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Chrome Ore & Ferro Chrome
      Perspectives




        Prabhash Gokarn, Head Marketing, FAMD
Chrome : Usage
     Industrial uses & Intermediate Products - Chromite

           Refractory                Chemical                 Metallurgical                Foundry Sands
           Cement kiln            Chrome Plating              Ferrous Alloys
        Fiberglass furnace        Corrosion control             -Cast Iron
      Glass tank regenerator       Metal finishing                -Steel :
      Mag-chrome refractories        Pigments                         alloy
              Others             Tanning Chemicals                    stainless
                                   (Chromates,               Non ferrous alloys
                1%                 Di-chromates)                      Aluminium
                                       Others                         Copper                  3%
                                                                      Nickel
                                     2%
                                                                      Others

                                                                  94%




                            Foundry
                             Sands
                                                                              Metallurgical Use
                              3%             94% of total chrome      70% of chrome used in
                                Refractory
                                    1%       used in metallurgical metallurgical applications - is
                                 Chemical                           for making stainless steel
                                             applications - prime
                                    2%
Metallurgical                                   demand driver      18% is for making alloy steel
    94%
                                          Prabhash Gokarn, Head Marketing, FAMD
                                                                     Source : ICDA, USGS
Chrome Statistics




                                      Source: Heinz H. Pariser, 2010


                    Prabhash Gokarn, Head Marketing, FAMD
History
Chrome Discovery

Nicolas-Louis Vauquelin in 1797
Chromium-iron spinel now known as chromite (FeOCr2O3).
Colorful salts : name derived from “khrôma” Greek word for colour.
In 1798-99, Lowitz & Klaproth independently discovered chromium from the
Beresof Mines South-Eastern France.


Stainless Steel – 100 years of Stainless Steel – 1912 to 2012

Corrosion resistance of iron-chromium alloys first recognized in 1821 by the
French metallurgist Pierre Berthier

1890s – 1915 : various patents for different iron – chromium stainless alloys.
In 1912 Eduard Maurer invented a ferritic stainless steel. Harry Brearley
usually credited with first patent for Martensitic stainless steel in 1913, & Dr
Hatfield with invention of 18/8 type Austenitic Stainless Steel.

                             Prabhash Gokarn, Head Marketing, FAMD
Chrome History in India
• Discovered 1940s

• Sukinda Cr Mines established 1949

• First Ferro alloy plants in 1950s, production of low
  carbon FeCr in India started in 1967 in FACOR &
  IDCOL

• Stainless & Alloy steel production in India in Mini Steel
  Plants (due to Govt policy /JPC). Alloy Steels Plant set
  up in 1965 and Salem Steel Plant in 1982. Rapid
  growth in SS production in India from early 1990s.
  Viraj set up in 1990.

                    Prabhash Gokarn, Head Marketing, FAMD
Stainless Steel Trends
• Production Base shift from EU to China. Growth in SS production in
  India
       •   Early 2000s AD – SS production dominated by Europe & Asian Tigers

       • 2000 - 2010 – Significant shift in Stainless Steel production
       • EU & Japan - significant shrinkage
       • China & India – significant growth

       • Today – Over 35% Stainless Steel produced in China
       •
       • By 2015 – 60% Stainless Steel will be made in Ch-India

• Non Ni based SS growing :
       •   Geographic reasons – non Ni SS popular in China, India
       •   Highly volatile Nickel Prices
       •   Technology upgrade – possible to form 400S SS (earlier it was difficult)
       •   Use shift towards ART (Transport) and ABC (Construction) from household. Use
           in process industry growing.




