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BRAINWARE UNIVERSITY
Name: SAMPAD KAR
Roll No: BWU/BTA/22/225
Section: D
Group: D2
Course Name: Probability & Statistics
Course Code: BSCM202
Contents
• Random Variables
• Probability Distribution of Discrete random variables
• Probability Distribution of Continuous random variables
• Mean and Variance of Binomial Distribution
• Mean and Variance of Exponential Distribution
• Mean and Variance of Normal Distribution
Random Variables
A random variable is a variable which represents the outcome of a trial, an
experiment or an event. It is a number which is different each time the trial or event
is repeated.
For Example,
A coin is tossed 3 times simultaneously. Find the Probability of getting 3 heads?
S = {(H,H,,H),(H,H,T),(H,T,T),(T,H,T),(H,T,H),(T,H,H),(T,T,H),(T,T,T)}
P(getting at least 3 heads) =
1
8
Probability Distribution of Discrete random variables
A discrete variable is a variable that can "only" take-on certain numbers on the number line.
The Probability Mass Function (PMF) is also called a probability function or frequency function which
characterizes the distribution of a discrete random variable. Let X be a discrete random variable of a
function, then the probability mass function of a random variable X is given by
Px (x) = P( X=x ), For all x belongs to the range of X
It is noted that the probability function should fall on the condition :
•Px (x) ≥ 0 and
•∑xϵRange(x) Px (x) = 1
Example
When we roll a single dice, the possible outcomes are:
1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6
The probability of each of these outcomes is 16.
If we define the discrete variable X as:
X: the number obtained when rolling a dice.
Then this is a discrete random variable since the sum of the probabilities of each of these possible
outcomes is equal to 1, indeed:
1
6
+
1
6
+
1
6
+
1
6
+
1
6
+
1
6
=1
A continuous random variable is a random variable that has only continuous values. Continuous values are
uncountable and are related to real numbers.
The probability density function (pdf) is used to describe the probabilities associated with a continuous random
variable.
Probability Distribution of Continuous random variables
Mean and Variance of Binomial Distribution
For binomial distribution,
pmf = P(X=x) = 𝑥
𝑛
𝐶𝑃𝑥
(1 − 𝑃)𝑛−𝑥
Mean = E(x) = 𝑥=1
𝑛
𝑥. 𝑥
𝑛
𝐶𝑃𝑥
(1 − 𝑝)𝑛−𝑥
= 𝑥=1
𝑛
𝑥.
𝑛!
𝑛−𝑥 ! 𝑥!
𝑃𝑥
(1 − 𝑃)𝑛−𝑥
= 𝑥=1
𝑛
𝑥.
𝑛!
𝑛−𝑥 ! 𝑥(𝑥−1)!
𝑃𝑥(1 − 𝑃)𝑛−𝑥
= 𝑥=1
𝑛 𝑛.(𝑛−1)!
(𝑛−1)−(𝑥−1) ! (𝑥−1)!
𝑃. 𝑃𝑥−1
(1 − 𝑃)(𝑛−1)−(𝑥−1)
= nP 𝑥=1
𝑛 (𝑛−1)!
(𝑛−1)−(𝑥−1) ! (𝑥−1)!
𝑃𝑥−1
(1 − 𝑃)(𝑛−1)−(𝑥−1)
= nP 𝑥=1
𝑛
𝑥−1
𝑛−1
𝐶 𝑃𝑥−1
(1 − 𝑃)(𝑛−1)−(𝑥−1)
= 𝑛𝑃(P + (1 − 𝑃))(𝑛−1)
= nP
E(x(x-1)) = 𝑥=1
𝑛
𝑥(𝑥 − 1). 𝑥
𝑛𝐶𝑃𝑥(1 − 𝑝)𝑛−𝑥
= 𝑥=1
𝑛
𝑥(𝑥 − 1).
𝑛!
𝑛−𝑥 ! 𝑥!
𝑃𝑥(1 − 𝑃)𝑛−𝑥
= 𝑥=1
𝑛
𝑥(𝑥 − 1).
𝑛!
𝑛−𝑥 ! 𝑥(𝑥−1)(𝑥−2)!
𝑃𝑥(1 − 𝑃)𝑛−𝑥
= 𝑥=1
𝑛 𝑛.(𝑛−1)(𝑛−2)!
(𝑛−1)−(𝑥−1) ! (𝑥−2)!
