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Study Designs




                1
Objectives
   Understand the concept of epidemiological
    studies.
   Understand the concepts of exposure,
    outcome and risk.
   Identify the association between exposure
    and outcome.
   Quantify the magnitude of association by
    calculating and interpreting the measures
    of association:
        
          Relative risk or risk ratio
         Odds ratio

                                                2
Important study questions
1.   What? 1. Event Surveillance data
                     sources
2.   When? 2. Time
                     Surveillance,
3.   Where 3. Place
     ?               Descriptive studies
           4. Person
4.   Who?
            5. Reason
     Why?             Analytical studies
5.          6. Way
6.   How?                                  3
Concepts
    Variable
    Outcome or Effect variable
    Measures of disease
    Risk Factor or Exposure
     variable
    Measures of risk
    Association of risk and
     disease
    Measures of association
                                  4
Types of Study designs
   Non Intervention Studies
        Descriptive studies
        Comparative (analytical) studies

       
         Exploratory studies
   Intervention Studies
    The two categories of intervention studies are:
        Experimental studies

       
         Quasi-experimental studies.

                                                      5
Current
       Classification
                              E P ID E M IO L O G IC A L S T U D Y D E S IG N S


    D E S C R IP T IV E                                                       A N A L Y T IC A L


            1 . C a s e R e p o rt                 O B S E R V A T IO N A L                        E X P E R IM E N T A L

             2 . C a s e S e rie s
                                                   CASE CONTROL                                     1 . S in g le B lin d
    3 . C o rre la tio n / E c o lo g ic a l

                                                         COHORT                                    2 . D o u b le B lin d
4 . C ro s s S e c tio n a l / P re v a le n c e


                                                                                                    3 . T rip le B lin d

                                                                                                                            6
E p id e m io lo g ic a l S t u d ie s

               I n te r v e n tio n a l s tu d ie s                                              N o n -in te r v e n tio n a l S tu d ie s
                                                                                                        o r O b s e r v a tio n a l

C lin ic a l                 F ie ld                       C o m m u n ity             E x p lo r a to r y                                              D e s c r ip tiv e
 T r ia ls            I n v e s tig a tio n                I n te r v e n tio n

                                                                                                                                   C a s e s e r ie s               C r o s s -s e c tio n a l s u r v e y s

                                                                                        A n a ly tic a l




                                                            A n a ly tic a l S tu d ie s

                   C r o s s -s e c tio n a l                             C a s e -C o n tr o l                               C ohort
                                c o m p a ra tive
Association between exposure
and outcome



Exposure          Outcome


  Cause           Effect




                               8
Descriptive Studies
    Descriptive studies involve the
    systematic       collection  and
    presentation of data to give a
    clear picture of a particular
    situation and can be carried out
    on a small or large scale.
   Case studies
   Case series
                                       9
Comparative or Analytical
           Studies
   An ANALYTICAL STUDY attempts
    to establish causes or risk factors
    for certain problems. This is done
    by comparing two or more groups,
    some of which have or develop
    the problem and some of which
    have not.


                                      10
Cross-sectional
          Comparative studies
   Many cross-sectional surveys focus on
    comparing as well as describing
    groups.
   For example, a survey on malnutrition
    may wish to establish:
       The percentage of malnourished
        children in a certain population
       Socio-economic, physical, political
        variables that influence the availability
        of food                                     11
Cross Sectional
    Surveys
Quantify   the  distribution  of
 certain variables in a study
 population at a point of time.
 They may cover, for example:
   Physical characteristics of people,
    materials, or the environment,etc



                                      12
Cross Sectional
    Surveys
   The behavior of people and the
    knowledge,    attitudes,  beliefs, and
    opinions that may help to explain that
    behaviour (KAP studies), or events that
    occurred in the population.
   Cross-sectional surveys cover a sample
    of the population. If a cross-sectional
    study covers the total population it is
    called a census.

