In 1929, the U.S. Treasury introduced Treasury bills to address flaws in its financing operations from the 1920s. Specifically, Treasury debt offerings were chronically oversubscribed when sold at fixed prices, and the Treasury had to borrow in advance of its needs between its quarterly debt sales and tax payment dates. By auctioning Treasury bills regularly and on an as-needed basis, the Treasury was able to better manage its cash flows and meet its financing needs in a more flexible manner. The introduction of Treasury bills allowed the Treasury to mitigate defects in the existing system while maintaining the overall structure of its operations.
1) Global stock markets posted positive returns in Q4 2012, led by developed international markets, global real estate, and emerging markets.
2) US stocks returned 0.25% for the quarter, underperforming other major global indices.
3) Bond markets were mostly flat, with the US bond market returning 0.22% for the quarter.
STOCKTAKING OF THE G-20 RESPONSES TO THE GLOBAL BANKING CRISISPeter Ho
The document provides a preliminary assessment of policy responses by G-20 countries to address the global banking crisis from September 2008 to February 2009. It finds that initial responses were reactive and aimed at containment through measures like debt guarantees and liquidity support. Key limitations identified include inadequate creditor protection if economic conditions worsen, ad hoc capital injections, and a lack of frameworks for asset management. Going forward, the document recommends a more comprehensive and coordinated international strategy across four elements: coordination of restructuring policies, cooperation on toxic asset valuation and disposal, financial institution inspections, and frameworks for public ownership of banks.
Quantitative easing (QE) is an unconventional monetary policy tool used by central banks to stimulate the economy when conventional monetary policy is ineffective. It involves large-scale asset purchases by central banks, primarily government bonds, in order to increase the money supply and lower interest rates. The document discusses the history and implementation of QE by various central banks, including the Federal Reserve, European Central Bank, Bank of Japan, and Bank of England in response to economic crises like the Great Recession. It also analyzes the effects of QE on economies like the United States and Saudi Arabia through lower borrowing costs, higher asset prices, and increased economic activity.
Beatriz Armendariz co-authored The Economics of Microfinance, First Edition (2005), and Second Edition (2010), with Jonathan Morduch. Her forthcoming books are The Handbook of Microfinance, with Marc Labie, and The Economics of Contemporary Latin American Economy, with Felipe Larrain. Currently, she is working on various field projects, most notably on Environmentally-friendly Rural Farming in Burundi, with Ephrem Niyongabo of Universite de Mons, Belgium. Some publications by Beatriz Armendariz are “Gender Empowerment in Microfinance”, joint with Nigel Roome; “Peer Group Formation in an Adverse Selection Model”, with Christian Gollier, The Economic Journal; “Microfinance Beyond Group Lending”, with Jonathan Morduch, The Economics of Transition; and more.
The document discusses the global financial crisis and its impact on retail banking in India. It provides background on the timeline of events in the global financial crisis from 2007-2008. It then discusses how the crisis impacted the Indian economy through decreased tax revenues, a rising fiscal deficit, falling foreign exchange reserves, and reduced exports and foreign investment. The slowdown affected many industries in India and is estimated to have resulted in the loss of one crore jobs.
1) The minutes summarize a meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee where they discussed recent developments in financial markets and the Federal Reserve's balance sheet.
2) The committee reviewed operations in domestic and foreign markets since their last meeting as well as ongoing purchases of Treasury securities.
3) Staff presented strategies for normalizing monetary policy over time as the economy strengthens, such as increasing interest rates, decreasing holdings of longer-term securities, or a combination of both. Key issues in deciding their approach were the extent of tightening and how to vary the pace of asset sales in response to economic conditions.
2008 Q3: The Impact of the Global Financial and Economic Crisis on Botswanaeconsultbw
The global economic and financial crisis is adversely affecting Botswana in several ways:
1) Financial markets have been impacted by a reduction in credit availability, sharp falls in asset values, and a rise in risk aversion.
2) The real economy will likely experience slowing growth, rising unemployment, and declining incomes as global economic growth slows.
3) Botswana's financial markets have been somewhat insulated so far, with the stock exchange recovering even as global markets dropped sharply. However, the crisis may still negatively impact Botswana's real economy going forward.
1) Global stock markets posted positive returns in Q4 2012, led by developed international markets, global real estate, and emerging markets.
2) US stocks returned 0.25% for the quarter, underperforming other major global indices.
3) Bond markets were mostly flat, with the US bond market returning 0.22% for the quarter.
STOCKTAKING OF THE G-20 RESPONSES TO THE GLOBAL BANKING CRISISPeter Ho
The document provides a preliminary assessment of policy responses by G-20 countries to address the global banking crisis from September 2008 to February 2009. It finds that initial responses were reactive and aimed at containment through measures like debt guarantees and liquidity support. Key limitations identified include inadequate creditor protection if economic conditions worsen, ad hoc capital injections, and a lack of frameworks for asset management. Going forward, the document recommends a more comprehensive and coordinated international strategy across four elements: coordination of restructuring policies, cooperation on toxic asset valuation and disposal, financial institution inspections, and frameworks for public ownership of banks.
Quantitative easing (QE) is an unconventional monetary policy tool used by central banks to stimulate the economy when conventional monetary policy is ineffective. It involves large-scale asset purchases by central banks, primarily government bonds, in order to increase the money supply and lower interest rates. The document discusses the history and implementation of QE by various central banks, including the Federal Reserve, European Central Bank, Bank of Japan, and Bank of England in response to economic crises like the Great Recession. It also analyzes the effects of QE on economies like the United States and Saudi Arabia through lower borrowing costs, higher asset prices, and increased economic activity.
Beatriz Armendariz co-authored The Economics of Microfinance, First Edition (2005), and Second Edition (2010), with Jonathan Morduch. Her forthcoming books are The Handbook of Microfinance, with Marc Labie, and The Economics of Contemporary Latin American Economy, with Felipe Larrain. Currently, she is working on various field projects, most notably on Environmentally-friendly Rural Farming in Burundi, with Ephrem Niyongabo of Universite de Mons, Belgium. Some publications by Beatriz Armendariz are “Gender Empowerment in Microfinance”, joint with Nigel Roome; “Peer Group Formation in an Adverse Selection Model”, with Christian Gollier, The Economic Journal; “Microfinance Beyond Group Lending”, with Jonathan Morduch, The Economics of Transition; and more.
The document discusses the global financial crisis and its impact on retail banking in India. It provides background on the timeline of events in the global financial crisis from 2007-2008. It then discusses how the crisis impacted the Indian economy through decreased tax revenues, a rising fiscal deficit, falling foreign exchange reserves, and reduced exports and foreign investment. The slowdown affected many industries in India and is estimated to have resulted in the loss of one crore jobs.
1) The minutes summarize a meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee where they discussed recent developments in financial markets and the Federal Reserve's balance sheet.
2) The committee reviewed operations in domestic and foreign markets since their last meeting as well as ongoing purchases of Treasury securities.
3) Staff presented strategies for normalizing monetary policy over time as the economy strengthens, such as increasing interest rates, decreasing holdings of longer-term securities, or a combination of both. Key issues in deciding their approach were the extent of tightening and how to vary the pace of asset sales in response to economic conditions.
2008 Q3: The Impact of the Global Financial and Economic Crisis on Botswanaeconsultbw
The global economic and financial crisis is adversely affecting Botswana in several ways:
1) Financial markets have been impacted by a reduction in credit availability, sharp falls in asset values, and a rise in risk aversion.
2) The real economy will likely experience slowing growth, rising unemployment, and declining incomes as global economic growth slows.
3) Botswana's financial markets have been somewhat insulated so far, with the stock exchange recovering even as global markets dropped sharply. However, the crisis may still negatively impact Botswana's real economy going forward.
Treasury bills are short-term government securities issued in maturities of 91-days, 182-days, and 364-days. They are promissory notes issued by the government and sold by the central bank on behalf of the government. Treasury bills are sold via a competitive bidding process, with the lowest bidders receiving the allotment. They offer extreme security and liquidity as government-backed short-term investments, making them a preferred investment for commercial banks to park their short-term funds. Treasury bills trade at a discount to their face value.
The document provides an overview of the Over The Counter Exchange of India (OTCEI). It discusses that OTCEI is an electronic stock exchange comprised of small and medium sized firms looking to gain access to capital markets. Some key points covered include OTCEI's history and establishment in 1990, its features like use of modern technology and all-India network, listing requirements for companies, advantages like access to capital, and disadvantages such as poor initial trading volumes and liquidity.
Treasury bills are short-term promissory notes issued by the government to meet temporary budget deficits. They are issued for periods of less than one year. Treasury bills are considered very safe investments as they are backed by the government and have high liquidity. There are two types: ordinary treasury bills that are issued publicly and ad hoc bills issued only to the Reserve Bank of India. Treasury bills play an important role in money market operations by providing short-term investments for banks and other financial institutions to manage their funds and meet regulatory requirements like statutory liquidity ratios.
Treasury bills are short-term debt instruments issued by the Bangladesh government with maturities of up to one year. They are sold at a discount to their face value at maturity, with the difference representing the interest earned. Treasury bills carry essentially no default risk since they are guaranteed by the government. Major banks and non-bank financial institutions in Bangladesh participate as primary dealers in the treasury bill auction process managed by the central bank.
Treasury bills are short-term government debt instruments issued to meet budgetary needs. They are issued at a discount to face value and mature at par. Treasury bills are considered very safe investments due to minimal risk of default and high liquidity. They are issued in maturities of 91 days, 182 days, and 364 days through auctions and provide the lowest yields among government securities due to their short duration. Major participants in the treasury bill market include banks, financial institutions, and corporations who use them for statutory liquidity requirements and short-term funds management.
Treasury bills are short-term debt instruments issued by the central government of India to borrow money for periods of less than one year. There are three types of treasury bills based on maturity periods: 91-day bills, 182-day bills, and 364-day bills. Treasury bills are issued at a fixed discount rate through auctions and provide a safe, liquid investment option for entities like commercial banks, state governments, and public sector financial institutions. The bills help the government meet its short-term borrowing needs and provide investors a tool to manage funds in the short-term.
