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2017 State of the Community Report

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On Sept. 29, 2017, the Chapel Hill-Carrboro Chamber of Commerce president and CEO, Aaron Nelson, delivered the annual State of the Community Report. The report contains economic, social, and environmental indicators presented through data that paints the picture of greater Orange County, North Carolina today.

Published in: Government & Nonprofit
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2017 State of the Community Report

  1. 1. 2017 State of the Community Data Book
  2. 2. Presenting Sponsor
  3. 3. Innovation Sponsor
  4. 4. Data & Research Partner
  5. 5. Technology Sponsor
  6. 6. Thank you to our Session Sponsors!
  7. 7. A special thanks to Carolina Demography and the Carolina Population Center
  8. 8. Thank you to our Major Investors Community Champions
  9. 9. Thank you to our Major Investors Community Investors
  10. 10. Thank you to our Major Investors Platinum Sponsors
  11. 11. Thank you to our Major Investors Gold Sponsors
  12. 12. Special Thanks To… • Town of Chapel Hill • Carolina Population Center • Carolina Demography • Chapel Hill-Orange County Visitors Bureau • Orange Water & Sewer Authority (OWASA) • Mark Zimmerman, Re/Max Winning Edge • University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill • Durham Tech • GoTriangle • Chapel Hill Transit
  13. 13. Preview •Changing Demography •Commuting •Housing •Wages •Health •Poverty •Education
  14. 14. #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
  15. 15. Orange County Land Distribution #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT Chapel Hill 5% Carrboro 2% Hillsborough 1% Rest of Orange 94% Source 2011-15 ACS
  16. 16. Location of Orange County Housing Units #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT Chapel Hill 20,624 37% Carrboro 9,225 16% Hillsborough 2,455 4% Rest of Orange 23,993 43% Source 2011-15 ACS
  17. 17. Orange County Total Value Per Acre #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT Source: Urban3
  18. 18. Southern Orange County Planning Jurisdictions Town of Chapel Hill #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
  19. 19. Assessed Value Per Acre #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT Urban3Source: Urban3
  20. 20. Demographics: Who We Are
  21. 21. Population Growth 2016 Jurisdiction 2010 2016 Pop Growth Growth Rate Orange County 133,801 141,796 +7,995 6.0% (0.9% PY) Hillsborough 6,087 6,568 +481 7.9% (1.2% PY) Carrboro 19,582 21,265 +1,683 8.6% (1.3% PY) Chapel Hill 57,233 59,246 +2,013 3.5% (0.6% PY) North Carolina 9,535,483 10,146,788 +611,305 6.4% (1.0% PY) Source U.S. Census Bureau #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
  22. 22. Orange County Population Growth Slowest Since 1960sNumeric Growth By Decade, 1930-2010 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 1,901 11,363 8,535 14,737 19,348 16,796 24,376 15,574 1930s 1940s 1950s 1960s 1970s 1980s 1990s 2000s Source U.S. Census Bureau
  23. 23. #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 9.0% 49.3% 24.8% 34.3% 33.5% 21.8% 26.0% 13.2% 1930s 1940s 1950s 1960s 1970s 1980s 1990s 2000s Source U.S. Census Bureau Orange County Population Percentage Growth Slowest Since 1930s Percent Population Increase By Decade, 1930-2010
  24. 24. Chatham County added 14,176 in the 2000s Numeric Growth By Decade, 1930-2010 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT Source: U.S. Census Bureau 549 666 1,393 2,769 3,861 5,344 10,570 14,176 1930s 1940s 1950s 1960s 1970s 1980s 1990s 2000s
  25. 25. Source U.S. Census Bureau 2.3% 2.7% 5.5% 10.3% 13.1% 16.0% 27.3% 28.7% 1930s 1940s 1950s 1960s 1970s 1980s 1990s 2000s 2000s Fastest Growth Decade for Chatham County Percent Population Increase By Decade, 1930-2010 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
  26. 26. Population Gains Since 2010 Smallest in Orange Numeric Population Growth, April 1, 2010 to July 1, 2016 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 8,169 8,544 8,739 36,157 145,754 Orange County Alamance County Chatham County Durham County Wake County Source U.S. Census Bureau
  27. 27. Orange, Alamance Grew Slower than State Average Population Growth Rate, April 1, 2010 to July 1, 2016 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 5.7% 6.1% 6.4% 13.4% 13.8% 16.2% Alamance County Orange County North Carolina Durham County Chatham County Wake County Source U.S. Census Bureau
  28. 28. International Migration, Births, Drove County Pop Growth Components of Orange County’s estimated 1,100 person growth, July 1, 2015 – July 1, 2016 1,100 1,205 -777 -69 808 Total Population Change Births Deaths Domestic Migration International Migration Note: Not shown is the estimated loss of -67 individuals that cannot be attributed to births, deaths or migration (residual). #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT Source U.S. Census Bureau
  29. 29. Orange 2015-16 Net Migration Rate Lower than Neighbors Rate of net migration & natural increase (births-deaths) per 1,000 residents, July 1, 2015 to July 1, 2016 0.9 -1.4 7.8 3.0 7.2 10.4 19.9 10.5 5.2 16.5 Alamance Chatham Durham Orange Wake Natural Increase Rate Net Migration Rate Source U.S. Census Bureau #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
  30. 30. Share 65+ increased statewide, locally Population proportion 65+, April 1, 2010 vs July 1, 2016 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 18% 15% 13% 10% 10% 8% 25% 17% 15% 12% 12% 11% Chatham Alamance North Carolina Orange Durham Wake 2010 2016 Source U.S. Census Bureau
  31. 31. Increases in 65+ drove majority of NC, county growth Share of 2010-16 population growth due to 65+ growth #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 72% 56% 55% 52% 28% 24% Chatham Orange North Carolina Alamance Durham Wake Source U.S. Census Bureau
  32. 32. Orange County Population by Race Changes By Decade #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT Source: US Census Bureau 80% 78% 71% 69% 20% 22% 29% 31% 1990 2000 2010 2016 White African American Latino/Hispanic Asian Two or More RacesOther Racial/Ethnic Groups
  33. 33. Orange County Population by Race Changes By Decade #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT Source: US Census Bureau; Orange County Planning 80% 78% 71% 69% 16% 14% 12% 12% 1% 5% 8% 8% 3% 4% 7% 8% 3% 3% 1990 2000 2010 2016 Two or More Races Asian Latino/Hispanic African American White
  34. 34. Orange Minority Population by Race #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Orange County Planning 14,847 16,625 1,279 11,870 2,352 11,460 - 3,171 0 10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 1990 2000 2010 2016 Black Hispanic (any Race) Asian or Pacific Islander Multiracial
  35. 35. Chatham Minority Population by Race #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 8,794 8,775 564 8,626 1,347 - 1,047 0 4,000 8,000 12,000 16,000 20,000 1990 2000 2010 2016 Black Hispanic (any Race) Asian or Pacific Islander Multiracial Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Orange County Planning
  36. 36. Chapel Hill Minority Population by Race #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 4,840 5,460 607 3,638 1,678 6,786 - 1,282 0 3,000 6,000 9,000 12,000 15,000 18,000 1990 2000 2010 Black Hispanic (any Race) Asian or Pacific Islander Multiracial Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Orange County Planning
  37. 37. Carrboro Minority Population by Race #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 1,916 1,933 199 2,706 427 1,592 - 430 0 1,750 3,500 5,250 7,000 1990 2000 2010 Black Hispanic (any Race) Asian or Pacific Islander Multiracial Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Orange County Planning
  38. 38. How many people in 2050? Orange County 3 Population Projection Models #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT Source: Carolina Demography, Orange County Planning 271,957 214,200 133,801 186,408 0 75,000 150,000 225,000 300,000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 NumberofPeople Exponential (90-10) Linear (90-10) Linear (10-16)
  39. 39. How many people in 2050? Chapel Hill 3 Population Projection Models #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT Source: Carolina Demography, Orange County Planning 125,104 94,509 57,233 70,190 0 75,000 150,000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 NumberofPeople Exponential (90-10) Linear (90-10) Linear (10-16)
  40. 40. How many people in 2050? Carrboro 3 Population Projection Models #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT Source: Carolina Demography, Orange County Planning 51,073 36,012 19,582 30,381 0 20,000 40,000 60,000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 NumberofPeople Exponential (90-10) Linear (80-10) Linear (10-16)
  41. 41. How many people in 2050? Hillsborough 3 Population Projection Models #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT Source: Carolina Demography, Orange County Planning 12,421 10,204 6,087 8,832 0 7,000 14,000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 NumberofPeople Exponential (90-10) Linear (80-10) Linear (10-16)
