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Statistics for Managers Using Microsoft Excel, 4e © 2004 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 9-1
Chapter 9
Two-Sample Tests
Statistics for Managers
Using Microsoft®
Excel
4th
Edition
Statistics for Managers Using
Microsoft Excel, 4e © 2004
Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 9-2
Chapter Goals
After completing this chapter, you should be able to:
 Test hypotheses for the difference between two
independent population means (standard deviations known
or unknown)
 Test two means from related samples for the mean
difference
 Complete a Z test for the difference between two
proportions
 Use the F table to find critical F values
 Complete an F test for the difference between two
variances
Statistics for Managers Using
Microsoft Excel, 4e © 2004
Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 9-3
Two Sample Tests
Two Sample Tests
Population
Means,
Independent
Samples
Means,
Related
Samples
Population
Variances
Group 1 vs.
independent
Group 2
Same group
before vs. after
treatment
Variance 1 vs.
Variance 2
Examples:
Population
Proportions
Proportion 1 vs.
Proportion 2
Statistics for Managers Using
Microsoft Excel, 4e © 2004
Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 9-4
Difference Between Two Means
Population means,
independent
samples
σ1 and σ2 known
σ1 and σ2 unknown
Goal: Test hypotheses or form
a confidence interval for the
difference between two
population means, μ1 – μ2
The point estimate for the
difference is
X1 – X2
*
Statistics for Managers Using
Microsoft Excel, 4e © 2004
Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 9-5
Independent Samples
Population means,
independent
samples
 Different data sources
 Unrelated
 Independent

Sample selected from one
population has no effect on
the sample selected from
the other population
 Use the difference between 2
sample means
 Use Z test or pooled variance
t test
*
σ1 and σ2 known
σ1 and σ2 unknown
Statistics for Managers Using
Microsoft Excel, 4e © 2004
Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 9-6
Difference Between Two Means
Population means,
independent
samples
σ1 and σ2 known
σ1 and σ2 unknown
*
Use a Z test statistic
Use S to estimate unknown
σ , use a t test statistic and
pooled standard deviation
Statistics for Managers Using
Microsoft Excel, 4e © 2004
Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 9-7
Population means,
independent
samples
σ1 and σ2 known
σ1 and σ2 Known
Assumptions:
 Samples are randomly and
independently drawn
 population distributions are
normal or both sample sizes
are ≥ 30
 Population standard
deviations are known
*
σ1 and σ2 unknown
Statistics for Managers Using
Microsoft Excel, 4e © 2004
Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 9-8
Population means,
independent
samples
σ1 and σ2 known …and the standard error of
X1 – X2 is
When σ1 and σ2 are known and
both populations are normal or
both sample sizes are at least 30,
the test statistic is a Z-value…
2
2
2
1
2
1
XX
n
σ
n
σ
σ 21
+=−
(continued)
σ1 and σ2 Known
*
σ1 and σ2 unknown
Statistics for Managers Using
Microsoft Excel, 4e © 2004
Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 9-9
Population means,
independent
samples
σ1 and σ2 known ( ) ( )
2
2
2
1
2
1
2121
n
σ
n
σ
μμXX
Z
+
−−−
=
The test statistic for
μ1 – μ2 is:
σ1 and σ2 Known
*
σ1 and σ2 unknown
(continued)
Statistics for Managers Using
Microsoft Excel, 4e © 2004
Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 9-10
Hypothesis Tests for
Two Population Means
Lower-tail test:
H0: μ1 ≥ μ2
H1: μ1 < μ2
i.e.,
H0: μ1 – μ2 ≥ 0
H1: μ1 – μ2 < 0
Upper-tail test:
H0: μ1 ≤ μ2
H1: μ1 > μ2
i.e.,
H0: μ1 – μ2 ≤ 0
H1: μ1 – μ2 > 0
Two-tail test:
H0: μ1 = μ2
H1: μ1 ≠ μ2
i.e.,
H0: μ1 – μ2 = 0
H1: μ1 – μ2 ≠ 0
Two Population Means, Independent Samples
Statistics for Managers Using
Microsoft Excel, 4e © 2004
Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 9-11
Two Population Means, Independent Samples
Lower-tail test:
H0: μ1 – μ2 ≥ 0
H1: μ1 – μ2 < 0
Upper-tail test:
H0: μ1 – μ2 ≤ 0
H1: μ1 – μ2 > 0
Two-tail test:
H0: μ1 – μ2 = 0
H1: μ1 – μ2 ≠ 0
α α/2 α/2α
-zα -zα/2zα zα/2
Reject H0 if Z < -Zα Reject H0 if Z > Zα Reject H0 if Z < -Zα/2
or Z > Zα/2
Hypothesis tests for μ1 – μ2
Statistics for Managers Using
Microsoft Excel, 4e © 2004
Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 9-12
Population means,
independent
samples
σ1 and σ2 known
( )
2
2
2
1
2
1
21
n
σ
n
σ
ZXX +±−
The confidence interval for
μ1 – μ2 is:
Confidence Interval,
σ1 and σ2 Known
*
σ1 and σ2 unknown
Statistics for Managers Using
Microsoft Excel, 4e © 2004
Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 9-13
Population means,
independent
samples
σ1 and σ2 known
σ1 and σ2 Unknown
Assumptions:
 Samples are randomly and
independently drawn
 Populations are normally
distributed or both sample
sizes are at least 30
 Population variances are
unknown but assumed equal
*σ1 and σ2 unknown
Statistics for Managers Using
Microsoft Excel, 4e © 2004
Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 9-14
Population means,
independent
samples
σ1 and σ2 known
σ1 and σ2 Unknown
(continued)
*σ1 and σ2 unknown
Forming interval
estimates:
 The population variances
are assumed equal, so use
the two sample standard
deviations and pool them to
estimate σ