The document discusses underwriting, which is an agreement where underwriters take on the risk of purchasing securities from an issuer in the event that the public demand is insufficient. It describes different types of underwriting arrangements and the roles and responsibilities of underwriters. It also outlines the eligibility criteria, registration process, operational guidelines, and record keeping requirements for underwriters according to SEBI regulations in India. As an example, it summarizes that Alibaba's 2014 IPO raised over $20 billion with six major banks serving as equal lead underwriters.
SEBI was established in 1988 and upgraded to a statutory body in 1992 through the SEBI Act. It is headquartered in Mumbai and regulates stock exchanges and other market intermediaries. SEBI aims to protect investors, ensure fair practices, and promote an efficient securities market. It has regulatory and developmental functions, including licensing market intermediaries and promoting research and investor education.
The document discusses the Sensex and Nifty stock market indices in India. It provides the following key points:
1. Sensex is an index of the top 30 companies on the Bombay Stock Exchange that indicates if stock prices are generally rising or falling. Nifty is an index of the top 50 companies on the National Stock Exchange.
2. Both indices are calculated based on the total market value and capitalization of their component stocks.
3. The Indian stock market experienced a meltdown in 2008 as foreign investors withdrew money due to high domestic inflation, unstable politics, rising fuel prices, and a slowing US economy that was showing signs of recession.
The capital market allows investors to trade investment instruments like stocks and bonds. It serves as a marketplace to transfer funds from investors with surplus capital to those with a deficit. The capital market has two main segments - the primary market where new stock issues are sold, and the secondary market where existing securities are traded, mainly on a stock exchange, to provide liquidity. Investment in the capital market faces risks from stock price volatility and interest rate fluctuations that impact bond prices.
The capital market allows investors to trade various investment instruments like bonds, equities, and mortgages. It connects investors with surplus funds to those with deficits, providing long-term and overnight funding. Financial instruments traded include equities, credit products, insurance, foreign exchange, hybrids, and derivatives. The capital market has two main segments - the primary market where new securities are issued, and the secondary market where existing securities are traded, creating liquidity.
Are fiscal/monetary conditions affecting the macro thesis for Canadian farmland investments? Do publicly traded equity investments hedge all inflation regimes? Canada's debt to GDP - looming threat or irrelevancy?
Latin American countries borrowed heavily in the 1960s-1970s which quadrupled their external debt. This increased borrowing led to debt crises in the 1980s when commodity prices collapsed due to recession in industrialized countries and interest rates rose sharply. The debt crises had both internal causes like deregulation and external causes linked to the international recession. Management of the crises involved negotiations between debtors and creditors facilitated by the IMF.
This newsletter discusses recent economic and monetary policies that have led to rising government debt and money printing. It summarizes the history of past currency failures in France and Germany when governments excessively issued paper currencies. The author argues that current policies of unlimited deficit spending and money printing will not lead to lasting prosperity and will end in economic problems. The newsletter recommends investing in assets that benefit from emerging market growth, reduce counterparty risk, hedge inflation, and have inelastic demand to improve portfolio returns in this environment.
1) Merchant banking involves private equity investments by financial institutions. It has historically been an important activity for both commercial and investment banks.
2) The document discusses the history and evolution of the private equity market in the US. It has grown significantly over the past few decades, reaching $400 billion in 1999.
3) The document outlines the typical structures commercial banks have used to engage in merchant banking, including small business investment corporations and 5% subsidiaries. Recent legislation has expanded permissible merchant banking activities.
The Covered Bond Report, November-December 2011Neil Day
Issue 5 of The Covered Bond Report, with features on the US dollar market and documentation, Central & Eastern Europe (CEE), sovereign debt versus covered bonds, and much more. From http://news.coveredbondreport.com
The money market in Germany developed strongly after World War II, with interbank loans being a major transaction type. By the 1960s, government treasury bills and other short-term securities were also gaining importance. While the securitized money market remains relatively small in Germany, the importance of money market instruments has increased since the early 1990s with new products. The Bundesbank plays a key role in regulating the money market and influencing monetary conditions through open market operations.
The document discusses the development and operation of the money market in Germany. It notes that after World War II, money market transactions were largely confined to interbank loans, with insurance companies and other non-banks also being important lenders. It describes the various money market instruments that exist in Germany, including treasury bills, commercial paper, and certificates of deposit. It outlines the role of the Bundesbank in regulating the money market through open market operations and other policies. Compared to other countries, Germany has a relatively small securitized money market.
The Bank for International Settlements (BIS) provides financial services to central banks to help them manage their foreign exchange reserves. Headquartered in Basel, it has 140 central bank customers. It offers asset management and short-term credit services on a collateralized basis, but not to private individuals or entities. Important events highlighted by the document include the Herstatt Crisis of 1974, the Basel Concordat of 1974 establishing supervision guidelines between countries, and the Basel Capital Accords of 1988 and beyond establishing capital adequacy standards for banks.
Bretton Woods system of monetary management Avinash Chavan
1. The Bretton Woods system established rules for international monetary management among major industrial states in the mid-20th century, including fixed exchange rates tied to the US dollar and gold.
2. The Bretton Woods conference in 1944 aimed to rebuild the international economic system and prevent competitive currency devaluations that exacerbated the Great Depression. It established the IMF and World Bank.
3. The collapse of Bretton Woods in 1971 ended convertibility of the US dollar to gold, making it a fiat currency and others like the pound floating currencies.
Treasury bills are short-term government securities issued in maturities of 91-days, 182-days, and 364-days. They are promissory notes issued by the government and sold by the central bank on behalf of the government. Treasury bills are sold via a competitive bidding process, with the lowest bidders receiving the allotment. They offer extreme security and liquidity as government-backed short-term investments, making them a preferred investment for commercial banks to park their short-term funds. Treasury bills trade at a discount to their face value.
The document provides an overview of the Over The Counter Exchange of India (OTCEI). It discusses that OTCEI is an electronic stock exchange comprised of small and medium sized firms looking to gain access to capital markets. Some key points covered include OTCEI's history and establishment in 1990, its features like use of modern technology and all-India network, listing requirements for companies, advantages like access to capital, and disadvantages such as poor initial trading volumes and liquidity.
Treasury bills are short-term promissory notes issued by the government to meet temporary budget deficits. They are issued for periods of less than one year. Treasury bills are considered very safe investments as they are backed by the government and have high liquidity. There are two types: ordinary treasury bills that are issued publicly and ad hoc bills issued only to the Reserve Bank of India. Treasury bills play an important role in money market operations by providing short-term investments for banks and other financial institutions to manage their funds and meet regulatory requirements like statutory liquidity ratios.
Treasury bills are short-term debt instruments issued by the Bangladesh government with maturities of up to one year. They are sold at a discount to their face value at maturity, with the difference representing the interest earned. Treasury bills carry essentially no default risk since they are guaranteed by the government. Major banks and non-bank financial institutions in Bangladesh participate as primary dealers in the treasury bill auction process managed by the central bank.
Treasury bills are short-term government debt instruments issued to meet budgetary needs. They are issued at a discount to face value and mature at par. Treasury bills are considered very safe investments due to minimal risk of default and high liquidity. They are issued in maturities of 91 days, 182 days, and 364 days through auctions and provide the lowest yields among government securities due to their short duration. Major participants in the treasury bill market include banks, financial institutions, and corporations who use them for statutory liquidity requirements and short-term funds management.
Treasury bills are short-term debt instruments issued by the central government of India to borrow money for periods of less than one year. There are three types of treasury bills based on maturity periods: 91-day bills, 182-day bills, and 364-day bills. Treasury bills are issued at a fixed discount rate through auctions and provide a safe, liquid investment option for entities like commercial banks, state governments, and public sector financial institutions. The bills help the government meet its short-term borrowing needs and provide investors a tool to manage funds in the short-term.
The document discusses underwriting, which is an agreement where underwriters take on the risk of purchasing securities from an issuer in the event that the public demand is insufficient. It describes different types of underwriting arrangements and the roles and responsibilities of underwriters. It also outlines the eligibility criteria, registration process, operational guidelines, and record keeping requirements for underwriters according to SEBI regulations in India. As an example, it summarizes that Alibaba's 2014 IPO raised over $20 billion with six major banks serving as equal lead underwriters.
SEBI was established in 1988 and upgraded to a statutory body in 1992 through the SEBI Act. It is headquartered in Mumbai and regulates stock exchanges and other market intermediaries. SEBI aims to protect investors, ensure fair practices, and promote an efficient securities market. It has regulatory and developmental functions, including licensing market intermediaries and promoting research and investor education.
The document discusses the Sensex and Nifty stock market indices in India. It provides the following key points:
1. Sensex is an index of the top 30 companies on the Bombay Stock Exchange that indicates if stock prices are generally rising or falling. Nifty is an index of the top 50 companies on the National Stock Exchange.
2. Both indices are calculated based on the total market value and capitalization of their component stocks.
3. The Indian stock market experienced a meltdown in 2008 as foreign investors withdrew money due to high domestic inflation, unstable politics, rising fuel prices, and a slowing US economy that was showing signs of recession.
The capital market allows investors to trade investment instruments like stocks and bonds. It serves as a marketplace to transfer funds from investors with surplus capital to those with a deficit. The capital market has two main segments - the primary market where new stock issues are sold, and the secondary market where existing securities are traded, mainly on a stock exchange, to provide liquidity. Investment in the capital market faces risks from stock price volatility and interest rate fluctuations that impact bond prices.
The capital market allows investors to trade various investment instruments like bonds, equities, and mortgages. It connects investors with surplus funds to those with deficits, providing long-term and overnight funding. Financial instruments traded include equities, credit products, insurance, foreign exchange, hybrids, and derivatives. The capital market has two main segments - the primary market where new securities are issued, and the secondary market where existing securities are traded, creating liquidity.
Are fiscal/monetary conditions affecting the macro thesis for Canadian farmland investments? Do publicly traded equity investments hedge all inflation regimes? Canada's debt to GDP - looming threat or irrelevancy?
Latin American countries borrowed heavily in the 1960s-1970s which quadrupled their external debt. This increased borrowing led to debt crises in the 1980s when commodity prices collapsed due to recession in industrialized countries and interest rates rose sharply. The debt crises had both internal causes like deregulation and external causes linked to the international recession. Management of the crises involved negotiations between debtors and creditors facilitated by the IMF.
