Capex forecast and analysis for 10 years
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CAPEX P&L, BALANCE SHEET TESLA FORECAST
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Capex forecast and analysis for 10 years
- 1. Capex Selected case 2 31 Dec 2014 31 Dec 2015 31 Dec 2016 30 Sep 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 In Million Actual Actual Actual Actual Forecast Forecast Forecast Forecast Forecast Forecast Forecast Forecast Forecast Forecast Beginning PP&E 738.50 1,829.27 3,403.33 5,982.96 9,394.40 19,597.43 32,679.51 48,200.41 65,226.96 84,039.63 1,02,956.96 1,21,006.02 1,36,303.69 1,53,656.36 Capex 1,322.70 1,996.70 3,526.70 4,577.84 11,602.85 15,516.32 19,237.65 22,224.97 25,726.16 27,675.87 28,722.44 27,826.12 32,015.48 35,251.47 D&A (231.90) (422.60) (947.10) (1,166.40) (1,399.82) (2,434.24) (3,716.75) (5,198.41) (6,913.49) (8,758.55) (10,673.38) (12,528.45) (14,662.82) (17,012.91) Ending PP&E 1,829.27 3,403.33 5,982.96 9,394.40 19,597.43 32,679.51 48,200.41 65,226.96 84,039.63 1,02,956.96 1,21,006.02 1,36,303.69 1,53,656.36 1,71,894.91 D&A as a % of PP&E -31% -23% -28% -19% D&A as a % of Revenue -7% -10% -14% -14% CAPEX as a % of PP&E 179% 109% 104% 77% CAPEX as a % of Revenue 41% 49% 50% 54% Useful life CAPEX 15 Useful life historical assets 15 In millions 31 Dec 2014 31 Dec 2015 31 Dec 2016 30 Sep 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 D&A Year 1 -1400 -1399.8 -1399.8 -1399.8 -1399.8 -1399.8 -1399.8 -1399.8 -1399.8 -1399.8 D&A Year 2 -1034.4 -1034.4 -1034.4 -1034.4 -1034.4 -1034.4 -1034.4 -1034.4 -1034.4 D&A Year 3 -1282.5 -1282.5 -1282.5 -1282.5 -1282.5 -1282.5 -1282.5 -1282.5 D&A Year 4 -1481.7 -1481.7 -1481.7 -1481.7 -1481.7 -1481.7 -1481.7 D&A Year 5 -1715.1 -1715.1 -1715.1 -1715.1 -1715.1 -1715.1 D&A Year 6 -1845.1 -1845.1 -1845.1 -1845.1 -1845.1 D&A Year 7 -1914.8 -1914.8 -1914.8 -1914.8 D&A Year 8 -1855.1 -1855.1 -1855.1 D&A Year 9 -2134.4 -2134.4 D&A Year 10 -2350.1 Total D&A -231.90 -422.60 -947.10 -1,166.40 -1399.8164 -2434.2376 -3716.7472 -5198.4116 -6913.4889 -8758.547047 -10673.37626 -12528.45105 -14662.81663 -17012.91468 Selected Case 54% 45% 40% 36% 32% 28% 24% 20% 20% 20% CAPEX as % of revenues Best Case CAPEX as % of revenues 53% 44% 39% 35% 31% 27% 24% 20% 20% 20% Base Case CAPEX as % of revenues 54% 45% 40% 36% 32% 28% 24% 20% 20% 20% Worst Case CAPEX as % of revenues 55% 45% 40% 36% 32% 28% 24% 20% 20% 20%