  42. 42. How many people in 2050? Chatham County 3 Population Projection Models #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT Source: Carolina Demography, Orange County Planning 170,482 113,306 63,505 119,783 0 75,000 150,000 225,000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 NumberofPeople Exponential (90-10) Linear (90-10) Linear (10-16)
  43. 43. Carrboro Remains One of the Most Densely Populated Communities in NC People per square mile by census and projections #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Orange County Planning 2,970 3,437 3,754 3,108 3,586 4,158 1980 Census 1990 Census 2000 Census 2010 Census 2020 Projected 2030 Projected
  44. 44. Chapel Hill Population Density Increases People per square mile by census and projections #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Orange County Planning 2,590 2,353 2,548 2,785 3,140 3,560 1980 Census 1990 Census 2000 Census 2010 Census 2020 Projected 2030 Projected
  45. 45. Chapel Hill in 2030 is Less Dense than Most College Towns Today People Per Square Mile #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Orange County Planning 4,246 4,116 4,094 3,948 3,472 3,108 3,037 2,785 3,560 Charlottesville (VA) Burlington (VT) Ann Arbor (MI) Boulder (CO) Bloomington (IN) Carrboro (NC) Madison (WI) Chapel Hill (NC) Chapel Hill 2030
  46. 46. Housing: Where We Live
  47. 47. Homes Sold in 2016 Exceeded Pre-Recession SalesNumber of single and multifamily home sales in Orange County, 2007-16 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 1,751 1,275 1,143 1,143 1,128 1,277 1,630 1,433 1,650 1,815 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Source: Triangle MLS
  48. 48. Chatham Home Sales Rebounded in 2012 Number of single and multifamily home sales, 2007-2016 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 1,751 1,815 1,008 1,037 1,412 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 HomeSales Orange Chatham Source: Triangle MLS
  49. 49. New construction activity concentrated in Wake Number of single and multi-family homes built and sold, 2010-2016 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 1,152 2,043 4,520 23,744 Orange Chatham Durham Wake Source: Triangle MLS
  50. 50. Chatham had largest growth of housing stock since 2010 New construction (2010-2016) as share of 2010 housing stock #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 2.1% 3.8% 6.4% 7.1% Orange Durham Wake Chatham Source: Triangle MLS
  51. 51. Chatham New Construction Sales Outpace Orange Number of single and multi-family homes built and sold, 2007-2016 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 253 202 313 429 0 100 200 300 400 500 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Orange Chatham Orange Chatham Source: Triangle MLS
  52. 52. #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 1984median year house built in Orange County Source: U.S. Census Bureau
  53. 53. #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 2004median year Orange County homeowner moved into unit Source: U.S. Census Bureau vs. 2013 for renters
  54. 54. Orange Median Home Prices Rise 3.5% in 2016 and 13.2% since 2012 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT $260,000 $255,000 $258,000 $275,000 $262,250 $265,000 $274,450 $267,000 $290,000 $300,000 $200,000 $240,000 $280,000 $320,000 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Source: Triangle MLS
  55. 55. Chatham Median Home Prices Rise 5.1% in 2016 and 26.8% since 2012 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT $282,500 $270,000 $250,703 $263,930 $274,990 $277,700 $303,350 $317,373 $335,000 $352,140 $200,000 $240,000 $280,000 $320,000 $360,000 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Source: Triangle MLS
  56. 56. Steady growth in regional home prices Median residential closing price, 2007-2016 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT $277,700 $352,140 $265,000 $300,000 $200,000 $240,000 $280,000 $320,000 $360,000 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Orange Chatham Chatham Orange Source: Triangle MLS
  57. 57. Price in Chatham Exceeds All Others 2016 Median Residential Closing Price #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT $211,000 $264,900 $352,140 $300,000 $347,000 Durham Wake Chatham Orange CHCCS Dist Source: Triangle MLS
  58. 58. Price Per Square Foot Median Price Per Square Foot, 2016 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT $114 $124 $142 $146 $160 Durham Wake Chatham Orange CHCCS Dist Source: Triangle MLS
  59. 59. Home prices have risen across the region Change in median residential sales price, 2012 vs 2016 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 25.7% 29.8% 31.4% 13.2% Durham Wake Chatham Orange Source: Triangle MLS
  60. 60. #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 68%of Orange 2016 home sales were in CHCCS District
  61. 61. 40% of Homes in CHCCS District and 50% of All Orange County Homes Sold for <$300K 2016 Orange County home sales by price #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 27% 20% 43% 23% 20% 29% 17% 24% 2% 22% 24% 19% 11% 13% 8% Orange County (All) (1,829 Sales) CHCCS District (1,245 Sales) Not CHCCS (584 Sales) <$200,000 $200,000-$299,999 $300,000-$399,999 $400,000-$600,000 $600,000 or More Source: Triangle MLS
  62. 62. 2016 City and Town Property Tax Rates .3500 .3900 .4183 .5240 .5607 .5894 .6720 0.00 0.25 0.50 0.75 Huntersville Cary Apex Raleigh Asheville Charlotte Concord Wilmington Fayetteville Greenville Chapel Hill Gastonia Wilson Durham Hickory Burlington Winston-Salem Monroe Carrboro Rocky Mount Kannapolis Greensboro Jacksonville High Point Goldsboro Salisbury Source: NC Department of Revenue
  63. 63. 2016 All Jurisdictions Property Tax Rates .9505 .9905 1.0188 1.3011 1.4020 1.4674 0.00 0.50 1.00 1.50 Cary Apex Raleigh Asheville Wilmington Huntersville Hickory Burlington Concord Greenville Fayetteville Rocky Mount Wilson Charlotte Durham Goldsboro Winston-Salem Jacksonville Kannapolis Salisbury Monroe Greensboro Chapel Hill High Point Carrboro Source: NC Department of Revenue
  64. 64. 2016 Tax Rates Assessed on Median Home Value $1,211 $2,271 $2,481 $3,158 $3,226 $3,669 $5,060 $500 $1,250 $2,000 $2,750 $3,500 $4,250 $5,000 Rocky Mount Burlington Fayetteville Hickory Goldsboro High Point Wilson Winston-Salem Jacksonville Kannapolis Gastonia Greensboro Greenville Salisbury Concord Monroe Wilmington Raleigh Charlotte Durham Asheville Huntersville Apex Cary Carrboro Chapel Hill Source: NC Department of Revenue, Zillow (ZHVI, 7/31/2017)
  65. 65. However …. #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
  66. 66. Most people are renting #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 40 60 53 40 23 39 64 52 43 21 Orange County Carrboro Chapel Hill Hillsborough Chatham County 2011-15 ACS 2006-2010 ACS Source: U.S. Census Bureau
  67. 67. 2016 UNC Student Enrollment by Housing Type #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT Resident Student Housing 8,033 27% Married Student Housing 465 2% Off-Campus 18,927 64% Fraternity & Sorority 841 3% Other University Affiliated Housing (Granville Towers) 1,203 4% Source: UNC Fact Book, OIRA
  68. 68. What people are paying for rent Orange County Gross Rent Paid in 2015 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 3.7% 51.3% 31.4% 13.7% Less than $500 $500 to $999 $1,000 to $1,499 $1500 or more
  69. 69. #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 45%of county renters spent $1,000 or more on rent in 2015 Source: U.S. Census Bureau
  70. 70. Households Paying More Than 30% of Gross Income on Rent Declines Gross Rent as a Percentage of Household Income #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 20.2% 23.9% 55.9% 24.3% 25.3% 50.4% < 19.9 percent 20 to 29.9 percent > 30 percent 2011-15 2006-10 Source: U.S. Census Bureau
  71. 71. Households Paying More Than 30% of Gross Income on Rent Declines Percent Change 2006-2010 to 2011-2015 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 20.3% 5.9% -9.8% < 19.9 percent 20 to 29.9 percent > 30 percent Source: U.S. Census Bureau
  72. 72. 2017 Fair Market Rent #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT North Carolina Durham- Chapel Hill HMFA Alamance County Raleigh MSA Zero Bedroom $629 $710 $652 $695 One Bedroom $683 $834 $668 $861 Two Bedroom $821 $978 $838 $993 Three Bedroom $1,108 $1,332 $1,143 $1,294 Four Bedroom $1,336 $1,481 $1,238 $1,592 Source: National Low Income Housing Coalition
  73. 73. Local Housing Wage is $16.04 for a 1 Bedroom Apt Housing Wage = Hourly Wages Needed to Afford Fair Market Rate Rent, 2017 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT North Carolina Durham- Chapel Hill HMFA Alamance County Raleigh MSA Zero Bedroom $12.09 $13.65 $12.54 $13.37 One Bedroom $13.13 $16.04 $12.85 $16.56 Two Bedroom $15.79 $18.81 $16.12 $19.10 Three Bedroom $21.30 $25.62 $21.98 $24.88 Four Bedroom $25.69 $28.48 $23.81 $30.62 Source: National Low Income Housing Coalition
