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Basic Business Statistics, 10e © 2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc.. Chap 3-1
Chapter 3
Numerical Descriptive Measures
Basic Business Statistics
10th
Edition
Basic Business Statistics, 10e ©
2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-2
In this chapter, you learn:
 To describe the properties of central tendency,
variation, and shape in numerical data
 To calculate descriptive summary measures for a
population
 To calculate the coefficient of variation and Z-
scores
 To construct and interpret a box-and-whisker plot
 To calculate the covariance and the coefficient of
correlation
Learning Objectives
Basic Business Statistics, 10e ©
2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-3
Chapter Topics
 Measures of central tendency, variation, and
shape
 Mean, median, mode, geometric mean
 Quartiles
 Range, interquartile range, variance and standard
deviation, coefficient of variation, Z-scores
 Symmetric and skewed distributions
 Population summary measures
 Mean, variance, and standard deviation
 The empirical rule and Chebyshev rule
Basic Business Statistics, 10e ©
2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-4
Chapter Topics
 Five number summary and box-and-whisker
plot
 Covariance and coefficient of correlation
 Pitfalls in numerical descriptive measures and
ethical issues
(continued)
Basic Business Statistics, 10e ©
2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-5
Summary Measures
Arithmetic Mean
Median
Mode
Describing Data Numerically
Variance
Standard Deviation
Coefficient of Variation
Range
Interquartile Range
Geometric Mean
Skewness
Central Tendency Variation ShapeQuartiles
Basic Business Statistics, 10e ©
2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-6
Measures of Central Tendency
Central Tendency
Arithmetic Mean Median Mode Geometric Mean
n
X
X
n
i
i∑=
= 1
n/1
n21G )XXX(X ×××= 
Overview
Midpoint of
ranked
values
Most
frequently
observed
value
Basic Business Statistics, 10e ©
2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-7
Arithmetic Mean
 The arithmetic mean (mean) is the most
common measure of central tendency
 For a sample of size n:
Sample size
n
XXX
n
X
X n21
n
1i
i
+++
==
∑= 
Observed values
Basic Business Statistics, 10e ©
2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-8
Arithmetic Mean
 The most common measure of central tendency
 Mean = sum of values divided by the number of values
 Affected by extreme values (outliers)
(continued)
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Mean = 3
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Mean = 4
3
5
15
5
54321
==
++++
4
5
20
5
104321
==
++++
Basic Business Statistics, 10e ©
2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-9
Median
 In an ordered array, the median is the “middle”
number (50% above, 50% below)
 Not affected by extreme values
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Median = 3
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Median = 3
Basic Business Statistics, 10e ©
2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-10
Finding the Median
 The location of the median:
 If the number of values is odd, the median is the middle number
 If the number of values is even, the median is the average of
the two middle numbers
 Note that is not the value of the median, only the
position of the median in the ranked data
dataorderedtheinposition
2
1n
positionMedian
+
=
2
1n +
Basic Business Statistics, 10e ©
2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-11
Mode
 A measure of central tendency
 Value that occurs most often
 Not affected by extreme values
 Used for either numerical or categorical
(nominal) data
 There may may be no mode
 There may be several modes
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Mode = 9
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
No Mode
Basic Business Statistics, 10e ©
2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-12
 Five houses on a hill by the beach
Review Example
$2,000 K
$500 K
$300 K
$100 K
$100 K
House Prices:
$2,000,000
500,000
300,000
100,000
100,000
Basic Business Statistics, 10e ©
2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-13
Review Example:
Summary Statistics
 Mean: ($3,000,000/5)
= $600,000
 Median: middle value of ranked data
= $300,000
 Mode: most frequent value
= $100,000
House Prices:
$2,000,000
500,000
300,000
100,000
100,000
Sum $3,000,000
Basic Business Statistics, 10e ©
2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-14
 Mean is generally used, unless
extreme values (outliers) exist
 Then median is often used, since
the median is not sensitive to
extreme values.
 Example: Median home prices may be
reported for a region – less sensitive to
outliers
Which measure of location
is the “best”?
