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EPIDEMIOLOGICAL STUDIES




                          1
OUTLINE

 Classification of studies

 Study Designs and analysis

 Choice of study design



                               2
CLASSIFICATION




                 3
CLASSIFICATION

 Various ways
 BUT, two major classes
   Non-Interventional
   Interventional




                           4
Non-Intervention studies
 Researcher do not manipulate
  situations/objects

   Just describes or analyses
    situations/objects




                                 5
Intervention studies
 Researcher manipulates
  situations/objects then describes or
  analyses the outcome




                                         6
STUDY DESIGNS AND ANALYSIS




                             7
Non-Intervention studies




                           8
Types of Non- Interventional studies

 Exploratory
 Descriptive
 Analytical




                                       9
Exploratory studies
 Small scale studies
 Gathers information about unfamiliar
  phenomenon
 Results gives insight to a problem
  before a large scale study is designed




                                       10
Descriptive studies
 Only describe phenomena: e.g. Person,
  Place, Time

 No analysis of determinants/association
   E.g. Cross-sectional descriptive




                                            11
Cross-sectional descriptive
 Aim at just describing phenomenon

 Done at one point in time – hence
  Cross-sectional
   E.g. Prevalence studies, KAPB studies




                                            12
Analytical studies
 Describe phenomena
   And
 Analyze relationship between
  phenomena and other variables
  (determinants/association).
   Examples:
     Cross-sectional comparative
     Cohort study
     Case-control study
                                    13
Cross-sectional comparative study

 Aim at describing phenomenon and
  compare groups or determine factors
  influencing the phenomenon
 Done at one point in time
 Measurement of exposure and
  effect are done at the same time



                                        14
Advantages and Disadvantages
of Cross-sectional studies
Advantages                Disadvantages
 Quick and cheap          Not possible to determine
 Can elucidate various      if the exposure preceded
  exposures, as first        the outcome (temporal
  step in investigating      relationship)
  cause
                           Bias**
 Repeated measures
  can depict trend
 Data useful in
  assessing health care
  needs

                                                 15
Cohort studies




                 16
Cohort study (“Prospective, “Follow
up” study)
 Aim at determining risk factors for
  diseases/outcome
 At the start identify two groups
   With exposure to a risk factor (exposed)
   Without exposure (no-n exposed)
 Both groups have not developed the
  disease/outcome at the start
 Follow over time
 At the end, analyse disease/outcome
  occurrence in both groups and compare

                                               17
Design of Cohort study - I
   Time

   Inquiry
                                           Disease

              Start

                               Exposed     No disease


Population    Non-diseased
                 people
                             Non-exposed
                                             Disease



                                           No disease




                                                        18
Design of Cohort study - II
 Exposed and non-exposed groups
  must be comparable in all factors that
  may be related to the disease except
  for the exposure
 Need to get complete and accurate
  information about exposure and
  outcome for all individuals


                                       19
Analysis of Cohort studies
 Compare incidences of disease among
  exposed to non-exposed group
     Cumulative incidence (Calculate Relative
      Risk) (commonly)
     Incidence rate (Calculate Incidence rate
      ratio), - when person time of follow up is
      known




                                               20
Advantages & Disadvantages
 Advantages                  Disadvantages
   Allows direct               Time consuming,
    measurement of                expensive
    incidence of disease        Inefficient in
   Multiple effects of           evaluating rare
    single exposure can be        diseases
    examined                    Loss of follow up affect
   Can elucidate temporal        validity of results
    relationship between
    exposure and disease
   Is of value when
    exposure is rare
   Minimize bias in
    ascertainment of
    exposure


                                                       21
Case – control studies




                         22
Case –control study
(“Retrospective” study)
 Aim at determining risk factors for
  diseases/outcome
 At the start identify two groups
   With disease/outcome (Cases)
   Without disease/outcome (Controls)
 History of exposure to risk factor is
  inquired
 At the end, analyse exposures to a risk
  factor in both groups and compare


                                            23
Design of Case-control study - I
 Time                            Start

 Inquiry

     Exposed
                  Cases

   Non exposed              Population


    Exposed
                 Controls

   Non expose




                                     24
Design of Case-control study - II
 Controls should be representative of the population from
  which the cases are recruited
 Cases and controls must be comparable in all factors
  that may be related to the disease except for presence
  of disease
 Controls can be chosen to match cases for certain
  important variables such as age, sex, etc = Matched
  Case-control design. If matching not done = Un-
  matched case-control design (more common)
 Need to get complete and accurate information about
  exposure for all individuals
 Control: Case ratio? Consider cost, availability of cases
 Usually ratio of 1:1 up to 4:1, beyond that no added
  advantage for power of the study

