2017 State of the Community Report

2017 State of the
Community
Data Book

Thank you to our
Session Sponsors!

A special thanks to
Carolina Demography
and the
Carolina Population Center

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Community Champions

Community Investors

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2017 State of the Community Report

Special Thanks To…
• Town of Chapel Hill
• Carolina Population Center
• Carolina Demography
• Chapel Hill-Orange County
Visitors Bureau
• Orange Water & Sewer Authority
(OWASA)
• Mark Zimmerman, Re/Max
Winning Edge
• University of North Carolina at
Chapel Hill
• Durham Tech
• GoTriangle
• Chapel Hill Transit

Preview
•Changing Demography
•Commuting
•Housing
•Wages
•Health
•Poverty
•Education

#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT

Orange County Land Distribution
Chapel Hill
5%
Carrboro
2%
Hillsborough
1%
Rest of
Orange
94%
Source 2011-15 ACS

Location of Orange County Housing Units
Chapel Hill
20,624
37%
Carrboro
9,225
16%
Hillsborough
2,455
4%
Rest of Orange
23,993
43%
Source 2011-15 ACS

Orange County Total Value Per Acre
Source: Urban3

Southern Orange County Planning Jurisdictions
Town of Chapel Hill

Assessed Value Per Acre
Urban3Source: Urban3

Population Growth 2016
Jurisdiction 2010 2016
Pop
Growth
Growth Rate
Orange
County
133,801 141,796 +7,995 6.0% (0.9% PY)
Hillsborough 6,087 6,568 +481 7.9% (1.2% PY)
Carrboro 19,582 21,265 +1,683 8.6% (1.3% PY)
Chapel Hill 57,233 59,246 +2,013 3.5% (0.6% PY)
North
Carolina
9,535,483 10,146,788 +611,305 6.4% (1.0% PY)
Source U.S. Census Bureau

Orange County Population Growth Slowest Since
1960sNumeric Growth By Decade, 1930-2010
1,901
11,363
8,535
14,737
19,348
16,796
24,376
15,574
1930s 1940s 1950s 1960s 1970s 1980s 1990s 2000s

9.0%
49.3%
24.8%
34.3% 33.5%
21.8% 26.0%
13.2%
1930s 1940s 1950s 1960s 1970s 1980s 1990s 2000s
Orange County Population Percentage Growth
Slowest Since 1930s
Percent Population Increase By Decade, 1930-2010

Chatham County added 14,176 in the 2000s
Numeric Growth By Decade, 1930-2010
Source: U.S. Census Bureau
549 666
1,393
2,769
3,861
5,344
10,570
14,176
1930s 1940s 1950s 1960s 1970s 1980s 1990s 2000s

2.3% 2.7%
5.5%
10.3%
13.1%
16.0%
27.3% 28.7%
1930s 1940s 1950s 1960s 1970s 1980s 1990s 2000s
2000s Fastest Growth Decade for Chatham County
Percent Population Increase By Decade, 1930-2010

Population Gains Since 2010 Smallest in Orange
Numeric Population Growth, April 1, 2010 to July 1, 2016
8,169
8,544
8,739
36,157
145,754
Orange County
Alamance County
Chatham County
Durham County
Wake County

Orange, Alamance Grew Slower than State Average
Population Growth Rate, April 1, 2010 to July 1, 2016
5.7%
6.1%
6.4%
13.4%
13.8%
16.2%
Alamance County
Orange County
North Carolina
Durham County
Chatham County
Wake County

International Migration, Births, Drove County Pop Growth
Components of Orange County’s estimated 1,100 person growth, July 1, 2015 – July 1, 2016
1,100
1,205
-777
-69
808
Total Population
Change Births Deaths
Domestic
Migration
International
Migration
Note: Not shown is the estimated loss of -67 individuals that cannot be attributed to births, deaths or migration (residual).

Orange 2015-16 Net Migration Rate Lower than Neighbors
Rate of net migration & natural increase (births-deaths) per 1,000 residents, July 1, 2015 to July 1,
2016
0.9
-1.4
7.8
3.0
7.2
10.4
19.9
10.5
5.2
16.5
Alamance Chatham Durham Orange Wake
Natural Increase Rate Net Migration Rate

Share 65+ increased statewide, locally
Population proportion 65+, April 1, 2010 vs July 1, 2016
18%
15%
13%
10% 10%
8%
25%
17%
15%
12% 12%
11%
Chatham Alamance North Carolina Orange Durham Wake
2010 2016

Increases in 65+ drove majority of NC, county growth
Share of 2010-16 population growth due to 65+ growth
72%
56%
55%
52%
28%
24%
Chatham
Orange
North Carolina
Alamance
Durham
Wake

Orange County Population by Race
Changes By Decade
Source: US Census Bureau
80% 78% 71% 69%
20% 22%
29% 31%
1990 2000 2010 2016
White African American Latino/Hispanic Asian Two or More RacesOther Racial/Ethnic Groups

Orange County Population by Race
Changes By Decade
Source: US Census Bureau; Orange County Planning
80% 78%
71% 69%
16%
14%
12% 12%
1%
5%
8% 8%
3% 4%
7% 8%
3% 3%
1990 2000 2010 2016
Two or More Races
Asian
Latino/Hispanic
African American
White

Orange Minority Population by Race
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Orange County Planning
14,847 16,625
1,279
11,870
2,352
11,460
-
3,171
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
1990 2000 2010 2016
Black
Hispanic (any Race)
Asian or Pacific Islander
Multiracial

Chatham Minority Population by Race
8,794 8,775
564
8,626
1,347
-
1,047
0
4,000
8,000
12,000
16,000
20,000
1990 2000 2010 2016
Black Hispanic (any Race) Asian or Pacific Islander Multiracial

Chapel Hill Minority Population by Race
4,840 5,460
607
3,638
1,678
6,786
-
1,282
0
3,000
6,000
9,000
12,000
15,000
18,000
1990 2000 2010

Carrboro Minority Population by Race
1,916
1,933
199
2,706
427
1,592
-
430
0
1,750
3,500
5,250
7,000
1990 2000 2010

How many people in 2050? Orange County
3 Population Projection Models
Source: Carolina Demography, Orange County Planning
271,957
214,200
133,801
186,408
0
75,000
150,000
225,000
300,000
2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
NumberofPeople
Exponential (90-10) Linear (90-10) Linear (10-16)

How many people in 2050? Chapel Hill
125,104
94,509
57,233
70,190
0
75,000
150,000
2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
NumberofPeople

How many people in 2050? Carrboro
51,073
36,012
19,582
30,381
0
20,000
40,000
60,000
2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
NumberofPeople

How many people in 2050? Hillsborough
12,421
10,204
6,087
8,832
0
7,000
14,000
2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
NumberofPeople

How many people in 2050? Chatham County
170,482
113,306
63,505
119,783
0
75,000
150,000
225,000
2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
NumberofPeople

Carrboro Remains One of the Most Densely Populated
Communities in NC
People per square mile by census and projections
2,970
3,437
3,754
3,108
3,586
4,158
1980 Census 1990 Census 2000 Census 2010 Census 2020 Projected 2030 Projected

Chapel Hill Population Density Increases
People per square mile by census and projections
2,590
2,353
2,548
2,785
3,140
3,560
1980 Census 1990 Census 2000 Census 2010 Census 2020 Projected 2030 Projected

