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Single Sample t-Tests
Welcome to a presentation explaining the concepts 
behind the use of a single sample t-test
Welcome to a presentation explaining the concepts 
behind the use of a single sample t-test in determining 
the probability that a sample and a population are 
similar to or different from one another statistically.
We will follow an example where researchers attempt 
to determine if the sample they have collected is 
statistically significantly similar or different from a 
population.
Their hope is that the sample and population are 
statistically similar to one another, so they can claim 
that results of experiments done to the sample are 
generalizable to the population.
Let’s imagine that this is the population distribution for 
IQ scores in the country:
Let’s imagine that this is the population distribution for 
IQ scores in the country:
It has a population 
mean of 100
m = 100
m = 100 
This Greek symbol 
represents the mean 
of a population
We decide to select a random sample to do 
experiments on. 
m = 100
So, we randomly 
select 20 persons 
m = 100
Let’s say that sample 
of 20 has an IQ score 
mean of 70 
m = 100
Let’s say that sample 
of 20 has an IQ score 
풙 = 70 m = 100 
mean of 70
풙 = 70 m = 100 
Note, this x with a bar 
over it is the symbol 
for a sample mean.
풙 = 70 m = 100 
Again this Greek 
symbol m is the symbol 
for a population mean.
Along with a mean of 
70 this sample has a 
distribution that looks 
풙 = 70 m = 100 
like this
Along with a mean of 
70 this sample has a 
distribution that looks 
풙 = 70 m = 100 
like this
풙 = 70 m = 100 
So, here’s the question:
풙 = 70 m = 100 
Is this randomly selected sample of 20 IQ scores 
representative of the population?
The Single Sample t-test is a tool used to determine the 
probability that it is or is not. 
풙 = 70 m = 100
So, how do we determine if the sample is a good 
representative of the population?
Let’s look at the population distribution of IQ scores 
first:
Let’s look at the population distribution of IQ scores 
first:
One thing we 
notice right off is 
that it has a normal 
distribution
Normal 
Distributions have 
some important 
properties or 
attributes that 
make it possible to 
consider rare or 
common 
occurrences
Also, Normal 
Distributions have 
some constant 
percentages that 
are true across all 
normal 
distributions
Attribute #1: 
50% of all of the 
scores are above 
the mean and the 
other 50% of the 
scores are below 
the mean
Attribute #1: 
50% of all of the 
scores are above 
the mean and the 
other 50% of the 
scores are below 
the mean 
The Mean
Attribute #1: 
50% of all of the 
scores are above 
the mean and the 
other 50% of the 
scores are below 
the mean 
The Mean 50% of all scores
Attribute #1: 
50% of all of the 
scores are above 
the mean and the 
other 50% of the 
scores are below 
the mean 
50% of all scores The Mean
The 
Mean 
Attribute #2: 
68% of all of the scores 
are between +1 standard 
deviation and -1 standard 
deviation
The 
Mean 
Attribute #2: 
68% of all of the scores 
are between +1 standard 
deviation and -1 standard 
deviation from the mean
The 
Mean 
Attribute #2: 
68% of all of the scores 
are between +1 standard 
deviation and -1 standard 
deviation from the mean 
+1 sd
The 
Mean 
Attribute #2: 
68% of all of the scores 
are between +1 standard 
deviation and -1 standard 
deviation from the mean 
-1 sd +1 sd
68% of all scores 
The 
Mean 
Attribute #2: 
68% of all of the scores 
are between +1 standard 
deviation and -1 standard 
deviation from the mean 
-1 sd +1 sd
68% of all scores 
The 
Mean 
So what this means is – if 
you were randomly 
selecting samples from 
this population you have 
a 68% chance or .68 
probability of pulling 
that sample from this 
part of the distribution. 
-1 sd +1 sd
68% of all scores 
The 
Mean 
-1 sd +1 sd 
Let’s put some 
numbers to this 
idea.
68% of all scores 
The 
Mean 
-1 sd +1 sd 
The mean of IQ scores across 
the population is 100
-1 sd +1 sd 
m = 100 
With a population standard 
deviation (s) of 15: 
+1 standard deviation 
would at an IQ score of 115 
and 
-1 standard deviation 
would be at 85 
68% of all scores
m = 100 
+1 sd 
-1s=85 
-1 sd 
68% of all scores 
With a population standard 
deviation (s) of 15: 
+1 standard deviation 
would at an IQ score of 115 
and 
-1 standard deviation 
would be at 85
68% of all scores 
-1s=85 m = 100 
+1s=115 
-1 sd +1 sd 
With a population standard 
deviation (s) of 15: 
+1 standard deviation 
would at an IQ score of 115 
and 
-1 standard deviation would 
be at 85
68% of all scores So, there is a 68% 
m = 100 
-1 sd +1 sd 
chance or .68 
probability that a 
sample was 
collected between 
IQ scores of 85 and 
115 
-1s=85 +1s=115
68% of all scores 
m = 100 
-1 sd +1 sd 
Attribute 2: 
2 standard deviation 
units above and 
below the mean 
constitute 95% of all 
scores. 
-1s=85 +1s=115
68% of all scores 
m = 100 
-1 sd +1 sd 
Attribute 2: 
2 standard deviation 
units above and 
below the mean 
constitute 95% of all 
scores. 
-1s=85 +1s=115 
+2 sd +2 sd
68% of all scores 
m = 100 
-1 sd +1 sd 
2 standard deviation 
units above the 
mean would be an 
IQ score of 130 or 
100 + 2*15(sd)) 
-1s=85 +1s=115 
+2 sd +2 sd
68% of all scores 
m = 100 
-1 sd +1 sd 
2 standard deviation 
units above the 
mean would be an 
IQ score of 130 or 
100 + 2*15(sd)) 
-1s=85 +1s=115 
+1s=130 
+2 sd 
-2 sd
68% of all scores 
m = 100 
-1 sd +1 sd 
2 standard deviation 
units below the 
mean would be an 
IQ score of 70 or 
100 - 2*15(sd)) 
-1s=85 +1s=115 
+1s=115 
+2 sd 
-2 sd
68% of all scores 
-2s=70 m = 100 
+1s=115 
-1 sd +1 sd 
2 standard deviation 
units below the 
mean would be an 
IQ score of 70 or 
100 - 2*15(sd)) 
-1s=85 +1s=115 
+2 sd 
-2 sd
68% of all scores 
-2s=70 m = 100 
+1s=115 
-1 sd +1 sd 
Now, it just so 
happens in nature 
that 95% of all 
scores are between 
+2 and -2 standard 
deviations in a 
normal distribution. 
-1s=85 +1s=115 
+2 sd 
-2 sd
95% of all scores 
-2s=70 -1s=85 m = 100 
+1s=115 
+1s=130 
-1 sd +1 sd 
+2 sd 
-2 sd 
Now, it just so 
happens in nature 
that 95% of all 
scores are between 
+2 and -2 standard 
deviations in a 
normal distribution.
95% of all scores 
-2s=70 m = 100 
+1s=130 
-1 sd +1 sd 
This means that 
there is a .95 chance 
that a sample we 
select would come 
from between these 
two points. 
-1s=85 +1s=115 
+2 sd 
-2 sd
Attribute #3: 99% of all scores are between 
95% of all scores 
-2s=70 -1s=85 m = 100 
+1s=115 
+1s=130 
-1 sd +1 sd 
+2 sd 
-2 sd 
+3 and -3 standard deviations.
99% of all scores 
-2s=70 -1s=85 m = 100 
+1s=115 
+1s=130 
-1 sd +1 sd 
+2 sd 
-2 sd 
-3s=55 
-3 sd 
+3s=55 
+3 sd 
Attribute #3: 99% of all scores are between 
+3 and -3 standard deviations.
99% of all scores 
-2s=70 -1s=85 m = 100 
+1s=115 
+1s=130 
-1 sd +1 sd 
+2 sd 
-2 sd 
-3s=55 
-3 sd 
-3s=55 
+3 sd 
These standard deviations are only 
approximates.
99% of all scores 
-2s=70 -1s=85 m = 100 
+1s=115 
+1s=130 
-3s=55 -3s=55 
-3 sd +3 sd 
-1 sd +1 sd 
+2 sd 
-2 sd 
Here are the actual values
99% of all scores 
-2s=70 -1s=85 m = 100 
+1s=115 
+1s=130 
-1 sd +1 sd 
+2 sd 
-2 sd 
-2.58 s 
=55 
-2.58 sd 
-3s=55 
+3 sd 
Here are the actual values
99% of all scores 
-1.96 s 
-1s=85 m = 100 
+1s=115 
+1s=130 =70 
-1 sd +1 sd 
+2 sd 
-2.58 sd -1.96 sd 
-3s=55 
+3 sd 
Here are the actual values 
-2.58 s 
=55
99% of all scores 
m = 100 
-1 sd +1 sd 
+1s=130 
+2 sd 
-1.96 s 
=70 
-2.58 sd -1.96 sd 
-3s=55 
+3 sd 
Here are the actual values 
-2.58 s 
=55 
+1s=115 
-1 s 
=85
99% of all scores 
m = 100 
-1 sd +1 sd 
+1s=130 
+2 sd 
-1.96 s 
=70 
-2.58 sd -1.96 sd 
-3s=55 
+3 sd 
Here are the actual values 
-2.58 s 
=55 
+1 s 
=115 
-1 s 
=85
99% of all scores 
m = 100 
-1 sd +1 sd 
+1.96 s 
=130 
-1.96 s 
=70 
-2.58 sd -1.96 sd 
-3s=55 
+3 sd 
+1.96 sd 
Here are the actual values 
-2.58 s 
=55 
+1 s 
=115 
-1 s 
=85
99% of all scores 
m = 100 
+1 s 
=115 
-1 s 
=85 
-1 sd +1 sd 
+1.96 s 
=130 
-1.96 s 
=70 
-2.58 sd -1.96 sd 
+2.58 s 
=145 
+2.58 sd 
+1.96 sd 
Here are the actual values 
-2.58 s 
=55
99% of all scores 
m = 100 
-2.58 sd -1.96 sd -1 sd +1 sd 
+1.96 sd +2.58 sd 
Based on the percentages of a normal distribution, we can 
insert the percentage of scores below each standard deviation 
point. 
+1 s 
=115 
-1 s 
=85 
+1.96 s 
=130 
+2.58 s 
=145 
-1.96 s 
=70 
-2.58 s 
=55
99% of all scores 
-2.58 sd -1.96 sd -1 sd +1 sd 
+1.96 sd +2.58 sd 
Attribute #4: 
percentages 
can be 
calculated 
below or 
above each 
standard 
deviation 
point in the 
distribution. 
m = 100 
+1 s 
=115 
-1 s 
=85 
+1.96 s 
=130 
+2.58 s 
=145 
-1.96 s 
=70 
-2.58 s 
=55
99% of all scores 
m = 100 
+1 s 
=115 
-1 s 
=85 
+1.96 s 
=130 
+2.58 s 
=145 
-1.96 s 
=70 
-2.58 s 
=55 
-2.58 sd -1.96 sd -1 sd +1 sd +1.96 sd +2.58 sd
99% of all scores 
95% of all scores 
m = 100 
+1 s 
=115 
-1 s 
=85 
+1.96 s 
=130 
+2.58 s 
=145 
-1.96 s 
=70 
-2.58 s 
=55 
-2.58 sd -1.96 sd -1 sd +1 sd +1.96 sd +2.58 sd
99% of all scores 
95% of all scores 
68% of all scores 
m = 100 
+1 s 
=115 
-1 s 
=85 
+1.96 s 
=130 
+2.58 s 
=145 
-1.96 s 
=70 
-2.58 s 
=55 
-2.58 sd -1.96 sd -1 sd +1 sd +1.96 sd +2.58 sd
99% of all scores 
95% of all scores 
68% of all scores 
m = 100 
+1 s 
=115 
-1 s 
=85 
+1.96 s 
=130 
-2.58 sd -1.96 sd -1 sd +1 sd +1.96 sd +2.58 sd 
With this information we can determine the probability that scores will 
fall into a number portions of the distribution. 
+2.58 s 
=145 
-1.96 s 
=70 
-2.58 s 
=55
For example:
There is a 0.5% 
chance that if 
you randomly 
selected a 
person that their 
IQ score would 
be below a 55 or 
a -2.58 SD 
0.5% 
m = 100 
+1 s 
=115 
-1 s 
=85 
+1.96 s 
=130 
+2.58 s 
=145 
-1.96 s 
=70 
-2.58 s 
=55 
-2.58 sd -1.96 sd -1 sd +1 sd +1.96 sd +2.58 sd
There is a 2.5% 
chance that if 
you randomly 
selected a 
person that their 
IQ score would 
be below a 70 or 
a -1.96 SD 
2.5% 
m = 100 
+1 s 
=115 
-1 s 
=85 
+1.96 s 
=130 
+2.58 s 
=145 
-1.96 s 
=70 
-2.58 s 
=55 
-2.58 sd -1.96 sd -1 sd +1 sd +1.96 sd +2.58 sd
There is a 16.5% 
chance that if 
you randomly 
selected a 
person that their 
IQ score would 
be below a 85 or 
a -1 SD 
16.5% 
m = 100 
+1 s 
=115 
-1 s 
=85 
+1.96 s 
=130 
+2.58 s 
=145 
-1.96 s 
=70 
-2.58 s 
=55 
-2.58 sd -1.96 sd -1 sd +1 sd +1.96 sd +2.58 sd
50% 
There is a 50% 
chance that if 
you randomly 
selected a 
person that their 
IQ score would 
be below a 100 
or a 0 SD 
m = 100 
+1 s 
=115 
-1 s 
=85 
+1.96 s 
=130 
+2.58 s 
=145 
-1.96 s 
=70 
-2.58 s 
=55 
-2.58 sd -1.96 sd -1 sd +1 sd +1.96 sd +2.58 sd
There is a 50% 
chance that if 
you randomly 
selected a 
person that their 
IQ score would 
be above a 100 
or a 0 SD 
50% 
m = 100 
+1 s 
=115 
-1 s 
=85 
+1.96 s 
=130 
+2.58 s 
=145 
-1.96 s 
=70 
-2.58 s 
=55 
-2.58 sd -1.96 sd -1 sd +1 sd +1.96 sd +2.58 sd
There is a 16.5% 
chance that if 
you randomly 
selected a 
person that their 
IQ score would 
be above a 115 
or a +1 SD 
16.5% 
m = 100 
+1 s 
=115 
-1 s 
=85 
+1.96 s 
=130 
+2.58 s 
=145 
-1.96 s 
=70 
-2.58 s 
=55 
-2.58 sd -1.96 sd -1 sd +1 sd +1.96 sd +2.58 sd
m = 100 
+1 s 
=115 
-1 s 
=85 
-1 sd +1 sd 
There is a 2.5% 
chance that if 
you randomly 
selected a 
person that their 
IQ score would 
be above a 130 
or a +2.58 SD 
+1.96 s 
=130 
+1.96 sd 
-1.96 s 
=70 
-1.96 sd 
-2.58 s 
=55 
-2.58 sd 
2.5% 
+2.58 s 
=145 
+2.58 sd
m = 100 
+1 s 
=115 
-1 s 
=85 
-1 sd +1 sd 
+1.96 s 
=130 
+1.96 sd 
-1.96 s 
=70 
-1.96 sd 
-2.58 s 
=55 
-2.58 sd 
There is a 0.5% 
chance that if 
you randomly 
selected a 
person that their 
IQ score would 
be above a 145 
or a +2.58 SD 
.5% 
+2.58 s 
=145 
+2.58 sd
What you have just seen illustrated is the concept of probability density 
or the probability that a score or observation would be selected above, 
m = 100 
+1 s 
=115 
-1 s 
=85 
-1 sd +1 sd 
+1.96 s 
=130 
+1.96 sd 
-1.96 s 
=70 
-1.96 sd 
-2.58 s 
=55 
-2.58 sd 
+2.58 s 
=145 
+2.58 sd 
below or between two points on a distribution.