Basic Business Statistics, 10e ©
2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-15
Quartiles
 Quartiles split the ranked data into 4 segments with
an equal number of values per segment
25% 25% 25% 25%
 The first quartile, Q1, is the value for which 25% of the
observations are smaller and 75% are larger
 Q2 is the same as the median (50% are smaller, 50% are
larger)
 Only 25% of the observations are greater than the third
quartile
Q1 Q2 Q3
Basic Business Statistics, 10e ©
2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-16
Quartile Formulas
Find a quartile by determining the value in the
appropriate position in the ranked data, where
First quartile position: Q1 = (n+1)/4
Second quartile position: Q2 = (n+1)/2 (the median position)
Third quartile position: Q3 = 3(n+1)/4
where n is the number of observed values
Basic Business Statistics, 10e ©
2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-17
(n = 9)
Q1 is in the (9+1)/4 = 2.5 position of the ranked data
so use the value half way between the 2nd
and 3rd
values,
so Q1 = 12.5
Quartiles
Sample Data in Ordered Array: 11 12 13 16 16 17 18 21 22
 Example: Find the first quartile
Q1 and Q3 are measures of noncentral location
Q2 = median, a measure of central tendency
Basic Business Statistics, 10e ©
2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-18
(n = 9)
Q1 is in the (9+1)/4 = 2.5 position of the ranked data,
so Q1 = 12.5
Q2 is in the (9+1)/2 = 5th
position of the ranked data,
so Q2 = median = 16
Q3 is in the 3(9+1)/4 = 7.5 position of the ranked data,
so Q3 = 19.5
Quartiles
Sample Data in Ordered Array: 11 12 13 16 16 17 18 21 22
 Example:
(continued)
Basic Business Statistics, 10e ©
2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-19
Geometric Mean
 Geometric mean
 Used to measure the rate of change of a variable
over time
 Geometric mean rate of return
 Measures the status of an investment over time
 Where Ri is the rate of return in time period i
n/1
n21G )XXX(X ×××= 
1)]R1()R1()R1[(R n/1
n21G −+××+×+= 
Basic Business Statistics, 10e ©
2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-20
Example
An investment of $100,000 declined to $50,000 at the
end of year one and rebounded to $100,000 at end
of year two:
000,100$X000,50$X000,100$X 321 ===
50% decrease 100% increase
The overall two-year return is zero, since it started and
ended at the same level.
Basic Business Statistics, 10e ©
2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-21
Example
Use the 1-year returns to compute the arithmetic
mean and the geometric mean:
%0111)]2()50[(.
1%))]100(1(%))50(1[(
1)]R1()R1()R1[(R
2/12/1
2/1
n/1
n21G
=−=−×=
−+×−+=
−+××+×+= 
%25
2
%)100(%)50(
X =
+−
=
Arithmetic
mean rate
of return:
Geometric
mean rate
of return:
Misleading result
More
accurate
result
(continued)
Basic Business Statistics, 10e ©
2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-22
Same center,
different variation
Measures of Variation
Variation
Variance Standard
Deviation
Coefficient
of Variation
Range Interquartile
Range
 Measures of variation give
information on the spread or
variability of the data
values.
Basic Business Statistics, 10e ©
2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-23
Range
 Simplest measure of variation
 Difference between the largest and the smallest
values in a set of data:
Range = Xlargest – Xsmallest
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Range = 14 - 1 = 13
Example:
Basic Business Statistics, 10e ©
2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-24
 Ignores the way in which data are distributed
 Sensitive to outliers
7 8 9 10 11 12
Range = 12 - 7 = 5
7 8 9 10 11 12
Range = 12 - 7 = 5
Disadvantages of the Range
1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,2,2,2,2,2,2,2,2,3,3,3,3,4,5
1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,2,2,2,2,2,2,2,2,3,3,3,3,4,120
Range = 5 - 1 = 4
Range = 120 - 1 = 119
Basic Business Statistics, 10e ©
2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-25
Interquartile Range
 Can eliminate some outlier problems by using
the interquartile range
 Eliminate some high- and low-valued
observations and calculate the range from the
remaining values
 Interquartile range = 3rd
quartile – 1st
quartile
= Q3 – Q1
Basic Business Statistics, 10e ©
2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-26
Interquartile Range
Median
(Q2)
X
maximumX
minimum Q1 Q3
Example:
25% 25% 25% 25%
12 30 45 57 70
Interquartile range
= 57 – 30 = 27
Basic Business Statistics, 10e ©
2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-27
 Average (approximately) of squared deviations
of values from the mean
 Sample variance:
Variance
1-n
)X(X
S
n
1i
2
i
2
∑=
−
=
Where = mean
n = sample size
Xi = ith
value of the variable X
X
Basic Business Statistics, 10e ©
2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-28
Standard Deviation
 Most commonly used measure of variation
