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Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Ch. 2-1
Statistics for
Business and Economics
7th Edition
Chapter 2
Describing Data: Numerical
Chapter Goals
After completing this chapter, you should be able to:
 Compute and interpret the mean, median, and mode for a
set of data
 Find the range, variance, standard deviation, and
coefficient of variation and know what these values mean
 Apply the empirical rule to describe the variation of
population values around the mean
 Explain the weighted mean and when to use it
 Explain how a least squares regression line estimates a
linear relationship between two variables
Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Ch. 2-2
Chapter Topics
 Measures of central tendency, variation, and
shape
 Mean, median, mode, geometric mean
 Quartiles
 Range, interquartile range, variance and standard
deviation, coefficient of variation
 Symmetric and skewed distributions
 Population summary measures
 Mean, variance, and standard deviation
 The empirical rule and Bienaymé-Chebyshev rule
Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Ch. 2-3
Chapter Topics
 Five number summary and box-and-whisker
plots
 Covariance and coefficient of correlation
 Pitfalls in numerical descriptive measures and
ethical considerations
Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall
(continued)
Ch. 2-4
Describing Data Numerically
Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall
Arithmetic Mean
Median
Mode
Describing Data Numerically
Variance
Standard Deviation
Coefficient of Variation
Range
Interquartile Range
Central Tendency Variation
Ch. 2-5
Measures of Central Tendency
Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall
Central Tendency
Mean Median Mode
n
x
x
n
1i
i

Overview
Midpoint of
ranked values
Most frequently
observed value
Arithmetic
average
Ch. 2-6
2.1
Arithmetic Mean
 The arithmetic mean (mean) is the most
common measure of central tendency
 For a population of N values:
 For a sample of size n:
Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall
Sample size
n
xxx
n
x
x n21
n
1i
i


  Observed
values
N
xxx
N
x
μ N21
N
1i
i


 
Population size
Population
values
Ch. 2-7
Arithmetic Mean
 The most common measure of central tendency
 Mean = sum of values divided by the number of values
 Affected by extreme values (outliers)
Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall
(continued)
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Mean = 3
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Mean = 4
3
5
15
5
54321


4
5
20
5
104321


Ch. 2-8
Median
 In an ordered list, the median is the “middle”
number (50% above, 50% below)
 Not affected by extreme values
Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Median = 3
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Median = 3
Ch. 2-9
Finding the Median
 The location of the median:
 If the number of values is odd, the median is the middle number
 If the number of values is even, the median is the average of
the two middle numbers
 Note that is not the value of the median, only the
position of the median in the ranked data
Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall
dataorderedtheinposition
2
1n
positionMedian


2
1n 
Ch. 2-10
Mode
 A measure of central tendency
 Value that occurs most often
 Not affected by extreme values
 Used for either numerical or categorical data
 There may may be no mode
 There may be several modes
Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Mode = 9
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
No Mode
Ch. 2-11
Review Example
Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall
 Five houses on a hill by the beach
$2,000 K
$500 K
$300 K
$100 K
$100 K
House Prices:
$2,000,000
500,000
300,000
100,000
100,000
Ch. 2-12
Review Example:
Summary Statistics
Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall
 Mean: ($3,000,000/5)
= $600,000
 Median: middle value of ranked data
= $300,000
 Mode: most frequent value
= $100,000
House Prices:
$2,000,000
500,000
300,000
100,000
100,000
Sum 3,000,000
Ch. 2-13
Which measure of location
is the “best”?
Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall
 Mean is generally used, unless extreme
values (outliers) exist . . .
 Then median is often used, since the median
is not sensitive to extreme values.
 Example: Median home prices may be reported for
a region – less sensitive to outliers
Ch. 2-14
Shape of a Distribution
 Describes how data are distributed
 Measures of shape
 Symmetric or skewed
Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall
Mean = MedianMean < Median Median < Mean
Right-SkewedLeft-Skewed Symmetric
Ch. 2-15
Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall
Geometric Mean
 Geometric mean
 Used to measure the rate of change of a variable
over time
 Geometric mean rate of return
 Measures the status of an investment over time
 Where xi is the rate of return in time period i
1/n
n21
n
n21g )xx(x)xx(xx  
1)x...x(xr 1/n
n21g 
Ch. 2-16
Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall
Example
An investment of $100,000 rose to $150,000 at the
end of year one and increased to $180,000 at end
of year two:
$180,000X$150,000X$100,000X 321 
50% increase 20% increase
What is the mean percentage return over time?
Ch. 2-17
Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall
Example
Use the 1-year returns to compute the arithmetic
mean and the geometric mean:
30.623%131.6231(1000)
1(20)][(50)
1)x(xr
1/2
1/2
1/n
21g



