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Topic 13: Consumption (chapter 16)  (revised 11/19/03)
Chapter overview ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Keynes’s Conjectures ,[object Object]
The Keynesian Consumption Function ,[object Object],C Y 1 c c  =  MPC = slope of the consumption function
The Keynesian Consumption Function As income rises, the APC falls (consumers save a bigger fraction of their income). C Y slope =  APC
Early Empirical Successes:  Results from Early Studies ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Problems for the  Keynesian Consumption Function ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
The Consumption Puzzle C Y Consumption function from long time series data (constant  APC  ) Consumption function from cross-sectional household data  (falling  APC  )
Irving Fisher and Intertemporal Choice ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
The basic two-period model ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Deriving the  intertemporal budget constraint ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
The intertemporal budget constraint present value of ______________ present value of  _____________
[object Object],The intertemporal budget constraint C 1 C 2 Y 1 Y 2 _______ _____ Consump = income in both periods
[object Object],The intertemporal budget constraint C 1 C 2 Y 1 Y 2 1 (1+ r   )
[object Object],Consumer preferences Higher indifference curves represent higher levels of happiness. Y Z X W C 1 C 2 IC 1 IC 2
[object Object],[object Object],Consumer preferences The slope of an indifference curve at any point equals the  MRS   at that point. So the MRS is the (negative) of the ___________________________. C 1 C 2 IC 1 1 MRS
[object Object],Optimization At the optimal point,  __________ C 1 C 2 O
[object Object],How  C   responds to changes in   Y   Results:  Provided they are both normal goods,  C 1  and  C 2  both increase, … _______________________________________________________.  C 1 C 2
Temporary v. permanent Temporary  rise in income: Y 1  alone Permanent  rise in income: Y 1  and Y 2  equally S’ Y 2 Save part of income: So ________________. C moves with Y: So _________________. C 2 = C’ 1 C’  2 C’ 2 = =‘C 1 =C 1 C 2 = =C 1 Y 1 Y 2 Y 1 Y’ 1 Y’ 2 Y’ 1
Keynes vs. Fisher ,[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],How  C   responds to changes in   r As depicted here,  ______________ . However, it could turn out differently… A C 1 C 2 Y 1 Y 2 A B
How  C   responds to changes in   r ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Constraints on borrowing ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],Constraints on borrowing Y 1 Y 2 C 1 C 2 The budget line with a borrowing constraint
[object Object],Consumer optimization when the borrowing constraint is  not binding Y 1 C 1 C 2
[object Object],[object Object],Consumer optimization when the borrowing constraint  is binding Y 1 D E C 1 C 2
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Suppose increase in income in period 1 E Y’ 1 =C 1 ’ The rise in income to Y’ 1  shifts the budget constraint right. C’ 1  rises with Y’ 1. Y 1 =C 1 C 1 C 2
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],The Life-Cycle Hypothesis
The Life-Cycle Hypothesis ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
The Life-Cycle Hypothesis ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Implications of the Life-Cycle Hypothesis ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Implications of the Life-Cycle Hypothesis ,[object Object],Saving Dissaving Retirement  begins End  of life Consumption Income $ Wealth
Numerical Example ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Example continued ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
The Permanent Income Hypothesis ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],The Permanent Income Hypothesis
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],The Permanent Income Hypothesis
PIH vs. LCH ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
The Random-Walk Hypothesis ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
The Random-Walk Hypothesis ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],Implication of the R-W Hypothesis
The Psychology of Instant Gratification ,[object Object],[object Object]
The Psychology of Instant Gratification ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Two Questions and Time Inconsistency ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Summing up ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

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MACROECONOMICS-CH16

  • 1. Topic 13: Consumption (chapter 16) (revised 11/19/03)
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  • 5. The Keynesian Consumption Function As income rises, the APC falls (consumers save a bigger fraction of their income). C Y slope = APC
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  • 8. The Consumption Puzzle C Y Consumption function from long time series data (constant APC ) Consumption function from cross-sectional household data (falling APC )
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  • 12. The intertemporal budget constraint present value of ______________ present value of _____________
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  • 19. Temporary v. permanent Temporary rise in income: Y 1 alone Permanent rise in income: Y 1 and Y 2 equally S’ Y 2 Save part of income: So ________________. C moves with Y: So _________________. C 2 = C’ 1 C’ 2 C’ 2 = =‘C 1 =C 1 C 2 = =C 1 Y 1 Y 2 Y 1 Y’ 1 Y’ 2 Y’ 1
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Editor's Notes

  1. This long chapter is a survey of the most prominent work on consumption since Keynes. After reviewing the Keynesian consumption function and its implications, the chapter presents Irving Fisher’s theory of intertemporal choice, the basis for much subsequent work on consumption. The chapter presents the Life-Cycle and Permanent Income Hypotheses, then discusses Hall’s Random Walk Hypothesis. Finally, there is a brief discussion of some very recent work by Laibson and others on psychology and economics, in particular how the pull of instant gratification can cause consumers to deviate from perfect rationality.