 Shows variation about the mean
 Is the square root of the variance
 Has the same units as the original data
 Sample standard deviation:
1-n
)X(X
S
n
1i
2
i∑=
−
=
Basic Business Statistics, 10e ©
2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-29
Calculation Example:
Sample Standard Deviation
Sample
Data (Xi) : 10 12 14 15 17 18 18 24
n = 8 Mean = X = 16
4.3095
7
130
18
16)(2416)(1416)(1216)(10
1n
)X(24)X(14)X(12)X(10
S
2222
2222
==
−
−++−+−+−
=
−
−++−+−+−
=


A measure of the “average”
scatter around the mean
Basic Business Statistics, 10e ©
2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-30
Measuring variation
Small standard deviation
Large standard deviation
Basic Business Statistics, 10e ©
2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-31
Comparing Standard Deviations
Mean = 15.5
S = 3.33811 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21
11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21
Data B
Data A
Mean = 15.5
S = 0.926
11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21
Mean = 15.5
S = 4.567
Data C
Basic Business Statistics, 10e ©
2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-32
Advantages of Variance and
Standard Deviation
 Each value in the data set is used in the
calculation
 Values far from the mean are given extra
weight
(because deviations from the mean are squared)
Basic Business Statistics, 10e ©
2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-33
Coefficient of Variation
 Measures relative variation
 Always in percentage (%)
 Shows variation relative to mean
 Can be used to compare two or more sets of
data measured in different units
100%
X
S
CV ⋅







=
Basic Business Statistics, 10e ©
2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-34
Comparing Coefficient
of Variation
 Stock A:
 Average price last year = $50
 Standard deviation = $5
 Stock B:
 Average price last year = $100
 Standard deviation = $5
Both stocks
have the same
standard
deviation, but
stock B is less
variable relative
to its price
10%100%
$50
$5
100%
X
S
CVA =⋅=⋅







=
5%100%
$100
$5
100%
X
S
CVB =⋅=⋅







=
Basic Business Statistics, 10e ©
2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-35
Z Scores
 A measure of distance from the mean (for example, a
Z-score of 2.0 means that a value is 2.0 standard
deviations from the mean)
 The difference between a value and the mean, divided
by the standard deviation
 A Z score above 3.0 or below -3.0 is considered an
outlier
S
XX
Z
−
=
Basic Business Statistics, 10e ©
2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-36
Z Scores
Example:
 If the mean is 14.0 and the standard deviation is 3.0,
what is the Z score for the value 18.5?
 The value 18.5 is 1.5 standard deviations above the
mean
 (A negative Z-score would mean that a value is less
than the mean)
1.5
3.0
14.018.5
S
XX
Z =
−
=
−
=
(continued)
Basic Business Statistics, 10e ©
2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-37
Shape of a Distribution
 Describes how data are distributed
 Measures of shape
 Symmetric or skewed
Mean = MedianMean < Median Median < Mean
Right-SkewedLeft-Skewed Symmetric
Basic Business Statistics, 10e ©
2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-38
Using Microsoft Excel
 Descriptive Statistics can be obtained
from Microsoft®
Excel
 Use menu choice:
tools / data analysis / descriptive statistics
 Enter details in dialog box
Basic Business Statistics, 10e ©
2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-39
Using Excel
Use menu choice:
tools / data analysis /
descriptive statistics
Basic Business Statistics, 10e ©
2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-40
 Enter dialog box
details
 Check box for
summary statistics
 Click OK
Using Excel
(continued)
Basic Business Statistics, 10e ©
2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-41
Excel output
Microsoft Excel
descriptive statistics output,
using the house price data:
House Prices:
$2,000,000
500,000
300,000
100,000
100,000
Basic Business Statistics, 10e ©
2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-42
Numerical Measures
for a Population
 Population summary measures are called parameters
 The population mean is the sum of the values in the
population divided by the population size, N
N
XXX
N
X
N21
N
1i
i
+++
==µ
∑= 
μ = population mean
N = population size
Xi = ith
value of the variable X
Where
Basic Business Statistics, 10e ©
2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-43
 Average of squared deviations of values from
the mean
 Population variance:
Population Variance
N
μ)(X
σ
N
1i
2
i
2
∑=
−
=
Where μ = population mean
N = population size
Xi = ith
value of the variable X
Basic Business Statistics, 10e ©
2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-44
Population Standard Deviation
 Most commonly used measure of variation
 Shows variation about the mean
 Is the square root of the population variance