Back to our example again.
m = 100 
+1 s 
=115 
-1 s 
=85 
-1 sd +1 sd 
+1.96 s 
=130 
+1.96 sd 
-1.96 s 
=70 
-1.96 sd 
-2.58 s 
=55 
-2.58 sd 
+2.58 s 
=145 
+2.58 sd
m = 100 
+1 s 
=115 
-1 s 
=85 
-1 sd +1 sd 
+1.96 s 
=130 
+1.96 sd 
-1.96 s 
=70 
-1.96 sd 
-2.58 s 
=55 
-2.58 sd 
+2.58 s 
=145 
+2.58 sd 
Here is the 
sample we 
randomly 
selected 
풙 = 70
m = 100 
+1 s 
=115 
-1 s 
=85 
-1 sd +1 sd 
+1.96 s 
=130 
+1.96 sd 
-1.96 s 
=70 
-1.96 sd 
-2.58 s 
=55 
-2.58 sd 
+2.58 s 
=145 
+2.58 sd 
The sample 
mean is 30 units 
away from the 
population mean 
(100 – 70 = 30). 
풙 = 70
m = 100 
+1 s 
=115 
-1 s 
=85 
-1 sd +1 sd 
+1.96 s 
=130 
+1.96 sd 
-1.96 s 
=70 
-1.96 sd 
-2.58 s 
=55 
-2.58 sd 
+2.58 s 
=145 
+2.58 sd 
The sample 
mean is 30 units 
away from the 
population mean 
(100 – 70 = 30). 
풙 = 70 
30
m = 100 
+1 s 
=115 
-1 s 
=85 
-1 sd +1 sd 
+1.96 s 
=130 
+1.96 sd 
-1.96 s 
=70 
-1.96 sd 
-2.58 s 
=55 
-2.58 sd 
+2.58 s 
=145 
+2.58 sd 
Is that far away 
enough to be 
called statistically 
significantly 
different than 
the population? 
풙 = 70
m = 100 
+1 s 
=115 
-1 s 
=85 
-1 sd +1 sd 
+1.96 s 
=130 
+1.96 sd 
-1.96 s 
=70 
-1.96 sd 
-2.58 s 
=55 
-2.58 sd 
+2.58 s 
=145 
+2.58 sd 
How far is too far 
away? 
풙 = 70
m = 100 
+1 s 
=115 
-1 s 
=85 
-1 sd +1 sd 
+1.96 s 
=130 
+1.96 sd 
-1.96 s 
=70 
-1.96 sd 
-2.58 s 
=55 
-2.58 sd 
+2.58 s 
=145 
+2.58 sd 
Fortunately, 
statisticians have 
come up with a 
couple of 
distances that are 
considered too far 
away to be a part 
of the population. 
풙 = 70
m = 100 
+1 s 
=115 
-1 s 
=85 
-1 sd +1 sd 
+1.96 s 
=130 
+1.96 sd 
-1.96 s 
=70 
-1.96 sd 
-2.58 s 
=55 
-2.58 sd 
+2.58 s 
=145 
+2.58 sd 
These distances 
are measured in 
z-scores 
풙 = 70
m = 100 
+1 s 
=115 
-1 s 
=85 
-1 sd +1 sd 
+1.96 s 
=130 
+1.96 sd 
-1.96 s 
=70 
-1.96 sd 
-2.58 s 
=55 
-2.58 sd 
+2.58 s 
=145 
+2.58 sd 
풙 = 70 
Which are what 
these are: 
z scores
Let’s say statisticians determined that if the sample mean you 
collected is below a -1.96 z-score or above a +1.96 z-score that that’s 
just too far away from the mean to be a part of the population. 
m = 100 
+1 s 
=115 
-1 s 
=85 
-1 sd +1 sd 
+1.96 s 
=130 
+1.96 sd 
-1.96 s 
=70 
-1.96 sd 
-2.58 s 
=55 
-2.58 sd 
+2.58 s 
=145 
+2.58 sd 
풙 = 70
We know from previous slides that only 2.5% of the 
scores are below a -1.96 
m = 100 
+1 s 
=115 
-1 s 
=85 
-1 sd +1 sd 
+1.96 s 
=130 
+1.96 sd 
-1.96 s 
=70 
-1.96 sd 
-2.58 s 
=55 
-2.58 sd 
+2.58 s 
=145 
+2.58 sd 
풙 = 70
We know from previous slides that only 2.5% of the 
scores are below a -1.96 
m = 100 
+1 s 
=115 
-1 s 
=85 
-1 sd +1 sd 
+1.96 s 
=130 
+1.96 sd 
-1.96 s 
=70 
-1.96 sd 
-2.58 s 
=55 
-2.58 sd 
+2.58 s 
=145 
+2.58 sd 
풙 = 70 
2.5%
Since anything at this point or below is considered to be too 
rare to be a part of this population, we would conclude that 
the population and the sample are statistically significantly 
different from one another. 
m = 100 
+1 s 
=115 
-1 s 
=85 
-1 sd +1 sd 
+1.96 s 
=130 
+1.96 sd 
-1.96 s 
=70 
-1.96 sd 
-2.58 s 
=55 
-2.58 sd 
+2.58 s 
=145 
+2.58 sd 
풙 = 70 
2.5%
m = 100 
+1 s 
=115 
-1 s 
=85 
-1 sd +1 sd 
+1.96 s 
=130 
+1.96 sd 
-1.96 s 
=70 
-1.96 sd 
-2.58 s 
=55 
-2.58 sd 
+2.58 s 
=145 
+2.58 sd 
풙 = 70 
And that’s our answer! 
2.5%
What if the sample mean had been 105?
Since our decision rule is to determine that the sample 
mean is statistically significantly different than the 
population mean if the sample mean lies outside of the 
top or bottom 2.5% of all scores,
Since our decision rule is to determine that the sample 
mean is statistically significantly different than the 
population mean if the sample mean lies outside of the 
top or bottom 2.5% of all scores, 
m = 100 
+1 s 
=115 
-1 s 
=85 
-1 sd +1 sd 
+1.96 s 
=130 
+1.96 sd 
-1.96 s 
=70 
-1.96 sd 
-2.58 s 
=55 
-2.58 sd 
+2.58 s 
=145 
+2.58 sd 
2.5% 2.5%
Since our decision rule is to determine that the sample 
mean is statistically significantly different than the 
population mean if the sample mean lies outside of the 
top or bottom 2.5% of all scores, 
m = 100 
+1 s 
=115 
-1 s 
=85 
-1 sd +1 sd 
+1.96 s 
=130 
+1.96 sd 
-1.96 s 
=70 
-1.96 sd 
-2.58 s 
=55 
-2.58 sd 
+2.58 s 
=145 
+2.58 sd 
풙 = 105 
2.5% 2.5%
. . . and the sample mean (105) does not lie in these 
outer regions, 
m = 100 
+1 s 
=115 
-1 s 
=85 
-1 sd +1 sd 
+1.96 s 
=130 
+1.96 sd 
-1.96 s 
=70 
-1.96 sd 
-2.58 s 
=55 
-2.58 sd 
+2.58 s 
=145 
+2.58 sd 
풙 = 105 
2.5% 2.5%
Therefore, we would say that this is not a rare event 
and the probability that the sample is significantly 
similar to the population is high. 
m = 100 
+1 s 
=115 
-1 s 
=85 
-1 sd +1 sd 
+1.96 s 
=130 
+1.96 sd 
-1.96 s 
=70 
-1.96 sd 
-2.58 s 
=55 
-2.58 sd 
+2.58 s 
=145 
+2.58 sd 
풙 = 105 
2.5% 2.5%
By the way, how do we figure out the z-score for an IQ 
score of 105.
We use the following formula to compute z-scores 
across the normal distribution:
We use the following formula to compute z-scores 
across the normal distribution: 
풙 - m 
SD
We use the following formula to compute z-scores 
across the normal distribution: 
풙 - m 
Here’s our SD 
sample 
mean: 70
We use the following formula to compute z-scores 
across the normal distribution: 
70 - m 
Here’s our SD 
sample 
mean: 70
We use the following formula to compute z-scores 
across the normal distribution: 
70 - m 
SD Here’s our 
Population 
mean: 100
We use the following formula to compute z-scores 
across the normal distribution: 
70 - 100 
SD 
Here’s our 
Population 
mean: 100
We use the following formula to compute z-scores 
across the normal distribution: 
70 - 100 
SD 
Here’s our 
Standard 
Deviation: 
15
We use the following formula to compute z-scores 
across the normal distribution: 
70 - 100 
15 
Here’s our 
Standard 
Deviation: 
15
We use the following formula to compute z-scores 
across the normal distribution: 
70 - 100 
15
We use the following formula to compute z-scores 
across the normal distribution: 
30 
15
We use the following formula to compute z-scores 
across the normal distribution: 
2.0
A z score of 2 is located right here 
m = 100 
+1 s 
=115 
-1 s 
=85 
-1 sd +1 sd 
+1.96 s 
=130 
+1.96 sd 
-1.96 s 
=70 
-1.96 sd 
-2.58 s 
=55 
-2.58 sd 
+2.58 s 
=145 
+2.58 sd 
풙 = 70 
2.5% 2.5%
In some instances we may not know the population 
standard deviation s (in this case 15).
Without the standard deviation of the population we 
cannot determine the z-scores or the probability that a 
sample mean is too far away to be apart of the 
population.
Without the standard deviation of the population we 
cannot determine the z-scores or the probability that a 
sample mean is too far away to be apart of the 
population. 
m = 100 
+1 s 
=115 
-1 s 
=85 
-1 sd +1 sd 
+1.96 s 
=130 
+1.96 sd 
-1.96 s 
=70 
-1.96 sd 
-2.58 s 
=55 
-2.58 sd 
+2.58 s 
=145 
+2.58 sd
Without the standard deviation of the population we 
cannot determine the z-scores or the probability that a 
sample mean is too far away to be apart of the 
population. 
m = 100 
+1 s 
=115 
-1 s 
=85 
-1 sd +1 sd 
+1.96 s 
=130 
+1.96 sd 
-1.96 s 
=70 
-1.96 sd 
-2.58 s 
=55 
-2.58 sd 
+2.58 s 
=145 
+2.58 sd 
50%
Without the standard deviation of the population we 
cannot determine the z-scores or the probability that a 
sample mean is too far away to be apart of the 
population. 
m = 100 
+1 s 
=115 
-1 s 
=85 
-1 sd +1 sd 
+1.96 s 
=130 
+1.96 sd 
-1.96 s 
=70 
-1.96 sd 
-2.58 s 
=55 
-2.58 sd 
+2.58 s 
=145 
+2.58 sd 
16.5%
Without the standard deviation of the population we 
cannot determine the z-scores or the probability that a 
sample mean is too far away to be apart of the 
population. 
m = 100 
+1 s 
=115 
-1 s 
=85 
-1 sd +1 sd 
+1.96 s 
=130 
+1.96 sd 
-1.96 s 
=70 
-1.96 sd 
-2.58 s 
=55 
-2.58 sd 
2.5% 
+2.58 s 
=145 
+2.58 sd
Without the standard deviation of the population we 
cannot determine the z-scores or the probability that a 
sample mean is too far away to be apart of the 
population. 
m = 100 
+1 s 
=115 
-1 s 
=85 
-1 sd +1 sd 
+1.96 s 
=130 
+1.96 sd 
-1.96 s 
=70 
-1.96 sd 
-2.58 s 
=55 
-2.58 sd 
+2.58 s 
=145 
+2.58 sd 
Etc.
Therefore these values below cannot be computed: 
m = 100 
+1 s 
=115 
-1 s 
=85 
-1 sd +1 sd 
+1.96 s 
=130 
+1.96 sd 
-1.96 s 
=70 
-1.96 sd 
-2.58 s 
=55 
-2.58 sd 
+2.58 s 
=145 
+2.58 sd
Therefore these values below cannot be computed: 
m = 100 
+1 s 
=115 
-1 s 
=85 
-1 sd +1 sd 
+1.96 s 
=130 
+1.96 sd 
-1.96 s 
=70 
-1.96 sd 
-2.58 s 
=55 
-2.58 sd 
+2.58 s 
=145 
+2.58 sd
When we only know the population mean we 
use the Single Sample t-test.
Actually whenever we are dealing with a 
population and a sample, we generally use a 
single-sample t-test.
In the last example we relied on the population 
mean and standard deviation to determine if the 
sample mean was too far away from the 
population mean to be considered a part of the 
population.
The single sample t-test relies on a concept 
called the estimated standard error
The single sample t-test relies on a concept 
called the estimated standard error to compute 
something like a z-score to determine the 
probability distance between the population 
and the sample means.
We call it estimated because as you will see it is not 
really feasible to compute.
Standard error draws on two concepts:
1. sampling distributions
1. sampling distributions 
2. t-distributions
Let’s begin with sampling distributions.
Let’s begin with sampling distributions. 
What you are about to see is purely theoretical, but it 
provides the justification for the formula we will use to 
run a single sample t-test.
Let’s begin with sampling distributions. 
What you are about to see is purely theoretical, but it 
provides the justification for the formula we will use to 
run a single sample t-test. 
x̄ – μ 
SEmean
x̄ – μ 
SEmean 
the mean of a 
sample
x̄ – μ 
SEmean 
the mean of a 
sample 
the mean of a 
population
x̄ – μ 
SEmean 
the mean of a 
sample 
the mean of a 
population 
the estimated 
standard error
x̄ – μ 
SEmean 
In our example, 
this is 70
70̄ – μ 
SEmean 
In our example, 
this is 70
70̄ – μ 
SEmean 
And this is 
100
70̄ – 100 
SEmean 
And this is 
100
The numerator here 
is easy to compute 
70̄ – 100 
SEmean
The numerator here 
is easy to compute 
-30 
SEmean
-30 
SEmean 
This value will help 
us know the distance 
between 70 and 100 
in t-values
-30 
SEmean 
If the estimated 
standard error is 
large, like 30, then 
the t value would be: 
-30/30 = -1
A -1.0 t-value is like a z-score as shown below:
A -1.0 t-value is like a z-score as shown below: 
m = 100 
+1 s 
=115 
-1 s 
=85 
-1 sd +1 sd 
+1.96 s 
=130 
+1.96 sd 
-1.96 s 
=70 
-1.96 sd 
-2.58 s 
=55 
-2.58 sd 
+2.58 s 
=145 
+2.58 sd
But since we don’t know the population standard 
deviation, we have to use the standard deviation of the 
sample (not the population as we did before) to 
determine the distance in standard error units 
(or t values).