35%
2
(20%)(50%)
X 


Arithmetic
mean rate
of return:
Geometric
mean rate
of return:
Misleading result
More
accurate
result
(continued)
Ch. 2-18
Measures of Variability
Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall
Same center,
different variation
Variation
Variance Standard
Deviation
Coefficient of
Variation
Range Interquartile
Range
 Measures of variation give
information on the spread
or variability of the data
values.
Ch. 2-19
2.2
Range
 Simplest measure of variation
 Difference between the largest and the smallest
observations:
Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall
Range = Xlargest – Xsmallest
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Range = 14 - 1 = 13
Example:
Ch. 2-20
Disadvantages of the Range
 Ignores the way in which data are distributed
 Sensitive to outliers
Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall
7 8 9 10 11 12
Range = 12 - 7 = 5
7 8 9 10 11 12
Range = 12 - 7 = 5
1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,2,2,2,2,2,2,2,2,3,3,3,3,4,5
1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,2,2,2,2,2,2,2,2,3,3,3,3,4,120
Range = 5 - 1 = 4
Range = 120 - 1 = 119
Ch. 2-21
Interquartile Range
 Can eliminate some outlier problems by using
the interquartile range
 Eliminate high- and low-valued observations
and calculate the range of the middle 50% of
the data
 Interquartile range = 3rd quartile – 1st quartile
IQR = Q3 – Q1
Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Ch. 2-22
Interquartile Range
Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall
Median
(Q2)
X
maximumX
minimum Q1 Q3
Example:
25% 25% 25% 25%
12 30 45 57 70
Interquartile range
= 57 – 30 = 27
Ch. 2-23
Quartiles
 Quartiles split the ranked data into 4 segments with
an equal number of values per segment
Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall
25% 25% 25% 25%
 The first quartile, Q1, is the value for which 25% of the
observations are smaller and 75% are larger
 Q2 is the same as the median (50% are smaller, 50% are
larger)
 Only 25% of the observations are greater than the third
quartile
Q1 Q2 Q3
Ch. 2-24
Quartile Formulas
Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall
Find a quartile by determining the value in the
appropriate position in the ranked data, where
First quartile position: Q1 = 0.25(n+1)
Second quartile position: Q2 = 0.50(n+1)
(the median position)
Third quartile position: Q3 = 0.75(n+1)
where n is the number of observed values
Ch. 2-25
Quartiles
Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall
(n = 9)
Q1 = is in the 0.25(9+1) = 2.5 position of the ranked data
so use the value half way between the 2nd and 3rd values,
so Q1 = 12.5
Sample Ranked Data: 11 12 13 16 16 17 18 21 22
 Example: Find the first quartile
Ch. 2-26
Population Variance
 Average of squared deviations of values from
the mean
 Population variance:
Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall
N
μ)(x
σ
N
1i
2
i
2



Where = population mean
N = population size
xi = ith value of the variable x
μ
Ch. 2-27
Sample Variance
 Average (approximately) of squared deviations
of values from the mean
 Sample variance:
Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall
1-n
)x(x
s
n
1i
2
i
2



Where = arithmetic mean
n = sample size
Xi = ith value of the variable X
X
Ch. 2-28
Population Standard Deviation
 Most commonly used measure of variation
 Shows variation about the mean
 Has the same units as the original data
 Population standard deviation:
Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall
N
μ)(x
σ
N
1i
2
i


Ch. 2-29
Sample Standard Deviation
 Most commonly used measure of variation
 Shows variation about the mean
 Has the same units as the original data
 Sample standard deviation:
Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall
1-n
)x(x
S
n
1i
2
i