 Has the same units as the original data
 Population standard deviation:
N
μ)(X
σ
N
1i
2
i∑=
−
=
Basic Business Statistics, 10e ©
2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-45
 If the data distribution is approximately
bell-shaped, then the interval:
 contains about 68% of the values in
the population or the sample
The Empirical Rule
1σμ ±
μ
68%
1σμ ±
Basic Business Statistics, 10e ©
2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-46
 contains about 95% of the values in
the population or the sample
 contains about 99.7% of the values
in the population or the sample
The Empirical Rule
2σμ ±
3σμ ±
3σμ ±
99.7%95%
2σμ ±
Basic Business Statistics, 10e ©
2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-47
 Regardless of how the data are distributed,
at least (1 - 1/k2
) x 100% of the values will
fall within k standard deviations of the mean
(for k > 1)
 Examples:
(1 - 1/12
) x 100% = 0% ……..... k=1 (μ ± 1σ)
(1 - 1/22
) x 100% = 75% …........ k=2 (μ ± 2σ)
(1 - 1/32
) x 100% = 89% ………. k=3 (μ ± 3σ)
Chebyshev Rule
withinAt least
Basic Business Statistics, 10e ©
2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-48
Approximating the Mean from a
Frequency Distribution
 Sometimes only a frequency distribution is available, not
the raw data
 Use the midpoint of a class interval to approximate the
values in that class
 Where n = number of values or sample size
c = number of classes in the frequency distribution
mj = midpoint of the jth
class
fj = number of values in the jth
class
n
fm
X
c
1j
jj∑=
=
Basic Business Statistics, 10e ©
2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-49
Approximating the Standard Deviation
from a Frequency Distribution
 Assume that all values within each class interval
are located at the midpoint of the class
 Approximation for the standard deviation from a
frequency distribution:
1-n
f)X(m
S
c
1j
j
2
j∑=
−
=
Basic Business Statistics, 10e ©
2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-50
Exploratory Data Analysis
 Box-and-Whisker Plot: A Graphical display of
data using 5-number summary:
Minimum -- Q1 -- Median -- Q3 -- Maximum
Example:
Minimum 1st Median 3rd Maximum
Quartile Quartile
Minimum 1st Median 3rd Maximum
Quartile Quartile
25% 25% 25% 25%
Basic Business Statistics, 10e ©
2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-51
Shape of Box-and-Whisker Plots
 The Box and central line are centered between the
endpoints if data are symmetric around the median
 A Box-and-Whisker plot can be shown in either vertical
or horizontal format
Min Q1 Median Q3 Max
Basic Business Statistics, 10e ©
2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-52
Distribution Shape and
Box-and-Whisker Plot
Right-SkewedLeft-Skewed Symmetric
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q1 Q2 Q3
Basic Business Statistics, 10e ©
2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-53
Box-and-Whisker Plot Example
 Below is a Box-and-Whisker plot for the following
data:
0 2 2 2 3 3 4 5 5 10 27
 The data are right skewed, as the plot depicts
0 2 3 5 270 2 3 5 27
Min Q1 Q2 Q3 Max
Basic Business Statistics, 10e ©
2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-54
The Sample Covariance
 The sample covariance measures the strength of the
linear relationship between two variables (called
bivariate data)
 The sample covariance:
 Only concerned with the strength of the relationship
 No causal effect is implied
1n
)YY)(XX(
)Y,X(cov
n
1i
ii
−
−−
=
∑=
Basic Business Statistics, 10e ©
2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-55
 Covariance between two random variables:
cov(X,Y) > 0 X and Y tend to move in the same direction
cov(X,Y) < 0 X and Y tend to move in opposite directions
cov(X,Y) = 0 X and Y are independent
Interpreting Covariance
Basic Business Statistics, 10e ©
2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-56
Coefficient of Correlation
 Measures the relative strength of the linear
relationship between two variables
 Sample coefficient of correlation:
where
YX SS
Y),(Xcov
r =
1n
)X(X
S
n
1i
2
i
X
−
−
=
∑=
1n
)Y)(YX(X
Y),(Xcov
n
1i
ii
−
−−
=
∑=
1n
)Y(Y
S
n
1i
2
i
Y
−
−
=
∑=
Basic Business Statistics, 10e ©
2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-57
Features of
Correlation Coefficient, r
 Unit free
 Ranges between –1 and 1
 The closer to –1, the stronger the negative linear
relationship
 The closer to 1, the stronger the positive linear
relationship
 The closer to 0, the weaker the linear relationship
Basic Business Statistics, 10e ©
2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-58
Scatter Plots of Data with Various
Correlation Coefficients
Y
X
Y
X
Y
X
Y
X
Y
X
r = -1 r = -.6 r = 0
r = +.3r = +1
Y
X
r = 0
Basic Business Statistics, 10e ©
2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-59
Using Excel to Find
the Correlation Coefficient
 Select
Tools/Data Analysis
 Choose Correlation from
the selection menu
 Click OK . . .
