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Conversation Targeting
        How to refine your targeting
       without reducing your inventory
                          Tim Musgrove
          Chief Scientist, Federated Media Publishing


  ©2012 Federated Media Publishing, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
Who is FM?



Founded in 2005 to help hundreds of high-quality independent
publishers band together to earn sponsorship and ad revenue

Now a top-ten US audience (comScore) and growing fast

Historically: have paid out well over $100 million to our authors
and publishers
                                                                    John
                                                                    Battelle
                            http://FederatedMedia.net
An open secret
• Supply-side advertising players (including
  content networks like FM) often don’t like
  targeting to be too good
• Why not?
• Because the math isn’t nice to them



                      • Let’s see that…
Run-of-network
With no                            The Math:
targeting, the
advertiser buys                    1 billion
every page in                      impressions
my network
                                   @$1 CPM

                                   = $1 million
                                   ad revenue
Broad targeting
With some                           The Math:
broad targeting
(“Sports”, or                       400 million
“Finance”), the                     impressions
advertiser buys
fewer pages in                      @$3 CPM
my network
                                    = $1.2 million
But the CPM                         ad revenue
goes up

So I’m OK
Narrow Targeting
With narrow                           The Math:
targeting, the
advertiser buys                       100 million
only select                           impressions
pages in my
network                               @$8 CPM

Sure, I get the                       = $800k
highest CPM                           ad revenue

But I have a ton
of unsold
inventory and
total revenue is
down
Ssshhhh…….
To sum up:
It looks like   $1,400,000

narrow
targeting       $1,200,000

represents a
sharp decline   $1,000,000


in revenue
                 $800,000



So, it isn’t     $600,000

done much.
                 $400,000



                 $200,000



                       $0
                             Run-of-network   Broad targeting   Narrow targeting
Ways to get around this
• Set conditions on
  sale of narrow
  targeting
• Just don’t let ‘em buy
  it unless they also
  buy other stuff – use
  it as frosting on the
  cake
           This model is not so strange…just take a look at the ball
           park…
A familiar model
• VIP parking
  spaces are
  limited and
  lots of
  people want
  them
• But you can
  only buy one
  if you have
  bought
  luxury box or
  club seats!
A familiar model
• Every body
  wants tickets
  for when the
  Yankees
  come into
  town
• But you can
  only buy that
  as part of a
  four-game
  ticket pack!
Is there another way, on the
          implementation side?
• Q: What’s the one case when narrow targeting
  can have the effect of expanding the inventory
  purchased by the advertiser, instead of
  shrinking it?
• A: When it makes the advertiser comfortable
  going outside their usual content category

                     • Let’s see that….
Typical buy pattern
   (without conversation targeting)
    Suppose: Advertiser comes to FM w/a “cloud computing” campaign.
    This is what their buy usually looks like:



   Tech                   Finance                   Sports
 $ $ $ $ $ $
$ $   $ $ $                $ $



          Government &              Lifestyle                Small Business
              Law
Modified buy pattern
      (with conversation targeting)
    But when the advertiser learns about Conversation Targeting,
    this is what their buy starts to look like:



   Tech                    Finance                    Sports
 $ $ $ $ $ $
$ $ $ $ $ $                 $ $ $                        $
 $ $ $ $


          Government &                Lifestyle                Small Business
              Law

            $ $                           $                        $ $ $
Another implementation technique :
   Target conversations, not topics
• What’s the difference?
   – Topic = a particular theme of subject matter
   – Conversation = a cluster of related topics comprised of
     various themes

• Results: simplicity for advertiser, and way more
  inventory!