  74. 74. $39,120 Needed for 2 Bedroom Fair Market Rent Annual Salary Needed to Afford Fair Market Rate Rent, 2017 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT North Carolina Durham- Chapel Hill HMFA Alamance County Raleigh MSA Zero Bedroom $25,147 $28,400 $26,080 $27,800 One Bedroom $27,319 $33,360 $26,720 $34,440 Two Bedroom $32,843 $39,120 $33,520 $39,720 Three Bedroom $44,305 $53,280 $45,720 $51,760 Four Bedroom $53,437 $59,240 $49,520 $63,680 Source: National Low Income Housing Coalition
  75. 75. 104 Hours of Work Needed for Minimum Wage Worker to Afford Local 2 Bedroom Rental Weekly Hours of Minimum Wage Work Needed to Afford Fair Market Rate Rent, 2017 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT North Carolina Durham- Chapel Hill HMFA Alamance County Raleigh MSA Zero Bedroom 67 75 69 74 One Bedroom 72 88 71 91 Two Bedroom 87 104 89 105 Three Bedroom 118 141 121 137 Four Bedroom 142 157 131 169 Source: National Low Income Housing Coalition
  76. 76. ELI = Extremely Low Income 30% or Less of Area Median Income #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
  77. 77. Affordable Units Per 100 ELI Household Extremely Low Income (ELI) Households earn 0-30% Area Median Income #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 26 39 40 36 49 28 34 68 27 62 Orange Durham Chatham Wake Alamance 2005-09 2010-14 Source: Urban Institute
  78. 78. Orange County Gap between ELI Households and Available Units Decreased by More than 1,000 Units Gap between ELI households (<30% area median income) and available units #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 5,891 7,504 5,821 2,251 1,927 1,616 2000 2005-2009 2010-2014 Units ELI householdsSource: Urban Institute
  79. 79. Chatham County Gap between ELI Households and Available Units Decreases by Nearly 50% Gap between ELI households (<30% area median income) and available units #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 764 1,443 1,773 453 576 1,197 2000 2005-2009 2010-2014 Units ELI householdsSource: Urban Institute
  80. 80. Orange Chronically Homeless at Lowest Recorded Level Number of Chronically Homeless Individuals (annual point-in-time count), 2011-2017 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 50 29 28 23 25 15 14 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Source: Orange County Partnership to End Homelessness
  81. 81. 18 Homeless Children in Families in Orange Number of Homeless Children in Families (annual point-in-time count), 2011-2017 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 17 15 16 17 19 6 18 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Source: Orange County Partnership to End Homelessness
  82. 82. Income & Education
  83. 83. •Well Educated •High Earning •Generous •Not That Generous
  84. 84. Chapel Hill Second Highest % with BA+ Percent of Residents 25+ with Bachelors degree or higher (2011-15) #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT Cambridge (MA), 75.1 Chapel Hill (NC), 74 Carrboro (NC), 68 Orange County (NC), 56.6 Chatham County (NC), 36.8 0 20 40 60 80 Cambridge (MA) Chapel Hill (NC) Boulder (CO) Ann Arbor (MI) Berkeley (CA) Amherst (MA) Carrboro (NC) Evanston (IL) Sunnyvale (CA) Corvallis (OR) Bloomington (IN) Orange County (NC) Santa Clara (CA) Fort Collins (CO) Burlington (VT) Charlottesville (VA) Tallahassee (FL) Austin (TX) Boston (MA) Gainesville (FL) Athens-Clarke County (GA) San Jose (CA) Chatham County (NC) Columbus (OH) Source: U.S. Census Bureau
  85. 85. Orange Per Capita Income Growth Outpaces All Others Inflation Adjusted Per Capita Income, 1969-2015 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT $55,338 $0 $10,000 $20,000 $30,000 $40,000 $50,000 $60,000 1969 1974 1979 1984 1989 1994 1999 2004 2009 2014 Alamance Chatham Durham Wake Orange Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis
  86. 86. Orange Highest Per Capita Income in State #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT Orange, NC $55,338 Chatham, NC $51,839 North Carolina $40,759 Robeson, NC $27,487 $0 $10,000 $20,000 $30,000 $40,000 $50,000 $60,000 Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis
  87. 87. Per Capita Personal Income By County, 2015 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT $55,338 $52,129 $51,839 $51,776 $48,602 $44,507 $44,442 $44,199 $43,952 $43,859 Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis
  88. 88. 2016 ACCRA Cost of Living Housing Index #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT Chapel Hill/Orange County 102.4 Burlington 71.5 Charlotte 85.1 Durham 72.1 Raleigh 69.3 Winston-Salem 68.260 80 100 120 Source: ACCRA Cost of living Index, select annual averages
  89. 89. 2016 ACCRA Cost of Living Grocery Index #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT Chapel Hill/Orange County 92.0 Burlington 97.6 Charlotte 94.0 Durham 96.9 Raleigh 113.4 Winston-Salem 98.9 85 100 115 Source: ACCRA Cost of living Index, select annual averages
  90. 90. 2016 ACCRA Cost of Living Composite Index #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT Chapel Hill/Orange County 96.0 Burlington 89.9 Charlotte 94.8 Durham 88.5 Raleigh 94.4 Winston-Salem 91.5 85 100 115 Source: ACCRA Cost of living Index, select annual averages
  91. 91. Orange has #1 Adjusted Gross Income, Chatham #18 County Average AGI on Itemized Returns Rank (of 100 Counties) Orange County $175,600 1 Mecklenburg County $134,897 2 Wake County $128,756 3 Guilford County $110,738 11 Durham County $106,478 15 Chatham County $101,900 18 Alamance County $92,312 36 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT Source: National Center for Charitable Statistics
  92. 92. Orange #4 in Value of Itemized Deductions, Chatham #85 County Average Itemized Contributions Reported Rank (of 100 Counties) Orange County $5,665 4 Mecklenburg County $5,230 19 Guilford County $5,080 32 Durham County $4,678 55 Wake County $4,519 62 Alamance County $4,425 68 Chatham County $4,166 85 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT Source: National Center for Charitable Statistics
  93. 93. Orange Ranks 98th in Percent of Income Donated, Chatham 90th County Percent of AGI Contributed Rank (of 100 Counties) Alamance County 4.8% 72 Guilford County 4.6% 79 Durham County 4.4% 82 Chatham County 4.1% 90 Mecklenburg County 3.9% 91 Wake County 3.5% 96 Orange County 3.2% 98 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT Source: National Center for Charitable Statistics
  94. 94. Yancey and Macon Counties Lead NC in Contributions County Average Itemized Contribution Rank (of 100 Counties) Percent of AGI Contributed Yancey $7,919 (9.2%) 1 Macon County $8,007 (8.5%) 2 Washington County $5,579 (7.3%) 3 Anson County $5,086 (7.2%) 4 Warren County $4,169 (7.1%) 5 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT Source: National Center for Charitable Statistics
  95. 95. And where does that income come from… …work #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
  96. 96. Unemployment Declines in North Carolina Unemployment Rate, 2005-May 2017 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 6.5 6.5 10.9 4.3 - 4.0 8.0 12.0 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 May '17 UnemploymentRate Chapel Hill Orange County North Carolina Source: NC Department of Commerce
  97. 97. Orange County Employment Patterns #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT Source: National Association of Counties
  98. 98. Orange County Major Employers 2017 Q1 1. UNC Chapel Hill 2. UNC Health Care System 3. Chapel Hill-Carrboro City Schools 4. Orange County Schools 5. Local government 6. UNC Physicians Network 7. Town of Chapel Hill 8. Eurosport 9. General Electric 10. Wal-Mart 11. Aramark Food and Support Services 12. Harris Teeter 13. Food Lion 14. AKG of America 15. The Chapel Hill Residential 16. PHE Inc 17. Weaver St Market 18. Strata Solar 19. Performance Chevrolet 20. Residential Services 21. Wellspring Grocery 22. Carolina Inn 23. Summit Consulting-Engineering 24. The Arc of the Triangle 25. US Postal ServiceSource: NC Department of Commerce
  99. 99. Orange County Number of Enterprises by Industry By North American Industry Classification System (NAICS) #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT Source: NC Commerce (ESRI Business Numbers) - 2016 735 647 588 571 467 376 348 346 338 333 Other Srv excl Public Admin NAICS81 Retail Trade NAICS44-45 Prof/Scientific/Tech Srv NAICS54 Health Care/Social Assist NAICS62 Construction NAICS23 Accommodation/Food Services NAICS72 Finance & Insurance NAICS52 Unclassified Establishments NAICS99 Real Estate/Rental/Leasing NAICS53 Food Srv & Drinking Places NAICS722
  100. 100. Retail, Wholesale & Health Care Lead Sales in Orange 2016 Sales by NAICS Industry Code (Millions) #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT Source: NC Commerce (ESRI Business Numbers) - 2016 $2,168 $2,040 $1,334 $806 $685 $675 $550 $407 $399 $384 Retail Trade NAICS44-45 Wholesale Trade NAICS42 Health Care/Social Assist NAICS62 Manufacturing NAICS31-33 Construction NAICS23 Finance & Insurance NAICS52 Prof/Scientific/Tech Srv NAICS54 Food & Beverage Stores NAICS445 Real Estate/Rental/Leasing NAICS53 Secur/Commodity Contracts NAICS523