Ch. 2-30
Calculation Example:
Sample Standard Deviation
Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall
Sample
Data (xi) : 10 12 14 15 17 18 18 24
n = 8 Mean = x = 16
4.2426
7
126
18
16)(2416)(1416)(1216)(10
1n
)x(24)x(14)x(12)X(10
s
2222
2222









A measure of the “average”
scatter around the mean
Ch. 2-31
Measuring variation
Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall
Small standard deviation
Large standard deviation
Ch. 2-32
Comparing Standard Deviations
Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall
Mean = 15.5
s = 3.33811 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21
11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21
Data B
Data A
Mean = 15.5
s = 0.926
11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21
Mean = 15.5
s = 4.570
Data C
Ch. 2-33
Advantages of Variance and
Standard Deviation
 Each value in the data set is used in the
calculation
 Values far from the mean are given extra
weight
(because deviations from the mean are squared)
Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Ch. 2-34
Coefficient of Variation
 Measures relative variation
 Always in percentage (%)
 Shows variation relative to mean
 Can be used to compare two or more sets of
data measured in different units
Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall
100%
x
s
CV 






Ch. 2-35
Comparing Coefficient
of Variation
 Stock A:
 Average price last year = $50
 Standard deviation = $5
 Stock B:
 Average price last year = $100
 Standard deviation = $5
Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall
Both stocks
have the same
standard
deviation, but
stock B is less
variable relative
to its price
10%100%
$50
$5
100%
x
s
CVA 






5%100%
$100
$5
100%
x
s
CVB 






Ch. 2-36
Using Microsoft Excel
 Descriptive Statistics can be obtained
from Microsoft® Excel
 Select:
data / data analysis / descriptive statistics
 Enter details in dialog box
Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Ch. 2-37
Using Excel
Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall
 Select data / data analysis / descriptive statistics
Ch. 2-38
Using Excel
 Enter input
range details
 Check box for
summary
statistics
 Click OK
Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Ch. 2-39
Excel output
Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall
Microsoft Excel
descriptive statistics output,
using the house price data:
House Prices:
$2,000,000
500,000
300,000
100,000
100,000
Ch. 2-40
 For any population with mean μ and
standard deviation σ , and k > 1 , the
percentage of observations that fall within
the interval
[μ + kσ]
Is at least
Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall
Chebychev’s Theorem
)]%(1/k100[1 2

Ch. 2-41
 Regardless of how the data are distributed, at
least (1 - 1/k2) of the values will fall within k
standard deviations of the mean (for k > 1)
 Examples:
(1 - 1/1.52) = 55.6% ……... k = 1.5 (μ ± 1.5σ)
(1 - 1/22) = 75% …........... k = 2 (μ ± 2σ)
(1 - 1/32) = 89% …….…... k = 3 (μ ± 3σ)
Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall
Chebychev’s Theorem
withinAt least
(continued)
Ch. 2-42
 If the data distribution is bell-shaped, then
the interval:
 contains about 68% of the values in
the population or the sample
Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall
The Empirical Rule
1σμ 
μ
68%
1σμ
Ch. 2-43
 contains about 95% of the values in
the population or the sample
 contains almost all (about 99.7%) of
the values in the population or the sample
Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall
The Empirical Rule
2σμ 
3σμ 
3σμ
99.7%95%
2σμ
Ch. 2-44
Weighted Mean
 The weighted mean of a set of data is
 Where wi is the weight of the ith observation
and
 Use when data is already grouped into n classes, with
wi values in the ith class
Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall
n
xwxwxw
n
xw
x nn2211
n
1i
ii


 
Ch. 2-45
 iwn
2.3
Approximations for Grouped Data
Suppose data are grouped into K classes, with
frequencies f1, f2, . . . fK, and the midpoints of the
classes are m1, m2, . . ., mK
 For a sample of n observations, the mean is
Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall
n
mf
x
K
1i
ii



K
1i
ifnwhere
Ch. 2-46
Approximations for Grouped Data
Suppose data are grouped into K classes, with
frequencies f1, f2, . . . fK, and the midpoints of the
classes are m1, m2, . . ., mK
 For a sample of n observations, the variance is
Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Ch. 2-47
1n
)x(mf
s
K
1i
2
ii
2