                              Prabhash Gokarn, Head Marketing, FAMD
SS Trends
• New Applications
   – Water Treatment & de salination
   – Energy including Nuclear, Solar & Wind
   – Transportation
• New Grades
   – Super ferritics – more Cr
   – Duplex grades
• Stainless steel production technology advances
   – Due to nickel price volatility and research advances 400
     and 200 series are expected to grow quicker than 300
     series
   – Demand for engineering and alloy steels expected to grow
     strongly
• Double digit growth in SS Consumption (10-12% )
   (Growth in SS Consumption is about 1.2 Times GDP)
                     Prabhash Gokarn, Head Marketing, FAMD
Chrome Alloy Trends
 1990s : Chrome Alloy production located close to SS production
          (Japan, Europe)

 Most SS producers depended on tie-ups with FeCr producers
 Major Chrome Alloy producers :
       South Africa, Khazakastan, China, India, Zimbabwe

 Rapid Chinese Chrome Alloy production increase :
  in sync with strategy to become self-sufficient in FeCr

 Perhaps in future : as countries protect resources (following
  India’s example of export duty/ceiling on Cr Ore) production will
  shift to countries with ore. (ie China priced out).




                         Prabhash Gokarn, Head Marketing, FAMD
Chrome Alloy Situation
 South Africa struggling to maintain supremacy :
       affected by power shortages : losing share to Kazakh &
  India.

 Kazakhstan / ENRC : impressive growth
      largest producer on date.
      invested in South African reserves for further growth.
 India : Government support leading to doubling Ferro Chrome
  production
       restriction of Chrome Ore exports
       allowing captive power plants



                       Prabhash Gokarn, Head Marketing, FAMD
Cr Alloy Market Today
• Fewer buyers as SS prodn concentrated
  into China  losing relevance of LT
  Benchmark Pricing
• BM being replaced by Bao Steel price
• Bargaining power of buyers > Bargaining
  power of suppliers
• SS Mills securing supply of FeCr by equity
  investments / forward integration

               Prabhash Gokarn, Head Marketing, FAMD
Chrome Ore Trends – lower
           exports from India
• Upto mid 2000s : India highly dependent on China for export
  of Chrome Ore/Concentrate.

• Early 2000s : High market share for Indian Cr
  Ore/Concentrate

• Mid to late 2000s : Availability fell, forcing China to look
  elsewhere

• Policy of “Value Addition” adopted by India forced a shift from
       Chrome Ore to Ferro Chrome exports

• India’s FeCr share in China has increased :
   from zero in 2003, to market share in double digits today.

                        Prabhash Gokarn, Head Marketing, FAMD
Chrome Ore Trends – higher exports
    from South Africa is temporary
• South Africa not always a large Cr Ore exporter
  power problems have forced it to export Chrome
  Ore.

• Talks of India like policy on Cr Ore – once power
  situation eases.

• Historic precedent of treating Chrome as a
  strategic mineral

• Value addition mantra for job creation.


                  Prabhash Gokarn, Head Marketing, FAMD
Chrome Ore - New Geographies of
   Supply becoming significant
• Turkey
• Oman
• Pakistan




             Prabhash Gokarn, Head Marketing, FAMD
Chrome Ore – security driving
         value chain integration
• Chinese companies : Cr Ore assets in Zimbabwe &
  South Africa.

•   Bao Steel   : Visa Steel JV
•   Posco       : LT supply with Visa Steel
•   Posco       : Samancor JV
•   Nisshin     : Samancor JV
•   GMR         : Mine in Turkey




                       Prabhash Gokarn, Head Marketing, FAMD
Chrome Ore - Lower Grades ?
• Use of lower Cr Ore grades – UG2 (rejects
  from Platinum Group Mineral mines)
  becoming significant.

• Increased use of beneficiated Cr ores – Cr
  Concentrate in Ferro Alloy making




               Prabhash Gokarn, Head Marketing, FAMD
Future Trends
• Growth in SS fueled by new applications, technology advances, high
  GDP growth in BRICS.

• Integration of value chain : Cr Ore to SS

• New Geographies of significance : in SS – India, China; in FeCr -
  SA, India & Kazhak; in Cr Ore : Turkey, Oman, Pakistan.

