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PROBABILITY
DISTRIBUTION
Mr. S.L.Khairnar
A variable whose value is determined by
the outcomes of a random experiment is
called a random variable
RandomVariable
A discrete random variable is the one
which takes only integer values
Discrete RandomVariable
A continuous random variable is the one
which takes all values
Continuous RandomVariable
1) Head orTail or β€œ1” for Head and β€œ0” for
Tail is discrete random variable
2) Rainfall in cms in a city for every year
is continuous random variable
Example
If X is a random variable taking values
π‘₯1, π‘₯2, … , π‘₯ 𝑛 then P(X) for
𝑋 = π‘₯1, π‘₯2, … , π‘₯ 𝑛
is called Probability Mass Function
corresponding to the given experiment
Probability Mass Function
All the outcomes of an experiment
expressed in the form of random
variable along with their probabilities of
their occurrences form a Probability
Distribution
Probability Distribution
x 𝒙 𝟏 𝒙 𝟐 𝒙 πŸ‘ …. 𝒙 𝒏
P(x) 𝑷(𝒙 𝟏) 𝑷(𝒙 𝟐) 𝑷(𝒙 πŸ‘) ----- 𝑷(𝒙 𝒏)
Tossing a coin, 1 and 0 represents
random variables resp Head andTail
Example
x Head Tail Total
1 0
P(x) 1/2 1/2 1
Tossing two coins,
TT=0, HT orTH=1 HH=2
Example
x TT HT orTH HH Total
0 1 2
P(x) 1/4 1/2 1/4 1
The probability distribution for the
number on the uppermost face of a dice
is
Example
x 1 2 3 4 5 6 Total
P(x) 1/6 1/6 1/6 1/6 1/6 1/6 1
If X is a random variable, the function
F(x)=P(X≀x) is called cumulative
frequency distribution function for X
Cumulative Frequency Distribution
x 𝒙 𝟏 𝒙 𝟐 𝒙 πŸ‘ …. 𝒙 𝒏
P(x) 𝑷(𝒙 𝟏) 𝑷(𝒙 𝟐) 𝑷(𝒙 πŸ‘) ----- 𝑷(𝒙 𝒏)
𝐹 π‘₯3 = 𝑃 𝑋 ≀ π‘₯3 = 𝑃 π‘₯1 + 𝑃 π‘₯2 + 𝑃(π‘₯3)
𝑃 𝑋 > π‘₯3 = 1 βˆ’ 𝐹 π‘₯3 = 1 βˆ’ 𝑃 𝑋 ≀ π‘₯3 = 1 βˆ’ (𝑃 π‘₯1 + 𝑃 π‘₯2 + 𝑃 π‘₯3 )
= 𝑃 π‘₯4 + 𝑃 π‘₯5 + β‹― + 𝑃(π‘₯ 𝑛)
The probability distribution for the
number on the uppermost face of a dice
is
Example
x 1 2 3 4 5 6 Total
P(x) 1/6 1/6 1/6 1/6 1/6 1/6 1