                                          13
Case Control
    Studies
   In a CASE-CONTROL STUDY, the
    investigator compares one group
    among whom a problem is (e.g.,
    malnutrition) with another group,
    called a control or comparison
    group, where the problem is
    absent to find out what factors
    have contributed to the problem.

                                    14
15
Odds Ratio (OR)
   Measure of the strength of the
    association between risk factor and
    outcome.
   The derivation of the Odds Ratio is
    based on three assumptions:
    - The disease being investigated must be
      relatively rare.
    - The cases must be representative of
      those with the disease
    - The controls must be representative of
      those without disease

                                               16
   A study was conducted to find out
    the association of smoking to
    lung cancer. 100 cases of lung
    cancer were interviewed about
    their smoking status and 60 of
    them were smokers. 200 Normal
    people were also interviewed and
    40 of them were smokers. Find
    the odd ratio in the given
    scenario and interpret your result
                                       17
    as well.
Biopsy Results
Smoking    CA Lung    CA Lung
                                   Total
 status    Positive   Negative

                                    a+b
  Yes         a          b

                                    c +d
  No          c          d

                                 a +b +c + d
 Total      a+c         b+d



                                               18
Biopsy Results
Smoking    CA Lung    CA Lung
                                   Total
 status    Positive   Negative

                                    a+b
  Yes        60         40

                                    c +d
  No         40         160

                                 a +b +c + d
 Total       100        200



                                               19
   Odd ratio = a/c ÷ b/d
                 = a/c x d/b
                 = 60 x 160
                  40 x 40
                 = 6
   Interpretation:
   Lung cancer patients are six times
    more likely to be smokers than normal
    persons

                                        20
Cohort Studies
   In a COHORT STUDY, a group of individuals
    that is exposed to a risk factor (study group)
    is compared with a group of individuals not
    exposed to the risk factor (control group).
   The researcher follows both groups over time
    and compares the occurrence of the problem
    that he or she expects to be related to the
    risk factor in the two groups to determine
    whether a greater proportion of those with
    the risk factor are indeed affected.

                                                     21
What is a cohort?
   Cohort - Latin word for one of the 10
    divisions of a Roman legion
   A group of individuals
       sharing same experience
       followed up for a specified period of time
   Examples
       birth cohort
       occupational cohort chemical plant workers


                                                     22
23
Cohort Study

                            Disease
Exposure   Study starts   occurrence




time



                                       24
Cohort Study

                            Disease
Study starts   Exposure   occurrence




time



                                       25
Cohort Study
  Not
exposed         Incidence among
                  Non exposed


exposed
                Incidence among
                    exposed


                                  26
Steps in designing Cohort
Studies
   Identify group of exposed subjects
   Identify group of non-exposed subjects
   Follow-up both groups for disease
   Measure frequency of disease
    occurrence in both groups
   Compare risks between exposed and
    non-exposed group
                                             27
Relative Ratio/Risk (RR)
   Ratio of incidence of the disease
    (or death)among exposed and the
    incidence among non-exposed.
   It is a direct measure (or index) of
    the “strength” of the association
    between suspected cause and
    effect
                                           28
   A scientist wanted to study the effect of
    smoking on lung cancer. He enrolled 500
    people who were smoking and the 1000
    individuals who were not smokers. After
    15 years of follow up he found that
    among the smokers 50 developed lung
    cancer while among the non smokers 25
    developed lung cancer. Find the relative
    risk of lung cancer among smokers and
    interpret the result as well
                                                29
Biopsy Results
                  CA Lung    CA Lung
Smoking status                            Total
                  Positive   Negative

                                           a+b
     Yes             a          b


                                           c +d
     No              c          d


                                        a +b +c + d
    Total          a+c         b+d


                                                      30
Biopsy Results
                 CA Lung    CA Lung
Smoking status                           Total
                 Positive   Negative

                                          500
     Yes           50          b


                                          1000
     No            25          d


                                       a +b +c + d
    Total         a+c         b+d


                                                     31
   Relative risk =   Incidence of disease Among
    Exposed                   Incidence of disease among
    non exp


   RR = a/a+b ÷ c/c+d
        = 50/500 ÷ 25/1000
        = 50/500 x 1000/25
       = 4
   Interpretation:
   Smokers are 4 times more likely to
    develop lung cancer than non smokers
                                                       32
Exploratory Studies

   An Exploratory study is a small-
    scale study of relatively short
    duration, which is carried out
    when little else is known about a
    situation or a problem.



