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1. DAILY AGRI COMMODITY REPORT
28 July 2015
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2. Market Views
2
MONTH OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE % CHG VOL MONTH OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE % CHG VOL
CORIANDER
AUG 11930 11954 11490 11490 -3.99 11840
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP.1
11335
SUPP. 2
11181
PIVOT
11645
Coriander short term
trend is bullish and May
continue in coming
days.RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
11799
RES. 2
12019
CASTORSEED
AUG 3917 3931 3787 3787 -3.98 84550
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP. 1
3739
SUPP. 2
3691
PIVOT
3835
Castorseed short term
trend is bullish and
May continue in
coming day.RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
3883
RES. 2
3979
TURMERIC
AUG 6840 6976 6612 6712 -2.16 16955
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP. 1
6557
SUPP. 2
6403
PIVOT
6767
Turmeric short term
trend is bearish and
May continue in
coming days.RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
6921
RES. 2
7131
GUARGUM
OCT 8450 8450 8310 8310 -3.93 5157
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP. 1
8263
SUPP. 2
8217
PIVOT
8357
Guargum short term
trend is bullish and
May continue in
coming days.RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
8403
RES. 2
8497
3. Most Active Contract
3
NCDEX INDICES
TOP GAINERS
SYMBOL EXPIRY DATE
CURRENT
PRICE
CHANGE CHANGE %
CASTOR SEED OIL CAKE
AKOLA
20-08-2015 1948.00 +56.00 +2.96%
RAPESEED-
MUSTERSEED
20-08-2015 4122.00 +1.00 +0.02%
TOP LOSERS
SYMBOL EXPIRY DATE
CURRENT
PRICE
CHANGE CHANGE %
CORIANDER 20-08-2015 11490.00 -480.00 -4.01%
TURMERIC 20-08-2015 6712.00 -272.00 -3.89%
CASTOR SEED NEW 20-08-2015 3787.00 -139.00 -3.54%
JEERA 20-08-2015 15060.00 -540.00 -3.46%
BARLEY 20-08-2015 1153.50 -18.50 -1.58%
REFINED SOYA OIL 20-08-2015 566.40 -5.00 -0.88%
SOYABEAN 20-08-2015 3265.00 -17.00 -0.52%
Index Value Pre. Close
%
Change
CASTORSEED 3787 3944 -3.98
CHANA 4575 4640 -1.4
CORIANDER 11490 11968 -3.99
GUARGUM 8310 8650 -3.93
JEERA 15060 15640 -3.71
MUSTARD SEED 4122 4151 -0.7
SOYABEAN 3265 3309 -1.33
TURMERIC 6712 6860 -2.16
4. Commodities In News
4
ECONOMIC NEWS
With cost of onions inching towards Rs 40 per kg in Delhi, government
has fast-tracked procurement of approximately 10,000 tonnes of the key
kitchen staple, which can be sold in the open market through fair price
shops to stabilize prices.Observers said that wholesale prices have
increased substantially as farmers are bringing less quantity to mandis and
are waiting for better price. Sources said government-controlled agriculture
cooperative Nafed and Small Farmers' Agri-Business Consortium (SFAC)
have already been asked to procure onion from major mandis and even to
weigh option of importing the item. "The price rise may continue for very
limited period, may be for a month. Fresh harvest in Andhra Pradesh has
started and major supply will start from Karnataka by mid-August. While
farmers stocking onion is pushing prices, middlemen and traders are also
responsible for artificial price rise. Government has to address this," said an
official of Nashik-based National Horticulture Research and Development
Foundation ( NHRDF). At India's largest wholesale onion market of
Lasalgaon in Maharashtra, the average price has increased by 54 per cent in
two weeks to Rs 2,550 rupees per quintal, which is the highest since
November 2013. Annual consumption of onion in India is about 15 million
tonnes. Onion production in 2014-15 was 18.9 million tonnes, but 20 per
cent of it has been damaged due to untimely rains and hailstorms during
February to April. Meanwhile, government expects to import 5,000 tonnes
of arhar dal by August end to push availability and the tender for importing
another 5,000 tonnes of urad dal will be out in the next few days.
Heavy monsoon showers drenched crops in agriculturally significant
central and northwestern India, bringing the season's total rainfall one
percentage point closer to normal after four days of torrential rains.
Rainfall in the past 24 hours was 45% more than average, reducing the
total deficit since June 1 to only 5%, data from the India Meteorological
Department showed. The weather office has predicted very heavy showers
in parts of the country in the days ahead, which is likely to further reduce
the rain deficit of the season.
