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Improving climate
risk-management through
smartphone camera-data driven
advisory and insurance
Samyuktha Kannan
Berber Kramer
Francisco Ceballos
International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI)
Motivation
Crop Insurance
• Expensive to assess losses
• Inaccurate
• Poor trust among farmers
• Substite for risk-reducing tech
Agro Advisory
• Not responsive or demand-driven
at scale
• Infrastructure heavy
• Farmers often turn to other
sources
Can we bundle advisories
and insurance ?
Tech
adoption is
less risky
Expected
payouts are
lower
Improved tech
adoption +
Reduced risk
Common challenges:
Insurance
to advisory
Advisory to
insurance
Bundled
product
Innovation
Read more about the operations and a feasibility assessment at
https://www.ifpri.org/project/PBInsurance
Personalized
advisory
(two-way)
Individual
insurance
Why this works
• Leverages exponentially increasing smartphone prevalence
in dev countries
• Transparent and voluntary, high farmer engagement
• Low cost, scalable with opportunities for automation.
• Single data source can be used for multiple purposes
Research
3.9 225.4
351.3
0
200
400
600
PBA only PBI only PBA+PBI
Willingnesstopay
(inRs.)
*
(iii) Advisories reportedly helped reduce risk and farmers’ WTP for bundled product
was higher, suggesting potential synergies between insurance and advisories
8% 9%
26%
N.A 2.6
5.7
0
2
4
6
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
% extremely satisfied with program Average no. of repeat pictures
taken per site
Numberofpictures
%oftotalrespondents
Control PBA PBA+PBI
***
*
(ii) Providing PBI improves farmer engagement and satisfaction with advisory
service
0.64 0.50 0.14
1.14
0.82
0.32
0
0.5
1
1.5
All advice Advice provided through IVR and
PBA
Advice provided through PBA only
Knowledgescore(0-5)
Control PBA/PBA+PBI
***
***
***
(i) PBA improved knowledge of recommended practices
95% 81%
0%
50%
100% *
%rep
advisorieshelp
reducerisk
*****
***
Generic
advisory
Advisory
only
Advisory
and
Insurance
Location:
141 villages, Haryana,
India 2017-18
Design: RCT comparing
Data sources:
Household surveys,
information provided on
the app
No. of farmers: 1779
Research
The pilot results suggest that a bundled advisory + insurance product has a
high value proposition.
We are currently further testing the impacts of bundling on technology
adoption through:
We welcome questions, comments and insights.
RCT in Haryana, India
•Longer term
•Cross randomized
•More crops
•Behavioural and qualitative analyses
External validity testing in India
•Other regions/climatic zones in Odisha
•More crops
•Working with existing advisory
programs

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Day2_Theme2_Samyuktha Kannan

  • 1. Improving climate risk-management through smartphone camera-data driven advisory and insurance Samyuktha Kannan Berber Kramer Francisco Ceballos International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI)
  • 2. Motivation Crop Insurance • Expensive to assess losses • Inaccurate • Poor trust among farmers • Substite for risk-reducing tech Agro Advisory • Not responsive or demand-driven at scale • Infrastructure heavy • Farmers often turn to other sources Can we bundle advisories and insurance ? Tech adoption is less risky Expected payouts are lower Improved tech adoption + Reduced risk Common challenges: Insurance to advisory Advisory to insurance Bundled product
  • 3. Innovation Read more about the operations and a feasibility assessment at https://www.ifpri.org/project/PBInsurance Personalized advisory (two-way) Individual insurance
  • 4. Why this works • Leverages exponentially increasing smartphone prevalence in dev countries • Transparent and voluntary, high farmer engagement • Low cost, scalable with opportunities for automation. • Single data source can be used for multiple purposes
  • 5. Research 3.9 225.4 351.3 0 200 400 600 PBA only PBI only PBA+PBI Willingnesstopay (inRs.) * (iii) Advisories reportedly helped reduce risk and farmers’ WTP for bundled product was higher, suggesting potential synergies between insurance and advisories 8% 9% 26% N.A 2.6 5.7 0 2 4 6 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% % extremely satisfied with program Average no. of repeat pictures taken per site Numberofpictures %oftotalrespondents Control PBA PBA+PBI *** * (ii) Providing PBI improves farmer engagement and satisfaction with advisory service 0.64 0.50 0.14 1.14 0.82 0.32 0 0.5 1 1.5 All advice Advice provided through IVR and PBA Advice provided through PBA only Knowledgescore(0-5) Control PBA/PBA+PBI *** *** *** (i) PBA improved knowledge of recommended practices 95% 81% 0% 50% 100% * %rep advisorieshelp reducerisk ***** *** Generic advisory Advisory only Advisory and Insurance Location: 141 villages, Haryana, India 2017-18 Design: RCT comparing Data sources: Household surveys, information provided on the app No. of farmers: 1779
  • 6. Research The pilot results suggest that a bundled advisory + insurance product has a high value proposition. We are currently further testing the impacts of bundling on technology adoption through: We welcome questions, comments and insights. RCT in Haryana, India •Longer term •Cross randomized •More crops •Behavioural and qualitative analyses External validity testing in India •Other regions/climatic zones in Odisha •More crops •Working with existing advisory programs