                                    33
Intervention Studies
   In   intervention    studies,   the
    researcher       manipulates      a
    situation    and    measures    the
    effects   of    the   manipulation.
    Usually (but not always) two
    groups are compared, one in
    which the intervention takes
    place (e.g.. treatment with a
    certain drug) and another group
    that remains "untouched" (e.g.,
    treatment with a placebo) .
                                        34
Experimental Studies
   Experimental design is the only type of
    study design that can actually prove
    causation.
   In an EXPERIMENTAL STUDY, individuals
    are randomly allocated to at least two groups.
    One group is subjected to an intervention or
    experiment, while the other group(s) is not.
   The outcome of the intervention (effect of the
    intervention     on      the       dependent
    variable/problem) is obtained by comparing
    the two groups.
                                                 35
Experimental studies

                         Exposed
Exposure                                    Disease
assigned                                    occurrence
                       Not exposed




  Unethical to perform experiments on people if
               exposure is harmful

                                                         36
Past                   Present                 Future
       Case-control study
Exposure  Outcome

                              Prospective Cohort study
                            Exposure  Outcome

 Retrospective Cohort study
Exposure  Outcome

                   Cross-sectional study
                            Exposure


                            Outcome
Classical Experimental
         Study Design
    The classical experimental study
    design has three characteristics:

 Manipulation
 Control

 Randomization




                                        38
Quasi – Experimental
              Studies
   In a QUASI-EXPERIMENTAL STUDY,
    at least one characteristic of a true
    experiment is missing.
   One of the most common quasi-experimental
    designs uses two (or more) groups, one of,
    which serves a control group in which no
    intervention takes place.
   Both groups are observed before as well as
    after the intervention, to test if the
    intervention has made any difference.
                                             39
Tutorial
   An epidemiologist wants to find out the
    association of bottle feeding with the
    incidence of diarrhoea.
   He enrolled 100 children fed through
    bottle and 80 experienced at least one
    episode of diarrhoea during the follow up
    period. Out of 150 on breast feeding 60
    had experienced diarrhoe during the
    same period.
   Calculate the relevant measure of risk
   Interpret your result

