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1. DAILY AGRI COMMODITY REPORT
28 May 2015
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2. Market Views
2
MONTH OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE % CHG VOL MONTH OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE % CHG VOL
CORIANDER
JUNE 12719 12940 12300 12490 -2.01 61890
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP.1
12213
SUPP. 2
11937
PIVOT
12577
Coriander short term
trend is up and June
continue in coming
days.RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
12853
RES. 2
13217
CASTORSEED
JUNE 3990 4046 3986 4010 +0.48 53500
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP. 1
3982
SUPP. 2
3954
PIVOT
4014
Castorseed short term
trend is up and June
continue in coming
days..RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
4042
RES. 2
4074
TURMERIC
JUNE 7786 7960 7722 7902 +1.67 12670
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP. 1
7767
SUPP. 2
7625
PIVOT
7863
Turmeric short term
trend is down and June
continue in coming
days.RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
8005
RES. 2
8101
GUARGUM
JUNE 11250 11400 11120 11300 +0.36 6709
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP. 1
11147
SUPP. 2
10993
PIVOT
11273
Guargum short term
trend is up and June
continue in coming
days.RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
11427
RES. 2
11553
3. Most Active Contract
3
NCDEX INDICES
Index Value
Pre.
Close
%
Change
CASTORSEED 4010 3991 +0.48
CHANA 4675 4623 +1.12
CORIANDER 12490 12746 -2.01
GUARGUM 11300 11260 +0.36
JEERA 17565 17565 -
MUSTARD SEED 4263 4239 +0.57
SOYABEAN 4012 3963 +1.24
TURMERIC 7902 7772 +1.67
TOP LOSERS
SYMBOL EXPIRY DATE
CURRENT
PRICE
CHANGE
CHANGE
%
CORIANDER 19-06-2015 12494.00 -256.00 -2.01%
TOP GAINERS
SYMBOL EXPIRY DATE
CURRENT
PRICE
CHANGE CHANGE %
TURMERIC 19-06-2015 7916.00 150.00 1.93%
SOYABEAN 19-06-2015 4026.00 56.00 1.41%
COTTON SEED OIL CAKE
AKOLA
19-06-2015 1777.00 19.00 1.08%
CHANA 19-06-2015 4673.00 39.00 0.84%
CASTOR SEED NEW 19-06-2015 4025.00 33.00 0.83%
JEERA 19-06-2015 17670.00 135.00 0.77%
RAPESEED-MUSTARD
SEED
19-06-2015 4277.00 29.00 0.68%
REFINED SOY OIL 19-06-2015 598.70 3.50 0.59%
BARLEY 19-06-2015 1268.50 3.00 0.24%
4. Commodities In News
4
ECONOMIC NEWS
Wheat procurement by government agencies in India during current
Rabi marketing season has crossed the last year mark. It is 5 lakh MT
more than last season’s procurement.Till May 6th this season
267,06,313 MT wheat has been procured by the government agencies
in various wheat growing states, while during last season it was
262,86,152 MT on the day, according to an official data.In order to
give relief to the farmers affected with unseasonal rains and
hailstorms, the Government had relaxed quality norms for wheat
procurement and also decided to bear value cut , if any imposed for
shrivelled, broken and luster lost grains, so that farmers get full
Minimum Support Price(MSP) for their produce.Punjab has procured
over 98.66 lakh tonnes of wheat this season, while neighbouring
Haryana has surpassed its procurement target for the season by
procuring 67.55 lakh tonnes.
With pulses prices rising by up to 64 per cent in the last one year,
the government plans to increase supplies to rein in prices as it looks
at steps to keep inflation down amid forecast of deficit monsoon.there
is an issue with pulses these days, because there has been an impact on
the crop, also of international prices. Stating that inflation has come
down, consumer as well as wholesale, Seasonal considerations are
there and with the change of season the price comes down."Pulses got
costlier by up to 64 per cent in last one year across major metro cities,
primarily due to fall in domestic production.Pulses production is
estimated to fall to 18.43 million tonnes in the 2014-15 crop year
(June-July)) from 19.78 million tonnes in the previous year.India
produces 18-20 million tonnes of pulses annually and has to import 3-
4 million tonnes to meet the domestic demand.Import stood at 3
million tonnes in 2013-14, while it is estimated at 3.4 million tonnes in
the last fiscal. In the last two years, imports have been through private
traders only.Amidst forecast of poor monsoon for the second straight
year, the government is considering importing pulses through state-
owned trading firms such as MMTC to boost domesticsupply.
Chana also edged up after falling near its two week low yesterday. The
arrivals hadstayed elevated in last two days in Delhi, keeping a tab on spot
and futures market thoughsentiments turned around today as traders entered
long in futures on bargain hunting.NCDEX June Chana is quoting at Rs 4675
per quintal, up 1.12% on the day.