The Sample Covariance
 The covariance measures the strength of the linear relationship
between two variables
 The population covariance:
 The sample covariance:
 Only concerned with the strength of the relationship
 No causal effect is implied
Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall
N
))(y(x
y),(xCov
N
1i
yixi
xy





1n
)y)(yx(x
sy),(xCov
n
1i
ii
xy




Ch. 2-48
2.4
Interpreting Covariance
 Covariance between two variables:
Cov(x,y) > 0 x and y tend to move in the same direction
Cov(x,y) < 0 x and y tend to move in opposite directions
Cov(x,y) = 0 x and y are independent
Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Ch. 2-49
Coefficient of Correlation
 Measures the relative strength of the linear relationship
between two variables
 Population correlation coefficient:
 Sample correlation coefficient:
Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall
YX ss
y),(xCov
r 
YX σσ
y),(xCov
ρ 
Ch. 2-50
Features of
Correlation Coefficient, r
 Unit free
 Ranges between –1 and 1
 The closer to –1, the stronger the negative linear
relationship
 The closer to 1, the stronger the positive linear
relationship
 The closer to 0, the weaker any positive linear
relationship
Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Ch. 2-51
Scatter Plots of Data with Various
Correlation Coefficients
Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall
Y
X
Y
X
Y
X
Y
X
Y
X
r = -1 r = -.6 r = 0
r = +.3r = +1
Y
X
r = 0
Ch. 2-52
Using Excel to Find
the Correlation Coefficient
 Select Data / Data Analysis
Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Ch. 2-53
 Choose Correlation from the selection menu
 Click OK . . .
Using Excel to Find
the Correlation Coefficient
 Input data range and select
appropriate options
 Click OK to get output
Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall
(continued)
Ch. 2-54
Interpreting the Result
 r = .733
 There is a relatively
strong positive linear
relationship between
test score #1
and test score #2
 Students who scored high on the first test tended
to score high on second test
Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall
Scatter Plot of Test Scores
70
75
80
85
90
95
100
70 75 80 85 90 95 100
Test #1 Score
Test#2Score
Ch. 2-55
Chapter Summary
 Described measures of central tendency
 Mean, median, mode
 Illustrated the shape of the distribution
 Symmetric, skewed
 Described measures of variation
 Range, interquartile range, variance and standard deviation,
coefficient of variation
 Discussed measures of grouped data
 Calculated measures of relationships between
variables
 covariance and correlation coefficient
Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Ch. 2-56

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Statistics Chapter Summary: Measures of Central Tendency and Variation