Basic Business Statistics, 10e ©
2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-60
Using Excel to Find
the Correlation Coefficient
 Input data range and select
appropriate options
 Click OK to get output
(continued)
Basic Business Statistics, 10e ©
2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-61
Interpreting the Result
 r = .733
 There is a relatively
strong positive linear
relationship between
test score #1
and test score #2
 Students who scored high on the first test tended
to score high on second test, and students who
scored low on the first test tended to score low on
the second test
Scatter Plot of Test Scores
70
75
80
85
90
95
100
70 75 80 85 90 95 100
Test #1 Score
Test#2Score
Basic Business Statistics, 10e ©
2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-62
Pitfalls in Numerical
Descriptive Measures
 Data analysis is objective
 Should report the summary measures that best meet
the assumptions about the data set
 Data interpretation is subjective
 Should be done in fair, neutral and clear manner
Basic Business Statistics, 10e ©
2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-63
Ethical Considerations
Numerical descriptive measures:
 Should document both good and bad results
 Should be presented in a fair, objective and
neutral manner
 Should not use inappropriate summary
measures to distort facts
Basic Business Statistics, 10e ©
2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-64
Chapter Summary
 Described measures of central tendency
 Mean, median, mode, geometric mean
 Discussed quartiles
 Described measures of variation
 Range, interquartile range, variance and standard
deviation, coefficient of variation, Z-scores
 Illustrated shape of distribution
 Symmetric, skewed, box-and-whisker plots
Basic Business Statistics, 10e ©
2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-65
Chapter Summary
 Discussed covariance and correlation
coefficient
 Addressed pitfalls in numerical descriptive
measures and ethical considerations
(continued)

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Numerical Descriptive Measures for Basic Business Statistics Data

  • 1. Basic Business Statistics, 10e © 2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc.. Chap 3-1 Chapter 3 Numerical Descriptive Measures Basic Business Statistics 10th Edition
  • 2. Basic Business Statistics, 10e © 2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-2 In this chapter, you learn:  To describe the properties of central tendency, variation, and shape in numerical data  To calculate descriptive summary measures for a population  To calculate the coefficient of variation and Z- scores  To construct and interpret a box-and-whisker plot  To calculate the covariance and the coefficient of correlation Learning Objectives
  • 3. Basic Business Statistics, 10e © 2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-3 Chapter Topics  Measures of central tendency, variation, and shape  Mean, median, mode, geometric mean  Quartiles  Range, interquartile range, variance and standard deviation, coefficient of variation, Z-scores  Symmetric and skewed distributions  Population summary measures  Mean, variance, and standard deviation  The empirical rule and Chebyshev rule
  • 4. Basic Business Statistics, 10e © 2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-4 Chapter Topics  Five number summary and box-and-whisker plot  Covariance and coefficient of correlation  Pitfalls in numerical descriptive measures and ethical issues (continued)
  • 5. Basic Business Statistics, 10e © 2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-5 Summary Measures Arithmetic Mean Median Mode Describing Data Numerically Variance Standard Deviation Coefficient of Variation Range Interquartile Range Geometric Mean Skewness Central Tendency Variation ShapeQuartiles
  • 6. Basic Business Statistics, 10e © 2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-6 Measures of Central Tendency Central Tendency Arithmetic Mean Median Mode Geometric Mean n X X n i i∑= = 1 n/1 n21G )XXX(X ×××=  Overview Midpoint of ranked values Most frequently observed value
  • 7. Basic Business Statistics, 10e © 2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-7 Arithmetic Mean  The arithmetic mean (mean) is the most common measure of central tendency  For a sample of size n: Sample size n XXX n X X n21 n 1i i +++ == ∑=  Observed values
  • 8. Basic Business Statistics, 10e © 2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-8 Arithmetic Mean  The most common measure of central tendency  Mean = sum of values divided by the number of values  Affected by extreme values (outliers) (continued) 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Mean = 3 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Mean = 4 3 5 15 5 54321 == ++++ 4 5 20 5 104321 == ++++
  • 9. Basic Business Statistics, 10e © 2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-9 Median  In an ordered array, the median is the “middle” number (50% above, 50% below)  Not affected by extreme values 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Median = 3 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Median = 3
  • 10. Basic Business Statistics, 10e © 2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-10 Finding the Median  The location of the median:  If the number of values is odd, the median is the middle number  If the number of values is even, the median is the average of the two middle numbers  Note that is not the value of the median, only the position of the median in the ranked data dataorderedtheinposition 2 1n positionMedian + = 2 1n +
  • 11. Basic Business Statistics, 10e © 2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-11 Mode  A measure of central tendency  Value that occurs most often  Not affected by extreme values  Used for either numerical or categorical (nominal) data  There may may be no mode  There may be several modes 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 Mode = 9 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 No Mode
  • 12. Basic Business Statistics, 10e © 2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-12  Five houses on a hill by the beach Review Example $2,000 K $500 K $300 K $100 K $100 K House Prices: $2,000,000 500,000 300,000 100,000 100,000
  • 13. Basic Business Statistics, 10e © 2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-13 Review Example: Summary Statistics  Mean: ($3,000,000/5) = $600,000  Median: middle value of ranked data = $300,000  Mode: most frequent value = $100,000 House Prices: $2,000,000 500,000 300,000 100,000 100,000 Sum $3,000,000
  • 14. Basic Business Statistics, 10e © 2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-14  Mean is generally used, unless extreme values (outliers) exist  Then median is often used, since the median is not sensitive to extreme values.  Example: Median home prices may be reported for a region – less sensitive to outliers Which measure of location is the “best”?
