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2017 State of the
Community
Data Book
Presenting Sponsor
Innovation Sponsor
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Thank you to our
Session Sponsors!
A special thanks to
Carolina Demography
and the
Carolina Population Center
Thank you to our Major Investors
Community Champions
Thank you to our Major Investors
Community Investors
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Thank you to our Major Investors
Gold Sponsors
Special Thanks To…
• Town of Chapel Hill
• Carolina Population Center
• Carolina Demography
• Chapel Hill-Orange County
Visitors Bureau
• Orange Water & Sewer Authority
(OWASA)
• Mark Zimmerman, Re/Max
Winning Edge
• University of North Carolina at
Chapel Hill
• Durham Tech
• GoTriangle
• Chapel Hill Transit
Preview
•Changing Demography
•Commuting
•Housing
•Wages
•Health
•Poverty
•Education
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Orange County Land Distribution
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Chapel Hill
5%
Carrboro
2%
Hillsborough
1%
Rest of
Orange
94%
Source 2011-15 ACS
Location of Orange County Housing Units
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Chapel Hill
20,624
37%
Carrboro
9,225
16%
Hillsborough
2,455
4%
Rest of Orange
23,993
43%
Source 2011-15 ACS
Orange County Total Value Per Acre
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Source: Urban3
Southern Orange County Planning Jurisdictions
Town of Chapel Hill
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Assessed Value Per Acre
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Urban3Source: Urban3
Demographics:
Who We Are
Population Growth 2016
Jurisdiction 2010 2016
Pop
Growth
Growth Rate
Orange
County
133,801 141,796 +7,995 6.0% (0.9% PY)
Hillsborough 6,087 6,568 +481 7.9% (1.2% PY)
Carrboro 19,582 21,265 +1,683 8.6% (1.3% PY)
Chapel Hill 57,233 59,246 +2,013 3.5% (0.6% PY)
North
Carolina
9,535,483 10,146,788 +611,305 6.4% (1.0% PY)
Source U.S. Census Bureau
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Orange County Population Growth Slowest Since
1960sNumeric Growth By Decade, 1930-2010
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
1,901
11,363
8,535
14,737
19,348
16,796
24,376
15,574
1930s 1940s 1950s 1960s 1970s 1980s 1990s 2000s
Source U.S. Census Bureau
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
9.0%
49.3%
24.8%
34.3% 33.5%
21.8% 26.0%
13.2%
1930s 1940s 1950s 1960s 1970s 1980s 1990s 2000s
Source U.S. Census Bureau
Orange County Population Percentage Growth
Slowest Since 1930s
Percent Population Increase By Decade, 1930-2010
Chatham County added 14,176 in the 2000s
Numeric Growth By Decade, 1930-2010
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Source: U.S. Census Bureau
549 666
1,393
2,769
3,861
5,344
10,570
14,176
1930s 1940s 1950s 1960s 1970s 1980s 1990s 2000s
Source U.S. Census Bureau
2.3% 2.7%
5.5%
10.3%
13.1%
16.0%
27.3% 28.7%
1930s 1940s 1950s 1960s 1970s 1980s 1990s 2000s
2000s Fastest Growth Decade for Chatham County
Percent Population Increase By Decade, 1930-2010
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Population Gains Since 2010 Smallest in Orange
Numeric Population Growth, April 1, 2010 to July 1, 2016
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
8,169
8,544
8,739
36,157
145,754
Orange County
Alamance County
Chatham County
Durham County
Wake County
Source U.S. Census Bureau
Orange, Alamance Grew Slower than State Average
Population Growth Rate, April 1, 2010 to July 1, 2016
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
5.7%
6.1%
6.4%
13.4%
13.8%
16.2%
Alamance County
Orange County
North Carolina
Durham County
Chatham County
Wake County
Source U.S. Census Bureau
International Migration, Births, Drove County Pop Growth
Components of Orange County’s estimated 1,100 person growth, July 1, 2015 – July 1, 2016
1,100
1,205
-777
-69
808
Total Population
Change Births Deaths
Domestic
Migration
International
Migration
Note: Not shown is the estimated loss of -67 individuals that cannot be attributed to births, deaths or migration (residual).
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Source U.S. Census Bureau
Orange 2015-16 Net Migration Rate Lower than Neighbors
Rate of net migration & natural increase (births-deaths) per 1,000 residents, July 1, 2015 to July 1,
2016
0.9
-1.4
7.8
3.0
7.2
10.4
19.9
10.5
5.2
16.5
Alamance Chatham Durham Orange Wake
Natural Increase Rate Net Migration Rate
Source U.S. Census Bureau
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Share 65+ increased statewide, locally
Population proportion 65+, April 1, 2010 vs July 1, 2016
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
18%
15%
13%
10% 10%
8%
25%
17%
15%
12% 12%
11%
Chatham Alamance North Carolina Orange Durham Wake
2010 2016
Source U.S. Census Bureau
Increases in 65+ drove majority of NC, county growth
Share of 2010-16 population growth due to 65+ growth
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
72%
56%
55%
52%
28%
24%
Chatham
Orange
North Carolina
Alamance
Durham
Wake
Source U.S. Census Bureau
Orange County Population by Race
Changes By Decade
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Source: US Census Bureau
80% 78% 71% 69%
20% 22%
29% 31%
1990 2000 2010 2016
White African American Latino/Hispanic Asian Two or More RacesOther Racial/Ethnic Groups
Orange County Population by Race
Changes By Decade
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Source: US Census Bureau; Orange County Planning
80% 78%
71% 69%
16%
14%
12% 12%
1%
5%
8% 8%
3% 4%
7% 8%
3% 3%
1990 2000 2010 2016
Two or More Races
Asian
Latino/Hispanic
African American
White
Orange Minority Population by Race
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Orange County Planning
14,847 16,625
1,279
11,870
2,352
11,460
-
3,171
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
1990 2000 2010 2016
Black
Hispanic (any Race)
Asian or Pacific Islander
Multiracial
Chatham Minority Population by Race
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
8,794 8,775
564
8,626
1,347
-
1,047
0
4,000
8,000
12,000
16,000
20,000
1990 2000 2010 2016
Black Hispanic (any Race) Asian or Pacific Islander Multiracial
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Orange County Planning
Chapel Hill Minority Population by Race
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
4,840 5,460
607
3,638
1,678
6,786
-
1,282
0
3,000
6,000
9,000
12,000
15,000
18,000
1990 2000 2010
Black Hispanic (any Race) Asian or Pacific Islander Multiracial
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Orange County Planning
Carrboro Minority Population by Race
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
1,916
1,933
199
2,706
427
1,592
-
430
0
1,750
3,500
5,250
7,000
1990 2000 2010
Black Hispanic (any Race) Asian or Pacific Islander Multiracial
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Orange County Planning
How many people in 2050? Orange County
3 Population Projection Models
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Source: Carolina Demography, Orange County Planning
271,957
214,200
133,801
186,408
0
75,000
150,000
225,000
300,000
2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
NumberofPeople
Exponential (90-10) Linear (90-10) Linear (10-16)
How many people in 2050? Chapel Hill
3 Population Projection Models
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Source: Carolina Demography, Orange County Planning
125,104
94,509
57,233
70,190
0
75,000
150,000
2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
NumberofPeople
Exponential (90-10) Linear (90-10) Linear (10-16)
How many people in 2050? Carrboro
3 Population Projection Models
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Source: Carolina Demography, Orange County Planning
51,073
36,012
19,582
30,381
0
20,000
40,000
60,000
2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
NumberofPeople
Exponential (90-10) Linear (80-10) Linear (10-16)
How many people in 2050? Hillsborough
3 Population Projection Models
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Source: Carolina Demography, Orange County Planning
12,421
10,204
6,087
8,832
0
7,000
14,000
2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
NumberofPeople
Exponential (90-10) Linear (80-10) Linear (10-16)
How many people in 2050? Chatham County
3 Population Projection Models
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Source: Carolina Demography, Orange County Planning
170,482
113,306
63,505
119,783
0
75,000
150,000
225,000
2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
NumberofPeople
Exponential (90-10) Linear (90-10) Linear (10-16)
Carrboro Remains One of the Most Densely Populated
Communities in NC
People per square mile by census and projections
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Orange County Planning
2,970
3,437
3,754
3,108
3,586
4,158
1980 Census 1990 Census 2000 Census 2010 Census 2020 Projected 2030 Projected
Chapel Hill Population Density Increases
People per square mile by census and projections
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Orange County Planning
2,590
2,353
2,548
2,785
3,140
3,560
1980 Census 1990 Census 2000 Census 2010 Census 2020 Projected 2030 Projected
Chapel Hill in 2030 is Less Dense than
Most College Towns Today
People Per Square Mile
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Orange County Planning
4,246
4,116
4,094
3,948
3,472
3,108
3,037
2,785
3,560
Charlottesville (VA)
Burlington (VT)
Ann Arbor (MI)
Boulder (CO)
Bloomington (IN)
Carrboro (NC)
Madison (WI)
Chapel Hill (NC)
Chapel Hill 2030
Housing:
Where We Live
Homes Sold in 2016 Exceeded Pre-Recession
SalesNumber of single and multifamily home sales in Orange County, 2007-16
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
1,751
1,275
1,143 1,143 1,128
1,277
1,630
1,433
1,650
1,815
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Source: Triangle MLS
Chatham Home Sales Rebounded in 2012
Number of single and multifamily home sales, 2007-2016
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
1,751
1,815
1,008 1,037
1,412
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
HomeSales
Orange
Chatham
Source: Triangle MLS
New construction activity concentrated in Wake
Number of single and multi-family homes built and sold, 2010-2016
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
1,152
2,043
4,520
23,744
Orange
Chatham
Durham
Wake
Source: Triangle MLS
Chatham had largest growth of housing stock since 2010
New construction (2010-2016) as share of 2010 housing stock
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
2.1%
3.8%
6.4%
7.1%
Orange
Durham
Wake
Chatham
Source: Triangle MLS
Chatham New Construction Sales Outpace Orange
Number of single and multi-family homes built and sold, 2007-2016
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
253 202
313
429
0
100
200
300
400
500
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Orange Chatham
Orange
Chatham
Source: Triangle MLS
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
1984median year house built in Orange County
Source: U.S. Census Bureau
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
2004median year Orange County
homeowner moved into unit
Source: U.S. Census Bureau
vs. 2013 for renters
Orange Median Home Prices Rise
3.5% in 2016 and 13.2% since 2012
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
$260,000
$255,000 $258,000
$275,000
$262,250 $265,000
$274,450
$267,000
$290,000
$300,000
$200,000
$240,000
$280,000
$320,000
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Source: Triangle MLS
Chatham Median Home Prices Rise
5.1% in 2016 and 26.8% since 2012
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
$282,500
$270,000
$250,703
$263,930
$274,990 $277,700
$303,350
$317,373
$335,000
$352,140
$200,000
$240,000
$280,000
$320,000
$360,000
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Source: Triangle MLS
Steady growth in regional home prices
Median residential closing price, 2007-2016
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
$277,700
$352,140
$265,000
$300,000
$200,000
$240,000
$280,000
$320,000
$360,000
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Orange
Chatham
Chatham
Orange
Source: Triangle MLS
Price in Chatham Exceeds All Others
2016 Median Residential Closing Price
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
$211,000
$264,900
$352,140
$300,000
$347,000
Durham Wake Chatham Orange CHCCS Dist
Source: Triangle MLS
Price Per Square Foot
Median Price Per Square Foot, 2016
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
$114
$124
$142 $146
$160
Durham Wake Chatham Orange CHCCS Dist
Source: Triangle MLS
Home prices have risen across the region
Change in median residential sales price, 2012 vs 2016
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
25.7%
29.8%
31.4%
13.2%
Durham
Wake
Chatham
Orange
Source: Triangle MLS
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
68%of Orange 2016 home sales
were in CHCCS District
40% of Homes in CHCCS District and 50% of
All Orange County Homes Sold for <$300K
2016 Orange County home sales by price
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
27%
20%
43%
23%
20%
29%
17%
24%
2%
22%
24%
19%
11%
13%
8%
Orange County (All)
(1,829 Sales)
CHCCS District
(1,245 Sales)
Not CHCCS
(584 Sales)
<$200,000 $200,000-$299,999 $300,000-$399,999 $400,000-$600,000 $600,000 or More
Source: Triangle MLS
2016 City and Town Property Tax Rates
.3500
.3900
.4183
.5240
.5607
.5894
.6720
0.00 0.25 0.50 0.75
Huntersville
Cary
Apex
Raleigh
Asheville
Charlotte
Concord
Wilmington
Fayetteville
Greenville
Chapel Hill
Gastonia
Wilson
Durham
Hickory
Burlington
Winston-Salem
Monroe
Carrboro
Rocky Mount
Kannapolis
Greensboro
Jacksonville
High Point
Goldsboro
Salisbury
Source: NC Department of Revenue
2016 All Jurisdictions Property Tax Rates
.9505
.9905
1.0188
1.3011
1.4020
1.4674
0.00 0.50 1.00 1.50
Cary
Apex
Raleigh
Asheville
Wilmington
Huntersville
Hickory
Burlington
Concord
Greenville
Fayetteville
Rocky Mount
Wilson
Charlotte
Durham
Goldsboro
Winston-Salem
Jacksonville
Kannapolis
Salisbury
Monroe
Greensboro
Chapel Hill
High Point
Carrboro
Source: NC Department of Revenue
2016 Tax Rates Assessed on Median Home Value
$1,211
$2,271
$2,481
$3,158
$3,226
$3,669
$5,060
$500 $1,250 $2,000 $2,750 $3,500 $4,250 $5,000
Rocky Mount
Burlington
Fayetteville
Hickory
Goldsboro
High Point
Wilson
Winston-Salem
Jacksonville
Kannapolis
Gastonia
Greensboro
Greenville
Salisbury
Concord
Monroe
Wilmington
Raleigh
Charlotte
Durham
Asheville
Huntersville
Apex
Cary
Carrboro
Chapel Hill
Source: NC Department of Revenue, Zillow (ZHVI, 7/31/2017)
However ….
