  Profile  of  boys  &  girls  18-­‐25  yrs  old,     who  all  give  a  very  high  9  &  10   recommendaBon  score  to  brand  X.   The  brands  they  don’t   recommend  at  all.   Scores     0-­‐6   And  when  1000’s  of  consumers  do  it  every  now  and  then,  they  build  unique   profiles  for  themselves  and  several  segments  with  their  peers.  
  • 27. Jan  Van  den  Bergh  –  Holaba  –  Sanoma  Mediaparade  2014  –  jevedebe@holaba.com  The  Recommender  RevoluBon  -­‐   Extra-­‐contacts  generated  :    brands  reach  consumers  through  media,   but  since  not  all  consumers  are  created   equal,  some  become  “human  media”  and   some  not.   Brands   Media   “Human  media”  “Just  humans”   “Just  humans”   And  they’re  influencers.  Brands  can  influence  these  influencers  by  running   ads  in  the  media  these  influencers  engage  with.  
  • 28. Jan  Van  den  Bergh  –  Holaba  –  Sanoma  Mediaparade  2014  –  jevedebe@holaba.com  The  Recommender  RevoluBon  -­‐   The  Media  Influencer  Index.  
  • 29. Jan  Van  den  Bergh  –  Holaba  –  Sanoma  Mediaparade  2014  –  jevedebe@holaba.com  The  Recommender  RevoluBon  -­‐  
  • 30. Jan  Van  den  Bergh  –  Holaba  –  Sanoma  Mediaparade  2014  –  jevedebe@holaba.com  The  Recommender  RevoluBon  -­‐   7  takeaways  for  those  who  arrived  too  late   1.  Your  brand  recommenders  are  the  most  important  asset  in  your  database.     Chances  are  you  haven’t  iden8fied  them  yet.   2.  If  you  iden8fy  them  and  win  them  all  …  you  win  plenty  of  ba@les.     3.  You  can  iden8fy  them  while  benchmarking  your  recommenda8on  power.     Maybe  you  already  benchmark.  Good.   4.  Move  on  from  RFM  to  RRFM   5.  Go  for  a  non-­‐customer  centric  approach.   Stop  navel-­‐gazing.  Your  customers  are  promiscuous   6.  Join  the  “Media  Influencers  Index”  Hype.   7.  Never  arrive  too  late.