 the test statistic is a t value
with (n1 + n2 – 2) degrees
of freedom
Statistics for Managers Using
Microsoft Excel, 4e © 2004
Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 9-15
Population means,
independent
samples
σ1 and σ2 known
σ1 and σ2 Unknown
The pooled standard
deviation is
(continued)
( ) ( )
1)n()1(n
S1nS1n
S
21
2
22
2
11
p
−+−
−+−
=*σ1 and σ2 unknown
Statistics for Managers Using
Microsoft Excel, 4e © 2004
Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 9-16
Population means,
independent
samples
σ1 and σ2 known
σ1 and σ2 Unknown
Where t has (n1 + n2 – 2) d.f.,
and
( ) ( )






+
−−−
=
21
2
p
2121
n
1
n
1
S
μμXX
t
The test statistic for
μ1 – μ2 is:
*σ1 and σ2 unknown
( ) ( )
1)n()1(n
S1nS1n
S
21
2
22
2
112
p
−+−
−+−
=
(continued)
Statistics for Managers Using
Microsoft Excel, 4e © 2004
Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 9-17
Population means,
independent
samples
σ1 and σ2 known
( ) 





+±− +
21
2
p2-nn21
n
1
n
1
StXX 21
The confidence interval for
μ1 – μ2 is:
Where
( ) ( )
1)n()1(n
S1nS1n
S
21
2
22
2
112
p
−+−
−+−
=
*σ1 and σ2 unknown
Confidence Interval,
σ1 and σ2 Unknown
Statistics for Managers Using
Microsoft Excel, 4e © 2004
Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 9-18
Pooled Sp t Test: Example
You are a financial analyst for a brokerage firm. Is there
a difference in dividend yield between stocks listed on the
NYSE & NASDAQ? You collect the following data:
NYSE NASDAQ
Number 21 25
Sample mean 3.27 2.53
Sample std dev 1.30 1.16
Assuming both populations are
approximately normal with
equal variances, is
there a difference in average
yield (α = 0.05)?
Statistics for Managers Using
Microsoft Excel, 4e © 2004
Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 9-19
Calculating the Test Statistic
( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) 1.5021
1)25(1)-(21
1.161251.30121
1)n()1(n
S1nS1n
S
22
21
2
22
2
112
p =
−+
−+−
=
−+−
−+−
=
( ) ( ) ( ) 2.040
25
1
21
1
5021.1
02.533.27
n
1
n
1
S
μμXX
t
21
2
p
2121
=






+
−−
=






+
−−−
=
The test statistic is:
Statistics for Managers Using
Microsoft Excel, 4e © 2004
Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 9-20
Solution
H0: μ1 - μ2 = 0 i.e. (μ1 = μ2)
H1: μ1 - μ2 ≠ 0 i.e. (μ1 ≠ μ2)
α = 0.05
df = 21 + 25 - 2 = 44
Critical Values: t = ± 2.0154
Test Statistic: Decision:
Conclusion:
Reject H0 at α = 0.05
There is evidence of a
difference in means.
t0 2.0154-2.0154
.025
Reject H0 Reject H0
.025
2.040
2.040
25
1
21
1
5021.1
2.533.27
t =






+
−
=
Statistics for Managers Using
Microsoft Excel, 4e © 2004
Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 9-21
Related Samples
Tests Means of 2 Related Populations
 Paired or matched samples
 Repeated measures (before/after)
 Use difference between paired values:
 Eliminates Variation Among Subjects
 Assumptions:
 Both Populations Are Normally Distributed
 Or, if Not Normal, use large samples
Related
samples
D = X1 - X2
Statistics for Managers Using
Microsoft Excel, 4e © 2004
Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 9-22
Mean Difference, σD Known
The ith
paired difference is Di , where
Related
samples
Di = X1i - X2i
The point estimate for
the population mean
paired difference is D : n
D
D
n
1i
i∑=
=
Suppose the population standard
deviation of the difference
scores, σD, is known
n is the number of pairs in the paired sample
Statistics for Managers Using
Microsoft Excel, 4e © 2004
Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 9-23
The test statistic for the mean
difference is a Z value:Paired
samples
n
σ
μD
Z
D
D−
=
Mean Difference, σD Known
(continued)
Where
μD = hypothesized mean difference
σD = population standard dev. of differences
n = the sample size (number of pairs)
Statistics for Managers Using
Microsoft Excel, 4e © 2004
Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 9-24
Confidence Interval, σD Known
The confidence interval for D isPaired
samples
n
σ
ZD D
±
Where
n = the sample size
(number of pairs in the paired sample)
Statistics for Managers Using
Microsoft Excel, 4e © 2004
Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 9-25
If σD is unknown, we can estimate the
unknown population standard deviation
with a sample standard deviation:
Related
samples
1n
)D(D
S
n
1i
2
i
D
−
−
=
∑=
The sample standard
deviation is
Mean Difference, σD Unknown
Statistics for Managers Using
Microsoft Excel, 4e © 2004
Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 9-26
The test statistic for D is now a
t statistic, with n-1 d.f.:Paired
samples
1n
)D(D
S
n
1i
2
i
D
−
−
=
∑=
n
S
μD
t
D
D−
=
Where t has n - 1 d.f.
and SD is:
Mean Difference, σD Unknown
(continued)
Statistics for Managers Using
Microsoft Excel, 4e © 2004
Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 9-27
The confidence interval for D isPaired
samples
1n
)D(D
S
n
1i
2
i
D
−
−
=
∑=
n
S
tD D
1n−±
where
Confidence Interval, σD Unknown
Statistics for Managers Using
Microsoft Excel, 4e © 2004
Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 9-28
Lower-tail test:
H0: μD ≥ 0
H1: μD < 0
Upper-tail test:
H0: μD ≤ 0
H1: μD > 0
Two-tail test:
H0: μD = 0
H1: μD ≠ 0
Paired Samples
Hypothesis Testing for
Mean Difference, σD Unknown
α α/2 α/2α
-tα -tα/2tα tα/2
Reject H0 if t < -tα Reject H0 if t > tα Reject H0 if t < -tα/2
or t > tα/2
Where t has n - 1 d.f.