  • 1. Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Ch. 2-1 Statistics for Business and Economics 7th Edition Chapter 2 Describing Data: Numerical
  • 2. Chapter Goals After completing this chapter, you should be able to:  Compute and interpret the mean, median, and mode for a set of data  Find the range, variance, standard deviation, and coefficient of variation and know what these values mean  Apply the empirical rule to describe the variation of population values around the mean  Explain the weighted mean and when to use it  Explain how a least squares regression line estimates a linear relationship between two variables Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Ch. 2-2
  • 3. Chapter Topics  Measures of central tendency, variation, and shape  Mean, median, mode, geometric mean  Quartiles  Range, interquartile range, variance and standard deviation, coefficient of variation  Symmetric and skewed distributions  Population summary measures  Mean, variance, and standard deviation  The empirical rule and Bienaymé-Chebyshev rule Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Ch. 2-3
  • 4. Chapter Topics  Five number summary and box-and-whisker plots  Covariance and coefficient of correlation  Pitfalls in numerical descriptive measures and ethical considerations Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall (continued) Ch. 2-4
  • 5. Describing Data Numerically Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Arithmetic Mean Median Mode Describing Data Numerically Variance Standard Deviation Coefficient of Variation Range Interquartile Range Central Tendency Variation Ch. 2-5
  • 6. Measures of Central Tendency Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Central Tendency Mean Median Mode n x x n 1i i  Overview Midpoint of ranked values Most frequently observed value Arithmetic average Ch. 2-6 2.1
  • 7. Arithmetic Mean  The arithmetic mean (mean) is the most common measure of central tendency  For a population of N values:  For a sample of size n: Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Sample size n xxx n x x n21 n 1i i     Observed values N xxx N x μ N21 N 1i i     Population size Population values Ch. 2-7
  • 8. Arithmetic Mean  The most common measure of central tendency  Mean = sum of values divided by the number of values  Affected by extreme values (outliers) Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall (continued) 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Mean = 3 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Mean = 4 3 5 15 5 54321   4 5 20 5 104321   Ch. 2-8
  • 9. Median  In an ordered list, the median is the “middle” number (50% above, 50% below)  Not affected by extreme values Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Median = 3 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Median = 3 Ch. 2-9
  • 10. Finding the Median  The location of the median:  If the number of values is odd, the median is the middle number  If the number of values is even, the median is the average of the two middle numbers  Note that is not the value of the median, only the position of the median in the ranked data Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall dataorderedtheinposition 2 1n positionMedian   2 1n  Ch. 2-10
  • 11. Mode  A measure of central tendency  Value that occurs most often  Not affected by extreme values  Used for either numerical or categorical data  There may may be no mode  There may be several modes Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 Mode = 9 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 No Mode Ch. 2-11
  • 12. Review Example Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall  Five houses on a hill by the beach $2,000 K $500 K $300 K $100 K $100 K House Prices: $2,000,000 500,000 300,000 100,000 100,000 Ch. 2-12
  • 13. Review Example: Summary Statistics Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall  Mean: ($3,000,000/5) = $600,000  Median: middle value of ranked data = $300,000  Mode: most frequent value = $100,000 House Prices: $2,000,000 500,000 300,000 100,000 100,000 Sum 3,000,000 Ch. 2-13
  • 14. Which measure of location is the “best”? Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall  Mean is generally used, unless extreme values (outliers) exist . . .  Then median is often used, since the median is not sensitive to extreme values.  Example: Median home prices may be reported for a region – less sensitive to outliers Ch. 2-14
  • 15. Shape of a Distribution  Describes how data are distributed  Measures of shape  Symmetric or skewed Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Mean = MedianMean < Median Median < Mean Right-SkewedLeft-Skewed Symmetric Ch. 2-15
  • 16. Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Geometric Mean  Geometric mean  Used to measure the rate of change of a variable over time  Geometric mean rate of return  Measures the status of an investment over time  Where xi is the rate of return in time period i 1/n n21 n n21g )xx(x)xx(xx   1)x...x(xr 1/n n21g  Ch. 2-16
  • 17. Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Example An investment of $100,000 rose to $150,000 at the end of year one and increased to $180,000 at end of year two: $180,000X$150,000X$100,000X 321  50% increase 20% increase What is the mean percentage return over time? Ch. 2-17
  • 18. Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Example Use the 1-year returns to compute the arithmetic mean and the geometric mean: 30.623%131.6231(1000) 1(20)][(50) 1)x(xr 1/2 1/2 1/n 21g    35% 2 (20%)(50%) X    Arithmetic mean rate of return: Geometric mean rate of return: Misleading result More accurate result (continued) Ch. 2-18
