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Impact of climate change
on livestock production in
Pakistan
Prof. Dr. Sar Zamin Khan The
University of Agriculture Peshawar, Pakistan
Climate Change
 Weather: It is the condition of an
atmosphere at a particular place over a short
period of time.
 Climate: It refers to the weather pattern,
using statistical data of a place over a long
enough period to yield meaningful averages.
 Climate change: A long term shift in
weather patterns in a specific region or
globally.
Causes of climate change
 Excessive release of green house gases (GHG).
 Deforestation
 Livestock production
 Overuse of fossil fuels
 Industrialization
Causes of climate change
Deforestation Industrialization
Causes of climate change
Livestock production Overuse of fossil fuel
Global warming
Causes of GHGs emission
Effects of climate change
 Rise in temperature
 Natural disasters
 Water scarcity
 Food insecurity
Effects of climate change
Rise in temperature
Effects of climate change
Natural disasters
Effects of climate change
Water scarcity
Effects of climate change
Food insecurity
Climate change and Pakistan
 Though Pak itself is not a major contributor of
GHG emission (<1%)
 Ranked 7th most vulnerable country affected by
climate changes.
 Cc in Pak has resulted in torrential rainfalls,
irregular floods, droughts and glacier melting etc.
Climate change and Pakistan
Impacts of cc in Pakistan
Impacts of cc are quite visible on
 Rise in temperature
 Natural disasters
 Water resources
 Biodiversity
 Forest
 Agriculture and livestock
 Health sector
Livestock sector in Pakistan
 56.3% of agriculture sector
 11.8% to National GDP
 More than 8 million people
associated with livestock
Livestock population of Pak.
Impacts of cc on livestock
Direct
health
growth
production
reproduction
Indirect
Pasture,
forage, crop
production
Heat stress
biodiversity
Diseases
&pests
Immune system
Effects on production
High temperature causes
 ↓ feed intake
 ↓body weight
 ↓ milk production
Mechanism of low milk
production
Effects on male reproduction
 Delayed puberty
 ↓ fertility
 ↓ sperm motility
 Impairment in sperm morphology
 ↑ sperm mortality
 ↓testosterone secretion
Effects of female reproduction
 Affects fertility and reproductive performance
 Hormonal imbalance ( decrease LH & E2
secretion)
 Reduce oocyte quality
 Reduce embryo development
 Delayed puberty
 ↓ duration and intensity of estrous
 Altered follicular development
 ↓ conception rate
Effects of female reproduction
Effects of female reproduction
Relationship between conception rate and THI
Badinga et al., 1985
Effects on embryo development
 Slow down fetus growth rate
 ↓ birth weight of calf
 Change in uterine endometrial secretion
 Retarded embryo growth in uterus results in dwarf
and stunted progeny with skeletal abnormalities.
Effects on embryo
development
Effects on pasture
 Cc affects the quality and quantity of forage
 Impede the productivity of grazing livestock
 Scarcity of water is a big
challenge to agriculture
 High intensity rainfall leads towards floods and
soil erosion which results in delaying of crop and
sowing of next crop, ultimately leads to poor crop
production
Effects on biodiversity
 There is strong relationship between effects of
climate change and habitat degradation that may
lead to the depletion of biodiversity at local,
regional and global levels.
 20-30% plants and animals are vulnerable if
temperature increases 2-3 C◦ above
preindustrial level (IPCC, 2014)
 4000 breeds of cattle, water buffalo, sheep, goat,
ass, horse, pig has lost.
 16% become instinct
 12% become rare
 20% of reported breeds are classified as at risk
(FAO)
Effect on diseases
 Changing weather patters broaden the range of
disease bearing vectors. (IPCC,2007)
 Onset of FMD is associated with rainfalls,
temperature and humidity variations.
 Incidence of clinical mastitis is higher in hot and
humid weather due to heat stress.
 Longer summer increases the number of
pathogens
 Minor winter increase the survivability of
pathogens
 Intensify the infestation of cattle ticks like
Boophilus microplus, Hyalomma anatolicum and
Heamaphysalis bispinosa.
Effects on poultry production
Shift in weather pattern in Pak.