Statistics for Managers Using
Microsoft Excel, 4e © 2004
Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 9-29
 Assume you send your salespeople to a “customer
service” training workshop. Is the training effective?
You collect the following data:
Paired Samples Example
Number of Complaints: (2) - (1)
Salesperson Before (1) After (2) Difference, Di
C.B. 6 4 - 2
T.F. 20 6 -14
M.H. 3 2 - 1
R.K. 0 0 0
M.O. 4 0 - 4
-21
D =
Σ Di
n
5.67
1n
)D(D
S
2
i
D
=
−
−
=
∑
= -4.2
Statistics for Managers Using
Microsoft Excel, 4e © 2004
Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 9-30
 Has the training made a difference in the number of
complaints (at the 0.01 level)?
- 4.2D =
1.66
55.67/
04.2
n/S
μD
t
D
D
−=
−−
=
−
=
H0: μD = 0
H1: μD ≠ 0
Test Statistic:
Critical Value = ± 4.604
d.f. = n - 1 = 4
Reject
α/2
- 4.604 4.604
Decision: Do not reject H0
(t stat is not in the reject region)
Conclusion: There is not a
significant change in the
number of complaints.
Paired Samples: Solution
Reject
α/2
- 1.66
α = .01
Statistics for Managers Using
Microsoft Excel, 4e © 2004
Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 9-31
Two Population Proportions
Goal: test a hypothesis or form a
confidence interval for the difference
between two population proportions,
p1 – p2
The point estimate for
the difference is
Population
proportions
Assumptions:
n1p1 ≥ 5 , n1(1-p1) ≥ 5
n2p2 ≥ 5 , n2(1-p2) ≥ 5
21 ss pp −
Statistics for Managers Using
Microsoft Excel, 4e © 2004
Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 9-32
Two Population Proportions
Population
proportions
21
21
nn
XX
p
+
+
=
The pooled estimate for the
overall proportion is:
where X1 and X2 are the numbers from
samples 1 and 2 with the characteristic of
interest
Since we begin by assuming the null
hypothesis is true, we assume p1 = p2
and pool the two ps estimates
Statistics for Managers Using
Microsoft Excel, 4e © 2004
Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 9-33
Two Population Proportions
Population
proportions
( ) ( )






+−
−−−
=
21
21ss
n
1
n
1
)p1(p
pppp
Z 21
The test statistic for
p1 – p2 is a Z statistic:
(continued)
2
2
s
1
1
s
21
21
n
X
p,
n
X
p,
nn
XX
p 21
==
+
+
=where
Statistics for Managers Using
Microsoft Excel, 4e © 2004
Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 9-34
Confidence Interval for
Two Population Proportions
Population
proportions
( )
2
ss
1
ss
ss
n
)p(1p
n
)p(1p
Zpp 2211
21
−
+
−
±−
The confidence interval for
p1 – p2 is:
Statistics for Managers Using
Microsoft Excel, 4e © 2004
Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 9-35
Hypothesis Tests for
Two Population Proportions
Population proportions
Lower-tail test:
H0: p1 ≥ p2
H1: p1 < p2
i.e.,
H0: p1 – p2 ≥ 0
H1: p1 – p2 < 0
Upper-tail test:
H0: p1 ≤ p2
H1: p1 > p2
i.e.,
H0: p1 – p2 ≤ 0
H1: p1 – p2 > 0
Two-tail test:
H0: p1 = p2
H1: p1 ≠ p2
i.e.,
H0: p1 – p2 = 0
H1: p1 – p2 ≠ 0
Statistics for Managers Using
Microsoft Excel, 4e © 2004
Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 9-36
Hypothesis Tests for
Two Population Proportions
Population proportions
Lower-tail test:
H0: p1 – p2 ≥ 0
H1: p1 – p2 < 0
Upper-tail test:
H0: p1 – p2 ≤ 0
H1: p1 – p2 > 0
Two-tail test:
H0: p1 – p2 = 0
H1: p1 – p2 ≠ 0
α α/2 α/2α
-zα -zα/2zα zα/2
Reject H0 if Z < -Zα Reject H0 if Z > Zα Reject H0 if Z < -Zα/2
or Z > Zα/2
(continued)
Statistics for Managers Using
Microsoft Excel, 4e © 2004
Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 9-37
Example:
Two population Proportions
Is there a significant difference between the
proportion of men and the proportion of
women who will vote Yes on Proposition A?
 In a random sample, 36 of 72 men and 31 of
50 women indicated they would vote Yes
 Test at the .05 level of significance
Statistics for Managers Using
Microsoft Excel, 4e © 2004
Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 9-38
 The hypothesis test is:
H0: p1 – p2 = 0 (the two proportions are equal)
H1: p1 – p2 ≠ 0 (there is a significant difference between proportions)
 The sample proportions are:
 Men: ps1 = 36/72 = .50
 Women: ps2 = 31/50 = .62
.549
122
67
5072
3136
nn
XX
p
21
21
==
+
+
=
+
+
=
 The pooled estimate for the overall proportion is:
Example:
Two population Proportions
(continued)
Statistics for Managers Using
Microsoft Excel, 4e © 2004
Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 9-39
The test statistic for p1 – p2 is:
Example:
Two population Proportions
(continued)
.025
-1.96 1.96
.025
-1.31
Decision: Do not reject H0
Conclusion: There is not
significant evidence of a
difference in proportions
who will vote yes between
men and women.