The focus of our theoretical justification is to explain 
our rationale for using information from the sample to 
compute the standard error or standard error of the 
mean.
The focus of our theoretical justification is to explain 
our rationale for using information from the sample to 
compute the standard error or standard error of the 
mean. 
x̄ – μ 
SEmean
Here comes the theory behind standard error:
Here comes the theory behind standard error: 
Imagine we took a sample of 20 IQ scores from the 
population.
Here comes the theory behind standard error: 
Imagine we took a sample of 20 IQ scores from the 
population. This sample of 20 would have its own IQ 
mean, standard deviation and distribution.
Here comes the theory behind standard error: 
Imagine we took a sample of 20 IQ scores from the 
population. This sample of 20 would have its own IQ 
mean, standard deviation and distribution. 
x ̄= 70 
SD = 10
Here comes the theory behind standard error: 
Imagine we took a sample of 20 IQ scores from the 
population. This sample of 20 would have its own IQ 
mean, standard deviation and distribution. And then 
let’s say we took another sample of 20 with its mean 
and distribution, 
x ̄= 70
Here comes the theory behind standard error: 
Imagine we took a sample of 20 IQ scores from the 
population. This sample of 20 would have its own IQ 
mean, standard deviation and distribution. And then 
let’s say we took another sample of 20 with its mean 
and distribution, 
x ̄= 70 x ̄= 100
Here comes the theory behind standard error: 
Imagine we took a sample of 20 IQ scores from the 
population. This sample of 20 would have its own IQ 
mean, standard deviation and distribution. And then 
let’s say we took another sample of 20 with its mean 
and distribution, and another 
x ̄= 70 x ̄= 100
Here comes the theory behind standard error: 
Imagine we took a sample of 20 IQ scores from the 
population. This sample of 20 would have its own IQ 
mean, standard deviation and distribution. And then 
let’s say we took another sample of 20 with its mean 
and distribution, and another 
x ̄= 70 x ̄= 100 x ̄= 120
Here comes the theory behind standard error: 
Imagine we took a sample of 20 IQ scores from the 
population. This sample of 20 would have its own IQ 
mean, standard deviation and distribution. And then 
let’s say we took another sample of 20 with its mean 
and distribution, and another, and another 
x ̄= 70 x ̄= 100 x ̄= 120 x ̄= 140
Here comes the theory behind standard error: 
Imagine we took a sample of 20 IQ scores from the 
population. This sample of 20 would have its own IQ 
mean, standard deviation and distribution. And then 
let’s say we took another sample of 20 with its mean 
and distribution, and another, and another, and so on… 
x ̄= 70 x ̄= 100 x ̄= 120 x ̄= 140
Let’s say, theoretically, that we do this one hundred 
times.
Let’s say, theoretically, that we do this one hundred 
times. 
We now have 100 samples of 20 person IQ scores:
Let’s say, theoretically, that we do this one hundred 
times. 
We now have 100 samples of 20 person IQ scores:
Let’s say, theoretically, that we do this one hundred 
times. 
We now have 100 samples of 20 person IQ scores: We 
take the mean of each of those samples: 
x ̄= 115 x ̄= 100 
x ̄= 100 x ̄= 120 x ̄= 90 
x ̄= 110 x ̄= 102 x ̄= 120 x ̄= 90 
x ̄= 114 x ̄= 100 x ̄= 120 x ̄= 90 x ̄= 95
And we create a new distribution called the sampling 
distribution of the means 
x ̄= 115 x ̄= 100 
x ̄= 100 x ̄= 120 x ̄= 90 
x ̄= 110 x ̄= 102 x ̄= 120 x ̄= 90 
x ̄= 114 x ̄= 100 x ̄= 120 x ̄= 90 x ̄= 95
And 
x ̄= 115 x ̄= 105 
x ̄= 100 x ̄= 120 x ̄= 90 
x ̄= 110 x ̄= 100 x ̄= 100 x ̄= 90 
x ̄= 115 x ̄= 70 x ̄= 120 x ̄= 90 x ̄= 95
And 
x ̄= 115 x ̄= 105 
x ̄= 100 x ̄= 120 x ̄= 90 
x ̄= 110 x ̄= 100 x ̄= 100 x ̄= 90 
x ̄= 115 x ̄= 70 x ̄= 120 x ̄= 90 x ̄= 95 
70 75 70 85 90 95 100 105 110 115 120 125
And 
x ̄= 115 x ̄= 105 
x ̄= 100 x ̄= 120 x ̄= 90 
x ̄= 110 x ̄= 100 x ̄= 100 x ̄= 90 
x ̄= 115 x ̄= 70 x ̄= 120 x ̄= 90 x ̄= 95 
70 75 70 85 90 95 100 105 110 115 120 125
And 
x ̄= 115 x ̄= 105 
x ̄= 100 x ̄= 120 x ̄= 90 
x ̄= 110 x ̄= 100 x ̄= 100 x ̄= 90 
x ̄= 115 x ̄= 70 x ̄= 120 x ̄= 90 x ̄= 95 
70 75 70 85 90 95 100 105 110 115 120 125
And 
x ̄= 115 x ̄= 105 
x ̄= 100 x ̄= 120 x ̄= 90 
x ̄= 110 x ̄= 100 x ̄= 100 x ̄= 90 
x ̄= 115 x ̄= 70 x ̄= 120 x ̄= 90 x ̄= 95 
70 75 70 85 90 95 100 105 110 115 120 125
And 
x ̄= 115 x ̄= 105 
x ̄= 100 x ̄= 120 x ̄= 90 
x ̄= 110 x ̄= 100 x ̄= 100 x ̄= 90 
x ̄= 115 x ̄= 70 x ̄= 120 x ̄= 90 x ̄= 95 
70 75 70 85 90 95 100 105 110 115 120 125
And 
x ̄= 115 x ̄= 105 
x ̄= 100 x ̄= 120 x ̄= 90 
x ̄= 110 x ̄= 100 x ̄= 100 x ̄= 90 
x ̄= 115 x ̄= 70 x ̄= 120 x ̄= 90 x ̄= 95 
70 75 70 85 90 95 100 105 110 115 120 125
And 
x ̄= 115 x ̄= 105 
x ̄= 100 x ̄= 120 x ̄= 90 
x ̄= 110 x ̄= 100 x ̄= 100 x ̄= 90 
x ̄= 115 x ̄= 70 x ̄= 120 x ̄= 90 x ̄= 95 
70 75 70 85 90 95 100 105 110 115 120 125
And 
x ̄= 115 x ̄= 105 
x ̄= 100 x ̄= 120 x ̄= 90 
x ̄= 110 x ̄= 100 x ̄= 100 x ̄= 90 
x ̄= 115 x ̄= 70 x ̄= 120 x ̄= 90 x ̄= 95 
70 75 70 85 90 95 100 105 110 115 120 125
And 
x ̄= 115 x ̄= 105 
x ̄= 100 x ̄= 120 x ̄= 90 
x ̄= 110 x ̄= 100 x ̄= 100 x ̄= 90 
x ̄= 115 x ̄= 70 x ̄= 120 x ̄= 90 x ̄= 95 
70 75 70 85 90 95 100 105 110 115 120 125
And 
x ̄= 115 x ̄= 105 
x ̄= 100 x ̄= 120 x ̄= 90 
x ̄= 110 x ̄= 100 x ̄= 100 x ̄= 90 
x ̄= 115 x ̄= 70 x ̄= 120 x ̄= 90 x ̄= 95 
70 75 70 85 90 95 100 105 110 115 120 125
And 
x ̄= 115 x ̄= 105 
x ̄= 100 x ̄= 120 x ̄= 90 
x ̄= 110 x ̄= 100 x ̄= 100 x ̄= 90 
x ̄= 115 x ̄= 70 x ̄= 120 x ̄= 90 x ̄= 95 
70 75 70 85 90 95 100 105 110 115 120 125
And 
x ̄= 115 x ̄= 105 
x ̄= 100 x ̄= 120 x ̄= 90 
x ̄= 110 x ̄= 100 x ̄= 100 x ̄= 90 
x ̄= 115 x ̄= 70 x ̄= 120 x ̄= 90 x ̄= 95 
70 75 70 85 90 95 100 105 110 115 120 125
And 
x ̄= 115 x ̄= 105 
x ̄= 100 x ̄= 120 x ̄= 90 
x ̄= 110 x ̄= 100 x ̄= 100 x ̄= 90 
x ̄= 115 x ̄= 70 x ̄= 120 x ̄= 90 x ̄= 95 
70 75 70 85 90 95 100 105 110 115 120 125
And 
x ̄= 115 x ̄= 105 
x ̄= 100 x ̄= 120 x ̄= 90 
x ̄= 110 x ̄= 100 x ̄= 100 x ̄= 90 
x ̄= 115 x ̄= 70 x ̄= 120 x ̄= 90 x ̄= 95 
70 75 70 85 90 95 100 105 110 115 120 125
And 
x ̄= 115 x ̄= 105 
x ̄= 100 x ̄= 120 x ̄= 90 
x ̄= 110 x ̄= 100 x ̄= 100 x ̄= 90 
x ̄= 115 x ̄= 70 x ̄= 120 x ̄= 90 x ̄= 95 
70 75 70 85 90 95 100 105 110 115 120 125
And 
x ̄= 115 x ̄= 105 
x ̄= 100 x ̄= 120 x ̄= 90 
etc. … 
x ̄= 110 x ̄= 100 x ̄= 100 x ̄= 90 
x ̄= 115 x ̄= 70 x ̄= 120 x ̄= 90 x ̄= 95 
70 75 70 85 90 95 100 105 110 115 120 125
And then we do something interesting. We take the 
standard deviation of this sampling distribution.
And then we do something interesting. We take the 
standard deviation of this sampling distribution. 
If these sample means are close to one another then 
the standard deviation will be small.
And then we do something interesting. We take the 
standard deviation of this sampling distribution. 
If these sample means are close to one another then 
the standard deviation will be small. 
70 75 70 85 90 95 100 105 110 115 120 125
And then we do something interesting. We take the 
standard deviation of this sampling distribution. 
If these sample means are far apart from one another 
then the standard deviation will be large. 
70 75 70 85 90 95 100 105 110 115 120 125
This standard deviation of the sampling distribution of 
the means has another name:
This standard deviation of the sampling distribution of 
the means has another name: the standard error.
This standard deviation of the sampling distribution of 
the means has another name: the standard error. 
x̄ – μ 
SEmean 
the estimated 
standard error
Standard error is a unit of measurement that makes it 
possible to determine if a raw score difference is really 
significant or not.
Standard error is a unit of measurement that makes it 
possible to determine if a raw score difference is really 
significant or not. 
Think of it this way. If you get a 92 on a 100 point test 
and the general population gets on average a 90, is 
there really a significant difference between you and 
the population at large? If you retook the test over and 
over again would you likely outperform or 
underperform their average of 90?
Standard error is a unit of measurement that makes it 
possible to determine if a raw score difference is really 
significant or not. 
Think of it this way. If you get a 92 on a 100 point test 
and the general population gets on average a 90, is 
there really a significant difference between you and 
the population at large? If you retook the test over and 
over again would you likely outperform or 
underperform their average of 90? 
Standard error helps us understand the likelihood that 
those results would replicate the same way over and 
over again . . . or not.
So let’s say we calculate the standard error to be 0.2. 
Using the formula below we will determine how many 
standard error units you are apart from each other.
So let’s say we calculate the standard error to be 0.2. 
Using the formula below we will determine how many 
standard error units you are apart from each other. 
x̄ – μ 
SEmean 
t =
So let’s say we calculate the standard error to be 0.2. 
Using the formula below we will determine how many 
standard error units you are apart from each other. 
92 – 90 
0.2 
your score 
t = 
standard error 
population average
So let’s say we calculate the standard error to be 0.2. 
Using the formula below we will determine how many 
standard error units you are apart from each other. 
2 
0.2 
t =
So let’s say we calculate the standard error to be 0.2. 
Using the formula below we will determine how many 
standard error units you are apart from each other. 
2 
0.2 
t = 
This is the raw 
score difference
So let’s say we calculate the standard error to be 0.2. 
Using the formula below we will determine how many 
standard error units you are apart from each other. 
t = 10.0 
And this is the 
difference in 
standard error 
units
So let’s say we calculate the standard error to be 0.2. 
Using the formula below we will determine how many 
standard error units you are apart from each other. 
t = 10.0 
And this is the 
difference in standard 
error units, otherwise 
known as a t statistic 
or t value
So, while your test score is two raw scores above the 
average for the population, you are 10.0 standard error 
units higher than the population score.
So, while your test score is two raw scores above the 
average for the population, you are 10.0 standard error 
units higher than the population score. 
While 2.0 raw scores do not seem like a lot, 10.0 
standard error units constitute a big difference!
So, while your test score is two raw scores above the 
average for the population, you are 10.0 standard error 
units higher than the population score. 
While 2.0 raw scores do not seem like a lot, 10.0 
standard error units constitute a big difference! 
This means that this result is most likely to replicate 
and did not happen by chance.
But what if the standard error were much bigger, say, 
4.0?
But what if the standard error were much bigger, say, 
4.0? 
x̄ – μ 
SEmean 
t =
But what if the standard error were much bigger, say, 
4.0? 
92 – 90 
4.0 
your score 
t = 
standard error 
population average
But what if the standard error were much bigger, say, 
4.0? 
2 
4.0 
t =
But what if the standard error were much bigger, say, 
4.0? 
t = 0.5
Once again, your raw score difference is still 2.0 but you 
are only 0.5 standard error units apart. That distance is 
most likely too small to be statistically significantly 
different if replicated over a hundred times.
Once again, your raw score difference is still 2.0 but you 
are only 0.5 standard error units apart. That distance is 
most likely too small to be statistically significantly 
different if replicated over a hundred times. 
We will show you how to determine when the number 
of standard error units is significantly different or not.
One more example:
One more example: 
Let’s say the population average on the test is 80 and 
you still received a 92. But the standard error is 36.0.
One more example: 
Let’s say the population average on the test is 80 and 
you still received a 92. But the standard error is 36.0. 
Let’s do the math again.
One more example: 
Let’s say the population average on the test is 80 and 
you still received a 92. But the standard error is 36.0. 
Let’s do the math again. 
x̄ – μ 
SEmean 
t =
One more example: 
Let’s say the population average on the test is 80 and 
you still received a 92. But the standard error is 36.0. 
