Our Group Organized A Science Event

Our Group Organized A Science Event
THE EVENT: Our group organized a science event titled "Nap15", a word play on the mathematical
notation of 'power'. Our objective was to dispel and debunk the myth that any duration of a
powernap is beneficial for increasing productivity and alertness. Instead, we sought to establish a
key message of a fifteen–minute optimal powernap time, which yielded recuperative effects without
any detrimental side–effects (Hayashi, Motoyoshi, & Hori, 2005).Our target audience was current
university students at the University of Western Australia (UWA) who are about to sit for the end–
of–semester examinations.
I, together with a few other classmates, was involved in planning and brainstorming ideas during the
pre–event stage. We were in charge of ... Show more content on Helpwriting.net ...
We also wanted to exude an informal, cosy ambiance at our booth. Hence we came up with the idea
of bringing cushions, pillows and inflatable mattresses for visitors to play with and sit on, complete
with background music. Having interactive activities has been shown to increase satisfaction in
participants (Bultitude & Sardo, 2012). Atmosphere plays an important role in marketing, and a
cosy ambience helps to make people feel at ease and more receptive (Kotler, 1973).
On the actual day of the event, I was part of the Advertising and Recruiting Team, where were
dressed up in pyjamas and approached passers–by to answer a short question and visit our booth to
try our crossword puzzle challenge and find out more about power napping. I managed to bring in
about 20 people to our booth.
EFFECTIVE SCIENCE COMMUNICATION:
Effective science communication is essential because it allows scientists to communicate important
knowledge and beneficial findings in a clear, easily understood way to the masses (Burns, O
'Connor, & Stocklmayer, 2003). When scientists are able to translate technical jargon into plain
language for non–experts, they are able to dispel myths incorrect beliefs more effectively and
convincingly. This would increase erudition and quality of life in society as a whole, as people are
able to make sound, informed decisions. (Aguinis, Pierce, Bosco, Dalton, & Dalton, 2011)
Good science
... Get more on HelpWriting.net ...

Is America An Improbable Idea
An improbable idea statistically means something that is unlikely to happen. Some people could
describe America as an improbable idea because the abundance of freedom American citizens
possess could possibly cause chaos. Another reason why people might say that America is an
improbable idea is because, the idea of numerous groups of people coming together into one country
might be thought of as disorder but in reality, America succeeds through devastating events of
terrorism and common religious beliefs, for the majority of the people, despite being an "improbable
idea." America succeeds through common religious beliefs of citizens. In Lincoln's second inaugural
address, he states that the majority of American citizens "pray to the same God"

Sports Management : A Wide Array Of Job Opportunities And...
A Sports Management Degree offers a wide array of job opportunities and possibilities. Sports
management careers are popular due to the passion many people have for athletics and it allows
non–athletes to work within the sport field. One aspect to note is that there are 3 main segments
within this field. These include; sports performance, production, and promotion. Each offer unique
opportunities in the athletics field. A performance career would be a Recreation Worker, a
production career would be an University Athletic Director (A.D.), and a promotion career would be
a Sports Event Planner. Ultimately, after analyzing all 3 sectors, the production segment
distinguishes itself in terms of size and scope, growth trends, and it allows the non–athlete the most
opportunity to direct and guide University athletics. Size and Scope The size and scope of an
athletic director is much greater and vast than that of a recreation worker and a sports event planner.
First off, a Recreation Worker does have to manage different programs within a park, instruct
classes, and be able to administer first aid if necessary ("Recreation Worker," n.d.) However, they do
not deal with the same amount of stress Athletic Directors do. A.D.'s deal with more students and
responsibilities. An A.D. at a university can have over 1,000 athletes to deal with and manage. Not
only this, but an athletic director also has to oversee his staff. He has to ensure the team has
adequate funds for each department,

Planning a Swarovski Event
Concept
The objective of this event is to present the new delightful Swarovski collection of lightening
products, as the world leader in high–quality precision cut crystal has chosen this city to reveal its
marvelous pieces, which will be presented on September 16th of 2013 from 19.00 to 22.00 in the
Gallery of La Pelota, gathering approximately 300 guests.
The reason to make this important event happen on the September 16th is to project a fresh mood to
the guests, as it is a hot month and the weather this specific day will be suitable to represent said
mood, we need a gleaming, cool atmosphere, specially if usually people are tired of this month's
weather.
The core theme of this event will be 'crystal caves' which will contrast ... Show more content on
Helpwriting.net ...
Crystalon.– The breathtaking crystal DNA helix hanging from above, with energy–efficient LED
technology, which also comes in three different sizes and only available in two light temperaturas in
color white.
Candella.– The piece connecting the past with the future creating an effect of hundreds of candles
and also with LED technology is available in white, black or chrome made in cristal satin or white
opal and comes in three different sizes.
Downsquare.– From the designer Stefano Ricci, this LED Centerpice has two different variants for
the ceiling and pendan and is available in three sizes, finished in black, white and gray.
Madison.– This modern and sensible piece has three different variants, for ceiling, for Wall and
pendant and is also available in three different colors.
Space Application
The five pieces will be precisely distributed so each one of them gets the essential attention and
admiration from the client. Situated each one of the in a special place that gives them the enough
illumination and single space for their full enjoynment.
The piece Enlace will be the first one in the path to see, a sample of each size will be shown and it

will be in the upper middle part of the showroom. The second piece to present will be Crystalon,
also showing its three different sizes and situated in the left back corner

Rainfall Induced Landslide Of Kenya
Rainfall induced landslide probability mapping for central province
1Edward H. Waithaka,
Jomo Kenyatta University of Agriculture and Technology, Department of Geomatic Engineering &
Geospatial Information Systems. P.o. Box 62000–00200, Nairobi, Kenya Email:
hunja@eng.jkuat.ac.ke
2 Thomas G. Ngigi Email: tomngigi@hotmail.com
3Mercy W. Mwaniki, Email: mercimwaniki@yahoo.com
Abstract
Rainfall induced landslide hazards in Kenya represents a major challenge and remain an important
issue in disaster management especially in Kenya's central province region where the effects are
very common with the onset of El nin ̃o rains. The main aim of this study is to develop a rainfall
induced landslide probability map for Kenya's central province. In order to achieve this, process
based methods were used to map landslide areas using the following factors: slope, rainfall, land
cover change,Normalized DifferenceVegetation Index (NDVI)change, Curvature, watershed, and
soil characteristic including: type, texture, soil bulk density, Base Saturation, and Total Water
Available Distribution Map. The minimum conditions were set for each factor for landslide
occurrence. Slope stability mapping was done to determine the stable areas and thus derive the
probability of landslide occurrence. Statistical methods were then employed by means of weights of
evidence to achieve the probability weights for each factor considered to cause landslides. The
factors were then overlaid using the probability