( ) ( )
( ) ( ) 1.31
50
1
72
1
.549)(1.549
0.62.50
n
1
n
1
)p(1p
pppp
z
21
21ss 21
−=






+−
−−
=






+−
−−−
=
Reject H0 Reject H0
Critical Values = ±1.96
For α = .05
Statistics for Managers Using
Microsoft Excel, 4e © 2004
Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 9-40
Hypothesis Tests for Variances
Tests for Two
Population
Variances
F test statistic
H0: σ1
2
= σ2
2
H1: σ1
2
≠ σ2
2
Two-tail test
Lower-tail test
Upper-tail test
H0: σ1
2
≥ σ2
2
H1: σ1
2
< σ2
2
H0: σ1
2
≤ σ2
2
H1: σ1
2
> σ2
2
*
Statistics for Managers Using
Microsoft Excel, 4e © 2004
Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 9-41
Hypothesis Tests for Variances
Tests for Two
Population
Variances
F test statistic
2
2
2
1
S
S
F =
The F test statistic is:
= Variance of Sample 1
n1 - 1 = numerator degrees of freedom
n2 - 1 = denominator degrees of freedom
= Variance of Sample 2
2
1S
2
2S
*
(continued)
Statistics for Managers Using
Microsoft Excel, 4e © 2004
Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 9-42
 The F critical value is found from the F table
 The are two appropriate degrees of freedom:
numerator and denominator
 In the F table,
 numerator degrees of freedom determine the column
 denominator degrees of freedom determine the row
The F Distribution
where df1 = n1 – 1 ; df2 = n2 – 12
2
2
1
S
S
F =
Statistics for Managers Using
Microsoft Excel, 4e © 2004
Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 9-43
F0
Finding the Rejection Region
L2
2
2
1
U2
2
2
1
F
S
S
F
F
S
S
F
<=
>= rejection
region for a
two-tail test is:
α
FL
Reject
H0
Do not
reject H0
F
0
α
FU
Reject H0Do not
reject H0
F0
α/2
Reject H0Do not
reject H0
FU
H0: σ1
2
= σ2
2
H1: σ1
2
≠ σ2
2
H0: σ1
2
≥ σ2
2
H1: σ1
2
< σ2
2
H0: σ1
2
≤ σ2
2
H1: σ1
2
> σ2
2
FL
α/2
Reject
H0
Reject H0 if F < FL
Reject H0 if F > FU
Statistics for Managers Using
Microsoft Excel, 4e © 2004
Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 9-44
Finding the Rejection Region
F0
α/2
Reject H0Do not
reject H0
FU
H0: σ1
2
= σ2
2
H1: σ1
2
≠ σ2
2
FL
α/2
Reject
H0
(continued)
2. Find FL using the formula:
Where FU* is from the F table with
n2 – 1 numerator and n1 – 1
denominator degrees of freedom
(i.e., switch the d.f. from FU)
*U
L
F
1
F =1. Find FU from the F table
for n1 – 1 numerator and
n2 – 1 denominator
degrees of freedom
To find the critical F values:
Statistics for Managers Using
Microsoft Excel, 4e © 2004
Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 9-45
F Test: An Example
You are a financial analyst for a brokerage firm. You
want to compare dividend yields between stocks listed on
the NYSE & NASDAQ. You collect the following data:
NYSE NASDAQ
Number 21 25
Mean 3.27 2.53
Std dev 1.30 1.16
Is there a difference in the
variances between the NYSE
& NASDAQ at the α = 0.05 level?
Statistics for Managers Using
Microsoft Excel, 4e © 2004
Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 9-46
F Test: Example Solution
 Form the hypothesis test:
H0: σ2
1 – σ2
2 = 0 (there is no difference between variances)
H1: σ2
1 – σ2
2 ≠ 0 (there is a difference between variances)
 Numerator:
 n1 – 1 = 21 – 1 = 20 d.f.
 Denominator:
 n2 – 1 = 25 – 1 = 24 d.f.
FU = F.025, 20, 24 = 2.33
 Find the F critical values for α = .05:
 Numerator:
 n2 – 1 = 25 – 1 = 24 d.f.
 Denominator:
 n1 – 1 = 21 – 1 = 20 d.f.