𝑃2
. 𝑃𝑥−2
(1 − 𝑃)(𝑛−2)−(𝑥−2)
= (𝑛2−𝑛)𝑃2
𝑥=1
𝑛 (𝑛−2)!
(𝑛−2)−(𝑥−2) ! (𝑥−2)!
𝑃𝑥−2(1 − 𝑃)(𝑛−2)−(𝑥−2)
= (𝑛2
−𝑛)𝑃2
𝑥=1
𝑛
𝑥−2
𝑛−2
𝐶 𝑃𝑥−2
(1 − 𝑃)(𝑛−2)−(𝑥−2)
= (𝑛2−𝑛)𝑃2 (P + (1 − 𝑃))(𝑛−2)
= (𝑛2−𝑛)𝑃2
E(𝑥2
) = E(x(x-1)) + E(x)
= (𝑛2
−𝑛)𝑃2
+ nP
Variance = E(𝑥2) – {E(x)}2
= (𝑛2
−𝑛)𝑃2
+ nP – 𝑛2
𝑃2
= nP−𝑛𝑃2
= nP(1-P)
Mean and Variance of Exponential Distribution
For exponential distribution,
f(x) =
Mean = E(x) = −∞
0
0𝑑𝑥 + 0
∞
𝑥.λ 𝑒−λ𝑥
𝑑𝑥
= 0 + λ 0
∞
𝑥𝑒−λ𝑥𝑑𝑥
= λ.
𝛤(1)
λ
2
=
1
λ
Now,
E(𝑥2
) = λ 0
∞
𝑥2
𝑒−λ𝑥
𝑑𝑥
= λ.
𝛤(3)
λ
3 =
2
λ
2
{λ 𝑒−λ𝑥
, x > 0
0 , elsewhere
Variance = E(𝑥2) – {E(x)}2
=
2
λ
2 -
1
λ
2
=
1
λ
2
Mean and Variance of Normal Distribution
For Normal Distribution,
σ = Standard Deviation
µ = Mean
σ2= Variance
Standard Normal Distribution, N(0,1):
σ = 1 , μ = 0
f(x) =
1
2Π
𝑒−
𝑧2
2 z =
𝑥−𝜇
𝜎
THANK YOU

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Probability Distribution - Binomial, Exponential and Normal

  • 1. BRAINWARE UNIVERSITY Name: SAMPAD KAR Roll No: BWU/BTA/22/225 Section: D Group: D2 Course Name: Probability & Statistics Course Code: BSCM202
  • 2. Contents • Random Variables • Probability Distribution of Discrete random variables • Probability Distribution of Continuous random variables • Mean and Variance of Binomial Distribution • Mean and Variance of Exponential Distribution • Mean and Variance of Normal Distribution
  • 3. Random Variables A random variable is a variable which represents the outcome of a trial, an experiment or an event. It is a number which is different each time the trial or event is repeated. For Example, A coin is tossed 3 times simultaneously. Find the Probability of getting 3 heads? S = {(H,H,,H),(H,H,T),(H,T,T),(T,H,T),(H,T,H),(T,H,H),(T,T,H),(T,T,T)} P(getting at least 3 heads) = 1 8
  • 4. Probability Distribution of Discrete random variables A discrete variable is a variable that can "only" take-on certain numbers on the number line. The Probability Mass Function (PMF) is also called a probability function or frequency function which characterizes the distribution of a discrete random variable. Let X be a discrete random variable of a function, then the probability mass function of a random variable X is given by Px (x) = P( X=x ), For all x belongs to the range of X It is noted that the