The Event Management Industry Is An Ideal Location For The...
onment
Economic
Grandezvous largely competes and collaborates in the event management industry, which provides
significant opportunities on a local, national and international scale.
Toronto acts as an ideal location for the company as the city serves as a business and political hub
for the province, and the country. In 2013 Toronto's Total GDP jumped too over $290 billion,
making up just over 15% of Canada's total GDP (Toronto Market Sizes, n.d). Of that total,
consumers spent almost $10 billion on hotels and catering in the city, and over $13 billion on leisure
and recreation (Toronto Market Sizes, n.d.). These numbers give an overarching view of the large
tourism and business communities which exist in Toronto, and how much room ... Show more
content on Helpwriting.net ...
This figure likely includes the industry's whole span from mega events such as the Pan Am Games,
to small scale corporate and personal events. On nation level research firm IBIS World estimated
earlier this year that the Canadian event planning and trade show sectors would generate $1 billion
in revenue in 2014 (Trade Shows & Event ..., 2014). This marked an increase of 2.2% over the
previous year, however the company noted the industry's success was heavily based on corporate
spending and the state of the economy (Trade Shows & Event ..., 2014). This alludes to the fact that
many organizations likely see spending on event management as non–essential, meaning event
management firms may need to heavily stress their value proposition.
As stated, while Grandezvous does operate in the event management industry as a whole they are
largely focused on the promotion of events on web 2.0 applications. Therefore social media
engagement and advertising applies directly to the business in which they operate. Social media is
becoming a loud medium for advertising as more businesses recognize its potential reach. In a
survey of small businesses by BIA/Kelsey the majority of respondents said they used social media
as a means of advertising, with the average business putting 21.4% of their advertising budget
toward social media campaigns (Brooks, 2014). These businesses are

Questions: The Multiplicative Laws Of Probability
Question: 1(a)
Basic Laws of Probability
The additive law of probabilities
Probability is known as mutually exclusive events, The sum of Separate probabilities likely to be
one event occur or another.
Example:
Place 100 marbles in a box; 35 blue, 45 red, and 20 yellow.
P(blue)=.35 P(red)=.45 P(yellow)=.20
What is the probability of choosing either a red or a yellow marble from the box?
P(red or yellow) = P(red)+ P(yellow)
= .45+.20
= .65
The multiplicative law of probabilities
The multiplicative law of probability is defined as the probability of the joint occurrence of two or
more of the events which are independent events or the product of their individual probabilities.
_________________________________________________________________________________
... Show more content on Helpwriting.net ...
3. Calculate from the table, showing your calculation methods:
The marginal probability that any person selected at random from the population is a male.
The marginal probability that any person selected at random from the population is aged between 25
and 54.
The joint probability that any person selected at random from the population is a female and aged
between 55 and 64.
The conditional probability that any person selected at random from the population is 25 or over
given that the person is a male.
QUESTION 2 Statistical Decision Making and Quality Control Show all calculations/reason
Question: 2(a)
1. If management wishes to establish x ̅ control limits covering the 95% confidence interval,
calculate the appropriate UCL and LCL. UCL = 46.63 LCL = 43.36 2. If management wishes to use
smaller samples of 16 observations calculate the control limits covering the 95% confidence
interval. (Round calculations to 2 decimal

The Convention And Event Planning Industry
"According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, the industry will be adding at least 31,000 new jobs
between 2010 and 2020, a faster than–average growth rate of 44%" ("Fun"). The convention and
event–planning industry is not an industry that quickly comes to mind when one thinks of
employment groups. The studies shows that the convention and event–planning is time consuming
but this particular caterogy of business will later help the business industry. The process of creating
a successful convention takes time and effort. In the process of planning a convention, it must have
a vision and layout of the event. To organize an event one must first answer the questions of; who,
what, when, where, and why. This allows the event coordinator to openly express the principles for
any ceremony. Finding the who of the convention is fairly easy. Figure out who will be the audience
and who is on the program guide to run the Convention. As for what the convention will need to see
what kind of convention do the staff want to plan and the atmosphere for the audience and once they
leave what do the planners want them to take with them from the affair (Bourne) The next stop of
the planning process is when will the event happen. For instance, in the fall or summer. Also where
is the convention location? Find a decent place to feel safe at, to be able to have fun, and learn good
information. The last step is why plan the convention? In the article "Convention Planning Begins
Here", it says The

Probability Theory and Past Due Accounts Essay
MAT540 – Quantitative Methods (Homework # 2) Section A True/False Indicate whether the
sentence or statement is true or false. __F__ 1. Two events that are independent cannot be mutually
exclusive. __F__ 2. A joint probability can have a value greater than 1. __F__ 3. The intersection of
A and Ac is the entire sample space. __T__ 4. If 50 of 250 people contacted make a donation to the
city symphony, then the relative frequency method assigns a probability of .2 to the outcome of
making a donation. __T__ 5. An automobile dealership is waiting to take delivery of nine new cars.
Today, anywhere from zero to all nine cars might be delivered. It is appropriate to use the classical
method to assign a probability of 1/10 to ... Show more content on Helpwriting.net ...
all accounts fewer than 31 or more than 60 days past due. c. all accounts from new customers and
all accounts that are from 31 to 60 days past due. d. all new customers whose accounts are between
31 and 60 days past due. __C__ 15. In the set of all past due accounts, let the event A mean the
account is between 31 and 60 days past due and the event B mean the account is that of a new
customer. The union of A and B is a. all new customers. b. all accounts fewer than 31 or more than
60 days past due. c. all accounts from new customers and all accounts that are from 31 to 60 days
past due. d. all new customers whose accounts are between 31 and 60 days past due. __D__ 16. In
the set of all past due accounts, let the event A mean the account is between 31 and 60 days past due
and the event B mean the account is that of a new customer. The intersection of A and B is a. all new
customers. b. all accounts fewer than 31 or more than 60 days past due. c. all accounts from new
customers and all accounts that are from 31 to 60 days past due. d. all new customers whose
accounts are between 31 and 60 days past due. __A__ 17. The probability of an event a. is the sum
of the probabilities of the sample points in the event. b. is the product of the probabilities of the
sample points in the event. c. is the maximum of the probabilities of the sample points in the event.
d. is the minimum of the probabilities of the sample points in the event. __C__ 18. If P

Disadvantages Of Event Driven Programming
Event Driven Programming:
Introduction:
There are several up–to–date programming languages are event driven, by means of this is a method
that works fine with computers using GUI operating systems such as Windows. This kind of
programming uses events, actions such as a clicking on a button or moving the mouse pointer over
an object as the activate to run the suitable code handler, although, as the old style of user interface
design, every so often called flow driven, only in progress from one point at the start of the code.
Event Driven programs are characteristically used with GUI operating systems, as events are created
when the operator clicks the mouse on a key button or other item.
Visual Basic Overview:
Visual Basic (VB) is a lot more ... Show more content on Helpwriting.net ...
VB does event–handling role for you, and in detail, the first time code will perform in VB is an
answer to such as an event!
The other main thought that VB has combined is the idea of an objects. Objects delivers a method to
connect code and data into a "set" in this method as to create handling and saving the code / data
more automatically. Visual Basic forms are objects, set menus are objects, and the so are the
inherent VB controls.
History and Advantages of Visual Basic:
Visual Basic was first presented in 1991 by Microsoft. In 1993, as VB version 3 completed itself
accessible, Visual Basic been the 1st priority of all windows–based programming languages.
Visual Basic always stay the superior language for the programmer because VB delivers more
defined code for a computer programmer than any other non–visual programming language.
In other programming languages, maximum programmers had to write the code for the whole
application user interface. In these days Windows, buttons, lists, Boxes and additional application
structures such as set menu were not built–in to the command line programming language.
Visual Basic