                           • Let’s see an example….
The Small Business Conversation
              (just a subset of the topics)
affiliate marketing            facebook marketing series      online advertising           small business week
better business bureau         family business                payroll tax                  social entrepreneurship
business advice                family businesses              product marketing            social media marketing
business succession planning   franchise association          quickbooks                   startup catalyst
center for entrepreneurship    franchise business review      referral engine              startup company
chamber of commerce            franchise consulting           rieva lesonsky               startup magazine
customer service               franchisee association         ryan hanley                  startup weekend
dell small business            franchisee of the year         s corporation                susan payton
digital marketing              global entrepreneurship week   sba 504 loan                 tj mccue
direct-response marketing      guy kawasaki                   search marketing             toilet paper entrepreneur
duct tape marketing            ivan walsh                     small biz tech tour          twitter marketing
entrepreneur corner            linkedin                       small business book awards   u.s. chamber of commerce
entrepreneur of the year       marketing management           small business expo          viral marketing
entrepreneurs                  marketing strategy             small business influencer    viral video marketing
entrepreneurs roundtable       multi-level marketing          small business jobs bill     yahoo small business
facebook marketing             national small business week   small business trends        young entrepreneur council
Another implementation tip:
       Set a threshold for quality!
• FM’s premiere and partner publishers are hand-
  picked for quality
• Our partner WordPress, will supply hand-picked
  sites as well
• Publishers represented by our subsidiary Lijit
  (long-tail RTB-based ad network) will be vetted
  for quality as well

  – Take-away: Don’t expect refined semantics to yield
    anything if the content isn’t good!
Does it work?
• Aligned CTR: 49% higher than broad targeted
  ads

• Global CTR (including non-aligned): still 39%
  higher than broad targeted ads

  – “Aligned” means the subject matter targeted has
    an obvious connection to the ad campaign.
    Occasionally this isn’t the case!
Exceptional lift in CTR
        This charts the first 50 campaigns we put
        through Conversation Targeting at FM
0.70%



0.60%         RED: the industry standard CTR
              ORANGE: the typical CTR for the parent category in FM (Sports, Business, etc.)
0.50%         PURPLE: the CTR attained by Conversation Targeting at FM

0.40%                                                                                Channel CTR
                                                                                     DFA-IB CTR

0.30%                                                                                CT CTR



0.20%



0.10%



0.00%
Exceptional lift in CTR
        CT frequently outperforms the channel it is in.

0.70%



0.60%



0.50%



0.40%                                                 Channel CTR
                                                      DFA-IB CTR

0.30%                                                 CT CTR



0.20%



0.10%



0.00%
The exception that proves the rule
        CT rarely underperforms the channel it is in.
        The few exceptions are unaligned campaigns
0.70%


               An unaligned
0.60%
               campaign is, for
               example, a car ad
0.50%
               targeted to art,
               museums, fashion
0.40%                                                   Channel CTR
                                                        DFA-IB CTR

0.30%                                                   CT CTR



0.20%



0.10%



0.00%
Overcoming barriers to clicking
        CT can lift up channels where they underperform

0.70%



0.60%



0.50%



0.40%                                                     Channel CTR
                                                          DFA-IB CTR

0.30%                                                     CT CTR



0.20%



0.10%



0.00%
Other selling points
• It’s the only way
  for an
  advertiser to
  “buy out a
  conversation” in
  a network,
  against
  competitors
Other selling points
• It gives back fantastic business knowledge,
  showing where the ad message resonates,
  and where it doesn’t




     Small          Home       Workplace   Auto Travel
    Business     Improvement    Security
How far down will they go?
                                                                                             Tech
• Advertisers presently                                             Computing
                                                                                                         Green-
                                                                                                          Tech
  seem to prefer “mid-                                                                      Bio-tech


  level ontology”                                      Enterprise               Consumer

  for targeting                                        Computing                Computing




• As this market                             Cloud
                                           Computing
                                                                    Servers &
                                                                     Net-Ops

  matures, will
  they keep                       Cloud
                                                                Cloud SaaS                  Cloud PaaS
                                 Storage
  driving down
  the tree?                                                          Google
                        AWS
                       Storage                Dropbox                 Cloud
                                                                     Storage



             AWS                        AWS
           Storage                     Storage
           Tool Kits                 Integrators
What’s next?