This newsletter discusses recent economic and monetary policies that have led to rising government debt and money printing. It summarizes the history of past currency failures in France and Germany when governments excessively issued paper currencies. The author argues that current policies of unlimited deficit spending and money printing will not lead to lasting prosperity and will end in economic problems. The newsletter recommends investing in assets that benefit from emerging market growth, reduce counterparty risk, hedge inflation, and have inelastic demand to improve portfolio returns in this environment.
1) Merchant banking involves private equity investments by financial institutions. It has historically been an important activity for both commercial and investment banks.
2) The document discusses the history and evolution of the private equity market in the US. It has grown significantly over the past few decades, reaching $400 billion in 1999.
3) The document outlines the typical structures commercial banks have used to engage in merchant banking, including small business investment corporations and 5% subsidiaries. Recent legislation has expanded permissible merchant banking activities.
The Covered Bond Report, November-December 2011Neil Day
Issue 5 of The Covered Bond Report, with features on the US dollar market and documentation, Central & Eastern Europe (CEE), sovereign debt versus covered bonds, and much more. From http://news.coveredbondreport.com
The money market in Germany developed strongly after World War II, with interbank loans being a major transaction type. By the 1960s, government treasury bills and other short-term securities were also gaining importance. While the securitized money market remains relatively small in Germany, the importance of money market instruments has increased since the early 1990s with new products. The Bundesbank plays a key role in regulating the money market and influencing monetary conditions through open market operations.
The document discusses the development and operation of the money market in Germany. It notes that after World War II, money market transactions were largely confined to interbank loans, with insurance companies and other non-banks also being important lenders. It describes the various money market instruments that exist in Germany, including treasury bills, commercial paper, and certificates of deposit. It outlines the role of the Bundesbank in regulating the money market through open market operations and other policies. Compared to other countries, Germany has a relatively small securitized money market.
The Bank for International Settlements (BIS) provides financial services to central banks to help them manage their foreign exchange reserves. Headquartered in Basel, it has 140 central bank customers. It offers asset management and short-term credit services on a collateralized basis, but not to private individuals or entities. Important events highlighted by the document include the Herstatt Crisis of 1974, the Basel Concordat of 1974 establishing supervision guidelines between countries, and the Basel Capital Accords of 1988 and beyond establishing capital adequacy standards for banks.
Bretton Woods system of monetary management Avinash Chavan
1. The Bretton Woods system established rules for international monetary management among major industrial states in the mid-20th century, including fixed exchange rates tied to the US dollar and gold.
2. The Bretton Woods conference in 1944 aimed to rebuild the international economic system and prevent competitive currency devaluations that exacerbated the Great Depression. It established the IMF and World Bank.
3. The collapse of Bretton Woods in 1971 ended convertibility of the US dollar to gold, making it a fiat currency and others like the pound floating currencies.
CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER-SANTANDER INVESTOR DAY 2011BANCO SANTANDER
The document is a disclaimer and presentation by José Antonio Álvarez, CFO of Santander Group. It cautions that the presentation contains forward-looking statements about future business development and economic performance that may differ materially from expectations. It notes risk factors from general economic conditions to competitive pressures that could adversely affect Santander's business. The presentation also states that Santander does not undertake to update forward-looking statements and the information should be read in conjunction with all other public information.
This document summarizes money market funds and the money market. It discusses what money market funds are, the types of short-term securities they invest in, and regulations around maintaining a stable net asset value. It also describes events in September 2008 when the Reserve Primary Fund "broke the buck" after writing off debt from the Lehman Brothers bankruptcy, contributing to turmoil in financial markets.
The document discusses the failures of governments and central banks to allow market forces to set interest rates. It argues that continual credit expansion through low interest rates set by governments will inevitably lead to a major financial crisis. The author believes past currency collapses show that attempting to stimulate unlimited consumption through monetary policy is misguided and only delays an inevitable crisis. Allowing market-set interest rates could help avoid increasingly severe boom-bust cycles and prevent more taxpayer bailouts being needed to resolve future crises.
The document discusses the financial impact of the global crisis on Latin America and policy responses. It notes that Latin America initially saw limited effects but conditions intensified after Lehman Brothers' bankruptcy. Policy responses included central bank intervention in foreign exchange markets to provide liquidity and stabilize domestic markets. Central banks also lowered interest rates and reserve requirements as the focus shifted to slowing growth. Overall the disruption to domestic markets was less severe than previous crises due to policy responses and Latin America's stronger financial position.
This document provides a history of financial instruments used by banks for credit markets. It discusses:
1) How the Bretton Woods system after WWII established the IMF, World Bank and use of US dollars as the global reserve currency to rebuild war-torn nations.
2) In the 1960s, as US gold reserves dwindled, banks began issuing credit instruments like letters of credit to recycle dollars and maintain currency values.
3) These instruments allowed banks to profit by issuing guarantees, accessing funds at low rates from central banks, and lending at higher rates, while also helping governments control money supply and inflation. They remain an important tool for international finance.
1) As the U.S. pays down the public debt, it raises important issues regarding benchmarks for risk-free assets, how the Federal Reserve conducts monetary policy, and what kinds of assets the government might accumulate.
2) The swap market has taken on some of the benchmark role of Treasuries, but it does not fully substitute as Treasuries are not subject to default risk. The Federal Reserve may need to use different tools for open market operations as Treasuries decline.
3) Accumulating assets raises questions about what types of investments the government should hold, like state/local bonds or private fixed income, and how to manage the investments independently and avoid conflicts of interest.
Trade funds Guide (Clients' Guide to Private Placement)Prabhjot Bhangu
Guide to trade funds… Look no further…!!
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Agcapita is Canada's only RRSP and TFSA eligible farmland fund and is part of a family of funds with over $100 million in assets under management. Agcapita believes farmland is a safe investment, that supply is shrinking and that unprecedented demand for "food, feed and fuel" will continue to move crop prices higher over the long-term. Agcapita created the Farmland Investment Partnership to allow investors to add professionally managed farmland to their portfolios.
The document provides an overview of Chapter 20 which covers money, financial institutions, and the Federal Reserve. It includes 7 learning goals that cover what money is, how the Federal Reserve controls the money supply, the history of banking and the Federal Reserve system, the various institutions in the US banking system, protecting deposits during crises, technological advancements in banking, and international banking organizations.
A disturbing fact becomes more and more obvious: The governments of the both the U.S. and most of the Eurozone member countries are about to overstrain their debt servicing capacity.
For individuals, organizations, and countries that have so far regarded the currencies of these countries as reliable storages of value, news could hardly be more alarming: Evidence is rapidly piling up that the debtor governments involved intend to rid themselves of their unsustainable debt largely at the expense of their creditors. This could be effectuated either through a sudden expropriation of lenders (nowadays euphemistically referred to as a “haircut”), or by means of a gradual dispossession through a deliberately induced devaluation.
However, investors currently holding large amounts of Dollar-, or Euro-denominated reserves, do not yet have to resign to the fate of seeing their wealth evaporate through arbitrary acts of governments they had trusted for long. In the document to this message, I have sought to specify some of the basic principles prudent investors should heed in order to protect their wealth from the impending world economic crisis. You may copy and circulate it freely, but would do me a huge favour if you could do so with a reference to my authorship. And, of course, any opportunity you could grant to me to carry its message further afield in person would be most welcome.
Similar to Why the U.S. Treasury Began Auctioning Treasury Bill in 1929 (20)
The State of Public Finances: A Cross-Country Fiscal MonitorPeter Ho
The global fiscal response to the crisis has been sizable but implementation has been uneven. Among G-20 countries, fiscal deficits are projected to increase by 5.5% of GDP in both 2009 and 2010 due to discretionary stimulus measures, automatic stabilizers, and falling revenues. Tax cuts have been implemented more quickly than spending measures. While a comprehensive assessment is difficult due to limited reporting, signs indicate the pace of stimulus spending has accelerated recently in some countries like the US. Overall, fiscal expansion has helped counter the economic downturn but medium-term fiscal strategies are still lacking in many countries.
The global economy is stabilizing after an unprecedented recession, helped by unprecedented policy support. However, the recession is not over and the recovery is expected to be sluggish. While growth is projected to be higher in 2010 than previously expected, the advanced economies are not expected to show sustained growth until the second half of 2010. Financial conditions have improved due to government intervention, but financial systems remain impaired and government support will gradually diminish.
How Did Economist Get It So Wrong Paul KrugmanPeter Ho
This document summarizes how mainstream economists failed to predict or prevent the 2008 financial crisis, despite believing they had resolved internal disputes and "solved" the problem of preventing depressions. It argues that economists mistook theoretical, mathematically elegant models of perfect markets for reality, ignoring limitations of human rationality and market imperfections that can cause crashes. It traces how mainstream economics shifted from Keynesian support for government intervention to stabilize economies to a neoclassical faith in free markets, with devastating consequences in the crisis.
1) The US recovery in the 1930s was rapid until 1937, when unemployment surged again due to a switch to contractionary fiscal and monetary policy that prolonged the Depression.
2) In 1937, fiscal stimulus from veterans bonuses and Social Security taxes disappeared, reducing the deficit by 2.5% of GDP. Additionally, the Federal Reserve doubled bank reserve requirements, unintentionally causing banks to reduce lending and precipitating recession.
3) The author argues that policymakers today must learn from 1937 and resist prematurely withdrawing stimulus until the economy reaches full employment to avoid derailing the recovery.
The document provides one-page summaries of responses from 43 state Medicaid Directors and Washington D.C. on the impact of 7 recent Medicaid regulations. For each state, the summaries include estimates of lost federal funds in 2008 and over 5 years for regulations limiting payments to public providers, graduate medical education, outpatient hospital services, provider taxes, coverage of rehabilitative services, payments for school services, and targeted case management. Quotes from each state convey concerns about reduced access to care, loss of providers and services, and increased costs.
This document provides a summary of findings from a report by the Committee on Oversight and Government Reform regarding the potential impacts of 7 Medicaid regulations proposed by CMS. Key findings include:
1) State estimates found the regulations could reduce federal Medicaid payments to states by $49.7 billion over 5 years, more than 3 times CMS's estimate of $15 billion.