  101. 101. Chatham County Employment Patterns Source: National Association of Counties #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
  102. 102. Chatham County Major Employers 2017 Q1 1. Chatham County Schools 2. County Of Chatham 3. Carolina Meadows 4. Galloway Ridge 5. Mountaire Farms of NC 6. Wal-Mart 7. Arauco Panels 8. Chatham Hospital 9. Fitch Creations 10. Boise Cascade Company 11. Palletone of North Carolina 12. The Laurels of Chatham 13. Lowes Home Centers 14. Sunrise Home Care 15. Piedmont Health Services 16. Harris Teeter 17. Acme McCrary 18. Food Lion 19. Brookwood Farms 20. Genesis Administrative Services 21. Central Carolina Community College 22. Town & Country Hardware Stores 23. Governors Club 24. Triangle Electrical Services 25. NC Department of Public SafetySource: NC Department of Commerce
  103. 103. 357 312 251 176 173 153 128 124 112 106 Other Srv excl Public Admin NAICS81 Retail Trade NAICS44-45 Construction NAICS23 Prof/Scientific/Tech Srv NAICS54 Health Care/Social Assist NAICS62 Finance & Insurance NAICS52 Public Administration NAICS92 Real Estate/Rental/Leasing NAICS53 Accommodation/Food Services NAICS72 Admin/Waste Mgmt&Remediatn NAICS56 Chatham County Number of Enterprises by Industry By North American Industry Classification System (NAICS) #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT Source: NC Commerce (ESRI Business Numbers) - 2016
  104. 104. Wholesale & Manufacturing Lead Chatham County Sales Sales By NAICS Industry Code (Thousands) #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT Source: NC Commerce (ESRI Business Numbers) - 2016 $1,212,210 $802,465 $650,280 $277,142 $259,409 $250,212 $246,350 $152,503 $125,647 $124,823 Wholesale Trade NAICS42 Manufacturing NAICS31-33 Retail Trade NAICS44-45 Construction NAICS23 Health Care/Social Assist NAICS62 Utilities NAICS22 Finance & Insurance NAICS52 Food & Beverage Stores NAICS445 Real Estate/Rental/Leasing NAICS53 Information NAICS51
  105. 105. Orange County & Municipality Minority Business Ownership Rates Fall Below U.S. And Statewide Averages #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 10.3% 11.8% 13.5% 13.7% 14.0% 14.9% 15.2% 20.5% 20.8% 21.1% 22.8% 26.3% 28.8% 36.7% Bloomington (IN) Chatham County (NC) Madison (WI) Chapel Hill (NC) Orange County (NC) Ann Arbor (MI) Carrboro (NC) Johnston County (NC) Alamance County (NC) Hillsborough (NC) North Carolina Wake County (NC) United States Durham County (NC) Source: U.S Census Bureau
  106. 106. Female Business Ownership Rate in Orange County Exceeds State and US Average #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 30.2% 31.2% 32.2% 32.4% 34.2% 34.6% 35.4% 35.5% 35.6% 35.6% 35.8% 35.9% 36.3% 41.7% Bloomington (IN) Hillsborough (NC) Johnston County (NC) Ann Arbor (MI) Chapel Hill (NC) Alamance County (NC) Madison (WI) Chatham County (NC) North Carolina Wake County (NC) United States Carrboro (NC) Orange County (NC) Durham County (NC) Source: U.S Census Bureau
  107. 107. Non-Profit Employment and Charitable Giving
  108. 108. Orange County Nonprofits Orange County Registered Nonprofits 975 Orange County 501(c)3 Orgs Filing 990s 437 Annual Revenue of Orange County 501(c)3s $870 million Assets of Orange county 501(c)3s $3.3 billion Source Center for Nonprofits #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
  109. 109. Chatham County Nonprofits Chatham County Registered Nonprofits 254 Chatham County 501(c)3 Orgs Filing 990s 98 Annual Revenue of Chatham County 501(c)3s $105 million Assets of Chatham county 501(c)3s $245 million Source Center for Nonprofits #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
  110. 110. Orange, Chatham and Durham Boast 871 Charities Total Registered 501c3 Non Profits by County (2015) 303 83 485 Orange Chatham Durham Source Center for Nonprofits #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
  111. 111. Total Non-Profit Employment Nonprofit Employee County by County (2015) 29,808 1,681 42,373 Orange Chatham Durham #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT Source Center for Nonprofits
  112. 112. 47% of Orange County workers employed in Nonprofit Nonprofit employment as percent of total employment, 2015 47% 12% 23% Orange Chatham Durham #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT Source Center for Nonprofits
  113. 113. #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 46%of UNC’s employees are from Orange County Source: UNC Office of Institutional Research
  114. 114. Distribution of UNC-CH’s 12,411 Employees (2016) By county of home address #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 5,757 2,424 1,617 1,129 608 597 68 69 82 25 35 Orange Durham Wake Alamance Chatham Other Person Lee Guilford Randolph Granville Source: UNC Office of Institutional Research
  115. 115. Growing number of UNC employees live in Wake Change in number of UNC employees by county of residence, 2013-2016 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 108 102 293 42 -42 -117 -7 -1 23 0 27 Orange Durham Wake Alamance Chatham Other Person Lee Guilford Randolph Granville Source: UNC Office of Institutional Research
  116. 116. Orange Worker Inflows/Outflows, 2014 42,696 drive in, 35,545 drive out and 19,611 live and work in Orange #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT Source: U.S. Census Bureau
  117. 117. Chapel Hill/Carrboro Worker Inflows/Outflows, 2014 38,942 drive in, 17,922 drive out and 10,572 live and work in Orange #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT Source: U.S. Census Bureau
  118. 118. More jobs but fewer workers living in Orange Number of jobs in Orange vs. workers in Orange, 2002-2014 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 52,608 57,822 62,307 48,618 52,754 57,549 55,156 40,000 45,000 50,000 55,000 60,000 65,000 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 NumberofPeople Jobs in Orange Workers in Orange Source: U.S. Census Bureau
  119. 119. Most Orange County residents work elsewhere Share of Orange County resident workers who work outside of Orange County, 2002-2014 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 55% 64% 50% 55% 60% 65% 70% 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Source: U.S. Census Bureau
  120. 120. 58% of Orange County Households Have 2+ Cars Share of Households by Number of Vehicles Available, 2011-15 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 22.5% 36.5% 36.8% 4.1% 3 or More Vehicles 2 Vehicles 1 Vehicle No Vehicles Source: U.S. Census Bureau
  121. 121. Fewer Orange, Chatham Workers Drive Alone to Work Percent of commuters who drive alone to work, 2011-15 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT Source: Robert Wood Johnson Foundation [CELLRANG E] [CELLRANG E] [CELLRANG E] [CELLRANG E] [CELLRANG E] [CELLRANG E] North Carolina Orange Chatham Alamance Durham Wake
  122. 122. 46% of Chatham Workers Driving Alone Travel 30+ Minutes Percent of those who drive alone to work commuting 30+ minutes, 2011-15 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT [CELLRANG E] [CELLRANG E] [CELLRANG E] [CELLRANG E] [CELLRANG E] [CELLRANG E] North Carolina Orange Chatham Alamance Durham Wake Source: Robert Wood Johnson Foundation
  123. 123. Local Transit Ridership Down 1.05M Total Chapel Hill Transit Ridership (in millions), FY2004-FY2017 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 5.27 7.23 6.18 4.0 6.0 8.0 FY04 FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 Source: Chapel Hill Transit
  124. 124. GoTriangle Ridership Down 3.2% Off Peak Total Triangle Transit Ridership, FY2004-FY2016 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT Source: Triangle Transit 711,117 1,843,735 1,784,700 0 500,000 1,000,000 1,500,000 2,000,000 FY04 FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17
  125. 125. More Orange County jobs filled by in-commuters Share of county jobs filled by individuals who live outside of Orange County, 2002-2014 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 58% 69% 50% 55% 60% 65% 70% 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Source: U.S. Census Bureau
  126. 126. Few differences in earnings by place of work/residence Commuters into/out of Orange County by income, 2014 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 16% 17% 16% 34% 29% 32% 50% 53% 52% Driving into Orange for Work Driving Out of Orange for Work Live and Work in Orange <$15,000 $15,000-$39,999 >$40,000 Source: U.S. Census Bureau
  127. 127. Fewer young workers live and work in Orange Growth in number of young workers (<30) in Orange County by place of work, 2010 vs. 2014 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 2.0% 0.8% -13.8% Driving Into Orange for Work Driving Out of Orange for Work Live and Work in Orange Source: U.S. Census Bureau
  128. 128. Fewer workers under 55 live and work in Orange Number living and working in Orange County by Age, 2002-2014 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 5,079 3,390 13,299 10,883 3,544 5,338 0 5,000 10,000 15,000 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 NumberofPeople Workers Aged 29 or younger Workers Aged 30 to 54 Workers Aged 55 or older Source: U.S. Census Bureau