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Most people are renting
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
40
60
53
40
23
39
64
52
43
21
Orange County Carrboro Chapel Hill Hillsborough Chatham County
2011-15 ACS 2006-2010 ACS
Source: U.S. Census Bureau
2016 UNC Student Enrollment by Housing Type
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Resident Student
Housing
8,033
27%
Married Student
Housing
465
2%
Off-Campus
18,927
64%
Fraternity &
Sorority
841
3%
Other University Affiliated Housing
(Granville Towers)
1,203
4%
Source: UNC Fact Book, OIRA
What people are paying for rent
Orange County Gross Rent Paid in 2015
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
3.7%
51.3%
31.4%
13.7%
Less than $500
$500 to $999
$1,000 to $1,499
$1500 or more
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
45%of county renters spent $1,000 or more
on rent in 2015
Source: U.S. Census Bureau
Households Paying More Than 30% of Gross Income on
Rent Declines
Gross Rent as a Percentage of Household Income
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
20.2%
23.9%
55.9%
24.3%
25.3%
50.4%
< 19.9
percent
20 to 29.9
percent
> 30 percent
2011-15 2006-10
Source: U.S. Census Bureau
Households Paying More Than 30% of Gross Income on
Rent Declines
Percent Change 2006-2010 to 2011-2015
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
20.3%
5.9%
-9.8%
< 19.9 percent
20 to 29.9 percent
> 30 percent
Source: U.S. Census Bureau
2017 Fair Market Rent
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
North
Carolina
Durham-
Chapel Hill
HMFA
Alamance
County
Raleigh
MSA
Zero Bedroom $629 $710 $652 $695
One Bedroom $683 $834 $668 $861
Two Bedroom $821 $978 $838 $993
Three Bedroom $1,108 $1,332 $1,143 $1,294
Four Bedroom $1,336 $1,481 $1,238 $1,592
Source: National Low Income Housing Coalition
Local Housing Wage is $16.04 for a 1 Bedroom Apt
Housing Wage = Hourly Wages Needed to Afford Fair Market Rate Rent, 2017
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
North
Carolina
Durham-
Chapel Hill
HMFA
Alamance
County
Raleigh
MSA
Zero Bedroom $12.09 $13.65 $12.54 $13.37
One Bedroom $13.13 $16.04 $12.85 $16.56
Two Bedroom $15.79 $18.81 $16.12 $19.10
Three Bedroom $21.30 $25.62 $21.98 $24.88
Four Bedroom $25.69 $28.48 $23.81 $30.62
Source: National Low Income Housing Coalition
$39,120 Needed for 2 Bedroom Fair Market Rent
Annual Salary Needed to Afford Fair Market Rate Rent, 2017
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
North
Carolina
Durham-
Chapel Hill
HMFA
Alamance
County
Raleigh
MSA
Zero Bedroom $25,147 $28,400 $26,080 $27,800
One Bedroom $27,319 $33,360 $26,720 $34,440
Two Bedroom $32,843 $39,120 $33,520 $39,720
Three Bedroom $44,305 $53,280 $45,720 $51,760
Four Bedroom $53,437 $59,240 $49,520 $63,680
Source: National Low Income Housing Coalition
104 Hours of Work Needed for Minimum Wage Worker to
Afford Local 2 Bedroom Rental
Weekly Hours of Minimum Wage Work Needed to Afford Fair Market Rate Rent, 2017
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
North
Carolina
Durham-
Chapel Hill
HMFA
Alamance
County
Raleigh
MSA
Zero Bedroom 67 75 69 74
One Bedroom 72 88 71 91
Two Bedroom 87 104 89 105
Three Bedroom 118 141 121 137
Four Bedroom 142 157 131 169
Source: National Low Income Housing Coalition
ELI = Extremely Low Income
30% or Less of Area Median Income
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Affordable Units Per 100 ELI Household
Extremely Low Income (ELI) Households earn 0-30% Area Median Income
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
26
39 40
36
49
28
34
68
27
62
Orange Durham Chatham Wake Alamance
2005-09 2010-14
Source: Urban Institute
Orange County Gap between ELI Households and
Available Units Decreased by More than 1,000 Units
Gap between ELI households (<30% area median income) and available units
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
5,891
7,504
5,821
2,251
1,927
1,616
2000
2005-2009
2010-2014
Units ELI householdsSource: Urban Institute
Chatham County Gap between ELI Households and
Available Units Decreases by Nearly 50%
Gap between ELI households (<30% area median income) and available units
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
764
1,443
1,773
453
576
1,197
2000
2005-2009
2010-2014
Units ELI householdsSource: Urban Institute
Orange Chronically Homeless at Lowest Recorded Level
Number of Chronically Homeless Individuals (annual point-in-time count), 2011-2017
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
50
29
28
23
25
15
14
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
Source: Orange County Partnership to End Homelessness
18 Homeless Children in Families in Orange
Number of Homeless Children in Families (annual point-in-time count), 2011-2017
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
17
15
16
17
19
6
18
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
Source: Orange County Partnership to End Homelessness
Income & Education
•Well Educated
•High Earning
•Generous
•Not That Generous
Chapel Hill Second Highest % with BA+
Percent of Residents 25+ with Bachelors degree or higher (2011-15)
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Cambridge (MA), 75.1
Chapel Hill (NC), 74
Carrboro (NC), 68
Orange County (NC),
56.6
Chatham County
(NC), 36.8
0 20 40 60 80
Cambridge (MA)
Chapel Hill (NC)
Boulder (CO)
Ann Arbor (MI)
Berkeley (CA)
Amherst (MA)
Carrboro (NC)
Evanston (IL)
Sunnyvale (CA)
Corvallis (OR)
Bloomington (IN)
Orange County (NC)
Santa Clara (CA)
Fort Collins (CO)
Burlington (VT)
Charlottesville (VA)
Tallahassee (FL)
Austin (TX)
Boston (MA)
Gainesville (FL)
Athens-Clarke County (GA)
San Jose (CA)
Chatham County (NC)
Columbus (OH)
Source: U.S. Census Bureau
Orange Per Capita Income Growth Outpaces All Others
Inflation Adjusted Per Capita Income, 1969-2015
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
$55,338
$0
$10,000
$20,000
$30,000
$40,000
$50,000
$60,000
1969 1974 1979 1984 1989 1994 1999 2004 2009 2014
Alamance Chatham Durham Wake Orange
Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis
Orange Highest Per Capita Income in State
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Orange, NC
$55,338
Chatham, NC
$51,839
North Carolina
$40,759
Robeson, NC
$27,487
$0
$10,000
$20,000
$30,000
$40,000
$50,000
$60,000
Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis
Per Capita Personal Income
By County, 2015
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
$55,338
$52,129 $51,839 $51,776
$48,602
$44,507 $44,442 $44,199 $43,952 $43,859
Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis
2016 ACCRA Cost of Living Housing Index
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Chapel Hill/Orange
County
102.4
Burlington
71.5
Charlotte
85.1
Durham
72.1 Raleigh
69.3
Winston-Salem
68.260
80
100
120
Source: ACCRA Cost of living Index, select annual averages
2016 ACCRA Cost of Living Grocery Index
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Chapel Hill/Orange
County
92.0
Burlington
97.6
Charlotte
94.0
Durham
96.9
Raleigh
113.4
Winston-Salem
98.9
85
100
115
Source: ACCRA Cost of living Index, select annual averages
2016 ACCRA Cost of Living Composite Index
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Chapel Hill/Orange
County
96.0
Burlington
89.9
Charlotte
94.8
Durham
88.5
Raleigh
94.4
Winston-Salem
91.5
85
100
115
Source: ACCRA Cost of living Index, select annual averages
Orange has #1 Adjusted Gross Income, Chatham #18
County
Average AGI on
Itemized Returns
Rank
(of 100 Counties)
Orange County $175,600 1
Mecklenburg County $134,897 2
Wake County $128,756 3
Guilford County $110,738 11
Durham County $106,478 15
Chatham County $101,900 18
Alamance County $92,312 36
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Source: National Center for Charitable Statistics
Orange #4 in Value of Itemized Deductions, Chatham
#85
County Average Itemized
Contributions Reported
Rank (of 100 Counties)
Orange County $5,665 4
Mecklenburg County $5,230 19
Guilford County $5,080 32
Durham County $4,678 55
Wake County $4,519 62
Alamance County $4,425 68
Chatham County $4,166 85
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Source: National Center for Charitable Statistics
Orange Ranks 98th in Percent of Income Donated,
Chatham 90th
County Percent of AGI
Contributed
Rank (of 100
Counties)
Alamance County 4.8% 72
Guilford County 4.6% 79
Durham County 4.4% 82
Chatham County 4.1% 90
Mecklenburg County 3.9% 91
Wake County 3.5% 96
Orange County 3.2% 98
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Source: National Center for Charitable Statistics
Yancey and Macon Counties Lead NC in Contributions
County Average Itemized
Contribution
Rank (of 100
Counties) Percent
of AGI Contributed
Yancey $7,919 (9.2%) 1
Macon County $8,007 (8.5%) 2
Washington County $5,579 (7.3%) 3
Anson County $5,086 (7.2%) 4
Warren County $4,169 (7.1%) 5
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Source: National Center for Charitable Statistics
And where does that income
come from…
…work
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Unemployment Declines in North Carolina
Unemployment Rate, 2005-May 2017
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
6.5 6.5
10.9
4.3
-
4.0
8.0
12.0
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 May '17
UnemploymentRate
Chapel Hill Orange County North Carolina
Source: NC Department of Commerce
Orange County Employment Patterns
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Source: National Association of Counties
Orange County Major Employers 2017 Q1
1. UNC Chapel Hill
2. UNC Health Care System
3. Chapel Hill-Carrboro City Schools
4. Orange County Schools
5. Local government
6. UNC Physicians Network
7. Town of Chapel Hill
8. Eurosport
9. General Electric
10. Wal-Mart
11. Aramark Food and Support Services
12. Harris Teeter
13. Food Lion
14. AKG of America
15. The Chapel Hill Residential
16. PHE Inc
17. Weaver St Market
18. Strata Solar
19. Performance Chevrolet
20. Residential Services
21. Wellspring Grocery
22. Carolina Inn
23. Summit Consulting-Engineering
24. The Arc of the Triangle
25. US Postal ServiceSource: NC Department of Commerce
Orange County Number of Enterprises by Industry
By North American Industry Classification System (NAICS)
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Source: NC Commerce (ESRI Business Numbers) - 2016
735
647
588
571
467
376
348
346
338
333
Other Srv excl Public Admin NAICS81
Retail Trade NAICS44-45
Prof/Scientific/Tech Srv NAICS54
Health Care/Social Assist NAICS62
Construction NAICS23
Accommodation/Food Services NAICS72
Finance & Insurance NAICS52
Unclassified Establishments NAICS99
Real Estate/Rental/Leasing NAICS53
Food Srv & Drinking Places NAICS722
Retail, Wholesale & Health Care Lead Sales in Orange
2016 Sales by NAICS Industry Code (Millions)
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Source: NC Commerce (ESRI Business Numbers) - 2016
$2,168
$2,040
$1,334
$806
$685
$675
$550
$407
$399
$384
Retail Trade NAICS44-45
Wholesale Trade NAICS42
Health Care/Social Assist NAICS62
Manufacturing NAICS31-33
Construction NAICS23
Finance & Insurance NAICS52
Prof/Scientific/Tech Srv NAICS54
Food & Beverage Stores NAICS445
Real Estate/Rental/Leasing NAICS53
Secur/Commodity Contracts NAICS523
Chatham County Employment Patterns
Source: National Association of Counties
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Chatham County Major Employers 2017 Q1
1. Chatham County Schools
2. County Of Chatham
3. Carolina Meadows
4. Galloway Ridge
5. Mountaire Farms of NC
6. Wal-Mart
7. Arauco Panels
8. Chatham Hospital
9. Fitch Creations
10. Boise Cascade Company
11. Palletone of North Carolina
12. The Laurels of Chatham
13. Lowes Home Centers
14. Sunrise Home Care
15. Piedmont Health Services
16. Harris Teeter
17. Acme McCrary
18. Food Lion
19. Brookwood Farms
20. Genesis Administrative Services
21. Central Carolina Community College
22. Town & Country Hardware Stores
23. Governors Club
24. Triangle Electrical Services
25. NC Department of Public SafetySource: NC Department of Commerce
357
312
251
176
173
153
128
124
112
106
Other Srv excl Public Admin NAICS81
Retail Trade NAICS44-45
Construction NAICS23
Prof/Scientific/Tech Srv NAICS54
Health Care/Social Assist NAICS62
Finance & Insurance NAICS52
Public Administration NAICS92
Real Estate/Rental/Leasing NAICS53
Accommodation/Food Services NAICS72
Admin/Waste Mgmt&Remediatn NAICS56
Chatham County Number of Enterprises by Industry
By North American Industry Classification System
(NAICS)
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Source: NC Commerce (ESRI Business Numbers) - 2016
Wholesale & Manufacturing Lead Chatham County Sales
Sales By NAICS Industry Code (Thousands)
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Source: NC Commerce (ESRI Business Numbers) - 2016
$1,212,210
$802,465
$650,280
$277,142
$259,409
$250,212
$246,350
$152,503
$125,647
$124,823
Wholesale Trade NAICS42
Manufacturing NAICS31-33
Retail Trade NAICS44-45
Construction NAICS23
Health Care/Social Assist NAICS62
Utilities NAICS22
Finance & Insurance NAICS52
Food & Beverage Stores NAICS445
Real Estate/Rental/Leasing NAICS53
Information NAICS51
Orange County & Municipality Minority Business Ownership
Rates Fall Below U.S. And Statewide Averages
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
10.3%
11.8%
13.5%
13.7%
14.0%
14.9%
15.2%
20.5%
20.8%
21.1%
22.8%
26.3%
28.8%
36.7%
Bloomington (IN)
Chatham County (NC)
Madison (WI)
Chapel Hill (NC)
Orange County (NC)
Ann Arbor (MI)
Carrboro (NC)
Johnston County (NC)
Alamance County (NC)
Hillsborough (NC)
North Carolina
Wake County (NC)
United States
Durham County (NC)
Source: U.S Census Bureau
Female Business Ownership Rate in Orange County Exceeds
State and US Average
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
30.2%
31.2%
32.2%
32.4%
34.2%
34.6%
35.4%
35.5%
35.6%
35.6%
35.8%
35.9%
36.3%
41.7%
Bloomington (IN)
Hillsborough (NC)
Johnston County (NC)
Ann Arbor (MI)
Chapel Hill (NC)
Alamance County (NC)
Madison (WI)
Chatham County (NC)
North Carolina
Wake County (NC)
United States
Carrboro (NC)
Orange County (NC)
Durham County (NC)
Source: U.S Census Bureau
Non-Profit
Employment and Charitable Giving
Orange County Nonprofits
Orange County Registered Nonprofits 975
Orange County 501(c)3 Orgs Filing 990s 437
Annual Revenue of Orange County 501(c)3s $870 million
Assets of Orange county 501(c)3s $3.3 billion
Source Center for Nonprofits
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Chatham County Nonprofits
Chatham County Registered Nonprofits 254
Chatham County 501(c)3 Orgs Filing 990s 98
Annual Revenue of Chatham County 501(c)3s $105 million
Assets of Chatham county 501(c)3s $245 million
Source Center for Nonprofits
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Orange, Chatham and Durham Boast 871 Charities
Total Registered 501c3 Non Profits by County (2015)
303
83
485
Orange Chatham Durham
Source Center for Nonprofits
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Total Non-Profit Employment
Nonprofit Employee County by County (2015)
29,808
1,681
42,373
Orange Chatham Durham
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Source Center for Nonprofits
47% of Orange County workers employed in Nonprofit
Nonprofit employment as percent of total employment, 2015
47%
12%
23%
Orange Chatham Durham
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Source Center for Nonprofits
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
46%of UNC’s employees
are from Orange County
Source: UNC Office of Institutional Research
Distribution of UNC-CH’s 12,411 Employees (2016)
By county of home address
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
5,757
2,424
1,617
1,129
608
597
68
69
82
25
35
Orange
Durham
Wake
Alamance
Chatham
Other
Person
Lee
Guilford
Randolph
Granville
Source: UNC Office of Institutional Research
Growing number of UNC employees live in Wake
Change in number of UNC employees by county of residence, 2013-2016
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
108
102
293
42
-42
-117
-7
-1
23
0
27
Orange
Durham
Wake
Alamance
Chatham
Other
Person
Lee
Guilford
Randolph
Granville
Source: UNC Office of Institutional Research
Orange Worker Inflows/Outflows, 2014
42,696 drive in, 35,545 drive out and 19,611 live and work in Orange
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Source: U.S. Census Bureau
Chapel Hill/Carrboro Worker Inflows/Outflows, 2014
38,942 drive in, 17,922 drive out and 10,572 live and work in Orange
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Source: U.S. Census Bureau
More jobs but fewer workers living in Orange
Number of jobs in Orange vs. workers in Orange, 2002-2014
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
52,608
57,822
62,307
48,618
52,754
57,549
55,156
40,000
45,000
50,000
55,000
60,000
65,000
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
NumberofPeople
Jobs in Orange Workers in Orange
Source: U.S. Census Bureau
Most Orange County residents work elsewhere
Share of Orange County resident workers who work outside of Orange County, 2002-2014
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
55%
64%
50%
55%
60%
65%
70%
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Source: U.S. Census Bureau
58% of Orange County Households Have 2+ Cars
Share of Households by Number of Vehicles Available, 2011-15
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
22.5%
36.5%
36.8%
4.1%
3 or More
Vehicles
2 Vehicles
1 Vehicle
No Vehicles
Source: U.S. Census Bureau
Fewer Orange, Chatham Workers Drive Alone to Work
Percent of commuters who drive alone to work, 2011-15
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Source: Robert Wood Johnson Foundation
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North Carolina Orange Chatham Alamance Durham Wake
46% of Chatham Workers Driving Alone Travel 30+ Minutes
Percent of those who drive alone to work commuting 30+ minutes, 2011-15
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
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North Carolina Orange Chatham Alamance Durham Wake
Source: Robert Wood Johnson Foundation
Local Transit Ridership Down 1.05M
Total Chapel Hill Transit Ridership (in millions), FY2004-FY2017
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
5.27
7.23
6.18
4.0
6.0
8.0
FY04 FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17
Source: Chapel Hill Transit
GoTriangle Ridership Down 3.2% Off Peak
Total Triangle Transit Ridership, FY2004-FY2016
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Source: Triangle Transit
711,117
1,843,735 1,784,700
0
500,000
1,000,000
1,500,000
2,000,000
FY04 FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17
More Orange County jobs filled by in-commuters
Share of county jobs filled by individuals who live outside of Orange County, 2002-2014
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
58%
69%
50%
55%
60%
65%
70%
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Source: U.S. Census Bureau
Few differences in earnings by place of work/residence
Commuters into/out of Orange County by income, 2014
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
16% 17% 16%
34% 29% 32%
50% 53% 52%
Driving into Orange for Work Driving Out of Orange for
Work
Live and Work in Orange
<$15,000 $15,000-$39,999 >$40,000
Source: U.S. Census Bureau
Fewer young workers live and work in Orange
Growth in number of young workers (<30) in Orange County by place of work, 2010 vs. 2014
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
2.0%
0.8%
-13.8%
Driving Into Orange for Work
Driving Out of Orange for
Work Live and Work in Orange
Source: U.S. Census Bureau
Fewer workers under 55 live and work in Orange
Number living and working in Orange County by Age, 2002-2014
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
5,079
3,390
13,299
10,883
3,544
5,338
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
NumberofPeople
Workers Aged 29 or younger Workers Aged 30 to 54 Workers Aged 55 or older
Source: U.S. Census Bureau
Chapel Hill Worker Inflows/Outflows, 2014
38,917 Drive In, 13,228 Drive Out and 6,490 Live and Work in Chapel Hill
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Source: U.S. Census Bureau
Where People Commute From to Fill Chapel Hill Jobs
Place of Residence of Individuals Whose Primary Job was in Chapel Hill in 2014
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Source: U.S. Census Bureau
8,584
6,490
3,103
2,435
2,044
598
578
481
412
401
20,281
Durham city, NC
Chapel Hill town, NC
Carrboro town, NC
Raleigh city, NC
Cary town, NC
Apex town, NC
Burlington city, NC
Mebane city, NC
Greensboro city, NC
Charlotte city, NC
All Other Locations
Where Do Chapel Hill Residents Work?
Location of Primary Job, 2014
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
6,490
4,116
1,629
619
559
470
429
181
171
166
4,888
Chapel Hill town, NC
Durham city, NC
Raleigh city, NC
Cary town, NC
Charlotte city, NC
Greensboro city, NC
Carrboro town, NC
Burlington city, NC
Hillsborough town, NC
Morrisville town, NC
All Other Locations
Source: U.S. Census Bureau
Carrboro Worker Inflows/Outflows, 2014
3,557 Drive In, 8,226 Drive Out, and 550 Live and Work in Carrboro
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Source: U.S. Census Bureau
Where People Commute From to Fill Carrboro Jobs
Place of Residence of Individuals Whose Primary Job was in Carrboro in 2014
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Source: U.S. Census Bureau
550
515
429
163
96
71
63
60
41
36
2,083
Carrboro town, NC
Durham city, NC
Chapel Hill town, NC
Raleigh city, NC
Cary town, NC
Charlotte city, NC
Mebane city, NC
Burlington city, NC
Greensboro city, NC
Apex town, NC
All Other Locations
Where Do Carrboro Residents Work?