Chapel Hill in 2030 is Less Dense than
Most College Towns Today
People Per Square Mile
4,246
4,116
4,094
3,948
3,472
3,108
3,037
2,785
3,560
Charlottesville (VA)
Burlington (VT)
Ann Arbor (MI)
Boulder (CO)
Bloomington (IN)
Carrboro (NC)
Madison (WI)
Chapel Hill (NC)
Chapel Hill 2030

Homes Sold in 2016 Exceeded Pre-Recession
SalesNumber of single and multifamily home sales in Orange County, 2007-16
1,751
1,275
1,143 1,143 1,128
1,277
1,630
1,433
1,650
1,815
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Source: Triangle MLS

Chatham Home Sales Rebounded in 2012
Number of single and multifamily home sales, 2007-2016
1,751
1,815
1,008 1,037
1,412
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
HomeSales
Orange
Chatham

New construction activity concentrated in Wake
Number of single and multi-family homes built and sold, 2010-2016
1,152
2,043
4,520
23,744
Orange
Chatham
Durham
Wake

Chatham had largest growth of housing stock since 2010
New construction (2010-2016) as share of 2010 housing stock
2.1%
3.8%
6.4%
7.1%
Orange
Durham
Wake
Chatham

Chatham New Construction Sales Outpace Orange
Number of single and multi-family homes built and sold, 2007-2016
253 202
313
429
0
100
200
300
400
500
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Orange Chatham
Orange
Chatham

1984median year house built in Orange County

2004median year Orange County
homeowner moved into unit
vs. 2013 for renters

Orange Median Home Prices Rise
3.5% in 2016 and 13.2% since 2012
$260,000
$255,000 $258,000
$275,000
$262,250 $265,000
$274,450
$267,000
$290,000
$300,000
$200,000
$240,000
$280,000
$320,000
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Chatham Median Home Prices Rise
5.1% in 2016 and 26.8% since 2012
$282,500
$270,000
$250,703
$263,930
$274,990 $277,700
$303,350
$317,373
$335,000
$352,140
$200,000
$240,000
$280,000
$320,000
$360,000
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Steady growth in regional home prices
Median residential closing price, 2007-2016
$277,700
$352,140
$265,000
$300,000
$200,000
$240,000
$280,000
$320,000
$360,000
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Orange
Chatham
Chatham
Orange

Price in Chatham Exceeds All Others
2016 Median Residential Closing Price
$211,000
$264,900
$352,140
$300,000
$347,000
Durham Wake Chatham Orange CHCCS Dist

Price Per Square Foot
Median Price Per Square Foot, 2016
$114
$124
$142 $146
$160
Durham Wake Chatham Orange CHCCS Dist

Home prices have risen across the region
Change in median residential sales price, 2012 vs 2016
25.7%
29.8%
31.4%
13.2%
Durham
Wake
Chatham
Orange

68%of Orange 2016 home sales
were in CHCCS District

40% of Homes in CHCCS District and 50% of
All Orange County Homes Sold for <$300K
2016 Orange County home sales by price
27%
20%
43%
23%
20%
29%
17%
24%
2%
22%
24%
19%
11%
13%
8%
Orange County (All)
(1,829 Sales)
CHCCS District
(1,245 Sales)
Not CHCCS
(584 Sales)
<$200,000 $200,000-$299,999 $300,000-$399,999 $400,000-$600,000 $600,000 or More

2016 City and Town Property Tax Rates
.3500
.3900
.4183
.5240
.5607
.5894
.6720
0.00 0.25 0.50 0.75
Huntersville
Cary
Apex
Raleigh
Asheville
Charlotte
Concord
Wilmington
Fayetteville
Greenville
Chapel Hill
Gastonia
Wilson
Durham
Hickory
Burlington
Winston-Salem
Monroe
Carrboro
Rocky Mount
Kannapolis
Greensboro
Jacksonville
High Point
Goldsboro
Salisbury
Source: NC Department of Revenue

2016 All Jurisdictions Property Tax Rates
.9505
.9905
1.0188
1.3011
1.4020
1.4674
0.00 0.50 1.00 1.50
Cary
Apex
Raleigh
Asheville
Wilmington
Huntersville
Hickory
Burlington
Concord
Greenville
Fayetteville
Rocky Mount
Wilson
Charlotte
Durham
Goldsboro
Winston-Salem
Jacksonville
Kannapolis
Salisbury
Monroe
Greensboro
Chapel Hill
High Point
Carrboro

2016 Tax Rates Assessed on Median Home Value
$1,211
$2,271
$2,481
$3,158
$3,226
$3,669
$5,060
$500 $1,250 $2,000 $2,750 $3,500 $4,250 $5,000
Rocky Mount
Burlington
Fayetteville
Hickory
Goldsboro
High Point
Wilson
Winston-Salem
Jacksonville
Kannapolis
Gastonia
Greensboro
Greenville
Salisbury
Concord
Monroe
Wilmington
Raleigh
Charlotte
Durham
Asheville
Huntersville
Apex
Cary
Carrboro
Chapel Hill
Source: NC Department of Revenue, Zillow (ZHVI, 7/31/2017)

However ….

Most people are renting
40
60
53
40
23
39
64
52
43
21
Orange County Carrboro Chapel Hill Hillsborough Chatham County
2011-15 ACS 2006-2010 ACS

2016 UNC Student Enrollment by Housing Type
Resident Student
Housing
8,033
27%
Married Student
Housing
465
2%
Off-Campus
18,927
64%
Fraternity &
Sorority
841
3%
Other University Affiliated Housing
(Granville Towers)
1,203
4%
Source: UNC Fact Book, OIRA

What people are paying for rent
Orange County Gross Rent Paid in 2015
3.7%
51.3%
31.4%
13.7%
Less than $500
$500 to $999
$1,000 to $1,499
$1500 or more

45%of county renters spent $1,000 or more
on rent in 2015

Households Paying More Than 30% of Gross Income on
Rent Declines
Gross Rent as a Percentage of Household Income
20.2%
23.9%
55.9%
24.3%
25.3%
50.4%
< 19.9
percent
20 to 29.9
percent
> 30 percent
2011-15 2006-10

Households Paying More Than 30% of Gross Income on
Rent Declines
Percent Change 2006-2010 to 2011-2015
20.3%
5.9%
-9.8%
< 19.9 percent
20 to 29.9 percent
> 30 percent

2017 Fair Market Rent
North
Carolina
Durham-
Chapel Hill
HMFA
Alamance
County
Raleigh
MSA
Zero Bedroom $629 $710 $652 $695
One Bedroom $683 $834 $668 $861
Two Bedroom $821 $978 $838 $993
Three Bedroom $1,108 $1,332 $1,143 $1,294
Four Bedroom $1,336 $1,481 $1,238 $1,592
Source: National Low Income Housing Coalition

Local Housing Wage is $16.04 for a 1 Bedroom Apt
Housing Wage = Hourly Wages Needed to Afford Fair Market Rate Rent, 2017
North
Carolina
Durham-
Chapel Hill
HMFA
Alamance
County
Raleigh
MSA
Zero Bedroom $12.09 $13.65 $12.54 $13.37
One Bedroom $13.13 $16.04 $12.85 $16.56
Two Bedroom $15.79 $18.81 $16.12 $19.10
Three Bedroom $21.30 $25.62 $21.98 $24.88
Four Bedroom $25.69 $28.48 $23.81 $30.62