2) The regulations are likely to shift costs from the federal government to states rather than improve efficiencies.
3) The regulations could disrupt care systems for vulnerable groups and threaten the stability of safety net hospitals and clinics treating uninsured patients.
4) The regulations would impose significant administrative burdens and costs on state Medicaid programs.
5
This document summarizes the 2009 Medicare & You handbook. It provides information about Medicare coverage, costs, and options. Key points include:
- Medicare covers hospital insurance (Part A), medical insurance (Part B), Medicare Advantage plans (Part C), and prescription drug coverage (Part D).
- Coverage and costs vary depending on the plan. Part A has a deductible and Part B has a premium and deductible. Advantage plans have premiums, deductibles, and other costs.
- Individuals have choices in how they receive Medicare benefits, including Original Medicare or Medicare Advantage plans. Plans must be joined during specific enrollment periods.
- The handbook provides information to help
The document provides an overview and analysis of China's economic developments in the first half of 2009. It discusses three main points:
1) While China's economy has continued to feel the effects of the global crisis, very expansionary fiscal and monetary policies have supported growth. Government investment has soared while market investment has lagged. Consumption has held up well.
2) Exports remain very weak but imports have recovered as stimulus has boosted demand for raw materials. GDP growth was a respectable 6% in the first quarter.
3) Downward pressure on inflation has continued as falling raw material prices drag down prices, but overcapacity is squeezing industry profits. Growth is projected to remain around 7%
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Why the U.S. Treasury Began Auctioning Treasury Bill in 1929
1. Kenneth D. Garbade
Why the U.S. Treasury
Began Auctioning
Treasury Bills in 1929
• In the 1920s, there were several flaws in the 1. Introduction
structure of U.S. Treasury financing
T he introduction of a new financial instrument by a
operations.
sovereign issuer is never a trivial event. New instruments
require the development of marketing programs and
• The flaws were attributable to the war-time
accounting systems, consume disproportionate amounts of
practice of selling securities in fixed-price
senior executive time, and not infrequently require new
subscription offerings and the newer practice
statutory authority. It is hardly surprising that the United
of limiting Treasury debt sales to quarterly
States has introduced only a handful of new instruments since
dates.
the development of a liquid, national market for Treasury
securities during World War I, including savings bonds,
• In 1929, the Treasury introduced a new
STRIPS, foreign-targeted Treasury notes, and TIPS (Box 1).
financial instrument to mitigate these flaws.
This article examines the U.S. Treasury’s decision to
introduce a new financial instrument—Treasury bills—in
• Treasury bills were auctioned rather than 1929. We show that Treasury officials were willing to commit
offered for sale at a fixed price and were sold the resources required to introduce the new security in order to
on an as-needed basis instead of on a mitigate several flaws in the structure of Treasury financing
quarterly schedule. operations, such as:
• New debt offerings were chronically oversubscribed. Reliance
• By introducing a new class of securities, the
on fixed-price subscription offerings of new debt during
Treasury was able to address the defects in
the 1920s resulted in chronic oversubscriptions, a clear
the existing primary market structure even as indication that the offerings were persistently underpriced.
it continued to maintain that structure.
• The schedule for new debt sales resulted in negative “carry”
on Treasury cash balances at commercial banks. The
Treasury sold new debt only four times a year—on tax
The author thanks Jeff Huther and William Silber for help researching this
Kenneth D. Garbade is a vice president at the Federal Reserve Bank
article and for comments on earlier drafts. This article could not have been
of New York.
written without the extraordinary assistance of Megan Cohen, Kara
<kenneth.garbade@ny.frb.org>
Masciangelo, and Mary Tao of the Research Library and Crystal Edmondson
and Joseph Komljenovich of the Records Management Function (Archives) of
the Federal Reserve Bank of New York. Extremely helpful comments from two
anonymous referees are gratefully acknowledged. The views expressed are
those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the position of the Federal
Reserve Bank of New York or the Federal Reserve System.
FRBNY Economic Policy Review / Forthcoming 1
2. Box 1
financing operations, and Section 4 shows how Treasury
New Financial Instruments Introduced
officials planned to correct or mitigate the flaws with Treasury
by the U.S. Treasury after 1918
bills. The evolution of bill financing in the early 1930s is
Savings Bonds described briefly in Section 5. Section 6 concludes.
Single-payment, intermediate-term non-marketable securities
with fixed-price redemption options. Introduced in March 1935.
Separate Trading of Registered Interest and Principal
of Securities (STRIPS) 2. Treasury Financing Operations
Single-payment securities derived by separating the principal and
in the Mid-1920s
interest payments bundled together in conventional Treasury
notes and bonds. Introduced in February 1985. The two principal objectives of federal fiscal policy in the 1920s
were tax reduction and paying down the war debt. In mid-
Foreign-Targeted Treasury Notes
1914, there was only $968 million of interest-bearing Treasury
Notes providing for limited disclosure of ownership when owned
by “United States Aliens.”a Four foreign-targeted notes were sold debt outstanding; by mid-1919, the debt had ballooned to
$25.2 billion.1 Over the same period, the maximum tax rate on
between October 1984 and February 1986.
personal income had increased from 7 percent to 77 percent.2
Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS)
Political leaders recognized that the tax system had become
Coupon-bearing notes and bonds with principal and interest
badly warped in the haste of responding to wartime
payments indexed to the consumer price index. Introduced in
requirements. In his 1919 State of the Union message,
January 1997.
President Woodrow Wilson suggested that
Congress might well consider whether the higher rates
a
A United States Alien is defined as a foreign corporation, nonresident
of income and profits taxes can in peace times be
alien individual, nonresident alien fiduciary of a foreign estate or trust,
effectively productive of revenue, and whether they may
and certain related foreign partnerships. Treasury Circular no. 31-84,
not, on the contrary, be destructive of business activity
October 10, 1984, and Garbade (1987).
and productive of waste and inefficiency. There is a
point at which in peace times high rates of income and
profits taxes discourage energy, remove the incentive to
new enterprise, encourage extravagant expenditures,
and produce industrial stagnation.3
payment dates—and was consequently forced to borrow
President Wilson’s first post-war Secretary of the Treasury,
in advance of its needs and to inventory the proceeds in
Carter Glass, argued that the tax system encouraged “wasteful
commercial bank accounts that earned interest at a rate
expenditure,” penalized “brains, energy, and enterprise,” and
lower than that paid by the Treasury on its indebtedness,
discouraged new ventures.4 Promptly after being sworn in as
resulting in negative carry on the account balances.
President on March 4, 1921, Warren Harding called a special
• The Treasury had to arrange short-term loans from
session of the Congress to reduce personal and corporate taxes.5
Federal Reserve Banks to make maturity payments.
Despite the intense interest in tax reduction, there was near-
Treasury officials set new issues to mature on tax
universal agreement that taxes should not be cut to levels that
payment dates. This schedule forced the Treasury to
would impede expeditious debt reduction. In his address to the
borrow from the Federal Reserve to bridge the gap
between the date it needed to make a maturity payment 1
1914 Treasury Annual Report, p. 46, and 1919 Treasury Annual Report, p. 186.
and the date it actually collected tax receipts—typically 2
Underwood-Simmons Tariff Act, October 3, 1913, 38 Stat. 114, and Revenue
several days after the stated due date. The short-term Act of 1918, February 24, 1919, 40 Stat. 1057.
Reserve Bank loans sometimes created transient 3
“Text of President Wilson’s Message to Congress, Urging Return to Peace
fluctuations in reserves available to the banking system Basis,” New York Times, December 3, 1919, p. 6.
and undesirable volatility in overnight interest rates. 4
1919 Treasury Annual Report, p. 23.
5
“Harding Will Call Special Session for April 4 or 11,” New York Times, March
We begin by describing in Section 2 the structure of
8, 1921, p. 1, and “President to Call Congress April 11,” New York Times, March
Treasury financing operations in the mid-1920s and explaining 15, 1921, p. 1. See also “President’s Address to Congress on Domestic and
how that structure had evolved in support of an important Foreign Policies,” New York Times, April 13, 1921, p. 7 (quoting Harding’s
comment that “The most substantial relief from the tax burden must come for the
objective of federal fiscal policy: paying down, as expeditiously
present from the readjustment of internal taxes, and the revision or repeal of those
as possible, the debt incurred in the course of financing World taxes which have become unproductive and are so artificial and burdensome as to
War I. Section 3 describes the flaws in the structure of Treasury defeat their own purpose.”), and Smiley and Keehn (1995, p. 287) (by 1920, “Both
Democrats and Republicans believed that . . . tax avoidance had reduced the
revenue collected from the wealthiest Americans . . . .”).
2 Why the U.S. Treasury Began Auctioning Treasury Bills in 1929
3. mark of $6.75 billion in fiscal year 1920 to $4 billion in 1922 in
Chart 1
Treasury Receipts and Expenditures the wake of a severe post-war recession, but then leveled off—
(Other Than for Debt Retirement), and even rose a bit in the second half of the decade—as a result
Fiscal Year 1920 – Fiscal Year 1930 of rapidly expanding economic activity. At the same time, the
Congress was able to effect significant expenditure reductions.
Billions of dollars
The result was a budget surplus in every fiscal year from 1920
8
Receipts to 1930 (Chart 1). The surpluses underwrote a 37 percent
7
Expenditures reduction in Treasury indebtedness—to $16 billion by the end
6 of the decade.
5
4
Despite the intense interest in tax
3
reduction, there was near-universal
2
agreement that taxes should not be cut
1
to levels that would impede expeditious
0
debt reduction.
25 27 30
21 22 26
1920 23 29
24 28
Source: Treasury annual reports.
