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Epic research daily agri report 08th june 2015
1. DAILY AGRI COMMODITY REPORT
08 June 2015
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2. Market Views
2
MONTH OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE % CHG VOL MONTH OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE % CHG VOL
CORIANDER
JUNE 12702 12950 12326 12520 -2.25 7260
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP.1
12914
SUPP. 2
13308
PIVOT
12932
Coriander short term
trend is up and May
continue in coming
days.RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
12538
RES. 2
12556
CASTORSEED
JULY 4186 4194 4051 4190 -2.63 105100
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP. 1
4022
SUPP. 2
3965
PIVOT
4108
Castorseed short term
trend is up and May
continue in coming
days..RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
4165
RES. 2
4251
TURMERIC
JUNE 7788 7788 7518 7570 -2.75 13200
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP. 1
7463
SUPP. 2
7355
PIVOT
7625
Turmeric short term
trend is down and May
continue in coming
days.RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
7733
RES. 2
7895
GUARGUM
JUNE 11780 11900 11420 11530 -2.62 4626
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP. 1
11333
SUPP. 2
11136
PIVOT
11617
Guargum short term
trend is up and May
continue in coming
days.RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
11813
RES. 2
12097
3. Most Active Contract
3
NCDEX INDICES
Index Value
Pre.
Close
%
Change
CASTORSEED 4117 4190 -1.74
CHANA 4628 4637 -0.19
CORIANDER 12637 12808 -1.34
GUARGUM 11580 11840 -2.20
JEERA 16840 17515 -3.85
MUSTARD
SEED
4199 4246 -1.11
SOYABEAN 3971 4053 -2.02
TURMERIC 7530 7784 -3.26
TOP LOSERS
SYMBOL EXPIRY DATE
CURRENT
PRICE
CHANGE
CHANGE
%
JEERA 19-06-2015 16815.00 -660.00 -3.78%
TURMERIC 19-06-2015 7576.00 -202.00 -2.60%
CORIANDER 19-06-2015 12441.00 -328.00 -2.57%
SOYABEAN 19-06-2015 3972.00 -74.00 -1.83%
COTTON SEED OIL CAKE
AKOLA
19-06-2015 1760.00 -28.00 -1.57%
CASTOR SEED NEW 19-06-2015 3967.00 -48.00 -1.20%
RAPESEED-MUSTARD
SEED
19-06-2015 4193.00 -50.00 -1.18%
BARLEY 19-06-2015 1234.00 -10.50 -0.84%
CHANA 19-06-2015 4625.00 -15.00 -0.32%
REFINED SOY OIL 19-06-2015 613.40 -1.60 -0.26%
TOP GAINERS
SYMBOL EXPIRY DATE
CURRENT
PRICE
CHANGE CHANGE %
4. Commodities In News
4
ECONOMIC NEWS
Bangladesh on June 6-7 bold moves are expected to take the mutual
economic relations much beyond the thread of cotton and textiles industry
which dominates the bilateral trade, according to an ASSOCHAM paper.
“Composition of India’s export and import basket related to Bangladesh
shows growing intra industry trade in cotton textiles sector. For instance,
raw cotton is the single largest item of export to Bangladesh accounting for
a share of more than a quarter in India’s total exports to Bangladesh. Also
Bangladesh is sourcing dyeing materials and a variety of filament yarns for
its textile industry from India’,’India-Bangladesh trade has increased over
the years but the share of Bangladesh in India’s total imports remains
miniscule. Share of Bangladesh in India’s exports has remained around 2%
in recent years India has consistently maintained a trade surplus with
Bangladesh. “With such a huge trade surplus in our favour, India can
afford to be much more liberal towards its neighbor in granting market
access. In fact, while a fair competition is welcome, India and Bangladesh
can get together in jointly tapping the global textiles market with advantage
of cost effective Bangladeshi workforce, while India can provide support in
technology, branding, scale etc .Of the total bilateral trade of $6.65 billion ,
India’s exports comprised $6.16 billion while imports were less than $500
million, leaving a large trade surplus of $5.68 billion .
India's Sugars and Sugar Confectionery imports in April- 2015 has fallen
to $28.73 M, a decrease of 32.45% compared to March 2015, the latest
report by InfodriveIndia.com said.compared to March 2015, a decrease of
%28.73 M in April- 2015 has been noticed. He further gives a analysis and
break up of major product categories, major countries and major Indian
ports under Sugars and Sugar Confectionery as follows : A Imports of
Cane or Beet Sugar and Chemically Pure Sucrose in Solid Form has fallen
month on month basis by -42.83%.Total value of imports in April- 2015
was 20.62 M, compared to March 2015, there is a decrease of -15.45 M in
April- 2015, growth rate in percentage terms is -42.83%. Confectionery has
grew month on month basis by 37.79%.Total value of imports in April-
2015 was 1.55 M, compared to March 2015.