Let’s do the math again. 
92 – 80 
36.0 
your score 
t = 
standard error 
population average
One more example: 
Let’s say the population average on the test is 70 and 
you still received a 92. But the standard error is 36.0. 
Let’s do the math again. 
12 
36.0 
t =
One more example: 
Let’s say the population average on the test is 70 and 
you still received a 92. But the standard error is 36.0. 
Let’s do the math again. 
t = 0.3
In this case, while your raw score is 12 points higher (a 
large amount), you are only 0.3 standard error units 
higher.
In this case, while your raw score is 12 points higher (a 
large amount), you are only 0.3 standard error units 
higher. The standard error is so large (36.0) that if you 
were to take the test 1000 times with no growth in 
between it is most likely that your scores would vary 
greatly (92 on one day, 77 on another day, 87 on 
another day and so on and so forth.)
In summary, the single sample test t value is the 
number of standard error units that separate the 
sample mean from the population mean:
In summary, the single sample test t value is the 
number of standard error units that separate the 
sample mean from the population mean: 
x̄ – μ 
SEmean 
t = 
Let’s see this play out with our original example.
Let’s say our of 20 has an average IQ score of 70.
Let’s say our of 20 has an average IQ score of 70. 
x̄ – μ 
SEmean 
t =
Let’s say our of 20 has an average IQ score of 70. 
70 – μ 
SEmean 
t =
We already know that the population mean is 100. 
70 – μ 
SEmean 
t =
We already know that the population mean is 100. 
70 – 100 
SEmean 
t =
Let’s say the Standard Error of the Sampling 
Distribution means is 5 
70 – 100 
SEmean 
t =
Let’s say the Standard Error of the Sampling 
Distribution means is 5 
70 – 100 
5 
t =
The t value would be: 
70 – 100 
5 
t =
The t value would be: 
-30 
5 
t =
The t value would be: 
t = -6
So all of this begs the question: How do I know if a t 
value of -6 is rare or common?
So all of this begs the question: How do I know if a t 
value of -6 is rare or common? 
• If it is rare we can accept the null hypothesis and say 
that there is a difference between the sample and 
the population.
So all of this begs the question: How do I know if a t 
value of -6 is rare or common? 
• If it is rare we can accept the null hypothesis and say 
that there is a difference between the sample and 
the population. 
• If it is common we can reject the null hypothesis and 
say there is not a significant difference between 
veggie eating IQ scores and the general population 
IQ scores (which in this unique case is what we want)
So all of this begs the question: How do I know if a t 
value of 5 is rare or common? 
• If it is rare we can accept the null hypothesis and say 
that there is a difference between the sample and 
the population. 
• If it is common we can reject the null hypothesis and 
say there is not a significant difference between 
veggie eating IQ scores and the general population 
IQ scores (which in this unique case is what we want) 
Here is what we do: We compare this value (6) with the 
critical t value.
What is the critical t value?
What is the critical t value? 
The critical t value is a point in the distribution that 
arbitrarily separates the common from the rare 
occurrences.
What is the critical t value? 
The critical t value is a point in the distribution that 
arbitrarily separates the common from the rare 
occurrences.
What is the critical t value? 
The critical t value is a point in the distribution that 
arbitrarily separates the common from the rare 
occurrences. 
rare 
occurrence
What is the critical t value? 
The critical t value is a point in the distribution that 
arbitrarily separates the common from the rare 
occurrences. 
rare 
occurrence 
rare 
occurrence
What is the critical t value? 
The critical t value is a point in the distribution that 
arbitrarily separates the common from the rare 
occurrences. 
rare 
occurrence 
common 
occurrence 
rare 
occurrence
What is the critical t value? 
The critical t value is a point in the distribution that 
arbitrarily separates the common from the rare 
occurrences. 
rare 
occurrence 
common 
occurrence 
rare 
occurrence 
This represents the rare/common possibilities used to 
determine if the sample mean is similar the population 
mean).
If this were a normal distribution the red line would 
have a z critical value of + or – 1.96 
rare 
occurrence 
common 
occurrence 
rare 
occurrence
If this were a normal distribution the red line would 
have a z critical value of + or – 1.96 
rare 
occurrence 
common 
occurrence 
rare 
occurrence
If this were a normal distribution the red line would 
have a z critical value of + or – 1.96 
rare 
occurrence 
common 
occurrence 
rare 
occurrence
If this were a normal distribution the red line would 
have a z critical value of + or – 1.96 (which is essentially 
a t critical value but for a normal distribution.) 
rare 
occurrence 
common 
occurrence 
rare 
occurrence
A t or z value of + or – 1.96 means that 95% of the 
scores are in the center of the distribution and 5% are 
to the left and right of it.
A t or z value of + or – 1.96 means that 95% of the 
scores are in the center of the distribution and 5% are 
to the left and right of it. 
common 
occurrence 
rare 
occurrence 
rare 
occurrence
A t or z value of + or – 1.96 means that 95% of the 
scores are in the center of the distribution and 5% are 
to the left and right of it. 
rare 
occurrence 
common 
occurrence 
rare 
occurrence 
-1.96 +1.96
A t or z value of + or – 1.96 means that 95% of the 
scores are in the center of the distribution and 5% are 
to the left and right of it. 
rare 
occurrence 
common 
occurrence 
rare 
occurrence 
-1.96 +1.96
A t or z value of + or – 1.96 means that 95% of the 
scores are in the center of the distribution and 5% are 
to the left and right of it. 
rare 
occurrence 
common 
occurrence 
rare 
occurrence 
-1.96 +1.96
A t or z value of + or – 1.96 means that 95% of the 
scores are in the center of the distribution and 5% are 
to the left and right of it. 
rare 
occurrence 
common 
occurrence 
rare 
occurrence 
-1.96 +1.96
A t or z value of + or – 1.96 means that 95% of the 
scores are in the center of the distribution and 5% are 
to the left and right of it. 
rare 
occurrence 
common 
occurrence 
rare 
occurrence 
-1.96 +1.96
So if the t value computed from this equation:
So if the t value computed from this equation: 
x̄ – μ 
SEmean 
t =
So if the t value computed from this equation: 
x̄ – μ 
SEmean 
t = 
… is between -1.96 and +1.96 we would say that that 
result is not rare and we would fail to reject the null 
hypothesis.
So if the t value computed from this equation: 
x̄ – μ 
SEmean 
t = 
… is between -1.96 and +1.96 we would say that that 
result is not rare and we would fail to reject the null 
hypothesis. 
rare 
occurrence 
common 
occurrence 
rare 
occurrence 
-1.96 +1.96
However, if the t value is smaller than -1.96 or larger 
than +1.96 we would say that that result is rare and we 
would reject the null hypothesis.
However, if the t value is smaller than -1.96 or larger 
than +1.96 we would say that that result is rare and we 
would reject the null hypothesis. 
rare 
occurrence 
common 
occurrence 
rare 
occurrence 
-1.96 +1.96
So if the t value computed from this equation:
So if the t value computed from this equation: 
x̄ – μ 
SEmean 
t =
So if the t value computed from this equation: 
x̄ – μ 
SEmean 
t = 
… is between -1.96 and +1.96 we would say that that 
result is not rare and we would fail to reject the null 
hypothesis.
As a review, let’s say the distribution is normal. When 
the distribution is normal and we want to locate the z 
critical for a two tailed test at a level of significance of 
.05 (which means that if we took 100 samples we are 
willing to be wrong 5 times and still reject the null 
hypothesis), the z critical would be -+1.96.
As a review, let’s say the distribution is normal. When 
the distribution is normal and we want to locate the z 
critical for a two tailed test at a level of significance of 
.05 (which means that if we took 100 samples we are 
willing to be wrong 5 times and still reject the null 
hypothesis), the z critical would be -+1.96. 
- 1.96 + 1.96
Because we generally do not have the resources to take 
100 IQ samples of those who eat veggies, we have to 
estimate the t value from one sample.
Because we generally do not have the resources to take 
100 IQ samples of those who eat veggies, we have to 
estimate the t value from one sample. 
x ̄= 115 x ̄= 105 
x ̄= 100 x ̄= 120 x ̄= 90 
x ̄= 110 x ̄= 100 x ̄= 100 x ̄= 90 
x ̄= 115 x ̄= 70 x ̄= 120 x ̄= 90 x ̄= 95
Because we generally do not have the resources to take 
100 IQ samples of those who eat veggies, we have to 
estimate the t value from one sample. 
x ̄= 115 x ̄= 105 
x ̄= 100 x ̄= 120 x ̄= 90 
x ̄= 110 
x ̄= 110 x ̄= 100 x ̄= 100 x ̄= 90 
x ̄= 115 x ̄= 70 x ̄= 120 x ̄= 90 x ̄= 95
Because we generally do not have the resources to take 
100 IQ samples of those who eat veggies, we have to 
estimate the t value from one sample. 
x ̄= 110
Because we generally do not have the resources to take 
100 IQ samples of those who eat veggies, we have to 
estimate the t value from one sample. 
So let’s imagine we selected a sample 
of 20 veggie eaters with an average IQ 
score of 70. 
x ̄= 70
Because we generally do not have the resources to take 
100 IQ samples of those who eat veggies, we have to 
estimate the t value from one sample. 
So let’s imagine we selected a sample 
x ̄= 70 
of 20 veggie eaters with an average IQ 
score of 70. 
Because we did not take hundreds of samples of 20 
veggie eaters each, average each sample’s IQ scores, 
and form a sampling distribution from which we could 
compute the standard error and then the t value, we 
have to figure out another way to compute an estimate 
of the standard error.
Because we generally do not have the resources to take 
100 IQ samples of those who eat veggies, we have to 
estimate the t value from one sample. 
So let’s imagine we selected a sample 
x ̄= 70 
of 20 veggie eaters with an average IQ 
score of 70. 
Because we did not take hundreds of samples of 20 
veggie eaters each, average each sample’s IQ scores, 
and form a sampling distribution from which we could 
compute the standard error and then the t value, we 
have to figure out another way to compute an estimate 
of the standard error. There is another way.
Since it is not practical to collect a hundreds of samples 
of 20 from the population, compute their mean score 
and calculate the standard error, we must estimate it 
using the following equation: 
S 
n 
SEmean =
Since it is not practical to collect a hundreds of samples 
of 20 from the population, compute their mean score 
and calculate the standard error, we must estimate it 
using the following equation: 
S 
n 
SEmean = 
Standard Deviation 
of the sample
We estimate the standard error using the following 
equation: 
S 
n 
SEmean = 
Standard Deviation 
of the sample
We estimate the standard error using the following 
equation: 
SEmean = 
Standard Deviation 
of the sample 
Square root of the 
sample size 
S 
n 
We won’t go into the derivation of 
this formula, but just know that this acts as a good 
substitute in the place of taking hundreds of samples 
and computing the standard deviation to get the actual 
standard error.
So remember this point: The equation below is an 
estimate of the standard error, not the actual standard 
error, because the actual standard error is not feasible 
to compute.
So remember this point: The equation below is an 
estimate of the standard error, not the actual standard 
error, because the actual standard error is not feasible 
to compute. 
S 
n 
SEmean =
So remember this point: The equation below is an 
estimate of the standard error, not the actual standard 
error, because the actual standard error is not feasible 
to compute. 
S 
n 
SEmean = 
However, just know that when researchers have taken 
hundreds of samples and computed their means and 
then taken the standard deviation of all of those means 
they come out pretty close to one another.
Now comes another critical point dealing with t-distributions.
Now comes another critical point dealing with t-distributions. 
Because we are working with a sample 
that is generally small, we do not use the same normal 
distribution to determine the critical z or t (-+1.96).
Now comes another critical point dealing with t-distributions. 
Because we are working with a sample 
that is generally small, we do not use the same normal 
distribution to determine the critical z or t (-+1.96). 
Here is what the z distribution looks like for samples 
generally larger than 30:
Now comes another critical point dealing with t-distributions. 
Because we are working with a sample 
that is generally small, we do not use the same normal 
distribution to determine the critical z or t (-+1.96). 
Here is what the z distribution looks like for samples 
generally larger than 30: 
95% of the scores 
- 1.96 + 1.96 
Sample Size 30+
As the sample size decreases the critical values increase 
- making it harder to get significance.
As the sample size decreases the critical values increase 
- making it harder to get significance. 
Notice how the t distribution gets shorter and wider 
when the sample size is smaller. Notice also how the t 
critical values increase as well. 
95% of the scores 
Sample Size 20 
- 2.09 + 2.09
As the sample size decreases the critical values increase 
- making it harder to get significance. 
Notice how the t distribution gets shorter and wider 
when the sample size is smaller. Notice also how the t 
critical values increase as well. 
95% of the scores 
Sample Size 10 
- 2.26 + 2.26
As the sample size decreases the critical values increase 
- making it harder to get significance. 
Notice how the t distribution gets shorter and wider 
when the sample size is smaller. Notice also how the t 
critical values increase as well. 
95% of the scores 
Sample Size 5 
- 2.78 + 2.78
To determine the critical t we need two values:
To determine the critical t we need two values: 
• the degrees of freedom (sample size minus one [20-1 = 19])
To determine the critical t we need two values: 
• the degrees of freedom (sample size minus one [20-1 = 19]) 
• the significance level (.05 or .025 for two tailed test)
To determine the critical t we need two values: 
• the degrees of freedom (sample size minus one [20-1 = 19]) 
• the significance level (.05 or .025 for two tailed test) 
Using these two 
values we can 
locate the 
critical t
So, our t critical value that separates the common from 
the rare occurrences in this case is + or – 2.09
So, our t critical value that separates the common from 
the rare occurrences in this case is + or – 2.09 
95% of the scores 
Sample Size 20 
- 2.09 + 2.09
What was our calculated t value again?
What was our calculated t value again? 
x̄ – μ 
SEmean 
t =
What was our calculated t value again? 
70 – μ 
SEmean 
t =
We already know that the population mean is 100. 
70 – μ 
SEmean 
t =
We already know that the population mean is 100. 
70 – 100 
SEmean 
t =
We already know that the population mean is 100. 
70 – 100 
SEmean 
t = 
To calculate the estimated standard error of the mean 
distribution we use the following equation:
We already know that the population mean is 100. 
70 – 100 
SEmean 
t = 
To calculate the estimated standard error of the mean 
distribution we use the following equation: 
S 
n 
SEmean =
We already know that the population mean is 100. 
70 – 100 
SEmean 
t = 
The Standard Deviation for this sample is 26.82 and the 
sample size, of course, is 20 
S 
n 
SEmean =
We already know that the population mean is 100. 
70 – 100 
SEmean 
t = 
Let’s plug in those values: 
S 
n 
SEmean =
We already know that the population mean is 100. 
70 – 100 
SEmean 
t = 
Let’s plug in those values: 
26.82 
20 
SEmean =
We already know that the population mean is 100. 
70 – 100 
SEmean 
26.82 
4.47 
t = 
Let’s plug in those values: 
SEmean =
We already know that the population mean is 100. 