Location of Primary Job, 2014
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Source: U.S. Census Bureau
3,103
1,427
696
550
239
210
185
142
95
82
2,047
Chapel Hill town, NC
Durham city, NC
Raleigh city, NC
Carrboro town, NC
Cary town, NC
Charlotte city, NC
Greensboro city, NC
Hillsborough town, NC
Burlington city, NC
Morrisville town, NC
All Other Locations
Chatham Worker Inflows/Outflows, 2014
8,923 drive in, 20,985 drive out and 5,016 Live and Work in Chatham
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Source: U.S. Census Bureau
Majority of Chatham Residents Work Elsewhere
Share of Chatham County resident workers who work outside of Chatham, 2002-2014
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
80.7%
65.3%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
2014201320122011201020092008200720062005200420032002
Source: U.S. Census Bureau
Where Do Chatham County Workers Work?
2014 vs. 2005
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
3,717
2,826
2,365
1,298
1,219
1,190
746
714
673
418
10,835
0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000
Chapel Hill town, NC
Raleigh city, NC
Durham city, NC
Pittsboro town, NC
Cary town, NC
Siler City town, NC
Greensboro city, NC
Sanford city, NC
Charlotte city, NC
Asheboro city, NC
All Other Locations
2005
2014
Source: U.S. Census Bureau
Where People Drive From to Fill Chatham County Jobs
2014 vs. 2005 (Top 10)
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
777
719
463
386
362
351
300
195
182
161
0 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400 1,600
Siler City town, NC
Durham city, NC
Raleigh city, NC
Cary town, NC
Sanford city, NC
Pittsboro town, NC
Chapel Hill town, NC
Carrboro town, NC
Apex town, NC
Greensboro city, NC
2005
2014
Source: U.S. Census Bureau
Sales and Economy
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Taxable Sales Grows to $1.7 Billion
Orange County Taxable Sales (millions)
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Source: NC Department of Revenue
$908 $948 $972 $927 $946
$1,017 $1,058
$1,176
$1,422 $1,477
$1,568
$1,726
Annual Growth of Orange County Taxable Sales
Change (in millions) in Taxable Sales from Prior Year FY05-FY16
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Source: NC Department of Revenue
$41
$23
-$45
$20
$71
$41
$117
$246
$55
$91
$158
Annual Growth of Orange County Taxable Sales
Percent Change in Taxable Sales of Prior Year FY05-FY16
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Source: NC Department of Revenue
2% -1% -1%
23%
17%
-12%
9%
21%
4%
6%
10%
Sales Tax Collections Grow to $82 Million
Orange County Gross Sales Tax Collections (millions)
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Source: NC Department of Revenue
$40.82 $41.77 $41.54 $41.05
$50.44
$58.80
$51.54
$56.14
$67.84 $70.47
$74.76
$82.26
Orange County Visitor
Spending and Economic Impact
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Orange County Hotel Occupancy Slightly Off Peak
Average Daily Hotel Occupancy, 2009-2016
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Source: Chapel Hill/Orange County Visitors Bureau
58.9% 59.6%
64.1%
65.1% 65.1%
69.9% 69.7% 69.4%
50%
58%
66%
74%
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Hotel Average Daily Rate Continues to Increase
Orange County Average Daily Rate, 2009-2016
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
$107.35
$102.12 $101.61
$104.38
$106.49
$113.65
$118.94
$120.73
$85
$95
$105
$115
$125
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Source: Chapel Hill/Orange County Visitors Bureau
Revenue per Room Continues to Grow
Orange County Average Revenue Per Room, 2009-2016
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
$63.34 $60.87
$65.15 $68.00 $69.60
$79.45
$82.95 $83.16
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Source: Chapel Hill/Orange County Visitors Bureau
Orange Tourism Tax Revenue Tops $14.6 Million
State and Local Visitor Spending Tax Revenue (millions)
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
$9.98 $10.48
$3.97 $4.16
2015 2016
State Tax Revenue (millions) Local Tax Revenue (millions)
$13.95 $14.64
Source: Prepared for VisitNC by the US Travel Association
Domestic Visitor Spending Increases 4.4%
Orange County Domestic Visitor Spending (millions)
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
$184.45
$192.63
2015 2016
Source: Prepared for VisitNC by the US Travel Association
60%
9%
26%
0%
3% 1%
Orange
County
Carrboro Chapel Hill Durham Hillsborough Mebane
Chapel Hill & Carrboro Receive 36% of Orange County Sales
Tax Distributions
Municipality share of Orange County Local Option Sales Tax (LOST) Revenue Distributions, FY 2016-17
Source: NC Department of Revenue
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Sales Tax Per Capita FY2016
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
$171.97 $175.27
$157.33
$250.56
$153.88
Orange Alamance Chatham Durham Wake
Source: NC Department of Revenue
Sales Tax Per Capita Rankings
Ranking of 100 NC Counties (1=highest), 2010-2016
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
81st
41st
56th
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
CountyRanking(1to100)
Orange Alamance Chatham Durham Wake
Source: NC Department of Revenue
Total Household Income (billions)
2016 Total Household Income
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
$4.7
$3.9
$2.7
$9.6
$39.0
Orange County
Alamance County
Chatham County
Durham County
Wake County
Source: ESRI via NC Department of Commerce
Average Household Retail Demand
2016
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
$51,358
$32,097
$44,329
$38,192
$48,176
Orange County
Alamance County
Chatham County
Durham County
Wake County
Source: ESRI via NC Department of Commerce
2016 retail gap
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Orange Had Largest Retail Gap in 2016
Retail Potential vs. Retail Sales (in billions), 2016
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Source: ESRI via NC Department of Commerce
$2.6 $2.1
$1.3
$4.7
$18.7
$1.8
$2.7
$0.6
$4.6
$18.1
Orange Alamance Chatham Durham Wake
Retail Potential (Demand)
Retail Sales (Supply)
Values shown in billions
Orange Had Largest Retail Gap in 2016
Retail Gap– Demand Minus Supply (in Millions), 2016
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Source: ESRI via NC Department of Commerce
$796
($660)
$648
$81
$623
Orange Alamance Chatham Durham Wake
Orange County Draws Outside Dollars in 4 Categories
2016 Retail Leakage (in Millions)
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Source: ESRI via NC Department of Commerce
-$45.4
-$52.7
-$50.9
-$87.8
-$30.7
-$28.3
$13.9
-$321.9
-$47.1
$.2
-$280.8
$85.7
$49.5
Bldg/Garden Equip/Supply Stores
Clothing/Accessories Stores
Electronics & Appliance Stores
Food and Beverage Stores
Food Services & Drinking Places
Furniture/Home Furnishing Stores
Gasoline Stations
General Merchandise Stores
Health and Personal Care Stores
Miscellaneous Store Retailers
Motor Vehicle and Parts Dealers
Nonstore Retailers
Sports/Hobby/Book/Music Stores
Chatham County Draws Outside Dollars in 1 Category
2016 Retail Leakage (in Millions)
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Source: ESRI via NC Department of Commerce
-$23.0
-$40.8
-$41.0
-$73.3
-$41.3
-$20.3
-$9.9
-$99.1
-$29.5
-$41.8
-$217.4
-$21.6
$10.7
Bldg/Garden Equip/Supply Stores
Clothing/Accessories Stores
Electronics & Appliance Stores
Food and Beverage Stores
Food Services & Drinking Places
Furniture/Home Furnishing Stores
Gasoline Stations
General Merchandise Stores
Health and Personal Care Stores
Miscellaneous Store Retailers
Motor Vehicle and Parts Dealers
Nonstore Retailers
Sports/Hobby/Book/Music Stores
Alamance County Huge Draw for Outside Dollars
2016 Retail Leakage (in Millions)
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Source: ESRI via NC Department of Commerce
$21.7
$44.3
-$32.0
-$33.0
$61.7
$36.0
$89.5
$238.1
$22.6
$142.8
$29.9
$9.5
$29.0
Bldg/Garden Equip/Supply Stores
Clothing/Accessories Stores
Electronics & Appliance Stores
Food and Beverage Stores
Food Services & Drinking Places
Furniture/Home Furnishing Stores
Gasoline Stations
General Merchandise Stores
Health and Personal Care Stores
Miscellaneous Store Retailers
Motor Vehicle and Parts Dealers
Nonstore Retailers
Sports/Hobby/Book/Music Stores
Orange County Retail Businesses Detail
2016 Retail Businesses in Orange County by Category
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Source: ESRI via NC Department of Commerce
55
78
41
78
330
27
40
20
49
102
37
24
53
Bldg/Garden Equip/Supply Stores
Clothing/Accessories Stores
Electronics & Appliance Stores
Food and Beverage Stores
Food Services & Drinking Places
Furniture/Home Furnishing Stores
Gasoline Stations
General Merchandise Stores
Health and Personal Care Stores
Miscellaneous Store Retailers
Motor Vehicle and Parts Dealers
Nonstore Retailers
Sports/Hobby/Book/Music Stores
Chatham County Retail Businesses Detail
2016 Retail Businesses in Chatham County by Category
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Source: ESRI via NC Department of Commerce
37
14
15
45
100
20
28
21
15
52
28
5
17
Bldg/Garden Equip/Supply Stores
Clothing/Accessories Stores
Electronics & Appliance Stores
Food and Beverage Stores
Food Services & Drinking Places
Furniture/Home Furnishing Stores
Gasoline Stations
General Merchandise Stores
Health and Personal Care Stores
Miscellaneous Store Retailers
Motor Vehicle and Parts Dealers
Nonstore Retailers
Sports/Hobby/Book/Music Stores
Number of Alamance County Businesses by Sector
2016 Businesses in Alamance County by NAICS Codes
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Source: ESRI via NC Department of Commerce
54
126
43
98
362
54
80
66
75
178
120
11
51
Bldg/Garden Equip/Supply Stores
Clothing/Accessories Stores
Electronics & Appliance Stores
Food and Beverage Stores
Food Services & Drinking Places
Furniture/Home Furnishing Stores
Gasoline Stations
General Merchandise Stores
Health and Personal Care Stores
Miscellaneous Store Retailers
Motor Vehicle and Parts Dealers
Nonstore Retailers
Sports/Hobby/Book/Music Stores
Poverty
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Percent of People in Poverty
2000 2006 2011 2015
Orange County 10% 14% 17% 14%
Chatham County 9% 12% 11% 12%
Durham County 11% 16% 20% 17%
Wake County 7% 9% 12% 11%
North Carolina 12% 15% 18% 16%
United States 11% 13% 16% 15%
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Source: U.S. Census Bureau Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates (SAIPE)
Food and Nutrition Services Cases at 7-Year Low
Food and Nutrition Services (Formerly Food Stamps) Average Cases by Month, Orange County, 2007-2016
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
2,903 3,037
3,526
4,600
5,466
6,129
6,459
5,298
2,000
4,500
7,000
Apr-07
Aug-07
Dec-07
Apr-08
Aug-08
Dec-08
Apr-09
Aug-09
Dec-09
Apr-10
Aug-10
Dec-10
Apr-11
Aug-11
Dec-11
Apr-12
Aug-12
Dec-12
Apr-13
Aug-13
Dec-13
Apr-14
Aug-14
Dec-14
Apr-15
Aug-15
Dec-15
Apr-16
Aug-16
Dec-16
Source: Orange County Department of Health and Human Services
SNAP Households Decline, Orange County
Monthly Household Recipients Over Time
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
11,814
5,822
0
3,500
7,000
10,500
14,000
1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016
Average Monthly Recipients Average Monthly Household Recipients
Source: NC Department of Health and Human Services
Food Insecurity Rate by County (2015)
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
16.5%
14.3%
15.4%
11.5%
17.9%
13.5%
North Carolina Orange Alamance Chatham Durham Wake
Source: Feeding America
Food Insecure People by County (2015)
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
19,790
23,900
7,730
Orange Alamance Chatham
Source: Feeding America
Change in Food Insecure People, 2013-2015
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
(1,110)
(1,550)
(20)
1,330
Orange Alamance Chatham Durham
Source: Feeding America
Percent of Students Enrolled in Free and Reduced Lunch
2015-2016
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
54.3% 53.1%
62.2%
44.2%
29.8%
36.1%
Alamance Chatham Durham Orange: OCS Orange:
CHCCS
Wake
Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
Growth of Students Enrolled in Free and Reduced
Lunch from 2009-2010 to 2015-2016
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
3.8%
7.5%
-2.1%
8.7%
15.9%
19.4%
-3.2%
Alamance Chatham Durham Johnston Orange: OCS Orange:
CHCCS
Wake
Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
Percent of Children in Poverty
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Source: U.S. Census Bureau Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates (SAIPE)
0.0%
7.5%
15.0%
22.5%
30.0%
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Orange County Alamance County Chatham County Durham County North Carolina
Number of Children in Poverty
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Source: U.S. Census Bureau Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates (SAIPE)
3,711
4,822
2,897
2,5062,952
2,234
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
20152014201320122011201020092008
Orange County Chatham County
Health Data
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
2016 Health Indicators
Health Indicator
Orange
County
Chatham
County
Who is #1
Length of Life #1 #8 Orange
Quality of Life #5 #14 Currituck
Health Behaviors #4 #9 Polk
Clinical Care #1 #11 Orange
Social & Economic
Factors
#2 #9 Union
Physical Environment #8 #53 Hyde
Source: 2016 County Health Rankings - Robert Wood Johnson Foundation
Adult Smoking Rates
Compared to Adjacent and Peer Communities
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
19%
16%
19%
16% 16%
14% 13%
20%
14%
19%
16%
Source: Robert Wood Johnson Foundation
Adult Obesity
Compared to Adjacent and Peer Communities
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
30%
23%
35%
27%
29%
25%
13%
25% 24%
22%
24%
Source: Robert Wood Johnson Foundation
Disconnected Youth
Compared to Adjacent and Peer Communities
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
15%
4%
13%
16%
12%
9%
5%
6%
5%
4%
5%
Source: Robert Wood Johnson Foundation
Residential Segregation - Black/White
Compared to Adjacent and Peer Communities
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
50
26
42
35
40 43
53
34
49
42
57
Source: Robert Wood Johnson Foundation
14
7
12
8 8 8
15
9
16 16 17
Drug Overdose Deaths per 100,000
Compared to Adjacent and Peer Communities
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Source: Robert Wood Johnson Foundation
15%
17%
15% 15%
18% 18%
20%
18%
26%
20% 21%
Excessive Drinking
Compared to Adjacent and Peer Communities
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Source: Robert Wood Johnson Foundation
Access to Exercise Opportunities
Compared to Adjacent and Peer Communities
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
75%
85% 84%
64%
91% 91%
98%
85%
95%
88% 92%
Source: Robert Wood Johnson Foundation
Orange County Children in Poverty
Lowest Among NC Peers
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
23%
13%
26%
18%
26%
15%
11%
42%
10%
18%
13%
Source: Robert Wood Johnson Foundation
Orange County Children Faring Better
Source: NC Child
2011 2015
Low Birthweight 8.2% 7.0%
3 and 4 year-olds enrolled in school 57.6% 64.9%
Children living in poor or low income homes 33.0% 31.7%
Teen births age 15-17 (per 1000 girls) 9.2
Too small to
measure
Children in foster care (per 1000) 6.7 5.4
Uninsured Children 9% 4.9%
Children assessed for abuse or neglect (per 1000) 38.4 41.5
Health Care Costs
Compared to Adjacent and Peer Communities
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
$9,069
$7,183
$8,893
$7,874 $8,157
$8,671 $8,344 $8,694
$7,353 $7,795
$9,156
Source: Robert Wood Johnson Foundation
Leading Causes of Death in 2015
Chatham County, NC Orange County, NC
1. Cancer (21.4%) 1. Cancer (23.2%)
2. Heart Disease (19.1%) 2. Heart Disease (20.6%)
3. Cerebrovascular Disease (6.7%) 3. Cerebrovascular Disease (5.7%)
4. Alzheimer's Disease (5.2%) 4. Alzheimer's Disease (3.9%)
5. Chronic lower respiratory diseases (4.3%) 5. All Other Unintentional Injuries (3.7%)
6. Pneumonia and Influenza (3.3%) 6. Chronic lower respiratory diseases (2.9%)
7. All Other Unintentional Injuries (3.2%) 7. Diabetes mellitus (2.5%)
8. Diabetes mellitus (2.9%) 8. Chronic Liver Disease and Cirrhosis (1.8%)
9. Motor Vehicle Injuries (1.8%) 8. Septicemia (1.8%)
10. Nephritis, Nephrotic Syndrome & Nephrosis (1.7%) 10. Nephritis, Nephrotic Syndrome & Nephrosis (1.5%)
Source: NC Center for Health Statistics
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
All Cancers Rate per 100,000
2011-2015
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
467
487
442
452
451
464
410 420 430 440 450 460 470 480 490 500
North Carolina
Alamance
Chatham
Durham
Orange
Wake
Source: N.C. State Center for Health Statistics
All Cancers Rate per 100,000
2006-2010 vs. 2011-2015
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
498
523
495
490
483 486
467
487
442
452 451
464
400
420
440
460
480
500
520
540
North Carolina Alamance Chatham Durham Orange Wake
2006-2010 2011-2015
Source: N.C. State Center for Health Statistics
37
35
33
32
33
32
North Carolina
Alamance
Chatham
Durham
Orange
Wake
Colon/Rectum Cancer Rate per 100,000
2011-2015
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Source: N.C. State Center for Health Statistics
Colon/Rectum Cancer Rate per 100,000
2006-2010 vs. 2011-2015
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Source: N.C. State Center for Health Statistics
43
41 41
39
35
3837
35
33 32 33 32
North Carolina Alamance Chatham Durham Orange Wake
2006-2010 2011-2015
Prostate Cancer Rate per 100,000
2011-2015
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
116
116
101
109
96
122
North Carolina
Alamance
Chatham
Durham
Orange
Wake
Source: N.C. State Center for Health Statistics
Prostate Cancer Rate per 100,000
2006-2010 vs. 2011-2015
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
154
169
142
167
142
179
116 116
101
109
96
122
North Carolina Alamance Chatham Durham Orange Wake
2006-2010 2011-2015
Source: N.C. State Center for Health Statistics
Lung/Bronchus Cancer Rate per 100,000
2011-2015
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
67
68
50
56
55
54
North Carolina
Alamance
Chatham
Durham
Orange
Wake
Source: N.C. State Center for Health Statistics
Lung/Bronchus Cancer Rate per 100,000
2006-2010 vs. 2011-2015
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
75 77
63
69
61 60
67 68
50
56 55 54
North Carolina Alamance Chatham Durham Orange Wake
2006-2010 2011-2015
Source: N.C. State Center for Health Statistics
Female Breast Cancer Rate per 100,000
2011-2015
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
157
172
163
180
180
170
145 150 155 160 165 170 175 180 185
North Carolina
Alamance
Chatham
Durham
Orange
Wake
Source: N.C. State Center for Health Statistics
Female Breast Cancer Rate per 100,000
2006-2010 vs. 2011-2015
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
156 160
169
162
172
164
157
172
163
180 180
170
North Carolina Alamance Chatham Durham Orange Wake
2006-2010 2011-2015
Source: N.C. State Center for Health Statistics
Orange County Rape Crisis Center Clients
Served
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
479
375
617
548
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
Source: Orange County Rape Crisis Center
Orange County Teen Pregnancy Rates Decrease
Per 1000 Girls, Age 15-17
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
26 cases
9 cases
0.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
25.0
30.0
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Source: NC Health and Human Services
Orange County Infant Mortality Rate
Per 1,000 live births
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
12.0
5
8.8
7.3
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Orange County State
Source: NC Health and Human Services
Asthma in Hospital Discharges per 100,000
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
48
50.9 50
72.7
57.3
50.3
55.2
62.8
55.2
51.5
45.6 47.7
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Source: North Carolina Hospital Discharge Data
Asthma in Hospital Discharges per 100,000
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
135.7
115.1
0
40
80
120
160
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
All Ages Ages (0-14)
Source: North Carolina Hospital Discharge Data
% of NC Adults Who Answered Yes to:
“Has a doctor, nurse or other health professional ever told you that you had asthma?