  • 19. Measures of Variability Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Same center, different variation Variation Variance Standard Deviation Coefficient of Variation Range Interquartile Range  Measures of variation give information on the spread or variability of the data values. Ch. 2-19 2.2
  • 20. Range  Simplest measure of variation  Difference between the largest and the smallest observations: Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Range = Xlargest – Xsmallest 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 Range = 14 - 1 = 13 Example: Ch. 2-20
  • 21. Disadvantages of the Range  Ignores the way in which data are distributed  Sensitive to outliers Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 7 8 9 10 11 12 Range = 12 - 7 = 5 7 8 9 10 11 12 Range = 12 - 7 = 5 1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,2,2,2,2,2,2,2,2,3,3,3,3,4,5 1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,2,2,2,2,2,2,2,2,3,3,3,3,4,120 Range = 5 - 1 = 4 Range = 120 - 1 = 119 Ch. 2-21
  • 22. Interquartile Range  Can eliminate some outlier problems by using the interquartile range  Eliminate high- and low-valued observations and calculate the range of the middle 50% of the data  Interquartile range = 3rd quartile – 1st quartile IQR = Q3 – Q1 Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Ch. 2-22
  • 23. Interquartile Range Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Median (Q2) X maximumX minimum Q1 Q3 Example: 25% 25% 25% 25% 12 30 45 57 70 Interquartile range = 57 – 30 = 27 Ch. 2-23
  • 24. Quartiles  Quartiles split the ranked data into 4 segments with an equal number of values per segment Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 25% 25% 25% 25%  The first quartile, Q1, is the value for which 25% of the observations are smaller and 75% are larger  Q2 is the same as the median (50% are smaller, 50% are larger)  Only 25% of the observations are greater than the third quartile Q1 Q2 Q3 Ch. 2-24
  • 25. Quartile Formulas Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Find a quartile by determining the value in the appropriate position in the ranked data, where First quartile position: Q1 = 0.25(n+1) Second quartile position: Q2 = 0.50(n+1) (the median position) Third quartile position: Q3 = 0.75(n+1) where n is the number of observed values Ch. 2-25
  • 26. Quartiles Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall (n = 9) Q1 = is in the 0.25(9+1) = 2.5 position of the ranked data so use the value half way between the 2nd and 3rd values, so Q1 = 12.5 Sample Ranked Data: 11 12 13 16 16 17 18 21 22  Example: Find the first quartile Ch. 2-26
  • 27. Population Variance  Average of squared deviations of values from the mean  Population variance: Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall N μ)(x σ N 1i 2 i 2    Where = population mean N = population size xi = ith value of the variable x μ Ch. 2-27
  • 28. Sample Variance  Average (approximately) of squared deviations of values from the mean  Sample variance: Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 1-n )x(x s n 1i 2 i 2    Where = arithmetic mean n = sample size Xi = ith value of the variable X X Ch. 2-28
  • 29. Population Standard Deviation  Most commonly used measure of variation  Shows variation about the mean  Has the same units as the original data  Population standard deviation: Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall N μ)(x σ N 1i 2 i   Ch. 2-29
  • 30. Sample Standard Deviation  Most commonly used measure of variation  Shows variation about the mean  Has the same units as the original data  Sample standard deviation: Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 1-n )x(x S n 1i 2 i   Ch. 2-30
  • 31. Calculation Example: Sample Standard Deviation Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Sample Data (xi) : 10 12 14 15 17 18 18 24 n = 8 Mean = x = 16 4.2426 7 126 18 16)(2416)(1416)(1216)(10 1n )x(24)x(14)x(12)X(10 s 2222 2222          A measure of the “average” scatter around the mean Ch. 2-31
  • 32. Measuring variation Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Small standard deviation Large standard deviation Ch. 2-32
  • 33. Comparing Standard Deviations Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Mean = 15.5 s = 3.33811 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 Data B Data A Mean = 15.5 s = 0.926 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 Mean = 15.5 s = 4.570 Data C Ch. 2-33
  • 34. Advantages of Variance and Standard Deviation  Each value in the data set is used in the calculation  Values far from the mean are given extra weight (because deviations from the mean are squared) Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Ch. 2-34
  • 35. Coefficient of Variation  Measures relative variation  Always in percentage (%)  Shows variation relative to mean  Can be used to compare two or more sets of data measured in different units Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall 100% x s CV        Ch. 2-35
  • 36. Comparing Coefficient of Variation  Stock A:  Average price last year = $50  Standard deviation = $5  Stock B:  Average price last year = $100  Standard deviation = $5 Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Both stocks have the same standard deviation, but stock B is less variable relative to its price 10%100% $50 $5 100% x s CVA        5%100% $100 $5 100% x s CVB        Ch. 2-36