• LT BM pricing to evolve into a shorter term BM based on China
  transaction price.

• Use of technological advances in Mineral processing – eg
  beneficiation and agglomeration and Ferro Alloy making – eg DC
  Arc technology will increase.




                         Prabhash Gokarn, Head Marketing, FAMD

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100 years of Stainless Steel : Chrome ore & Ferro Chrome Perspectives

  • 1. Chrome Ore & Ferro Chrome Perspectives Prabhash Gokarn, Head Marketing, FAMD
  • 2. Chrome : Usage Industrial uses & Intermediate Products - Chromite Refractory Chemical Metallurgical Foundry Sands Cement kiln Chrome Plating Ferrous Alloys Fiberglass furnace Corrosion control -Cast Iron Glass tank regenerator Metal finishing -Steel : Mag-chrome refractories Pigments alloy Others Tanning Chemicals stainless (Chromates, Non ferrous alloys 1% Di-chromates) Aluminium Others Copper 3% Nickel 2% Others 94% Foundry Sands Metallurgical Use 3% 94% of total chrome 70% of chrome used in Refractory 1% used in metallurgical metallurgical applications - is Chemical for making stainless steel applications - prime 2% Metallurgical demand driver 18% is for making alloy steel 94% Prabhash Gokarn, Head Marketing, FAMD Source : ICDA, USGS
  • 3. Chrome Statistics Source: Heinz H. Pariser, 2010 Prabhash Gokarn, Head Marketing, FAMD
  • 4. History Chrome Discovery Nicolas-Louis Vauquelin in 1797 Chromium-iron spinel now known as chromite (FeOCr2O3). Colorful salts : name derived from “khrôma” Greek word for colour. In 1798-99, Lowitz & Klaproth independently discovered chromium from the Beresof Mines South-Eastern France. Stainless Steel – 100 years of Stainless Steel – 1912 to 2012 Corrosion resistance of iron-chromium alloys first recognized in 1821 by the French metallurgist Pierre Berthier 1890s – 1915 : various patents for different iron – chromium stainless alloys. In 1912 Eduard Maurer invented a ferritic stainless steel. Harry Brearley usually credited with first patent for Martensitic stainless steel in 1913, & Dr Hatfield with invention of 18/8 type Austenitic Stainless Steel. Prabhash Gokarn, Head Marketing, FAMD
  • 5. Chrome History in India • Discovered 1940s • Sukinda Cr Mines established 1949 • First Ferro alloy plants in 1950s, production of low carbon FeCr in India started in 1967 in FACOR & IDCOL • Stainless & Alloy steel production in India in Mini Steel Plants (due to Govt policy /JPC). Alloy Steels Plant set up in 1965 and Salem Steel Plant in 1982. Rapid growth in SS production in India from early 1990s. Viraj set up in 1990. Prabhash Gokarn, Head Marketing, FAMD
  • 6. Stainless Steel Trends • Production Base shift from EU to China. Growth in SS production in India • Early 2000s AD – SS production dominated by Europe & Asian Tigers • 2000 - 2010 – Significant shift in Stainless Steel production • EU & Japan - significant shrinkage • China & India – significant growth • Today – Over 35% Stainless Steel produced in China • • By 2015 – 60% Stainless Steel will be made in Ch-India • Non Ni based SS growing : • Geographic reasons – non Ni SS popular in China, India • Highly volatile Nickel Prices • Technology upgrade – possible to form 400S SS (earlier it was difficult) • Use shift towards ART (Transport) and ABC (Construction) from household. Use in process industry growing. Prabhash Gokarn, Head Marketing, FAMD
  • 7. SS Trends • New Applications – Water Treatment & de salination – Energy including Nuclear, Solar & Wind – Transportation • New Grades – Super ferritics – more Cr – Duplex grades • Stainless steel production technology advances – Due to nickel price volatility and research advances 400 and 200 series are expected to grow quicker than 300 series – Demand for engineering and alloy steels expected to grow strongly • Double digit growth in SS Consumption (10-12% ) (Growth in SS Consumption is about 1.2 Times GDP) Prabhash Gokarn, Head Marketing, FAMD