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Source: 2015 Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System (BRFSS)
NC 2014 Emergency Department Visit with Primary
Diagnosis of Asthma by County
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Source: North Carolina Hospital Discharge Data
NC 2014 Emergency Department Visits with the
Primary Diagnosis of Asthma, Ages 0 -14, By County
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Source: North Carolina Hospital Discharge Data
Violent Crime per 100,000
Compared to Adjacent and Peer Communities
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
342
150
396
174
613
245
210
372
231
277 299
Source: Robert Wood Johnson Foundation
Violent Crime Rate Per 100,000
By County
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
0
300
600
900
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Alamance Chatham Durham Orange Wake
Source: North Carolina Department of Public Safety -> View Crime Statistics -> Annual Summary Report (most recent year)
Property Crime Rate Per 100,000
By County
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Source: North Carolina Department of Public Safety -> View Crime Statistics -> Annual Summary Report (most recent year)
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Durham Alamance Orange Wake Chatham
UNC
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
NC Legislative Appropriations to UNC Chapel Hill
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
$543,291,852
$493,923,004
$0
$100,000,000
$200,000,000
$300,000,000
$400,000,000
$500,000,000
$600,000,000
1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016
Source: OIRA
UNC Chapel Hill Revenues Rise, State Appropriations Flat
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
$2,859,984,099
$493,923,004
$0
$500,000,000
$1,000,000,000
$1,500,000,000
$2,000,000,000
$2,500,000,000
$3,000,000,000
$3,500,000,000
1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016
Total
Revenues
State
Appropriations
Source: OIRA
Value of UNC Chapel Hill Endowment
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
$2.66
billion
$0
$500,000,000
$1,000,000,000
$1,500,000,000
$2,000,000,000
$2,500,000,000
$3,000,000,000
$3,500,000,000
1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016
Source: OIRA
UNC Chapel Hill Campus Grows Past 19,500 sqft
Gross Square Feet of UNC Chapel Hill Campus
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
7,847
9,639
12,312
18,394
19,536
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016
Source: OIRA
UNC Chapel Hill Student Population Exceeds 29,135
Number of Students Enrolled at UNC, 1980-2016
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
21,465
23,852
24,872
29,135
16,000
20,000
24,000
28,000
32,000
1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016
More than 12,000 Work for UNC Chapel Hill
UNC Employees by State Classification, 1980-2016
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
0
3,500
7,000
10,500
14,000
SPA
Employees
EPA
Faculty/
Non-Faculty
Source: OIRA
UNC = Innovation
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
UNC Annual Research Funding passes $847 million
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
$275
$847
$0
$100
$200
$300
$400
$500
$600
$700
$800
$900
1995 1998 2001 2004 2007 2010 2013 2016
Millions
Source: UNC Office of Institutional Research
UNC Start-up Companies by Year
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
5
11
3 3 3
1
6
1
7
1
5
7
9
14
10
9
8
FY00 FY01 FY02 FY03 FY04 FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16
Source: UNC Office of Institutional Research
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
103UNC start-up companies since 2000
Source: UNC Office of Institutional Research
A partnership between the town, county and
university to accelerate the development
of high potential, high impact ventures in
Chapel Hill and Orange County.
64 companies served since 2012
13 in 2016
1,000 jobs created by graduates
25% in Orange County
$20M in funding raised by graduates
$7.3M annual sales revenues of graduates
Durham Tech
Capacity Growing at Durham Tech Orange County Campus
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
3,207
3,466 3,374 3,373 3,412
2,552
2,731
2,420 2,360 2,368
2012-2013 2013-2014 2014-2015 2015-2016 2016-2017
Total Seats Offered Total Seats Filled
Source: Durham Tech
# of Sections Offered and Unduplicated Enrollment
Durham Tech Orange County Campus
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
150 153 138 140 141
1,131 1,155
1,089 1,113 1,066
2012-2013 2013-2104 2014-2015 2015-2016 2016-2017
Total Sections Unduplicated Headcount
Source: Durham Tech
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
46%
of CHCCS or OCS graduates
received financial aid from
Durham Tech (2012-2017)
Source: Durham Tech
Durham Tech Students Score High on License Tests
Durham Tech Licensure Pass Rates and Transfer Performance 2016
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
86.3%
100%
75%
100% 100%
89%
Transfer
Performance
(AY14-15)
Practical Nursing Registered
Nursing
EMT EMT-P Esthetician
Source: Durham Tech
Public Schools
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Total Per Pupil Expenditure (2015-2016)
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
$11,355
$10,742
$9,963
$10,056
$9,342
$8,245
$7,996
Chapel-Hill/Carrboro City Schools
Asheville City Schools
Orange County Schools
Durham County Schools
Chatham County Schools
Wake County Schools
Alamance-Burlington Schools
Local Per Pupil Expenditure (2015-2016)
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
$5,748
$4,429
$3,921
$3,542
$3,112
$2,430
$1,719
Chapel-Hill/Carrboro City Schools
Asheville City Schools
Orange County Schools
Durham County Schools
Chatham County Schools
Wake County Schools
Alamance-Burlington Schools
Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
Chapel Hill-Carrboro City Schools Per Pupil Expenditure
Trends in CHCCS Per Pupil Expenditure (PPE) by Source, 2004-2016
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
$3,972
$3,907
$3,965
$4,301
$4,659
$4,983
$4,767
$4,617
$4,916
$5,197
$5,375
$5,475
$5,748
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2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
StatePPE FederalPPE LocalPPE Total PPE
Average SAT Writing Score 2016
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
475
445
475
446
576
496
504
300 350 400 450 500 550 600
North Carolina (All Students)
Alamance-Burlington Schools
Chatham County Schools
Durham Public Schools
Chapel Hill-Carrboro City Schools
Orange County Schools
Wake County Schools
010190320681680920
Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
Average SAT CR1 Score 2016
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
502
473
499
474
598
522
526
350 400 450 500 550 600 650
North Carolina (All Students)
Alamance-Burlington Schools
Chatham County Schools
Durham Public Schools
Chapel Hill-Carrboro City Schools
Orange County Schools
Wake County Schools
010190320681680920
Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
Average SAT Combined Math, Writing & CR1 Scores
2016
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
1485
1406
1476
1387
1781
1539
1570
800 1000 1200 1400 1600 1800 2000
North Carolina (All Students)
Alamance-Burlington Schools
Chatham County Schools
Durham Public Schools
Chapel Hill-Carrboro City Schools
Orange County Schools
Wake County Schools
010190320681680920
Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
EOG Science Grade 3, 2015-16
College and Career Ready (Level 4 or 5) and Proficient (Level 3+)
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
74
64
77
89
65
54
70
85
State of North
Carolina
Chatham County
Schools
Orange County
Schools
Chapel Hill-
Carrboro Schools
Grade Level Proficient College/Career Ready
Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
EOG Math Grade 3, 2015-16
College and Career Ready (Level 4 or 5) and Proficient (Level 3+)
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
65 66
71
78
52 53 55
71
State of North
Carolina
Chatham County
Schools
Orange County
Schools
Chapel Hill-
Carrboro Schools
Grade Level Proficient College/Career Ready
Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
EOG Reading Grade 3, 2015-16
College and Career Ready (Level 4 or 5) and Proficient (Level 3+)
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
58 56 58
76
48 46 48
68
State of North
Carolina
Chatham County
Schools
Orange County
Schools
Chapel Hill-
Carrboro Schools
Grade Level Proficient College/Career Ready
Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
EOG Math Grade 8, 2015-16
College and Career Ready (Level 4 or 5) and Proficient (Level 3+)
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
45 46
53
71
39 40
46
67
State of North
Carolina
Chatham County
Schools
Orange County
Schools
Chapel Hill-
Carrboro Schools
Grade Level Proficient College/Career Ready
Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
EOG Reading Grade 8, 2015-16
College and Career Ready (Level 4 or 5) and Proficient (Level 3+)
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
53 55 57
71
42 41 44
63
State of North
Carolina
Chatham County
Schools
Orange County
Schools
Chapel Hill-
Carrboro Schools
Grade Level Proficient College/Career Ready
Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
Local School Dropout Rate Declines
2000 through 2016
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
5.20%
Orange County
Schools
2.21%
1.92%
Chapel Hill-Carrboro City
Schools
0.84%
5.71%
North Carolina
2.29%
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
7%
Source: NC DPI
Share of 9th Graders Graduated in 4 Years by 9th Grade Entry Year, 2002-03 to 2012-13 9th Graders
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
90.2%
90.1%
89.3%
67%
87%
50%
75%
100%
2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13
Year began 9th grade
CHCCS
Orange County
Chatham
NC
Rising Graduation Rates in Neighboring Districts, NC
Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
Rising Graduation Rates in Neighboring Districts, NC
Share of 9th Graders Graduated in 4 Years by 9th Grade Entry Year, 2002-03 to 2012-13 9th Graders
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Durham
Wake
Alamance-
Burlington
50%
75%
100%
2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13
Year began 9th grade
CHCCS
Orange County
Chatham
NC
Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
Graduation Rates Increasing
Percent Change in District Graduation Rates between 2006 and 2016
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
21%
0%
29%
20%
34%
5%
26%
Alamance-
Burlington
Chapel Hill-
Carrboro
Chatham Durham Orange Wake NC
Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
Black Student Graduation Rate Improvement
Percent Change in District Graduation Rates between 2006 and 2016
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
38%
11% 11%
28%
63%
16%
37%
Alamance-
Burlington
Chapel Hill-
Carrboro
Chatham Durham Orange Wake NC
Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
Hispanic Student Graduation Rate Improvement
Percent Change in District Graduation Rates between 2006 and 2016
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
70%
26%
109%
93%
131%
28%
53%
Alamance-
Burlington
Chapel Hill-
Carrboro
Chatham Durham Orange Wake NC
Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
Economically Disadvantaged Student Graduation Rate
Improvement
Percent Change in District Graduation Rates between 2006 and 2016
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
63%
41%
62%
52%
132%
27%
45%
Alamance-
Burlington
Chapel Hill-
Carrboro
Chatham Durham Orange Wake NC
Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
Students with Disabilities Graduation Rate Improvement
Percent Change in District Graduation Rates between 2006 and 2016
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
31%
-19%
21%
0%
64%
13%
38%
Alamance-
Burlington
Chapel Hill-
Carrboro
Chatham Durham Orange Wake NC
Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
CHCCS EOG Reading Grade 3 Proficient
2015-2016 Grade 3 Proficient (Level 3+)
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
80
47
39
92
AsianBlackHispanicWhite
Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
Orange County Schools EOG Reading Grade 3 Proficient
2015-16 Grade 3 Proficient (Level 3+)
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
44
34
71
BlackHispanicWhite
Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
Chatham County Schools EOG Reading Grade 3
Proficient
Grade 3 Proficient (Level 3+)
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
3936
72
BlackHispanicWhite
Grade 5 and 8 Science EOG "College and Career Ready"
2015-16 Science EOG Grade 5 and 8 (Level 4 and 5)
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
44
31
38
47
75 71 76
92
State of North
Carolina
Chatham County
Schools
Orange County
Schools
Chapel Hill-
Carrboro Schools
Black White
Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
Grades 3-8 Math EOG “College and Career Ready”
2015-16 Math EOG Grades 3-8 (Levels 4 and 5)
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
47 48
54
68
State of North
Carolina
Chatham County
Schools
Orange County
Schools
Chapel Hill-
Carrboro Schools
Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
Grades 3-8 Math EOG “College and Career Ready”
2015-16 EOG Math Grades 3-8 (Level 4 and 5)
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
47 48
54
68
32 30
35
28
State of North
Carolina
Chatham County
Schools
Orange County
Schools
Chapel Hill-Carrboro
Schools
All Students EDS
Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
Grades 3-8 Math EOG “College and Career Ready”
2015-16 EOG Math Grade 3-8 (Level 4 and 5)
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
27
21
28 25
59 62 65
82
State of North
Carolina
Chatham County
Schools
Orange County
Schools
Chapel Hill-
Carrboro Schools
Black White
Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
More OCS 8th Graders “College and Career Ready”
8th Grade Science EOG Test Achieving Level 4 or 5
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
42
46
41
26
44
52 49
26
Black Hispanic EDS SWD
13-14 Orange County Schools 15-16 Orange County Schools
CHCCS 3rd Grade Reading Proficiency Inconsistent
Percent of Students Proficient (Level3, 4 or 5) on Reading Grade 3 End of Grade Test
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
79
34
44
92
36
30
80
47
39
92
40
29
Asian Black Hispanic White EDS SWD
13-14 Chapel Hill-Carrboro Schools 15-16 Chapel Hill-Carrboro Schools
Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
Land & Water
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Totally Protected Lands
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
1,229
4,088
7,784
10,804
12,722 14,473
3,151
5,230
8,613
9,609
10,185
10,174
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
Pre-1981 1981-90 1991-2000 2001-04 2005-08 2009-13
Totally Protected Lands Partially Protected Lands
Source: Orange County State of the Environment Report
Water Sales and Accounts
6.03
21,385
10,000
12,000
14,000
16,000
18,000
20,000
22,000
4.0
5.0
6.0
7.0
8.0
9.0
CustomerAccounts
WaterSales(MillionGallonsPer
DayAverage)
Actual Water Sales Customer Accounts
Reclaimed Water to UNC
begins 2009
Source: OWASA
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Monthly Water & Sewer Bills
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
16%
18%
$0
$25
$50
$75
$100
RateIncrease
AverageMonthlyBillBasedon
4,000gallonspermonth
Average Bill Amount (actual) Average Bill Amount (projected)
Rate Increases (actual) Rate Increases (projected)
Source: OWASA
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Thank you
#CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
Thank you to our Major Investors
Platinum Sponsors
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2017 State of the Community Report

  • 1. 2017 State of the Community Data Book
  • 6. Thank you to our Session Sponsors!