                                                40
Thank you




            41

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study designs

  • 2. Objectives  Understand the concept of epidemiological studies.  Understand the concepts of exposure, outcome and risk.  Identify the association between exposure and outcome.  Quantify the magnitude of association by calculating and interpreting the measures of association:  Relative risk or risk ratio  Odds ratio 2
  • 3. Important study questions 1. What? 1. Event Surveillance data sources 2. When? 2. Time Surveillance, 3. Where 3. Place ? Descriptive studies 4. Person 4. Who? 5. Reason Why? Analytical studies 5. 6. Way 6. How? 3
  • 4. Concepts  Variable  Outcome or Effect variable  Measures of disease  Risk Factor or Exposure variable  Measures of risk  Association of risk and disease  Measures of association 4
  • 5. Types of Study designs  Non Intervention Studies  Descriptive studies  Comparative (analytical) studies  Exploratory studies  Intervention Studies The two categories of intervention studies are:  Experimental studies  Quasi-experimental studies. 5
  • 6. Current Classification E P ID E M IO L O G IC A L S T U D Y D E S IG N S D E S C R IP T IV E A N A L Y T IC A L 1 . C a s e R e p o rt O B S E R V A T IO N A L E X P E R IM E N T A L 2 . C a s e S e rie s CASE CONTROL 1 . S in g le B lin d 3 . C o rre la tio n / E c o lo g ic a l COHORT 2 . D o u b le B lin d 4 . C ro s s S e c tio n a l / P re v a le n c e 3 . T rip le B lin d 6
  • 7. E p id e m io lo g ic a l S t u d ie s I n te r v e n tio n a l s tu d ie s N o n -in te r v e n tio n a l S tu d ie s o r O b s e r v a tio n a l C lin ic a l F ie ld C o m m u n ity E x p lo r a to r y D e s c r ip tiv e T r ia ls I n v e s tig a tio n I n te r v e n tio n C a s e s e r ie s C r o s s -s e c tio n a l s u r v e y s A n a ly tic a l A n a ly tic a l S tu d ie s C r o s s -s e c tio n a l C a s e -C o n tr o l C ohort c o m p a ra tive
  • 8. Association between exposure and outcome Exposure Outcome Cause Effect 8
  • 9. Descriptive Studies Descriptive studies involve the systematic collection and presentation of data to give a clear picture of a particular situation and can be carried out on a small or large scale.  Case studies  Case series 9
  • 10. Comparative or Analytical Studies  An ANALYTICAL STUDY attempts to establish causes or risk factors for certain problems. This is done by comparing two or more groups, some of which have or develop the problem and some of which have not. 10
  • 11. Cross-sectional Comparative studies  Many cross-sectional surveys focus on comparing as well as describing groups.  For example, a survey on malnutrition may wish to establish:  The percentage of malnourished children in a certain population  Socio-economic, physical, political variables that influence the availability of food 11
  • 12. Cross Sectional Surveys Quantify the distribution of certain variables in a study population at a point of time. They may cover, for example:  Physical characteristics of people, materials, or the environment,etc 12
  • 13. Cross Sectional Surveys  The behavior of people and the knowledge, attitudes, beliefs, and opinions that may help to explain that behaviour (KAP studies), or events that occurred in the population.  Cross-sectional surveys cover a sample of the population. If a cross-sectional study covers the total population it is called a census. 13
  • 14. Case Control Studies  In a CASE-CONTROL STUDY, the investigator compares one group among whom a problem is (e.g., malnutrition) with another group, called a control or comparison group, where the problem is absent to find out what factors have contributed to the problem. 14
  • 15. 15
  • 16. Odds Ratio (OR)  Measure of the strength of the association between risk factor and outcome.  The derivation of the Odds Ratio is based on three assumptions: - The disease being investigated must be relatively rare. - The cases must be representative of those with the disease - The controls must be representative of those without disease 16
  • 17. A study was conducted to find out the association of smoking to lung cancer. 100 cases of lung cancer were interviewed about their smoking status and 60 of them were smokers. 200 Normal people were also interviewed and 40 of them were smokers. Find the odd ratio in the given scenario and interpret your result 17 as well.
  • 18. Biopsy Results Smoking CA Lung CA Lung Total status Positive Negative a+b Yes a b c +d No c d a +b +c + d Total a+c b+d 18
  • 19. Biopsy Results Smoking CA Lung CA Lung Total status Positive Negative a+b Yes 60 40 c +d No 40 160 a +b +c + d Total 100 200 19