FL = 1/F.025, 24, 20 = 1/2.41
= .41
FU: FL:
Statistics for Managers Using
Microsoft Excel, 4e © 2004
Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 9-47
 The test statistic is:
0
256.1
16.1
30.1
S
S
F 2
2
2
2
2
1
===
α/2 = .025
FU=2.33
Reject H0Do not
reject H0
H0: σ1
2
= σ2
2
H1: σ1
2
≠ σ2
2
F Test: Example Solution
 F = 1.256 is not in the rejection
region, so we do not reject H0
(continued)
 Conclusion: There is not sufficient evidence
of a difference in variances at α = .05
FL=0.41
α/2 = .025
Reject H0
F
Statistics for Managers Using
Microsoft Excel, 4e © 2004
Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 9-48
Two-Sample Tests in EXCEL
For independent samples:
 Independent sample Z test with variances known:
 Tools | data analysis | z-test: two sample for means
For paired samples (t test):
 Tools | data analysis… | t-test: paired two sample for means
For variances…
 F test for two variances:
 Tools | data analysis | F-test: two sample for variances
Statistics for Managers Using
Microsoft Excel, 4e © 2004
Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 9-49
Two-Sample Tests in PHStat
Statistics for Managers Using
Microsoft Excel, 4e © 2004
Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 9-50
Sample PHStat Output
Input
Output
Statistics for Managers Using
Microsoft Excel, 4e © 2004
Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 9-51
Sample PHStat Output
Input
Output
(continued)
Statistics for Managers Using
Microsoft Excel, 4e © 2004
Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 9-52
Chapter Summary
 Compared two independent samples
 Performed Z test for the differences in two means
 Performed pooled variance t test for the differences
in two means
 Formed confidence intervals for the differences
between two means
 Compared two related samples (paired
samples)
 Performed paired sample Z and t tests for the mean
difference
 Formed confidence intervals for the paired difference
Statistics for Managers Using
Microsoft Excel, 4e © 2004
Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 9-53
Chapter Summary
 Compared two population proportions
 Formed confidence intervals for the difference
between two population proportions
 Performed Z-test for two population proportions
 Performed F tests for the difference between
two population variances
 Used the F table to find F critical values
(continued)

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Two Sample Tests

  • 1. Statistics for Managers Using Microsoft Excel, 4e © 2004 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 9-1 Chapter 9 Two-Sample Tests Statistics for Managers Using Microsoft® Excel 4th Edition
  • 2. Statistics for Managers Using Microsoft Excel, 4e © 2004 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 9-2 Chapter Goals After completing this chapter, you should be able to:  Test hypotheses for the difference between two independent population means (standard deviations known or unknown)  Test two means from related samples for the mean difference  Complete a Z test for the difference between two proportions  Use the F table to find critical F values  Complete an F test for the difference between two variances
  • 3. Statistics for Managers Using Microsoft Excel, 4e © 2004 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 9-3 Two Sample Tests Two Sample Tests Population Means, Independent Samples Means, Related Samples Population Variances Group 1 vs. independent Group 2 Same group before vs. after treatment Variance 1 vs. Variance 2 Examples: Population Proportions Proportion 1 vs. Proportion 2
  • 4. Statistics for Managers Using Microsoft Excel, 4e © 2004 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 9-4 Difference Between Two Means Population means, independent samples σ1 and σ2 known σ1 and σ2 unknown Goal: Test hypotheses or form a confidence interval for the difference between two population means, μ1 – μ2 The point estimate for the difference is X1 – X2 *
  • 5. Statistics for Managers Using Microsoft Excel, 4e © 2004 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 9-5 Independent Samples Population means, independent samples  Different data sources  Unrelated  Independent  Sample selected from one population has no effect on the sample selected from the other population  Use the difference between 2 sample means  Use Z test or pooled variance t test * σ1 and σ2 known σ1 and σ2 unknown
  • 6. Statistics for Managers Using Microsoft Excel, 4e © 2004 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 9-6 Difference Between Two Means Population means, independent samples σ1 and σ2 known σ1 and σ2 unknown * Use a Z test statistic Use S to estimate unknown σ , use a t test statistic and pooled standard deviation
  • 7. Statistics for Managers Using Microsoft Excel, 4e © 2004 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 9-7 Population means, independent samples σ1 and σ2 known σ1 and σ2 Known Assumptions:  Samples are randomly and independently drawn  population distributions are normal or both sample sizes are ≥ 30  Population standard deviations are known * σ1 and σ2 unknown
  • 8. Statistics for Managers Using Microsoft Excel, 4e © 2004 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 9-8 Population means, independent samples σ1 and σ2 known …and the standard error of X1 – X2 is When σ1 and σ2 are known and both populations are normal or both sample sizes are at least 30, the test statistic is a Z-value… 2 2 2 1 2 1 XX n σ n σ σ 21 +=− (continued) σ1 and σ2 Known * σ1 and σ2 unknown
  • 9. Statistics for Managers Using Microsoft Excel, 4e © 2004 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 9-9 Population means, independent samples σ1 and σ2 known ( ) ( ) 2 2 2 1 2 1 2121 n σ n σ μμXX Z + −−− = The test statistic for μ1 – μ2 is: σ1 and σ2 Known * σ1 and σ2 unknown (continued)
  • 10. Statistics for Managers Using Microsoft Excel, 4e © 2004 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 9-10 Hypothesis Tests for Two Population Means Lower-tail test: H0: μ1 ≥ μ2 H1: μ1 < μ2 i.e., H0: μ1 – μ2 ≥ 0 H1: μ1 – μ2 < 0 Upper-tail test: H0: μ1 ≤ μ2 H1: μ1 > μ2 i.e., H0: μ1 – μ2 ≤ 0 H1: μ1 – μ2 > 0 Two-tail test: H0: μ1 = μ2 H1: μ1 ≠ μ2 i.e., H0: μ1 – μ2 = 0 H1: μ1 – μ2 ≠ 0 Two Population Means, Independent Samples
  • 11. Statistics for Managers Using Microsoft Excel, 4e © 2004 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 9-11 Two Population Means, Independent Samples Lower-tail test: H0: μ1 – μ2 ≥ 0 H1: μ1 – μ2 < 0 Upper-tail test: H0: μ1 – μ2 ≤ 0 H1: μ1 – μ2 > 0 Two-tail test: H0: μ1 – μ2 = 0 H1: μ1 – μ2 ≠ 0 α α/2 α/2α -zα -zα/2zα zα/2 Reject H0 if Z < -Zα Reject H0 if Z > Zα Reject H0 if Z < -Zα/2 or Z > Zα/2 Hypothesis tests for μ1 – μ2