$39,120 Needed for 2 Bedroom Fair Market Rent
Annual Salary Needed to Afford Fair Market Rate Rent, 2017
North
Carolina
Durham-
Chapel Hill
HMFA
Alamance
County
Raleigh
MSA
Zero Bedroom $25,147 $28,400 $26,080 $27,800
One Bedroom $27,319 $33,360 $26,720 $34,440
Two Bedroom $32,843 $39,120 $33,520 $39,720
Three Bedroom $44,305 $53,280 $45,720 $51,760
Four Bedroom $53,437 $59,240 $49,520 $63,680

104 Hours of Work Needed for Minimum Wage Worker to
Afford Local 2 Bedroom Rental
Weekly Hours of Minimum Wage Work Needed to Afford Fair Market Rate Rent, 2017
North
Carolina
Durham-
Chapel Hill
HMFA
Alamance
County
Raleigh
MSA
Zero Bedroom 67 75 69 74
One Bedroom 72 88 71 91
Two Bedroom 87 104 89 105
Three Bedroom 118 141 121 137
Four Bedroom 142 157 131 169

ELI = Extremely Low Income
30% or Less of Area Median Income

Affordable Units Per 100 ELI Household
Extremely Low Income (ELI) Households earn 0-30% Area Median Income
26
39 40
36
49
28
34
68
27
62
Orange Durham Chatham Wake Alamance
2005-09 2010-14
Source: Urban Institute

Orange County Gap between ELI Households and
Available Units Decreased by More than 1,000 Units
Gap between ELI households (<30% area median income) and available units
5,891
7,504
5,821
2,251
1,927
1,616
2000
2005-2009
2010-2014
Units ELI householdsSource: Urban Institute

Chatham County Gap between ELI Households and
Available Units Decreases by Nearly 50%
Gap between ELI households (<30% area median income) and available units
764
1,443
1,773
453
576
1,197
2000
2005-2009
2010-2014
Units ELI householdsSource: Urban Institute

Orange Chronically Homeless at Lowest Recorded Level
Number of Chronically Homeless Individuals (annual point-in-time count), 2011-2017
50
29
28
23
25
15
14
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
Source: Orange County Partnership to End Homelessness

18 Homeless Children in Families in Orange
Number of Homeless Children in Families (annual point-in-time count), 2011-2017
17
15
16
17
19
6
18
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
Source: Orange County Partnership to End Homelessness

•Well Educated
•High Earning
•Generous
•Not That Generous

Chapel Hill Second Highest % with BA+
Percent of Residents 25+ with Bachelors degree or higher (2011-15)
Cambridge (MA), 75.1
Chapel Hill (NC), 74
Carrboro (NC), 68
Orange County (NC),
56.6
Chatham County
(NC), 36.8
0 20 40 60 80
Cambridge (MA)
Chapel Hill (NC)
Boulder (CO)
Ann Arbor (MI)
Berkeley (CA)
Amherst (MA)
Carrboro (NC)
Evanston (IL)
Sunnyvale (CA)
Corvallis (OR)
Bloomington (IN)
Orange County (NC)
Santa Clara (CA)
Fort Collins (CO)
Burlington (VT)
Charlottesville (VA)
Tallahassee (FL)
Austin (TX)
Boston (MA)
Gainesville (FL)
Athens-Clarke County (GA)
San Jose (CA)
Chatham County (NC)
Columbus (OH)

Orange Per Capita Income Growth Outpaces All Others
Inflation Adjusted Per Capita Income, 1969-2015
$55,338
$0
$10,000
$20,000
$30,000
$40,000
$50,000
$60,000
1969 1974 1979 1984 1989 1994 1999 2004 2009 2014
Alamance Chatham Durham Wake Orange
Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis

Orange Highest Per Capita Income in State
Orange, NC
$55,338
Chatham, NC
$51,839
North Carolina
$40,759
Robeson, NC
$27,487
$0
$10,000
$20,000
$30,000
$40,000
$50,000
$60,000

Per Capita Personal Income
By County, 2015
$55,338
$52,129 $51,839 $51,776
$48,602
$44,507 $44,442 $44,199 $43,952 $43,859

2016 ACCRA Cost of Living Housing Index
Chapel Hill/Orange
County
102.4
Burlington
71.5
Charlotte
85.1
Durham
72.1 Raleigh
69.3
Winston-Salem
68.260
80
100
120
Source: ACCRA Cost of living Index, select annual averages

2016 ACCRA Cost of Living Grocery Index
Chapel Hill/Orange
County
92.0
Burlington
97.6
Charlotte
94.0
Durham
96.9
Raleigh
113.4
Winston-Salem
98.9
85
100
115

2016 ACCRA Cost of Living Composite Index
Chapel Hill/Orange
County
96.0
Burlington
89.9
Charlotte
94.8
Durham
88.5
Raleigh
94.4
Winston-Salem
91.5
85
100
115

Orange has #1 Adjusted Gross Income, Chatham #18
County
Average AGI on
Itemized Returns
Rank
(of 100 Counties)
Orange County $175,600 1
Mecklenburg County $134,897 2
Wake County $128,756 3
Guilford County $110,738 11
Durham County $106,478 15
Chatham County $101,900 18
Alamance County $92,312 36
Source: National Center for Charitable Statistics

Orange #4 in Value of Itemized Deductions, Chatham
#85
County Average Itemized
Contributions Reported
Rank (of 100 Counties)
Orange County $5,665 4
Mecklenburg County $5,230 19
Guilford County $5,080 32
Durham County $4,678 55
Wake County $4,519 62
Alamance County $4,425 68
Chatham County $4,166 85

Orange Ranks 98th in Percent of Income Donated,
Chatham 90th
County Percent of AGI
Contributed
Rank (of 100
Counties)
Alamance County 4.8% 72
Guilford County 4.6% 79
Durham County 4.4% 82
Chatham County 4.1% 90
Mecklenburg County 3.9% 91
Wake County 3.5% 96
Orange County 3.2% 98

Yancey and Macon Counties Lead NC in Contributions
County Average Itemized
Contribution
Rank (of 100
Counties) Percent
of AGI Contributed
Yancey $7,919 (9.2%) 1
Macon County $8,007 (8.5%) 2
Washington County $5,579 (7.3%) 3
Anson County $5,086 (7.2%) 4
Warren County $4,169 (7.1%) 5

And where does that income
come from…
…work

Unemployment Declines in North Carolina
Unemployment Rate, 2005-May 2017
6.5 6.5
10.9
4.3
-
4.0
8.0
12.0
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 May '17
UnemploymentRate
Chapel Hill Orange County North Carolina
Source: NC Department of Commerce

Orange County Employment Patterns
Source: National Association of Counties

Orange County Major Employers 2017 Q1
1. UNC Chapel Hill
2. UNC Health Care System
3. Chapel Hill-Carrboro City Schools
4. Orange County Schools
5. Local government
6. UNC Physicians Network
7. Town of Chapel Hill
8. Eurosport
9. General Electric
10. Wal-Mart
11. Aramark Food and Support Services
12. Harris Teeter
13. Food Lion
14. AKG of America
15. The Chapel Hill Residential
16. PHE Inc
17. Weaver St Market
18. Strata Solar
19. Performance Chevrolet
20. Residential Services
21. Wellspring Grocery
22. Carolina Inn
23. Summit Consulting-Engineering
24. The Arc of the Triangle
25. US Postal ServiceSource: NC Department of Commerce