Expanding summers and shrinking winters
 Previously summer season was from May-
August
 Now from April to early October
 Similarly winter season was from mid Oct
to mid Feb.
 Now from Nov. to Jan.
(Pakistan metrological department)
Breeding season & weather
shift
Pakistan lies in temperate zone where photoperiod
influences the seasonality of reproduction
 Change in reproduction timing has been observed
in sheep due to weather shift.
 Sheep, a seasonal polyestrous specie, bred in short
day (Oct-Nov) now exhibit estrous signs in Feb.
and parturate in Aug., where survival of the kid
becomes difficult due hot and humid weather and
non availability of green fodder.
Breeding cycle in sheep
Sheep breeding & photoperiod
Effects of livestock on climate
 The livestock sector is often associated with
negative environmental impacts such as GHGs
emission, land degradation, air and water
pollution, and biodiversity destruction
 The primary livestock GHG
emissions are CO2, CH4,
and N2O.
Globally livestock contribute
 44% of anthropogenic CH4
 53% of anthropogenic N2O
 5% of anthropogenic CO2 emissions
Effects of livestock on
climate
Mitigating climate change
PLANS AND STRATEGIES
Possible strategies
 High yielding animals
 Breed conservation and selective breeding
 Feeding
 Building water reservoirs
High yielding animals
 Rearing of high yielding animals
 It will reduce the stocking density
 It will reduce farm input cost
 Target production would be achieved with less
animals
 Ultimately less methane gas emission
Breed Conservation
 Conservation of indigenous Zebu cattle resistant
to high temperature
 Selective breeding of highly
productive and local thermal
resistant cattle
Feeding strategies
 Methane emission is directly related with quantity
of feed
 More feeding leads to more methane gas emission
 Replacing a proportion of green fodder with
concentrate will not only increase the productivity
but also reduce the methane gas emission
Water reservoirs
 Pakistan is facing very serious problems like
irrigation water shortage and less rainfall due
to climate change
 Water storage capacity of Pakistan is less than 30
days. While global standard is 120 days.
 Pakistan is estimated to be declared
a water scarce nation by 2025.
 Scarcity of water is a major threat to agriculture of
the country leading to food insecurity both for
humans and animals.
 Building water reservoirs is the need of the day.
Conclusion
 Climate change has become a grave concern of
the world
 Its impacts on world and specially on Pakistan are
quite evident
 Agriculture and livestock sector have been badly
affected by cc in Pakistan.
 As millions of people in the country are associated
with agriculture and livestock
 Therefore mitigation strategies and plans to fight
with cc should be made and executed on
emergency basis.
References
 Jordan, E. R. (2003). Effects of heat stress on
reproduction. Journal of Dairy Science, 86, E104-E114.
 Krishnan, G., Bagath, M., Pragna, P., Vidya, M. K., Aleena,
J., Archana, P. R., ... & Bhatta, R. (2017). Mitigation of the
Heat Stress Impact in Livestock Reproduction.
In Theriogenology. InTech.
 Qureshi, N. A., & Ali, Z. (2011). Climate change,
biodiversity Pakistan’s scenario. J. Anim. Plant Sci, 21(2
Suppl), 358-363.
 Rojas-Downing, M. M., Nejadhashemi, A. P., Harrigan, T.,
& Woznicki, S. A. (2017). Climate change and livestock:
Impacts, adaptation, and mitigation. Climate Risk
Management, 16, 145-163.
 Badinga, L., Collier, R. J., Thatcher, W. W., & Wilcox, C. J.
(1985). Effects of Climatic and Management Factors on
Conception Rate of Dairy Cattle in Subtropical
Environment1. Journal of Dairy Science, 68(1), 78-85.
 https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Weather_and_climate
 http://www.ecolife.com/define/climate-change.html
 http://article.sapub.org/10.5923.j.zoology.20120204.03.html
 http://www.thecattlesite.com/articles/1053/heat-stress-in-
dairy-cows-implications-and-nutritional-management
Thank you…..