70 – 100 
SEmean 
6.0 
t = 
Let’s plug in those values: 
SEmean =
We already know that the population mean is 100. 
70 – 100 
6.0 
6.0 
t = 
Let’s plug in those values: 
SEmean =
We already know that the population mean is 100. 
70 – 100 
6.0 
t =
Now do the math: 
70 – 100 
6.0 
t =
The t value would be: 
70 – 100 
6.0 
t =
The t value would be: 
-30 
6.0 
t =
The t value would be: 
t = -5
With a t value of -5 we are ready to compare it to the 
critical t:
With a t value of -5 we are ready to compare it to the 
critical t:
With a t value of -5 we are ready to compare it to the 
critical t: 2.093
With a t value of -5 we are ready to compare it to the 
critical t: 2.093 or 2.093 below the mean or -2.093.
Since a t value of +5.0 is below the cutoff point 
(critical t) of -2.09, we would reject the null hypothesis
Since a t value of +5.0 is below the cutoff point 
(critical t) of -2.09, we would reject the null hypothesis 
95% of the scores 
- 2.09 + 2.09
Here is how we would state our results:
Here is how we would state our results: 
The randomly selected sample of twenty IQ scores with 
a sample mean of 70 is statistically significantly 
different then the population of IQ scores.
Now, what if the standard error had been much larger, 
say, 15.0 instead of 6.0?
Now, what if the standard error had been much larger, 
say, 15.0 instead of 6.0? 
70 – 100 
6.0 
t =
Now, what if the standard error had been much larger, 
say, 15.0 instead of 6.0? 
70 – 100 
6.0 
t = 
70 – 100 
15.0 
t =
Now, what if the standard error had been much larger, 
say, 15.0 instead of 6.0? 
70 – 100 
6.0 
t = 
30 
15.0 
t =
Now, what if the standard error had been much larger, 
say, 10.0 instead of 2.0? 
70 – 100 
t = t = 2.0 
6.0
A t value of -2.0 is not below the cutoff point (critical t) 
of -2.09 and would be considered a common rather 
than a rare outcome. We therefore would fail to reject 
the null hypothesis
A t value of -2.0 is not below the cutoff point (critical t) 
of -2.09 and would be considered a common rather 
than a rare outcome. We therefore would fail to reject 
the null hypothesis 
95% of the scores 
- 2.09 - 2.0 + 2.09
So in summary, the single sample t-test helps us 
determine the probability that the difference between 
a sample and a population did or did not occur by 
chance.
So in summary, the single sample t-test helps us 
determine the probability that the difference between 
a sample and a population did or did not occur by 
chance. 
It utilizes the concepts of standard error, common and 
rare occurrences, and t-distributions to justify its use.
End of Presentation

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What is a single sample t test?

  • 2. Welcome to a presentation explaining the concepts behind the use of a single sample t-test
  • 3. Welcome to a presentation explaining the concepts behind the use of a single sample t-test in determining the probability that a sample and a population are similar to or different from one another statistically.
  • 4. We will follow an example where researchers attempt to determine if the sample they have collected is statistically significantly similar or different from a population.
  • 5. Their hope is that the sample and population are statistically similar to one another, so they can claim that results of experiments done to the sample are generalizable to the population.
  • 6. Let’s imagine that this is the population distribution for IQ scores in the country:
  • 7. Let’s imagine that this is the population distribution for IQ scores in the country:
  • 8. It has a population mean of 100
  • 10. m = 100 This Greek symbol represents the mean of a population
  • 11. We decide to select a random sample to do experiments on. m = 100
  • 12. So, we randomly select 20 persons m = 100
  • 13. Let’s say that sample of 20 has an IQ score mean of 70 m = 100
  • 14. Let’s say that sample of 20 has an IQ score 풙 = 70 m = 100 mean of 70
  • 15. 풙 = 70 m = 100 Note, this x with a bar over it is the symbol for a sample mean.
  • 16. 풙 = 70 m = 100 Again this Greek symbol m is the symbol for a population mean.
  • 17. Along with a mean of 70 this sample has a distribution that looks 풙 = 70 m = 100 like this
  • 18. Along with a mean of 70 this sample has a distribution that looks 풙 = 70 m = 100 like this
  • 19. 풙 = 70 m = 100 So, here’s the question:
  • 20. 풙 = 70 m = 100 Is this randomly selected sample of 20 IQ scores representative of the population?
  • 21. The Single Sample t-test is a tool used to determine the probability that it is or is not. 풙 = 70 m = 100
  • 22. So, how do we determine if the sample is a good representative of the population?
  • 23. Let’s look at the population distribution of IQ scores first:
  • 24. Let’s look at the population distribution of IQ scores first:
  • 25. One thing we notice right off is that it has a normal distribution
  • 26. Normal Distributions have some important properties or attributes that make it possible to consider rare or common occurrences
  • 27. Also, Normal Distributions have some constant percentages that are true across all normal distributions
  • 28. Attribute #1: 50% of all of the scores are above the mean and the other 50% of the scores are below the mean
  • 29. Attribute #1: 50% of all of the scores are above the mean and the other 50% of the scores are below the mean The Mean
  • 30. Attribute #1: 50% of all of the scores are above the mean and the other 50% of the scores are below the mean The Mean 50% of all scores
  • 31. Attribute #1: 50% of all of the scores are above the mean and the other 50% of the scores are below the mean 50% of all scores The Mean
  • 32. The Mean Attribute #2: 68% of all of the scores are between +1 standard deviation and -1 standard deviation
  • 33. The Mean Attribute #2: 68% of all of the scores are between +1 standard deviation and -1 standard deviation from the mean
  • 34. The Mean Attribute #2: 68% of all of the scores are between +1 standard deviation and -1 standard deviation from the mean +1 sd
  • 35. The Mean Attribute #2: 68% of all of the scores are between +1 standard deviation and -1 standard deviation from the mean -1 sd +1 sd
  • 36. 68% of all scores The Mean Attribute #2: 68% of all of the scores are between +1 standard deviation and -1 standard deviation from the mean -1 sd +1 sd
  • 37. 68% of all scores The Mean So what this means is – if you were randomly selecting samples from this population you have a 68% chance or .68 probability of pulling that sample from this part of the distribution. -1 sd +1 sd
  • 38. 68% of all scores The Mean -1 sd +1 sd Let’s put some numbers to this idea.
  • 39. 68% of all scores The Mean -1 sd +1 sd The mean of IQ scores across the population is 100
  • 40. -1 sd +1 sd m = 100 With a population standard deviation (s) of 15: +1 standard deviation would at an IQ score of 115 and -1 standard deviation would be at 85 68% of all scores
  • 41. m = 100 +1 sd -1s=85 -1 sd 68% of all scores With a population standard deviation (s) of 15: +1 standard deviation would at an IQ score of 115 and -1 standard deviation would be at 85
  • 42. 68% of all scores -1s=85 m = 100 +1s=115 -1 sd +1 sd With a population standard deviation (s) of 15: +1 standard deviation would at an IQ score of 115 and -1 standard deviation would be at 85
  • 43. 68% of all scores So, there is a 68% m = 100 -1 sd +1 sd chance or .68 probability that a sample was collected between IQ scores of 85 and 115 -1s=85 +1s=115
  • 44. 68% of all scores m = 100 -1 sd +1 sd Attribute 2: 2 standard deviation units above and below the mean constitute 95% of all scores. -1s=85 +1s=115
  • 45. 68% of all scores m = 100 -1 sd +1 sd Attribute 2: 2 standard deviation units above and below the mean constitute 95% of all scores. -1s=85 +1s=115 +2 sd +2 sd
  • 46. 68% of all scores m = 100 -1 sd +1 sd 2 standard deviation units above the mean would be an IQ score of 130 or 100 + 2*15(sd)) -1s=85 +1s=115 +2 sd +2 sd
  • 47. 68% of all scores m = 100 -1 sd +1 sd 2 standard deviation units above the mean would be an IQ score of 130 or 100 + 2*15(sd)) -1s=85 +1s=115 +1s=130 +2 sd -2 sd
  • 48. 68% of all scores m = 100 -1 sd +1 sd 2 standard deviation units below the mean would be an IQ score of 70 or 100 - 2*15(sd)) -1s=85 +1s=115 +1s=115 +2 sd -2 sd
  • 49. 68% of all scores -2s=70 m = 100 +1s=115 -1 sd +1 sd 2 standard deviation units below the mean would be an IQ score of 70 or 100 - 2*15(sd)) -1s=85 +1s=115 +2 sd -2 sd
  • 50. 68% of all scores -2s=70 m = 100 +1s=115 -1 sd +1 sd Now, it just so happens in nature that 95% of all scores are between +2 and -2 standard deviations in a normal distribution. -1s=85 +1s=115 +2 sd -2 sd
  • 51. 95% of all scores -2s=70 -1s=85 m = 100 +1s=115 +1s=130 -1 sd +1 sd +2 sd -2 sd Now, it just so happens in nature that 95% of all scores are between +2 and -2 standard deviations in a normal distribution.
  • 52. 95% of all scores -2s=70 m = 100 +1s=130 -1 sd +1 sd This means that there is a .95 chance that a sample we select would come from between these two points. -1s=85 +1s=115 +2 sd -2 sd
  • 53. Attribute #3: 99% of all scores are between 95% of all scores -2s=70 -1s=85 m = 100 +1s=115 +1s=130 -1 sd +1 sd +2 sd -2 sd +3 and -3 standard deviations.
  • 54. 99% of all scores -2s=70 -1s=85 m = 100 +1s=115 +1s=130 -1 sd +1 sd +2 sd -2 sd -3s=55 -3 sd +3s=55 +3 sd Attribute #3: 99% of all scores are between +3 and -3 standard deviations.
  • 55. 99% of all scores -2s=70 -1s=85 m = 100 +1s=115 +1s=130 -1 sd +1 sd +2 sd -2 sd -3s=55 -3 sd -3s=55 +3 sd These standard deviations are only approximates.
  • 56. 99% of all scores -2s=70 -1s=85 m = 100 +1s=115 +1s=130 -3s=55 -3s=55 -3 sd +3 sd -1 sd +1 sd +2 sd -2 sd Here are the actual values
  • 57. 99% of all scores -2s=70 -1s=85 m = 100 +1s=115 +1s=130 -1 sd +1 sd +2 sd -2 sd -2.58 s =55 -2.58 sd -3s=55 +3 sd Here are the actual values
  • 58. 99% of all scores -1.96 s -1s=85 m = 100 +1s=115 +1s=130 =70 -1 sd +1 sd +2 sd -2.58 sd -1.96 sd -3s=55 +3 sd Here are the actual values -2.58 s =55
  • 59. 99% of all scores m = 100 -1 sd +1 sd +1s=130 +2 sd -1.96 s =70 -2.58 sd -1.96 sd -3s=55 +3 sd Here are the actual values -2.58 s =55 +1s=115 -1 s =85
  • 60. 99% of all scores m = 100 -1 sd +1 sd +1s=130 +2 sd -1.96 s =70 -2.58 sd -1.96 sd -3s=55 +3 sd Here are the actual values -2.58 s =55 +1 s =115 -1 s =85
  • 61. 99% of all scores m = 100 -1 sd +1 sd +1.96 s =130 -1.96 s =70 -2.58 sd -1.96 sd -3s=55 +3 sd +1.96 sd Here are the actual values -2.58 s =55 +1 s =115 -1 s =85
  • 62. 99% of all scores m = 100 +1 s =115 -1 s =85 -1 sd +1 sd +1.96 s =130 -1.96 s =70 -2.58 sd -1.96 sd +2.58 s =145 +2.58 sd +1.96 sd Here are the actual values -2.58 s =55
  • 63. 99% of all scores m = 100 -2.58 sd -1.96 sd -1 sd +1 sd +1.96 sd +2.58 sd Based on the percentages of a normal distribution, we can insert the percentage of scores below each standard deviation point. +1 s =115 -1 s =85 +1.96 s =130 +2.58 s =145 -1.96 s =70 -2.58 s =55
  • 64. 99% of all scores -2.58 sd -1.96 sd -1 sd +1 sd +1.96 sd +2.58 sd Attribute #4: percentages can be calculated below or above each standard deviation point in the distribution. m = 100 +1 s =115 -1 s =85 +1.96 s =130 +2.58 s =145 -1.96 s =70 -2.58 s =55
  • 65. 99% of all scores m = 100 +1 s =115 -1 s =85 +1.96 s =130 +2.58 s =145 -1.96 s =70 -2.58 s =55 -2.58 sd -1.96 sd -1 sd +1 sd +1.96 sd +2.58 sd
  • 66. 99% of all scores 95% of all scores m = 100 +1 s =115 -1 s =85 +1.96 s =130 +2.58 s =145 -1.96 s =70 -2.58 s =55 -2.58 sd -1.96 sd -1 sd +1 sd +1.96 sd +2.58 sd
  • 67. 99% of all scores 95% of all scores 68% of all scores m = 100 +1 s =115 -1 s =85 +1.96 s =130 +2.58 s =145 -1.96 s =70 -2.58 s =55 -2.58 sd -1.96 sd -1 sd +1 sd +1.96 sd +2.58 sd
  • 68. 99% of all scores 95% of all scores 68% of all scores m = 100 +1 s =115 -1 s =85 +1.96 s =130 -2.58 sd -1.96 sd -1 sd +1 sd +1.96 sd +2.58 sd With this information we can determine the probability that scores will fall into a number portions of the distribution. +2.58 s =145 -1.96 s =70 -2.58 s =55
  • 70. There is a 0.5% chance that if you randomly selected a person that their IQ score would be below a 55 or a -2.58 SD 0.5% m = 100 +1 s =115 -1 s =85 +1.96 s =130 +2.58 s =145 -1.96 s =70 -2.58 s =55 -2.58 sd -1.96 sd -1 sd +1 sd +1.96 sd +2.58 sd
  • 71. There is a 2.5% chance that if you randomly selected a person that their IQ score would be below a 70 or a -1.96 SD 2.5% m = 100 +1 s =115 -1 s =85 +1.96 s =130 +2.58 s =145 -1.96 s =70 -2.58 s =55 -2.58 sd -1.96 sd -1 sd +1 sd +1.96 sd +2.58 sd
  • 72. There is a 16.5% chance that if you randomly selected a person that their IQ score would be below a 85 or a -1 SD 16.5% m = 100 +1 s =115 -1 s =85 +1.96 s =130 +2.58 s =145 -1.96 s =70 -2.58 s =55 -2.58 sd -1.96 sd -1 sd +1 sd +1.96 sd +2.58 sd
  • 73. 50% There is a 50% chance that if you randomly selected a person that their IQ score would be below a 100 or a 0 SD m = 100 +1 s =115 -1 s =85 +1.96 s =130 +2.58 s =145 -1.96 s =70 -2.58 s =55 -2.58 sd -1.96 sd -1 sd +1 sd +1.96 sd +2.58 sd
  • 74. There is a 50% chance that if you randomly selected a person that their IQ score would be above a 100 or a 0 SD 50% m = 100 +1 s =115 -1 s =85 +1.96 s =130 +2.58 s =145 -1.96 s =70 -2.58 s =55 -2.58 sd -1.96 sd -1 sd +1 sd +1.96 sd +2.58 sd
  • 75. There is a 16.5% chance that if you randomly selected a person that their IQ score would be above a 115 or a +1 SD 16.5% m = 100 +1 s =115 -1 s =85 +1.96 s =130 +2.58 s =145 -1.96 s =70 -2.58 s =55 -2.58 sd -1.96 sd -1 sd +1 sd +1.96 sd +2.58 sd
  • 76. m = 100 +1 s =115 -1 s =85 -1 sd +1 sd There is a 2.5% chance that if you randomly selected a person that their IQ score would be above a 130 or a +2.58 SD +1.96 s =130 +1.96 sd -1.96 s =70 -1.96 sd -2.58 s =55 -2.58 sd 2.5% +2.58 s =145 +2.58 sd
  • 77. m = 100 +1 s =115 -1 s =85 -1 sd +1 sd +1.96 s =130 +1.96 sd -1.96 s =70 -1.96 sd -2.58 s =55 -2.58 sd There is a 0.5% chance that if you randomly selected a person that their IQ score would be above a 145 or a +2.58 SD .5% +2.58 s =145 +2.58 sd
  • 78. What you have just seen illustrated is the concept of probability density or the probability that a score or observation would be selected above, m = 100 +1 s =115 -1 s =85 -1 sd +1 sd +1.96 s =130 +1.96 sd -1.96 s =70 -1.96 sd -2.58 s =55 -2.58 sd +2.58 s =145 +2.58 sd below or between two points on a distribution.