  129. 129. Chapel Hill Worker Inflows/Outflows, 2014 38,917 Drive In, 13,228 Drive Out and 6,490 Live and Work in Chapel Hill #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT Source: U.S. Census Bureau
  130. 130. Where People Commute From to Fill Chapel Hill Jobs Place of Residence of Individuals Whose Primary Job was in Chapel Hill in 2014 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT Source: U.S. Census Bureau 8,584 6,490 3,103 2,435 2,044 598 578 481 412 401 20,281 Durham city, NC Chapel Hill town, NC Carrboro town, NC Raleigh city, NC Cary town, NC Apex town, NC Burlington city, NC Mebane city, NC Greensboro city, NC Charlotte city, NC All Other Locations
  131. 131. Where Do Chapel Hill Residents Work? Location of Primary Job, 2014 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 6,490 4,116 1,629 619 559 470 429 181 171 166 4,888 Chapel Hill town, NC Durham city, NC Raleigh city, NC Cary town, NC Charlotte city, NC Greensboro city, NC Carrboro town, NC Burlington city, NC Hillsborough town, NC Morrisville town, NC All Other Locations Source: U.S. Census Bureau
  132. 132. Carrboro Worker Inflows/Outflows, 2014 3,557 Drive In, 8,226 Drive Out, and 550 Live and Work in Carrboro #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT Source: U.S. Census Bureau
  133. 133. Where People Commute From to Fill Carrboro Jobs Place of Residence of Individuals Whose Primary Job was in Carrboro in 2014 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT Source: U.S. Census Bureau 550 515 429 163 96 71 63 60 41 36 2,083 Carrboro town, NC Durham city, NC Chapel Hill town, NC Raleigh city, NC Cary town, NC Charlotte city, NC Mebane city, NC Burlington city, NC Greensboro city, NC Apex town, NC All Other Locations
  134. 134. Where Do Carrboro Residents Work? Location of Primary Job, 2014 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT Source: U.S. Census Bureau 3,103 1,427 696 550 239 210 185 142 95 82 2,047 Chapel Hill town, NC Durham city, NC Raleigh city, NC Carrboro town, NC Cary town, NC Charlotte city, NC Greensboro city, NC Hillsborough town, NC Burlington city, NC Morrisville town, NC All Other Locations
  135. 135. Chatham Worker Inflows/Outflows, 2014 8,923 drive in, 20,985 drive out and 5,016 Live and Work in Chatham #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT Source: U.S. Census Bureau
  136. 136. Majority of Chatham Residents Work Elsewhere Share of Chatham County resident workers who work outside of Chatham, 2002-2014 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 80.7% 65.3% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 2014201320122011201020092008200720062005200420032002 Source: U.S. Census Bureau
  137. 137. Where Do Chatham County Workers Work? 2014 vs. 2005 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 3,717 2,826 2,365 1,298 1,219 1,190 746 714 673 418 10,835 0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 Chapel Hill town, NC Raleigh city, NC Durham city, NC Pittsboro town, NC Cary town, NC Siler City town, NC Greensboro city, NC Sanford city, NC Charlotte city, NC Asheboro city, NC All Other Locations 2005 2014 Source: U.S. Census Bureau
  138. 138. Where People Drive From to Fill Chatham County Jobs 2014 vs. 2005 (Top 10) #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 777 719 463 386 362 351 300 195 182 161 0 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400 1,600 Siler City town, NC Durham city, NC Raleigh city, NC Cary town, NC Sanford city, NC Pittsboro town, NC Chapel Hill town, NC Carrboro town, NC Apex town, NC Greensboro city, NC 2005 2014 Source: U.S. Census Bureau
  139. 139. Sales and Economy #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
  140. 140. Taxable Sales Grows to $1.7 Billion Orange County Taxable Sales (millions) #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT Source: NC Department of Revenue $908 $948 $972 $927 $946 $1,017 $1,058 $1,176 $1,422 $1,477 $1,568 $1,726
  141. 141. Annual Growth of Orange County Taxable Sales Change (in millions) in Taxable Sales from Prior Year FY05-FY16 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT Source: NC Department of Revenue $41 $23 -$45 $20 $71 $41 $117 $246 $55 $91 $158
  142. 142. Annual Growth of Orange County Taxable Sales Percent Change in Taxable Sales of Prior Year FY05-FY16 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT Source: NC Department of Revenue 2% -1% -1% 23% 17% -12% 9% 21% 4% 6% 10%
  143. 143. Sales Tax Collections Grow to $82 Million Orange County Gross Sales Tax Collections (millions) #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT Source: NC Department of Revenue $40.82 $41.77 $41.54 $41.05 $50.44 $58.80 $51.54 $56.14 $67.84 $70.47 $74.76 $82.26
  144. 144. Orange County Visitor Spending and Economic Impact #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
  145. 145. Orange County Hotel Occupancy Slightly Off Peak Average Daily Hotel Occupancy, 2009-2016 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT Source: Chapel Hill/Orange County Visitors Bureau 58.9% 59.6% 64.1% 65.1% 65.1% 69.9% 69.7% 69.4% 50% 58% 66% 74% 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
  146. 146. Hotel Average Daily Rate Continues to Increase Orange County Average Daily Rate, 2009-2016 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT $107.35 $102.12 $101.61 $104.38 $106.49 $113.65 $118.94 $120.73 $85 $95 $105 $115 $125 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Source: Chapel Hill/Orange County Visitors Bureau
  147. 147. Revenue per Room Continues to Grow Orange County Average Revenue Per Room, 2009-2016 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT $63.34 $60.87 $65.15 $68.00 $69.60 $79.45 $82.95 $83.16 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Source: Chapel Hill/Orange County Visitors Bureau
  148. 148. Orange Tourism Tax Revenue Tops $14.6 Million State and Local Visitor Spending Tax Revenue (millions) #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT $9.98 $10.48 $3.97 $4.16 2015 2016 State Tax Revenue (millions) Local Tax Revenue (millions) $13.95 $14.64 Source: Prepared for VisitNC by the US Travel Association
  149. 149. Domestic Visitor Spending Increases 4.4% Orange County Domestic Visitor Spending (millions) #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT $184.45 $192.63 2015 2016 Source: Prepared for VisitNC by the US Travel Association
  150. 150. 60% 9% 26% 0% 3% 1% Orange County Carrboro Chapel Hill Durham Hillsborough Mebane Chapel Hill & Carrboro Receive 36% of Orange County Sales Tax Distributions Municipality share of Orange County Local Option Sales Tax (LOST) Revenue Distributions, FY 2016-17 Source: NC Department of Revenue #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
  151. 151. Sales Tax Per Capita FY2016 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT $171.97 $175.27 $157.33 $250.56 $153.88 Orange Alamance Chatham Durham Wake Source: NC Department of Revenue
  152. 152. Sales Tax Per Capita Rankings Ranking of 100 NC Counties (1=highest), 2010-2016 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 81st 41st 56th 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 CountyRanking(1to100) Orange Alamance Chatham Durham Wake Source: NC Department of Revenue
  153. 153. Total Household Income (billions) 2016 Total Household Income #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT $4.7 $3.9 $2.7 $9.6 $39.0 Orange County Alamance County Chatham County Durham County Wake County Source: ESRI via NC Department of Commerce
  154. 154. Average Household Retail Demand 2016 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT $51,358 $32,097 $44,329 $38,192 $48,176 Orange County Alamance County Chatham County Durham County Wake County Source: ESRI via NC Department of Commerce
  155. 155. 2016 retail gap #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
  156. 156. Orange Had Largest Retail Gap in 2016 Retail Potential vs. Retail Sales (in billions), 2016 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT Source: ESRI via NC Department of Commerce $2.6 $2.1 $1.3 $4.7 $18.7 $1.8 $2.7 $0.6 $4.6 $18.1 Orange Alamance Chatham Durham Wake Retail Potential (Demand) Retail Sales (Supply) Values shown in billions
  157. 157. Orange Had Largest Retail Gap in 2016 Retail Gap– Demand Minus Supply (in Millions), 2016 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT Source: ESRI via NC Department of Commerce $796 ($660) $648 $81 $623 Orange Alamance Chatham Durham Wake
  158. 158. Orange County Draws Outside Dollars in 4 Categories 2016 Retail Leakage (in Millions) #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT Source: ESRI via NC Department of Commerce -$45.4 -$52.7 -$50.9 -$87.8 -$30.7 -$28.3 $13.9 -$321.9 -$47.1 $.2 -$280.8 $85.7 $49.5 Bldg/Garden Equip/Supply Stores Clothing/Accessories Stores Electronics & Appliance Stores Food and Beverage Stores Food Services & Drinking Places Furniture/Home Furnishing Stores Gasoline Stations General Merchandise Stores Health and Personal Care Stores Miscellaneous Store Retailers Motor Vehicle and Parts Dealers Nonstore Retailers Sports/Hobby/Book/Music Stores