  • 12. Statistics for Managers Using Microsoft Excel, 4e © 2004 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 9-12 Population means, independent samples σ1 and σ2 known ( ) 2 2 2 1 2 1 21 n σ n σ ZXX +±− The confidence interval for μ1 – μ2 is: Confidence Interval, σ1 and σ2 Known * σ1 and σ2 unknown
  • 13. Statistics for Managers Using Microsoft Excel, 4e © 2004 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 9-13 Population means, independent samples σ1 and σ2 known σ1 and σ2 Unknown Assumptions:  Samples are randomly and independently drawn  Populations are normally distributed or both sample sizes are at least 30  Population variances are unknown but assumed equal *σ1 and σ2 unknown
  • 14. Statistics for Managers Using Microsoft Excel, 4e © 2004 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 9-14 Population means, independent samples σ1 and σ2 known σ1 and σ2 Unknown (continued) *σ1 and σ2 unknown Forming interval estimates:  The population variances are assumed equal, so use the two sample standard deviations and pool them to estimate σ  the test statistic is a t value with (n1 + n2 – 2) degrees of freedom
  • 15. Statistics for Managers Using Microsoft Excel, 4e © 2004 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 9-15 Population means, independent samples σ1 and σ2 known σ1 and σ2 Unknown The pooled standard deviation is (continued) ( ) ( ) 1)n()1(n S1nS1n S 21 2 22 2 11 p −+− −+− =*σ1 and σ2 unknown
  • 16. Statistics for Managers Using Microsoft Excel, 4e © 2004 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 9-16 Population means, independent samples σ1 and σ2 known σ1 and σ2 Unknown Where t has (n1 + n2 – 2) d.f., and ( ) ( )       + −−− = 21 2 p 2121 n 1 n 1 S μμXX t The test statistic for μ1 – μ2 is: *σ1 and σ2 unknown ( ) ( ) 1)n()1(n S1nS1n S 21 2 22 2 112 p −+− −+− = (continued)
  • 17. Statistics for Managers Using Microsoft Excel, 4e © 2004 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 9-17 Population means, independent samples σ1 and σ2 known ( )       +±− + 21 2 p2-nn21 n 1 n 1 StXX 21 The confidence interval for μ1 – μ2 is: Where ( ) ( ) 1)n()1(n S1nS1n S 21 2 22 2 112 p −+− −+− = *σ1 and σ2 unknown Confidence Interval, σ1 and σ2 Unknown
  • 18. Statistics for Managers Using Microsoft Excel, 4e © 2004 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 9-18 Pooled Sp t Test: Example You are a financial analyst for a brokerage firm. Is there a difference in dividend yield between stocks listed on the NYSE & NASDAQ? You collect the following data: NYSE NASDAQ Number 21 25 Sample mean 3.27 2.53 Sample std dev 1.30 1.16 Assuming both populations are approximately normal with equal variances, is there a difference in average yield (α = 0.05)?
  • 19. Statistics for Managers Using Microsoft Excel, 4e © 2004 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 9-19 Calculating the Test Statistic ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) 1.5021 1)25(1)-(21 1.161251.30121 1)n()1(n S1nS1n S 22 21 2 22 2 112 p = −+ −+− = −+− −+− = ( ) ( ) ( ) 2.040 25 1 21 1 5021.1 02.533.27 n 1 n 1 S μμXX t 21 2 p 2121 =       + −− =       + −−− = The test statistic is:
  • 20. Statistics for Managers Using Microsoft Excel, 4e © 2004 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 9-20 Solution H0: μ1 - μ2 = 0 i.e. (μ1 = μ2) H1: μ1 - μ2 ≠ 0 i.e. (μ1 ≠ μ2) α = 0.05 df = 21 + 25 - 2 = 44 Critical Values: t = ± 2.0154 Test Statistic: Decision: Conclusion: Reject H0 at α = 0.05 There is evidence of a difference in means. t0 2.0154-2.0154 .025 Reject H0 Reject H0 .025 2.040 2.040 25 1 21 1 5021.1 2.533.27 t =       + − =
  • 21. Statistics for Managers Using Microsoft Excel, 4e © 2004 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 9-21 Related Samples Tests Means of 2 Related Populations  Paired or matched samples  Repeated measures (before/after)  Use difference between paired values:  Eliminates Variation Among Subjects  Assumptions:  Both Populations Are Normally Distributed  Or, if Not Normal, use large samples Related samples D = X1 - X2
  • 22. Statistics for Managers Using Microsoft Excel, 4e © 2004 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 9-22 Mean Difference, σD Known The ith paired difference is Di , where Related samples Di = X1i - X2i The point estimate for the population mean paired difference is D : n D D n 1i i∑= = Suppose the population standard deviation of the difference scores, σD, is known n is the number of pairs in the paired sample
  • 23. Statistics for Managers Using Microsoft Excel, 4e © 2004 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 9-23 The test statistic for the mean difference is a Z value:Paired samples n σ μD Z D D− = Mean Difference, σD Known (continued) Where μD = hypothesized mean difference σD = population standard dev. of differences n = the sample size (number of pairs)
  • 24. Statistics for Managers Using Microsoft Excel, 4e © 2004 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 9-24 Confidence Interval, σD Known The confidence interval for D isPaired samples n σ ZD D ± Where n = the sample size (number of pairs in the paired sample)
  • 25. Statistics for Managers Using Microsoft Excel, 4e © 2004 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 9-25 If σD is unknown, we can estimate the unknown population standard deviation with a sample standard deviation: Related samples 1n )D(D S n 1i 2 i D − − = ∑= The sample standard deviation is Mean Difference, σD Unknown
  • 26. Statistics for Managers Using Microsoft Excel, 4e © 2004 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 9-26 The test statistic for D is now a t statistic, with n-1 d.f.:Paired samples 1n )D(D S n 1i 2 i D − − = ∑= n S μD t D D− = Where t has n - 1 d.f. and SD is: Mean Difference, σD Unknown (continued)
  • 27. Statistics for Managers Using Microsoft Excel, 4e © 2004 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 9-27 The confidence interval for D isPaired samples 1n )D(D S n 1i 2 i D − − = ∑= n S tD D 1n−± where Confidence Interval, σD Unknown
  • 28. Statistics for Managers Using Microsoft Excel, 4e © 2004 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 9-28 Lower-tail test: H0: μD ≥ 0 H1: μD < 0 Upper-tail test: H0: μD ≤ 0 H1: μD > 0 Two-tail test: H0: μD = 0 H1: μD ≠ 0 Paired Samples Hypothesis Testing for Mean Difference, σD Unknown α α/2 α/2α -tα -tα/2tα tα/2 Reject H0 if t < -tα Reject H0 if t > tα Reject H0 if t < -tα/2 or t > tα/2 Where t has n - 1 d.f.