  • 79. Back to our example again.
  • 80. m = 100 +1 s =115 -1 s =85 -1 sd +1 sd +1.96 s =130 +1.96 sd -1.96 s =70 -1.96 sd -2.58 s =55 -2.58 sd +2.58 s =145 +2.58 sd
  • 81. m = 100 +1 s =115 -1 s =85 -1 sd +1 sd +1.96 s =130 +1.96 sd -1.96 s =70 -1.96 sd -2.58 s =55 -2.58 sd +2.58 s =145 +2.58 sd Here is the sample we randomly selected 풙 = 70
  • 82. m = 100 +1 s =115 -1 s =85 -1 sd +1 sd +1.96 s =130 +1.96 sd -1.96 s =70 -1.96 sd -2.58 s =55 -2.58 sd +2.58 s =145 +2.58 sd The sample mean is 30 units away from the population mean (100 – 70 = 30). 풙 = 70
  • 83. m = 100 +1 s =115 -1 s =85 -1 sd +1 sd +1.96 s =130 +1.96 sd -1.96 s =70 -1.96 sd -2.58 s =55 -2.58 sd +2.58 s =145 +2.58 sd The sample mean is 30 units away from the population mean (100 – 70 = 30). 풙 = 70 30
  • 84. m = 100 +1 s =115 -1 s =85 -1 sd +1 sd +1.96 s =130 +1.96 sd -1.96 s =70 -1.96 sd -2.58 s =55 -2.58 sd +2.58 s =145 +2.58 sd Is that far away enough to be called statistically significantly different than the population? 풙 = 70
  • 85. m = 100 +1 s =115 -1 s =85 -1 sd +1 sd +1.96 s =130 +1.96 sd -1.96 s =70 -1.96 sd -2.58 s =55 -2.58 sd +2.58 s =145 +2.58 sd How far is too far away? 풙 = 70
  • 86. m = 100 +1 s =115 -1 s =85 -1 sd +1 sd +1.96 s =130 +1.96 sd -1.96 s =70 -1.96 sd -2.58 s =55 -2.58 sd +2.58 s =145 +2.58 sd Fortunately, statisticians have come up with a couple of distances that are considered too far away to be a part of the population. 풙 = 70
  • 87. m = 100 +1 s =115 -1 s =85 -1 sd +1 sd +1.96 s =130 +1.96 sd -1.96 s =70 -1.96 sd -2.58 s =55 -2.58 sd +2.58 s =145 +2.58 sd These distances are measured in z-scores 풙 = 70
  • 88. m = 100 +1 s =115 -1 s =85 -1 sd +1 sd +1.96 s =130 +1.96 sd -1.96 s =70 -1.96 sd -2.58 s =55 -2.58 sd +2.58 s =145 +2.58 sd 풙 = 70 Which are what these are: z scores
  • 89. Let’s say statisticians determined that if the sample mean you collected is below a -1.96 z-score or above a +1.96 z-score that that’s just too far away from the mean to be a part of the population. m = 100 +1 s =115 -1 s =85 -1 sd +1 sd +1.96 s =130 +1.96 sd -1.96 s =70 -1.96 sd -2.58 s =55 -2.58 sd +2.58 s =145 +2.58 sd 풙 = 70
  • 90. We know from previous slides that only 2.5% of the scores are below a -1.96 m = 100 +1 s =115 -1 s =85 -1 sd +1 sd +1.96 s =130 +1.96 sd -1.96 s =70 -1.96 sd -2.58 s =55 -2.58 sd +2.58 s =145 +2.58 sd 풙 = 70
  • 91. We know from previous slides that only 2.5% of the scores are below a -1.96 m = 100 +1 s =115 -1 s =85 -1 sd +1 sd +1.96 s =130 +1.96 sd -1.96 s =70 -1.96 sd -2.58 s =55 -2.58 sd +2.58 s =145 +2.58 sd 풙 = 70 2.5%
  • 92. Since anything at this point or below is considered to be too rare to be a part of this population, we would conclude that the population and the sample are statistically significantly different from one another. m = 100 +1 s =115 -1 s =85 -1 sd +1 sd +1.96 s =130 +1.96 sd -1.96 s =70 -1.96 sd -2.58 s =55 -2.58 sd +2.58 s =145 +2.58 sd 풙 = 70 2.5%
  • 93. m = 100 +1 s =115 -1 s =85 -1 sd +1 sd +1.96 s =130 +1.96 sd -1.96 s =70 -1.96 sd -2.58 s =55 -2.58 sd +2.58 s =145 +2.58 sd 풙 = 70 And that’s our answer! 2.5%
  • 94. What if the sample mean had been 105?
  • 95. Since our decision rule is to determine that the sample mean is statistically significantly different than the population mean if the sample mean lies outside of the top or bottom 2.5% of all scores,
  • 96. Since our decision rule is to determine that the sample mean is statistically significantly different than the population mean if the sample mean lies outside of the top or bottom 2.5% of all scores, m = 100 +1 s =115 -1 s =85 -1 sd +1 sd +1.96 s =130 +1.96 sd -1.96 s =70 -1.96 sd -2.58 s =55 -2.58 sd +2.58 s =145 +2.58 sd 2.5% 2.5%
  • 97. Since our decision rule is to determine that the sample mean is statistically significantly different than the population mean if the sample mean lies outside of the top or bottom 2.5% of all scores, m = 100 +1 s =115 -1 s =85 -1 sd +1 sd +1.96 s =130 +1.96 sd -1.96 s =70 -1.96 sd -2.58 s =55 -2.58 sd +2.58 s =145 +2.58 sd 풙 = 105 2.5% 2.5%
  • 98. . . . and the sample mean (105) does not lie in these outer regions, m = 100 +1 s =115 -1 s =85 -1 sd +1 sd +1.96 s =130 +1.96 sd -1.96 s =70 -1.96 sd -2.58 s =55 -2.58 sd +2.58 s =145 +2.58 sd 풙 = 105 2.5% 2.5%
  • 99. Therefore, we would say that this is not a rare event and the probability that the sample is significantly similar to the population is high. m = 100 +1 s =115 -1 s =85 -1 sd +1 sd +1.96 s =130 +1.96 sd -1.96 s =70 -1.96 sd -2.58 s =55 -2.58 sd +2.58 s =145 +2.58 sd 풙 = 105 2.5% 2.5%
  • 100. By the way, how do we figure out the z-score for an IQ score of 105.
  • 101. We use the following formula to compute z-scores across the normal distribution:
  • 102. We use the following formula to compute z-scores across the normal distribution: 풙 - m SD
  • 103. We use the following formula to compute z-scores across the normal distribution: 풙 - m Here’s our SD sample mean: 70
  • 104. We use the following formula to compute z-scores across the normal distribution: 70 - m Here’s our SD sample mean: 70
  • 105. We use the following formula to compute z-scores across the normal distribution: 70 - m SD Here’s our Population mean: 100
  • 106. We use the following formula to compute z-scores across the normal distribution: 70 - 100 SD Here’s our Population mean: 100
  • 107. We use the following formula to compute z-scores across the normal distribution: 70 - 100 SD Here’s our Standard Deviation: 15
  • 108. We use the following formula to compute z-scores across the normal distribution: 70 - 100 15 Here’s our Standard Deviation: 15
  • 109. We use the following formula to compute z-scores across the normal distribution: 70 - 100 15
  • 110. We use the following formula to compute z-scores across the normal distribution: 30 15
  • 111. We use the following formula to compute z-scores across the normal distribution: 2.0
  • 112. A z score of 2 is located right here m = 100 +1 s =115 -1 s =85 -1 sd +1 sd +1.96 s =130 +1.96 sd -1.96 s =70 -1.96 sd -2.58 s =55 -2.58 sd +2.58 s =145 +2.58 sd 풙 = 70 2.5% 2.5%
  • 113. In some instances we may not know the population standard deviation s (in this case 15).
  • 114. Without the standard deviation of the population we cannot determine the z-scores or the probability that a sample mean is too far away to be apart of the population.
  • 115. Without the standard deviation of the population we cannot determine the z-scores or the probability that a sample mean is too far away to be apart of the population. m = 100 +1 s =115 -1 s =85 -1 sd +1 sd +1.96 s =130 +1.96 sd -1.96 s =70 -1.96 sd -2.58 s =55 -2.58 sd +2.58 s =145 +2.58 sd
  • 116. Without the standard deviation of the population we cannot determine the z-scores or the probability that a sample mean is too far away to be apart of the population. m = 100 +1 s =115 -1 s =85 -1 sd +1 sd +1.96 s =130 +1.96 sd -1.96 s =70 -1.96 sd -2.58 s =55 -2.58 sd +2.58 s =145 +2.58 sd 50%
  • 117. Without the standard deviation of the population we cannot determine the z-scores or the probability that a sample mean is too far away to be apart of the population. m = 100 +1 s =115 -1 s =85 -1 sd +1 sd +1.96 s =130 +1.96 sd -1.96 s =70 -1.96 sd -2.58 s =55 -2.58 sd +2.58 s =145 +2.58 sd 16.5%
  • 118. Without the standard deviation of the population we cannot determine the z-scores or the probability that a sample mean is too far away to be apart of the population. m = 100 +1 s =115 -1 s =85 -1 sd +1 sd +1.96 s =130 +1.96 sd -1.96 s =70 -1.96 sd -2.58 s =55 -2.58 sd 2.5% +2.58 s =145 +2.58 sd
  • 119. Without the standard deviation of the population we cannot determine the z-scores or the probability that a sample mean is too far away to be apart of the population. m = 100 +1 s =115 -1 s =85 -1 sd +1 sd +1.96 s =130 +1.96 sd -1.96 s =70 -1.96 sd -2.58 s =55 -2.58 sd +2.58 s =145 +2.58 sd Etc.
  • 120. Therefore these values below cannot be computed: m = 100 +1 s =115 -1 s =85 -1 sd +1 sd +1.96 s =130 +1.96 sd -1.96 s =70 -1.96 sd -2.58 s =55 -2.58 sd +2.58 s =145 +2.58 sd
  • 121. Therefore these values below cannot be computed: m = 100 +1 s =115 -1 s =85 -1 sd +1 sd +1.96 s =130 +1.96 sd -1.96 s =70 -1.96 sd -2.58 s =55 -2.58 sd +2.58 s =145 +2.58 sd
  • 122. When we only know the population mean we use the Single Sample t-test.
  • 123. Actually whenever we are dealing with a population and a sample, we generally use a single-sample t-test.
  • 124. In the last example we relied on the population mean and standard deviation to determine if the sample mean was too far away from the population mean to be considered a part of the population.
  • 125. The single sample t-test relies on a concept called the estimated standard error
  • 126. The single sample t-test relies on a concept called the estimated standard error to compute something like a z-score to determine the probability distance between the population and the sample means.
  • 127. We call it estimated because as you will see it is not really feasible to compute.
  • 128. Standard error draws on two concepts:
  • 130. 1. sampling distributions 2. t-distributions
  • 131. Let’s begin with sampling distributions.
  • 132. Let’s begin with sampling distributions. What you are about to see is purely theoretical, but it provides the justification for the formula we will use to run a single sample t-test.
  • 133. Let’s begin with sampling distributions. What you are about to see is purely theoretical, but it provides the justification for the formula we will use to run a single sample t-test. x̄ – μ SEmean
  • 134. x̄ – μ SEmean the mean of a sample
  • 135. x̄ – μ SEmean the mean of a sample the mean of a population
  • 136. x̄ – μ SEmean the mean of a sample the mean of a population the estimated standard error
  • 137. x̄ – μ SEmean In our example, this is 70
  • 138. 70̄ – μ SEmean In our example, this is 70
  • 139. 70̄ – μ SEmean And this is 100
  • 140. 70̄ – 100 SEmean And this is 100
  • 141. The numerator here is easy to compute 70̄ – 100 SEmean
  • 142. The numerator here is easy to compute -30 SEmean
  • 143. -30 SEmean This value will help us know the distance between 70 and 100 in t-values
  • 144. -30 SEmean If the estimated standard error is large, like 30, then the t value would be: -30/30 = -1
  • 145. A -1.0 t-value is like a z-score as shown below:
  • 146. A -1.0 t-value is like a z-score as shown below: m = 100 +1 s =115 -1 s =85 -1 sd +1 sd +1.96 s =130 +1.96 sd -1.96 s =70 -1.96 sd -2.58 s =55 -2.58 sd +2.58 s =145 +2.58 sd
  • 147. But since we don’t know the population standard deviation, we have to use the standard deviation of the sample (not the population as we did before) to determine the distance in standard error units (or t values).
  • 148. The focus of our theoretical justification is to explain our rationale for using information from the sample to compute the standard error or standard error of the mean.
  • 149. The focus of our theoretical justification is to explain our rationale for using information from the sample to compute the standard error or standard error of the mean. x̄ – μ SEmean
  • 150. Here comes the theory behind standard error:
  • 151. Here comes the theory behind standard error: Imagine we took a sample of 20 IQ scores from the population.
  • 152. Here comes the theory behind standard error: Imagine we took a sample of 20 IQ scores from the population. This sample of 20 would have its own IQ mean, standard deviation and distribution.