  159. 159. Chatham County Draws Outside Dollars in 1 Category 2016 Retail Leakage (in Millions) #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT Source: ESRI via NC Department of Commerce -$23.0 -$40.8 -$41.0 -$73.3 -$41.3 -$20.3 -$9.9 -$99.1 -$29.5 -$41.8 -$217.4 -$21.6 $10.7 Bldg/Garden Equip/Supply Stores Clothing/Accessories Stores Electronics & Appliance Stores Food and Beverage Stores Food Services & Drinking Places Furniture/Home Furnishing Stores Gasoline Stations General Merchandise Stores Health and Personal Care Stores Miscellaneous Store Retailers Motor Vehicle and Parts Dealers Nonstore Retailers Sports/Hobby/Book/Music Stores
  160. 160. Alamance County Huge Draw for Outside Dollars 2016 Retail Leakage (in Millions) #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT Source: ESRI via NC Department of Commerce $21.7 $44.3 -$32.0 -$33.0 $61.7 $36.0 $89.5 $238.1 $22.6 $142.8 $29.9 $9.5 $29.0 Bldg/Garden Equip/Supply Stores Clothing/Accessories Stores Electronics & Appliance Stores Food and Beverage Stores Food Services & Drinking Places Furniture/Home Furnishing Stores Gasoline Stations General Merchandise Stores Health and Personal Care Stores Miscellaneous Store Retailers Motor Vehicle and Parts Dealers Nonstore Retailers Sports/Hobby/Book/Music Stores
  161. 161. Orange County Retail Businesses Detail 2016 Retail Businesses in Orange County by Category #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT Source: ESRI via NC Department of Commerce 55 78 41 78 330 27 40 20 49 102 37 24 53 Bldg/Garden Equip/Supply Stores Clothing/Accessories Stores Electronics & Appliance Stores Food and Beverage Stores Food Services & Drinking Places Furniture/Home Furnishing Stores Gasoline Stations General Merchandise Stores Health and Personal Care Stores Miscellaneous Store Retailers Motor Vehicle and Parts Dealers Nonstore Retailers Sports/Hobby/Book/Music Stores
  162. 162. Chatham County Retail Businesses Detail 2016 Retail Businesses in Chatham County by Category #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT Source: ESRI via NC Department of Commerce 37 14 15 45 100 20 28 21 15 52 28 5 17 Bldg/Garden Equip/Supply Stores Clothing/Accessories Stores Electronics & Appliance Stores Food and Beverage Stores Food Services & Drinking Places Furniture/Home Furnishing Stores Gasoline Stations General Merchandise Stores Health and Personal Care Stores Miscellaneous Store Retailers Motor Vehicle and Parts Dealers Nonstore Retailers Sports/Hobby/Book/Music Stores
  163. 163. Number of Alamance County Businesses by Sector 2016 Businesses in Alamance County by NAICS Codes #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT Source: ESRI via NC Department of Commerce 54 126 43 98 362 54 80 66 75 178 120 11 51 Bldg/Garden Equip/Supply Stores Clothing/Accessories Stores Electronics & Appliance Stores Food and Beverage Stores Food Services & Drinking Places Furniture/Home Furnishing Stores Gasoline Stations General Merchandise Stores Health and Personal Care Stores Miscellaneous Store Retailers Motor Vehicle and Parts Dealers Nonstore Retailers Sports/Hobby/Book/Music Stores
  164. 164. Poverty #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
  165. 165. Percent of People in Poverty 2000 2006 2011 2015 Orange County 10% 14% 17% 14% Chatham County 9% 12% 11% 12% Durham County 11% 16% 20% 17% Wake County 7% 9% 12% 11% North Carolina 12% 15% 18% 16% United States 11% 13% 16% 15% #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT Source: U.S. Census Bureau Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates (SAIPE)
  166. 166. Food and Nutrition Services Cases at 7-Year Low Food and Nutrition Services (Formerly Food Stamps) Average Cases by Month, Orange County, 2007-2016 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 2,903 3,037 3,526 4,600 5,466 6,129 6,459 5,298 2,000 4,500 7,000 Apr-07 Aug-07 Dec-07 Apr-08 Aug-08 Dec-08 Apr-09 Aug-09 Dec-09 Apr-10 Aug-10 Dec-10 Apr-11 Aug-11 Dec-11 Apr-12 Aug-12 Dec-12 Apr-13 Aug-13 Dec-13 Apr-14 Aug-14 Dec-14 Apr-15 Aug-15 Dec-15 Apr-16 Aug-16 Dec-16 Source: Orange County Department of Health and Human Services
  167. 167. SNAP Households Decline, Orange County Monthly Household Recipients Over Time #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 11,814 5,822 0 3,500 7,000 10,500 14,000 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 Average Monthly Recipients Average Monthly Household Recipients Source: NC Department of Health and Human Services
  168. 168. Food Insecurity Rate by County (2015) #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 16.5% 14.3% 15.4% 11.5% 17.9% 13.5% North Carolina Orange Alamance Chatham Durham Wake Source: Feeding America
  169. 169. Food Insecure People by County (2015) #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 19,790 23,900 7,730 Orange Alamance Chatham Source: Feeding America
  170. 170. Change in Food Insecure People, 2013-2015 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT (1,110) (1,550) (20) 1,330 Orange Alamance Chatham Durham Source: Feeding America
  171. 171. Percent of Students Enrolled in Free and Reduced Lunch 2015-2016 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 54.3% 53.1% 62.2% 44.2% 29.8% 36.1% Alamance Chatham Durham Orange: OCS Orange: CHCCS Wake Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
  172. 172. Growth of Students Enrolled in Free and Reduced Lunch from 2009-2010 to 2015-2016 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 3.8% 7.5% -2.1% 8.7% 15.9% 19.4% -3.2% Alamance Chatham Durham Johnston Orange: OCS Orange: CHCCS Wake Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
  173. 173. Percent of Children in Poverty #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT Source: U.S. Census Bureau Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates (SAIPE) 0.0% 7.5% 15.0% 22.5% 30.0% 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Orange County Alamance County Chatham County Durham County North Carolina
  174. 174. Number of Children in Poverty #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT Source: U.S. Census Bureau Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates (SAIPE) 3,711 4,822 2,897 2,5062,952 2,234 0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 20152014201320122011201020092008 Orange County Chatham County
  175. 175. Health Data #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
  176. 176. 2016 Health Indicators Health Indicator Orange County Chatham County Who is #1 Length of Life #1 #8 Orange Quality of Life #5 #14 Currituck Health Behaviors #4 #9 Polk Clinical Care #1 #11 Orange Social & Economic Factors #2 #9 Union Physical Environment #8 #53 Hyde Source: 2016 County Health Rankings - Robert Wood Johnson Foundation
  177. 177. Adult Smoking Rates Compared to Adjacent and Peer Communities #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 19% 16% 19% 16% 16% 14% 13% 20% 14% 19% 16% Source: Robert Wood Johnson Foundation
  178. 178. Adult Obesity Compared to Adjacent and Peer Communities #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 30% 23% 35% 27% 29% 25% 13% 25% 24% 22% 24% Source: Robert Wood Johnson Foundation
  179. 179. Disconnected Youth Compared to Adjacent and Peer Communities #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 15% 4% 13% 16% 12% 9% 5% 6% 5% 4% 5% Source: Robert Wood Johnson Foundation
  180. 180. Residential Segregation - Black/White Compared to Adjacent and Peer Communities #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 50 26 42 35 40 43 53 34 49 42 57 Source: Robert Wood Johnson Foundation
  181. 181. 14 7 12 8 8 8 15 9 16 16 17 Drug Overdose Deaths per 100,000 Compared to Adjacent and Peer Communities #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT Source: Robert Wood Johnson Foundation
  182. 182. 15% 17% 15% 15% 18% 18% 20% 18% 26% 20% 21% Excessive Drinking Compared to Adjacent and Peer Communities #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT Source: Robert Wood Johnson Foundation
  183. 183. Access to Exercise Opportunities Compared to Adjacent and Peer Communities #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 75% 85% 84% 64% 91% 91% 98% 85% 95% 88% 92% Source: Robert Wood Johnson Foundation
  184. 184. Orange County Children in Poverty Lowest Among NC Peers #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 23% 13% 26% 18% 26% 15% 11% 42% 10% 18% 13% Source: Robert Wood Johnson Foundation
  185. 185. Orange County Children Faring Better Source: NC Child 2011 2015 Low Birthweight 8.2% 7.0% 3 and 4 year-olds enrolled in school 57.6% 64.9% Children living in poor or low income homes 33.0% 31.7% Teen births age 15-17 (per 1000 girls) 9.2 Too small to measure Children in foster care (per 1000) 6.7 5.4 Uninsured Children 9% 4.9% Children assessed for abuse or neglect (per 1000) 38.4 41.5
  186. 186. Health Care Costs Compared to Adjacent and Peer Communities #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT $9,069 $7,183 $8,893 $7,874 $8,157 $8,671 $8,344 $8,694 $7,353 $7,795 $9,156 Source: Robert Wood Johnson Foundation