Investigating and Expanding the Monty Hall Problem
Investigating and Expanding the Monty Hall Problem
___________________________________________________________
TABLE OF CONTENTS
Chapter 1 Page 3
Introduction
_____________________________________________________________________
Chapter 2 Page 5 Analyzing the problem
_____________________________________________________________________
Chapter 3 Page 10
Expanding the problem
_____________________________________________________________________
Chapter 4 Page 17
Reflection
_____________________________________________________________________
Bibliography Page 19
_____________________________________________________________________
CHAPTER 1: INTRODUCTION
Rationale
My interest in the Monty Hall Problem was first sparked off when I came across a video posted by
AsapSCIENCE on Youtube explaining the Monty Hall Problem. Initially when I watched the video,
the problem did not make much sense to me because I simply could not understand why the most
straightforward and commonsensical answer was wrong. I

Event Planning
Vietnam National University The University of Social Sciences and Humanities The Faculty of
Oriental Studies BUSINESS ENGLISH: PLANNING EVENT SUCCESSFULLY Teacher: Trần
Cao Bội Ngọc, M.A Student: Nguyễn Thị Thiên Thanh Student code: 0665339 Class: Australian
Studies 06 Ho Chi Minh City November 27th, 2009 CONTENT I. Pre–planning 5 1. Forming a
team and assigning tasks 5 2. Brainstorming 6 3. Defining your event 7 4. 4.Setting program goals
and objectives 8 II. Planning stage 8 1. Summary 8 2. Planning 9 1. Draft budget 9 2. ... Show more
In other words, what is best and most successful is to never go out of business– to have one event's
conclusion lead directly into the next event's preplanning. This is the best way for organizations to
continue to improve, reduce burnout of staff, and break the cycle of reinventing the wheel. In fact,
the more you follow planning as a continuum from one event to the next, the easier it gets to achieve
success. 1. Forming a team and assigning Tasks First, running an event alone can be very difficult,
so it's important to recruit others to help. Be sure the members of the organization are invested in
sponsoring the event. They will be more likely to follow through and participate in all the planning
details if they feel a sense of ownership for the event. Designate a chair person for the event to
coordinate and supervise the entire process. Be sure that all of your team to fill out all the proper
forms and obtain signatures. List the interests, abilities, and talents of the people in the group. For
instances, who like to plan, who are skilled at handling logistics (such as organizing parking,
purchasing supplies, and coordinating volunteers), and who can come up with original ideas for
event– and cause–related publicity. Provide opportunities for everyone to brainstorm ideas for the
group's work Trim down the list you develop and set some priorities. Factor

Emily Dickinson : A Comparison Of Death
Emily Dickinson is one of Americas greatest and most original poets of all time. Over the span of
her lifetime she came to compose many poems that pertained to the topic of death, which made it
seem as if she had an almost morbid fascination with the subject. Her poems "I heard a Fly buzz –
when I died", and "Because I could not stop for death–" are some of the many poems that she wrote
on this ghastly topic. Even though the poems are somewhat similar with the main focus being death
from different viewpoints, I personally believe that "I heard a Fly buzz–when I died" was more of a
powerful and impacting poem for various reasons.
In Dickinson's "Because I could not stop for Death–" she mentions death as a person stopping for
the character ... Show more content on Helpwriting.net ...
This shows that death isn't serene or content as shown in "Because I could not stop for death–," but
that it's scary and lonely showing the realistic aspect of death and the weight that it carries.
In the last stanza of "I heard a Fly–when I died" we can see how Dickinson's approach to fatality has
a more serious, realistic, and cold tone "With Blue–uncertain stumbling Buzz–/Between the light–
and me–/And then the Windows failed–and then/I could not see to see." This is what I believe
makes this poem so powerful, the fact that it shows that death has no persona, and that it has no
calm or swift aftermath. I admire this piece by Dickinson because it shows us that death isn't gentle
nor compassionate; it doesn't give us nice endings with beautiful sceneries, but cold truths with flies
and imperfections to surround us as we part from a life we should've lived to the fullest.
In the end this poem impacts my life not because of what was said or written in "I heard a Fly–when
I died," but because of what happens before this poem takes place. This masterpiece by Dickinson
showed me that life is quick to end and that no force on earth can make a death a cheerful one.
Having been exposed to this morbid point of view it somewhat encourages the reader to push on to
do something meaningful in life seeing that in death there's nothing that can be done to leave an
impact on world left behind. Having experienced

MAT201 MOD 1 Essay
TRIDENT UNIVERSITY INTERNATIONAL Done By: Course # MAT201 Case Module 1
Introduction of Probability Instructor: 1. In a poll, respondents were asked if they have traveled to
Europe. 68 respondents indicated that they have traveled to Europe and 124 respondents said that
they have not traveled to Europe. If one of these respondents is randomly selected, what is the
probability of getting someone who has traveled to Europe? Outcome: selecting someone who has
been to Europe 68 and not been to Europe 124. Probabilities: P (traveled to Europe) =68/124 2. The
data set represents the income levels of the members of a golf club. Find the probability that a
randomly selected member earns at least $100,000. ... Show more content on Helpwriting.net ...
Each question has 3 possible answers. Outcome: Random guesses on 3 possible answers
Probabilities: you would have a 1/3 or .33% chance of correctly answering each question. You
would not combine the 4 questions because the questions are independent of each other. 6. Explain
the difference between independent and dependent events. Dependent events are linked to another
event, while independent events are single events. 7. Provide an example of experimental
probability and explain why it is considered experimental. Experimental probability of an event is
the ratio of the number of times the event occurs to the total number of trials. Example: Patrick
flipped a number cube 40 times. A 5 appeared 10 times. The experimental probability of rolling a 5
is 10 out of 40 or 25% 8. The measure of how likely an event will occur is probability. Match the
following probability with one of the statements. There is only one answer per statement. 0 0.25
0.60 1 a. This event is certain and will happen every time.1 b. This event will happen more often
than not. 0.60 c. This event will never happen. 0 d. This event is likely and will occur occasionally.
0.25 9. Flip a coin 25 times and keep track of the results. What is the experimental probability of
landing on tails? What is the theoretical probability of landing on heads or tails? Experimental
probability: out of