  • 8. Chrome Alloy Trends  1990s : Chrome Alloy production located close to SS production (Japan, Europe)  Most SS producers depended on tie-ups with FeCr producers  Major Chrome Alloy producers : South Africa, Khazakastan, China, India, Zimbabwe  Rapid Chinese Chrome Alloy production increase : in sync with strategy to become self-sufficient in FeCr  Perhaps in future : as countries protect resources (following India’s example of export duty/ceiling on Cr Ore) production will shift to countries with ore. (ie China priced out). Prabhash Gokarn, Head Marketing, FAMD
  • 9. Chrome Alloy Situation  South Africa struggling to maintain supremacy : affected by power shortages : losing share to Kazakh & India.  Kazakhstan / ENRC : impressive growth largest producer on date. invested in South African reserves for further growth.  India : Government support leading to doubling Ferro Chrome production restriction of Chrome Ore exports allowing captive power plants Prabhash Gokarn, Head Marketing, FAMD
  • 10. Cr Alloy Market Today • Fewer buyers as SS prodn concentrated into China  losing relevance of LT Benchmark Pricing • BM being replaced by Bao Steel price • Bargaining power of buyers > Bargaining power of suppliers • SS Mills securing supply of FeCr by equity investments / forward integration Prabhash Gokarn, Head Marketing, FAMD
  • 11. Chrome Ore Trends – lower exports from India • Upto mid 2000s : India highly dependent on China for export of Chrome Ore/Concentrate. • Early 2000s : High market share for Indian Cr Ore/Concentrate • Mid to late 2000s : Availability fell, forcing China to look elsewhere • Policy of “Value Addition” adopted by India forced a shift from Chrome Ore to Ferro Chrome exports • India’s FeCr share in China has increased : from zero in 2003, to market share in double digits today. Prabhash Gokarn, Head Marketing, FAMD
  • 12. Chrome Ore Trends – higher exports from South Africa is temporary • South Africa not always a large Cr Ore exporter power problems have forced it to export Chrome Ore. • Talks of India like policy on Cr Ore – once power situation eases. • Historic precedent of treating Chrome as a strategic mineral • Value addition mantra for job creation. Prabhash Gokarn, Head Marketing, FAMD
  • 13. Chrome Ore - New Geographies of Supply becoming significant • Turkey • Oman • Pakistan Prabhash Gokarn, Head Marketing, FAMD
  • 14. Chrome Ore – security driving value chain integration • Chinese companies : Cr Ore assets in Zimbabwe & South Africa. • Bao Steel : Visa Steel JV • Posco : LT supply with Visa Steel • Posco : Samancor JV • Nisshin : Samancor JV • GMR : Mine in Turkey Prabhash Gokarn, Head Marketing, FAMD
  • 15. Chrome Ore - Lower Grades ? • Use of lower Cr Ore grades – UG2 (rejects from Platinum Group Mineral mines) becoming significant. • Increased use of beneficiated Cr ores – Cr Concentrate in Ferro Alloy making Prabhash Gokarn, Head Marketing, FAMD
  • 16. Future Trends • Growth in SS fueled by new applications, technology advances, high GDP growth in BRICS. • Integration of value chain : Cr Ore to SS • New Geographies of significance : in SS – India, China; in FeCr - SA, India & Kazhak; in Cr Ore : Turkey, Oman, Pakistan. • LT BM pricing to evolve into a shorter term BM based on China transaction price. • Use of technological advances in Mineral processing – eg beneficiation and agglomeration and Ferro Alloy making – eg DC Arc technology will increase. Prabhash Gokarn, Head Marketing, FAMD