  187. 187. Leading Causes of Death in 2015 Chatham County, NC Orange County, NC 1. Cancer (21.4%) 1. Cancer (23.2%) 2. Heart Disease (19.1%) 2. Heart Disease (20.6%) 3. Cerebrovascular Disease (6.7%) 3. Cerebrovascular Disease (5.7%) 4. Alzheimer's Disease (5.2%) 4. Alzheimer's Disease (3.9%) 5. Chronic lower respiratory diseases (4.3%) 5. All Other Unintentional Injuries (3.7%) 6. Pneumonia and Influenza (3.3%) 6. Chronic lower respiratory diseases (2.9%) 7. All Other Unintentional Injuries (3.2%) 7. Diabetes mellitus (2.5%) 8. Diabetes mellitus (2.9%) 8. Chronic Liver Disease and Cirrhosis (1.8%) 9. Motor Vehicle Injuries (1.8%) 8. Septicemia (1.8%) 10. Nephritis, Nephrotic Syndrome & Nephrosis (1.7%) 10. Nephritis, Nephrotic Syndrome & Nephrosis (1.5%) Source: NC Center for Health Statistics #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
  188. 188. All Cancers Rate per 100,000 2011-2015 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 467 487 442 452 451 464 410 420 430 440 450 460 470 480 490 500 North Carolina Alamance Chatham Durham Orange Wake Source: N.C. State Center for Health Statistics
  189. 189. All Cancers Rate per 100,000 2006-2010 vs. 2011-2015 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 498 523 495 490 483 486 467 487 442 452 451 464 400 420 440 460 480 500 520 540 North Carolina Alamance Chatham Durham Orange Wake 2006-2010 2011-2015 Source: N.C. State Center for Health Statistics
  190. 190. 37 35 33 32 33 32 North Carolina Alamance Chatham Durham Orange Wake Colon/Rectum Cancer Rate per 100,000 2011-2015 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT Source: N.C. State Center for Health Statistics
  191. 191. Colon/Rectum Cancer Rate per 100,000 2006-2010 vs. 2011-2015 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT Source: N.C. State Center for Health Statistics 43 41 41 39 35 3837 35 33 32 33 32 North Carolina Alamance Chatham Durham Orange Wake 2006-2010 2011-2015
  192. 192. Prostate Cancer Rate per 100,000 2011-2015 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 116 116 101 109 96 122 North Carolina Alamance Chatham Durham Orange Wake Source: N.C. State Center for Health Statistics
  193. 193. Prostate Cancer Rate per 100,000 2006-2010 vs. 2011-2015 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 154 169 142 167 142 179 116 116 101 109 96 122 North Carolina Alamance Chatham Durham Orange Wake 2006-2010 2011-2015 Source: N.C. State Center for Health Statistics
  194. 194. Lung/Bronchus Cancer Rate per 100,000 2011-2015 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 67 68 50 56 55 54 North Carolina Alamance Chatham Durham Orange Wake Source: N.C. State Center for Health Statistics
  195. 195. Lung/Bronchus Cancer Rate per 100,000 2006-2010 vs. 2011-2015 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 75 77 63 69 61 60 67 68 50 56 55 54 North Carolina Alamance Chatham Durham Orange Wake 2006-2010 2011-2015 Source: N.C. State Center for Health Statistics
  196. 196. Female Breast Cancer Rate per 100,000 2011-2015 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 157 172 163 180 180 170 145 150 155 160 165 170 175 180 185 North Carolina Alamance Chatham Durham Orange Wake Source: N.C. State Center for Health Statistics
  197. 197. Female Breast Cancer Rate per 100,000 2006-2010 vs. 2011-2015 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 156 160 169 162 172 164 157 172 163 180 180 170 North Carolina Alamance Chatham Durham Orange Wake 2006-2010 2011-2015 Source: N.C. State Center for Health Statistics
  198. 198. Orange County Rape Crisis Center Clients Served #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 479 375 617 548 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 Source: Orange County Rape Crisis Center
  199. 199. Orange County Teen Pregnancy Rates Decrease Per 1000 Girls, Age 15-17 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 26 cases 9 cases 0.0 5.0 10.0 15.0 20.0 25.0 30.0 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Source: NC Health and Human Services
  200. 200. Orange County Infant Mortality Rate Per 1,000 live births #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 12.0 5 8.8 7.3 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Orange County State Source: NC Health and Human Services
  201. 201. Asthma in Hospital Discharges per 100,000 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 48 50.9 50 72.7 57.3 50.3 55.2 62.8 55.2 51.5 45.6 47.7 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Source: North Carolina Hospital Discharge Data
  202. 202. Asthma in Hospital Discharges per 100,000 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 135.7 115.1 0 40 80 120 160 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 All Ages Ages (0-14) Source: North Carolina Hospital Discharge Data
  203. 203. % of NC Adults Who Answered Yes to: “Has a doctor, nurse or other health professional ever told you that you had asthma? #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT Source: 2015 Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System (BRFSS)
  204. 204. NC 2014 Emergency Department Visit with Primary Diagnosis of Asthma by County #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT Source: North Carolina Hospital Discharge Data
  205. 205. NC 2014 Emergency Department Visits with the Primary Diagnosis of Asthma, Ages 0 -14, By County #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT Source: North Carolina Hospital Discharge Data
  206. 206. Violent Crime per 100,000 Compared to Adjacent and Peer Communities #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 342 150 396 174 613 245 210 372 231 277 299 Source: Robert Wood Johnson Foundation
  207. 207. Violent Crime Rate Per 100,000 By County #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 0 300 600 900 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Alamance Chatham Durham Orange Wake Source: North Carolina Department of Public Safety -> View Crime Statistics -> Annual Summary Report (most recent year)
  208. 208. Property Crime Rate Per 100,000 By County #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT Source: North Carolina Department of Public Safety -> View Crime Statistics -> Annual Summary Report (most recent year) 0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Durham Alamance Orange Wake Chatham
  209. 209. UNC #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
  210. 210. NC Legislative Appropriations to UNC Chapel Hill #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT $543,291,852 $493,923,004 $0 $100,000,000 $200,000,000 $300,000,000 $400,000,000 $500,000,000 $600,000,000 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 Source: OIRA
  211. 211. UNC Chapel Hill Revenues Rise, State Appropriations Flat #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT $2,859,984,099 $493,923,004 $0 $500,000,000 $1,000,000,000 $1,500,000,000 $2,000,000,000 $2,500,000,000 $3,000,000,000 $3,500,000,000 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 Total Revenues State Appropriations Source: OIRA
  212. 212. Value of UNC Chapel Hill Endowment #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT $2.66 billion $0 $500,000,000 $1,000,000,000 $1,500,000,000 $2,000,000,000 $2,500,000,000 $3,000,000,000 $3,500,000,000 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 Source: OIRA
  213. 213. UNC Chapel Hill Campus Grows Past 19,500 sqft Gross Square Feet of UNC Chapel Hill Campus #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 7,847 9,639 12,312 18,394 19,536 0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 Source: OIRA
  214. 214. UNC Chapel Hill Student Population Exceeds 29,135 Number of Students Enrolled at UNC, 1980-2016 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 21,465 23,852 24,872 29,135 16,000 20,000 24,000 28,000 32,000 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016
  215. 215. More than 12,000 Work for UNC Chapel Hill UNC Employees by State Classification, 1980-2016 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 0 3,500 7,000 10,500 14,000 SPA Employees EPA Faculty/ Non-Faculty Source: OIRA
  216. 216. UNC = Innovation #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
  217. 217. UNC Annual Research Funding passes $847 million #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT $275 $847 $0 $100 $200 $300 $400 $500 $600 $700 $800 $900 1995 1998 2001 2004 2007 2010 2013 2016 Millions Source: UNC Office of Institutional Research
  218. 218. UNC Start-up Companies by Year #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 5 11 3 3 3 1 6 1 7 1 5 7 9 14 10 9 8 FY00 FY01 FY02 FY03 FY04 FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 Source: UNC Office of Institutional Research
  219. 219. #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 103UNC start-up companies since 2000 Source: UNC Office of Institutional Research
  220. 220. A partnership between the town, county and university to accelerate the development of high potential, high impact ventures in Chapel Hill and Orange County.