To understand how the Treasury structured its financing
operations to support the goal of debt reduction, we first have
to understand how the war was financed.
special session of the Congress in 1921, President Harding
announced a policy of “orderly funding and gradual
liquidation” of the debt.6 Three years later, in the course of
2.1 Financing World War I
arguing for a second round of tax cuts, Secretary of the
Treasury Andrew Mellon cautioned that “the Government
The entry of the United States into World War I, on April 6,
must always be assured that taxes will not be so far reduced as
1917, set off a prolonged national debate over whether the war
to deprive the Treasury of sufficient revenue with which
should be financed with debt or taxes. Some, like Senator
properly to run its business . . . and to take care of the debt.”7
Furnifold Simmons of North Carolina, took a position at the
Debt reduction, Secretary Mellon claimed, was “the best
debt end of the spectrum: “It has been the custom of this
method of bringing about tax reduction. Aside from gradual
country to pay war bills by bond issues, and I see no reason for
refunding at lower rates of interest, it is the only method of
a change in that policy.”10 The nation’s most prominent
reducing the heavy annual interest charges.”8
financier, J. P. Morgan, believed that no more than 20 percent
Remarkably, the federal government was able to reduce
of war expenses should be paid from taxes; President Wilson’s
both tax rates and the national debt in the 1920s. In a series of
wartime Secretary of the Treasury, William McAdoo, thought
three revenue measures adopted between 1921 and 1926, the
half was preferable.11 Further along the spectrum, the New York
Congress reduced tax rates on personal income to a maximum
Times reported that “some members of Congress are
of 25 percent.9 Treasury receipts fell from their high-water
advocating the raising of 75 per cent of the first year needs by
taxation,” and leading economists at forty-three colleges and
6
“President’s Address to Congress on Domestic and Foreign Policies,” New York
Times, April 13, 1921, p. 7. Emphasis added. Cannadine (2006, p. 278) describes universities signed a petition urging taxation as the principal
Harding’s economic agenda as a restoration of “the prewar climate of low taxes,
means of finance.12
balanced budgets, manageable national debt, limited government, and a
The central issue was whether debt could transfer the
functioning international economy backed by the gold standard.”
burden of the war to future generations. Economists agreed
7
Mellon (1924, p. 20). Emphasis added.
that it could—if the debt were sold to foreigners.13 In that case,
8
1924 Treasury Annual Report, p. 26. Mellon reiterated his view of the link
between debt reduction and tax reduction in 1926: “As long as there are the war might require little sacrifice in current living standards.
enormous fixed debt charges . . . no large reduction in total expenditures is
possible. . . . [T]he more rapidly the debt is retired, the sooner will come the 9
See Blakey (1922, 1924, and 1926), Smiley and Keehn (1995), Murnane
time when these charges can be practically eliminated.” 1926 Treasury Annual (2004), and Cannadine (2006, pp. 287-8 and 313-8).
Report, pp. 33-4. 10
Quoted in Adams (1917, p. 292).
FRBNY Economic Policy Review / Forthcoming 3
4. The debt would have to be repaid, but repayment would be Chart 2
Treasury Receipts and Expenditures,
funded from taxes imposed on later generations. However,
Fiscal Year 1910 – Fiscal Year 1919
since there were no other countries from which to borrow in
1917 (Japan was the only major country not already involved in Billions of dollars
the conflict), there was no essential difference—from an 20
Receipts
aggregate point of view—between debt financing and tax
Expenditures
financing. Either way, the entire cost of the war had to be borne
15
immediately, by Americans, in the form of reduced
consumption.14
Economists also agreed that debt financing and tax
10
financing differed at a disaggregated level and that debt
financing facilitated intertemporal reallocations of the burdens
of war among individuals. Roy Blakey, an economist at the 5
University of Minnesota, observed that “when a war comes
0
1910 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19
The Treasury raised $21.5 billion during
Source: Treasury annual reports.
the war by floating five enormous Liberty
loans; it also raised additional sums with
monthly—sometimes biweekly—sales of
The question of debt versus tax financing was resolved
short-term certificates of indebtedness.
during the course of the war in a series of incremental actions,
including especially new tax legislation.17 Chart 2 shows
Treasury receipts and expenditures prior to and during the
unexpectedly it may find many individuals unprepared to pay
war. Assuming (based on the pre-war data) “normal” receipts
their just shares of a new and large burden. It may be best all
and expenditures of about $750 million per year, approximately
around to permit some to assume the burden of others
one quarter of the cost of the war was financed with war taxes.18
temporarily, either wholly or in part.”15 Blakey appreciated
that individuals as well as governments can borrow, but he 14
See, for example, Anderson (1917, p. 860) (“Our own citizens must pay now
concluded that there were good reasons to prefer public, rather out of current income whatever the government spends now, and, taking the
than private, finance: “In so far as the government can make nation as a whole, it is simply impossible for ‘posterity to share the burdens’. . . .”)
and Durand (1917, p. 892) (“For the people considered as a whole, domestic
easier advantageous credit transactions by itself assuming the
borrowing postpones no burden to the future . . . . Borrowing at home, so far
borrowing agency instead of leaving the transactions to be as a nation as a whole is concerned, is precisely similar to borrowing by an
arranged through individuals, there is a further net gain.”16 individual from himself . . . . The idea that the burden of war expenditures can be
deferred to future generations is the supreme fallacy of finance.”) Emphasis in the
11 original.
Morgan’s view is reported in McAdoo (1931, p. 383). For McAdoo, see
15
“Senate Will Pass Bond Bill Quickly,” New York Times, April 13, 1917, p. 3 Blakey (1918, p. 93). See also Blakey (1917, p. 813) (“Among persons of equal
(“McAdoo believes that about half the expenses of the war should be paid from means, some are in a much better position to economize at this time than are
current revenues….”), McAdoo (1931, p. 372) (“I hoped to raise about half of others; hence, some borrowing is socially justifiable because it allows
the expenditures through taxes.”), and the April 14, 1917, letter from McAdoo accommodation as between individuals.”) and Durand (1917, pp. 906-7).
to Cleveland H. Dodge, a prominent philanthropist and Princeton classmate of 16
Blakey (1918, p. 94).
Woodrow Wilson, quoted in Synon (1924, pp. 222-3) (“As to taxation, my 17
The major wartime tax acts were the War Revenue Act of 1917, October 3,
feeling has been that fifty per cent of the cost of the war should be financed by
1917, 40 Stat. 300, and the Revenue Act of 1918. See Blakey (1917) and Blakey
it.”). McAdoo later revised his thinking to one-third taxes and two-thirds debt.
and Blakey (1919).
See his letter to the chairman of the House Ways and Means Committee quoted 18
Annual fiscal year receipts and expenditures in excess of “normal,” in billions
in “M’Adoo Advises Doubling War Tax,” New York Times, June 7, 1918, p. 1
of dollars, were:
(“I believe that if we are to preserve the soundness and stability of our financial
Receipts Expenditures
system, we should raise by taxation not less than one-third of the estimated
1917 $0.374 $ 1.336
expenditures for the fiscal year 1919….”).
1918 3.430 13.043
12
“Big War Loan Bill Ready for Debate,” New York Times, April 12, 1917, p. 2,
1919 3.904 18.202
“Economists United in Favor of War Tax,” New York Times, April 19, 1917, p. 24,
Total $7.708 $32.581
“College Men Want Direct Taxes Instead of Bonds,” Boston Daily Globe, April
The total excess of war-related tax receipts of $7.7 billion was 23.7 percent
19, 1917, p. 7, and “Taxation is Favored to Meet War Expenses,” Atlanta
of the $32.6 billion in excess expenditures.
Constitution, April 19, 1917, p. 6.
13
See, for example, Blakey (1918, p. 92).
4 Why the U.S. Treasury Began Auctioning Treasury Bills in 1929
5. Table 1
Liberty Loans
First Second Third Fourth Victory Liberty Loan
Description Thirty-year bond, Twenty-five-year bond, Ten-year bond, Twenty-year bond, Four-year note,
callable in fifteen years callable in ten years not callable callable in fifteen years callable in three years
Coupon rate 3¾ if nontaxable,
(percent) 3½ 4 4¼ 4¼ 4¾ if taxable
Dated date June 15, 1917 November 15, 1917 May 9, 1918 October 24, 1918 May 20, 1919
First call date June 15, 1932 November 15, 1927 Not callable October 15, 1933 June 15, 1922
Maturity date June 15, 1947 November 15, 1942 September 15, 1928 October 15, 1938 May 20, 1923
Amount offered
(billions of dollars) 2.0 3.0 3.0 6.0 4.5
Amount subscribed
(billions of dollars) 3.0 4.6 4.2 7.0 5.2
Amount sold
(billions of dollars) 2.0 3.8 4.2 7.0 4.5
Subscription period May 14–June 15, 1917 October 1-27, 1917 April 6–May 4, 1918 September 28– April 21–
October 19, 1918 May 10, 1919
Source: Treasury annual reports.
The Treasury raised $21.5 billion during the war by floating Liberty bonds). In cases where investors subscribed for an
five enormous Liberty loans (Table 1); it also raised additional amount more than Treasury officials wanted to sell, officials
sums with monthly—sometimes biweekly—sales of short-term allotted securities on the basis of order size, with a preference
certificates of indebtedness. (Certificates of indebtedness were given to small orders to effect a broader distribution to retail
coupon-bearing securities that matured in a year or less. There investors. Table 2 presents an example.
was $3.45 billion in certificates outstanding in mid-1919.) To facilitate subscriptions to Liberty loans and certificates of
All wartime security sales were by subscription. Treasury indebtedness, the Treasury and the twelve district Federal
officials set the coupon rate on a new issue and then offered it Reserve Banks (acting as fiscal agents for the United States)
to investors at a price of par. Subscription books for the Liberty created and managed a system of “War Loan Deposit
Accounts” at commercial banks around the country.20 A bank
loans remained open for three or four weeks; subscription
books for certificates of indebtedness remained open for as typically paid for its own and its customers’ purchases of
little as one day, more typically for several weeks, and in one Treasury securities by crediting the War Loan Deposit Account
exceptional case for almost three months, depending on the that the Treasury maintained at the bank. When funds were
pace of sales and how much the Treasury wanted to sell.19 The needed to meet expenses, the Treasury would request that some
Treasury sometimes sold a fixed amount of Liberty loans that it of the balances be transferred to Treasury accounts at Federal
specified ex ante (as in the sales of the First Liberty bonds and Reserve Banks (from which the Treasury paid most of the bills
the Victory Liberty notes—see Table 1) and sometimes filled all of the federal government). The system of War Loan accounts
subscriptions in full (as in the sales of the Third and Fourth was important because it encouraged subscriptions: banks
could pay for their purchases and the purchases of their
19
Subscription books for the first series of certificates offered to the public
customers with deposit credits in lieu of “immediately
opened—and closed—on the same day that President Wilson signed the First
available” funds, that is, funds on deposit at a Federal Reserve
Liberty Bond Act, April 24, 1917, 40 Stat. 35, that authorized their issue.