4. Probability Of Recurrence:. In The Present Study, Three
4. Probability of recurrence:
In the present study, three stochastic models (Weibull, Gamma and Lognormal) have been used for
the estimation of probability of earthquake recurrence in Gujarat region of India which was rocked
by the great earthquake in 2001. The earthquake data of the region has only five recurrence intervals
of earthquakes magnitude ≥ 6 for the period of study, from 1819 to 2001, and is listed in Table 1.
The estimated mean, standard deviation and aperiodicity (equivalent to the coefficient of variation)
is 36.32, 12.49 years and 0.3438, respectively. The estimated model parameters of different
distributions using method of moments (MOM) are listed in Table 2. The cumulative distribution of
the time intervals is shown in ... Show more content on Helpwriting.net ...
60) from the last great earthquake of 2001 in Figure 3(a,b,c) for Weibull, Gamma and Lognormal
models, respectively. These are the cumulative conditional probabilities that an earthquake will have
occurred at a time = t +  after the last earthquake if it has not occurred at a time t. It is seen from
these curves that the time difference between curves for different values of t at a particular
probability is smallest for the Wiebull, largest for the Lognormal and intermediate for the Gamma
model.
From the analysis we can also determine the waiting times, , to the next great earthquake
corresponding to a specified probability of occurrence as a function of the time since the last great
earthquake occurred, t. This dependence is given in Fig. 4 for all the models. The median waiting
times , p(/t)=0.5, to the next great earthquake as a function of the time t since the last great
earthquake is shown in this figure for all the models. It is clear from the figure that all the models
have median waiting time closely, though, the Weibull model estimates little more median waiting
time as compared to rest of the Gamma and Lognormal models. The maximum difference in the
median waiting times are 1.77, 2.67 and 0.90 years between the Wibull and Gamma, Wibull and
Lognormal, and Gamma and Lognormal models, respectively. All the three models have almost
same median waiting times of

Remembered Event Narrative Essay
Often times we find ourselves thinking about the past only to try to force the memories away and
return to our current delusion. We can never erase the past, but if the past is who we are, then should
we just welcome pain back into our lives? Embarrassment, guilt, and pride betray us as we choose
to bury our darkest memories in our head and look to a positive future without ever having to
readdress them and acknowledge that they had ever happened in the first place. Thinking back now
my weakest moment caught me by complete surprise. "Buhahaha" which is exactly how my friend
Andrew sounds whenever you can honestly make him laugh. I was just smiling at him and coming
up with crazy metaphors, "coke is a roller coaster it has its highs and ... Show more content on
Helpwriting.net ...
I need you home now." This was my wakeup call and I knew that I had to hurry home. "I'm coming
home now mom. I'll be there in a bit. Everything is going to be alright." Keeping my composure I
went to the NHS president and told her that I had a family emergency and that I had to go. For some
reason she was giving me a hard time about it but after seeing my eyes she asked if everything was
alright. I just said I had to go and she finally let me go without asking anything further of me. I
darted out of the cafeteria doors taking a right on the first floor hall way on the east side of the
building and then a left I went through one of the schools entrances on 59th court. I live on the same
street as the school just three miles away. At that moment I felt stranded. I did not have my "proper
gear" to run it as fast as I could and at the time for some reason I did not bring my car to school.
However, I knew I had to get home fast so I took off. As the cars passed me I lost myself in my
head. I was not crying or even sad. I was unsure of how I should react. Then the thoughts of what if
I never get to talk to him again ran through my head. That is when the tears started to pour down my
cheeks as I continued to pant. I was maybe six or seven blocks away from my house when I was
starting to have a break down mentally and physically. The lactic acid in my legs was making it hard
for me to raise them as I continued to move my legs. Then I started to complain in my

Acct/270 Week 4 Research Paper
CSIT 270 Homework 6
Q1.1
Ans 1.1 If S is a finite sample space of equal likely outcomes and E is an event , that is a subset of S
Then the probability of E is :
P(E) =
The probability that a five–card poker hand does not contain the queen of hearts is determined as
follows:
If 5 cards are drawn then chances of not getting the queen of hearts in the first draw is
If there is no chance getting the queen of hearts in drawn and the chance of not getting it in 2nd
draw is
If there is no chance getting the queen of hearts in drawn and the chance of not getting it in 3rd draw
is
If there is no chance getting the queen of hearts in drawn and the chance of not getting it in 4th draw
is
If there is no chance getting the queen of hearts ... Show more content on Helpwriting.net ...
a) The probability of no failures
b) the probability of at least one failure
c) the probability of at most one failure
d) probability of at least two failures
Ans 5:
Given that n independent Bernoulli trails are carried out with probability of success being p
The probility of failure is 1 – p
( a) : The probability of no failure is the same as the probability of all sucessess
(b): The probability of atleast one failure is the sum of probability of 1,2,3,....... N failures which is
the same as deductiong no failures from total probablility 1
1–

(c): the probabiltyi of atmost one failure is the sum of the probability of most one failure
+ + n(1–p)
(d):
The probability that there are atleast 2 failures is the sum of the probabilities of 2,3, ..... n failures
It is the same as subtracting the probabilities of 1 and 0 failures from the total probability 1.
1– [ +
= 1– [ + n(1–p)]
6. Suppose that E and F are events in a sample space and p(E)=1/3, p(F)=1/2 and p(E|F)=2/5. Find

Events Event At Riccarton Park Function Centre
Graduate Diploma
Event Logistics
AMEL600
Assessment One: Presentation
Event Observation Exercise for Event Logistics
Semester One 2016
Lecturer: Kat Ralph–Triebels
Student Name: Xiaochen Gong
Student I.D.: 99138745
Submission date: Monday 13 June 2016
1. Event Title and Description
The event I have observed was the Canterbury Japan Day on Sunday 6 March 2016. The event took
place at Riccarton Park Function Centre, Riccarton Racecourse from 10 am to 5 pm. The Canterbury
Japan Day is an annual event organized by The Japanese Society of Canterbury. Its aim is to share
Japanese culture with all New Zealanders.
The Canterbury Japan Day presented the traditional Japanese Winter New Year. The event was open
to all public of all ages which was full of fun, delicious food and educational attractions of Japanese
culture. 14749 visitors were recorded on that day including people from countries all over the world.
The event consisted of outside stage, inside event and stalls outdoor. The theme of the festival this
year is winter. For outside stage, there was a big stage in front of the Function Centre which was
established for performances, including singing, drumming and concert etc. The inside event was
held in the Function Centre Building. The feature attraction was the demonstration of Japanese New
Year Day, activities such as kids target shooting, origami, kite–making, tea ceremony, flower
arrangement and painting exhibition etc. Besides, outdoor stalls were another

Personal Narrative: The Joys Of Starting High School
Starting high school gave me the opportunity to meet new people, learn new things, and play new
sports. Growing up, my parents would let me join as many clubs as possible and play as many sports
as I could. Entering the 9th grade gave me the chance to try out for the track and field team. It was
something new for me. Since I was 5'7" and could jump fairly high my main event was jumping
hurdles. I also did the long jump and triple jump as well. Let's just say one day after jumping one of
my hurdles it did not end well at all. My first week at practice was very difficult for me, let's not
forget it was my freshman year. The conditioning week is mandatory to go to in the first week.
Running up and down hills, running endless laps around the track, ... Show more content on
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It was so many different teams there and so many new people that I have never seen before. I sat up
in the stands nervous, butterflies in my stomach, feeling like I would vomit at any minute. I watched
people warm up on the sidelines and on the track. Some girls in the upper class were already
running their practice jumps, so I joined them also. I lowered the hurdles and completed my leg
warm ups. I heard the girl on the speaker say "first call for 100–meter hurdles", I went and sat down
so I would not waste all of my energy and be worn out before my race. After the second and third
call for 100m hurdles, I went to the starting line. Since I was in the first heat I went first. The
starting line was my enemy at that moment. I got in a starting position and waited for the sound of
the gunshot. The coach from the other school got on the sideline and said, "Ready, Set, *pow*."
That was the moment when I knew I had to take off as fast as I could to beat everyone in the race.
My first few steps were powerful. I got right in front of my first hurdle and jumped over it perfectly.
I glanced to the left and right of me quickly and saw that there were no one by my side. I felt good
at this time. I kept running through all ten hurdles just fine, thinking that I had just won the race.
Everything changed when I got to the last hurdle, my leg had hit it. All I could hear was the loud
sound of the metal bar hitting the