Orange County Number of Enterprises by Industry
By North American Industry Classification System (NAICS)
Source: NC Commerce (ESRI Business Numbers) - 2016
735
647
588
571
467
376
348
346
338
333
Other Srv excl Public Admin NAICS81
Retail Trade NAICS44-45
Prof/Scientific/Tech Srv NAICS54
Health Care/Social Assist NAICS62
Construction NAICS23
Accommodation/Food Services NAICS72
Finance & Insurance NAICS52
Unclassified Establishments NAICS99
Real Estate/Rental/Leasing NAICS53
Food Srv & Drinking Places NAICS722

Retail, Wholesale & Health Care Lead Sales in Orange
2016 Sales by NAICS Industry Code (Millions)
$2,168
$2,040
$1,334
$806
$685
$675
$550
$407
$399
$384
Wholesale Trade NAICS42
Manufacturing NAICS31-33
Food & Beverage Stores NAICS445
Secur/Commodity Contracts NAICS523

Chatham County Employment Patterns
Source: National Association of Counties

Chatham County Major Employers 2017 Q1
1. Chatham County Schools
2. County Of Chatham
3. Carolina Meadows
4. Galloway Ridge
5. Mountaire Farms of NC
6. Wal-Mart
7. Arauco Panels
8. Chatham Hospital
9. Fitch Creations
10. Boise Cascade Company
11. Palletone of North Carolina
12. The Laurels of Chatham
13. Lowes Home Centers
14. Sunrise Home Care
15. Piedmont Health Services
16. Harris Teeter
17. Acme McCrary
18. Food Lion
19. Brookwood Farms
20. Genesis Administrative Services
21. Central Carolina Community College
22. Town & Country Hardware Stores
23. Governors Club
24. Triangle Electrical Services
25. NC Department of Public SafetySource: NC Department of Commerce

357
312
251
176
173
153
128
124
112
106
Other Srv excl Public Admin NAICS81
Public Administration NAICS92
Accommodation/Food Services NAICS72
Admin/Waste Mgmt&Remediatn NAICS56
Chatham County Number of Enterprises by Industry
By North American Industry Classification System
(NAICS)

Wholesale & Manufacturing Lead Chatham County Sales
Sales By NAICS Industry Code (Thousands)
$1,212,210
$802,465
$650,280
$277,142
$259,409
$250,212
$246,350
$152,503
$125,647
$124,823
Wholesale Trade NAICS42
Manufacturing NAICS31-33
Utilities NAICS22
Food & Beverage Stores NAICS445
Information NAICS51

Orange County & Municipality Minority Business Ownership
Rates Fall Below U.S. And Statewide Averages
10.3%
11.8%
13.5%
13.7%
14.0%
14.9%
15.2%
20.5%
20.8%
21.1%
22.8%
26.3%
28.8%
36.7%
Bloomington (IN)
Chatham County (NC)
Madison (WI)
Chapel Hill (NC)
Orange County (NC)
Ann Arbor (MI)
Carrboro (NC)
Johnston County (NC)
Alamance County (NC)
Hillsborough (NC)
North Carolina
Wake County (NC)
United States
Durham County (NC)
Source: U.S Census Bureau

Female Business Ownership Rate in Orange County Exceeds
State and US Average
30.2%
31.2%
32.2%
32.4%
34.2%
34.6%
35.4%
35.5%
35.6%
35.6%
35.8%
35.9%
36.3%
41.7%
Bloomington (IN)
Hillsborough (NC)
Johnston County (NC)
Ann Arbor (MI)
Chapel Hill (NC)
Alamance County (NC)
Madison (WI)
Chatham County (NC)
North Carolina
Wake County (NC)
United States
Carrboro (NC)
Orange County (NC)
Durham County (NC)
Source: U.S Census Bureau

Non-Profit
Employment and Charitable Giving

Orange County Nonprofits
Orange County Registered Nonprofits 975
Orange County 501(c)3 Orgs Filing 990s 437
Annual Revenue of Orange County 501(c)3s $870 million
Assets of Orange county 501(c)3s $3.3 billion
Source Center for Nonprofits

Chatham County Nonprofits
Chatham County Registered Nonprofits 254
Chatham County 501(c)3 Orgs Filing 990s 98
Annual Revenue of Chatham County 501(c)3s $105 million
Assets of Chatham county 501(c)3s $245 million

Orange, Chatham and Durham Boast 871 Charities
Total Registered 501c3 Non Profits by County (2015)
303
83
485
Orange Chatham Durham

Total Non-Profit Employment
Nonprofit Employee County by County (2015)
29,808
1,681
42,373

47% of Orange County workers employed in Nonprofit
Nonprofit employment as percent of total employment, 2015
47%
12%
23%

46%of UNC’s employees
are from Orange County
Source: UNC Office of Institutional Research

Distribution of UNC-CH’s 12,411 Employees (2016)
By county of home address
5,757
2,424
1,617
1,129
608
597
68
69
82
25
35
Orange
Durham
Wake
Alamance
Chatham
Other
Person
Lee
Guilford
Randolph
Granville

Growing number of UNC employees live in Wake
Change in number of UNC employees by county of residence, 2013-2016
108
102
293
42
-42
-117
-7
-1
23
0
27
Orange
Durham
Wake
Alamance
Chatham
Other
Person
Lee
Guilford
Randolph
Granville

Orange Worker Inflows/Outflows, 2014
42,696 drive in, 35,545 drive out and 19,611 live and work in Orange

Chapel Hill/Carrboro Worker Inflows/Outflows, 2014
38,942 drive in, 17,922 drive out and 10,572 live and work in Orange

More jobs but fewer workers living in Orange
Number of jobs in Orange vs. workers in Orange, 2002-2014
52,608
57,822
62,307
48,618
52,754
57,549
55,156
40,000
45,000
50,000
55,000
60,000
65,000
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
NumberofPeople
Jobs in Orange Workers in Orange

Most Orange County residents work elsewhere
Share of Orange County resident workers who work outside of Orange County, 2002-2014
55%
64%
50%
55%
60%
65%
70%
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

58% of Orange County Households Have 2+ Cars
Share of Households by Number of Vehicles Available, 2011-15
22.5%
36.5%
36.8%
4.1%
3 or More
Vehicles
2 Vehicles
1 Vehicle
No Vehicles

Fewer Orange, Chatham Workers Drive Alone to Work
Percent of commuters who drive alone to work, 2011-15
Source: Robert Wood Johnson Foundation
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North Carolina Orange Chatham Alamance Durham Wake

46% of Chatham Workers Driving Alone Travel 30+ Minutes
Percent of those who drive alone to work commuting 30+ minutes, 2011-15
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North Carolina Orange Chatham Alamance Durham Wake

Local Transit Ridership Down 1.05M
Total Chapel Hill Transit Ridership (in millions), FY2004-FY2017
5.27
7.23
6.18
4.0
6.0
8.0
FY04 FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17
Source: Chapel Hill Transit

GoTriangle Ridership Down 3.2% Off Peak
Total Triangle Transit Ridership, FY2004-FY2016
Source: Triangle Transit
711,117
1,843,735 1,784,700
0
500,000
1,000,000
1,500,000
2,000,000
FY04 FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17

More Orange County jobs filled by in-commuters
Share of county jobs filled by individuals who live outside of Orange County, 2002-2014
58%
69%
50%
55%
60%
65%
70%
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Few differences in earnings by place of work/residence
Commuters into/out of Orange County by income, 2014
16% 17% 16%
34% 29% 32%
50% 53% 52%
Driving into Orange for Work Driving Out of Orange for
Work
Live and Work in Orange
<$15,000 $15,000-$39,999 >$40,000