Bank.21 War Loan deposit liabilities were relatively inexpensive
“Secretary McAdoo to Sell Certificates,” Wall Street Journal, April 21, 1917, p. 5,
“Loan Will Be Made at Once,” New York Times, April 25, 1917, p. 1, and “U.S.
Certificates to be Paid for Today,” Wall Street Journal, April 25, 1927, p. 8. 20
Section 7 of the First Liberty Bond Act provided that “the Secretary of the
A later certificate series, designated series T-G, remained open from mid- Treasury, in his discretion, is hereby authorized to deposit in such banks and
August to early November 1918. “Tax Certificates at 4½% Meet Investment trust companies as he may designate the proceeds . . . arising from the sale of
Conditions,” Wall Street Journal, November 7, 1918, p. 10, and 1918 Treasury the bonds and certificates of indebtedness authorized by this Act . . . .” The
Annual Report, pp. 215-6. See also “U.S. Tax Certificates Have Five Coupons system of War Loan accounts was the forerunner of the modern Treasury Tax
Attached,” Wall Street Journal, October 12, 1918, p. 10. and Loan system. See Garbade, Partlan, and Santoro (2004), Lovett (1978),
McDonough (1976), and Brockschmidt (1975).
FRBNY Economic Policy Review / Forthcoming 5
6. Table 2
Table 3
Subscription Allotments on First Liberty Loan
Treasury Debt in Mid-1923
Billions of Dollars
Subscription Allotment
Up to and including $10,000 100 percent
Pre-war debt 0.87
$10,000 to $100,000 60 percent, but not less than $10,000
$100,000 to $250,000 45 percent, but not less than $60,000 Liberty Loans
$250,000 to $2,000,000 30 percent, but not less than $112,500 First Liberty Bond 1.95
$2,000,000 to $6,000,000 25 percent, but not less than $600,000 Second Liberty Bond 3.20
$6,000,000 to $10,000,000 21 percent Third Liberty Bond 3.41
Over $10,000,000 Average of 20.2 percent Fourth Liberty Bond 6.33
Total 14.89
Source: 1917 Treasury Annual Report, p. 8.
Post-war debt
Certificates of indebtedness 1.03
Notes 4.10
Bonds 0.76
and cost banks only 2 percent per annum.22 (By comparison, Total 5.89
borrowing from a Federal Reserve Bank cost between 3 and 4½ Other debt 0.35
percent per annum in 1917 and 1918.)23
Total debt 22.01
Source: 1923 Treasury Annual Report, pp. 134-5.
2.2 The Mechanics of Paying Down the Debt
The principal problem facing Treasury debt managers in the
1920s was how to pay down the large Liberty loans with were refunded to a carefully selected niche in the debt
budget surpluses that became available only gradually over structure where, when they matured, funds might be
expected to be available to redeem them.25
time. They solved the problem with a carefully constructed
program of 1) exchange offers of new notes and bonds for and that
Liberty loans approaching maturity, 2) cash refinancings (with At a purely technical level, the job done by Secretary
short-term certificates and intermediate-term notes) of Mellon during the 1920’s was superb. Each operation,
maturing Liberty loans, and 3) cash repurchases of debt near whether intra-year certificate financing or refunding the
maturity and cash redemptions at maturity. Tilford Gaines, in Liberty and Victory loans, was carefully planned and
conducted through a series of steps that at no time
his groundbreaking study of Treasury debt management,
overstrained the market’s absorptive capacity. The
concluded that “the decade of the 1920’s witnessed what is
program was orderly, with ample advance notice to the
probably the most effective execution of debt management
market before each step, and predictable, in the sense
policy, in a technical sense, in the history of the country.”24
that the Secretary’s program and intentions were clearly
Gaines pointed out that
understood.26
Policy actions of the 1920’s were directed toward
Treasury indebtedness stood at $22 billion in mid-1923
specific, clearly-stated objectives. Maturing securities
were redeemed if funds were available . . . if not, they (Table 3). During the preceding four years, the Treasury had
paid off the Victory notes, reduced the outstanding amount of
21
Additionally, the War Loan Deposit Account System avoided draining the four remaining Liberty bonds to $15 billion, and reduced
reserves from the private banking system into Treasury accounts at Federal
the short-term debt to $1 billion. In the process, it had issued
Reserve Banks when investors paid for their securities.
$4 billion of new notes maturing between June 1924 and
22
The 2 percent rate was established prior to the war for an earlier depository
December 1927 (Table 4) as well as a modest amount
system that was limited to national banks. See “Banks Must Pay 2 Per Cent,”
New York Times, April 24, 1912, p. 15, “Government Special Deposits,” Wall
($760 million) of new bonds. The new notes had been issued
Street Journal, April 25, 1912, p. 8, “Money,” Wall Street Journal, April 26, 1912,
for two reasons: to refinance $2.6 billion of short-term
p. 8, “Must Pay Interest on Nation’s Cash,” New York Times, May 1, 1913, p. 1,
certificates of indebtedness to dates after the Victory notes
“Banks Must Pay Interest on All Government Deposits,” Wall Street Journal,
May 2, 1913, p. 8, 1912 Treasury Annual Report, p. 149, and 1913 Treasury matured in May 1923 but before the Third Liberty bonds came
Annual Report, pp. 5 and 211.
23 25
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (1943, p. 439). Gaines (1962, p. 29).
24 26
Gaines (1962, p. 27). Gaines (1962, p. 34).
6 Why the U.S. Treasury Began Auctioning Treasury Bills in 1929
7. mature on quarterly tax dates absorbed “any surplus
Table 4
revenues which may be available. This gives the best
Treasury Notes Issued between 1921 and 1923
assurance of the gradual retirement of the war debt, and is
to Refinance Shorter Term Debt and Maturing
perhaps the greatest advantage of the short-term [that is,
Victory Notes
note] refunding which the Treasury has been carrying on,
for by distributing the debt over early maturities in amounts
Amount
Coupon (Millions not too large to be financed each year these refunding
Issue Date (Percent) Maturity of Dollars)
operations have given the Treasury control over the debt
June 15, 1921 5¾ June 15, 1924 311 and its retirement. . . .”29
September 15, 1921 5½ September 15, 1924 391
Table 5 illustrates how the scheme worked. The first
February 1, 1922 4¾ March 15, 1925 602
column shows the four tax payment dates in 1925. The
December 15, 1922 4½ June 15, 1925 469
second column shows the amount of securities maturing on
June 15, 1922 4¾ December 15, 1925 335
March 15, 1922 4¾ March 15, 1926 618
August 1, 1922 4¼ September 15, 1926 487
May 15, 1923 4¾ March 15, 1927 668 The “regularization” of Treasury financing
January 15, 1923 4½ December 15, 1927 367
operations on quarterly tax dates was an
Total 4,248
important innovation in Treasury debt
Source: Treasury annual reports.
management.
each of the four dates. The third shows the amount of
due in September 1928, and to refinance a portion of the
securities issued on each date, including a 29¾-year bond in
maturing Victory notes.
March and certificates of indebtedness in every quarter. The
All the new notes matured on the fifteenth of the third
fourth shows the amount paid down.
month of a calendar quarter—when most individuals and
The “regularization” of Treasury financing operations on
corporations made quarterly income tax payments.27 This
quarterly tax dates was an important innovation in Treasury
was no accident; rather, it was part of a larger scheme
debt management.30 The regularity enhanced the
designed to facilitate redemption of the notes and, more
predictability of Treasury operations and facilitated the
generally, redemption of the war debt. As a tax payment date
integration of Treasury debt management with Treasury
approached, Treasury officials estimated the receipts they
cash management. Nevertheless, the system was not
were about to receive and the funds they were likely to
flawless. The maturities of new certificates varied erratically
disburse during the coming quarter. They used balances in
from quarter to quarter (Chart 3), and the sizes of new
Treasury accounts at Federal Reserve Banks and in War
offerings also varied widely, depending on the amount
Loan Deposit Accounts at commercial banks equal to the
maturing and the magnitude of anticipated tax receipts and
estimated excess of receipts over expenditures to redeem
expected expenditures (Chart 4). These features reduced the
some of the maturing debt, and they refinanced the
predictability of two important aspects of a financing:
remainder to a subsequent tax date.28 The 1922 Treasury
amount and term to maturity.31 On balance, however, the
Annual Report noted that the practice of having issues
29
1922 Treasury Annual Report, p. 9. See also 1923 Treasury Annual Report, p. 20
27
The Revenue Act of 1918 provided that the tax on income earned in a (“Except for the issue of about $750,000,000 of 25-30 year Treasury bonds in
particular year was due in four quarterly installments during the following the fall of 1922, the refunding has all been on a short-term basis, and it has been
year, on March 15, June 15, September 15, and December 15. arranged with a view to distributing the early maturities of debt at convenient
28 intervals over the period before the maturity of the third Liberty loan in 1928
See, for example, 1926 Treasury Annual Report, p. 35 (“A few weeks prior
in such manner that surplus revenues may be applied most effectively to the
to the 15th of each September, December, March, and June the Treasury
gradual reduction of the debt. With this object in view all of the short-term
determines what income it will need to meet expenditures during the coming
notes issued in the course of the refunding have been given maturities on
quarter, taking into account, on the receipt side, the cash in the general fund
quarterly tax-payment dates, and all outstanding issues of Treasury certificates
and the Government receipts to be expected, and, on the expenditure side, the
have likewise been reduced to tax maturities.”)
amount of cash required to meet obligations maturing during the quarter, and
30
There were only two cases after 1922 when certificates of indebtedness were
the probable expenses of the Government during the quarter.”) and p. 39
sold on other than a tax payment date: an issue of 213-day certificates sold in
(“New issues of public debt securities in regular course are made only on tax-
November 1927 to finance the redemption of Second Liberty bonds and an
payment dates and the amount of the issue is determined by the estimated cash
issue of 335-day certificates sold in October 1928 to finance the redemption of
requirements of the Treasury to the next payment date in excess of the cash in
Third Liberty bonds.
hand and the estimated receipts from taxes and other sources of revenue.”).