𝐹 3 = 𝑃 𝑋 ≀ 3 = 𝑃 1 + 𝑃 2 + 𝑃 3 =
1
6
+
1
6
+
1
6
=
3
6
=
1
2
𝑃 𝑋 > 3 = 1 βˆ’ 𝐹 3 = 1 βˆ’ 𝑃 𝑋 ≀ 3 = 1 βˆ’ 𝑃 1 + 𝑃 2 + 𝑃 3 = 1 βˆ’
1
2
=
1
2
= 𝑃 4 + 𝑃 5 + 𝑃 6 =
1
6
+
1
6
+
1
6
=
3
6
=
1
2
ExpectedValue andVariance
x 𝒙 𝟏 𝒙 𝟐 𝒙 πŸ‘ …. 𝒙 𝒏
P(x) 𝑷(𝒙 𝟏) 𝑷(𝒙 𝟐) 𝑷(𝒙 πŸ‘) ----- 𝑷(𝒙 𝒏)
𝐸π‘₯𝑝𝑒𝑐𝑑𝑒𝑑 π‘‰π‘Žπ‘™π‘’π‘’ = 𝐸 𝑋 =
π‘₯βˆˆπ‘†
π‘₯𝑃(π‘₯) π‘‰π‘Žπ‘Ÿπ‘–π‘Žπ‘›π‘π‘’ = 𝐸 𝑋2
βˆ’ [𝐸 π‘₯ ]2
𝒙 𝑃(π‘₯) π‘₯𝑃(π‘₯) π‘₯ 𝟐 𝒙 𝟐 𝑷(𝒙)
π‘₯1 𝑃(π‘₯1) π‘₯1 𝑃(π‘₯1) π‘₯1
𝟐
𝒙 𝟏
𝟐
𝑷(𝒙 𝟏)
π‘₯2 𝑃(π‘₯2) π‘₯2 𝑃(π‘₯2) π‘₯2
𝟐
𝒙 𝟐
𝟐
𝑷(𝒙 𝟐)
Total 1 E(X) 𝐸 𝑋2
ExpectedValue andVariance
𝐸π‘₯𝑝𝑒𝑐𝑑𝑒𝑑 π‘‰π‘Žπ‘™π‘’π‘’ = 𝐸 𝑋 =
π‘₯βˆˆπ‘†
π‘₯𝑃 π‘₯ = 1 π‘‰π‘Žπ‘Ÿπ‘–π‘Žπ‘›π‘π‘’ = 𝐸 𝑋2 βˆ’ [𝐸 π‘₯ ]2 =
3
2
βˆ’ 12 =
3
2
βˆ’ 1 =
1
2
𝒙 𝑃(π‘₯) π‘₯𝑃(π‘₯) π‘₯ 𝟐
𝒙 𝟐
𝑷(𝒙)
0 1
4
0 Γ—
1
4
= 0
0
0 Γ—
1
4
= 0
1 1
2
1 Γ—
1
2
=
1
2
1
1 Γ—
1
2
=
1
2
2 1
4
2 Γ—
1
4
=
1
2
4
4 Γ—
1
4
= 1
Total 1
𝐸 𝑋 = 0 +
1
2
+
1
2
= 1
----
𝐸 𝑋2
= 0 +
1
2
+ 1 =
3
2
x 0 1 2 Total
P(x) 1/4 1/2 1/4 1

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Probability Distribution

  • 2. A variable whose value is determined by the outcomes of a random experiment is called a random variable RandomVariable
  • 3. A discrete random variable is the one which takes only integer values Discrete RandomVariable
  • 4. A continuous random variable is the one which takes all values Continuous RandomVariable
  • 5. 1) Head orTail or β€œ1” for Head and β€œ0” for Tail is discrete random variable 2) Rainfall in cms in a city for every year is continuous random variable Example
  • 6. If X is a random variable taking values π‘₯1, π‘₯2, … , π‘₯ 𝑛 then P(X) for 𝑋 = π‘₯1, π‘₯2, … , π‘₯ 𝑛 is called Probability Mass Function corresponding to the given experiment Probability Mass Function
  • 7. All the outcomes of an experiment expressed in the form of random variable along with their probabilities of their occurrences form a Probability Distribution Probability Distribution x 𝒙 𝟏 𝒙 𝟐 𝒙 πŸ‘ …. 𝒙 𝒏 P(x) 𝑷(𝒙 𝟏) 𝑷(𝒙 𝟐) 𝑷(𝒙 πŸ‘) ----- 𝑷(𝒙 𝒏)