Fewer young workers live and work in Orange
Growth in number of young workers (<30) in Orange County by place of work, 2010 vs. 2014
2.0%
0.8%
-13.8%
Driving Into Orange for Work
Driving Out of Orange for
Work Live and Work in Orange

Fewer workers under 55 live and work in Orange
Number living and working in Orange County by Age, 2002-2014
5,079
3,390
13,299
10,883
3,544
5,338
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
NumberofPeople
Workers Aged 29 or younger Workers Aged 30 to 54 Workers Aged 55 or older

Chapel Hill Worker Inflows/Outflows, 2014
38,917 Drive In, 13,228 Drive Out and 6,490 Live and Work in Chapel Hill

Where People Commute From to Fill Chapel Hill Jobs
Place of Residence of Individuals Whose Primary Job was in Chapel Hill in 2014
8,584
6,490
3,103
2,435
2,044
598
578
481
412
401
20,281
Durham city, NC
Chapel Hill town, NC
Carrboro town, NC
Raleigh city, NC
Cary town, NC
Apex town, NC
Burlington city, NC
Mebane city, NC
Greensboro city, NC
Charlotte city, NC
All Other Locations

Where Do Chapel Hill Residents Work?
Location of Primary Job, 2014
6,490
4,116
1,629
619
559
470
429
181
171
166
4,888
Durham city, NC
Raleigh city, NC
Cary town, NC
Charlotte city, NC
Greensboro city, NC
Carrboro town, NC
Burlington city, NC
Hillsborough town, NC
Morrisville town, NC
All Other Locations

Carrboro Worker Inflows/Outflows, 2014
3,557 Drive In, 8,226 Drive Out, and 550 Live and Work in Carrboro

Where People Commute From to Fill Carrboro Jobs
Place of Residence of Individuals Whose Primary Job was in Carrboro in 2014
550
515
429
163
96
71
63
60
41
36
2,083
Carrboro town, NC
Durham city, NC
Raleigh city, NC
Cary town, NC
Charlotte city, NC
Mebane city, NC
Burlington city, NC
Greensboro city, NC
Apex town, NC
All Other Locations

Where Do Carrboro Residents Work?
Location of Primary Job, 2014
3,103
1,427
696
550
239
210
185
142
95
82
2,047
Durham city, NC
Raleigh city, NC
Carrboro town, NC
Cary town, NC
Charlotte city, NC
Greensboro city, NC
Hillsborough town, NC
Burlington city, NC
Morrisville town, NC
All Other Locations

Chatham Worker Inflows/Outflows, 2014
8,923 drive in, 20,985 drive out and 5,016 Live and Work in Chatham

Majority of Chatham Residents Work Elsewhere
Share of Chatham County resident workers who work outside of Chatham, 2002-2014
80.7%
65.3%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
2014201320122011201020092008200720062005200420032002

Where Do Chatham County Workers Work?
2014 vs. 2005
3,717
2,826
2,365
1,298
1,219
1,190
746
714
673
418
10,835
0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000
Raleigh city, NC
Durham city, NC
Pittsboro town, NC
Cary town, NC
Siler City town, NC
Greensboro city, NC
Sanford city, NC
Charlotte city, NC
Asheboro city, NC
All Other Locations
2005
2014

Where People Drive From to Fill Chatham County Jobs
2014 vs. 2005 (Top 10)
777
719
463
386
362
351
300
195
182
161
0 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400 1,600
Siler City town, NC
Durham city, NC
Raleigh city, NC
Cary town, NC
Sanford city, NC
Pittsboro town, NC
Carrboro town, NC
Apex town, NC
Greensboro city, NC
2005
2014

Sales and Economy

Taxable Sales Grows to $1.7 Billion
Orange County Taxable Sales (millions)
$908 $948 $972 $927 $946
$1,017 $1,058
$1,176
$1,422 $1,477
$1,568
$1,726

Annual Growth of Orange County Taxable Sales
Change (in millions) in Taxable Sales from Prior Year FY05-FY16
$41
$23
-$45
$20
$71
$41
$117
$246
$55
$91
$158

Annual Growth of Orange County Taxable Sales
Percent Change in Taxable Sales of Prior Year FY05-FY16
2% -1% -1%
23%
17%
-12%
9%
21%
4%
6%
10%

Sales Tax Collections Grow to $82 Million
Orange County Gross Sales Tax Collections (millions)
$40.82 $41.77 $41.54 $41.05
$50.44
$58.80
$51.54
$56.14
$67.84 $70.47
$74.76
$82.26

Orange County Visitor
Spending and Economic Impact

Orange County Hotel Occupancy Slightly Off Peak
Average Daily Hotel Occupancy, 2009-2016
Source: Chapel Hill/Orange County Visitors Bureau
58.9% 59.6%
64.1%
65.1% 65.1%
69.9% 69.7% 69.4%
50%
58%
66%
74%
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Hotel Average Daily Rate Continues to Increase
Orange County Average Daily Rate, 2009-2016
$107.35
$102.12 $101.61
$104.38
$106.49
$113.65
$118.94
$120.73
$85
$95
$105
$115
$125
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Revenue per Room Continues to Grow
Orange County Average Revenue Per Room, 2009-2016
$63.34 $60.87
$65.15 $68.00 $69.60
$79.45
$82.95 $83.16
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Orange Tourism Tax Revenue Tops $14.6 Million
State and Local Visitor Spending Tax Revenue (millions)
$9.98 $10.48
$3.97 $4.16
2015 2016
State Tax Revenue (millions) Local Tax Revenue (millions)
$13.95 $14.64
Source: Prepared for VisitNC by the US Travel Association

Domestic Visitor Spending Increases 4.4%
Orange County Domestic Visitor Spending (millions)
$184.45
$192.63
2015 2016
Source: Prepared for VisitNC by the US Travel Association

60%
9%
26%
0%
3% 1%
Orange
County
Carrboro Chapel Hill Durham Hillsborough Mebane
Chapel Hill & Carrboro Receive 36% of Orange County Sales
Tax Distributions
Municipality share of Orange County Local Option Sales Tax (LOST) Revenue Distributions, FY 2016-17

Sales Tax Per Capita FY2016
$171.97 $175.27
$157.33
$250.56
$153.88
Orange Alamance Chatham Durham Wake

Sales Tax Per Capita Rankings
Ranking of 100 NC Counties (1=highest), 2010-2016
81st
41st
56th
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
CountyRanking(1to100)

Total Household Income (billions)
2016 Total Household Income
$4.7
$3.9
$2.7
$9.6
$39.0
Orange County
Alamance County
Chatham County
Durham County
Wake County
Source: ESRI via NC Department of Commerce

Average Household Retail Demand
2016
$51,358
$32,097
$44,329
$38,192
$48,176
Orange County
Alamance County
Chatham County
Durham County
Wake County

2016 retail gap

Orange Had Largest Retail Gap in 2016
Retail Potential vs. Retail Sales (in billions), 2016
$2.6 $2.1
$1.3
$4.7
$18.7
$1.8
$2.7
$0.6
$4.6
$18.1
Retail Potential (Demand)
Retail Sales (Supply)
Values shown in billions

Orange Had Largest Retail Gap in 2016
Retail Gap– Demand Minus Supply (in Millions), 2016
$796
($660)
$648
$81
$623