                                                         25
Analysis of Case-control studies


 Compare Exposure of disease among
  Cases to Controls

     Calculate Odds Ratio




                                  26
Advantages & Disadvantages
 Advantages              Disadvantages
   Relatively quick        Inefficient in
    and inexpensive          evaluating rare
   Suitable for rare        exposures
    diseases                Temporal
   Can evaluate             relationship
    effect of multiple       between exposure
    exposures                and disease difficult
   Is of value for          to ascertain
    diseases with long      Prone to recall bias
    latent periods

                                               27
Intervention studies




                       28
Intervention studies

Two main types:

 Experimental (Classical experiment)
 Quasi-experimental




                                        29
Characteristics of Experimental studies

   Manipulation
     Something is done to one group
      (experimental group)
   Presence of Control group (no manipulation
     done)
   Randomization (assignment of individuals to
     experimental or control groups is done
     randomly)
      Example: Randomized Controlled Trials
        (RCT) – “Gold standard”




                                                  30
Characteristics of Quasi-Experimental
studies



 Manipulation

 Control group or Randomization missing
   Example: Community trials




                                           31
Design of Randomized controlled trial - I


                                        Exp. group



                                                      Follow up &
              Study                                    Analysis
General pop           Randomization
                PX


                                      Control group




                                                         32
Design of Randomized controlled trial - II
 Randomization ensures that chance alone determines
  which individuals become experimental group and
  which ones become control group
   Thus, making the groups comparable in most aspects
     that may be related to the outcome

 Design provide strong evidence of the effect of the
  intervention – “Gold standard”
 Study participants are blinded about the intervention
  (Single blind)
 Sometimes both Study participants and investigators
  are blind about the intervention (Double-blind)


                                                      33
Ethical Considerations in Experimental studies



 Carried out only if:
   Evidence suggest intervention is
    beneficial, but uncertain of effect
   No serious adverse effect to the
    intervention group
   Informed consent to participate



                                             34
Analysis of Intervention studies


 Comparison of outcome of interest in
  experimental and control groups

 Comparison of baseline
  characteristics of experimental and
  control groups


                                        35
Choosing a study design
Considerations:
 Ethical issues – minimal ethical
  concerns
 Resources and administrative issues
 Validity and reliability of results
 Nature of topic