“Better, smarter, deeper”:
  Improved modeling of blog and news
  content will enable more ways to target
  Ideology (conservative?)
  Reading level (7th grade?)
  Attitude (optimistic?)
  Cultural dimension (youth-hip?)
  Seriousness (urgent, or whimsical?)
Contact
Tim Musgrove
E-mail: tmusgrove@federatedmedia.net
Twitter: @tmusgrove
http://tech.federatedmedia.net/
http://about.me/tmusgrove
http://www.slideshare.net/TimAtFM

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How Conversation Targeting Boosts CTR Without Reducing Inventory

  • 1. Conversation Targeting How to refine your targeting without reducing your inventory Tim Musgrove Chief Scientist, Federated Media Publishing ©2012 Federated Media Publishing, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
  • 2. Who is FM? Founded in 2005 to help hundreds of high-quality independent publishers band together to earn sponsorship and ad revenue Now a top-ten US audience (comScore) and growing fast Historically: have paid out well over $100 million to our authors and publishers John Battelle http://FederatedMedia.net
  • 3. An open secret • Supply-side advertising players (including content networks like FM) often don’t like targeting to be too good • Why not? • Because the math isn’t nice to them • Let’s see that…
  • 4. Run-of-network With no The Math: targeting, the advertiser buys 1 billion every page in impressions my network @$1 CPM = $1 million ad revenue
  • 5. Broad targeting With some The Math: broad targeting (“Sports”, or 400 million “Finance”), the impressions advertiser buys fewer pages in @$3 CPM my network = $1.2 million But the CPM ad revenue goes up So I’m OK
  • 6. Narrow Targeting With narrow The Math: targeting, the advertiser buys 100 million only select impressions pages in my network @$8 CPM Sure, I get the = $800k highest CPM ad revenue But I have a ton of unsold inventory and total revenue is down
  • 7. Ssshhhh……. To sum up: It looks like $1,400,000 narrow targeting $1,200,000 represents a sharp decline $1,000,000 in revenue $800,000 So, it isn’t $600,000 done much. $400,000 $200,000 $0 Run-of-network Broad targeting Narrow targeting
  • 8. Ways to get around this • Set conditions on sale of narrow targeting • Just don’t let ‘em buy it unless they also buy other stuff – use it as frosting on the cake This model is not so strange…just take a look at the ball park…
  • 9. A familiar model • VIP parking spaces are limited and lots of people want them • But you can only buy one if you have bought luxury box or club seats!
  • 10. A familiar model • Every body wants tickets for when the Yankees come into town • But you can only buy that as part of a four-game ticket pack!
  • 11. Is there another way, on the implementation side? • Q: What’s the one case when narrow targeting can have the effect of expanding the inventory purchased by the advertiser, instead of shrinking it? • A: When it makes the advertiser comfortable going outside their usual content category • Let’s see that….
  • 12. Typical buy pattern (without conversation targeting) Suppose: Advertiser comes to FM w/a “cloud computing” campaign. This is what their buy usually looks like: Tech Finance Sports $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ Government & Lifestyle Small Business Law
  • 13. Modified buy pattern (with conversation targeting) But when the advertiser learns about Conversation Targeting, this is what their buy starts to look like: Tech Finance Sports $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ Government & Lifestyle Small Business Law $ $ $ $ $ $
  • 14. Another implementation technique : Target conversations, not topics • What’s the difference? – Topic = a particular theme of subject matter – Conversation = a cluster of related topics comprised of various themes • Results: simplicity for advertiser, and way more inventory! • Let’s see an example….
