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Margins Selected case 2
2014 2015 2016 2017Q3 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
In Million Actual Actual Actual Actual Forecast Forecast Forecast Forecast Forecast Forecast Forecast Forecast Forecast Forecast
Gross profit (Model S & Model X ) 861 918 1,601 1,698 3061.0 3895.4 4999.7 6167.8 7309.3 8628.2 9585.9 10456.3 11405.7 12211.0
Gross profit (Model 3 862.6 1881.8 3326.2 4998.8 7651.8 10117.0 12261.8 14366.0 16831.2 18699.4
Gross profit (Other vehicles) 0.0 643.4 1810.2 3290.9 5982.8 8459.7 11107.6 13462.4 15772.6 17523.3
Automotive Gross profit 861.263 917.671 1600.685 1697.573 3923.6 6420.6 10136.0 14457.6 20943.9 27204.9 32955.3 38284.7 44009.5 48433.7
Selected Case
Average Margin (Model S & Model X ) 7% 74% 6% 26% 26% 28% 30% 32% 34% 34% 34% 34% 34%
Average Margin (Model 3 10% 12% 15% 18% 22% 24% 24% 24% 24% 24%
Average Margin (Other vehicles) 26% 28% 30% 30% 30% 30% 30% 30% 30% 30%
Best Case
Average Margin (Model S & Model X ) 27% 27% 29% 31% 33% 35% 35% 35% 35% 35%
Average Margin (Model 3 11% 13% 16% 19% 23% 25% 25% 25% 25% 25%
Average Margin (Other vehicles) 27% 29% 31% 31% 31% 31% 31% 31% 31% 31%
Base Case
Average Margin (Model S & Model X ) 26% 26% 28% 30% 32% 34% 34% 34% 34% 34%
Average Margin (Model 3 10% 12% 15% 18% 22% 24% 24% 24% 24% 24%
Average Margin (Other vehicles) 26% 28% 30% 30% 30% 30% 30% 30% 30% 30%
Worse Case
Average Margin (Model S & Model X ) 25% 25% 27% 29% 31% 33% 33% 33% 33% 33%
Average Margin (Model 3 9% 11% 14% 17% 21% 23% 23% 23% 23% 23%
Average Margin (Other vehicles) 25% 27% 29% 29% 29% 29% 29% 29% 29% 29%

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Tesla gross profit margins 2014-2027 by vehicle type and scenario

  • 1. Margins Selected case 2 2014 2015 2016 2017Q3 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 In Million Actual Actual Actual Actual Forecast Forecast Forecast Forecast Forecast Forecast Forecast Forecast Forecast Forecast Gross profit (Model S & Model X ) 861 918 1,601 1,698 3061.0 3895.4 4999.7 6167.8 7309.3 8628.2 9585.9 10456.3 11405.7 12211.0 Gross profit (Model 3 862.6 1881.8 3326.2 4998.8 7651.8 10117.0 12261.8 14366.0 16831.2 18699.4 Gross profit (Other vehicles) 0.0 643.4 1810.2 3290.9 5982.8 8459.7 11107.6 13462.4 15772.6 17523.3 Automotive Gross profit 861.263 917.671 1600.685 1697.573 3923.6 6420.6 10136.0 14457.6 20943.9 27204.9 32955.3 38284.7 44009.5 48433.7 Selected Case Average Margin (Model S & Model X ) 7% 74% 6% 26% 26% 28% 30% 32% 34% 34% 34% 34% 34% Average Margin (Model 3 10% 12% 15% 18% 22% 24% 24% 24% 24% 24% Average Margin (Other vehicles) 26% 28% 30% 30% 30% 30% 30% 30% 30% 30% Best Case Average Margin (Model S & Model X ) 27% 27% 29% 31% 33% 35% 35% 35% 35% 35% Average Margin (Model 3 11% 13% 16% 19% 23% 25% 25% 25% 25% 25% Average Margin (Other vehicles) 27% 29% 31% 31% 31% 31% 31% 31% 31% 31% Base Case Average Margin (Model S & Model X ) 26% 26% 28% 30% 32% 34% 34% 34% 34% 34% Average Margin (Model 3 10% 12% 15% 18% 22% 24% 24% 24% 24% 24% Average Margin (Other vehicles) 26% 28% 30% 30% 30% 30% 30% 30% 30% 30% Worse Case Average Margin (Model S & Model X ) 25% 25% 27% 29% 31% 33% 33% 33% 33% 33% Average Margin (Model 3 9% 11% 14% 17% 21% 23% 23% 23% 23% 23% Average Margin (Other vehicles) 25% 27% 29% 29% 29% 29% 29% 29% 29% 29%