Orange County Draws Outside Dollars in 4 Categories
2016 Retail Leakage (in Millions)
-$45.4
-$52.7
-$50.9
-$87.8
-$30.7
-$28.3
$13.9
-$321.9
-$47.1
$.2
-$280.8
$85.7
$49.5
Bldg/Garden Equip/Supply Stores
Clothing/Accessories Stores
Electronics & Appliance Stores
Food and Beverage Stores
Food Services & Drinking Places
Furniture/Home Furnishing Stores
Gasoline Stations
General Merchandise Stores
Health and Personal Care Stores
Miscellaneous Store Retailers
Motor Vehicle and Parts Dealers
Nonstore Retailers
Sports/Hobby/Book/Music Stores

Chatham County Draws Outside Dollars in 1 Category
-$23.0
-$40.8
-$41.0
-$73.3
-$41.3
-$20.3
-$9.9
-$99.1
-$29.5
-$41.8
-$217.4
-$21.6
$10.7
Gasoline Stations
Nonstore Retailers

Alamance County Huge Draw for Outside Dollars
$21.7
$44.3
-$32.0
-$33.0
$61.7
$36.0
$89.5
$238.1
$22.6
$142.8
$29.9
$9.5
$29.0
Gasoline Stations
Nonstore Retailers

Orange County Retail Businesses Detail
2016 Retail Businesses in Orange County by Category
55
78
41
78
330
27
40
20
49
102
37
24
53
Gasoline Stations
Nonstore Retailers

Chatham County Retail Businesses Detail
2016 Retail Businesses in Chatham County by Category
37
14
15
45
100
20
28
21
15
52
28
5
17
Gasoline Stations
Nonstore Retailers

Number of Alamance County Businesses by Sector
2016 Businesses in Alamance County by NAICS Codes
54
126
43
98
362
54
80
66
75
178
120
11
51
Gasoline Stations
Nonstore Retailers

Poverty

Percent of People in Poverty
2000 2006 2011 2015
Orange County 10% 14% 17% 14%
Chatham County 9% 12% 11% 12%
Durham County 11% 16% 20% 17%
Wake County 7% 9% 12% 11%
North Carolina 12% 15% 18% 16%
United States 11% 13% 16% 15%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates (SAIPE)

Food and Nutrition Services Cases at 7-Year Low
Food and Nutrition Services (Formerly Food Stamps) Average Cases by Month, Orange County, 2007-2016
2,903 3,037
3,526
4,600
5,466
6,129
6,459
5,298
2,000
4,500
7,000
Apr-07
Aug-07
Dec-07
Apr-08
Aug-08
Dec-08
Apr-09
Aug-09
Dec-09
Apr-10
Aug-10
Dec-10
Apr-11
Aug-11
Dec-11
Apr-12
Aug-12
Dec-12
Apr-13
Aug-13
Dec-13
Apr-14
Aug-14
Dec-14
Apr-15
Aug-15
Dec-15
Apr-16
Aug-16
Dec-16
Source: Orange County Department of Health and Human Services

SNAP Households Decline, Orange County
Monthly Household Recipients Over Time
11,814
5,822
0
3,500
7,000
10,500
14,000
1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016
Average Monthly Recipients Average Monthly Household Recipients
Source: NC Department of Health and Human Services

Food Insecurity Rate by County (2015)
16.5%
14.3%
15.4%
11.5%
17.9%
13.5%
North Carolina Orange Alamance Chatham Durham Wake
Source: Feeding America

Food Insecure People by County (2015)
19,790
23,900
7,730
Orange Alamance Chatham

Change in Food Insecure People, 2013-2015
(1,110)
(1,550)
(20)
1,330
Orange Alamance Chatham Durham

Percent of Students Enrolled in Free and Reduced Lunch
2015-2016
54.3% 53.1%
62.2%
44.2%
29.8%
36.1%
Alamance Chatham Durham Orange: OCS Orange:
CHCCS
Wake
Source: NC Department of Public Instruction

Growth of Students Enrolled in Free and Reduced
Lunch from 2009-2010 to 2015-2016
3.8%
7.5%
-2.1%
8.7%
15.9%
19.4%
-3.2%
Alamance Chatham Durham Johnston Orange: OCS Orange:
CHCCS
Wake

Percent of Children in Poverty
0.0%
7.5%
15.0%
22.5%
30.0%
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Orange County Alamance County Chatham County Durham County North Carolina

Number of Children in Poverty
3,711
4,822
2,897
2,5062,952
2,234
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
20152014201320122011201020092008
Orange County Chatham County

Health Data

2016 Health Indicators
Health Indicator
Orange
County
Chatham
County
Who is #1
Length of Life #1 #8 Orange
Quality of Life #5 #14 Currituck
Health Behaviors #4 #9 Polk
Clinical Care #1 #11 Orange
Social & Economic
Factors
#2 #9 Union
Physical Environment #8 #53 Hyde
Source: 2016 County Health Rankings - Robert Wood Johnson Foundation

Adult Smoking Rates
Compared to Adjacent and Peer Communities
19%
16%
19%
16% 16%
14% 13%
20%
14%
19%
16%

Adult Obesity
30%
23%
35%
27%
29%
25%
13%
25% 24%
22%
24%

Disconnected Youth
15%
4%
13%
16%
12%
9%
5%
6%
5%
4%
5%

Residential Segregation - Black/White
50
26
42
35
40 43
53
34
49
42
57

14
7
12
8 8 8
15
9
16 16 17
Drug Overdose Deaths per 100,000

15%
17%
15% 15%
18% 18%
20%
18%
26%
20% 21%
Excessive Drinking

Access to Exercise Opportunities
75%
85% 84%
64%
91% 91%
98%
85%
95%
88% 92%

Orange County Children in Poverty
Lowest Among NC Peers
23%
13%
26%
18%
26%
15%
11%
42%
10%
18%
13%

Orange County Children Faring Better
Source: NC Child
2011 2015
Low Birthweight 8.2% 7.0%
3 and 4 year-olds enrolled in school 57.6% 64.9%
Children living in poor or low income homes 33.0% 31.7%
Teen births age 15-17 (per 1000 girls) 9.2
Too small to
measure
Children in foster care (per 1000) 6.7 5.4
Uninsured Children 9% 4.9%
Children assessed for abuse or neglect (per 1000) 38.4 41.5

Health Care Costs
$9,069
$7,183
$8,893
$7,874 $8,157
$8,671 $8,344 $8,694
$7,353 $7,795
$9,156

Leading Causes of Death in 2015
Chatham County, NC Orange County, NC
1. Cancer (21.4%) 1. Cancer (23.2%)
2. Heart Disease (19.1%) 2. Heart Disease (20.6%)
3. Cerebrovascular Disease (6.7%) 3. Cerebrovascular Disease (5.7%)
4. Alzheimer's Disease (5.2%) 4. Alzheimer's Disease (3.9%)
5. Chronic lower respiratory diseases (4.3%) 5. All Other Unintentional Injuries (3.7%)
6. Pneumonia and Influenza (3.3%) 6. Chronic lower respiratory diseases (2.9%)
7. All Other Unintentional Injuries (3.2%) 7. Diabetes mellitus (2.5%)
8. Diabetes mellitus (2.9%) 8. Chronic Liver Disease and Cirrhosis (1.8%)
9. Motor Vehicle Injuries (1.8%) 8. Septicemia (1.8%)
10. Nephritis, Nephrotic Syndrome & Nephrosis (1.7%) 10. Nephritis, Nephrotic Syndrome & Nephrosis (1.5%)
Source: NC Center for Health Statistics