Climate change does not respect border; it
does not respect who you are- rich and
poor, small and big; Therefore, this is what
we call global challenges, which require
global solidarity
-Ban Ki Moon-

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Impact of climate change on livestock production in Pakistan

  • 1. Impact of climate change on livestock production in Pakistan Prof. Dr. Sar Zamin Khan The University of Agriculture Peshawar, Pakistan
  • 2. Climate Change  Weather: It is the condition of an atmosphere at a particular place over a short period of time.  Climate: It refers to the weather pattern, using statistical data of a place over a long enough period to yield meaningful averages.  Climate change: A long term shift in weather patterns in a specific region or globally.
  • 3. Causes of climate change  Excessive release of green house gases (GHG).  Deforestation  Livestock production  Overuse of fossil fuels  Industrialization
  • 4. Causes of climate change Deforestation Industrialization
  • 5. Causes of climate change Livestock production Overuse of fossil fuel
  • 7. Causes of GHGs emission
  • 8. Effects of climate change  Rise in temperature  Natural disasters  Water scarcity  Food insecurity
  • 9. Effects of climate change Rise in temperature
  • 10. Effects of climate change Natural disasters
  • 11. Effects of climate change Water scarcity
  • 12. Effects of climate change Food insecurity
  • 13. Climate change and Pakistan  Though Pak itself is not a major contributor of GHG emission (<1%)  Ranked 7th most vulnerable country affected by climate changes.  Cc in Pak has resulted in torrential rainfalls, irregular floods, droughts and glacier melting etc.
  • 14. Climate change and Pakistan
  • 15. Impacts of cc in Pakistan Impacts of cc are quite visible on  Rise in temperature  Natural disasters  Water resources  Biodiversity  Forest  Agriculture and livestock  Health sector
  • 16.
  • 17. Livestock sector in Pakistan  56.3% of agriculture sector  11.8% to National GDP  More than 8 million people associated with livestock
  • 19. Impacts of cc on livestock Direct health growth production reproduction Indirect Pasture, forage, crop production Heat stress biodiversity Diseases &pests Immune system
  • 20.
  • 21. Effects on production High temperature causes  ↓ feed intake  ↓body weight  ↓ milk production
  • 22.
  • 23. Mechanism of low milk production
  • 24. Effects on male reproduction  Delayed puberty  ↓ fertility  ↓ sperm motility  Impairment in sperm morphology
  • 25.  ↑ sperm mortality  ↓testosterone secretion
  • 26. Effects of female reproduction  Affects fertility and reproductive performance  Hormonal imbalance ( decrease LH & E2 secretion)  Reduce oocyte quality  Reduce embryo development
  • 27.  Delayed puberty  ↓ duration and intensity of estrous  Altered follicular development  ↓ conception rate
  • 28. Effects of female reproduction
  • 29. Effects of female reproduction Relationship between conception rate and THI Badinga et al., 1985
  • 30. Effects on embryo development  Slow down fetus growth rate  ↓ birth weight of calf  Change in uterine endometrial secretion  Retarded embryo growth in uterus results in dwarf and stunted progeny with skeletal abnormalities.
  • 32. Effects on pasture  Cc affects the quality and quantity of forage  Impede the productivity of grazing livestock  Scarcity of water is a big challenge to agriculture
  • 33.  High intensity rainfall leads towards floods and soil erosion which results in delaying of crop and sowing of next crop, ultimately leads to poor crop production
  • 34. Effects on biodiversity  There is strong relationship between effects of climate change and habitat degradation that may lead to the depletion of biodiversity at local, regional and global levels.  20-30% plants and animals are vulnerable if temperature increases 2-3 C◦ above preindustrial level (IPCC, 2014)
  • 35.  4000 breeds of cattle, water buffalo, sheep, goat, ass, horse, pig has lost.  16% become instinct  12% become rare  20% of reported breeds are classified as at risk (FAO)
  • 36. Effect on diseases  Changing weather patters broaden the range of disease bearing vectors. (IPCC,2007)  Onset of FMD is associated with rainfalls, temperature and humidity variations.  Incidence of clinical mastitis is higher in hot and humid weather due to heat stress.
  • 37.  Longer summer increases the number of pathogens  Minor winter increase the survivability of pathogens  Intensify the infestation of cattle ticks like Boophilus microplus, Hyalomma anatolicum and Heamaphysalis bispinosa.
  • 38.
