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Weekly market outlook 08.10.11
1. Weekly Market Outlook 8th Oct 2011
make more, for sure.
SNAPSHOT
DATA MATRIX FOR THE WEEK
A week after showing some signs of recovery, Indian frontline equity indices went on to resume the declining
3rd Oct 2011 - 7th Oct 2011 trend and have even lost most part of the ground that they had gained last week. Though, the benchmarks
snapped the truncated week with cuts of over a percent, however, the losses could have been even larger had the
bourses not rallied on the last trading session of the week. It largely turned out to be a somber week for the
Weekly Markets frontline indices as they failed to settle in the positive territory for three straights sessions of the week and
suffered colossal damage which the final day pull-back rally of close to three percent could not overcome. The
Sensex 16,233 -1.34%
concerns over the financial situation in Europe showed signs of easing after the European Central Bank
Nifty 4,888 -1.11% announced various policy measures aimed at raising liquidity in European banks, including the offer to flood
banks with any amount of one-year loans through 2013The BSE Sensex plunged by 221.22 points to 16232.54
Gold(US$/oz) 1,640.0 0.87% during the week ended October 7, 2011. The BSE Mid-cap index was down by 170.31 points or 2.78% to 5959.28
and the Small-cap index down by 159.53 points to 6721.55. The S&P CNX Nifty shaved off 55.20 points to
Re/US$ 49.03 0.04% 4888.05. On NSE, Bank Nifty down 430.05 points or 4.54% to 9038.25, CNX IT down 37.95 points to 5640.95 while
CNX mid- cap down 199.85 points to 6894.15 and CNX Nifty Junior down 303.30 points or 3.09% to 9518.90.
Dow 11,103 1.74%
2500 Volume* & Volatility Index (Nifty - Sep & Oct 2011) 40
Nasdaq 2,479 2.63%
2000 30
FX Res (US$ Bn) 311.482 -0.39%
1500
20
1000
Net FII / DII Equity Activity (Rs Cr) 10
500
Upto 07.10.11 FIIs DIIs 0 0
Total Oct 2011 -2314.7 1193.0 23-Sep 26-Sep 27-Sep 28-Sep 29-Sep 30-Sep 3-Oct 4-Oct 5-Oct 7-Oct
*NSE
Total 2011 21,849 25,534 Cash Volume (Rs bn) F & O Volume (Rs bn) Volatility Index %
S o urce: bs eindia.co m
Weekly Sector Movement
Sectors Close %
Auto 8,488 -1.88
Bankex 10,348 -6.39
CD 6,346 0.78
CG 10,823 -0.46
FMCG 3,900 -1.59
Healthcare 5,845 -0.98
IT 5,241 -1.82
Metal 10,910 -3.44
Oil & Gas 8,451 -1.17 India's weekly food inflation, measured by the WPI, surged to 9.41% for the week ended September 24 from
9.13% in the last week. India's foreign direct investment (FDI) inflow surged by 127.8% to $2.83 billion in August
PSU 7,305 -2.94 2011, an over two-fold jump from $1.33 billion compared to that in the same month last year. Also India's trade
deficit for August widened to $14.04 billion from last year's $10.09 billion as exports for the month surged
Realty 1,736 -3.58 44.25% to $24.3 billion from a year earlier, while imports rose 41.82% to $38.4 billion for the same period.
WEEK AHEAD
In the coming week, investor's would like to watch out for two major economic data, first and the most important -Index of Industrial Production (IIP) -
data scheduled to be released on October 12, 2011, which could serve as a major clue over the RBI's action ahead of the mid quarterly monetary policy
review on October 25, 2011. The coming week would also mark the start of the earning season, with IT bellwether- Infosys- reporting its Q2 results on
October 12, 2011. Followed by, Housing finances major- HDFC and media major- Zee Entertainment Enterprises on 17 October 2011. On the global front,
investors will be eying few major economic data from US, starting with the FOMC Minutes on October 11, 2011 followed by International Trade Data,
Jobless Claims Data, and finally the retail sales data on October 14, 2011. Therefore 4680-4670 could be the crucial support in near term. On the flip side
any break out above 5055-5070 with decent volumes may reap indices towards 5200-5230 where possibility of consolidation can't be rule out. HAPPY
TRADING….
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4. Weekly Market Outlook
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FORTHCOMING CORPORATE ACTIONS
Ex-Date Company Name NSE- Symbol Purpose
19-Oct-11 Pantaloon Retail (India) Limited PANTALOONR DIVIDEND-RE.0.90 PER SHARE
19-Oct-11 Pantaloon Retail (India) Limited PRETAILDVR DIVIDEND-RE.1/- PER SHARE
20-Oct-11 Infosys Limited INFY INTERIM DIVIDEND
20-Oct-11 Gillette India Limited GILLETTE DIVIDEND-RS.15/- PER SHARE
20-Oct-11 Gateway Distriparks Limited GDL INTERIM DIVIDEND
21-Oct-11 Globus Spirits Limited GLOBUSSPR AGM AND DIVIDEND RE.1/- PER SHARE
21-Oct-11 HCL Technologies Limited HCLTECH AGM AND DIVIDEND RS.2/- PER SHARE
24-Oct-11 Nelcast Limited NELCAST INTERIM DIVIDEND
24-Oct-11 Farmax India Limited FARMAXIND ANNUAL GENERAL MEETING
25-Oct-11 JIK Industries Limited JIKIND ANNUAL GENERAL MEETING
25-Oct-11 Asian Paints Limited ASIANPAINT INTERIM DIVIDEND
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Mansukh Securities and Finance Ltd SEBI Regn No. BSE: INB010985834 /NSE: INB230781431
Office: 306, Pratap Bhavan, 5, Bahadur Shah Zafar Marg, New Delhi-110002 PMS Regn No. INP000002387
Phone: 011-30123450/1/3/5 Fax: 011-30117710 Email: research@moneysukh.com
Website: www.moneysukh.com
5. Weekly Market Outlook
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EQUITY CALLS PERFORMANCE FOR THE WEEK ENDED 7th Oct 2011
Total No. of Calls Profitable Calls Positional/Hold Exit/Stop Loss Success Rate
18 11 1 6 64.71%
NAME DESIGNATION E-MAIL
Varun Gupta Head - Research varungupta@moneysukh.com
Pashupati Nath Jha Research Analyst pashupatinathjha@moneysukh.com
Vikram Singh Research Analyst vikram_research@moneysukh.com
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