                                        36

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Epidemiological studies

  • 2. OUTLINE  Classification of studies  Study Designs and analysis  Choice of study design 2
  • 4. CLASSIFICATION  Various ways  BUT, two major classes  Non-Interventional  Interventional 4
  • 5. Non-Intervention studies  Researcher do not manipulate situations/objects  Just describes or analyses situations/objects 5
  • 6. Intervention studies  Researcher manipulates situations/objects then describes or analyses the outcome 6
  • 7. STUDY DESIGNS AND ANALYSIS 7
  • 9. Types of Non- Interventional studies  Exploratory  Descriptive  Analytical 9
  • 10. Exploratory studies  Small scale studies  Gathers information about unfamiliar phenomenon  Results gives insight to a problem before a large scale study is designed 10
  • 11. Descriptive studies  Only describe phenomena: e.g. Person, Place, Time  No analysis of determinants/association  E.g. Cross-sectional descriptive 11
  • 12. Cross-sectional descriptive  Aim at just describing phenomenon  Done at one point in time – hence Cross-sectional  E.g. Prevalence studies, KAPB studies 12
  • 13. Analytical studies  Describe phenomena  And  Analyze relationship between phenomena and other variables (determinants/association).  Examples:  Cross-sectional comparative  Cohort study  Case-control study 13
  • 14. Cross-sectional comparative study  Aim at describing phenomenon and compare groups or determine factors influencing the phenomenon  Done at one point in time  Measurement of exposure and effect are done at the same time 14
  • 15. Advantages and Disadvantages of Cross-sectional studies Advantages Disadvantages  Quick and cheap  Not possible to determine  Can elucidate various if the exposure preceded exposures, as first the outcome (temporal step in investigating relationship) cause  Bias**  Repeated measures can depict trend  Data useful in assessing health care needs 15
  • 17. Cohort study (“Prospective, “Follow up” study)  Aim at determining risk factors for diseases/outcome  At the start identify two groups  With exposure to a risk factor (exposed)  Without exposure (no-n exposed)  Both groups have not developed the disease/outcome at the start  Follow over time  At the end, analyse disease/outcome occurrence in both groups and compare 17
  • 18. Design of Cohort study - I  Time  Inquiry Disease Start Exposed No disease Population Non-diseased people Non-exposed Disease No disease 18
  • 19. Design of Cohort study - II  Exposed and non-exposed groups must be comparable in all factors that may be related to the disease except for the exposure  Need to get complete and accurate information about exposure and outcome for all individuals 19
  • 20. Analysis of Cohort studies  Compare incidences of disease among exposed to non-exposed group  Cumulative incidence (Calculate Relative Risk) (commonly)  Incidence rate (Calculate Incidence rate ratio), - when person time of follow up is known 20
  • 21. Advantages & Disadvantages  Advantages  Disadvantages  Allows direct  Time consuming, measurement of expensive incidence of disease  Inefficient in  Multiple effects of evaluating rare single exposure can be diseases examined  Loss of follow up affect  Can elucidate temporal validity of results relationship between exposure and disease  Is of value when exposure is rare  Minimize bias in ascertainment of exposure 21
  • 22. Case – control studies 22
  • 23. Case –control study (“Retrospective” study)  Aim at determining risk factors for diseases/outcome  At the start identify two groups  With disease/outcome (Cases)  Without disease/outcome (Controls)  History of exposure to risk factor is inquired  At the end, analyse exposures to a risk factor in both groups and compare 23
  • 24. Design of Case-control study - I  Time Start  Inquiry Exposed Cases Non exposed Population Exposed Controls Non expose 24
  • 25. Design of Case-control study - II  Controls should be representative of the population from which the cases are recruited  Cases and controls must be comparable in all factors that may be related to the disease except for presence of disease  Controls can be chosen to match cases for certain important variables such as age, sex, etc = Matched Case-control design. If matching not done = Un- matched case-control design (more common)  Need to get complete and accurate information about exposure for all individuals  Control: Case ratio? Consider cost, availability of cases  Usually ratio of 1:1 up to 4:1, beyond that no added advantage for power of the study 25
  • 26. Analysis of Case-control studies  Compare Exposure of disease among Cases to Controls  Calculate Odds Ratio 26
  • 27. Advantages & Disadvantages  Advantages  Disadvantages  Relatively quick  Inefficient in and inexpensive evaluating rare  Suitable for rare exposures diseases  Temporal  Can evaluate relationship effect of multiple between exposure exposures and disease difficult  Is of value for to ascertain diseases with long  Prone to recall bias latent periods 27
  • 29. Intervention studies Two main types:  Experimental (Classical experiment)  Quasi-experimental 29
  • 30. Characteristics of Experimental studies  Manipulation  Something is done to one group (experimental group)  Presence of Control group (no manipulation done)  Randomization (assignment of individuals to experimental or control groups is done randomly)  Example: Randomized Controlled Trials (RCT) – “Gold standard” 30
  • 31. Characteristics of Quasi-Experimental studies  Manipulation  Control group or Randomization missing  Example: Community trials 31
  • 32. Design of Randomized controlled trial - I Exp. group Follow up & Study Analysis General pop Randomization PX Control group 32
  • 33. Design of Randomized controlled trial - II  Randomization ensures that chance alone determines which individuals become experimental group and which ones become control group  Thus, making the groups comparable in most aspects that may be related to the outcome  Design provide strong evidence of the effect of the intervention – “Gold standard”  Study participants are blinded about the intervention (Single blind)  Sometimes both Study participants and investigators are blind about the intervention (Double-blind) 33
  • 34. Ethical Considerations in Experimental studies  Carried out only if:  Evidence suggest intervention is beneficial, but uncertain of effect  No serious adverse effect to the intervention group  Informed consent to participate 34
  • 35. Analysis of Intervention studies  Comparison of outcome of interest in experimental and control groups  Comparison of baseline characteristics of experimental and control groups 35
  • 36. Choosing a study design Considerations:  Ethical issues – minimal ethical concerns  Resources and administrative issues  Validity and reliability of results  Nature of topic 36

Editor's Notes

  1. Ask the learners to define Epidemiology
  2. Health related states include disease and non-disease states. Example of non-disease states – injury, substance use, suicide
  3. Ask learners to explain the uses of epidemioloy