  • 39. Effects on poultry production
  • 40. Shift in weather pattern in Pak. Expanding summers and shrinking winters  Previously summer season was from May- August  Now from April to early October
  • 41.  Similarly winter season was from mid Oct to mid Feb.  Now from Nov. to Jan. (Pakistan metrological department)
  • 42. Breeding season & weather shift Pakistan lies in temperate zone where photoperiod influences the seasonality of reproduction  Change in reproduction timing has been observed in sheep due to weather shift.  Sheep, a seasonal polyestrous specie, bred in short day (Oct-Nov) now exhibit estrous signs in Feb. and parturate in Aug., where survival of the kid becomes difficult due hot and humid weather and non availability of green fodder.
  • 44. Sheep breeding & photoperiod
  • 45. Effects of livestock on climate  The livestock sector is often associated with negative environmental impacts such as GHGs emission, land degradation, air and water pollution, and biodiversity destruction  The primary livestock GHG emissions are CO2, CH4, and N2O.
  • 46. Globally livestock contribute  44% of anthropogenic CH4  53% of anthropogenic N2O  5% of anthropogenic CO2 emissions
  • 47. Effects of livestock on climate
  • 49. Possible strategies  High yielding animals  Breed conservation and selective breeding  Feeding  Building water reservoirs
  • 50. High yielding animals  Rearing of high yielding animals  It will reduce the stocking density  It will reduce farm input cost  Target production would be achieved with less animals  Ultimately less methane gas emission
  • 51. Breed Conservation  Conservation of indigenous Zebu cattle resistant to high temperature  Selective breeding of highly productive and local thermal resistant cattle
  • 52. Feeding strategies  Methane emission is directly related with quantity of feed  More feeding leads to more methane gas emission  Replacing a proportion of green fodder with concentrate will not only increase the productivity but also reduce the methane gas emission
  • 53. Water reservoirs  Pakistan is facing very serious problems like irrigation water shortage and less rainfall due to climate change  Water storage capacity of Pakistan is less than 30 days. While global standard is 120 days.  Pakistan is estimated to be declared a water scarce nation by 2025.
  • 54.  Scarcity of water is a major threat to agriculture of the country leading to food insecurity both for humans and animals.  Building water reservoirs is the need of the day.
  • 55. Conclusion  Climate change has become a grave concern of the world  Its impacts on world and specially on Pakistan are quite evident  Agriculture and livestock sector have been badly affected by cc in Pakistan.  As millions of people in the country are associated with agriculture and livestock  Therefore mitigation strategies and plans to fight with cc should be made and executed on emergency basis.
  • 56. References  Jordan, E. R. (2003). Effects of heat stress on reproduction. Journal of Dairy Science, 86, E104-E114.  Krishnan, G., Bagath, M., Pragna, P., Vidya, M. K., Aleena, J., Archana, P. R., ... & Bhatta, R. (2017). Mitigation of the Heat Stress Impact in Livestock Reproduction. In Theriogenology. InTech.  Qureshi, N. A., & Ali, Z. (2011). Climate change, biodiversity Pakistan’s scenario. J. Anim. Plant Sci, 21(2 Suppl), 358-363.  Rojas-Downing, M. M., Nejadhashemi, A. P., Harrigan, T., & Woznicki, S. A. (2017). Climate change and livestock: Impacts, adaptation, and mitigation. Climate Risk Management, 16, 145-163.
  • 57.  Badinga, L., Collier, R. J., Thatcher, W. W., & Wilcox, C. J. (1985). Effects of Climatic and Management Factors on Conception Rate of Dairy Cattle in Subtropical Environment1. Journal of Dairy Science, 68(1), 78-85.  https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Weather_and_climate  http://www.ecolife.com/define/climate-change.html  http://article.sapub.org/10.5923.j.zoology.20120204.03.html  http://www.thecattlesite.com/articles/1053/heat-stress-in- dairy-cows-implications-and-nutritional-management
  • 58. Thank you….. Climate change does not respect border; it does not respect who you are- rich and poor, small and big; Therefore, this is what we call global challenges, which require global solidarity -Ban Ki Moon-

Editor's Notes

  1. Hayhoe et al., 2006