Guarseed also rose following weak arrivals. The NCDEX Guarseed futures
are trading atRs 5057 per quintal, up 0.94% on the day for June delivery. The
counter managed to breakabove Rs 5000 per quintal in early moves after an
initial setback and managed to hold thegains throughout as spot markets
showed signs of stabilizing around Rs 4900 per quintalmark in Jodhpur.
Guargum futures for June are up 0.98% to Rs 11370 per quintal.
Some buying emerged in battered agri counters today after a heavy pouding
earlier inthe week. Brgain buying lifted commodities like Chana, Jeera,
Guarseed and Soybeans thoughthe broad sentiments stayed in the awe of the
impeding monsoon. Monsoon is likely to be ontime and could set over the
Kerala coast over next one week. Pre monsoon Rainfall has beendecent in the
country in last few days. Some good pre-Monsoon rain coupled
withthundershower activity in North India in last few days has helped the
country in recordingsurplus rain this week. According to the data available
with Skymet Meteorology Divisionin India, rainfall in the country from May
14 to May 20 has been in excess of 32%. This islooking promising from the
point of view of the Kharif harvest and an early start to thesowing can be
expected if the trend continues. While major agri commodities dropped amid
these reports in last couple of sessions,steady buying emerged today and
major gains were noted in the counters which had taken alot of losses in the
week. Turmeric edged up in the futures market amid extremely hotconditions
in major trading centres. The benchmark NCDEX June futures had tumbled to
a twomonth low yesterday but remained supported right from the start today
and broke above Rs7900 per quintal mark in afternoon. The counter quotes at
Rs 7904 per quintal, up 1.7% onthe day.
5. 5
Fundamental Watch : Chana
CHANA ARRIVALS AT KEY SPOT MARKETNational Market Update
The loss of around Rs 2500 crore is likely to incurred by government on cotton
procurement scheme, which was aimed to save the farmers from the crashing cotton
prices held in the current marketing year through September, The losses were earlier
estimated to be around Rs 4000 crore, The loss could still be lower than Rs 2500 crore
if cotton price improves. Around eight textile industry association in Tamil Nadu
urged the state minister (road transport, national highways and shipping) to relax
Cabotage law in order to make transport of cotton from Gujarat to Tamil Nadu easier.
Under the law the Indian vessel will be given the first preference for the transportation
of good from one port to another and any foreign vessel could get chance only when
Indian vessel in not available and the India's maritime regulator issues the license to
foreign vessel. The southwest rains this season are predicted to be below normal for
the second consecutive year, according to the IMD. According to the market
participants, unlike the other crops, the deficit in rainfall would not impact cotton
output and rather it could benefit cotton as it is the desert crop. India exported 0.416
lakh bales of cotton last week (11-17 May 2015), which was 0.410 lakh bales previous
to last week (04-10 May 2015), Imports on the other hand stood 0.383 lakh bales last
week, which was 0.091 lakh bales previous to last week. The Bharatiya Janata Kisan
Morcha, (BJKM) the farmers’ wing of the BJP in Hyderabad demanded the state
government to make the sufficient quality cotton seeds available to farmers before the
first spell of monsoon.
China imported around 160,800 tonnes of cotton in April, approximately 28.3%
lower when compared to the volume imported during the same month last year,
according to the official custom data. During the initial four month of the year,
imports to China fell by around 38.2 percent year on year to 609,000 tonnes, said
China Cotton Association (CCA) citing custom data. Around 44% of cotton planting
has been completed in USA as on May 17 this year, which was 26% last week and
35% last year on same date, according to USDA. The five year average sowing
progress is 46% as on date, slightly higher than the current sowing pace. According to
Informa Economics, all cotton acreage in USA would stand around 9.334 million
acres, lower than the March estimates of USDA which was 9.549 million acres.
CENTER 27-May-15 26-May-15 Change
AMRAVATI 100 90 +10
MAHESANA NA NA -
RAJKOT 960 720 +240
PATAN NA NA -
DEESA NA NA -
BHIWANI NA NA -
GONDAL 479 534 -55
6. Technical Outlook
6
BUY CORIANDER JUNE ABOVE 12690 TARGET 12715 12755 SL
BELOW 12665
BUY GUARGUM JUNE ABOVE 11400 TARGET 11450 11510 SL
BELOW 11340
BUY TURMERIC JUNE ABOVE 7960 TARGET 8000 8060 SL
BELOW 7900
BUY CASTORSEED JUNE ABOVE 4046 TARGET 4071 4101 SL
BELOW 4021
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