Stockiest liquidation was seen in coriander futures from higher levels
on the account of higher supplies in local mandies coupled with limited
demand of exporters. The NCDEX futures declined off by 2.35 percent
today.The total daily arrivals in all the mandies were also reported at 90-
95 thousand bags , up almost 10-15 thousand bags from the last year.
This was mainly due to bumper production in the current year.
Moreover, receding export demand at higher levels will also limit the
uptrend of coriander in the near term. At Guna market , Coriander Seed
Badami is trading weak at Rs. 9200 per quintal, down by 3.16 per cent
as compared to previous day. Estimated market supply was at 3000
quintals, higher by 500 quintals as against previous day.Coriander Seed
Eagle is offered weak at Rs. 10800 per quintal, down by 1.82 per cent
against previous trading.At Baran market , Coriander Seed Eagle
finished at Rs. 11000 per quintal, steady as against previous
close.Coriander Seed Badami ended at Rs. 10000 per quintal, unchanged
against previous close. Estimated market supply was at 4000 quintals,
unchanged as compared to previous day's arrival.Coriander Seed Eagle
at Bhawani market finished strong at Rs. 9700-10100 per quintal, higher
by 1 per cent as against previous day.
Turmeric is expected to trade sideways to negative bias later due to
reports on monsoon hitting the country in next two days. Meanwhile,
weak demand for medium quality turmeric coupled with huge carryover
stocks also pressurizes the prices at higher levels. However, prices may
go up on arrival of good quality crop in the market.ood buying support
from retailers and stockiest against fall in supplies from producing belts
may pushed up turmeric.
The spot chana extended their losses on the account of limited demand
from millers and stockiest at Delhi mandi.The arrivals in Delhi reported
at 30 trucks today as compared to 40-45 trucks average in the previous
week. The prices are trading at Rs 4650 per quintal, down Rs 50 per
quintal from the last trading.
5. 5
Fundamental Watch : Chana
CHANA ARRIVALS AT KEY SPOT MARKET
National Market Update
This year pulses prices are ruling higher and farmers intend to grow more pulses
this year. In normal weather condition acreage is likely to increase by 20 percent.
However, as farmers opine that lower rainfall can change farmer’s intention and they
may go for another lucrative cash crop. If growing areas receives normal rainfall,
production and productivity are bound to increase. Under lower rainfall condition,
increase in acreage could be restricted. However, in any condition pulses area in
kharif would be higher in comparison to last year.
Central Government has asked all state governments to submit details of their
demand for pulses and details of this year crop and availability of pulses from last
year's stock. The information will help central government to analyze the situation and
decide the action plan to control the increasing prices of pulses. They can meet the
demand by getting additional supply from surplus states or can import from other
countries.A meeting regarding pulses supply-demand situation and likely price trend
is scheduled next week to take the stock of the situation.
As per latest update from market participants some forward deals of Chana from
Australia have been struck at Rs4550 this week to be shipped during October-
November. Masoor and Yellow peas deals too have been struck from Canada at Rs
5950-6000 and Rs 2550-2575 respectively for October-November shipment.
According to the local traders, no major damage occurred in Canadian Pulses by
frost and even the warm weather that followed has been ideal for crop development.
They are estimating 3.75 million acres of the lentil crop, which is well above Statistics
Canada’s 3.35 million acre estimate and 3.9 million acres of peas,comprising three
million acres of yellow and 870,000 acres of green peas. That is higher in line with
Statistics Canada’s 3.83 million acre estimate.
Australian Chickpea is currently being planted and should be finished in the end of
June. Weather condition is favorable and yield may increase this year as compare to
last year. Harvest is set to begin after September. Demand and prices of Australian
chickpeas increased due to crop failure in India. Australia exports around 95% of its
chickpea crop where India, Bangladesh and UAE are its major export destination
CENTER 05-June-15 04-June-15 Change
ALWAR 4250 4450 -200
ASHOK
NAGAR
4500 4550 -50
KOTA 4200 NA -
VIJAYWADA 4800 4800 UNCH
LATUR 4750 4750 UNCH
JALGAON 4500 4500 UNCH
DELHI 4600 4600 UNCH
6. Technical Outlook
6
SELL CORIANDER JUNE BELOW 12430 TARGET 12405 12365 SL
ABOVE 12460
SELL GUARGUM JUNE BELOW 11420 TARGET 11370 11310 SL
ABOVE 11480
SELL TURMERIC JUNE BELOW 7488 TARGET 7448 7388 SL
ABOVE 7548
SELL CASTORSEED JULY BELOW 4080 TARGET 4055 4025 SL
ABOVE 4110
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