  221. 221. 64 companies served since 2012 13 in 2016 1,000 jobs created by graduates 25% in Orange County $20M in funding raised by graduates $7.3M annual sales revenues of graduates
  222. 222. Durham Tech
  223. 223. Capacity Growing at Durham Tech Orange County Campus #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 3,207 3,466 3,374 3,373 3,412 2,552 2,731 2,420 2,360 2,368 2012-2013 2013-2014 2014-2015 2015-2016 2016-2017 Total Seats Offered Total Seats Filled Source: Durham Tech
  224. 224. # of Sections Offered and Unduplicated Enrollment Durham Tech Orange County Campus #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 150 153 138 140 141 1,131 1,155 1,089 1,113 1,066 2012-2013 2013-2104 2014-2015 2015-2016 2016-2017 Total Sections Unduplicated Headcount Source: Durham Tech
  225. 225. #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 46% of CHCCS or OCS graduates received financial aid from Durham Tech (2012-2017) Source: Durham Tech
  226. 226. Durham Tech Students Score High on License Tests Durham Tech Licensure Pass Rates and Transfer Performance 2016 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 86.3% 100% 75% 100% 100% 89% Transfer Performance (AY14-15) Practical Nursing Registered Nursing EMT EMT-P Esthetician Source: Durham Tech
  227. 227. Public Schools #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
  228. 228. Total Per Pupil Expenditure (2015-2016) #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT Source: NC Department of Public Instruction $11,355 $10,742 $9,963 $10,056 $9,342 $8,245 $7,996 Chapel-Hill/Carrboro City Schools Asheville City Schools Orange County Schools Durham County Schools Chatham County Schools Wake County Schools Alamance-Burlington Schools
  229. 229. Local Per Pupil Expenditure (2015-2016) #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT $5,748 $4,429 $3,921 $3,542 $3,112 $2,430 $1,719 Chapel-Hill/Carrboro City Schools Asheville City Schools Orange County Schools Durham County Schools Chatham County Schools Wake County Schools Alamance-Burlington Schools Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
  230. 230. Chapel Hill-Carrboro City Schools Per Pupil Expenditure Trends in CHCCS Per Pupil Expenditure (PPE) by Source, 2004-2016 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT Source: NC Department of Public Instruction $3,972 $3,907 $3,965 $4,301 $4,659 $4,983 $4,767 $4,617 $4,916 $5,197 $5,375 $5,475 $5,748 [CELLRANGE] [CELLRANGE] [CELLRANGE] [CELLRANGE] [CELLRANGE] [CELLRANGE] [CELLRANGE] [CELLRANGE] [CELLRANGE] [CELLRANGE] [CELLRANGE] [CELLRANGE] [CELLRANGE] 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 StatePPE FederalPPE LocalPPE Total PPE
  231. 231. Average SAT Writing Score 2016 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 475 445 475 446 576 496 504 300 350 400 450 500 550 600 North Carolina (All Students) Alamance-Burlington Schools Chatham County Schools Durham Public Schools Chapel Hill-Carrboro City Schools Orange County Schools Wake County Schools 010190320681680920 Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
  232. 232. Average SAT CR1 Score 2016 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 502 473 499 474 598 522 526 350 400 450 500 550 600 650 North Carolina (All Students) Alamance-Burlington Schools Chatham County Schools Durham Public Schools Chapel Hill-Carrboro City Schools Orange County Schools Wake County Schools 010190320681680920 Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
  233. 233. Average SAT Combined Math, Writing & CR1 Scores 2016 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 1485 1406 1476 1387 1781 1539 1570 800 1000 1200 1400 1600 1800 2000 North Carolina (All Students) Alamance-Burlington Schools Chatham County Schools Durham Public Schools Chapel Hill-Carrboro City Schools Orange County Schools Wake County Schools 010190320681680920 Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
  234. 234. EOG Science Grade 3, 2015-16 College and Career Ready (Level 4 or 5) and Proficient (Level 3+) #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 74 64 77 89 65 54 70 85 State of North Carolina Chatham County Schools Orange County Schools Chapel Hill- Carrboro Schools Grade Level Proficient College/Career Ready Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
  235. 235. EOG Math Grade 3, 2015-16 College and Career Ready (Level 4 or 5) and Proficient (Level 3+) #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 65 66 71 78 52 53 55 71 State of North Carolina Chatham County Schools Orange County Schools Chapel Hill- Carrboro Schools Grade Level Proficient College/Career Ready Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
  236. 236. EOG Reading Grade 3, 2015-16 College and Career Ready (Level 4 or 5) and Proficient (Level 3+) #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 58 56 58 76 48 46 48 68 State of North Carolina Chatham County Schools Orange County Schools Chapel Hill- Carrboro Schools Grade Level Proficient College/Career Ready Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
  237. 237. EOG Math Grade 8, 2015-16 College and Career Ready (Level 4 or 5) and Proficient (Level 3+) #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 45 46 53 71 39 40 46 67 State of North Carolina Chatham County Schools Orange County Schools Chapel Hill- Carrboro Schools Grade Level Proficient College/Career Ready Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
  238. 238. EOG Reading Grade 8, 2015-16 College and Career Ready (Level 4 or 5) and Proficient (Level 3+) #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 53 55 57 71 42 41 44 63 State of North Carolina Chatham County Schools Orange County Schools Chapel Hill- Carrboro Schools Grade Level Proficient College/Career Ready Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
  239. 239. Local School Dropout Rate Declines 2000 through 2016 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 5.20% Orange County Schools 2.21% 1.92% Chapel Hill-Carrboro City Schools 0.84% 5.71% North Carolina 2.29% 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% Source: NC DPI
  240. 240. Share of 9th Graders Graduated in 4 Years by 9th Grade Entry Year, 2002-03 to 2012-13 9th Graders #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 90.2% 90.1% 89.3% 67% 87% 50% 75% 100% 2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 Year began 9th grade CHCCS Orange County Chatham NC Rising Graduation Rates in Neighboring Districts, NC Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
  241. 241. Rising Graduation Rates in Neighboring Districts, NC Share of 9th Graders Graduated in 4 Years by 9th Grade Entry Year, 2002-03 to 2012-13 9th Graders #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT Durham Wake Alamance- Burlington 50% 75% 100% 2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 Year began 9th grade CHCCS Orange County Chatham NC Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
  242. 242. Graduation Rates Increasing Percent Change in District Graduation Rates between 2006 and 2016 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 21% 0% 29% 20% 34% 5% 26% Alamance- Burlington Chapel Hill- Carrboro Chatham Durham Orange Wake NC Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
  243. 243. Black Student Graduation Rate Improvement Percent Change in District Graduation Rates between 2006 and 2016 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 38% 11% 11% 28% 63% 16% 37% Alamance- Burlington Chapel Hill- Carrboro Chatham Durham Orange Wake NC Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
  244. 244. Hispanic Student Graduation Rate Improvement Percent Change in District Graduation Rates between 2006 and 2016 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 70% 26% 109% 93% 131% 28% 53% Alamance- Burlington Chapel Hill- Carrboro Chatham Durham Orange Wake NC Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
  245. 245. Economically Disadvantaged Student Graduation Rate Improvement Percent Change in District Graduation Rates between 2006 and 2016 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 63% 41% 62% 52% 132% 27% 45% Alamance- Burlington Chapel Hill- Carrboro Chatham Durham Orange Wake NC Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
  246. 246. Students with Disabilities Graduation Rate Improvement Percent Change in District Graduation Rates between 2006 and 2016 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 31% -19% 21% 0% 64% 13% 38% Alamance- Burlington Chapel Hill- Carrboro Chatham Durham Orange Wake NC Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
  247. 247. CHCCS EOG Reading Grade 3 Proficient 2015-2016 Grade 3 Proficient (Level 3+) #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 80 47 39 92 AsianBlackHispanicWhite Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
  248. 248. Orange County Schools EOG Reading Grade 3 Proficient 2015-16 Grade 3 Proficient (Level 3+) #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 44 34 71 BlackHispanicWhite Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
  249. 249. Chatham County Schools EOG Reading Grade 3 Proficient Grade 3 Proficient (Level 3+) #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 3936 72 BlackHispanicWhite
  250. 250. Grade 5 and 8 Science EOG "College and Career Ready" 2015-16 Science EOG Grade 5 and 8 (Level 4 and 5) #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 44 31 38 47 75 71 76 92 State of North Carolina Chatham County Schools Orange County Schools Chapel Hill- Carrboro Schools Black White Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
  251. 251. Grades 3-8 Math EOG “College and Career Ready” 2015-16 Math EOG Grades 3-8 (Levels 4 and 5) #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 47 48 54 68 State of North Carolina Chatham County Schools Orange County Schools Chapel Hill- Carrboro Schools Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
  252. 252. Grades 3-8 Math EOG “College and Career Ready” 2015-16 EOG Math Grades 3-8 (Level 4 and 5) #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 47 48 54 68 32 30 35 28 State of North Carolina Chatham County Schools Orange County Schools Chapel Hill-Carrboro Schools All Students EDS Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
  253. 253. Grades 3-8 Math EOG “College and Career Ready” 2015-16 EOG Math Grade 3-8 (Level 4 and 5) #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 27 21 28 25 59 62 65 82 State of North Carolina Chatham County Schools Orange County Schools Chapel Hill- Carrboro Schools Black White Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
  254. 254. More OCS 8th Graders “College and Career Ready” 8th Grade Science EOG Test Achieving Level 4 or 5 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 42 46 41 26 44 52 49 26 Black Hispanic EDS SWD 13-14 Orange County Schools 15-16 Orange County Schools
  255. 255. CHCCS 3rd Grade Reading Proficiency Inconsistent Percent of Students Proficient (Level3, 4 or 5) on Reading Grade 3 End of Grade Test #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 79 34 44 92 36 30 80 47 39 92 40 29 Asian Black Hispanic White EDS SWD 13-14 Chapel Hill-Carrboro Schools 15-16 Chapel Hill-Carrboro Schools Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
  256. 256. Land & Water #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
  257. 257. Totally Protected Lands #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 1,229 4,088 7,784 10,804 12,722 14,473 3,151 5,230 8,613 9,609 10,185 10,174 0 10,000 20,000 30,000 Pre-1981 1981-90 1991-2000 2001-04 2005-08 2009-13 Totally Protected Lands Partially Protected Lands Source: Orange County State of the Environment Report
  258. 258. Water Sales and Accounts 6.03 21,385 10,000 12,000 14,000 16,000 18,000 20,000 22,000 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 8.0 9.0 CustomerAccounts WaterSales(MillionGallonsPer DayAverage) Actual Water Sales Customer Accounts Reclaimed Water to UNC begins 2009 Source: OWASA #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
  259. 259. Monthly Water & Sewer Bills 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14% 16% 18% $0 $25 $50 $75 $100 RateIncrease AverageMonthlyBillBasedon 4,000gallonspermonth Average Bill Amount (actual) Average Bill Amount (projected) Rate Increases (actual) Rate Increases (projected) Source: OWASA #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
  260. 260. Thank you #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
  261. 261. Thank you to our Major Investors Platinum Sponsors
  262. 262. Thank you to our Major Investors Gold Sponsors

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