Livestock and the environment: Drivers, impacts, responses
Henning Steinfeld, FAO
Meeting/Workshop title • place and date
1
LIVESTOCK AND
THE ENVIRONMENT
Drivers, Impacts, Responses
Livestock-based options for sustainable food and nutritional security,
economic well-being and healthy lives
ILRI@40 Conference
Addis Ababa, Ethiopia, 6–7 November 2014
Meeting/Workshop title • place and date
2
What are the GLOBAL DRIVERS influencing livestock production?
Meeting/Workshop title • place and date
4
2005 - 2050 :
+ 70%
DEMAND FOR ANIMAL PRODUCTS
Source: FAO 2012
RISING DEMAND FOR ANIMAL PRODUCTS
Meeting/Workshop title • place and date
5
2005 - 2050
DEMAND FOR MEAT : + 278%
Source: FAO 2012
RISING DEMAND FOR ANIMAL PRODUCTS
Meeting/Workshop title • place and date
6
Source: IPCC 2014
CLIMATE CHANGE
Projected Temperature Change
Difference from
1986-2005 mean (°C)
Lowest Temperature Projections Highest Temperature Projections
Higher temperatures, shifting rainfalls, variability
Smallholders and pastoralists to suffer most
Meeting/Workshop title • place and date
7
RESOURCE SCARCITY
Limited land for agricultural
expansion
1/3 of arable land for feed crops
Land degradation
Water scarcity
Energy
Nutrients
Second grade crops
unfit for human
consumption
Meeting/Workshop title • place and date
8
RESOURCE SCARCITY
6.4 billion tons DM of livestock feed
* Cassava, beans and soybeans
** Bran, oilseed meals, pulp, molasses and wet distiller grains
Source: FAO, GLEAM
Tree leaves
3%
Fresh grass
and hay
39%
Grass legumes
and sillages
3%
Swill
1%
Crop residues
26%
2%
Agricultural by-products**
8%
Grains
9%
Other edible*
9%
DIFFERENT SYSTEMS AND DIFFERENT PURPOSES
Meeting/Workshop title • place and date
10
Growing constraints to access
grazing and water resources
High GHG emissions per unit
of protein produced…
…but many other products:
livestock as saving/insurance,
economic activity, social role
Cattle herd, Ferlo, Senegal
DIFFERENT SYSTEMS AND DIFFERENT PURPOSES
Meeting/Workshop title • place and date
11
Global chain, imported feed
Lower GHG emissions per unit
of protein produced…
… but other environmental impacts:
nutrient pollution, potential land
use change associated with
imported feed, impacts on biodiversity
Pig farm, Chonburi, Thailand
DIFFERENT SYSTEMS AND DIFFERENT PURPOSES
Meeting/Workshop title • place and date
12
Resources: ~ 50% of roughages,
20% of silage, 30% of concentrates
High productivity: 20% of the
global number of dairy cows,
73% of the global milk production
Main sources of emissions:
enteric fermentation, manure,
fossil energy use
Dairy production, OECD countries
DIFFERENT SYSTEMS AND DIFFERENT PURPOSES
Meeting/Workshop title • place and date
13
Grass-fed systems are dominant
6.7% of slaughtered animals were
fed in feedlots
Land use and land use change is
the main source of emissions,
with an impact on other environmental
criteria (biodiversity)
Beef production, Brazil
CONTRIBUTION TO CLIMATE CHANGE
AGRICULTURE: 20 to 30 % of anthropogenic climate gases;
MOST IMPORTANT
SOURCES:
Meeting/Workshop title • place and date
14
2/3 from livestock (7.1 GT CO2eq)
Overriding role of ruminants
• Enteric methane
• Feed production
• Animal waste
• Land use
Strong relationship between productivity and emission intensity
Meeting/Workshop title • place and date
15
GHG EMISSIONS MITIGATION POTENTIAL
Large variability of emission
Intensities within systems
and regions
30% mitigation potential
estimated through more
efficient practices
in resource use with existing
technologies
Source: Gerber et al. (2013)
Emission intensity by commodity
Meeting/Workshop title • place and date
16
GHG EMISSIONS
Emission intensities per kg of protein
Source: FAO, GLEAM
LAND-BASED LIVESTOCK PRODUCTION MOST EXPOSED TO CC
LIVESTOCK ARE NATURAL ADAPTERS