  • 8. Tossing a coin, 1 and 0 represents random variables resp Head andTail Example x Head Tail Total 1 0 P(x) 1/2 1/2 1
  • 9. Tossing two coins, TT=0, HT orTH=1 HH=2 Example x TT HT orTH HH Total 0 1 2 P(x) 1/4 1/2 1/4 1
  • 10. The probability distribution for the number on the uppermost face of a dice is Example x 1 2 3 4 5 6 Total P(x) 1/6 1/6 1/6 1/6 1/6 1/6 1
  • 11. If X is a random variable, the function F(x)=P(X≀x) is called cumulative frequency distribution function for X Cumulative Frequency Distribution x 𝒙 𝟏 𝒙 𝟐 𝒙 πŸ‘ …. 𝒙 𝒏 P(x) 𝑷(𝒙 𝟏) 𝑷(𝒙 𝟐) 𝑷(𝒙 πŸ‘) ----- 𝑷(𝒙 𝒏) 𝐹 π‘₯3 = 𝑃 𝑋 ≀ π‘₯3 = 𝑃 π‘₯1 + 𝑃 π‘₯2 + 𝑃(π‘₯3) 𝑃 𝑋 > π‘₯3 = 1 βˆ’ 𝐹 π‘₯3 = 1 βˆ’ 𝑃 𝑋 ≀ π‘₯3 = 1 βˆ’ (𝑃 π‘₯1 + 𝑃 π‘₯2 + 𝑃 π‘₯3 ) = 𝑃 π‘₯4 + 𝑃 π‘₯5 + β‹― + 𝑃(π‘₯ 𝑛)
  • 12. The probability distribution for the number on the uppermost face of a dice is Example x 1 2 3 4 5 6 Total P(x) 1/6 1/6 1/6 1/6 1/6 1/6 1 𝐹 3 = 𝑃 𝑋 ≀ 3 = 𝑃 1 + 𝑃 2 + 𝑃 3 = 1 6 + 1 6 + 1 6 = 3 6 = 1 2 𝑃 𝑋 > 3 = 1 βˆ’ 𝐹 3 = 1 βˆ’ 𝑃 𝑋 ≀ 3 = 1 βˆ’ 𝑃 1 + 𝑃 2 + 𝑃 3 = 1 βˆ’ 1 2 = 1 2 = 𝑃 4 + 𝑃 5 + 𝑃 6 = 1 6 + 1 6 + 1 6 = 3 6 = 1 2
  • 13. ExpectedValue andVariance x 𝒙 𝟏 𝒙 𝟐 𝒙 πŸ‘ …. 𝒙 𝒏 P(x) 𝑷(𝒙 𝟏) 𝑷(𝒙 𝟐) 𝑷(𝒙 πŸ‘) ----- 𝑷(𝒙 𝒏) 𝐸π‘₯𝑝𝑒𝑐𝑑𝑒𝑑 π‘‰π‘Žπ‘™π‘’π‘’ = 𝐸 𝑋 = π‘₯βˆˆπ‘† π‘₯𝑃(π‘₯) π‘‰π‘Žπ‘Ÿπ‘–π‘Žπ‘›π‘π‘’ = 𝐸 𝑋2 βˆ’ [𝐸 π‘₯ ]2 𝒙 𝑃(π‘₯) π‘₯𝑃(π‘₯) π‘₯ 𝟐 𝒙 𝟐 𝑷(𝒙) π‘₯1 𝑃(π‘₯1) π‘₯1 𝑃(π‘₯1) π‘₯1 𝟐 𝒙 𝟏 𝟐 𝑷(𝒙 𝟏) π‘₯2 𝑃(π‘₯2) π‘₯2 𝑃(π‘₯2) π‘₯2 𝟐 𝒙 𝟐 𝟐 𝑷(𝒙 𝟐) Total 1 E(X) 𝐸 𝑋2
  • 14. ExpectedValue andVariance 𝐸π‘₯𝑝𝑒𝑐𝑑𝑒𝑑 π‘‰π‘Žπ‘™π‘’π‘’ = 𝐸 𝑋 = π‘₯βˆˆπ‘† π‘₯𝑃 π‘₯ = 1 π‘‰π‘Žπ‘Ÿπ‘–π‘Žπ‘›π‘π‘’ = 𝐸 𝑋2 βˆ’ [𝐸 π‘₯ ]2 = 3 2 βˆ’ 12 = 3 2 βˆ’ 1 = 1 2 𝒙 𝑃(π‘₯) π‘₯𝑃(π‘₯) π‘₯ 𝟐 𝒙 𝟐 𝑷(𝒙) 0 1 4 0 Γ— 1 4 = 0 0 0 Γ— 1 4 = 0 1 1 2 1 Γ— 1 2 = 1 2 1 1 Γ— 1 2 = 1 2 2 1 4 2 Γ— 1 4 = 1 2 4 4 Γ— 1 4 = 1 Total 1 𝐸 𝑋 = 0 + 1 2 + 1 2 = 1 ---- 𝐸 𝑋2 = 0 + 1 2 + 1 = 3 2 x 0 1 2 Total P(x) 1/4 1/2 1/4 1