  • 153. Here comes the theory behind standard error: Imagine we took a sample of 20 IQ scores from the population. This sample of 20 would have its own IQ mean, standard deviation and distribution. x ̄= 70 SD = 10
  • 154. Here comes the theory behind standard error: Imagine we took a sample of 20 IQ scores from the population. This sample of 20 would have its own IQ mean, standard deviation and distribution. And then let’s say we took another sample of 20 with its mean and distribution, x ̄= 70
  • 155. Here comes the theory behind standard error: Imagine we took a sample of 20 IQ scores from the population. This sample of 20 would have its own IQ mean, standard deviation and distribution. And then let’s say we took another sample of 20 with its mean and distribution, x ̄= 70 x ̄= 100
  • 156. Here comes the theory behind standard error: Imagine we took a sample of 20 IQ scores from the population. This sample of 20 would have its own IQ mean, standard deviation and distribution. And then let’s say we took another sample of 20 with its mean and distribution, and another x ̄= 70 x ̄= 100
  • 157. Here comes the theory behind standard error: Imagine we took a sample of 20 IQ scores from the population. This sample of 20 would have its own IQ mean, standard deviation and distribution. And then let’s say we took another sample of 20 with its mean and distribution, and another x ̄= 70 x ̄= 100 x ̄= 120
  • 158. Here comes the theory behind standard error: Imagine we took a sample of 20 IQ scores from the population. This sample of 20 would have its own IQ mean, standard deviation and distribution. And then let’s say we took another sample of 20 with its mean and distribution, and another, and another x ̄= 70 x ̄= 100 x ̄= 120 x ̄= 140
  • 159. Here comes the theory behind standard error: Imagine we took a sample of 20 IQ scores from the population. This sample of 20 would have its own IQ mean, standard deviation and distribution. And then let’s say we took another sample of 20 with its mean and distribution, and another, and another, and so on… x ̄= 70 x ̄= 100 x ̄= 120 x ̄= 140
  • 160. Let’s say, theoretically, that we do this one hundred times.
  • 161. Let’s say, theoretically, that we do this one hundred times. We now have 100 samples of 20 person IQ scores:
  • 162. Let’s say, theoretically, that we do this one hundred times. We now have 100 samples of 20 person IQ scores:
  • 163. Let’s say, theoretically, that we do this one hundred times. We now have 100 samples of 20 person IQ scores: We take the mean of each of those samples: x ̄= 115 x ̄= 100 x ̄= 100 x ̄= 120 x ̄= 90 x ̄= 110 x ̄= 102 x ̄= 120 x ̄= 90 x ̄= 114 x ̄= 100 x ̄= 120 x ̄= 90 x ̄= 95
  • 164. And we create a new distribution called the sampling distribution of the means x ̄= 115 x ̄= 100 x ̄= 100 x ̄= 120 x ̄= 90 x ̄= 110 x ̄= 102 x ̄= 120 x ̄= 90 x ̄= 114 x ̄= 100 x ̄= 120 x ̄= 90 x ̄= 95
  • 165. And x ̄= 115 x ̄= 105 x ̄= 100 x ̄= 120 x ̄= 90 x ̄= 110 x ̄= 100 x ̄= 100 x ̄= 90 x ̄= 115 x ̄= 70 x ̄= 120 x ̄= 90 x ̄= 95
  • 166. And x ̄= 115 x ̄= 105 x ̄= 100 x ̄= 120 x ̄= 90 x ̄= 110 x ̄= 100 x ̄= 100 x ̄= 90 x ̄= 115 x ̄= 70 x ̄= 120 x ̄= 90 x ̄= 95 70 75 70 85 90 95 100 105 110 115 120 125
  • 167. And x ̄= 115 x ̄= 105 x ̄= 100 x ̄= 120 x ̄= 90 x ̄= 110 x ̄= 100 x ̄= 100 x ̄= 90 x ̄= 115 x ̄= 70 x ̄= 120 x ̄= 90 x ̄= 95 70 75 70 85 90 95 100 105 110 115 120 125
  • 168. And x ̄= 115 x ̄= 105 x ̄= 100 x ̄= 120 x ̄= 90 x ̄= 110 x ̄= 100 x ̄= 100 x ̄= 90 x ̄= 115 x ̄= 70 x ̄= 120 x ̄= 90 x ̄= 95 70 75 70 85 90 95 100 105 110 115 120 125
  • 169. And x ̄= 115 x ̄= 105 x ̄= 100 x ̄= 120 x ̄= 90 x ̄= 110 x ̄= 100 x ̄= 100 x ̄= 90 x ̄= 115 x ̄= 70 x ̄= 120 x ̄= 90 x ̄= 95 70 75 70 85 90 95 100 105 110 115 120 125
  • 170. And x ̄= 115 x ̄= 105 x ̄= 100 x ̄= 120 x ̄= 90 x ̄= 110 x ̄= 100 x ̄= 100 x ̄= 90 x ̄= 115 x ̄= 70 x ̄= 120 x ̄= 90 x ̄= 95 70 75 70 85 90 95 100 105 110 115 120 125
  • 171. And x ̄= 115 x ̄= 105 x ̄= 100 x ̄= 120 x ̄= 90 x ̄= 110 x ̄= 100 x ̄= 100 x ̄= 90 x ̄= 115 x ̄= 70 x ̄= 120 x ̄= 90 x ̄= 95 70 75 70 85 90 95 100 105 110 115 120 125
  • 172. And x ̄= 115 x ̄= 105 x ̄= 100 x ̄= 120 x ̄= 90 x ̄= 110 x ̄= 100 x ̄= 100 x ̄= 90 x ̄= 115 x ̄= 70 x ̄= 120 x ̄= 90 x ̄= 95 70 75 70 85 90 95 100 105 110 115 120 125
  • 173. And x ̄= 115 x ̄= 105 x ̄= 100 x ̄= 120 x ̄= 90 x ̄= 110 x ̄= 100 x ̄= 100 x ̄= 90 x ̄= 115 x ̄= 70 x ̄= 120 x ̄= 90 x ̄= 95 70 75 70 85 90 95 100 105 110 115 120 125
  • 174. And x ̄= 115 x ̄= 105 x ̄= 100 x ̄= 120 x ̄= 90 x ̄= 110 x ̄= 100 x ̄= 100 x ̄= 90 x ̄= 115 x ̄= 70 x ̄= 120 x ̄= 90 x ̄= 95 70 75 70 85 90 95 100 105 110 115 120 125
  • 175. And x ̄= 115 x ̄= 105 x ̄= 100 x ̄= 120 x ̄= 90 x ̄= 110 x ̄= 100 x ̄= 100 x ̄= 90 x ̄= 115 x ̄= 70 x ̄= 120 x ̄= 90 x ̄= 95 70 75 70 85 90 95 100 105 110 115 120 125
  • 176. And x ̄= 115 x ̄= 105 x ̄= 100 x ̄= 120 x ̄= 90 x ̄= 110 x ̄= 100 x ̄= 100 x ̄= 90 x ̄= 115 x ̄= 70 x ̄= 120 x ̄= 90 x ̄= 95 70 75 70 85 90 95 100 105 110 115 120 125
  • 177. And x ̄= 115 x ̄= 105 x ̄= 100 x ̄= 120 x ̄= 90 x ̄= 110 x ̄= 100 x ̄= 100 x ̄= 90 x ̄= 115 x ̄= 70 x ̄= 120 x ̄= 90 x ̄= 95 70 75 70 85 90 95 100 105 110 115 120 125
  • 178. And x ̄= 115 x ̄= 105 x ̄= 100 x ̄= 120 x ̄= 90 x ̄= 110 x ̄= 100 x ̄= 100 x ̄= 90 x ̄= 115 x ̄= 70 x ̄= 120 x ̄= 90 x ̄= 95 70 75 70 85 90 95 100 105 110 115 120 125
  • 179. And x ̄= 115 x ̄= 105 x ̄= 100 x ̄= 120 x ̄= 90 x ̄= 110 x ̄= 100 x ̄= 100 x ̄= 90 x ̄= 115 x ̄= 70 x ̄= 120 x ̄= 90 x ̄= 95 70 75 70 85 90 95 100 105 110 115 120 125
  • 180. And x ̄= 115 x ̄= 105 x ̄= 100 x ̄= 120 x ̄= 90 x ̄= 110 x ̄= 100 x ̄= 100 x ̄= 90 x ̄= 115 x ̄= 70 x ̄= 120 x ̄= 90 x ̄= 95 70 75 70 85 90 95 100 105 110 115 120 125
  • 181. And x ̄= 115 x ̄= 105 x ̄= 100 x ̄= 120 x ̄= 90 etc. … x ̄= 110 x ̄= 100 x ̄= 100 x ̄= 90 x ̄= 115 x ̄= 70 x ̄= 120 x ̄= 90 x ̄= 95 70 75 70 85 90 95 100 105 110 115 120 125
  • 182. And then we do something interesting. We take the standard deviation of this sampling distribution.
  • 183. And then we do something interesting. We take the standard deviation of this sampling distribution. If these sample means are close to one another then the standard deviation will be small.
  • 184. And then we do something interesting. We take the standard deviation of this sampling distribution. If these sample means are close to one another then the standard deviation will be small. 70 75 70 85 90 95 100 105 110 115 120 125
  • 185. And then we do something interesting. We take the standard deviation of this sampling distribution. If these sample means are far apart from one another then the standard deviation will be large. 70 75 70 85 90 95 100 105 110 115 120 125
  • 186. This standard deviation of the sampling distribution of the means has another name:
  • 187. This standard deviation of the sampling distribution of the means has another name: the standard error.
  • 188. This standard deviation of the sampling distribution of the means has another name: the standard error. x̄ – μ SEmean the estimated standard error
  • 189. Standard error is a unit of measurement that makes it possible to determine if a raw score difference is really significant or not.
  • 190. Standard error is a unit of measurement that makes it possible to determine if a raw score difference is really significant or not. Think of it this way. If you get a 92 on a 100 point test and the general population gets on average a 90, is there really a significant difference between you and the population at large? If you retook the test over and over again would you likely outperform or underperform their average of 90?
  • 191. Standard error is a unit of measurement that makes it possible to determine if a raw score difference is really significant or not. Think of it this way. If you get a 92 on a 100 point test and the general population gets on average a 90, is there really a significant difference between you and the population at large? If you retook the test over and over again would you likely outperform or underperform their average of 90? Standard error helps us understand the likelihood that those results would replicate the same way over and over again . . . or not.
  • 192. So let’s say we calculate the standard error to be 0.2. Using the formula below we will determine how many standard error units you are apart from each other.
  • 193. So let’s say we calculate the standard error to be 0.2. Using the formula below we will determine how many standard error units you are apart from each other. x̄ – μ SEmean t =
  • 194. So let’s say we calculate the standard error to be 0.2. Using the formula below we will determine how many standard error units you are apart from each other. 92 – 90 0.2 your score t = standard error population average
  • 195. So let’s say we calculate the standard error to be 0.2. Using the formula below we will determine how many standard error units you are apart from each other. 2 0.2 t =
  • 196. So let’s say we calculate the standard error to be 0.2. Using the formula below we will determine how many standard error units you are apart from each other. 2 0.2 t = This is the raw score difference
  • 197. So let’s say we calculate the standard error to be 0.2. Using the formula below we will determine how many standard error units you are apart from each other. t = 10.0 And this is the difference in standard error units
  • 198. So let’s say we calculate the standard error to be 0.2. Using the formula below we will determine how many standard error units you are apart from each other. t = 10.0 And this is the difference in standard error units, otherwise known as a t statistic or t value
  • 199. So, while your test score is two raw scores above the average for the population, you are 10.0 standard error units higher than the population score.
  • 200. So, while your test score is two raw scores above the average for the population, you are 10.0 standard error units higher than the population score. While 2.0 raw scores do not seem like a lot, 10.0 standard error units constitute a big difference!
  • 201. So, while your test score is two raw scores above the average for the population, you are 10.0 standard error units higher than the population score. While 2.0 raw scores do not seem like a lot, 10.0 standard error units constitute a big difference! This means that this result is most likely to replicate and did not happen by chance.
  • 202. But what if the standard error were much bigger, say, 4.0?
  • 203. But what if the standard error were much bigger, say, 4.0? x̄ – μ SEmean t =
  • 204. But what if the standard error were much bigger, say, 4.0? 92 – 90 4.0 your score t = standard error population average
  • 205. But what if the standard error were much bigger, say, 4.0? 2 4.0 t =
  • 206. But what if the standard error were much bigger, say, 4.0? t = 0.5
  • 207. Once again, your raw score difference is still 2.0 but you are only 0.5 standard error units apart. That distance is most likely too small to be statistically significantly different if replicated over a hundred times.
  • 208. Once again, your raw score difference is still 2.0 but you are only 0.5 standard error units apart. That distance is most likely too small to be statistically significantly different if replicated over a hundred times. We will show you how to determine when the number of standard error units is significantly different or not.
  • 210. One more example: Let’s say the population average on the test is 80 and you still received a 92. But the standard error is 36.0.
  • 211. One more example: Let’s say the population average on the test is 80 and you still received a 92. But the standard error is 36.0. Let’s do the math again.
  • 212. One more example: Let’s say the population average on the test is 80 and you still received a 92. But the standard error is 36.0. Let’s do the math again. x̄ – μ SEmean t =
  • 213. One more example: Let’s say the population average on the test is 80 and you still received a 92. But the standard error is 36.0. Let’s do the math again. 92 – 80 36.0 your score t = standard error population average
  • 214. One more example: Let’s say the population average on the test is 70 and you still received a 92. But the standard error is 36.0. Let’s do the math again. 12 36.0 t =
  • 215. One more example: Let’s say the population average on the test is 70 and you still received a 92. But the standard error is 36.0. Let’s do the math again. t = 0.3
  • 216. In this case, while your raw score is 12 points higher (a large amount), you are only 0.3 standard error units higher.
  • 217. In this case, while your raw score is 12 points higher (a large amount), you are only 0.3 standard error units higher. The standard error is so large (36.0) that if you were to take the test 1000 times with no growth in between it is most likely that your scores would vary greatly (92 on one day, 77 on another day, 87 on another day and so on and so forth.)
  • 218. In summary, the single sample test t value is the number of standard error units that separate the sample mean from the population mean:
  • 219. In summary, the single sample test t value is the number of standard error units that separate the sample mean from the population mean: x̄ – μ SEmean t = Let’s see this play out with our original example.
  • 220. Let’s say our of 20 has an average IQ score of 70.
  • 221. Let’s say our of 20 has an average IQ score of 70. x̄ – μ SEmean t =
  • 222. Let’s say our of 20 has an average IQ score of 70. 70 – μ SEmean t =
  • 223. We already know that the population mean is 100. 70 – μ SEmean t =
  • 224. We already know that the population mean is 100. 70 – 100 SEmean t =
  • 225. Let’s say the Standard Error of the Sampling Distribution means is 5 70 – 100 SEmean t =
  • 226. Let’s say the Standard Error of the Sampling Distribution means is 5 70 – 100 5 t =
  • 227. The t value would be: 70 – 100 5 t =
  • 228. The t value would be: -30 5 t =
  • 229. The t value would be: t = -6
  • 230. So all of this begs the question: How do I know if a t value of -6 is rare or common?