  • 15. Basic Business Statistics, 10e © 2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-15 Quartiles  Quartiles split the ranked data into 4 segments with an equal number of values per segment 25% 25% 25% 25%  The first quartile, Q1, is the value for which 25% of the observations are smaller and 75% are larger  Q2 is the same as the median (50% are smaller, 50% are larger)  Only 25% of the observations are greater than the third quartile Q1 Q2 Q3
  • 16. Basic Business Statistics, 10e © 2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-16 Quartile Formulas Find a quartile by determining the value in the appropriate position in the ranked data, where First quartile position: Q1 = (n+1)/4 Second quartile position: Q2 = (n+1)/2 (the median position) Third quartile position: Q3 = 3(n+1)/4 where n is the number of observed values
  • 17. Basic Business Statistics, 10e © 2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-17 (n = 9) Q1 is in the (9+1)/4 = 2.5 position of the ranked data so use the value half way between the 2nd and 3rd values, so Q1 = 12.5 Quartiles Sample Data in Ordered Array: 11 12 13 16 16 17 18 21 22  Example: Find the first quartile Q1 and Q3 are measures of noncentral location Q2 = median, a measure of central tendency
  • 18. Basic Business Statistics, 10e © 2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-18 (n = 9) Q1 is in the (9+1)/4 = 2.5 position of the ranked data, so Q1 = 12.5 Q2 is in the (9+1)/2 = 5th position of the ranked data, so Q2 = median = 16 Q3 is in the 3(9+1)/4 = 7.5 position of the ranked data, so Q3 = 19.5 Quartiles Sample Data in Ordered Array: 11 12 13 16 16 17 18 21 22  Example: (continued)
  • 19. Basic Business Statistics, 10e © 2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-19 Geometric Mean  Geometric mean  Used to measure the rate of change of a variable over time  Geometric mean rate of return  Measures the status of an investment over time  Where Ri is the rate of return in time period i n/1 n21G )XXX(X ×××=  1)]R1()R1()R1[(R n/1 n21G −+××+×+= 
  • 20. Basic Business Statistics, 10e © 2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-20 Example An investment of $100,000 declined to $50,000 at the end of year one and rebounded to $100,000 at end of year two: 000,100$X000,50$X000,100$X 321 === 50% decrease 100% increase The overall two-year return is zero, since it started and ended at the same level.
  • 21. Basic Business Statistics, 10e © 2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-21 Example Use the 1-year returns to compute the arithmetic mean and the geometric mean: %0111)]2()50[(. 1%))]100(1(%))50(1[( 1)]R1()R1()R1[(R 2/12/1 2/1 n/1 n21G =−=−×= −+×−+= −+××+×+=  %25 2 %)100(%)50( X = +− = Arithmetic mean rate of return: Geometric mean rate of return: Misleading result More accurate result (continued)
  • 22. Basic Business Statistics, 10e © 2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-22 Same center, different variation Measures of Variation Variation Variance Standard Deviation Coefficient of Variation Range Interquartile Range  Measures of variation give information on the spread or variability of the data values.
  • 23. Basic Business Statistics, 10e © 2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-23 Range  Simplest measure of variation  Difference between the largest and the smallest values in a set of data: Range = Xlargest – Xsmallest 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 Range = 14 - 1 = 13 Example:
  • 24. Basic Business Statistics, 10e © 2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-24  Ignores the way in which data are distributed  Sensitive to outliers 7 8 9 10 11 12 Range = 12 - 7 = 5 7 8 9 10 11 12 Range = 12 - 7 = 5 Disadvantages of the Range 1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,2,2,2,2,2,2,2,2,3,3,3,3,4,5 1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,2,2,2,2,2,2,2,2,3,3,3,3,4,120 Range = 5 - 1 = 4 Range = 120 - 1 = 119
  • 25. Basic Business Statistics, 10e © 2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-25 Interquartile Range  Can eliminate some outlier problems by using the interquartile range  Eliminate some high- and low-valued observations and calculate the range from the remaining values  Interquartile range = 3rd quartile – 1st quartile = Q3 – Q1
  • 26. Basic Business Statistics, 10e © 2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-26 Interquartile Range Median (Q2) X maximumX minimum Q1 Q3 Example: 25% 25% 25% 25% 12 30 45 57 70 Interquartile range = 57 – 30 = 27
  • 27. Basic Business Statistics, 10e © 2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-27  Average (approximately) of squared deviations of values from the mean  Sample variance: Variance 1-n )X(X S n 1i 2 i 2 ∑= − = Where = mean n = sample size Xi = ith value of the variable X X
  • 28. Basic Business Statistics, 10e © 2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-28 Standard Deviation  Most commonly used measure of variation  Shows variation about the mean  Is the square root of the variance  Has the same units as the original data  Sample standard deviation: 1-n )X(X S n 1i 2 i∑= − =
  • 29. Basic Business Statistics, 10e © 2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-29 Calculation Example: Sample Standard Deviation Sample Data (Xi) : 10 12 14 15 17 18 18 24 n = 8 Mean = X = 16 4.3095 7 130 18 16)(2416)(1416)(1216)(10 1n )X(24)X(14)X(12)X(10 S 2222 2222 == − −++−+−+− = − −++−+−+− =   A measure of the “average” scatter around the mean
  • 30. Basic Business Statistics, 10e © 2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-30 Measuring variation Small standard deviation Large standard deviation