All Cancers Rate per 100,000
2011-2015
467
487
442
452
451
464
410 420 430 440 450 460 470 480 490 500
North Carolina
Alamance
Chatham
Durham
Orange
Wake
Source: N.C. State Center for Health Statistics

All Cancers Rate per 100,000
2006-2010 vs. 2011-2015
498
523
495
490
483 486
467
487
442
452 451
464
400
420
440
460
480
500
520
540
North Carolina Alamance Chatham Durham Orange Wake
2006-2010 2011-2015

37
35
33
32
33
32
North Carolina
Alamance
Chatham
Durham
Orange
Wake
Colon/Rectum Cancer Rate per 100,000
2011-2015

Colon/Rectum Cancer Rate per 100,000
2006-2010 vs. 2011-2015
43
41 41
39
35
3837
35
33 32 33 32
2006-2010 2011-2015

Prostate Cancer Rate per 100,000
2011-2015
116
116
101
109
96
122
North Carolina
Alamance
Chatham
Durham
Orange
Wake

Prostate Cancer Rate per 100,000
2006-2010 vs. 2011-2015
154
169
142
167
142
179
116 116
101
109
96
122
2006-2010 2011-2015

Lung/Bronchus Cancer Rate per 100,000
2011-2015
67
68
50
56
55
54
North Carolina
Alamance
Chatham
Durham
Orange
Wake

Lung/Bronchus Cancer Rate per 100,000
2006-2010 vs. 2011-2015
75 77
63
69
61 60
67 68
50
56 55 54
2006-2010 2011-2015

Female Breast Cancer Rate per 100,000
2011-2015
157
172
163
180
180
170
145 150 155 160 165 170 175 180 185
North Carolina
Alamance
Chatham
Durham
Orange
Wake

Female Breast Cancer Rate per 100,000
2006-2010 vs. 2011-2015
156 160
169
162
172
164
157
172
163
180 180
170
2006-2010 2011-2015

Orange County Rape Crisis Center Clients
Served
479
375
617
548
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
Source: Orange County Rape Crisis Center

Orange County Teen Pregnancy Rates Decrease
Per 1000 Girls, Age 15-17
26 cases
9 cases
0.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
25.0
30.0
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Source: NC Health and Human Services

Orange County Infant Mortality Rate
Per 1,000 live births
12.0
5
8.8
7.3
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Orange County State
Source: NC Health and Human Services

Asthma in Hospital Discharges per 100,000
48
50.9 50
72.7
57.3
50.3
55.2
62.8
55.2
51.5
45.6 47.7
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Source: North Carolina Hospital Discharge Data

Asthma in Hospital Discharges per 100,000
135.7
115.1
0
40
80
120
160
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
All Ages Ages (0-14)

% of NC Adults Who Answered Yes to:
“Has a doctor, nurse or other health professional ever told you that you had asthma?
Source: 2015 Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System (BRFSS)

NC 2014 Emergency Department Visit with Primary
Diagnosis of Asthma by County

NC 2014 Emergency Department Visits with the
Primary Diagnosis of Asthma, Ages 0 -14, By County

Violent Crime per 100,000
342
150
396
174
613
245
210
372
231
277 299

Violent Crime Rate Per 100,000
By County
0
300
600
900
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Alamance Chatham Durham Orange Wake
Source: North Carolina Department of Public Safety -> View Crime Statistics -> Annual Summary Report (most recent year)

Property Crime Rate Per 100,000
By County
Source: North Carolina Department of Public Safety -> View Crime Statistics -> Annual Summary Report (most recent year)
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Durham Alamance Orange Wake Chatham

UNC

NC Legislative Appropriations to UNC Chapel Hill
$543,291,852
$493,923,004
$0
$100,000,000
$200,000,000
$300,000,000
$400,000,000
$500,000,000
$600,000,000
1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016
Source: OIRA

UNC Chapel Hill Revenues Rise, State Appropriations Flat
$2,859,984,099
$493,923,004
$0
$500,000,000
$1,000,000,000
$1,500,000,000
$2,000,000,000
$2,500,000,000
$3,000,000,000
$3,500,000,000
1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016
Total
Revenues
State
Appropriations
Source: OIRA

Value of UNC Chapel Hill Endowment
$2.66
billion
$0
$500,000,000
$1,000,000,000
$1,500,000,000
$2,000,000,000
$2,500,000,000
$3,000,000,000
$3,500,000,000
1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016
Source: OIRA

UNC Chapel Hill Campus Grows Past 19,500 sqft
Gross Square Feet of UNC Chapel Hill Campus
7,847
9,639
12,312
18,394
19,536
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016
Source: OIRA

UNC Chapel Hill Student Population Exceeds 29,135
Number of Students Enrolled at UNC, 1980-2016
21,465
23,852
24,872
29,135
16,000
20,000
24,000
28,000
32,000
1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016

More than 12,000 Work for UNC Chapel Hill
UNC Employees by State Classification, 1980-2016
0
3,500
7,000
10,500
14,000
SPA
Employees
EPA
Faculty/
Non-Faculty
Source: OIRA

UNC = Innovation

UNC Annual Research Funding passes $847 million
$275
$847
$0
$100
$200
$300
$400
$500
$600
$700
$800
$900
1995 1998 2001 2004 2007 2010 2013 2016
Millions

UNC Start-up Companies by Year
5
11
3 3 3
1
6
1
7
1
5
7
9
14
10
9
8
FY00 FY01 FY02 FY03 FY04 FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16

103UNC start-up companies since 2000

A partnership between the town, county and
university to accelerate the development
of high potential, high impact ventures in
Chapel Hill and Orange County.

64 companies served since 2012
13 in 2016
1,000 jobs created by graduates
25% in Orange County
$20M in funding raised by graduates
$7.3M annual sales revenues of graduates

Capacity Growing at Durham Tech Orange County Campus
3,207
3,466 3,374 3,373 3,412
2,552
2,731
2,420 2,360 2,368
2012-2013 2013-2014 2014-2015 2015-2016 2016-2017
Total Seats Offered Total Seats Filled
Source: Durham Tech

# of Sections Offered and Unduplicated Enrollment
Durham Tech Orange County Campus
150 153 138 140 141
1,131 1,155
1,089 1,113 1,066
2012-2013 2013-2104 2014-2015 2015-2016 2016-2017
Total Sections Unduplicated Headcount
Source: Durham Tech

46%
of CHCCS or OCS graduates
received financial aid from
Durham Tech (2012-2017)
Source: Durham Tech

Durham Tech Students Score High on License Tests
Durham Tech Licensure Pass Rates and Transfer Performance 2016
86.3%
100%
75%
100% 100%
89%
Transfer
Performance
(AY14-15)
Practical Nursing Registered
Nursing
EMT EMT-P Esthetician
Source: Durham Tech

Public Schools

Total Per Pupil Expenditure (2015-2016)
$11,355
$10,742
$9,963
$10,056
$9,342
$8,245
$7,996
Chapel-Hill/Carrboro City Schools
Asheville City Schools
Orange County Schools
Durham County Schools
Chatham County Schools
Wake County Schools
Alamance-Burlington Schools

Local Per Pupil Expenditure (2015-2016)
$5,748
$4,429
$3,921
$3,542
$3,112
$2,430
$1,719
Chapel-Hill/Carrboro City Schools
Asheville City Schools
Durham County Schools
Wake County Schools