Heavy selling intensified in guarseed market on the heels of
favourable sowing conditions in major producing states and restricted
demand of guar gum exporters at current levels. The NCDEX futures
plummeted by 4 percent yesterday.The market sources suggested that
favourable monsoon progress in major guar seed producing states such
as Gujarat and Rajasthan will promote timely sowing of guarseed crop
in the current year. The better sowing conditions will also increase the
productivity of the crop. Moreover, receding demand of guar gum
exporters in local mandies have also augmented the losses in today's
trading. The market sources added that declining trend of international
crude oil will reduce the international demand of guar gum in the
coming days.
Turmeric settled down as monsoon rains hits the turmeric growing
areas of Maharashtra, Tamil Nadu and Karnataka. However, steady
demand from North India coupled with arrival of good quality turmeric
limited the losses. However, prospects of weak in July may not effect
turmeric production as it is sown mainly in irrigated conditions.
However, excess rains during the vegetative and harvesting may
adversely affect the production and quality. Turmeric sowing area
reported high in Maharashtra and Tamil Nadu state during the current
sowing period. As per Spice board of India, the export for the 2014-15
is 86,000 tonnes worth Rs 744.35 crore compared to 77,500 tonnes
and Rs 666.75 crore in FY14. At Nizamabad market total arrivals are at
1400 quintals, higher by 500 quintals as against previous day. At Erode
market estimated market supply was at 6000 quintals, lower by 2000
quintals from previous trading day. At Warangal market soures
reported arrivals at 200 bags, down by 50 bags as against previous day.
In Andhra Pradesh, Turmeric sown during Kharif 2015 week ending
08-07-2015 is 2638 hectares as compared to last year 261 hectares.
District wise current year area reported 387 hectares in YSR Kadapa,
Guntur 705 hectares, Krishna 273 hectares, Kurnool 61 hectares.
5. 5
Fundamental Watch : Castorseed
National Market Update
Castor seed cash and futures markets is likely to trade lower as expected on
bears active participation in futures, good sowing prospects and planters
unwillingness to buy in descending market. There is a rumour in the market
that farmers may shift from castor to Mustard and pulses crops if prices
continue to decrease in the weeks ahead.
Area coverage during Kharif 2015 is higher by 0.01 lakh ha compared to
corresponding period of Kharif 2014.Normal area coverage (5 years average)
is 10.36 lakh ha. and till 16th of July, total coverage was registered at 0.73
lakh ha. against 0.72 lakh ha covered till corresponding period last year.
Rajasthan and Telangana are doing better at sowing front with 21 and 26
thousand ha. area coverage so far.
Agriculture statistics Division, DES has released Third Adv estimates of
Production of foodgrains for 2014-15 on 13.05 2015. It has revised castor
production estimate down by 87 thousand tonne to 18.24 lakh tonne. In second
Adv Est. castor production was estimated at 19.11 lakh tonne. The minor
decrease in third Adv . Est. is mainly attributed to inclement weather and yield
loss.
China brought19165.55 tonne oil during June,followed by Netherlands,
USA(9472.4 and 6397.63 tonne).Other major buyers were France, Japan and
Korea. Minor buyers brought 5996 tonne castor oil during June,2015.Oil
export in July is expected to cross 40,000 Tonne.
India Castor oil in Rotterdam decreased from $1575 to $1539 per tonne in
last one month and may trade down in the weeks ahead.
CENTER 25-July-15 24-July-15 Change
GONDAL 3755 3830 -75
PATAN 3800 3825 -25
MEHSANA 3810 3825 -15
KADI 3875 3660 215
DEESA 3800 3800 UNCH
GANDHI
NAGAR
3850 3850 UNCH
JUNAGADH 3755 3690 +65
CASTORSEED ARRIVAL AT KEY SPOT
MARKET
CENTER 25-July-15 24-July-15 Change
GONDAL 3755 3830 -75
PATAN 3800 3825 -25
MEHSANA 3810 3825 -15
KADI 3875 3660 215
DEESA 3800 3800 UNCH
GANDHI
NAGAR
3850 3850 UNCH
JUNAGADH 3755 3690 +65
6. Technical Outlook
6
SELL CORIANDER AUG BELOW 11450 TARGET 11425 11385 SL
ABOVE 11480
SELL GUARGUM OCT BELOW 8310 TARGET 8260 8190 SL
ABOVE 8370
SELL TURMERIC AUG BELOW 6610 TARGET 6570 6510 SL
ABOVE 6670
BUY CASTORSEED AUG ABOVE 3980 TARGET 4005 4035 SL
BELOW 3950
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