FRBNY Economic Policy Review / Forthcoming 7
8. Table 5
Refinancings and Paydowns on Tax Payment Dates in 1925
Amount (Millions of Dollars)
Date Maturing Issued Paid Down Refinancing Securities
March 15, 1925 560 509 51 $219 million of a nine-month certificate maturing December 15, 1925,
and $290 million of a 29¾-year bond maturing December 15, 1954
June 15, 1925 400 124 276 One-year certificate maturing June 15, 1926
September 15, 1925 250 252 -2 Nine-month certificate maturing June 15, 1926
December 15, 1925 480 453 27 One-year certificate maturing December 15, 1925
Sources: 1925 Treasury Annual Report, pp. 32 and 33, 1926 Treasury Annual Report, p. 41, “Treasury to Issue 4% Bonds at Premium,” Wall Street Journal,
March 5, 1925, p. 8, “June Funding Issue Lowest Since War,” New York Times, June 8, 1925, p. 24, “New Treasury Issue Is $250,000,000,” New York Times,
September 8, 1925, p. 32, and “Treasury Will Seek a $450,000,000 Loan,” New York Times, December 7, 1925, p. 37.
Chart 4
Chart 3
Issue Size of Certificates of Indebtedness
Term to Maturity at Original Issuance of Certificates
of Indebtedness Millions of dollars
600
Days
360
400
270
180
200
90
0
1923 1925 1927 1929 1931
0
1923 1925 1927 1929 1931
Source: Treasury annual reports.
Note: Dark circles are certificates issued on tax payment dates; white
Source: Treasury annual reports.
circles are certificates issued on a date other than a tax payment date.
Note: Dark circles are certificates issued on tax payment dates; white
circles are certificates issued on a date other than a tax payment date.
3. Structural Flaws in Treasury
program of regular quarterly financings was an innovative
Financing Operations
solution to the problem of paying down large debt issues with
budget surpluses that became available only gradually, on a
quarterly basis. There were several important structural flaws in Treasury
financing operations in the mid- and late 1920s. The flaws, all
of which were well understood by early 1929, were attributable
to the continuation of the wartime practices of selling securities
31
In contrast, the Treasury regularized term to maturity and offering amounts
in fixed-price subscription offerings and allowing banks to pay
as well as offering dates when it adopted a “regular and predictable” issuance
for purchases of securities with War Loan Deposit Account
strategy for notes and bonds in the 1970s (Garbade 2007).
8 Why the U.S. Treasury Began Auctioning Treasury Bills in 1929
9. credits, in addition to the newer practice of limiting Treasury
Chart 5
debt sales to quarterly dates.
Amounts Offered, Issued, and Subscribed
in Quarterly (Tax Payment Date) Offerings
of Treasury Securities
3.1 Fixed-Price Subscription Offerings
Billions of dollars
2.5
Additional subscribed
Fixed-price subscription offerings gave Treasury officials an Additional issued
incentive to offer securities at cheap prices, relative to Offered
2.0
contemporaneous market conditions, to limit the risk of a
failed offering.
1.5
The risk of a failed offering was more than conjectural. In
March 1920, Treasury officials proposed to raise between $300 and
$350 million in an offering of one-year certificates.32 Investors 1.0
resisted what they believed to be an unreasonably low interest rate
of 4¾ percent. In a meeting with Assistant Secretary of the 0.5
Treasury Russell Leffingwell, New York bankers expressed intense
dissatisfaction with the rate and suggested that the new certificates 0
should pay “at least” 5 percent.33 Investors subscribed for only 1920 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30
$200 million of the certificates, even though officials kept the
subscription books open for two weeks after the issue date.34 The Source: Treasury annual reports.
New York Times described the response as “disappointingly small”
and the Wall Street Journal labeled the 4¾ percent rate “a
mistake.”35 Two-and-a-half years later, in December 1922, the
Treasury offered a total of $400 million in three-month and one- remarked on the advantage of auctioning securities: “Bankers
year certificates, but garnered only $310 million in subscriptions, point out that [the $275 million oversubscription on an
including $45 million in last-minute subscriptions from three offering of $200 million of nine-month certificates] is another
Federal Reserve Banks.36 These episodes gave Treasury officials illustration of the advantage that might have been afforded by
clear incentives to avoid pricing their offerings close to the market, adopting the system of offering the certificates at tender. Had
that is, selecting coupon rates close to contemporaneous market they been offered by tender a considerable saving might have
yields on outstanding issues with similar maturities. been effected.”38
Oversubscriptions—the principal indicia of underpricing—
were a persistent characteristic of Treasury offerings
throughout the 1920s (Chart 5). The Wall Street Journal
3.2 Infrequent Offerings
pointed out the problem as early as April 1921: “The fact that
there has been a big over-subscription to recent offerings of
The decision to limit security sales to a quarterly schedule
certificates of indebtedness, suggests that the rate fixed for the
compelled the Treasury to borrow in advance of actual
certificates has lately been slightly higher than the money
market warranted.”37 A month later, the Wall Street Journal requirements and inventory the proceeds in War Loan
accounts until they were needed. In testimony before the
32
“The Certificate Sale,” New York Times, March 23, 1920, p. 18. House Ways and Means Committee in May 1929, Under
33
“Treasury Offers New 4¾% Tax Certificates,” Wall Street Journal, March 10, Secretary of the Treasury Ogden Mills observed that “it is
1920, p. 12 (characterizing the bankers as “vexed”).
reasonably clear that if you are going to borrow only four times
34
1920 Treasury Annual Report, p. 15.
a year, you have got to borrow in advance of requirements.”39
35
“The Certificate Sale,” New York Times, March 23, 1920, p. 18, and “Treasury
This method was expensive because the 2 percent interest rate
Made Mistake in Certificate Rate at 4¾%,” Wall Street Journal, March 30, 1920,
p. 12. that the Treasury earned on War Loan accounts was less than
36
1923 Treasury Annual Report, pp. 51-2, and letter dated December 16, 1922, what it paid on its certificates of indebtedness.
from Under Secretary of the Treasury S. Parker Gilbert to Charles Morss,
Governor, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston, Federal Reserve Bank of New York
Archive File no. 410.5. 38
“Government Borrowing,” Wall Street Journal, May 19, 1921, p. 4.
37
“Government Borrowing by Tender Suggested Here,” Wall Street Journal, 39
Committee on Ways and Means (1929, p. 3).
April 14, 1921, p. 4.
FRBNY Economic Policy Review / Forthcoming 9
10. 3.3 Late Tax Payments Chart 6
Federal Reserve Bank of New York Discount Rate
Late tax payments sometimes led to undesirable volatility in Percent
overnight loan markets. The 1925 Treasury Annual Report 7
observed that, “Frequently payments [on maturing issues]
6
exceed [tax] receipts on the tax day, making it necessary to
borrow temporarily from the Federal reserve bank on a special
securities of indebtedness [sic] in anticipation of the tax 5
receipts which it takes several days to collect. This places
reserve bank funds temporarily on the market and results in
4
easier money rates. Rates tighten up again, however, when the
loan is repaid, upon the collection of the tax checks.”40
3
2
3.4 Substitution of Treasury Deposits 1925 26 27 28 29 30
for Other Sources of Funds
Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
(1943, pp. 440-1).
Banks learned in the 1920s that they could use Treasury securities
subscriptions to substitute Treasury deposits for other, more
expensive, sources of funds. A bank would first subscribe to a new
offering, promising to pay by crediting the Treasury’s War Loan
This paradox of an issue being apparently heavily
Deposit Account at the bank. After receiving notice of its
oversubscribed [at a primary market offering price of
allotment, the bank would sell the new securities for settlement on
par] at the same time that [secondary market] sales are
the issue date and, following settlement, use the proceeds to reduce
being made below par was explained by conditions in
other borrowings. The net result was a reduction in the cost of
the money market and the opportunity for profit arising
funds to 2 percent per annum during the period between the issue
out of the methods by which the Government securities
date of the securities and the date the Treasury called for its War
are sold to the banks, their largest purchasers. When
Loan balances. Government securities are awarded on subscription the
Substituting War Loan deposits for other sources of funds banks do not pay for them at once, but credit the
became increasingly attractive when the Reserve Banks began Treasury’s account with the sum involved. This money is
to raise discount rates in 1928 (Chart 6). Substitution made left on deposit until the Treasury calls for it, a period
economic sense even if a bank had to sell its allotment at a which is usually two or three weeks and sometimes
stretches into months. The banks pay the Treasury 2 per
discount from the par subscription price, as long as interest
cent interest on these deposits.41
rates were high enough and the period in which the bank could
expect to retain War Loan balances was long enough. In June The following April, the New York Times reported that wide
1928, the New York Times reported bank sales of new spreads between open market interest rates and the War Loan
certificates at prices of 99-31/32 and 99-30, even though the Deposit Account rate gave banks an incentive “to bid for larger
certificates had been heavily oversubscribed: amounts of Treasury securities than they ordinarily would take,
and they often sell the securities as soon as they are allotted. At
40
1925 Treasury Annual Report, p. 44. See, for example, the episode described in
times, this produces the spectacle of a Treasury issue being
the Federal Reserve Bank of New York’s Monthly Review, April 1, 1930, pp. 1-2, in
which a temporary $200 million increase in member bank reserves led to a heavily over-subscribed and simultaneously selling below par . . .
transient decline in call loan rates. Treasury borrowings from the Federal
a situation that makes for confusion and artificial values in
Reserve typically lasted for about five days. Committee on Ways and Means
Treasury financing.”42
(1929, p. 9). To dampen these episodes of transient ease, the Reserve Banks
sometimes sold participations in their Treasury loans to member banks. At other In response to bank oversubscriptions for, and prompt sales
times, member banks used the surplus reserve balances to reduce temporarily their
of, new Treasury offerings, nonbank investors began to abstain
Reserve Bank borrowings. “New Factor Enters Treasury Financing,” New York
from subscribing for new issues, electing instead to acquire the
Times, December 15, 1929, p. N11. Meltzer (2003, p. 203, n. 106) reports
securities in post-offering secondary market transactions.
that, in July 1924, the Open Market Investment Committee (a forerunner of
the Federal Open Market Committee) approved a proposal to sell and
41
“Sales Reported in Treasury Issue,” New York Times, June 9, 1928, p. 25.
repurchase securities to reduce transient dips in money market rates during tax
42
payment periods. Beckhart, Smith, and Brown (1932, p. 357) describe other “New Treasury Plan Similar to English,” New York Times, April 28, 1929, p. 39.
methods of draining excess reserves.
