Year
Real rates
(Adjusted for
Inflation)
Average
Inflation
NSC
Interest
rates
Index
Returns
Year
Yearly
Salary
Expenses Savings
Nominal
Return
Real return
(adjusted for
Inflation)
Nominal
Saving
Real
Saving
Gain /
Loss due
to
inflation
Cumm
Real
Saving
2009 -2.83% 10.83% 8.00% 46.00% 2009 100 50.00 50.00 4.00 -1.42 54.00 52.59 -1.42 52.59
2010 -4.11% 12.11% 8.00% 25.30% 2010 106 55.00 51.00 4.08 -2.10 55.08 52.98 -2.10 105.57
2011 -0.47% 8.87% 8.40% -15.60% 2011 112 60.50 51.86 4.15 -0.24 56.01 55.77 -0.24 161.33
2012 -0.70% 9.30% 8.60% 12.98% 2012 119 66.55 52.55 4.41 -0.37 56.97 56.60 -0.37 217.93
2013 -2.42% 10.92% 8.50% 6.40% 2013 126 73.21 53.04 4.56 -1.28 57.60 56.32 -1.28 274.25
2014 1.63% 6.37% 8.00% 34.10% 2014 134 80.53 53.30 4.53 0.87 57.83 58.70 0.87 332.95
2015 2.12% 5.88% 8.00% -10.50% 2015 142 88.58 53.27 4.26 1.13 57.54 58.67 1.13 391.61
2016 3.03% 4.97% 8.00% 7.10% 2016 150 97.44 52.93 4.23 1.60 57.16 58.77 1.60 450.38
2017 5.51% 2.49% 8.00% 23.10% 2017 159 107.18 52.21 4.18 2.88 56.38 59.26 2.88 509.64
2018 3.47% 4.53% 8.00% 4.50% 2018 169 117.90 51.05 4.08 1.77 55.13 56.91 1.77 566.54
6% 26.8%
10% 14.8%
50
Base Case
26.8% 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6%
8% 18.84% 20.75% 22.50% 24.14% 25.68% 27.14% 28.53%
9% 17.16% 19.31% 21.25% 23.03% 24.69% 26.25% 27.73%
10% 15.12% 17.60% 19.79% 21.76% 23.57% 25.26% 26.83%
11% 12.56% 15.52% 18.05% 20.28% 22.29% 24.12% 25.83%
12% 9.11% 12.89% 15.93% 18.51% 20.78% 22.82% 24.68%
13% 3.96% 9.35% 13.24% 16.36% 18.99% 21.29% 23.36%
Base case - Expenses increase y-o-y
Base case - Income increase y-o-y
CAGR - Index
CAGR - Savings
INDIA - REAL RETURNS FOR COMMON MANDATA
References :
1. Inflation figures: https://www.inflation.eu/inflation-rates/india/historic-inflation/cpi-inflation-india.aspx
2. NSC interest rates: http://dailytools.in/GovernmentSavingSchemes/Article/national-savings-certificate-nsc-interest-rates
3. Index Returns: https://in.investing.com/indices/sensex-historical-data
Income increase y-o-y (%)
SCENARIO ANALYSIS
Increasein
Expensesy-o-y
(%)
Base case - Starting Expenses

Analysis of effect of inflation on returns on saving for india real returns

  • 1.
    Year Real rates (Adjusted for Inflation) Average Inflation NSC Interest rates Index Returns Year Yearly Salary ExpensesSavings Nominal Return Real return (adjusted for Inflation) Nominal Saving Real Saving Gain / Loss due to inflation Cumm Real Saving 2009 -2.83% 10.83% 8.00% 46.00% 2009 100 50.00 50.00 4.00 -1.42 54.00 52.59 -1.42 52.59 2010 -4.11% 12.11% 8.00% 25.30% 2010 106 55.00 51.00 4.08 -2.10 55.08 52.98 -2.10 105.57 2011 -0.47% 8.87% 8.40% -15.60% 2011 112 60.50 51.86 4.15 -0.24 56.01 55.77 -0.24 161.33 2012 -0.70% 9.30% 8.60% 12.98% 2012 119 66.55 52.55 4.41 -0.37 56.97 56.60 -0.37 217.93 2013 -2.42% 10.92% 8.50% 6.40% 2013 126 73.21 53.04 4.56 -1.28 57.60 56.32 -1.28 274.25 2014 1.63% 6.37% 8.00% 34.10% 2014 134 80.53 53.30 4.53 0.87 57.83 58.70 0.87 332.95 2015 2.12% 5.88% 8.00% -10.50% 2015 142 88.58 53.27 4.26 1.13 57.54 58.67 1.13 391.61 2016 3.03% 4.97% 8.00% 7.10% 2016 150 97.44 52.93 4.23 1.60 57.16 58.77 1.60 450.38 2017 5.51% 2.49% 8.00% 23.10% 2017 159 107.18 52.21 4.18 2.88 56.38 59.26 2.88 509.64 2018 3.47% 4.53% 8.00% 4.50% 2018 169 117.90 51.05 4.08 1.77 55.13 56.91 1.77 566.54 6% 26.8% 10% 14.8% 50 Base Case 26.8% 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 8% 18.84% 20.75% 22.50% 24.14% 25.68% 27.14% 28.53% 9% 17.16% 19.31% 21.25% 23.03% 24.69% 26.25% 27.73% 10% 15.12% 17.60% 19.79% 21.76% 23.57% 25.26% 26.83% 11% 12.56% 15.52% 18.05% 20.28% 22.29% 24.12% 25.83% 12% 9.11% 12.89% 15.93% 18.51% 20.78% 22.82% 24.68% 13% 3.96% 9.35% 13.24% 16.36% 18.99% 21.29% 23.36% Base case - Expenses increase y-o-y Base case - Income increase y-o-y CAGR - Index CAGR - Savings INDIA - REAL RETURNS FOR COMMON MANDATA References : 1. Inflation figures: https://www.inflation.eu/inflation-rates/india/historic-inflation/cpi-inflation-india.aspx 2. NSC interest rates: http://dailytools.in/GovernmentSavingSchemes/Article/national-savings-certificate-nsc-interest-rates 3. Index Returns: https://in.investing.com/indices/sensex-historical-data Income increase y-o-y (%) SCENARIO ANALYSIS Increasein Expensesy-o-y (%) Base case - Starting Expenses