  • 15. The Small Business Conversation (just a subset of the topics) affiliate marketing facebook marketing series online advertising small business week better business bureau family business payroll tax social entrepreneurship business advice family businesses product marketing social media marketing business succession planning franchise association quickbooks startup catalyst center for entrepreneurship franchise business review referral engine startup company chamber of commerce franchise consulting rieva lesonsky startup magazine customer service franchisee association ryan hanley startup weekend dell small business franchisee of the year s corporation susan payton digital marketing global entrepreneurship week sba 504 loan tj mccue direct-response marketing guy kawasaki search marketing toilet paper entrepreneur duct tape marketing ivan walsh small biz tech tour twitter marketing entrepreneur corner linkedin small business book awards u.s. chamber of commerce entrepreneur of the year marketing management small business expo viral marketing entrepreneurs marketing strategy small business influencer viral video marketing entrepreneurs roundtable multi-level marketing small business jobs bill yahoo small business facebook marketing national small business week small business trends young entrepreneur council
  • 16. Another implementation tip: Set a threshold for quality! • FM’s premiere and partner publishers are hand- picked for quality • Our partner WordPress, will supply hand-picked sites as well • Publishers represented by our subsidiary Lijit (long-tail RTB-based ad network) will be vetted for quality as well – Take-away: Don’t expect refined semantics to yield anything if the content isn’t good!
  • 17. Does it work? • Aligned CTR: 49% higher than broad targeted ads • Global CTR (including non-aligned): still 39% higher than broad targeted ads – “Aligned” means the subject matter targeted has an obvious connection to the ad campaign. Occasionally this isn’t the case!
  • 18. Exceptional lift in CTR This charts the first 50 campaigns we put through Conversation Targeting at FM 0.70% 0.60% RED: the industry standard CTR ORANGE: the typical CTR for the parent category in FM (Sports, Business, etc.) 0.50% PURPLE: the CTR attained by Conversation Targeting at FM 0.40% Channel CTR DFA-IB CTR 0.30% CT CTR 0.20% 0.10% 0.00%
  • 19. Exceptional lift in CTR CT frequently outperforms the channel it is in. 0.70% 0.60% 0.50% 0.40% Channel CTR DFA-IB CTR 0.30% CT CTR 0.20% 0.10% 0.00%
  • 20. The exception that proves the rule CT rarely underperforms the channel it is in. The few exceptions are unaligned campaigns 0.70% An unaligned 0.60% campaign is, for example, a car ad 0.50% targeted to art, museums, fashion 0.40% Channel CTR DFA-IB CTR 0.30% CT CTR 0.20% 0.10% 0.00%
  • 21. Overcoming barriers to clicking CT can lift up channels where they underperform 0.70% 0.60% 0.50% 0.40% Channel CTR DFA-IB CTR 0.30% CT CTR 0.20% 0.10% 0.00%
  • 22. Other selling points • It’s the only way for an advertiser to “buy out a conversation” in a network, against competitors
  • 23. Other selling points • It gives back fantastic business knowledge, showing where the ad message resonates, and where it doesn’t Small Home Workplace Auto Travel Business Improvement Security
  • 24. How far down will they go? Tech • Advertisers presently Computing Green- Tech seem to prefer “mid- Bio-tech level ontology” Enterprise Consumer for targeting Computing Computing • As this market Cloud Computing Servers & Net-Ops matures, will they keep Cloud Cloud SaaS Cloud PaaS Storage driving down the tree? Google AWS Storage Dropbox Cloud Storage AWS AWS Storage Storage Tool Kits Integrators
  • 25. What’s next? “Better, smarter, deeper”: Improved modeling of blog and news content will enable more ways to target Ideology (conservative?) Reading level (7th grade?) Attitude (optimistic?) Cultural dimension (youth-hip?) Seriousness (urgent, or whimsical?)
  • 26. Contact Tim Musgrove E-mail: tmusgrove@federatedmedia.net Twitter: @tmusgrove http://tech.federatedmedia.net/ http://about.me/tmusgrove http://www.slideshare.net/TimAtFM