  • 7. A special thanks to Carolina Demography and the Carolina Population Center
  • 8. Thank you to our Major Investors Community Champions
  • 9. Thank you to our Major Investors Community Investors
  • 10. Thank you to our Major Investors Platinum Sponsors
  • 11. Thank you to our Major Investors Gold Sponsors
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  • 19. Special Thanks To… • Town of Chapel Hill • Carolina Population Center • Carolina Demography • Chapel Hill-Orange County Visitors Bureau • Orange Water & Sewer Authority (OWASA) • Mark Zimmerman, Re/Max Winning Edge • University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill • Durham Tech • GoTriangle • Chapel Hill Transit
  • 21. #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
  • 22. Orange County Land Distribution #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT Chapel Hill 5% Carrboro 2% Hillsborough 1% Rest of Orange 94% Source 2011-15 ACS
  • 23. Location of Orange County Housing Units #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT Chapel Hill 20,624 37% Carrboro 9,225 16% Hillsborough 2,455 4% Rest of Orange 23,993 43% Source 2011-15 ACS
  • 24. Orange County Total Value Per Acre #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT Source: Urban3
  • 25. Southern Orange County Planning Jurisdictions Town of Chapel Hill #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
  • 26. Assessed Value Per Acre #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT Urban3Source: Urban3
  • 28. Population Growth 2016 Jurisdiction 2010 2016 Pop Growth Growth Rate Orange County 133,801 141,796 +7,995 6.0% (0.9% PY) Hillsborough 6,087 6,568 +481 7.9% (1.2% PY) Carrboro 19,582 21,265 +1,683 8.6% (1.3% PY) Chapel Hill 57,233 59,246 +2,013 3.5% (0.6% PY) North Carolina 9,535,483 10,146,788 +611,305 6.4% (1.0% PY) Source U.S. Census Bureau #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
  • 29. Orange County Population Growth Slowest Since 1960sNumeric Growth By Decade, 1930-2010 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 1,901 11,363 8,535 14,737 19,348 16,796 24,376 15,574 1930s 1940s 1950s 1960s 1970s 1980s 1990s 2000s Source U.S. Census Bureau
  • 30. #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 9.0% 49.3% 24.8% 34.3% 33.5% 21.8% 26.0% 13.2% 1930s 1940s 1950s 1960s 1970s 1980s 1990s 2000s Source U.S. Census Bureau Orange County Population Percentage Growth Slowest Since 1930s Percent Population Increase By Decade, 1930-2010
  • 31. Chatham County added 14,176 in the 2000s Numeric Growth By Decade, 1930-2010 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT Source: U.S. Census Bureau 549 666 1,393 2,769 3,861 5,344 10,570 14,176 1930s 1940s 1950s 1960s 1970s 1980s 1990s 2000s
  • 32. Source U.S. Census Bureau 2.3% 2.7% 5.5% 10.3% 13.1% 16.0% 27.3% 28.7% 1930s 1940s 1950s 1960s 1970s 1980s 1990s 2000s 2000s Fastest Growth Decade for Chatham County Percent Population Increase By Decade, 1930-2010 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
  • 33. Population Gains Since 2010 Smallest in Orange Numeric Population Growth, April 1, 2010 to July 1, 2016 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 8,169 8,544 8,739 36,157 145,754 Orange County Alamance County Chatham County Durham County Wake County Source U.S. Census Bureau
  • 34. Orange, Alamance Grew Slower than State Average Population Growth Rate, April 1, 2010 to July 1, 2016 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 5.7% 6.1% 6.4% 13.4% 13.8% 16.2% Alamance County Orange County North Carolina Durham County Chatham County Wake County Source U.S. Census Bureau
  • 35. International Migration, Births, Drove County Pop Growth Components of Orange County’s estimated 1,100 person growth, July 1, 2015 – July 1, 2016 1,100 1,205 -777 -69 808 Total Population Change Births Deaths Domestic Migration International Migration Note: Not shown is the estimated loss of -67 individuals that cannot be attributed to births, deaths or migration (residual). #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT Source U.S. Census Bureau
  • 36. Orange 2015-16 Net Migration Rate Lower than Neighbors Rate of net migration & natural increase (births-deaths) per 1,000 residents, July 1, 2015 to July 1, 2016 0.9 -1.4 7.8 3.0 7.2 10.4 19.9 10.5 5.2 16.5 Alamance Chatham Durham Orange Wake Natural Increase Rate Net Migration Rate Source U.S. Census Bureau #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
  • 37. Share 65+ increased statewide, locally Population proportion 65+, April 1, 2010 vs July 1, 2016 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 18% 15% 13% 10% 10% 8% 25% 17% 15% 12% 12% 11% Chatham Alamance North Carolina Orange Durham Wake 2010 2016 Source U.S. Census Bureau
  • 38. Increases in 65+ drove majority of NC, county growth Share of 2010-16 population growth due to 65+ growth #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 72% 56% 55% 52% 28% 24% Chatham Orange North Carolina Alamance Durham Wake Source U.S. Census Bureau
  • 39. Orange County Population by Race Changes By Decade #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT Source: US Census Bureau 80% 78% 71% 69% 20% 22% 29% 31% 1990 2000 2010 2016 White African American Latino/Hispanic Asian Two or More RacesOther Racial/Ethnic Groups
  • 40. Orange County Population by Race Changes By Decade #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT Source: US Census Bureau; Orange County Planning 80% 78% 71% 69% 16% 14% 12% 12% 1% 5% 8% 8% 3% 4% 7% 8% 3% 3% 1990 2000 2010 2016 Two or More Races Asian Latino/Hispanic African American White
  • 41. Orange Minority Population by Race #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Orange County Planning 14,847 16,625 1,279 11,870 2,352 11,460 - 3,171 0 10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 1990 2000 2010 2016 Black Hispanic (any Race) Asian or Pacific Islander Multiracial
  • 42. Chatham Minority Population by Race #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 8,794 8,775 564 8,626 1,347 - 1,047 0 4,000 8,000 12,000 16,000 20,000 1990 2000 2010 2016 Black Hispanic (any Race) Asian or Pacific Islander Multiracial Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Orange County Planning
  • 43. Chapel Hill Minority Population by Race #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 4,840 5,460 607 3,638 1,678 6,786 - 1,282 0 3,000 6,000 9,000 12,000 15,000 18,000 1990 2000 2010 Black Hispanic (any Race) Asian or Pacific Islander Multiracial Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Orange County Planning
  • 44. Carrboro Minority Population by Race #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 1,916 1,933 199 2,706 427 1,592 - 430 0 1,750 3,500 5,250 7,000 1990 2000 2010 Black Hispanic (any Race) Asian or Pacific Islander Multiracial Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Orange County Planning
  • 45. How many people in 2050? Orange County 3 Population Projection Models #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT Source: Carolina Demography, Orange County Planning 271,957 214,200 133,801 186,408 0 75,000 150,000 225,000 300,000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 NumberofPeople Exponential (90-10) Linear (90-10) Linear (10-16)
  • 46. How many people in 2050? Chapel Hill 3 Population Projection Models #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT Source: Carolina Demography, Orange County Planning 125,104 94,509 57,233 70,190 0 75,000 150,000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 NumberofPeople Exponential (90-10) Linear (90-10) Linear (10-16)
  • 47. How many people in 2050? Carrboro 3 Population Projection Models #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT Source: Carolina Demography, Orange County Planning 51,073 36,012 19,582 30,381 0 20,000 40,000 60,000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 NumberofPeople Exponential (90-10) Linear (80-10) Linear (10-16)
  • 48. How many people in 2050? Hillsborough 3 Population Projection Models #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT Source: Carolina Demography, Orange County Planning 12,421 10,204 6,087 8,832 0 7,000 14,000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 NumberofPeople Exponential (90-10) Linear (80-10) Linear (10-16)
  • 49. How many people in 2050? Chatham County 3 Population Projection Models #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT Source: Carolina Demography, Orange County Planning 170,482 113,306 63,505 119,783 0 75,000 150,000 225,000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 NumberofPeople Exponential (90-10) Linear (90-10) Linear (10-16)
  • 50. Carrboro Remains One of the Most Densely Populated Communities in NC People per square mile by census and projections #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Orange County Planning 2,970 3,437 3,754 3,108 3,586 4,158 1980 Census 1990 Census 2000 Census 2010 Census 2020 Projected 2030 Projected
  • 51. Chapel Hill Population Density Increases People per square mile by census and projections #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Orange County Planning 2,590 2,353 2,548 2,785 3,140 3,560 1980 Census 1990 Census 2000 Census 2010 Census 2020 Projected 2030 Projected
  • 52. Chapel Hill in 2030 is Less Dense than Most College Towns Today People Per Square Mile #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Orange County Planning 4,246 4,116 4,094 3,948 3,472 3,108 3,037 2,785 3,560 Charlottesville (VA) Burlington (VT) Ann Arbor (MI) Boulder (CO) Bloomington (IN) Carrboro (NC) Madison (WI) Chapel Hill (NC) Chapel Hill 2030
  • 54. Homes Sold in 2016 Exceeded Pre-Recession SalesNumber of single and multifamily home sales in Orange County, 2007-16 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 1,751 1,275 1,143 1,143 1,128 1,277 1,630 1,433 1,650 1,815 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Source: Triangle MLS
  • 55. Chatham Home Sales Rebounded in 2012 Number of single and multifamily home sales, 2007-2016 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 1,751 1,815 1,008 1,037 1,412 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 HomeSales Orange Chatham Source: Triangle MLS
  • 56. New construction activity concentrated in Wake Number of single and multi-family homes built and sold, 2010-2016 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 1,152 2,043 4,520 23,744 Orange Chatham Durham Wake Source: Triangle MLS
  • 57. Chatham had largest growth of housing stock since 2010 New construction (2010-2016) as share of 2010 housing stock #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 2.1% 3.8% 6.4% 7.1% Orange Durham Wake Chatham Source: Triangle MLS
  • 58. Chatham New Construction Sales Outpace Orange Number of single and multi-family homes built and sold, 2007-2016 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 253 202 313 429 0 100 200 300 400 500 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Orange Chatham Orange Chatham Source: Triangle MLS
  • 59. #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 1984median year house built in Orange County Source: U.S. Census Bureau
  • 60. #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 2004median year Orange County homeowner moved into unit Source: U.S. Census Bureau vs. 2013 for renters
  • 61. Orange Median Home Prices Rise 3.5% in 2016 and 13.2% since 2012 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT $260,000 $255,000 $258,000 $275,000 $262,250 $265,000 $274,450 $267,000 $290,000 $300,000 $200,000 $240,000 $280,000 $320,000 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Source: Triangle MLS
  • 62. Chatham Median Home Prices Rise 5.1% in 2016 and 26.8% since 2012 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT $282,500 $270,000 $250,703 $263,930 $274,990 $277,700 $303,350 $317,373 $335,000 $352,140 $200,000 $240,000 $280,000 $320,000 $360,000 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Source: Triangle MLS
  • 63. Steady growth in regional home prices Median residential closing price, 2007-2016 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT $277,700 $352,140 $265,000 $300,000 $200,000 $240,000 $280,000 $320,000 $360,000 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Orange Chatham Chatham Orange Source: Triangle MLS
  • 64. Price in Chatham Exceeds All Others 2016 Median Residential Closing Price #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT $211,000 $264,900 $352,140 $300,000 $347,000 Durham Wake Chatham Orange CHCCS Dist Source: Triangle MLS
  • 65. Price Per Square Foot Median Price Per Square Foot, 2016 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT $114 $124 $142 $146 $160 Durham Wake Chatham Orange CHCCS Dist Source: Triangle MLS
  • 66. Home prices have risen across the region Change in median residential sales price, 2012 vs 2016 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 25.7% 29.8% 31.4% 13.2% Durham Wake Chatham Orange Source: Triangle MLS
  • 67. #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 68%of Orange 2016 home sales were in CHCCS District
  • 68. 40% of Homes in CHCCS District and 50% of All Orange County Homes Sold for <$300K 2016 Orange County home sales by price #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 27% 20% 43% 23% 20% 29% 17% 24% 2% 22% 24% 19% 11% 13% 8% Orange County (All) (1,829 Sales) CHCCS District (1,245 Sales) Not CHCCS (584 Sales) <$200,000 $200,000-$299,999 $300,000-$399,999 $400,000-$600,000 $600,000 or More Source: Triangle MLS
  • 69. 2016 City and Town Property Tax Rates .3500 .3900 .4183 .5240 .5607 .5894 .6720 0.00 0.25 0.50 0.75 Huntersville Cary Apex Raleigh Asheville Charlotte Concord Wilmington Fayetteville Greenville Chapel Hill Gastonia Wilson Durham Hickory Burlington Winston-Salem Monroe Carrboro Rocky Mount Kannapolis Greensboro Jacksonville High Point Goldsboro Salisbury Source: NC Department of Revenue
  • 70. 2016 All Jurisdictions Property Tax Rates .9505 .9905 1.0188 1.3011 1.4020 1.4674 0.00 0.50 1.00 1.50 Cary Apex Raleigh Asheville Wilmington Huntersville Hickory Burlington Concord Greenville Fayetteville Rocky Mount Wilson Charlotte Durham Goldsboro Winston-Salem Jacksonville Kannapolis Salisbury Monroe Greensboro Chapel Hill High Point Carrboro Source: NC Department of Revenue
  • 71. 2016 Tax Rates Assessed on Median Home Value $1,211 $2,271 $2,481 $3,158 $3,226 $3,669 $5,060 $500 $1,250 $2,000 $2,750 $3,500 $4,250 $5,000 Rocky Mount Burlington Fayetteville Hickory Goldsboro High Point Wilson Winston-Salem Jacksonville Kannapolis Gastonia Greensboro Greenville Salisbury Concord Monroe Wilmington Raleigh Charlotte Durham Asheville Huntersville Apex Cary Carrboro Chapel Hill Source: NC Department of Revenue, Zillow (ZHVI, 7/31/2017)
  • 72. However …. #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
  • 73. Most people are renting #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 40 60 53 40 23 39 64 52 43 21 Orange County Carrboro Chapel Hill Hillsborough Chatham County 2011-15 ACS 2006-2010 ACS Source: U.S. Census Bureau
  • 74. 2016 UNC Student Enrollment by Housing Type #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT Resident Student Housing 8,033 27% Married Student Housing 465 2% Off-Campus 18,927 64% Fraternity & Sorority 841 3% Other University Affiliated Housing (Granville Towers) 1,203 4% Source: UNC Fact Book, OIRA
  • 75. What people are paying for rent Orange County Gross Rent Paid in 2015 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 3.7% 51.3% 31.4% 13.7% Less than $500 $500 to $999 $1,000 to $1,499 $1500 or more
  • 76. #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 45%of county renters spent $1,000 or more on rent in 2015 Source: U.S. Census Bureau
  • 77. Households Paying More Than 30% of Gross Income on Rent Declines Gross Rent as a Percentage of Household Income #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 20.2% 23.9% 55.9% 24.3% 25.3% 50.4% < 19.9 percent 20 to 29.9 percent > 30 percent 2011-15 2006-10 Source: U.S. Census Bureau
  • 78. Households Paying More Than 30% of Gross Income on Rent Declines Percent Change 2006-2010 to 2011-2015 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 20.3% 5.9% -9.8% < 19.9 percent 20 to 29.9 percent > 30 percent Source: U.S. Census Bureau
  • 79. 2017 Fair Market Rent #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT North Carolina Durham- Chapel Hill HMFA Alamance County Raleigh MSA Zero Bedroom $629 $710 $652 $695 One Bedroom $683 $834 $668 $861 Two Bedroom $821 $978 $838 $993 Three Bedroom $1,108 $1,332 $1,143 $1,294 Four Bedroom $1,336 $1,481 $1,238 $1,592 Source: National Low Income Housing Coalition
  • 80. Local Housing Wage is $16.04 for a 1 Bedroom Apt Housing Wage = Hourly Wages Needed to Afford Fair Market Rate Rent, 2017 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT North Carolina Durham- Chapel Hill HMFA Alamance County Raleigh MSA Zero Bedroom $12.09 $13.65 $12.54 $13.37 One Bedroom $13.13 $16.04 $12.85 $16.56 Two Bedroom $15.79 $18.81 $16.12 $19.10 Three Bedroom $21.30 $25.62 $21.98 $24.88 Four Bedroom $25.69 $28.48 $23.81 $30.62 Source: National Low Income Housing Coalition
  • 81. $39,120 Needed for 2 Bedroom Fair Market Rent Annual Salary Needed to Afford Fair Market Rate Rent, 2017 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT North Carolina Durham- Chapel Hill HMFA Alamance County Raleigh MSA Zero Bedroom $25,147 $28,400 $26,080 $27,800 One Bedroom $27,319 $33,360 $26,720 $34,440 Two Bedroom $32,843 $39,120 $33,520 $39,720 Three Bedroom $44,305 $53,280 $45,720 $51,760 Four Bedroom $53,437 $59,240 $49,520 $63,680 Source: National Low Income Housing Coalition
  • 82. 104 Hours of Work Needed for Minimum Wage Worker to Afford Local 2 Bedroom Rental Weekly Hours of Minimum Wage Work Needed to Afford Fair Market Rate Rent, 2017 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT North Carolina Durham- Chapel Hill HMFA Alamance County Raleigh MSA Zero Bedroom 67 75 69 74 One Bedroom 72 88 71 91 Two Bedroom 87 104 89 105 Three Bedroom 118 141 121 137 Four Bedroom 142 157 131 169 Source: National Low Income Housing Coalition
  • 83. ELI = Extremely Low Income 30% or Less of Area Median Income #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
  • 84. Affordable Units Per 100 ELI Household Extremely Low Income (ELI) Households earn 0-30% Area Median Income #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 26 39 40 36 49 28 34 68 27 62 Orange Durham Chatham Wake Alamance 2005-09 2010-14 Source: Urban Institute
  • 85. Orange County Gap between ELI Households and Available Units Decreased by More than 1,000 Units Gap between ELI households (<30% area median income) and available units #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 5,891 7,504 5,821 2,251 1,927 1,616 2000 2005-2009 2010-2014 Units ELI householdsSource: Urban Institute
  • 86. Chatham County Gap between ELI Households and Available Units Decreases by Nearly 50% Gap between ELI households (<30% area median income) and available units #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 764 1,443 1,773 453 576 1,197 2000 2005-2009 2010-2014 Units ELI householdsSource: Urban Institute
  • 87. Orange Chronically Homeless at Lowest Recorded Level Number of Chronically Homeless Individuals (annual point-in-time count), 2011-2017 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 50 29 28 23 25 15 14 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Source: Orange County Partnership to End Homelessness
  • 88. 18 Homeless Children in Families in Orange Number of Homeless Children in Families (annual point-in-time count), 2011-2017 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 17 15 16 17 19 6 18 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Source: Orange County Partnership to End Homelessness
  • 91. Chapel Hill Second Highest % with BA+ Percent of Residents 25+ with Bachelors degree or higher (2011-15) #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT Cambridge (MA), 75.1 Chapel Hill (NC), 74 Carrboro (NC), 68 Orange County (NC), 56.6 Chatham County (NC), 36.8 0 20 40 60 80 Cambridge (MA) Chapel Hill (NC) Boulder (CO) Ann Arbor (MI) Berkeley (CA) Amherst (MA) Carrboro (NC) Evanston (IL) Sunnyvale (CA) Corvallis (OR) Bloomington (IN) Orange County (NC) Santa Clara (CA) Fort Collins (CO) Burlington (VT) Charlottesville (VA) Tallahassee (FL) Austin (TX) Boston (MA) Gainesville (FL) Athens-Clarke County (GA) San Jose (CA) Chatham County (NC) Columbus (OH) Source: U.S. Census Bureau
  • 92. Orange Per Capita Income Growth Outpaces All Others Inflation Adjusted Per Capita Income, 1969-2015 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT $55,338 $0 $10,000 $20,000 $30,000 $40,000 $50,000 $60,000 1969 1974 1979 1984 1989 1994 1999 2004 2009 2014 Alamance Chatham Durham Wake Orange Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis
  • 93. Orange Highest Per Capita Income in State #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT Orange, NC $55,338 Chatham, NC $51,839 North Carolina $40,759 Robeson, NC $27,487 $0 $10,000 $20,000 $30,000 $40,000 $50,000 $60,000 Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis
  • 94. Per Capita Personal Income By County, 2015 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT $55,338 $52,129 $51,839 $51,776 $48,602 $44,507 $44,442 $44,199 $43,952 $43,859 Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis
  • 95. 2016 ACCRA Cost of Living Housing Index #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT Chapel Hill/Orange County 102.4 Burlington 71.5 Charlotte 85.1 Durham 72.1 Raleigh 69.3 Winston-Salem 68.260 80 100 120 Source: ACCRA Cost of living Index, select annual averages
  • 96. 2016 ACCRA Cost of Living Grocery Index #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT Chapel Hill/Orange County 92.0 Burlington 97.6 Charlotte 94.0 Durham 96.9 Raleigh 113.4 Winston-Salem 98.9 85 100 115 Source: ACCRA Cost of living Index, select annual averages
  • 97. 2016 ACCRA Cost of Living Composite Index #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT Chapel Hill/Orange County 96.0 Burlington 89.9 Charlotte 94.8 Durham 88.5 Raleigh 94.4 Winston-Salem 91.5 85 100 115 Source: ACCRA Cost of living Index, select annual averages
  • 98. Orange has #1 Adjusted Gross Income, Chatham #18 County Average AGI on Itemized Returns Rank (of 100 Counties) Orange County $175,600 1 Mecklenburg County $134,897 2 Wake County $128,756 3 Guilford County $110,738 11 Durham County $106,478 15 Chatham County $101,900 18 Alamance County $92,312 36 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT Source: National Center for Charitable Statistics
  • 99. Orange #4 in Value of Itemized Deductions, Chatham #85 County Average Itemized Contributions Reported Rank (of 100 Counties) Orange County $5,665 4 Mecklenburg County $5,230 19 Guilford County $5,080 32 Durham County $4,678 55 Wake County $4,519 62 Alamance County $4,425 68 Chatham County $4,166 85 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT Source: National Center for Charitable Statistics
  • 100. Orange Ranks 98th in Percent of Income Donated, Chatham 90th County Percent of AGI Contributed Rank (of 100 Counties) Alamance County 4.8% 72 Guilford County 4.6% 79 Durham County 4.4% 82 Chatham County 4.1% 90 Mecklenburg County 3.9% 91 Wake County 3.5% 96 Orange County 3.2% 98 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT Source: National Center for Charitable Statistics
  • 101. Yancey and Macon Counties Lead NC in Contributions County Average Itemized Contribution Rank (of 100 Counties) Percent of AGI Contributed Yancey $7,919 (9.2%) 1 Macon County $8,007 (8.5%) 2 Washington County $5,579 (7.3%) 3 Anson County $5,086 (7.2%) 4 Warren County $4,169 (7.1%) 5 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT Source: National Center for Charitable Statistics
  • 102. And where does that income come from… …work #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
  • 103. Unemployment Declines in North Carolina Unemployment Rate, 2005-May 2017 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 6.5 6.5 10.9 4.3 - 4.0 8.0 12.0 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 May '17 UnemploymentRate Chapel Hill Orange County North Carolina Source: NC Department of Commerce
  • 104. Orange County Employment Patterns #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT Source: National Association of Counties
  • 105. Orange County Major Employers 2017 Q1 1. UNC Chapel Hill 2. UNC Health Care System 3. Chapel Hill-Carrboro City Schools 4. Orange County Schools 5. Local government 6. UNC Physicians Network 7. Town of Chapel Hill 8. Eurosport 9. General Electric 10. Wal-Mart 11. Aramark Food and Support Services 12. Harris Teeter 13. Food Lion 14. AKG of America 15. The Chapel Hill Residential 16. PHE Inc 17. Weaver St Market 18. Strata Solar 19. Performance Chevrolet 20. Residential Services 21. Wellspring Grocery 22. Carolina Inn 23. Summit Consulting-Engineering 24. The Arc of the Triangle 25. US Postal ServiceSource: NC Department of Commerce
  • 106. Orange County Number of Enterprises by Industry By North American Industry Classification System (NAICS) #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT Source: NC Commerce (ESRI Business Numbers) - 2016 735 647 588 571 467 376 348 346 338 333 Other Srv excl Public Admin NAICS81 Retail Trade NAICS44-45 Prof/Scientific/Tech Srv NAICS54 Health Care/Social Assist NAICS62 Construction NAICS23 Accommodation/Food Services NAICS72 Finance & Insurance NAICS52 Unclassified Establishments NAICS99 Real Estate/Rental/Leasing NAICS53 Food Srv & Drinking Places NAICS722
  • 107. Retail, Wholesale & Health Care Lead Sales in Orange 2016 Sales by NAICS Industry Code (Millions) #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT Source: NC Commerce (ESRI Business Numbers) - 2016 $2,168 $2,040 $1,334 $806 $685 $675 $550 $407 $399 $384 Retail Trade NAICS44-45 Wholesale Trade NAICS42 Health Care/Social Assist NAICS62 Manufacturing NAICS31-33 Construction NAICS23 Finance & Insurance NAICS52 Prof/Scientific/Tech Srv NAICS54 Food & Beverage Stores NAICS445 Real Estate/Rental/Leasing NAICS53 Secur/Commodity Contracts NAICS523
  • 108. Chatham County Employment Patterns Source: National Association of Counties #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
  • 109. Chatham County Major Employers 2017 Q1 1. Chatham County Schools 2. County Of Chatham 3. Carolina Meadows 4. Galloway Ridge 5. Mountaire Farms of NC 6. Wal-Mart 7. Arauco Panels 8. Chatham Hospital 9. Fitch Creations 10. Boise Cascade Company 11. Palletone of North Carolina 12. The Laurels of Chatham 13. Lowes Home Centers 14. Sunrise Home Care 15. Piedmont Health Services 16. Harris Teeter 17. Acme McCrary 18. Food Lion 19. Brookwood Farms 20. Genesis Administrative Services 21. Central Carolina Community College 22. Town & Country Hardware Stores 23. Governors Club 24. Triangle Electrical Services 25. NC Department of Public SafetySource: NC Department of Commerce
  • 110. 357 312 251 176 173 153 128 124 112 106 Other Srv excl Public Admin NAICS81 Retail Trade NAICS44-45 Construction NAICS23 Prof/Scientific/Tech Srv NAICS54 Health Care/Social Assist NAICS62 Finance & Insurance NAICS52 Public Administration NAICS92 Real Estate/Rental/Leasing NAICS53 Accommodation/Food Services NAICS72 Admin/Waste Mgmt&Remediatn NAICS56 Chatham County Number of Enterprises by Industry By North American Industry Classification System (NAICS) #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT Source: NC Commerce (ESRI Business Numbers) - 2016
  • 111. Wholesale & Manufacturing Lead Chatham County Sales Sales By NAICS Industry Code (Thousands) #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT Source: NC Commerce (ESRI Business Numbers) - 2016 $1,212,210 $802,465 $650,280 $277,142 $259,409 $250,212 $246,350 $152,503 $125,647 $124,823 Wholesale Trade NAICS42 Manufacturing NAICS31-33 Retail Trade NAICS44-45 Construction NAICS23 Health Care/Social Assist NAICS62 Utilities NAICS22 Finance & Insurance NAICS52 Food & Beverage Stores NAICS445 Real Estate/Rental/Leasing NAICS53 Information NAICS51
  • 112. Orange County & Municipality Minority Business Ownership Rates Fall Below U.S. And Statewide Averages #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 10.3% 11.8% 13.5% 13.7% 14.0% 14.9% 15.2% 20.5% 20.8% 21.1% 22.8% 26.3% 28.8% 36.7% Bloomington (IN) Chatham County (NC) Madison (WI) Chapel Hill (NC) Orange County (NC) Ann Arbor (MI) Carrboro (NC) Johnston County (NC) Alamance County (NC) Hillsborough (NC) North Carolina Wake County (NC) United States Durham County (NC) Source: U.S Census Bureau
  • 113. Female Business Ownership Rate in Orange County Exceeds State and US Average #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 30.2% 31.2% 32.2% 32.4% 34.2% 34.6% 35.4% 35.5% 35.6% 35.6% 35.8% 35.9% 36.3% 41.7% Bloomington (IN) Hillsborough (NC) Johnston County (NC) Ann Arbor (MI) Chapel Hill (NC) Alamance County (NC) Madison (WI) Chatham County (NC) North Carolina Wake County (NC) United States Carrboro (NC) Orange County (NC) Durham County (NC) Source: U.S Census Bureau
  • 115. Orange County Nonprofits Orange County Registered Nonprofits 975 Orange County 501(c)3 Orgs Filing 990s 437 Annual Revenue of Orange County 501(c)3s $870 million Assets of Orange county 501(c)3s $3.3 billion Source Center for Nonprofits #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
  • 116. Chatham County Nonprofits Chatham County Registered Nonprofits 254 Chatham County 501(c)3 Orgs Filing 990s 98 Annual Revenue of Chatham County 501(c)3s $105 million Assets of Chatham county 501(c)3s $245 million Source Center for Nonprofits #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
  • 117. Orange, Chatham and Durham Boast 871 Charities Total Registered 501c3 Non Profits by County (2015) 303 83 485 Orange Chatham Durham Source Center for Nonprofits #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
  • 118. Total Non-Profit Employment Nonprofit Employee County by County (2015) 29,808 1,681 42,373 Orange Chatham Durham #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT Source Center for Nonprofits
  • 119. 47% of Orange County workers employed in Nonprofit Nonprofit employment as percent of total employment, 2015 47% 12% 23% Orange Chatham Durham #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT Source Center for Nonprofits
  • 120. #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 46%of UNC’s employees are from Orange County Source: UNC Office of Institutional Research
  • 121. Distribution of UNC-CH’s 12,411 Employees (2016) By county of home address #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 5,757 2,424 1,617 1,129 608 597 68 69 82 25 35 Orange Durham Wake Alamance Chatham Other Person Lee Guilford Randolph Granville Source: UNC Office of Institutional Research
  • 122. Growing number of UNC employees live in Wake Change in number of UNC employees by county of residence, 2013-2016 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 108 102 293 42 -42 -117 -7 -1 23 0 27 Orange Durham Wake Alamance Chatham Other Person Lee Guilford Randolph Granville Source: UNC Office of Institutional Research
  • 123. Orange Worker Inflows/Outflows, 2014 42,696 drive in, 35,545 drive out and 19,611 live and work in Orange #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT Source: U.S. Census Bureau
  • 124. Chapel Hill/Carrboro Worker Inflows/Outflows, 2014 38,942 drive in, 17,922 drive out and 10,572 live and work in Orange #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT Source: U.S. Census Bureau
  • 125. More jobs but fewer workers living in Orange Number of jobs in Orange vs. workers in Orange, 2002-2014 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 52,608 57,822 62,307 48,618 52,754 57,549 55,156 40,000 45,000 50,000 55,000 60,000 65,000 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 NumberofPeople Jobs in Orange Workers in Orange Source: U.S. Census Bureau
  • 126. Most Orange County residents work elsewhere Share of Orange County resident workers who work outside of Orange County, 2002-2014 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 55% 64% 50% 55% 60% 65% 70% 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Source: U.S. Census Bureau
  • 127. 58% of Orange County Households Have 2+ Cars Share of Households by Number of Vehicles Available, 2011-15 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 22.5% 36.5% 36.8% 4.1% 3 or More Vehicles 2 Vehicles 1 Vehicle No Vehicles Source: U.S. Census Bureau
  • 128. Fewer Orange, Chatham Workers Drive Alone to Work Percent of commuters who drive alone to work, 2011-15 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT Source: Robert Wood Johnson Foundation [CELLRANG E] [CELLRANG E] [CELLRANG E] [CELLRANG E] [CELLRANG E] [CELLRANG E] North Carolina Orange Chatham Alamance Durham Wake
  • 129. 46% of Chatham Workers Driving Alone Travel 30+ Minutes Percent of those who drive alone to work commuting 30+ minutes, 2011-15 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT [CELLRANG E] [CELLRANG E] [CELLRANG E] [CELLRANG E] [CELLRANG E] [CELLRANG E] North Carolina Orange Chatham Alamance Durham Wake Source: Robert Wood Johnson Foundation
  • 130. Local Transit Ridership Down 1.05M Total Chapel Hill Transit Ridership (in millions), FY2004-FY2017 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 5.27 7.23 6.18 4.0 6.0 8.0 FY04 FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 Source: Chapel Hill Transit
  • 131. GoTriangle Ridership Down 3.2% Off Peak Total Triangle Transit Ridership, FY2004-FY2016 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT Source: Triangle Transit 711,117 1,843,735 1,784,700 0 500,000 1,000,000 1,500,000 2,000,000 FY04 FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17
  • 132. More Orange County jobs filled by in-commuters Share of county jobs filled by individuals who live outside of Orange County, 2002-2014 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 58% 69% 50% 55% 60% 65% 70% 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Source: U.S. Census Bureau
  • 133. Few differences in earnings by place of work/residence Commuters into/out of Orange County by income, 2014 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 16% 17% 16% 34% 29% 32% 50% 53% 52% Driving into Orange for Work Driving Out of Orange for Work Live and Work in Orange <$15,000 $15,000-$39,999 >$40,000 Source: U.S. Census Bureau
  • 134. Fewer young workers live and work in Orange Growth in number of young workers (<30) in Orange County by place of work, 2010 vs. 2014 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 2.0% 0.8% -13.8% Driving Into Orange for Work Driving Out of Orange for Work Live and Work in Orange Source: U.S. Census Bureau
  • 135. Fewer workers under 55 live and work in Orange Number living and working in Orange County by Age, 2002-2014 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 5,079 3,390 13,299 10,883 3,544 5,338 0 5,000 10,000 15,000 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 NumberofPeople Workers Aged 29 or younger Workers Aged 30 to 54 Workers Aged 55 or older Source: U.S. Census Bureau
  • 136. Chapel Hill Worker Inflows/Outflows, 2014 38,917 Drive In, 13,228 Drive Out and 6,490 Live and Work in Chapel Hill #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT Source: U.S. Census Bureau
  • 137. Where People Commute From to Fill Chapel Hill Jobs Place of Residence of Individuals Whose Primary Job was in Chapel Hill in 2014 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT Source: U.S. Census Bureau 8,584 6,490 3,103 2,435 2,044 598 578 481 412 401 20,281 Durham city, NC Chapel Hill town, NC Carrboro town, NC Raleigh city, NC Cary town, NC Apex town, NC Burlington city, NC Mebane city, NC Greensboro city, NC Charlotte city, NC All Other Locations
  • 138. Where Do Chapel Hill Residents Work? Location of Primary Job, 2014 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 6,490 4,116 1,629 619 559 470 429 181 171 166 4,888 Chapel Hill town, NC Durham city, NC Raleigh city, NC Cary town, NC Charlotte city, NC Greensboro city, NC Carrboro town, NC Burlington city, NC Hillsborough town, NC Morrisville town, NC All Other Locations Source: U.S. Census Bureau
  • 139. Carrboro Worker Inflows/Outflows, 2014 3,557 Drive In, 8,226 Drive Out, and 550 Live and Work in Carrboro #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT Source: U.S. Census Bureau
  • 140. Where People Commute From to Fill Carrboro Jobs Place of Residence of Individuals Whose Primary Job was in Carrboro in 2014 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT Source: U.S. Census Bureau 550 515 429 163 96 71 63 60 41 36 2,083 Carrboro town, NC Durham city, NC Chapel Hill town, NC Raleigh city, NC Cary town, NC Charlotte city, NC Mebane city, NC Burlington city, NC Greensboro city, NC Apex town, NC All Other Locations
  • 141. Where Do Carrboro Residents Work? Location of Primary Job, 2014 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT Source: U.S. Census Bureau 3,103 1,427 696 550 239 210 185 142 95 82 2,047 Chapel Hill town, NC Durham city, NC Raleigh city, NC Carrboro town, NC Cary town, NC Charlotte city, NC Greensboro city, NC Hillsborough town, NC Burlington city, NC Morrisville town, NC All Other Locations
  • 142. Chatham Worker Inflows/Outflows, 2014 8,923 drive in, 20,985 drive out and 5,016 Live and Work in Chatham #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT Source: U.S. Census Bureau
  • 143. Majority of Chatham Residents Work Elsewhere Share of Chatham County resident workers who work outside of Chatham, 2002-2014 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 80.7% 65.3% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 2014201320122011201020092008200720062005200420032002 Source: U.S. Census Bureau
  • 144. Where Do Chatham County Workers Work? 2014 vs. 2005 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 3,717 2,826 2,365 1,298 1,219 1,190 746 714 673 418 10,835 0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 Chapel Hill town, NC Raleigh city, NC Durham city, NC Pittsboro town, NC Cary town, NC Siler City town, NC Greensboro city, NC Sanford city, NC Charlotte city, NC Asheboro city, NC All Other Locations 2005 2014 Source: U.S. Census Bureau
  • 145. Where People Drive From to Fill Chatham County Jobs 2014 vs. 2005 (Top 10) #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 777 719 463 386 362 351 300 195 182 161 0 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400 1,600 Siler City town, NC Durham city, NC Raleigh city, NC Cary town, NC Sanford city, NC Pittsboro town, NC Chapel Hill town, NC Carrboro town, NC Apex town, NC Greensboro city, NC 2005 2014 Source: U.S. Census Bureau
  • 146. Sales and Economy #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
  • 147. Taxable Sales Grows to $1.7 Billion Orange County Taxable Sales (millions) #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT Source: NC Department of Revenue $908 $948 $972 $927 $946 $1,017 $1,058 $1,176 $1,422 $1,477 $1,568 $1,726
  • 148. Annual Growth of Orange County Taxable Sales Change (in millions) in Taxable Sales from Prior Year FY05-FY16 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT Source: NC Department of Revenue $41 $23 -$45 $20 $71 $41 $117 $246 $55 $91 $158
  • 149. Annual Growth of Orange County Taxable Sales Percent Change in Taxable Sales of Prior Year FY05-FY16 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT Source: NC Department of Revenue 2% -1% -1% 23% 17% -12% 9% 21% 4% 6% 10%
  • 150. Sales Tax Collections Grow to $82 Million Orange County Gross Sales Tax Collections (millions) #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT Source: NC Department of Revenue $40.82 $41.77 $41.54 $41.05 $50.44 $58.80 $51.54 $56.14 $67.84 $70.47 $74.76 $82.26
  • 151. Orange County Visitor Spending and Economic Impact #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
  • 152. Orange County Hotel Occupancy Slightly Off Peak Average Daily Hotel Occupancy, 2009-2016 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT Source: Chapel Hill/Orange County Visitors Bureau 58.9% 59.6% 64.1% 65.1% 65.1% 69.9% 69.7% 69.4% 50% 58% 66% 74% 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
  • 153. Hotel Average Daily Rate Continues to Increase Orange County Average Daily Rate, 2009-2016 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT $107.35 $102.12 $101.61 $104.38 $106.49 $113.65 $118.94 $120.73 $85 $95 $105 $115 $125 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Source: Chapel Hill/Orange County Visitors Bureau
  • 154. Revenue per Room Continues to Grow Orange County Average Revenue Per Room, 2009-2016 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT $63.34 $60.87 $65.15 $68.00 $69.60 $79.45 $82.95 $83.16 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Source: Chapel Hill/Orange County Visitors Bureau
  • 155. Orange Tourism Tax Revenue Tops $14.6 Million State and Local Visitor Spending Tax Revenue (millions) #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT $9.98 $10.48 $3.97 $4.16 2015 2016 State Tax Revenue (millions) Local Tax Revenue (millions) $13.95 $14.64 Source: Prepared for VisitNC by the US Travel Association
  • 156. Domestic Visitor Spending Increases 4.4% Orange County Domestic Visitor Spending (millions) #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT $184.45 $192.63 2015 2016 Source: Prepared for VisitNC by the US Travel Association