  • 31. Basic Business Statistics, 10e © 2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-31 Comparing Standard Deviations Mean = 15.5 S = 3.33811 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 Data B Data A Mean = 15.5 S = 0.926 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 Mean = 15.5 S = 4.567 Data C
  • 32. Basic Business Statistics, 10e © 2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-32 Advantages of Variance and Standard Deviation  Each value in the data set is used in the calculation  Values far from the mean are given extra weight (because deviations from the mean are squared)
  • 33. Basic Business Statistics, 10e © 2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-33 Coefficient of Variation  Measures relative variation  Always in percentage (%)  Shows variation relative to mean  Can be used to compare two or more sets of data measured in different units 100% X S CV ⋅        =
  • 34. Basic Business Statistics, 10e © 2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-34 Comparing Coefficient of Variation  Stock A:  Average price last year = $50  Standard deviation = $5  Stock B:  Average price last year = $100  Standard deviation = $5 Both stocks have the same standard deviation, but stock B is less variable relative to its price 10%100% $50 $5 100% X S CVA =⋅=⋅        = 5%100% $100 $5 100% X S CVB =⋅=⋅        =
  • 35. Basic Business Statistics, 10e © 2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-35 Z Scores  A measure of distance from the mean (for example, a Z-score of 2.0 means that a value is 2.0 standard deviations from the mean)  The difference between a value and the mean, divided by the standard deviation  A Z score above 3.0 or below -3.0 is considered an outlier S XX Z − =
  • 36. Basic Business Statistics, 10e © 2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-36 Z Scores Example:  If the mean is 14.0 and the standard deviation is 3.0, what is the Z score for the value 18.5?  The value 18.5 is 1.5 standard deviations above the mean  (A negative Z-score would mean that a value is less than the mean) 1.5 3.0 14.018.5 S XX Z = − = − = (continued)
  • 37. Basic Business Statistics, 10e © 2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-37 Shape of a Distribution  Describes how data are distributed  Measures of shape  Symmetric or skewed Mean = MedianMean < Median Median < Mean Right-SkewedLeft-Skewed Symmetric
  • 38. Basic Business Statistics, 10e © 2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-38 Using Microsoft Excel  Descriptive Statistics can be obtained from Microsoft® Excel  Use menu choice: tools / data analysis / descriptive statistics  Enter details in dialog box
  • 39. Basic Business Statistics, 10e © 2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-39 Using Excel Use menu choice: tools / data analysis / descriptive statistics
  • 40. Basic Business Statistics, 10e © 2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-40  Enter dialog box details  Check box for summary statistics  Click OK Using Excel (continued)
  • 41. Basic Business Statistics, 10e © 2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-41 Excel output Microsoft Excel descriptive statistics output, using the house price data: House Prices: $2,000,000 500,000 300,000 100,000 100,000
  • 42. Basic Business Statistics, 10e © 2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-42 Numerical Measures for a Population  Population summary measures are called parameters  The population mean is the sum of the values in the population divided by the population size, N N XXX N X N21 N 1i i +++ ==µ ∑=  μ = population mean N = population size Xi = ith value of the variable X Where
  • 43. Basic Business Statistics, 10e © 2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-43  Average of squared deviations of values from the mean  Population variance: Population Variance N μ)(X σ N 1i 2 i 2 ∑= − = Where μ = population mean N = population size Xi = ith value of the variable X
  • 44. Basic Business Statistics, 10e © 2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-44 Population Standard Deviation  Most commonly used measure of variation  Shows variation about the mean  Is the square root of the population variance  Has the same units as the original data  Population standard deviation: N μ)(X σ N 1i 2 i∑= − =
  • 45. Basic Business Statistics, 10e © 2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-45  If the data distribution is approximately bell-shaped, then the interval:  contains about 68% of the values in the population or the sample The Empirical Rule 1σμ ± μ 68% 1σμ ±
  • 46. Basic Business Statistics, 10e © 2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-46  contains about 95% of the values in the population or the sample  contains about 99.7% of the values in the population or the sample The Empirical Rule 2σμ ± 3σμ ± 3σμ ± 99.7%95% 2σμ ±
  • 47. Basic Business Statistics, 10e © 2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-47  Regardless of how the data are distributed, at least (1 - 1/k2 ) x 100% of the values will fall within k standard deviations of the mean (for k > 1)  Examples: (1 - 1/12 ) x 100% = 0% ……..... k=1 (μ ± 1σ) (1 - 1/22 ) x 100% = 75% …........ k=2 (μ ± 2σ) (1 - 1/32 ) x 100% = 89% ………. k=3 (μ ± 3σ) Chebyshev Rule withinAt least
  • 48. Basic Business Statistics, 10e © 2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-48 Approximating the Mean from a Frequency Distribution  Sometimes only a frequency distribution is available, not the raw data  Use the midpoint of a class interval to approximate the values in that class  Where n = number of values or sample size c = number of classes in the frequency distribution mj = midpoint of the jth class fj = number of values in the jth class n fm X c 1j jj∑= =
