- The document shows Tesla's production forecasts from 2014 to 2027 for its Model S, Model X, Model 3, and other vehicles in thousands of units produced annually. - It provides actual production numbers from 2014 to 2017 and forecasts production increasing each year from 2018 to 2027 for each vehicle class under the Selected, Best, Worst, and Base Cases. - The production of Model 3 is forecasted to increase the most over the time period, from around 2,000 vehicles in 2017 to over 1.4 million vehicles in 2027, driving strong overall production growth for Tesla each year.

1. Production Selected case 2
2014 2015 2016 2017Q3 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
In thousands Actual Actual Actual Actual Forecast Forecast Forecast Forecast Forecast Forecast Forecast Forecast Forecast Forecast
Model S & Model X 31.7 51.2 83.9 101.3 150.9 190.2 224.4 255.8 281.4 309.6 340.5 367.8 397.2 421.0
Model 3 1.8 227.0 408.6 572.0 709.3 879.6 1055.5 1266.6 1469.2 1704.3 1874.7
Other vehicles 35.0 91.0 163.8 294.8 412.8 536.6 643.9 747.0 821.7
Total 31.7 51.15854 83.9 103.1 377.9 633.8 887.5 1129.0 1455.8 1777.8 2143.7 2480.9 2848.4 3117.4
Selected Case
Model S & Model X yoy% 61% 64% 23% 49% 26% 18% 14% 10% 10% 10% 8% 8% 6%
Model 3 yoy% 80% 40% 24% 24% 20% 20% 16% 16% 10%
Other vehicles yoy% 80% 160% 80% 80% 40% 30% 20% 16% 10%
Best Case
Model S & Model X yoy% 27% 18% 14% 10% 10% 10% 8% 8% 6%
Model 3 yoy% 82% 41% 24% 24% 20% 20% 16% 16% 10%
Other vehicles yoy% 82% 163% 82% 82% 41% 31% 20% 16% 10%
Base Case
Model S & Model X yoy% 26% 18% 14% 10% 10% 10% 8% 8% 6%
Model 3 yoy% 80% 40% 24% 24% 20% 20% 16% 16% 10%
Other vehicles yoy% 80% 160% 80% 80% 40% 30% 20% 16% 10%
Worse Case
Model S & Model X yoy% 25% 18% 14% 10% 10% 10% 8% 8% 6%
Model 3 yoy% 78% 39% 24% 24% 20% 20% 16% 16% 10%
Other vehicles yoy% 78% 157% 78% 78% 39% 39% 20% 16% 10%