Snapchat Event Planning
Have you been asked to host an event and want to find a way to make it unique and remembered by
those who take part? If so, you'll love the new Snapchat feature that allows you to create a custom
geofilter specifically for this event. It will only be available for a limited period of time, less than 24
hours, and can only be accessed by those in the specific location where the event is to be held.
Snapchat continues to grow in popularity, and millions are using it on a daily basis. Make sure you
include them in your event planning by allowing them to take photos and videos making use of your
custom filter. Following are a few of the many ways these filters may be used.
Weddings
Allow guests to take pictures at your wedding and use a geofilter with your names or the date of
your big day. You may also choose to add fun graphics to the photos, such as a knot or a ball and
chain, whatever reflects your personality as a couple. The ... Show more content on Helpwriting.net
...
They cannot contain any branding or logos or they won't be approved. In addition, businesses may
select this option for an event, although Snapchat has strict guidelines here also. When working with
us, we ensure you stay within these guidelines before your design is submitted.
Contact us to learn more about the custom geofilter option available to Snapchat users. It's the
perfect way to add something extra to your event, whether it be a corporate event, a wedding or
another special occasion. We work with you to create a custom filter that truly meets your needs in
every way, then we handle the process of submitting it to Snapchat for approval. We'll need a week
lead time to create and submit this filter, so be sure to plan ahead. Your guests are sure to love this
addition to your event and will be talking about it for some time to come. Furthermore, we offer
geofilters for businesses that offer more flexibility. Be sure to contact us about those

The Importance Of Decision Making In Public Administration
Decision–making is very vital in the study of administration. Decision–making is the act of deciding
the best choice or alternative that brings success or advantage to a situation that will ensure
maximum benefits and least risk. Probability can be applied to decision–making in public
administration because it is possible to estimate the probability of occurrence of specific events. A
part of decision–making in relationship to public administration has to do with goals. The
probability of you meeting those goals depends on decision–making. For example a restaurant
owner has received more revenue on Thursdays than on any other day And less Revenue on
Saturdays than any other day. The owner has looked at everything that could have influenced his
sales. The owner realized that the only things that were different on Thursdays than any other day
was the chief special and the drink special. According to the receipts of the last four Thursdays the
probability that a customer orders a drink special is 60%. The probability that a customer orders the
chief special is 50%. The probability of them ordering both is 42%. This shows the restaurant owner
that Thursdays drink special should be considered on both Thursdays and Saturdays.
Effective decision–making is very important on how probability can be applied therefore effective
decision–making must be rational. As mentioned before, people who are deciding rationally are
attempting to reach goals in a systematic way. They make sure

Kpmg
Question 1:
Sample space: a list of all possible outcomes of the random experiment
Event: a collection or set of one or more simple events in a sample space
Probability of an event: the sum of the probabilities of the simple events
Random experiment: an action or process that leads to one of several possible outcomes
The first step in the process of assigning probabilities is to produce a list of the outcomes. The list of
outcomes must be exhaustive, which means all possible outcomes must be included. Additionally,
the outcomes must be mutually exclusive, which means no two outcomes can occur at the same
time.
Question 2:
Consider the following events:
O= The students does not have a credit card in their own name
C= The ... Show more content on Helpwriting.net ...
The common cards is turned over, and it's the jack of spades. The probability that your opponent has
a pair is 0.33.
Given the private cards you were dealt and the common card dealt to you and your opponent, there
is a 0 probability that you win, a 0.67 probability that you lose, and a 0.33 probability of tie.
FAN'S NOTES: 0+0.67+0.33=1
Question 7: (data for this question is missing)
N= the event that the user is not a social worker
E=the event that the user sends email to friends every day
O=the event that the user doesn't send email to friends every day
FAN's NOTES: in this case, there are two categories – social worker and send email every day.
What is the probability that this randomly selected user doesn't send email to friends everyday?
(0.85)
What is the probability that the randomly selected user is not a social worker who doesn't send email
to friends everyday? (0.41) (joint probability)
What is the probability that a user doesn't send email to friends every day, given that he is not a
social worker? (0.93) (conditional probability)
Events O and N are not independent.
Question 8: 看美景还是看沙漠对于学习和旅游的影响（我上课讲过的例子）

Question 9:

Fallacy: An Analytical Approach To The Gambler's Fallacy
Table of Contents
Page Number
1. Introduction ......................................................
2. Aim ................................
3. Rationale.........................
4. Mathematical Presentation...................
5. Conclusion and Reflection .........................
6. Bibliography .......................................................
1. Introduction
My title of the exploration is "Analyzing of the Gambler's Fallacy". An analytical approach to the
Gambler's Fallacy, so that I can know how accurate is the probability of the Gambler's Fallacy.
According to the Investopedia, "When an individual erroneously believes that the onset of a certain
random event is less likely to happen following an event or a series of events. This line of thinking
is incorrect because past events do not change the probability that certain events will occur in the
future." Gambler's Fallacy is about our incorrect thinking of predicting what will happen next by the
events happened before or the previous probability. For example, I did a coin toss for 10 times and I
got 8 heads and 2 tails. According to the Gambler's Fallacy, it is less likely to have head because it is
frequently happened in the previous 10 trials. Although, the probability of having head or tail does
not matter with the previous probabilities of the 10 coin toss.
There is other fallacy related to Gambler's Fallacy and it is called "Hot–hand Fallacy". Hot–hand
Fallacy is about thinking of ... Show more content on Helpwriting.net ...
The weakness of my experiment is that the experiment cannot consider about the lucks or destinies.
Gambler's Fallacy is about gambler thinking about lucks or destinies, and every people have
different lucks and destinies in different time. So, sometimes the Gambler's Fallacy may be wrong
according to the person's luck or destiny. However, according to the probabilities, Gambler's Fallacy
is