  • 49. Basic Business Statistics, 10e © 2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-49 Approximating the Standard Deviation from a Frequency Distribution  Assume that all values within each class interval are located at the midpoint of the class  Approximation for the standard deviation from a frequency distribution: 1-n f)X(m S c 1j j 2 j∑= − =
  • 50. Basic Business Statistics, 10e © 2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-50 Exploratory Data Analysis  Box-and-Whisker Plot: A Graphical display of data using 5-number summary: Minimum -- Q1 -- Median -- Q3 -- Maximum Example: Minimum 1st Median 3rd Maximum Quartile Quartile Minimum 1st Median 3rd Maximum Quartile Quartile 25% 25% 25% 25%
  • 51. Basic Business Statistics, 10e © 2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-51 Shape of Box-and-Whisker Plots  The Box and central line are centered between the endpoints if data are symmetric around the median  A Box-and-Whisker plot can be shown in either vertical or horizontal format Min Q1 Median Q3 Max
  • 52. Basic Business Statistics, 10e © 2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-52 Distribution Shape and Box-and-Whisker Plot Right-SkewedLeft-Skewed Symmetric Q1 Q2 Q3 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q1 Q2 Q3
  • 53. Basic Business Statistics, 10e © 2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-53 Box-and-Whisker Plot Example  Below is a Box-and-Whisker plot for the following data: 0 2 2 2 3 3 4 5 5 10 27  The data are right skewed, as the plot depicts 0 2 3 5 270 2 3 5 27 Min Q1 Q2 Q3 Max
  • 54. Basic Business Statistics, 10e © 2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-54 The Sample Covariance  The sample covariance measures the strength of the linear relationship between two variables (called bivariate data)  The sample covariance:  Only concerned with the strength of the relationship  No causal effect is implied 1n )YY)(XX( )Y,X(cov n 1i ii − −− = ∑=
  • 55. Basic Business Statistics, 10e © 2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-55  Covariance between two random variables: cov(X,Y) > 0 X and Y tend to move in the same direction cov(X,Y) < 0 X and Y tend to move in opposite directions cov(X,Y) = 0 X and Y are independent Interpreting Covariance
  • 56. Basic Business Statistics, 10e © 2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-56 Coefficient of Correlation  Measures the relative strength of the linear relationship between two variables  Sample coefficient of correlation: where YX SS Y),(Xcov r = 1n )X(X S n 1i 2 i X − − = ∑= 1n )Y)(YX(X Y),(Xcov n 1i ii − −− = ∑= 1n )Y(Y S n 1i 2 i Y − − = ∑=
  • 57. Basic Business Statistics, 10e © 2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-57 Features of Correlation Coefficient, r  Unit free  Ranges between –1 and 1  The closer to –1, the stronger the negative linear relationship  The closer to 1, the stronger the positive linear relationship  The closer to 0, the weaker the linear relationship
  • 58. Basic Business Statistics, 10e © 2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-58 Scatter Plots of Data with Various Correlation Coefficients Y X Y X Y X Y X Y X r = -1 r = -.6 r = 0 r = +.3r = +1 Y X r = 0
  • 59. Basic Business Statistics, 10e © 2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-59 Using Excel to Find the Correlation Coefficient  Select Tools/Data Analysis  Choose Correlation from the selection menu  Click OK . . .
  • 60. Basic Business Statistics, 10e © 2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-60 Using Excel to Find the Correlation Coefficient  Input data range and select appropriate options  Click OK to get output (continued)
  • 61. Basic Business Statistics, 10e © 2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-61 Interpreting the Result  r = .733  There is a relatively strong positive linear relationship between test score #1 and test score #2  Students who scored high on the first test tended to score high on second test, and students who scored low on the first test tended to score low on the second test Scatter Plot of Test Scores 70 75 80 85 90 95 100 70 75 80 85 90 95 100 Test #1 Score Test#2Score
  • 62. Basic Business Statistics, 10e © 2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-62 Pitfalls in Numerical Descriptive Measures  Data analysis is objective  Should report the summary measures that best meet the assumptions about the data set  Data interpretation is subjective  Should be done in fair, neutral and clear manner
  • 63. Basic Business Statistics, 10e © 2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-63 Ethical Considerations Numerical descriptive measures:  Should document both good and bad results  Should be presented in a fair, objective and neutral manner  Should not use inappropriate summary measures to distort facts
  • 64. Basic Business Statistics, 10e © 2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-64 Chapter Summary  Described measures of central tendency  Mean, median, mode, geometric mean  Discussed quartiles  Described measures of variation  Range, interquartile range, variance and standard deviation, coefficient of variation, Z-scores  Illustrated shape of distribution  Symmetric, skewed, box-and-whisker plots
  • 65. Basic Business Statistics, 10e © 2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 3-65 Chapter Summary  Discussed covariance and correlation coefficient  Addressed pitfalls in numerical descriptive measures and ethical considerations (continued)