probability function should fall on the condition : •Px (x) ≥ 0 and •∑xϵRange(x) Px (x) = 1 Example When we roll a single dice, the possible outcomes are: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6 The probability of each of these outcomes is 16. If we define the discrete variable X as: X: the number obtained when rolling a dice. Then this is a discrete random variable since the sum of the probabilities of each of these possible outcomes is equal to 1, indeed: 1 6 + 1 6 + 1 6 + 1 6 + 1 6 + 1 6 =1
  • 5. A continuous random variable is a random variable that has only continuous values. Continuous values are uncountable and are related to real numbers. The probability density function (pdf) is used to describe the probabilities associated with a continuous random variable. Probability Distribution of Continuous random variables
  • 6. Mean and Variance of Binomial Distribution For binomial distribution, pmf = P(X=x) = 𝑥 𝑛 𝐶𝑃𝑥 (1 − 𝑃)𝑛−𝑥 Mean = E(x) = 𝑥=1 𝑛 𝑥. 𝑥 𝑛 𝐶𝑃𝑥 (1 − 𝑝)𝑛−𝑥 = 𝑥=1 𝑛 𝑥. 𝑛! 𝑛−𝑥 ! 𝑥! 𝑃𝑥 (1 − 𝑃)𝑛−𝑥 = 𝑥=1 𝑛 𝑥. 𝑛! 𝑛−𝑥 ! 𝑥(𝑥−1)! 𝑃𝑥(1 − 𝑃)𝑛−𝑥 = 𝑥=1 𝑛 𝑛.(𝑛−1)! (𝑛−1)−(𝑥−1) ! (𝑥−1)! 𝑃. 𝑃𝑥−1 (1 − 𝑃)(𝑛−1)−(𝑥−1) = nP 𝑥=1 𝑛 (𝑛−1)! (𝑛−1)−(𝑥−1) ! (𝑥−1)! 𝑃𝑥−1 (1 − 𝑃)(𝑛−1)−(𝑥−1) = nP 𝑥=1 𝑛 𝑥−1 𝑛−1 𝐶 𝑃𝑥−1 (1 − 𝑃)(𝑛−1)−(𝑥−1) = 𝑛𝑃(P + (1 − 𝑃))(𝑛−1) = nP
  • 7. E(x(x-1)) = 𝑥=1 𝑛 𝑥(𝑥 − 1). 𝑥 𝑛𝐶𝑃𝑥(1 − 𝑝)𝑛−𝑥 = 𝑥=1 𝑛 𝑥(𝑥 − 1). 𝑛! 𝑛−𝑥 ! 𝑥! 𝑃𝑥(1 − 𝑃)𝑛−𝑥 = 𝑥=1 𝑛 𝑥(𝑥 − 1). 𝑛! 𝑛−𝑥 ! 𝑥(𝑥−1)(𝑥−2)! 𝑃𝑥(1 − 𝑃)𝑛−𝑥 = 𝑥=1 𝑛 𝑛.(𝑛−1)(𝑛−2)! (𝑛−1)−(𝑥−1) ! (𝑥−2)! 𝑃2 . 𝑃𝑥−2 (1 − 𝑃)(𝑛−2)−(𝑥−2) = (𝑛2−𝑛)𝑃2 𝑥=1 𝑛 (𝑛−2)! (𝑛−2)−(𝑥−2) ! (𝑥−2)! 𝑃𝑥−2(1 − 𝑃)(𝑛−2)−(𝑥−2) = (𝑛2 −𝑛)𝑃2 𝑥=1 𝑛 𝑥−2 𝑛−2 𝐶 𝑃𝑥−2 (1 − 𝑃)(𝑛−2)−(𝑥−2) = (𝑛2−𝑛)𝑃2 (P + (1 − 𝑃))(𝑛−2) = (𝑛2−𝑛)𝑃2 E(𝑥2 ) = E(x(x-1)) + E(x) = (𝑛2 −𝑛)𝑃2 + nP Variance = E(𝑥2) – {E(x)}2 = (𝑛2 −𝑛)𝑃2 + nP – 𝑛2 𝑃2 = nP−𝑛𝑃2 = nP(1-P)
  • 8. Mean and Variance of Exponential Distribution For exponential distribution, f(x) = Mean = E(x) = −∞ 0 0𝑑𝑥 + 0 ∞ 𝑥.λ 𝑒−λ𝑥 𝑑𝑥 = 0 + λ 0 ∞ 𝑥𝑒−λ𝑥𝑑𝑥 = λ. 𝛤(1) λ 2 = 1 λ Now, E(𝑥2 ) = λ 0 ∞ 𝑥2 𝑒−λ𝑥 𝑑𝑥 = λ. 𝛤(3) λ 3 = 2 λ 2 {λ 𝑒−λ𝑥 , x > 0 0 , elsewhere Variance = E(𝑥2) – {E(x)}2 = 2 λ 2 - 1 λ 2 = 1 λ 2
  • 9. Mean and Variance of Normal Distribution For Normal Distribution, σ = Standard Deviation µ = Mean σ2= Variance Standard Normal Distribution, N(0,1): σ = 1 , μ = 0 f(x) = 1 2Π 𝑒− 𝑧2 2 z = 𝑥−𝜇 𝜎