Dice and Probability
DICE AND PROBABILITY LAB
Learning outcome:
Upon completion, students will be able to... * Compute experimental and theoretical probabilities
using basic laws of probability.
Scoring/Grading Rubric: * Part 1: 5 points * Part 2: 5 points * Part 3: 22 points (2 per sum of 2–12)
* Part 4: 5 points * Part 5: 5 points * Part 6: 38 points (4 per sum of 4–12, 2 per sum of 3) * Part 7:
10 points * Part 8: 10 points
Introduction:
While it is fairly simple to understand the outcomes of a single die roll, the outcomes when rolling
two dice are a little more complicated. The goal of this lab is to get a better understanding of these
outcomes and the probabilities that go with them. We will examine and ... Show more content on
Helpwriting.net ...
(10 pts) How do your experimental probabilities compare to the theoretical probabilities of rolling
different sums on a pair of dice? Did you have the same probabilities? Was your data relatively
close?
They had different probabilities, however they were relatively close to each other.
8. (10 pts) How do you think the experimental probabilities would compare to the theoretical
probabilities if we rolled the pair of dice 500 times? 1,000 times? 1,000,000 times?
I believe they would become closer and closer to the theoretical probabilities as we rolled more

Types And Scope Of Event
Type and Scope of Event Before planning a successful event, ask why is this event happening in the
first place? Does the event have a purpose? I love planning events, especially ones that raise money
for charities. Hosting a charity ball is a fantastic fundraiser because it will give supporters a fun and
glamourous night out, with a hint of elegance. Adults can dress up, enjoy delicious food, sip some
wine, and dance to some groovy music. As an event planner, I have been selected to plan a charity
ball to raise money for the St. Jude's Children's Research Hospital. The goal of this event is to raise
money for such an important cause and bring hope in finding a cure for cancer. Charity for a Cure
will be one of the most talked about upcoming events in the Southern Illinois Area.
Capabilities
Charity for a Cure has the capability to be very successful and memorable. Many charity events
usually have more than one goal. The goals of this event are not only to raise money for an
important cause, but also to create a night that guests will never forget. Creating a memorable event
does not begin when people arrive and leave the event. Most often, the experience of an event
begins when someone hears about the event for the very first time. Charity for a Cure has the
capability to raise at least $25,000 for St. Jude's. Guests will pay for their tables, which will include
an entry fee and dinner. Most of the money raised will come from both auctions, as well as the
support of local

Drunkard's Walk By Mlodinow Summary
This is not a self–help book for alcoholics as one may assume. This is a book about probability,
chance, randomness and the roles they play in our lives and how we misinterpret the significance of
life from a small conversation to a huge economic setback and draw improper conclusions.
Consequently, successes and defeats in life are frequently accredited to obvious cases, when in
reality they are prompted by chance. The term drunkard's walk is a mathematical process that
essentially is a process of random meanderings, in which one or more variables change value in a
series of random steps. This is a good metaphor for our process of life because even though we may
think we have a direction, make plans, and work hard to get to where we are in ... Show more
For instance, when a coin is tossed once, the anticipated result of it landing on heads or tails is fifty
percent. You could toss the coin five times and the coin could land on heads five times in a row, but
the anticipated result remains 50 percent. The more times you toss the coin, the closer the
anticipated result of landing on heads or tails will be to fifty percent, although the coin might land
on the same side numerous times in a row, as the number of tosses increases, the percentage of times
the coin will land on heads will congregate close to fifty percent. How many trials we must
complete to obtain a result that's close to the real value at a certain confidence. When people see real
random series of coin tosses it looks weird to them because that is not what they are expecting.
Mlodinow says, the key to understanding this, is Gerolamo Cardano's method. To place the odds for
any event, we must construct a "sample space" of all the possible turn outs. If we were to use the
example of a woman having two children the first being a girl, the chance that the second child
would also be a girl is 50–50, correct? This is not correct. Cardano's method tells us that the
possibilities are girl–boy, boy–girl, and girl–girl. The chance that second child is also a girl is

Design Architecture For A Multimodal System Based On...
In this chapter, we will show step by step how to design architecture for a multimodal system based
on complex event processing , we take an example of put that there system because its reference the
base of multimodal system.
4.1 Define the problem – domain
"Put That There" the bolt system is a voice and gesture interactive system implemented at the
Architecture Machine Group at MIT. It allows a user to build and modify a graphical database on a
large Format video Display. The Goal of the research is a simple, conversational interface for
sophisticated computer interaction. Natural languages and gestures are used, while speech output
allows the system to query the user on ambiguous input. Bolt's System is primarily a voice–
interactive ... Show more content on Helpwriting.net ...
This is particularly evident with connected speech recognizers, which are nonetheless more
attractive for many applica¬tions, as they allow more natural spoken input.
We use speech recognizers to transform speech to text using grammar below.
Grammar:
public = ()| (there) | (move) (that) | (delete)| (this); = create | put; = [a] (yellow | red | blue | black |
green); = square | triangle | circle | rectangle;
The equivalence of the grammar using graphs: Figure 9 Graphs describe the grammar
Commands:
"Create or put": "Create a blue square." Effect of complete utterance is a "call" to the create routine
which needs object to be created (with attributes) as well as x, y pointing input from mouse or eye
Tribe.
"Move": "Move that there" effect a displacement from old position the new one pointing by mouse
or eye Tribe too. "Delete": "Delete that" this command used to deleting an object by pointing input.
"There or this": those command help to extract the pointing input from mouse.
The grammars above help us to extract only what we want as speech and ignore the rest. After using
this grammar we extract sentence or words like:
Create a yellow square.
Put a red circle.
There
Delete
This
Move that
b) Keyboard and Mouse (input): After the speech the user can use the mouse with a simple left
click, to point the position where he wants to create or select or

Critical Risk Assessment and Milestone Schedule Essay
Critical Risk Assessment and Milestones Schedule
Critical Risk Assessment and Milestones Schedule
Danielle Sain
Grand Canyon University
Strategic Management
MGT660
June 1, 2011
Critical Risk Assessment and Milestones Schedule Rocky Mountain Event Planning has an
enormous strength by offering its planning services worldwide. This enables Rocky Mountain to
obtain numerous vendor relationships with organizations across the world and gives their clients a
number of options to choose from, especially if those vendors operate nationally or internationally.
Another key strength would be the locale of where Rocky Mountain is based out of. Colorado and
the scenery it has to offer is an incredible attraction for people looking to ... Show more content on
Helpwriting.net ...
This has the possibility of causing problems due to the owner not being available on a consistent
basis, but with the company just starting out and consumer spending at a low, this should not submit
a significant level of uncertainty towards the company. In today's economy, a major hurdle Rocky
Mountain will need to overcome is marketing to customers and convincing them that employing an
event planner to help in putting on their event is the best option for them. People facilitating events
normally plan the events themselves for cost savings, but with that comes a lot of their time that has
to be devoted to the event. It would be Rocky Mountains job to try and convince them that saving
time that they would be putting forth would also help in cost savings. Another hurdle that could
Rocky Mountain anticipates is trying to branch out internationally. There are many citizens in
foreign countries that have a negative image on the United States so Rocky Mountain needs to be
enticing to those individuals and convince them to perhaps visit the United States and hopefully
have their event here or vice versa. Management and employees would not flock to just one
leadership style while working for Rocky Mountain. The styles the owner would like to see in its
employees would be a combination of authoritative and affiliative styles. Encompassing an
authoritative style will help