  • 29. Statistics for Managers Using Microsoft Excel, 4e © 2004 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 9-29  Assume you send your salespeople to a “customer service” training workshop. Is the training effective? You collect the following data: Paired Samples Example Number of Complaints: (2) - (1) Salesperson Before (1) After (2) Difference, Di C.B. 6 4 - 2 T.F. 20 6 -14 M.H. 3 2 - 1 R.K. 0 0 0 M.O. 4 0 - 4 -21 D = Σ Di n 5.67 1n )D(D S 2 i D = − − = ∑ = -4.2
  • 30. Statistics for Managers Using Microsoft Excel, 4e © 2004 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 9-30  Has the training made a difference in the number of complaints (at the 0.01 level)? - 4.2D = 1.66 55.67/ 04.2 n/S μD t D D −= −− = − = H0: μD = 0 H1: μD ≠ 0 Test Statistic: Critical Value = ± 4.604 d.f. = n - 1 = 4 Reject α/2 - 4.604 4.604 Decision: Do not reject H0 (t stat is not in the reject region) Conclusion: There is not a significant change in the number of complaints. Paired Samples: Solution Reject α/2 - 1.66 α = .01
  • 31. Statistics for Managers Using Microsoft Excel, 4e © 2004 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 9-31 Two Population Proportions Goal: test a hypothesis or form a confidence interval for the difference between two population proportions, p1 – p2 The point estimate for the difference is Population proportions Assumptions: n1p1 ≥ 5 , n1(1-p1) ≥ 5 n2p2 ≥ 5 , n2(1-p2) ≥ 5 21 ss pp −
  • 32. Statistics for Managers Using Microsoft Excel, 4e © 2004 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 9-32 Two Population Proportions Population proportions 21 21 nn XX p + + = The pooled estimate for the overall proportion is: where X1 and X2 are the numbers from samples 1 and 2 with the characteristic of interest Since we begin by assuming the null hypothesis is true, we assume p1 = p2 and pool the two ps estimates
  • 33. Statistics for Managers Using Microsoft Excel, 4e © 2004 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 9-33 Two Population Proportions Population proportions ( ) ( )       +− −−− = 21 21ss n 1 n 1 )p1(p pppp Z 21 The test statistic for p1 – p2 is a Z statistic: (continued) 2 2 s 1 1 s 21 21 n X p, n X p, nn XX p 21 == + + =where
  • 34. Statistics for Managers Using Microsoft Excel, 4e © 2004 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 9-34 Confidence Interval for Two Population Proportions Population proportions ( ) 2 ss 1 ss ss n )p(1p n )p(1p Zpp 2211 21 − + − ±− The confidence interval for p1 – p2 is:
  • 35. Statistics for Managers Using Microsoft Excel, 4e © 2004 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 9-35 Hypothesis Tests for Two Population Proportions Population proportions Lower-tail test: H0: p1 ≥ p2 H1: p1 < p2 i.e., H0: p1 – p2 ≥ 0 H1: p1 – p2 < 0 Upper-tail test: H0: p1 ≤ p2 H1: p1 > p2 i.e., H0: p1 – p2 ≤ 0 H1: p1 – p2 > 0 Two-tail test: H0: p1 = p2 H1: p1 ≠ p2 i.e., H0: p1 – p2 = 0 H1: p1 – p2 ≠ 0
  • 36. Statistics for Managers Using Microsoft Excel, 4e © 2004 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 9-36 Hypothesis Tests for Two Population Proportions Population proportions Lower-tail test: H0: p1 – p2 ≥ 0 H1: p1 – p2 < 0 Upper-tail test: H0: p1 – p2 ≤ 0 H1: p1 – p2 > 0 Two-tail test: H0: p1 – p2 = 0 H1: p1 – p2 ≠ 0 α α/2 α/2α -zα -zα/2zα zα/2 Reject H0 if Z < -Zα Reject H0 if Z > Zα Reject H0 if Z < -Zα/2 or Z > Zα/2 (continued)
  • 37. Statistics for Managers Using Microsoft Excel, 4e © 2004 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 9-37 Example: Two population Proportions Is there a significant difference between the proportion of men and the proportion of women who will vote Yes on Proposition A?  In a random sample, 36 of 72 men and 31 of 50 women indicated they would vote Yes  Test at the .05 level of significance
  • 38. Statistics for Managers Using Microsoft Excel, 4e © 2004 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 9-38  The hypothesis test is: H0: p1 – p2 = 0 (the two proportions are equal) H1: p1 – p2 ≠ 0 (there is a significant difference between proportions)  The sample proportions are:  Men: ps1 = 36/72 = .50  Women: ps2 = 31/50 = .62 .549 122 67 5072 3136 nn XX p 21 21 == + + = + + =  The pooled estimate for the overall proportion is: Example: Two population Proportions (continued)
  • 39. Statistics for Managers Using Microsoft Excel, 4e © 2004 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 9-39 The test statistic for p1 – p2 is: Example: Two population Proportions (continued) .025 -1.96 1.96 .025 -1.31 Decision: Do not reject H0 Conclusion: There is not significant evidence of a difference in proportions who will vote yes between men and women. ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) 1.31 50 1 72 1 .549)(1.549 0.62.50 n 1 n 1 )p(1p pppp z 21 21ss 21 −=       +− −− =       +− −−− = Reject H0 Reject H0 Critical Values = ±1.96 For α = .05
  • 40. Statistics for Managers Using Microsoft Excel, 4e © 2004 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 9-40 Hypothesis Tests for Variances Tests for Two Population Variances F test statistic H0: σ1 2 = σ2 2 H1: σ1 2 ≠ σ2 2 Two-tail test Lower-tail test Upper-tail test H0: σ1 2 ≥ σ2 2 H1: σ1 2 < σ2 2 H0: σ1 2 ≤ σ2 2 H1: σ1 2 > σ2 2 *