  • 157. 60% 9% 26% 0% 3% 1% Orange County Carrboro Chapel Hill Durham Hillsborough Mebane Chapel Hill & Carrboro Receive 36% of Orange County Sales Tax Distributions Municipality share of Orange County Local Option Sales Tax (LOST) Revenue Distributions, FY 2016-17 Source: NC Department of Revenue #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
  • 158. Sales Tax Per Capita FY2016 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT $171.97 $175.27 $157.33 $250.56 $153.88 Orange Alamance Chatham Durham Wake Source: NC Department of Revenue
  • 159. Sales Tax Per Capita Rankings Ranking of 100 NC Counties (1=highest), 2010-2016 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 81st 41st 56th 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 CountyRanking(1to100) Orange Alamance Chatham Durham Wake Source: NC Department of Revenue
  • 160. Total Household Income (billions) 2016 Total Household Income #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT $4.7 $3.9 $2.7 $9.6 $39.0 Orange County Alamance County Chatham County Durham County Wake County Source: ESRI via NC Department of Commerce
  • 161. Average Household Retail Demand 2016 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT $51,358 $32,097 $44,329 $38,192 $48,176 Orange County Alamance County Chatham County Durham County Wake County Source: ESRI via NC Department of Commerce
  • 162. 2016 retail gap #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
  • 163. Orange Had Largest Retail Gap in 2016 Retail Potential vs. Retail Sales (in billions), 2016 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT Source: ESRI via NC Department of Commerce $2.6 $2.1 $1.3 $4.7 $18.7 $1.8 $2.7 $0.6 $4.6 $18.1 Orange Alamance Chatham Durham Wake Retail Potential (Demand) Retail Sales (Supply) Values shown in billions
  • 164. Orange Had Largest Retail Gap in 2016 Retail Gap– Demand Minus Supply (in Millions), 2016 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT Source: ESRI via NC Department of Commerce $796 ($660) $648 $81 $623 Orange Alamance Chatham Durham Wake
  • 165. Orange County Draws Outside Dollars in 4 Categories 2016 Retail Leakage (in Millions) #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT Source: ESRI via NC Department of Commerce -$45.4 -$52.7 -$50.9 -$87.8 -$30.7 -$28.3 $13.9 -$321.9 -$47.1 $.2 -$280.8 $85.7 $49.5 Bldg/Garden Equip/Supply Stores Clothing/Accessories Stores Electronics & Appliance Stores Food and Beverage Stores Food Services & Drinking Places Furniture/Home Furnishing Stores Gasoline Stations General Merchandise Stores Health and Personal Care Stores Miscellaneous Store Retailers Motor Vehicle and Parts Dealers Nonstore Retailers Sports/Hobby/Book/Music Stores
  • 166. Chatham County Draws Outside Dollars in 1 Category 2016 Retail Leakage (in Millions) #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT Source: ESRI via NC Department of Commerce -$23.0 -$40.8 -$41.0 -$73.3 -$41.3 -$20.3 -$9.9 -$99.1 -$29.5 -$41.8 -$217.4 -$21.6 $10.7 Bldg/Garden Equip/Supply Stores Clothing/Accessories Stores Electronics & Appliance Stores Food and Beverage Stores Food Services & Drinking Places Furniture/Home Furnishing Stores Gasoline Stations General Merchandise Stores Health and Personal Care Stores Miscellaneous Store Retailers Motor Vehicle and Parts Dealers Nonstore Retailers Sports/Hobby/Book/Music Stores
  • 167. Alamance County Huge Draw for Outside Dollars 2016 Retail Leakage (in Millions) #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT Source: ESRI via NC Department of Commerce $21.7 $44.3 -$32.0 -$33.0 $61.7 $36.0 $89.5 $238.1 $22.6 $142.8 $29.9 $9.5 $29.0 Bldg/Garden Equip/Supply Stores Clothing/Accessories Stores Electronics & Appliance Stores Food and Beverage Stores Food Services & Drinking Places Furniture/Home Furnishing Stores Gasoline Stations General Merchandise Stores Health and Personal Care Stores Miscellaneous Store Retailers Motor Vehicle and Parts Dealers Nonstore Retailers Sports/Hobby/Book/Music Stores
  • 168. Orange County Retail Businesses Detail 2016 Retail Businesses in Orange County by Category #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT Source: ESRI via NC Department of Commerce 55 78 41 78 330 27 40 20 49 102 37 24 53 Bldg/Garden Equip/Supply Stores Clothing/Accessories Stores Electronics & Appliance Stores Food and Beverage Stores Food Services & Drinking Places Furniture/Home Furnishing Stores Gasoline Stations General Merchandise Stores Health and Personal Care Stores Miscellaneous Store Retailers Motor Vehicle and Parts Dealers Nonstore Retailers Sports/Hobby/Book/Music Stores
  • 169. Chatham County Retail Businesses Detail 2016 Retail Businesses in Chatham County by Category #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT Source: ESRI via NC Department of Commerce 37 14 15 45 100 20 28 21 15 52 28 5 17 Bldg/Garden Equip/Supply Stores Clothing/Accessories Stores Electronics & Appliance Stores Food and Beverage Stores Food Services & Drinking Places Furniture/Home Furnishing Stores Gasoline Stations General Merchandise Stores Health and Personal Care Stores Miscellaneous Store Retailers Motor Vehicle and Parts Dealers Nonstore Retailers Sports/Hobby/Book/Music Stores
  • 170. Number of Alamance County Businesses by Sector 2016 Businesses in Alamance County by NAICS Codes #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT Source: ESRI via NC Department of Commerce 54 126 43 98 362 54 80 66 75 178 120 11 51 Bldg/Garden Equip/Supply Stores Clothing/Accessories Stores Electronics & Appliance Stores Food and Beverage Stores Food Services & Drinking Places Furniture/Home Furnishing Stores Gasoline Stations General Merchandise Stores Health and Personal Care Stores Miscellaneous Store Retailers Motor Vehicle and Parts Dealers Nonstore Retailers Sports/Hobby/Book/Music Stores
  • 171. Poverty #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
  • 172. Percent of People in Poverty 2000 2006 2011 2015 Orange County 10% 14% 17% 14% Chatham County 9% 12% 11% 12% Durham County 11% 16% 20% 17% Wake County 7% 9% 12% 11% North Carolina 12% 15% 18% 16% United States 11% 13% 16% 15% #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT Source: U.S. Census Bureau Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates (SAIPE)
  • 173. Food and Nutrition Services Cases at 7-Year Low Food and Nutrition Services (Formerly Food Stamps) Average Cases by Month, Orange County, 2007-2016 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 2,903 3,037 3,526 4,600 5,466 6,129 6,459 5,298 2,000 4,500 7,000 Apr-07 Aug-07 Dec-07 Apr-08 Aug-08 Dec-08 Apr-09 Aug-09 Dec-09 Apr-10 Aug-10 Dec-10 Apr-11 Aug-11 Dec-11 Apr-12 Aug-12 Dec-12 Apr-13 Aug-13 Dec-13 Apr-14 Aug-14 Dec-14 Apr-15 Aug-15 Dec-15 Apr-16 Aug-16 Dec-16 Source: Orange County Department of Health and Human Services
  • 174. SNAP Households Decline, Orange County Monthly Household Recipients Over Time #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 11,814 5,822 0 3,500 7,000 10,500 14,000 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 Average Monthly Recipients Average Monthly Household Recipients Source: NC Department of Health and Human Services
  • 175. Food Insecurity Rate by County (2015) #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 16.5% 14.3% 15.4% 11.5% 17.9% 13.5% North Carolina Orange Alamance Chatham Durham Wake Source: Feeding America
  • 176. Food Insecure People by County (2015) #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 19,790 23,900 7,730 Orange Alamance Chatham Source: Feeding America
  • 177. Change in Food Insecure People, 2013-2015 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT (1,110) (1,550) (20) 1,330 Orange Alamance Chatham Durham Source: Feeding America
  • 178. Percent of Students Enrolled in Free and Reduced Lunch 2015-2016 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 54.3% 53.1% 62.2% 44.2% 29.8% 36.1% Alamance Chatham Durham Orange: OCS Orange: CHCCS Wake Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
  • 179. Growth of Students Enrolled in Free and Reduced Lunch from 2009-2010 to 2015-2016 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 3.8% 7.5% -2.1% 8.7% 15.9% 19.4% -3.2% Alamance Chatham Durham Johnston Orange: OCS Orange: CHCCS Wake Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
  • 180. Percent of Children in Poverty #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT Source: U.S. Census Bureau Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates (SAIPE) 0.0% 7.5% 15.0% 22.5% 30.0% 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Orange County Alamance County Chatham County Durham County North Carolina
  • 181. Number of Children in Poverty #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT Source: U.S. Census Bureau Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates (SAIPE) 3,711 4,822 2,897 2,5062,952 2,234 0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 20152014201320122011201020092008 Orange County Chatham County
  • 182. Health Data #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
  • 183. 2016 Health Indicators Health Indicator Orange County Chatham County Who is #1 Length of Life #1 #8 Orange Quality of Life #5 #14 Currituck Health Behaviors #4 #9 Polk Clinical Care #1 #11 Orange Social & Economic Factors #2 #9 Union Physical Environment #8 #53 Hyde Source: 2016 County Health Rankings - Robert Wood Johnson Foundation
  • 184. Adult Smoking Rates Compared to Adjacent and Peer Communities #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 19% 16% 19% 16% 16% 14% 13% 20% 14% 19% 16% Source: Robert Wood Johnson Foundation
  • 185. Adult Obesity Compared to Adjacent and Peer Communities #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 30% 23% 35% 27% 29% 25% 13% 25% 24% 22% 24% Source: Robert Wood Johnson Foundation
  • 186. Disconnected Youth Compared to Adjacent and Peer Communities #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 15% 4% 13% 16% 12% 9% 5% 6% 5% 4% 5% Source: Robert Wood Johnson Foundation
  • 187. Residential Segregation - Black/White Compared to Adjacent and Peer Communities #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 50 26 42 35 40 43 53 34 49 42 57 Source: Robert Wood Johnson Foundation
  • 188. 14 7 12 8 8 8 15 9 16 16 17 Drug Overdose Deaths per 100,000 Compared to Adjacent and Peer Communities #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT Source: Robert Wood Johnson Foundation
  • 189. 15% 17% 15% 15% 18% 18% 20% 18% 26% 20% 21% Excessive Drinking Compared to Adjacent and Peer Communities #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT Source: Robert Wood Johnson Foundation
  • 190. Access to Exercise Opportunities Compared to Adjacent and Peer Communities #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 75% 85% 84% 64% 91% 91% 98% 85% 95% 88% 92% Source: Robert Wood Johnson Foundation
  • 191. Orange County Children in Poverty Lowest Among NC Peers #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 23% 13% 26% 18% 26% 15% 11% 42% 10% 18% 13% Source: Robert Wood Johnson Foundation
  • 192. Orange County Children Faring Better Source: NC Child 2011 2015 Low Birthweight 8.2% 7.0% 3 and 4 year-olds enrolled in school 57.6% 64.9% Children living in poor or low income homes 33.0% 31.7% Teen births age 15-17 (per 1000 girls) 9.2 Too small to measure Children in foster care (per 1000) 6.7 5.4 Uninsured Children 9% 4.9% Children assessed for abuse or neglect (per 1000) 38.4 41.5
  • 193. Health Care Costs Compared to Adjacent and Peer Communities #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT $9,069 $7,183 $8,893 $7,874 $8,157 $8,671 $8,344 $8,694 $7,353 $7,795 $9,156 Source: Robert Wood Johnson Foundation
  • 194. Leading Causes of Death in 2015 Chatham County, NC Orange County, NC 1. Cancer (21.4%) 1. Cancer (23.2%) 2. Heart Disease (19.1%) 2. Heart Disease (20.6%) 3. Cerebrovascular Disease (6.7%) 3. Cerebrovascular Disease (5.7%) 4. Alzheimer's Disease (5.2%) 4. Alzheimer's Disease (3.9%) 5. Chronic lower respiratory diseases (4.3%) 5. All Other Unintentional Injuries (3.7%) 6. Pneumonia and Influenza (3.3%) 6. Chronic lower respiratory diseases (2.9%) 7. All Other Unintentional Injuries (3.2%) 7. Diabetes mellitus (2.5%) 8. Diabetes mellitus (2.9%) 8. Chronic Liver Disease and Cirrhosis (1.8%) 9. Motor Vehicle Injuries (1.8%) 8. Septicemia (1.8%) 10. Nephritis, Nephrotic Syndrome & Nephrosis (1.7%) 10. Nephritis, Nephrotic Syndrome & Nephrosis (1.5%) Source: NC Center for Health Statistics #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
  • 195. All Cancers Rate per 100,000 2011-2015 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 467 487 442 452 451 464 410 420 430 440 450 460 470 480 490 500 North Carolina Alamance Chatham Durham Orange Wake Source: N.C. State Center for Health Statistics
  • 196. All Cancers Rate per 100,000 2006-2010 vs. 2011-2015 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 498 523 495 490 483 486 467 487 442 452 451 464 400 420 440 460 480 500 520 540 North Carolina Alamance Chatham Durham Orange Wake 2006-2010 2011-2015 Source: N.C. State Center for Health Statistics
  • 197. 37 35 33 32 33 32 North Carolina Alamance Chatham Durham Orange Wake Colon/Rectum Cancer Rate per 100,000 2011-2015 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT Source: N.C. State Center for Health Statistics
  • 198. Colon/Rectum Cancer Rate per 100,000 2006-2010 vs. 2011-2015 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT Source: N.C. State Center for Health Statistics 43 41 41 39 35 3837 35 33 32 33 32 North Carolina Alamance Chatham Durham Orange Wake 2006-2010 2011-2015
  • 199. Prostate Cancer Rate per 100,000 2011-2015 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 116 116 101 109 96 122 North Carolina Alamance Chatham Durham Orange Wake Source: N.C. State Center for Health Statistics
  • 200. Prostate Cancer Rate per 100,000 2006-2010 vs. 2011-2015 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 154 169 142 167 142 179 116 116 101 109 96 122 North Carolina Alamance Chatham Durham Orange Wake 2006-2010 2011-2015 Source: N.C. State Center for Health Statistics
  • 201. Lung/Bronchus Cancer Rate per 100,000 2011-2015 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 67 68 50 56 55 54 North Carolina Alamance Chatham Durham Orange Wake Source: N.C. State Center for Health Statistics
  • 202. Lung/Bronchus Cancer Rate per 100,000 2006-2010 vs. 2011-2015 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 75 77 63 69 61 60 67 68 50 56 55 54 North Carolina Alamance Chatham Durham Orange Wake 2006-2010 2011-2015 Source: N.C. State Center for Health Statistics
  • 203. Female Breast Cancer Rate per 100,000 2011-2015 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 157 172 163 180 180 170 145 150 155 160 165 170 175 180 185 North Carolina Alamance Chatham Durham Orange Wake Source: N.C. State Center for Health Statistics
  • 204. Female Breast Cancer Rate per 100,000 2006-2010 vs. 2011-2015 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 156 160 169 162 172 164 157 172 163 180 180 170 North Carolina Alamance Chatham Durham Orange Wake 2006-2010 2011-2015 Source: N.C. State Center for Health Statistics
  • 205. Orange County Rape Crisis Center Clients Served #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 479 375 617 548 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 Source: Orange County Rape Crisis Center
  • 206. Orange County Teen Pregnancy Rates Decrease Per 1000 Girls, Age 15-17 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 26 cases 9 cases 0.0 5.0 10.0 15.0 20.0 25.0 30.0 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Source: NC Health and Human Services
  • 207. Orange County Infant Mortality Rate Per 1,000 live births #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 12.0 5 8.8 7.3 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Orange County State Source: NC Health and Human Services
  • 208. Asthma in Hospital Discharges per 100,000 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 48 50.9 50 72.7 57.3 50.3 55.2 62.8 55.2 51.5 45.6 47.7 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Source: North Carolina Hospital Discharge Data
  • 209. Asthma in Hospital Discharges per 100,000 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 135.7 115.1 0 40 80 120 160 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 All Ages Ages (0-14) Source: North Carolina Hospital Discharge Data
  • 210. % of NC Adults Who Answered Yes to: “Has a doctor, nurse or other health professional ever told you that you had asthma? #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT Source: 2015 Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System (BRFSS)
  • 211. NC 2014 Emergency Department Visit with Primary Diagnosis of Asthma by County #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT Source: North Carolina Hospital Discharge Data
  • 212. NC 2014 Emergency Department Visits with the Primary Diagnosis of Asthma, Ages 0 -14, By County #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT Source: North Carolina Hospital Discharge Data
  • 213. Violent Crime per 100,000 Compared to Adjacent and Peer Communities #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 342 150 396 174 613 245 210 372 231 277 299 Source: Robert Wood Johnson Foundation
  • 214. Violent Crime Rate Per 100,000 By County #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 0 300 600 900 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Alamance Chatham Durham Orange Wake Source: North Carolina Department of Public Safety -> View Crime Statistics -> Annual Summary Report (most recent year)
  • 215. Property Crime Rate Per 100,000 By County #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT Source: North Carolina Department of Public Safety -> View Crime Statistics -> Annual Summary Report (most recent year) 0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Durham Alamance Orange Wake Chatham
  • 216. UNC #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
  • 217. NC Legislative Appropriations to UNC Chapel Hill #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT $543,291,852 $493,923,004 $0 $100,000,000 $200,000,000 $300,000,000 $400,000,000 $500,000,000 $600,000,000 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 Source: OIRA
  • 218. UNC Chapel Hill Revenues Rise, State Appropriations Flat #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT $2,859,984,099 $493,923,004 $0 $500,000,000 $1,000,000,000 $1,500,000,000 $2,000,000,000 $2,500,000,000 $3,000,000,000 $3,500,000,000 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 Total Revenues State Appropriations Source: OIRA
  • 219. Value of UNC Chapel Hill Endowment #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT $2.66 billion $0 $500,000,000 $1,000,000,000 $1,500,000,000 $2,000,000,000 $2,500,000,000 $3,000,000,000 $3,500,000,000 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 Source: OIRA
  • 220. UNC Chapel Hill Campus Grows Past 19,500 sqft Gross Square Feet of UNC Chapel Hill Campus #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 7,847 9,639 12,312 18,394 19,536 0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 Source: OIRA
  • 221. UNC Chapel Hill Student Population Exceeds 29,135 Number of Students Enrolled at UNC, 1980-2016 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 21,465 23,852 24,872 29,135 16,000 20,000 24,000 28,000 32,000 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016
  • 222. More than 12,000 Work for UNC Chapel Hill UNC Employees by State Classification, 1980-2016 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 0 3,500 7,000 10,500 14,000 SPA Employees EPA Faculty/ Non-Faculty Source: OIRA
  • 223. UNC = Innovation #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
  • 224. UNC Annual Research Funding passes $847 million #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT $275 $847 $0 $100 $200 $300 $400 $500 $600 $700 $800 $900 1995 1998 2001 2004 2007 2010 2013 2016 Millions Source: UNC Office of Institutional Research
  • 225. UNC Start-up Companies by Year #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 5 11 3 3 3 1 6 1 7 1 5 7 9 14 10 9 8 FY00 FY01 FY02 FY03 FY04 FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 Source: UNC Office of Institutional Research
  • 226. #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 103UNC start-up companies since 2000 Source: UNC Office of Institutional Research
  • 227. A partnership between the town, county and university to accelerate the development of high potential, high impact ventures in Chapel Hill and Orange County.