  • 231. So all of this begs the question: How do I know if a t value of -6 is rare or common? • If it is rare we can accept the null hypothesis and say that there is a difference between the sample and the population.
  • 232. So all of this begs the question: How do I know if a t value of -6 is rare or common? • If it is rare we can accept the null hypothesis and say that there is a difference between the sample and the population. • If it is common we can reject the null hypothesis and say there is not a significant difference between veggie eating IQ scores and the general population IQ scores (which in this unique case is what we want)
  • 233. So all of this begs the question: How do I know if a t value of 5 is rare or common? • If it is rare we can accept the null hypothesis and say that there is a difference between the sample and the population. • If it is common we can reject the null hypothesis and say there is not a significant difference between veggie eating IQ scores and the general population IQ scores (which in this unique case is what we want) Here is what we do: We compare this value (6) with the critical t value.
  • 234. What is the critical t value?
  • 235. What is the critical t value? The critical t value is a point in the distribution that arbitrarily separates the common from the rare occurrences.
  • 236. What is the critical t value? The critical t value is a point in the distribution that arbitrarily separates the common from the rare occurrences.
  • 237. What is the critical t value? The critical t value is a point in the distribution that arbitrarily separates the common from the rare occurrences. rare occurrence
  • 238. What is the critical t value? The critical t value is a point in the distribution that arbitrarily separates the common from the rare occurrences. rare occurrence rare occurrence
  • 239. What is the critical t value? The critical t value is a point in the distribution that arbitrarily separates the common from the rare occurrences. rare occurrence common occurrence rare occurrence
  • 240. What is the critical t value? The critical t value is a point in the distribution that arbitrarily separates the common from the rare occurrences. rare occurrence common occurrence rare occurrence This represents the rare/common possibilities used to determine if the sample mean is similar the population mean).
  • 241. If this were a normal distribution the red line would have a z critical value of + or – 1.96 rare occurrence common occurrence rare occurrence
  • 242. If this were a normal distribution the red line would have a z critical value of + or – 1.96 rare occurrence common occurrence rare occurrence
  • 243. If this were a normal distribution the red line would have a z critical value of + or – 1.96 rare occurrence common occurrence rare occurrence
  • 244. If this were a normal distribution the red line would have a z critical value of + or – 1.96 (which is essentially a t critical value but for a normal distribution.) rare occurrence common occurrence rare occurrence
  • 245. A t or z value of + or – 1.96 means that 95% of the scores are in the center of the distribution and 5% are to the left and right of it.
  • 246. A t or z value of + or – 1.96 means that 95% of the scores are in the center of the distribution and 5% are to the left and right of it. common occurrence rare occurrence rare occurrence
  • 247. A t or z value of + or – 1.96 means that 95% of the scores are in the center of the distribution and 5% are to the left and right of it. rare occurrence common occurrence rare occurrence -1.96 +1.96
  • 248. A t or z value of + or – 1.96 means that 95% of the scores are in the center of the distribution and 5% are to the left and right of it. rare occurrence common occurrence rare occurrence -1.96 +1.96
  • 249. A t or z value of + or – 1.96 means that 95% of the scores are in the center of the distribution and 5% are to the left and right of it. rare occurrence common occurrence rare occurrence -1.96 +1.96
  • 250. A t or z value of + or – 1.96 means that 95% of the scores are in the center of the distribution and 5% are to the left and right of it. rare occurrence common occurrence rare occurrence -1.96 +1.96
  • 251. A t or z value of + or – 1.96 means that 95% of the scores are in the center of the distribution and 5% are to the left and right of it. rare occurrence common occurrence rare occurrence -1.96 +1.96
  • 252. So if the t value computed from this equation:
  • 253. So if the t value computed from this equation: x̄ – μ SEmean t =
  • 254. So if the t value computed from this equation: x̄ – μ SEmean t = … is between -1.96 and +1.96 we would say that that result is not rare and we would fail to reject the null hypothesis.
  • 255. So if the t value computed from this equation: x̄ – μ SEmean t = … is between -1.96 and +1.96 we would say that that result is not rare and we would fail to reject the null hypothesis. rare occurrence common occurrence rare occurrence -1.96 +1.96
  • 256. However, if the t value is smaller than -1.96 or larger than +1.96 we would say that that result is rare and we would reject the null hypothesis.
  • 257. However, if the t value is smaller than -1.96 or larger than +1.96 we would say that that result is rare and we would reject the null hypothesis. rare occurrence common occurrence rare occurrence -1.96 +1.96
  • 258. So if the t value computed from this equation:
  • 259. So if the t value computed from this equation: x̄ – μ SEmean t =
  • 260. So if the t value computed from this equation: x̄ – μ SEmean t = … is between -1.96 and +1.96 we would say that that result is not rare and we would fail to reject the null hypothesis.
  • 261. As a review, let’s say the distribution is normal. When the distribution is normal and we want to locate the z critical for a two tailed test at a level of significance of .05 (which means that if we took 100 samples we are willing to be wrong 5 times and still reject the null hypothesis), the z critical would be -+1.96.
  • 262. As a review, let’s say the distribution is normal. When the distribution is normal and we want to locate the z critical for a two tailed test at a level of significance of .05 (which means that if we took 100 samples we are willing to be wrong 5 times and still reject the null hypothesis), the z critical would be -+1.96. - 1.96 + 1.96
  • 263. Because we generally do not have the resources to take 100 IQ samples of those who eat veggies, we have to estimate the t value from one sample.
  • 264. Because we generally do not have the resources to take 100 IQ samples of those who eat veggies, we have to estimate the t value from one sample. x ̄= 115 x ̄= 105 x ̄= 100 x ̄= 120 x ̄= 90 x ̄= 110 x ̄= 100 x ̄= 100 x ̄= 90 x ̄= 115 x ̄= 70 x ̄= 120 x ̄= 90 x ̄= 95
  • 265. Because we generally do not have the resources to take 100 IQ samples of those who eat veggies, we have to estimate the t value from one sample. x ̄= 115 x ̄= 105 x ̄= 100 x ̄= 120 x ̄= 90 x ̄= 110 x ̄= 110 x ̄= 100 x ̄= 100 x ̄= 90 x ̄= 115 x ̄= 70 x ̄= 120 x ̄= 90 x ̄= 95
  • 266. Because we generally do not have the resources to take 100 IQ samples of those who eat veggies, we have to estimate the t value from one sample. x ̄= 110
  • 267. Because we generally do not have the resources to take 100 IQ samples of those who eat veggies, we have to estimate the t value from one sample. So let’s imagine we selected a sample of 20 veggie eaters with an average IQ score of 70. x ̄= 70
  • 268. Because we generally do not have the resources to take 100 IQ samples of those who eat veggies, we have to estimate the t value from one sample. So let’s imagine we selected a sample x ̄= 70 of 20 veggie eaters with an average IQ score of 70. Because we did not take hundreds of samples of 20 veggie eaters each, average each sample’s IQ scores, and form a sampling distribution from which we could compute the standard error and then the t value, we have to figure out another way to compute an estimate of the standard error.
  • 269. Because we generally do not have the resources to take 100 IQ samples of those who eat veggies, we have to estimate the t value from one sample. So let’s imagine we selected a sample x ̄= 70 of 20 veggie eaters with an average IQ score of 70. Because we did not take hundreds of samples of 20 veggie eaters each, average each sample’s IQ scores, and form a sampling distribution from which we could compute the standard error and then the t value, we have to figure out another way to compute an estimate of the standard error. There is another way.
  • 270. Since it is not practical to collect a hundreds of samples of 20 from the population, compute their mean score and calculate the standard error, we must estimate it using the following equation: S n SEmean =
  • 271. Since it is not practical to collect a hundreds of samples of 20 from the population, compute their mean score and calculate the standard error, we must estimate it using the following equation: S n SEmean = Standard Deviation of the sample
  • 272. We estimate the standard error using the following equation: S n SEmean = Standard Deviation of the sample
  • 273. We estimate the standard error using the following equation: SEmean = Standard Deviation of the sample Square root of the sample size S n We won’t go into the derivation of this formula, but just know that this acts as a good substitute in the place of taking hundreds of samples and computing the standard deviation to get the actual standard error.
  • 274. So remember this point: The equation below is an estimate of the standard error, not the actual standard error, because the actual standard error is not feasible to compute.
  • 275. So remember this point: The equation below is an estimate of the standard error, not the actual standard error, because the actual standard error is not feasible to compute. S n SEmean =
  • 276. So remember this point: The equation below is an estimate of the standard error, not the actual standard error, because the actual standard error is not feasible to compute. S n SEmean = However, just know that when researchers have taken hundreds of samples and computed their means and then taken the standard deviation of all of those means they come out pretty close to one another.
  • 277. Now comes another critical point dealing with t-distributions.
  • 278. Now comes another critical point dealing with t-distributions. Because we are working with a sample that is generally small, we do not use the same normal distribution to determine the critical z or t (-+1.96).
  • 279. Now comes another critical point dealing with t-distributions. Because we are working with a sample that is generally small, we do not use the same normal distribution to determine the critical z or t (-+1.96). Here is what the z distribution looks like for samples generally larger than 30:
  • 280. Now comes another critical point dealing with t-distributions. Because we are working with a sample that is generally small, we do not use the same normal distribution to determine the critical z or t (-+1.96). Here is what the z distribution looks like for samples generally larger than 30: 95% of the scores - 1.96 + 1.96 Sample Size 30+
  • 281. As the sample size decreases the critical values increase - making it harder to get significance.
  • 282. As the sample size decreases the critical values increase - making it harder to get significance. Notice how the t distribution gets shorter and wider when the sample size is smaller. Notice also how the t critical values increase as well. 95% of the scores Sample Size 20 - 2.09 + 2.09
  • 283. As the sample size decreases the critical values increase - making it harder to get significance. Notice how the t distribution gets shorter and wider when the sample size is smaller. Notice also how the t critical values increase as well. 95% of the scores Sample Size 10 - 2.26 + 2.26
  • 284. As the sample size decreases the critical values increase - making it harder to get significance. Notice how the t distribution gets shorter and wider when the sample size is smaller. Notice also how the t critical values increase as well. 95% of the scores Sample Size 5 - 2.78 + 2.78
  • 285. To determine the critical t we need two values:
  • 286. To determine the critical t we need two values: • the degrees of freedom (sample size minus one [20-1 = 19])
  • 287. To determine the critical t we need two values: • the degrees of freedom (sample size minus one [20-1 = 19]) • the significance level (.05 or .025 for two tailed test)
  • 288. To determine the critical t we need two values: • the degrees of freedom (sample size minus one [20-1 = 19]) • the significance level (.05 or .025 for two tailed test) Using these two values we can locate the critical t
  • 289. So, our t critical value that separates the common from the rare occurrences in this case is + or – 2.09
  • 290. So, our t critical value that separates the common from the rare occurrences in this case is + or – 2.09 95% of the scores Sample Size 20 - 2.09 + 2.09
  • 291. What was our calculated t value again?
  • 292. What was our calculated t value again? x̄ – μ SEmean t =
  • 293. What was our calculated t value again? 70 – μ SEmean t =
  • 294. We already know that the population mean is 100. 70 – μ SEmean t =
  • 295. We already know that the population mean is 100. 70 – 100 SEmean t =
  • 296. We already know that the population mean is 100. 70 – 100 SEmean t = To calculate the estimated standard error of the mean distribution we use the following equation:
  • 297. We already know that the population mean is 100. 70 – 100 SEmean t = To calculate the estimated standard error of the mean distribution we use the following equation: S n SEmean =
  • 298. We already know that the population mean is 100. 70 – 100 SEmean t = The Standard Deviation for this sample is 26.82 and the sample size, of course, is 20 S n SEmean =
  • 299. We already know that the population mean is 100. 70 – 100 SEmean t = Let’s plug in those values: S n SEmean =
  • 300. We already know that the population mean is 100. 70 – 100 SEmean t = Let’s plug in those values: 26.82 20 SEmean =
  • 301. We already know that the population mean is 100. 70 – 100 SEmean 26.82 4.47 t = Let’s plug in those values: SEmean =
  • 302. We already know that the population mean is 100. 70 – 100 SEmean 6.0 t = Let’s plug in those values: SEmean =
  • 303. We already know that the population mean is 100. 70 – 100 6.0 6.0 t = Let’s plug in those values: SEmean =
  • 304. We already know that the population mean is 100. 70 – 100 6.0 t =
  • 305. Now do the math: 70 – 100 6.0 t =
  • 306. The t value would be: 70 – 100 6.0 t =
  • 307. The t value would be: -30 6.0 t =
  • 308. The t value would be: t = -5
  • 309. With a t value of -5 we are ready to compare it to the critical t:
  • 310. With a t value of -5 we are ready to compare it to the critical t:
  • 311. With a t value of -5 we are ready to compare it to the critical t: 2.093
  • 312. With a t value of -5 we are ready to compare it to the critical t: 2.093 or 2.093 below the mean or -2.093.
  • 313. Since a t value of +5.0 is below the cutoff point (critical t) of -2.09, we would reject the null hypothesis
  • 314. Since a t value of +5.0 is below the cutoff point (critical t) of -2.09, we would reject the null hypothesis 95% of the scores - 2.09 + 2.09
  • 315. Here is how we would state our results:
  • 316. Here is how we would state our results: The randomly selected sample of twenty IQ scores with a sample mean of 70 is statistically significantly different then the population of IQ scores.
  • 317. Now, what if the standard error had been much larger, say, 15.0 instead of 6.0?
  • 318. Now, what if the standard error had been much larger, say, 15.0 instead of 6.0? 70 – 100 6.0 t =
  • 319. Now, what if the standard error had been much larger, say, 15.0 instead of 6.0? 70 – 100 6.0 t = 70 – 100 15.0 t =
  • 320. Now, what if the standard error had been much larger, say, 15.0 instead of 6.0? 70 – 100 6.0 t = 30 15.0 t =
  • 321. Now, what if the standard error had been much larger, say, 10.0 instead of 2.0? 70 – 100 t = t = 2.0 6.0
  • 322. A t value of -2.0 is not below the cutoff point (critical t) of -2.09 and would be considered a common rather than a rare outcome. We therefore would fail to reject the null hypothesis
  • 323. A t value of -2.0 is not below the cutoff point (critical t) of -2.09 and would be considered a common rather than a rare outcome. We therefore would fail to reject the null hypothesis 95% of the scores - 2.09 - 2.0 + 2.09
  • 324. So in summary, the single sample t-test helps us determine the probability that the difference between a sample and a population did or did not occur by chance.
  • 325. So in summary, the single sample t-test helps us determine the probability that the difference between a sample and a population did or did not occur by chance. It utilizes the concepts of standard error, common and rare occurrences, and t-distributions to justify its use.