  • 20. Odd ratio = a/c ÷ b/d = a/c x d/b = 60 x 160 40 x 40 = 6  Interpretation:  Lung cancer patients are six times more likely to be smokers than normal persons 20
  • 21. Cohort Studies  In a COHORT STUDY, a group of individuals that is exposed to a risk factor (study group) is compared with a group of individuals not exposed to the risk factor (control group).  The researcher follows both groups over time and compares the occurrence of the problem that he or she expects to be related to the risk factor in the two groups to determine whether a greater proportion of those with the risk factor are indeed affected. 21
  • 22. What is a cohort?  Cohort - Latin word for one of the 10 divisions of a Roman legion  A group of individuals  sharing same experience  followed up for a specified period of time  Examples  birth cohort  occupational cohort chemical plant workers 22
  • 23. 23
  • 24. Cohort Study Disease Exposure Study starts occurrence time 24
  • 25. Cohort Study Disease Study starts Exposure occurrence time 25
  • 26. Cohort Study Not exposed Incidence among Non exposed exposed Incidence among exposed 26
  • 27. Steps in designing Cohort Studies  Identify group of exposed subjects  Identify group of non-exposed subjects  Follow-up both groups for disease  Measure frequency of disease occurrence in both groups  Compare risks between exposed and non-exposed group 27
  • 28. Relative Ratio/Risk (RR)  Ratio of incidence of the disease (or death)among exposed and the incidence among non-exposed.  It is a direct measure (or index) of the “strength” of the association between suspected cause and effect 28
  • 29. A scientist wanted to study the effect of smoking on lung cancer. He enrolled 500 people who were smoking and the 1000 individuals who were not smokers. After 15 years of follow up he found that among the smokers 50 developed lung cancer while among the non smokers 25 developed lung cancer. Find the relative risk of lung cancer among smokers and interpret the result as well 29
  • 30. Biopsy Results CA Lung CA Lung Smoking status Total Positive Negative a+b Yes a b c +d No c d a +b +c + d Total a+c b+d 30
  • 31. Biopsy Results CA Lung CA Lung Smoking status Total Positive Negative 500 Yes 50 b 1000 No 25 d a +b +c + d Total a+c b+d 31
  • 32. Relative risk = Incidence of disease Among Exposed Incidence of disease among non exp  RR = a/a+b ÷ c/c+d = 50/500 ÷ 25/1000 = 50/500 x 1000/25 = 4  Interpretation:  Smokers are 4 times more likely to develop lung cancer than non smokers 32
  • 33. Exploratory Studies  An Exploratory study is a small- scale study of relatively short duration, which is carried out when little else is known about a situation or a problem. 33
  • 34. Intervention Studies  In intervention studies, the researcher manipulates a situation and measures the effects of the manipulation. Usually (but not always) two groups are compared, one in which the intervention takes place (e.g.. treatment with a certain drug) and another group that remains "untouched" (e.g., treatment with a placebo) . 34
  • 35. Experimental Studies  Experimental design is the only type of study design that can actually prove causation.  In an EXPERIMENTAL STUDY, individuals are randomly allocated to at least two groups. One group is subjected to an intervention or experiment, while the other group(s) is not.  The outcome of the intervention (effect of the intervention on the dependent variable/problem) is obtained by comparing the two groups. 35
  • 36. Experimental studies Exposed Exposure Disease assigned occurrence Not exposed Unethical to perform experiments on people if exposure is harmful 36
  • 37. Past Present Future Case-control study Exposure  Outcome Prospective Cohort study Exposure  Outcome Retrospective Cohort study Exposure  Outcome Cross-sectional study Exposure Outcome
  • 38. Classical Experimental Study Design The classical experimental study design has three characteristics:  Manipulation  Control  Randomization 38
  • 39. Quasi – Experimental Studies  In a QUASI-EXPERIMENTAL STUDY, at least one characteristic of a true experiment is missing.  One of the most common quasi-experimental designs uses two (or more) groups, one of, which serves a control group in which no intervention takes place.  Both groups are observed before as well as after the intervention, to test if the intervention has made any difference. 39
  • 40. Tutorial  An epidemiologist wants to find out the association of bottle feeding with the incidence of diarrhoea.  He enrolled 100 children fed through bottle and 80 experienced at least one episode of diarrhoea during the follow up period. Out of 150 on breast feeding 60 had experienced diarrhoe during the same period.  Calculate the relevant measure of risk  Interpret your result 40
  • 41. Thank you 41