  • 228. 64 companies served since 2012 13 in 2016 1,000 jobs created by graduates 25% in Orange County $20M in funding raised by graduates $7.3M annual sales revenues of graduates
  • 230. Capacity Growing at Durham Tech Orange County Campus #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 3,207 3,466 3,374 3,373 3,412 2,552 2,731 2,420 2,360 2,368 2012-2013 2013-2014 2014-2015 2015-2016 2016-2017 Total Seats Offered Total Seats Filled Source: Durham Tech
  • 231. # of Sections Offered and Unduplicated Enrollment Durham Tech Orange County Campus #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 150 153 138 140 141 1,131 1,155 1,089 1,113 1,066 2012-2013 2013-2104 2014-2015 2015-2016 2016-2017 Total Sections Unduplicated Headcount Source: Durham Tech
  • 232. #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 46% of CHCCS or OCS graduates received financial aid from Durham Tech (2012-2017) Source: Durham Tech
  • 233. Durham Tech Students Score High on License Tests Durham Tech Licensure Pass Rates and Transfer Performance 2016 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 86.3% 100% 75% 100% 100% 89% Transfer Performance (AY14-15) Practical Nursing Registered Nursing EMT EMT-P Esthetician Source: Durham Tech
  • 234. Public Schools #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
  • 235. Total Per Pupil Expenditure (2015-2016) #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT Source: NC Department of Public Instruction $11,355 $10,742 $9,963 $10,056 $9,342 $8,245 $7,996 Chapel-Hill/Carrboro City Schools Asheville City Schools Orange County Schools Durham County Schools Chatham County Schools Wake County Schools Alamance-Burlington Schools
  • 236. Local Per Pupil Expenditure (2015-2016) #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT $5,748 $4,429 $3,921 $3,542 $3,112 $2,430 $1,719 Chapel-Hill/Carrboro City Schools Asheville City Schools Orange County Schools Durham County Schools Chatham County Schools Wake County Schools Alamance-Burlington Schools Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
  • 237. Chapel Hill-Carrboro City Schools Per Pupil Expenditure Trends in CHCCS Per Pupil Expenditure (PPE) by Source, 2004-2016 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT Source: NC Department of Public Instruction $3,972 $3,907 $3,965 $4,301 $4,659 $4,983 $4,767 $4,617 $4,916 $5,197 $5,375 $5,475 $5,748 [CELLRANGE] [CELLRANGE] [CELLRANGE] [CELLRANGE] [CELLRANGE] [CELLRANGE] [CELLRANGE] [CELLRANGE] [CELLRANGE] [CELLRANGE] [CELLRANGE] [CELLRANGE] [CELLRANGE] 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 StatePPE FederalPPE LocalPPE Total PPE
  • 238. Average SAT Writing Score 2016 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 475 445 475 446 576 496 504 300 350 400 450 500 550 600 North Carolina (All Students) Alamance-Burlington Schools Chatham County Schools Durham Public Schools Chapel Hill-Carrboro City Schools Orange County Schools Wake County Schools 010190320681680920 Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
  • 239. Average SAT CR1 Score 2016 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 502 473 499 474 598 522 526 350 400 450 500 550 600 650 North Carolina (All Students) Alamance-Burlington Schools Chatham County Schools Durham Public Schools Chapel Hill-Carrboro City Schools Orange County Schools Wake County Schools 010190320681680920 Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
  • 240. Average SAT Combined Math, Writing & CR1 Scores 2016 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 1485 1406 1476 1387 1781 1539 1570 800 1000 1200 1400 1600 1800 2000 North Carolina (All Students) Alamance-Burlington Schools Chatham County Schools Durham Public Schools Chapel Hill-Carrboro City Schools Orange County Schools Wake County Schools 010190320681680920 Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
  • 241. EOG Science Grade 3, 2015-16 College and Career Ready (Level 4 or 5) and Proficient (Level 3+) #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 74 64 77 89 65 54 70 85 State of North Carolina Chatham County Schools Orange County Schools Chapel Hill- Carrboro Schools Grade Level Proficient College/Career Ready Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
  • 242. EOG Math Grade 3, 2015-16 College and Career Ready (Level 4 or 5) and Proficient (Level 3+) #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 65 66 71 78 52 53 55 71 State of North Carolina Chatham County Schools Orange County Schools Chapel Hill- Carrboro Schools Grade Level Proficient College/Career Ready Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
  • 243. EOG Reading Grade 3, 2015-16 College and Career Ready (Level 4 or 5) and Proficient (Level 3+) #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 58 56 58 76 48 46 48 68 State of North Carolina Chatham County Schools Orange County Schools Chapel Hill- Carrboro Schools Grade Level Proficient College/Career Ready Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
  • 244. EOG Math Grade 8, 2015-16 College and Career Ready (Level 4 or 5) and Proficient (Level 3+) #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 45 46 53 71 39 40 46 67 State of North Carolina Chatham County Schools Orange County Schools Chapel Hill- Carrboro Schools Grade Level Proficient College/Career Ready Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
  • 245. EOG Reading Grade 8, 2015-16 College and Career Ready (Level 4 or 5) and Proficient (Level 3+) #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 53 55 57 71 42 41 44 63 State of North Carolina Chatham County Schools Orange County Schools Chapel Hill- Carrboro Schools Grade Level Proficient College/Career Ready Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
  • 246. Local School Dropout Rate Declines 2000 through 2016 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 5.20% Orange County Schools 2.21% 1.92% Chapel Hill-Carrboro City Schools 0.84% 5.71% North Carolina 2.29% 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% Source: NC DPI
  • 247. Share of 9th Graders Graduated in 4 Years by 9th Grade Entry Year, 2002-03 to 2012-13 9th Graders #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 90.2% 90.1% 89.3% 67% 87% 50% 75% 100% 2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 Year began 9th grade CHCCS Orange County Chatham NC Rising Graduation Rates in Neighboring Districts, NC Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
  • 248. Rising Graduation Rates in Neighboring Districts, NC Share of 9th Graders Graduated in 4 Years by 9th Grade Entry Year, 2002-03 to 2012-13 9th Graders #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT Durham Wake Alamance- Burlington 50% 75% 100% 2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 Year began 9th grade CHCCS Orange County Chatham NC Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
  • 249. Graduation Rates Increasing Percent Change in District Graduation Rates between 2006 and 2016 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 21% 0% 29% 20% 34% 5% 26% Alamance- Burlington Chapel Hill- Carrboro Chatham Durham Orange Wake NC Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
  • 250. Black Student Graduation Rate Improvement Percent Change in District Graduation Rates between 2006 and 2016 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 38% 11% 11% 28% 63% 16% 37% Alamance- Burlington Chapel Hill- Carrboro Chatham Durham Orange Wake NC Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
  • 251. Hispanic Student Graduation Rate Improvement Percent Change in District Graduation Rates between 2006 and 2016 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 70% 26% 109% 93% 131% 28% 53% Alamance- Burlington Chapel Hill- Carrboro Chatham Durham Orange Wake NC Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
  • 252. Economically Disadvantaged Student Graduation Rate Improvement Percent Change in District Graduation Rates between 2006 and 2016 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 63% 41% 62% 52% 132% 27% 45% Alamance- Burlington Chapel Hill- Carrboro Chatham Durham Orange Wake NC Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
  • 253. Students with Disabilities Graduation Rate Improvement Percent Change in District Graduation Rates between 2006 and 2016 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 31% -19% 21% 0% 64% 13% 38% Alamance- Burlington Chapel Hill- Carrboro Chatham Durham Orange Wake NC Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
  • 254. CHCCS EOG Reading Grade 3 Proficient 2015-2016 Grade 3 Proficient (Level 3+) #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 80 47 39 92 AsianBlackHispanicWhite Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
  • 255. Orange County Schools EOG Reading Grade 3 Proficient 2015-16 Grade 3 Proficient (Level 3+) #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 44 34 71 BlackHispanicWhite Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
  • 256. Chatham County Schools EOG Reading Grade 3 Proficient Grade 3 Proficient (Level 3+) #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 3936 72 BlackHispanicWhite
  • 257. Grade 5 and 8 Science EOG "College and Career Ready" 2015-16 Science EOG Grade 5 and 8 (Level 4 and 5) #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 44 31 38 47 75 71 76 92 State of North Carolina Chatham County Schools Orange County Schools Chapel Hill- Carrboro Schools Black White Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
  • 258. Grades 3-8 Math EOG “College and Career Ready” 2015-16 Math EOG Grades 3-8 (Levels 4 and 5) #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 47 48 54 68 State of North Carolina Chatham County Schools Orange County Schools Chapel Hill- Carrboro Schools Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
  • 259. Grades 3-8 Math EOG “College and Career Ready” 2015-16 EOG Math Grades 3-8 (Level 4 and 5) #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 47 48 54 68 32 30 35 28 State of North Carolina Chatham County Schools Orange County Schools Chapel Hill-Carrboro Schools All Students EDS Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
  • 260. Grades 3-8 Math EOG “College and Career Ready” 2015-16 EOG Math Grade 3-8 (Level 4 and 5) #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 27 21 28 25 59 62 65 82 State of North Carolina Chatham County Schools Orange County Schools Chapel Hill- Carrboro Schools Black White Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
  • 261. More OCS 8th Graders “College and Career Ready” 8th Grade Science EOG Test Achieving Level 4 or 5 #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 42 46 41 26 44 52 49 26 Black Hispanic EDS SWD 13-14 Orange County Schools 15-16 Orange County Schools
  • 262. CHCCS 3rd Grade Reading Proficiency Inconsistent Percent of Students Proficient (Level3, 4 or 5) on Reading Grade 3 End of Grade Test #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 79 34 44 92 36 30 80 47 39 92 40 29 Asian Black Hispanic White EDS SWD 13-14 Chapel Hill-Carrboro Schools 15-16 Chapel Hill-Carrboro Schools Source: NC Department of Public Instruction
  • 263. Land & Water #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
  • 264. Totally Protected Lands #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT 1,229 4,088 7,784 10,804 12,722 14,473 3,151 5,230 8,613 9,609 10,185 10,174 0 10,000 20,000 30,000 Pre-1981 1981-90 1991-2000 2001-04 2005-08 2009-13 Totally Protected Lands Partially Protected Lands Source: Orange County State of the Environment Report
  • 265. Water Sales and Accounts 6.03 21,385 10,000 12,000 14,000 16,000 18,000 20,000 22,000 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 8.0 9.0 CustomerAccounts WaterSales(MillionGallonsPer DayAverage) Actual Water Sales Customer Accounts Reclaimed Water to UNC begins 2009 Source: OWASA #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
  • 266. Monthly Water & Sewer Bills 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14% 16% 18% $0 $25 $50 $75 $100 RateIncrease AverageMonthlyBillBasedon 4,000gallonspermonth Average Bill Amount (actual) Average Bill Amount (projected) Rate Increases (actual) Rate Increases (projected) Source: OWASA #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
  • 267. Thank you #CHCSOTC 2017 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT
  • 268. Thank you to our Major Investors Platinum Sponsors
  • 269. Thank you to our Major Investors Gold Sponsors

Editor's Notes

  1. I changed the structure to this (and the following slide) Because it seemed what you were trying to say was: We are getting more diverse (as total % of population) And there is increasing diversity among this population, with growing shares of various racial/ethnic subgroups
  2. Remember – county median is $300K – just half of county
  3. Orange county was among the lowest in the early 1970s in this region Grew steadily and surpassed Wake to reach number one. A position it has maintained in this region. In fact…we are number one statewide.
  4. Note: Corrected this as Orange County did not retake #1 spot from Chatham – Chatham’s has not been higher than Orange
  5. And virtually all of our local counties/peers are in top 6 (Chatham #3, Wake #4, Durham $=#6)
  6. But, it is turning around from peak!
  7. This is a decline of 14.5% from peak
  8. This is a decline of 3.2% from peak. (2015 was peak, FY 2016 is latest year available – no FY2017 data) Between FY15 and FY16, Triangle Transit saw smaller proportional declines in ridership: down 3.2% versus 5.9% decrease in local transit ridership during this time period
  9. Taking out Johnston and putting in Wake
  10. This is what it is in dollars. It might draw in these three categories, but they are pretty small dollar
  11. This is what it is in dollars. It might draw in these three categories, but they are pretty small dollar
  12. This is what it is in dollars. It might draw in these three categories, but they are pretty small dollar
  13. This is what it is in dollars. It might draw in these three categories, but they are pretty small dollar
  14. This is what it is in dollars. It might draw in these three categories, but they are pretty small dollar
  15. This is what it is in dollars. It might draw in these three categories, but they are pretty small dollar
  16. SOURCE??
  17. I had no idea what that line was
  18. Launch Chapel Hill's is a partnership between the town, county and university. The mission is to accelerate the development of high potential, high impact ventures in Chapel Hill and Orange County by giving founders access to: a community of peers who learn from, motivate and support one another; an engaged network of experienced local entrepreneurs, scholars, and alumni; and the space, knowledge and resources to achieve success or reduce the cost of failure.
  19. Recent Statistics Number of companies served in 2016: 13 Number of companies served since 2012: 64 Number of workshops in 2016: 48 Number of mentors in 2016: 230 Total annual sales revenue of graduates: $7,313,000 Total funding raised of graduates: $20 mil Total full time employees of graduates: 596 Total jobs created by graduates: 1,000 Number remaining in Orange County: 250 Recent success stories: Academic Benchmarking (www.abc-insights.com) and Quantworks (www.quantworks.com
  20. Source Table 25: Per Pupil Expenditure Ranking (Child Nutrition Excluded), NC DPI Statistical Profile Online
  21. You can take out the LEA number in these by modifying the selected area (I can’t – book not linked and hard to figure out which one it should be at moment)
  22. Focus on these districts, then layer in further flung/regional neighbrs
  23. I kept these all gray because the focus is NOT on exactly what went on – it is on the fact that they all closed gaps with CHCCS – whether we are talking Durham, Alamance Burlington or Wake