Chapel Hill-Carrboro City Schools Per Pupil Expenditure
Trends in CHCCS Per Pupil Expenditure (PPE) by Source, 2004-2016
$3,972
$3,907
$3,965
$4,301
$4,659
$4,983
$4,767
$4,617
$4,916
$5,197
$5,375
$5,475
$5,748
[CELLRANGE]
[CELLRANGE]
[CELLRANGE]
[CELLRANGE]
[CELLRANGE]
[CELLRANGE]
[CELLRANGE]
[CELLRANGE]
[CELLRANGE]
[CELLRANGE]
[CELLRANGE]
[CELLRANGE]
[CELLRANGE]
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
StatePPE FederalPPE LocalPPE Total PPE

Average SAT Writing Score 2016
475
445
475
446
576
496
504
300 350 400 450 500 550 600
North Carolina (All Students)
Durham Public Schools
Chapel Hill-Carrboro City Schools
Wake County Schools
010190320681680920

Average SAT CR1 Score 2016
502
473
499
474
598
522
526
350 400 450 500 550 600 650
Wake County Schools
010190320681680920

Average SAT Combined Math, Writing & CR1 Scores
2016
1485
1406
1476
1387
1781
1539
1570
800 1000 1200 1400 1600 1800 2000
Wake County Schools
010190320681680920

EOG Science Grade 3, 2015-16
College and Career Ready (Level 4 or 5) and Proficient (Level 3+)
74
64
77
89
65
54
70
85
State of North
Carolina
Chatham County
Schools
Orange County
Schools
Chapel Hill-
Carrboro Schools
Grade Level Proficient College/Career Ready

EOG Math Grade 3, 2015-16
65 66
71
78
52 53 55
71
State of North
Carolina
Chatham County
Schools
Orange County
Schools
Chapel Hill-
Carrboro Schools

EOG Reading Grade 3, 2015-16
58 56 58
76
48 46 48
68
State of North
Carolina
Chatham County
Schools
Orange County
Schools
Chapel Hill-
Carrboro Schools

EOG Math Grade 8, 2015-16
45 46
53
71
39 40
46
67
State of North
Carolina
Chatham County
Schools
Orange County
Schools
Chapel Hill-
Carrboro Schools

EOG Reading Grade 8, 2015-16
53 55 57
71
42 41 44
63
State of North
Carolina
Chatham County
Schools
Orange County
Schools
Chapel Hill-
Carrboro Schools

Local School Dropout Rate Declines
2000 through 2016
5.20%
Orange County
Schools
2.21%
1.92%
Chapel Hill-Carrboro City
Schools
0.84%
5.71%
North Carolina
2.29%
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
7%
Source: NC DPI

Share of 9th Graders Graduated in 4 Years by 9th Grade Entry Year, 2002-03 to 2012-13 9th Graders
90.2%
90.1%
89.3%
67%
87%
50%
75%
100%
2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13
Year began 9th grade
CHCCS
Orange County
Chatham
NC
Rising Graduation Rates in Neighboring Districts, NC

Rising Graduation Rates in Neighboring Districts, NC
Share of 9th Graders Graduated in 4 Years by 9th Grade Entry Year, 2002-03 to 2012-13 9th Graders
Durham
Wake
Alamance-
Burlington
50%
75%
100%
2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13
Year began 9th grade
CHCCS
Orange County
Chatham
NC

Graduation Rates Increasing
Percent Change in District Graduation Rates between 2006 and 2016
21%
0%
29%
20%
34%
5%
26%
Alamance-
Burlington
Chapel Hill-
Carrboro
Chatham Durham Orange Wake NC

Black Student Graduation Rate Improvement
38%
11% 11%
28%
63%
16%
37%
Alamance-
Burlington
Chapel Hill-
Carrboro

Hispanic Student Graduation Rate Improvement
70%
26%
109%
93%
131%
28%
53%
Alamance-
Burlington
Chapel Hill-
Carrboro

Economically Disadvantaged Student Graduation Rate
Improvement
63%
41%
62%
52%
132%
27%
45%
Alamance-
Burlington
Chapel Hill-
Carrboro

Students with Disabilities Graduation Rate Improvement
31%
-19%
21%
0%
64%
13%
38%
Alamance-
Burlington
Chapel Hill-
Carrboro

CHCCS EOG Reading Grade 3 Proficient
2015-2016 Grade 3 Proficient (Level 3+)
80
47
39
92
AsianBlackHispanicWhite

Orange County Schools EOG Reading Grade 3 Proficient
2015-16 Grade 3 Proficient (Level 3+)
44
34
71
BlackHispanicWhite

Chatham County Schools EOG Reading Grade 3
Proficient
Grade 3 Proficient (Level 3+)
3936
72
BlackHispanicWhite

Grade 5 and 8 Science EOG "College and Career Ready"
2015-16 Science EOG Grade 5 and 8 (Level 4 and 5)
44
31
38
47
75 71 76
92
State of North
Carolina
Chatham County
Schools
Orange County
Schools
Chapel Hill-
Carrboro Schools
Black White

Grades 3-8 Math EOG “College and Career Ready”
2015-16 Math EOG Grades 3-8 (Levels 4 and 5)
47 48
54
68
State of North
Carolina
Chatham County
Schools
Orange County
Schools
Chapel Hill-
Carrboro Schools

2015-16 EOG Math Grades 3-8 (Level 4 and 5)
47 48
54
68
32 30
35
28
State of North
Carolina
Chatham County
Schools
Orange County
Schools
Chapel Hill-Carrboro
Schools
All Students EDS

2015-16 EOG Math Grade 3-8 (Level 4 and 5)
27
21
28 25
59 62 65
82
State of North
Carolina
Chatham County
Schools
Orange County
Schools
Chapel Hill-
Carrboro Schools
Black White

More OCS 8th Graders “College and Career Ready”
8th Grade Science EOG Test Achieving Level 4 or 5
42
46
41
26
44
52 49
26
Black Hispanic EDS SWD
13-14 Orange County Schools 15-16 Orange County Schools

CHCCS 3rd Grade Reading Proficiency Inconsistent
Percent of Students Proficient (Level3, 4 or 5) on Reading Grade 3 End of Grade Test
79
34
44
92
36
30
80
47
39
92
40
29
Asian Black Hispanic White EDS SWD
13-14 Chapel Hill-Carrboro Schools 15-16 Chapel Hill-Carrboro Schools

Land & Water

Totally Protected Lands
1,229
4,088
7,784
10,804
12,722 14,473
3,151
5,230
8,613
9,609
10,185
10,174
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
Pre-1981 1981-90 1991-2000 2001-04 2005-08 2009-13
Totally Protected Lands Partially Protected Lands
Source: Orange County State of the Environment Report

Water Sales and Accounts
6.03
21,385
10,000
12,000
14,000
16,000
18,000
20,000
22,000
4.0
5.0
6.0
7.0
8.0
9.0
CustomerAccounts
WaterSales(MillionGallonsPer
DayAverage)
Actual Water Sales Customer Accounts
Reclaimed Water to UNC
begins 2009
Source: OWASA

Monthly Water & Sewer Bills
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
16%
18%
$0
$25
$50
$75
$100
RateIncrease
AverageMonthlyBillBasedon
4,000gallonspermonth
Average Bill Amount (actual) Average Bill Amount (projected)
Rate Increases (actual) Rate Increases (projected)
Source: OWASA

Thank you

2017 State of the Community Report

2017 State of the Community Report

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