  • 41. Statistics for Managers Using Microsoft Excel, 4e © 2004 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 9-41 Hypothesis Tests for Variances Tests for Two Population Variances F test statistic 2 2 2 1 S S F = The F test statistic is: = Variance of Sample 1 n1 - 1 = numerator degrees of freedom n2 - 1 = denominator degrees of freedom = Variance of Sample 2 2 1S 2 2S * (continued)
  • 42. Statistics for Managers Using Microsoft Excel, 4e © 2004 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 9-42  The F critical value is found from the F table  The are two appropriate degrees of freedom: numerator and denominator  In the F table,  numerator degrees of freedom determine the column  denominator degrees of freedom determine the row The F Distribution where df1 = n1 – 1 ; df2 = n2 – 12 2 2 1 S S F =
  • 43. Statistics for Managers Using Microsoft Excel, 4e © 2004 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 9-43 F0 Finding the Rejection Region L2 2 2 1 U2 2 2 1 F S S F F S S F <= >= rejection region for a two-tail test is: α FL Reject H0 Do not reject H0 F 0 α FU Reject H0Do not reject H0 F0 α/2 Reject H0Do not reject H0 FU H0: σ1 2 = σ2 2 H1: σ1 2 ≠ σ2 2 H0: σ1 2 ≥ σ2 2 H1: σ1 2 < σ2 2 H0: σ1 2 ≤ σ2 2 H1: σ1 2 > σ2 2 FL α/2 Reject H0 Reject H0 if F < FL Reject H0 if F > FU
  • 44. Statistics for Managers Using Microsoft Excel, 4e © 2004 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 9-44 Finding the Rejection Region F0 α/2 Reject H0Do not reject H0 FU H0: σ1 2 = σ2 2 H1: σ1 2 ≠ σ2 2 FL α/2 Reject H0 (continued) 2. Find FL using the formula: Where FU* is from the F table with n2 – 1 numerator and n1 – 1 denominator degrees of freedom (i.e., switch the d.f. from FU) *U L F 1 F =1. Find FU from the F table for n1 – 1 numerator and n2 – 1 denominator degrees of freedom To find the critical F values:
  • 45. Statistics for Managers Using Microsoft Excel, 4e © 2004 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 9-45 F Test: An Example You are a financial analyst for a brokerage firm. You want to compare dividend yields between stocks listed on the NYSE & NASDAQ. You collect the following data: NYSE NASDAQ Number 21 25 Mean 3.27 2.53 Std dev 1.30 1.16 Is there a difference in the variances between the NYSE & NASDAQ at the α = 0.05 level?
  • 46. Statistics for Managers Using Microsoft Excel, 4e © 2004 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 9-46 F Test: Example Solution  Form the hypothesis test: H0: σ2 1 – σ2 2 = 0 (there is no difference between variances) H1: σ2 1 – σ2 2 ≠ 0 (there is a difference between variances)  Numerator:  n1 – 1 = 21 – 1 = 20 d.f.  Denominator:  n2 – 1 = 25 – 1 = 24 d.f. FU = F.025, 20, 24 = 2.33  Find the F critical values for α = .05:  Numerator:  n2 – 1 = 25 – 1 = 24 d.f.  Denominator:  n1 – 1 = 21 – 1 = 20 d.f. FL = 1/F.025, 24, 20 = 1/2.41 = .41 FU: FL:
  • 47. Statistics for Managers Using Microsoft Excel, 4e © 2004 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 9-47  The test statistic is: 0 256.1 16.1 30.1 S S F 2 2 2 2 2 1 === α/2 = .025 FU=2.33 Reject H0Do not reject H0 H0: σ1 2 = σ2 2 H1: σ1 2 ≠ σ2 2 F Test: Example Solution  F = 1.256 is not in the rejection region, so we do not reject H0 (continued)  Conclusion: There is not sufficient evidence of a difference in variances at α = .05 FL=0.41 α/2 = .025 Reject H0 F
  • 48. Statistics for Managers Using Microsoft Excel, 4e © 2004 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 9-48 Two-Sample Tests in EXCEL For independent samples:  Independent sample Z test with variances known:  Tools | data analysis | z-test: two sample for means For paired samples (t test):  Tools | data analysis… | t-test: paired two sample for means For variances…  F test for two variances:  Tools | data analysis | F-test: two sample for variances
  • 49. Statistics for Managers Using Microsoft Excel, 4e © 2004 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 9-49 Two-Sample Tests in PHStat
  • 50. Statistics for Managers Using Microsoft Excel, 4e © 2004 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 9-50 Sample PHStat Output Input Output
  • 51. Statistics for Managers Using Microsoft Excel, 4e © 2004 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 9-51 Sample PHStat Output Input Output (continued)
  • 52. Statistics for Managers Using Microsoft Excel, 4e © 2004 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 9-52 Chapter Summary  Compared two independent samples  Performed Z test for the differences in two means  Performed pooled variance t test for the differences in two means  Formed confidence intervals for the differences between two means  Compared two related samples (paired samples)  Performed paired sample Z and t tests for the mean difference  Formed confidence intervals for the paired difference
  • 53. Statistics for Managers Using Microsoft Excel, 4e © 2004 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 9-53 Chapter Summary  Compared two population proportions  Formed confidence intervals for the difference between two population proportions  Performed Z-test for two population proportions  Performed F tests for the difference between two population variances  Used the F table to find F critical values (continued)