Introduction. So, While Doing My Best To Effectively Research
Introduction
So, while doing my best to effectively research the subject enough to write a paper on it, it became
rather apparent that I was not mathematically inclined enough to fully understand how the law
actually works. However, I was able to understand that the law has gone through a very long period
of time where researchers and theorists have worked and worked to prove that there is some form of
proof that this is more than a random occurrence, but still haven't come up with any REAL answer
or proof. To be more clear, most of the literature about the history of the subject, stretches so far as
to say that people truly believed that Benford's Law was more of a strange coincidence, or an act of
god, rather than proof of statistical ... Show more content on Helpwriting.net ...
The actual measures of probability were discovered by the creator of Benford's Law, Frank Benford,
when he decided to test a strange occurrence described by an American astronomer by the name of
Simon Newcomb. In 1881, Newcomb noticed that the earlier pages of a textbook containing
logarithm tables, mainly with the leading number of one, were significantly more worn that latter
pages. Benford decided to see if there actually was a statistical reasoning to this.
Is this Relevant?
Benford took Newcomb's findings to a new level and began taking roughly 20,229 different
observations from a varied range of areas all the way from residential addresses to death rates
throughout many different areas. It was through this that he placed a value on the probability of the
occurrence of certain numbers within groups of related numerical data, thus providing the values
displayed above. (Nigrini, 1999) Considering the relatedness of the groups of numbers, but not
exactly the same context, we can then assume that Benford's Law would hold true for any group of
related data.
Hiding within another document I poured myself into in order to better understand the subject, I
noticed another "coincidence." The article reiterated much of the background information regarding
the law and what it is for, but further down the line it provided another form of testing. It discussed
that for their

Probability: Australian Curriculum Relating To Mathematics
Probability is the final strand of the Australian curriculum relating to mathematics. Students using
probability are "experimenting various theoretical approaches"– Australian Curriculum (2016).
Probability is when you divide the number of outcomes in which an event can occur by the number
of possible outcomes (Lakin, 2010, p.p131).
My experience and knowledge has expanded while studying probability in this unit. It has been
developed in activities such as MathSpace and WIKA (appendix m). MathSpace helped me refresh
my existing knowledge of probability and updating it with new information. Without the help of
MathSpace, I would have not known how to do the MCT rounds. Consequently, the other topic that
helped me was week six WIKA. That week

Mathematical Analysis of Point Scoring in Tennis
AIM OF THE EXPLORATION
Way of scoring in Tennis makes it a different from other games. The unique point is that the scoring
at the point level is not cumulative and hence, it is possible for a player scoring less points than her
or his opponent to win a match. In this portfolio, we will explore
 How to construct a probabilistic model for a tennis match in which the probabilities of winning
points are used to analyze the probability of winning matches.
 Charts, which will illustrate the consequences of this model and some numerical results are
highlighted to indicate how raw match data might be used to indicate how a player might improve
her or his game.
 The concept of a "big" shot is examined within this model and the possibility of a "big" shot
turning a losing game into a winning game is addressed. INTRODUCTION One of the advance
developments which supplements to television commentary for tennis matches is the computer
analysis of the results from charting of matches. Charting is the facility that the computer provides
to create, tabulate, and cross–referencing data from the charts has made information easily
accessible. The computer can make use of the charts to provide information on the progress of a
match or data for analysis of the strengths and weaknesses of a player over several or many
matches. The basic question that follows is "How players can put the data to their best use?" "How
well does a player have to play to get a big point?"
In

Roulette Chapter 3.1 Summary
Chapter 3.1: History of Probability . Roulette Roulette is a game where a person plays not against
another person but against a wheel. Roulette has thirty–eight compartments where 1–36 are
numbered and are colored either black or red. The remaining two are numbered 0 and 00 and are
colored green. People place their bets by placing their chips into their spots on the roulette table.
Then the dealer spins the wheel and drops a ball onto that spinning wheel and then the ball stops in
one of the compartments. The compartment that the ball lands in is the compartment on the table
that wins as well. Example: If someone bets $10 worth of chips onto number 8 compartment on the
roulette compartment and then the ball lands on the number 8 slot on the wheel then the person gets
$10 35 = $350. The reason that you multiple it by 35 is due to the 35 to 1 odds of landing on space
8. Cards ... Show more content on Helpwriting.net ...
In a deck of cards there are four hearts, clubs, diamonds, and spades. The diamonds and hearts are
red, while the spades and clubs are black. The picture cards are jack, queen, king, and ace. Example:
How many hearts are there in a deck of cards? What fraction of the deck is hearts? Four and ¼.
Chapter 3.2: Basic Terms of Probability Basic Probability Terms Example: If you roll a die, then....
Experiment: rolling the die Possible outcomes: 1,2,3,4,5,6 Sample space: S= {1,2,3,4,5,6} Events:
E₁= {3} – rolling a number 3 E₂= {2, 4, 6} – rolling an even number E₃= {1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6} – you roll
a number between 1 and 6. E₃= {1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6} is a certain event. 17 out of this is an impossible
event due to the fact that there is no possible way for 17 to be in that grouping. Which leads to an
empty set. Probabilities and Odds
Example: A coin is flipped, find the following... Find the sample space Find the probability of event
E₁, getting

Conditional Probability For Statisticians
Conditional Probability
Huafeng Zhang
I. Introduction
Everyone in a way use conditional probability even if they don't realize the science behind it. Non–
statisticians use conditional probability without recognizing it mostly when they make decisions or
judgments, for example they will be less likely to lend money to people who borrowed his money
but haven 't returned the money back. Statisticians think of conditional probability in both logical
and quantitative way.
II. Conditional Probability for Statisticians
For statisticians, conditional probability is everywhere. They will strictly define the events before
computing the conditional probability and use the properties or Bayes' theorem to find the
conditional probability.
Statisticians understand that conditional probability derives from the concept of probability.
Probability is a number between zero and one, which measures the likelihood that an event will
occur. The bigger the probability is, the more likely this event is going to happen. The conditional
probability of event A happens given that event B occurs can be written as P(A|B)=(P(A∩B))/(P(B))
where P(A∩B) is the probability that both events A and B happen, P(B) is the probability that event
B occurs. For example,in order to test if the athletes actually use steroid given the test results are
positive, assuming we know the probability that the test results are positive is 0.6 and the probability
that the test results are positive and the athletes use steroid

Remembered Event Essay
Writing that pertains to a memorable event in one's life can be exhausting but can also make a
person feel elated. This type of writing will allow you to reflect on past endeavors while still being
able to connect to what occurred. A remembered event must provide vivid descriptions because it
was an important part of your life and you want the reader's to be able to imagine the events that
took place. There are a few tips you must be aware of when reflecting or writing on a remembered
event. First, ensure that your opening sentence captures the reader's attention. For example, your
essay can commence with a funny quote. You want the readers to stay interested in your story until
the very end so write about an event that somehow impacted your life. Make the reader feel as
though they are apart of the story or they could have been. ... Show more content on Helpwriting.net
...
Using lively descriptions on an event can have the readers envision what is occurring in your story.
Lively descriptions can be in the form of dialogues, prepositional phrase, naming and clock time
(when the event took place). Then, you can also use your emotions to help your readers better
understand what this event meant to you and how it makes you feel. Reader's will be able to connect
to your story through the emotions you convey. Finally, write a meaningful conclusion that
encompasses what your essay is about. Also, have someone review your essay critically and take all
the necessary pointers into consideration. Using a vast amount of vocabulary words will enhance
your writing and it would also aid you in avoiding repetitions. Always remember to make the essay
as entertaining and meaningful for the readers. The success of a remembered event writing depends
on how effective the story is