Meeting/Workshop title • place and date
17
IMPACT OF CLIMATE CHANGE
• Lower rainfall and higher temperatures
• Changing disease patterns
• Variability
• Flexible resource users
• Buffers for enhanced resilience
Meeting/Workshop title • place and date
18
NUTRIENT USE EFFICIENCY
Nutrient flow (nitrogen) in the beef production process
(based on US and Netherlands national data)
Source: Leach et al. (2012)
But: important role in nutrient cycling
LIVESTOCK AND WATER
Meeting/Workshop title • place and date
19
RESOURCE SCARCITY
• Water use: 29% of total agr. water use
• Impact on vegetation and water cycles – higher run-offs
• Water pollution: local impacts in areas of high animal concentration
THREAT TO BIODIVERSITY IN 306 OF THE 825 ECOREGIONS
Meeting/Workshop title • place and date
20
LIVESTOCK AND BIODIVERSITY
EXTENT OF PASTURES: 26% OF ALL LAND – both positive and negative impacts
• Arable land use for feed and expansion
• Aquatic systems (nutrient loading)
• Positive roles
LAND SPARING
Meeting/Workshop title • place and date
21
LAND SHARING VS. LAND SPARING
INTENSIVE FARMING
High productivity
UNFARMED
High species
density
LAND SHARING
FARMED EXTENSIVELY
Moderate species density and
productivity in a larger area
Meeting/Workshop title • place and date
22
LAND SHARING VS. LAND SPARING
Agricultural intensity
Biodiversity
LAND SHARING IS BEST
LAND SPARING IS BEST
Meeting/Workshop title • place and date
RESPONSES
• Efficiency of resource use –
land, water, nutrients
• Emission intensity – CO2 eq
per unit of product
• Sustainable intensification: feeds,
genetics, health
• Reduce waste through recycling and
recovering nutrients and energy
• Requires incentives, regulations and
continuous innovation
INCREASE EFFICIENCY
ENHANCE LIVELIHOODS AND HUMAN WELL-BEING
Meeting/Workshop title • place and date
25
RESPONSES
• protect assets, enhance multiple functions of livestock in smallholder
and pastoral systems
• Integrated landscape management
(optimize contributions rather than maximizing output)
for food, biodiversity, water, cultural values
• Address overconsumption – healthy diets
• Reduce food-feed competition
• Limit livestock’s expansion into valuable eco-systems
• Integrated land use management (in particular in fragile eco-systems)
• Protect water resources
• Requires incentives and regulations
Meeting/Workshop title • place and date
RESPONSES
PROTECT RESOURCES
• Of global commons (e.g. climate)
• Of local commons (e.g. communal grazing, water)
• Incentive schemes (payment for environmental services, carbon markets)
Meeting/Workshop title • place and date
RESPONSES
INCREASE RESILIENCE
• Livestock as a tool of adaptation
• improve coping capacity with shocks
IMPROVE GOVERNANCE
Meeting/Workshop title • place and date
SUMMARY
o Large environmental impact, negative and positive
o Context of growing demand, climate change and growing
scarcities
o Diversity of systems, issues and responses
o Large potential to respond; social and economic co-benefits
o Requires pro-active policies, incentives and innovation
Meeting/Workshop title • place and date
Thank you
henning.steinfeld@fao.org
www.livestockdialogue.org
Sustainable livestock. For people, for the planet
Editor's Notes
The next slide may be sufficient
Solid curve: it is when the intensity starts increasing that the effects on biodiversity are the most detrimental => it is better to leave some area unfarmed, with high biodiversity level, while the rest is farmed with high intensity to compensate for the loss of productive area and reach the same level => “land sparing”
Dashed curve: there is a moderate level of intensity (in yellowish green) where performances are satisfying for both productivity and biodiversity => it is better to farm the whole region at this intensity level => “land sharing”