  • 37. Using Microsoft Excel  Descriptive Statistics can be obtained from Microsoft® Excel  Select: data / data analysis / descriptive statistics  Enter details in dialog box Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Ch. 2-37
  • 38. Using Excel Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall  Select data / data analysis / descriptive statistics Ch. 2-38
  • 39. Using Excel  Enter input range details  Check box for summary statistics  Click OK Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Ch. 2-39
  • 40. Excel output Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Microsoft Excel descriptive statistics output, using the house price data: House Prices: $2,000,000 500,000 300,000 100,000 100,000 Ch. 2-40
  • 41.  For any population with mean μ and standard deviation σ , and k > 1 , the percentage of observations that fall within the interval [μ + kσ] Is at least Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Chebychev’s Theorem )]%(1/k100[1 2  Ch. 2-41
  • 42.  Regardless of how the data are distributed, at least (1 - 1/k2) of the values will fall within k standard deviations of the mean (for k > 1)  Examples: (1 - 1/1.52) = 55.6% ……... k = 1.5 (μ ± 1.5σ) (1 - 1/22) = 75% …........... k = 2 (μ ± 2σ) (1 - 1/32) = 89% …….…... k = 3 (μ ± 3σ) Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Chebychev’s Theorem withinAt least (continued) Ch. 2-42
  • 43.  If the data distribution is bell-shaped, then the interval:  contains about 68% of the values in the population or the sample Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall The Empirical Rule 1σμ  μ 68% 1σμ Ch. 2-43
  • 44.  contains about 95% of the values in the population or the sample  contains almost all (about 99.7%) of the values in the population or the sample Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall The Empirical Rule 2σμ  3σμ  3σμ 99.7%95% 2σμ Ch. 2-44
  • 45. Weighted Mean  The weighted mean of a set of data is  Where wi is the weight of the ith observation and  Use when data is already grouped into n classes, with wi values in the ith class Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall n xwxwxw n xw x nn2211 n 1i ii     Ch. 2-45  iwn 2.3
  • 46. Approximations for Grouped Data Suppose data are grouped into K classes, with frequencies f1, f2, . . . fK, and the midpoints of the classes are m1, m2, . . ., mK  For a sample of n observations, the mean is Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall n mf x K 1i ii    K 1i ifnwhere Ch. 2-46
  • 47. Approximations for Grouped Data Suppose data are grouped into K classes, with frequencies f1, f2, . . . fK, and the midpoints of the classes are m1, m2, . . ., mK  For a sample of n observations, the variance is Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Ch. 2-47 1n )x(mf s K 1i 2 ii 2    
  • 48. The Sample Covariance  The covariance measures the strength of the linear relationship between two variables  The population covariance:  The sample covariance:  Only concerned with the strength of the relationship  No causal effect is implied Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall N ))(y(x y),(xCov N 1i yixi xy      1n )y)(yx(x sy),(xCov n 1i ii xy     Ch. 2-48 2.4
  • 49. Interpreting Covariance  Covariance between two variables: Cov(x,y) > 0 x and y tend to move in the same direction Cov(x,y) < 0 x and y tend to move in opposite directions Cov(x,y) = 0 x and y are independent Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Ch. 2-49
  • 50. Coefficient of Correlation  Measures the relative strength of the linear relationship between two variables  Population correlation coefficient:  Sample correlation coefficient: Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall YX ss y),(xCov r  YX σσ y),(xCov ρ  Ch. 2-50
  • 51. Features of Correlation Coefficient, r  Unit free  Ranges between –1 and 1  The closer to –1, the stronger the negative linear relationship  The closer to 1, the stronger the positive linear relationship  The closer to 0, the weaker any positive linear relationship Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Ch. 2-51
  • 52. Scatter Plots of Data with Various Correlation Coefficients Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Y X Y X Y X Y X Y X r = -1 r = -.6 r = 0 r = +.3r = +1 Y X r = 0 Ch. 2-52
  • 53. Using Excel to Find the Correlation Coefficient  Select Data / Data Analysis Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Ch. 2-53  Choose Correlation from the selection menu  Click OK . . .
  • 54. Using Excel to Find the Correlation Coefficient  Input data range and select appropriate options  Click OK to get output Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall (continued) Ch. 2-54
  • 55. Interpreting the Result  r = .733  There is a relatively strong positive linear relationship between test score #1 and test score #2  Students who scored high on the first test tended to score high on second test Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Scatter Plot of Test Scores 70 75 80 85 90 95 100 70 75 80 85 90 95 100 Test #1 Score Test#2Score Ch. 2-55
  • 56. Chapter Summary  Described measures of central tendency  Mean, median, mode  Illustrated the shape of the distribution  Symmetric, skewed  Described measures of variation  Range, interquartile range, variance and standard deviation, coefficient of variation  Discussed measures of grouped data  Calculated measures of relationships between variables  covariance and correlation coefficient Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Ch. 2-56