Life At The Hilton Daytona Beach Oceanfront Resort
Hilton World Wide When I started at the Hilton Daytona Beach Oceanfront Resort, I didn't really
know what to expect. One of my best friends, James, worked in the banquet department for as long
as I could remember, and he helped me get a job. This was my first real job that I ended up staying
at for a long time. At first, just like anybody seeking a job, I was curious, but worried at the same
time, so I asked James for his perspective on the job because I was just nervous I wouldn't fit in, or I
just wasn't the right job for me. I never would have thought I would end up spending eight years of
my life in the hospitality business. Conrad N. Hilton founded the company in 1919 in Cisco, TX and
opened the first "Hilton" hotel in Dallas, TX ... Show more content on Helpwriting.net ...
The most important thing about the B.E.O.s is the time. Because there are so many events that
happen one after another, one event usually requires all hands on deck. To me, teamwork and
communication is the most important thing in the banquet department because everybody has a role
in making sure that the event is flawless all while exceeding the guests' needs in any situation. The
Food & Beverage jobs vary from location to location but can range anywhere from an entry level to
an executive level. Depending on the position in Banquets, Catering, or Convention Services, Hilton
offers top–notch job training, leadership skills, and support. The Hilton's values as a company are in
its name itself. They are hospitality, for giving the guests an extraordinary experience, integrity by
doing the right thing, all the time, leadership to be leaders in the hospitality industry, teamwork by
working together as one big team, ownership by owning up to our decisions and actions we make,
and now by operating with discipline and urgency. It is critical for employees of Hilton Worldwide
to have all of the skills to do their jobs effectively while gaining knowledge and learning
experiences to a successful team member. Hilton Worldwide also has extensive training virtually in
the Hilton Worldwide University and has offers over 2,500 different

Benford's Law And Where It Came From?
Benford's Law and where it came from?
According to Oxford dictionary, Benford's law is the principle that in any large, randomly produced
set of natural numbers, such as tables of logarithms or corporate sales statistics, around 30 percent
will begin with the digit 1, 18 percent with 2, and so on, with the smallest percentage beginning
with 9. The law is applied in analyzing the validity of statistics and financial records.
Benford's law is a mathematical theory of leading digits that was discovered by American
astronomer Simon Newcomb. In 1881 he have noticed, that the pages of logarithms book beginning
with number 1 were more worn than pages dealing with higher digits. In comparison to pages
starting with 1, they looked more clean and new. He calculated that the probability that a number
has any particular non–zero first digit is:
P(d)=Log10(1+1/d)
Where: d is a number 1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8 or 9
And P is the probability.
Using that formula he concluded that all digits don't appear with equal frequency but number 1
appear as the first digit about 30 % of the time, as supposed to digit 9 that appear less than 5 % of
the time. However, he didn't provide any theoretical explanation for his phenomena he described
and it was son forgotten. In 1938, Frank Benford, a physicist, also noticed nonuniform way of digit
distribution. He attempted to test his hypothesis by collecting and analyzing his data. After having
over 20,000 observations, he noticed that numbers fell into a

The Drunkard's Walk Chapter 1 Summary
The chapter 6 from the book "The Drunkard's Walk: How Randomness Rules Our Lives" by
Leonard is "False Positives and Positive Failures". At first, it discusses Thomas Bayes theory of
conditional probability, and there are some conspiracy theories confuse the direction of conditional.
Then it tells that Richard price created actuary science, however, the wise way is updating posterior
probabilities after evidence and prior probabilities, and it is important to ask the rate of false
positives for diagnostic tests. People must know how false positive rate compares to the true
prevalence of disease, and when assessing test results need to know if u, r in a high–risk group.
From the event, it is obvious that the fallacy ignores false positive rate.

The Holocaust Is Remembered As One Of The Most Vicious Events
The Holocaust is remembered as one of the most vicious events in history. We have gotten the
chance to try and comprehend the pain that such evil genocide left on many, through those who
witnessed it. Who sorely revive it, in an attempt to make sure that the world never forgets the
millions of Jews that were unjustly tortured and murdered. It is sad to realize that many of these
witnesses are getting older, and that many of them have died. Among them was author, professor,
and activist Elizer "Elie" Wiesel, who just passed away a few days ago. As a professor he influenced
many, but through his novels he managed to give his readers a glimpse of the horrors he survived
during the Holocaust. He was a peaceful man who fought for human rights and won the Nobel
Peace Prize in 1986 (Almasy, Sanchez). Many say that he was not only a leader for the Jewish
community, but for all mankind (qtd. in Maslin, Correal). Wiesel became chairman of the
Presidential Commission on the Holocaust, in 1978; thanks to his hard work the United States
Holocaust Memorial Museum was established in Washington (Almasy, Sanchez). Nonetheless, his
legacy will remain alive through his precious memoirs. I think that the main point of Wiesel's novel,
Night, is to understand what Wiesel believed the Jews had lost during the Holocaust, specifically in
the concentration camps. He describes multiple moments in which fear had completely changed him
and the world around him. According to Wiesel, he felt as if the

Events, Conferences & Exhibitions
Unit 17 – Events, conferences & exhibitions Update on events, conferences and exhibitions –
P1, P2, P3, M1 & D1 P1 – Describe the event, conference and exhibitions environment in the
UK Types of event Corporate hospitality Corporate hospitality is a private event held by
corporations and businesses to entertain and build good relationships with their staff and clients and
to encourage new businesses. For example a company hires a venue such as the Hinitze Hall in the
Natural History Museum which offers galleries for a range of evening events with catering facilities
and staff which will be used only by the business team. Team–building events Team building events
are events in which members of a business bond ... Show more content on Helpwriting.net ...
These events are not always open to the public but aim to generate press coverage and publicity.
Music events and festivals range from popular music concerts to classical performances. This
includes festival such as Reading and Leeds. The music magazine NME provides information about
all the upcoming festivals and concerts on their website. Wedding fairs are often held in hotels
because it is easier for customers to access the wedding related goods and services when they are
put into one place. Reunions are popular events which help people to get in touch with friends they
have not seen and spoken for many years. Reunions are held in venues with hospitality facilities like
any other event. An example is the Friends Reunited website. Types of conference Political
conferences Political conferences are party political conferences which are held every year for a
general meeting of a political party. The conferences are attended by certain delegates who represent
the party membership. In most political parties, the party conference is the highest decision–making
body of the organisation, tasked with electing or nominating the party's leaders or leadership bodies.
Popular venues which are hired for political conferences include Brighton, Blackpool or
Bournemouth which mainly rely on conference business outside the summer holiday season so such
conferences provide significant revenue.

Our Group Organized A Science Event

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