10 Why the U.S. Treasury Began Auctioning Treasury Bills in 1929
11. Under Secretary Mills summed up the problem in his 1929 2) Infrequent quarterly financings forced the Treasury to
borrow in advance of its needs and to inventory the
testimony before the Ways and Means Committee:
proceeds in low-yielding War Loan Deposit Accounts.
“There has grown up recently a practice on the part of
the banks which was somewhat detrimental to the credit 3) Late tax payments forced the Treasury to fund the
of the Government. Banks unquestionably subscribe for redemption of debt maturing on tax payment dates with
Government certificates because of the deposit privilege. Federal Reserve Bank loans.
During the last year or so, which has been a period of
4) The ability of banks to pay for new issues by crediting War
tight money, a practice has developed on the part of the
Loan accounts led to the substitution of War Loan
banks of selling these certificates sometimes even before
deposits for other sources of funds, led banks to further
they are issued. In other words a bank can afford to
oversubscribe for new issues (in order to generate larger
subscribe for these certificates and sell them at a loss of
War Loan balances), and contributed to the appearance of
say two-thirty-seconds or four-thirty-seconds and even
a weak secondary market in new issues. The anomaly of
six-thirty-seconds and still show a profit on the
oversubscribed issues selling below the par subscription
transaction, providing it can keep the Government
price suggests that Treasury officials priced securities too
deposit for 30 or 40 days. What the bank is really doing
high for nonbank investors in 1928 and 1929, even if they
is borrowing from the Government of the United States
were cheap for bank subscribers.
at 2 per cent for 30 or 40 days, and it can use that money
at once to pay off its indebtedness to the Federal reserve The next section describes how Treasury officials mitigated
bank, in which it is paying 5 per cent. It can of course the flaws in their financing operations.
afford under these circumstances to sell these certificates
at a discount. So that Government certificates during the
course of the last year have sold at less than par almost
immediately when they were issued. And, of course,
4. Introduction of Treasury Bills
those corporations and individuals who want to invest
in Government securities, having observed that they
In early 1929, J. Herbert Case, the Deputy Governor of the
show a tendency to go below par almost immediately
Federal Reserve Bank of New York, journeyed to London to
after issue, refrain from putting in their subscriptions at
study the British Treasury bill market. The study, undertaken at
the time the certificates are offered and rely on their
ability to buy them in the market afterwards.43 the behest of Under Secretary of the Treasury Ogden Mills, was
intended to clarify whether the British system of issuing bills
Allowing banks to pay for securities with War Loan Deposit
could be adapted for use in the United States.44 Upon his
Account credits did not benefit either the Treasury or the
return, Case filed a report describing the British system (Box 2)
banks. The Treasury gained by being able to issue securities to
and recommended that a variant of the system be introduced in
banks at a higher price than the general public was willing to
the United States.45
pay, but earned only 2 percent on the proceeds left on deposit
Case’s plan had four major provisions:
with the banks. Banks gained from accessing cheap Treasury
balances, but lost when they sold certificates to nonbank 1) Treasury bills would be auctioned rather than offered for
sale at a fixed price. He pointed out that “Competitive
investors at prices below par. Nonbank investors neither
gained nor lost (as long as they waited to buy securities in the 44
Case’s trip was not his first involvement in this matter. In January 1928, Case
secondary market). The principal consequence of the scheme provided a detailed analysis of the British bill market to Benjamin Strong,
was a primary market increasingly limited to banks and opaque Governor of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, in which he explored
several ways the British system could be adapted to American markets. Memo
to the general public.
dated January 4, 1928, from Case to Strong, “Discussion of method of handling
short term debt by United States Treasury, including comparison with British
Treasury method,” Federal Reserve Bank of New York Archive File no. 413.7.
In his 1928 memo, Case focused on the use of regular, possibly weekly, bill
3.5 Summary offerings to reduce Treasury borrowings before funds were needed, but also
noted the advantages inherent in auctioning bills. He further noted that
reliance on bill financing could result in the demise of the War Loan Deposit
By the beginning of 1929, Treasury officials understood the Account system, and he questioned whether such a demise would be a desirable
flaws in the existing structure of Treasury financing operations: result: “The depositary bank system was built up during the war and was
unquestionably of great value to the Treasury in floating the war debt and in its
1) Fixed-price subscription offerings resulted in chronic subsequent refunding.”
oversubscriptions, a clear indication that offerings were 45
The report is attached to a letter dated February 16, 1929, from Case to
persistently underpriced. Under Secretary Mills, Federal Reserve Bank of New York Archive File no.
413.7. Case also visited the Banque de France but did not make any detailed
43 study of French debt management techniques.
Committee on Ways and Means (1929, pp. 4-5).
FRBNY Economic Policy Review / Forthcoming 11
12. Box 2
bidding . . . might be expected to enable the Treasury to
The Primary Market for British Treasury Billsa
get the lowest discount rates consistent with current
market conditions; it would not be necessary for the
At the beginning of 1929, there was about £600 million in British
Treasury . . . to offer interest rates on new issues above
Treasury bills outstanding. The British Treasury had been issuing
current market rates.”
bills since about 1877. Pre-war emissions were relatively small and
2) Bills would be sold when funds were needed.
infrequent, but issuance increased substantially during and
following World War I. 3) Bill maturities would be set “to correspond closely to the
British bills were auctioned weekly—on Friday, for settlement actual collection of income taxes, and not all made to fall
the following week—and matured three months later. Bidders on the nominal date of tax payments as at present.”
submitted tenders that specified a price and amount as well as a
4) Sales would be for cash, instead of credits to War Loan
settlement day sometime during the following week. Treasury Deposit Accounts.
officials sorted the tenders by settlement day and accepted
Point by point, these provisions would cure all of the existing
proposals for a given settlement day in order of decreasing price
flaws in the structure of Treasury financing operations. Case’s
until they had accounted for all of the funds needed to be raised on
plan set the framework for the introduction of a new
that day. Successful bidders paid for their bills with drafts on the
instrument to American financial markets.46
Bank of England, that is, with immediately available funds.
The British system of bill financing—particularly the daily
emissions and maturities—fitted nicely with the British income tax
system. Although there were dates when taxes were nominally due, 4.1 Obtaining Statutory Authority
revenue officials had considerable discretion to arrange for
to Issue Bills
alternative payment dates, so that payments did not all come in at
virtually the same time. This ability eliminated any possibility of
In late April 1929, the Treasury unveiled its proposal to correct
large, sporadic drains of reserve balances from the banking system
the defects in its financing operations. Senator Reed Smoot,
and, taken together with the process of bill financing, made a
chairman of the Senate Finance Committee, and
system like the American War Loan Deposit Accounts
Representative Willis Hawley, chairman of the House Ways
unnecessary.b
and Means Committee, took the first step by introducing
legislation to allow the Treasury to issue zero-coupon bills with
a
Based on memo dated January 4, 1928, from J. Herbert Case, Deputy maturities of up to one year at a discount from face value.47
Governor, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, to Benjamin Strong,
(The Treasury needed new statutory authority to issue bills
Governor, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, “Discussion of method
because existing statutes did not allow the sale of Treasury
of handling short term debt by United States Treasury, including
securities at a price less than par.)48
comparison with British Treasury method,” Federal Reserve Bank of
New York Archive File no. 413.7, and report attached to letter dated The proposed legislation required that the Treasury offer
February 16, 1929, from Case to Ogden Mills, Under Secretary of the
the new securities “on a competitive basis.”49 Officials viewed
Treasury, Federal Reserve Bank of New York Archive File no. 413.7.
auction offerings as a key provision. Treasury Secretary Mellon
See also “New Treasury Plan Similar to English,” New York Times,
stated that “Competitive bidding . . . should enable the
April 28, 1929, p. 39.
Treasury to get the lowest discount rates consistent with
b
See also address of Under Secretary Mills before the Washington
current market conditions.”50 In testimony before the Ways
Chapter of the American Institute of Banking on April 24, 1929, reprinted
and Means Committee, Under Secretary Mills pointed out the
in 1929 Treasury Annual Report, p. 279 (“The Treasury bill has been used
burden of fixed-price offerings as well as the advantage of
for many years by the British Treasury as a most convenient and
economical medium to obtain funds to meet current needs. They have so auctions:
developed the system of financing by means of Treasury bills that, with
weekly offerings, daily issues, and daily maturities, they have obtained a 46
“Case Heads Board of Reserve Bank,” New York Times, February 28, 1930, p. 14
degree of flexibility that enables the Treasury to adjust its cash positions
(commenting that Case’s 1929 report was the basis for the Treasury’s
practically from day to day.”) and “Mills Explains Aim of Treasury Bills,”
introduction of Treasury bills).
New York Times, April 25, 1929, p. 42. 47
“Treasury for Sale of Notes Below Par,” New York Times, April 23, 1929, p. 27.
48
Section 5 of the Second Liberty Bond Act of September 24, 1917, 40 Stat. 288,
authorized the Secretary of the Treasury to issue certificates of indebtedness “at
not less than par.” Section 1 of the same act authorized the issue of bonds and
required that they “first be offered at not less than par as a popular loan.” The
Victory Liberty Loan Act of March 3, 1919, 40 Stat. 1309, authorized the issue
of notes “at not less than par.”
49
See H.R. 1648, reprinted in Committee on Ways and Means (1929, p. 1).
50
“Treasury for Sale of Notes Below Par,” New York Times, April 23, 1929, p. 27.
12 Why the U.S. Treasury Began Auctioning Treasury Bills in 1929