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DAILY AGRI COMMODITY REPORT
29 June 2015
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1
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Hotline: +91 731 664 2300
Alternate: +91 731 664 2320
Or give us a missed call at
026 5309 0639
Our Presence
YOURMINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
Market Views
2
MONTH OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE % CHG VOL MONTH OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE % CHG VOL
TURMERIC
JULY 6910 7098 6910 7000 +1.30 12795
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP. 1
6907
SUPP. 2
6815
PIVOT
7003
Turmeric short term
trend is down and May
continue in coming
days.RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
7095
RES. 2
7191
CORIANDER
JULY 12134 12198 11817 11832 -2.22 15170
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP.1
11700
SUPP. 2
11568
PIVOT
11949
Coriander short term
trend is down and May
continue in coming
days.RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
12081
RES. 2
12330
GUARGUM
JULY 10900 11140 10580 10800 -0.09 15928
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP. 1
10520
SUPP. 2
10240
PIVOT
10830
Guargum short term
trend is up and May
continue in coming
days.RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
11110
RES. 2
11420
CASTORSEED
JULY 4028 4055 4011 4025 +0.10 37260
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP. 1
4006
SUPP. 2
3986
PIVOT
4030
Castorseed short term
trend is down and May
continue in coming
days..RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
4050
RES. 2
4074
Most Active Contract
3
NCDEX INDICES
Index Value
Pre.
Close
%
Change
CASTORSEED 4025 4021 +0.10
CHANA 4167 4162 +0.12
CORIANDER 11832 12101 -2.22
GUARGUM 10800 10810 -0.09
JEERA 16425 16035 -2.43
MUSTARD
SEED
4150 4129 +0.51
SOYABEAN 3490 3444 +1.34
TURMERIC 7000 6910 +1.30
TOP LOSERS
SYMBOL EXPIRY DATE
CURRENT
PRICE
CHANGE
CHANGE
%
CORIANDER 20-07-2015 11832.00 -288.00 -2.38%
COTTON SEED OIL CAKE
AKOLA
20-07-2015 1818.00 -7.00 -0.38%
BARLEY 20-07-2015 1234.00 -4.00 -0.32%
TOP GAINERS
SYMBOL EXPIRY DATE
CURRENT
PRICE
CHANGE CHANGE %
JEERA 20-07-2015 16425.00 390.00 2.43%
SOYABEAN 20-08-2015 3490.00 48.00 1.39%
RAPESEED-MUSTARD
SEED
20-07-2015 4150.00 27.00 0.65%
TURMERIC 20-07-2015 7000.00 34.00 0.49%
CHANA 20-07-2015 4167.00 9.00 0.22%
CASTOR SEED NEW 20-07-2015 4025.00 8.00 0.20%
REFINED SOY OIL 20-08-2015 588.80 0.75 0.13%
Commodities In News
4
ECONOMIC NEWS
In the past seven years, the prices of many food items seem to have
doubled in Delhi. The Economic Survey of Delhi for 2014-15 shows that
pulses, oil and even mutton are now twice as costly.Interestingly, Delhi's
consumer price index during 2014 at 223 was lesser than the national
average of 247, indicating that inflation in Delhi since 2001 has actually
been lower than in most other cities.The survey ,however, shows that
potato and onion have registered an insignificant rise in their wholesale
price since 2007 - onion has gone up from Rs 1,107 per quintal to Rs 1,200
per quintal while potato is up from Rs 685 per quintal to Rs 750 per
quintal.Against this, the price of pulses has risen exponentially in the
wholesale market and its impact has been felt more acutely in the retail
market. Arhar has gone up from Rs 3,365 per quintal to Rs 6,400 per
quintal while price of moong has risen from Rs 3,784 per quintal to Rs
6,550 per quintal."Barring seasonal fluctuations in some commodities like
onion, potato and wheat - due to decline in arrivals, inclement weather in
the major producing areas, transportation bottlenecks, increase in cost of
movement and lower stocks the retail prices of most essential commodities
have exhibited a steady trend in all metro cities in India."It has attributed
the rise in prices to low production, market inefficiencies, wastage due to
inadequate storage facilities etc.In the case of pulses, Naresh Gupta,
president of the grain merchants association, says a change in the minimum
supply price has been instrumental in the sharp rise in prices, but more
importantly, a shortage in supply is responsible for the rise in the price of
grains."Moong is the major crop grown in India but the rest is largely
imported.The dollar exchange rate has also gone up significantly in he past
10 years. When we have been unable to meet demand, the prices will, of
course, rise," he said.Kahiq-uz-Zaman Khan, owner of Raj Eggs Mart, says
hat prices of chicks, medicine, feed etc have risen quite steeply over the
past few years, resulting in a rise in the price of eggs.
Guarseed gained further amid continued bargain hunting on friday.
Prices have dropped heavily in last few days as market players continued
to track the cues from monsoon. The IMD noted in its latest weekly
update that conditions are favourable for further advance of southwest
monsoon into remaining parts of north Arabian sea, Gujarat state,
Chhattisgarh, Jharkhand, entire Bihar, Uttarakhand, Himachal Pradesh,
Jammu & Kashmir, most parts of Madhya Pradesh and some parts of
Uttar Pradesh, Punjab, Haryana, Chandigarh & Delhi and Rajasthan
during next couple of days. Some parts in Rajasthan continue to witness
good rains and traders took it as a good sign for the current season's
harvest.
Turmeric arrivals in the Nizamabad and Erode mandis were reported
lower with stable prices. Traders also noted that rainfall was reported in
some parts of Andhra Pradesh and Karnataka. Traders are expecting the
total production in the range of 50-52 lakh bags in the previous year,
down 20 lakh bags. Sources also stated that around 68 lakh bags of total
stocks have been reported in local mandies.
Heavy rains in Gujarat are supporting the sentiments. Stockists are
keeping Jeera steady after latest correction. Spot Jeera extended its losses
amid thin demand and very less arrivals. The stocks in ready market are
poor and though the demand for Ramadan is expected to support the
commodity in near term, not much of buying emerged on friday.
Castorseed sowing has started on a good note amid steady progress in
monsoon. Last two years have seen farmers getting good returns on
castor and the acreage is expected to increase this year too.The counter is
off its lowest levels in last one month.
5
Fundamental Watch : Cotton
COTTON ARRIVALS AT KEY SPOT
MARKET
National Market Update
According to Investment Information and Credit Rating Agency of India
(ICRA), cotton prices in year 2016 is likely to remain range bound despite the
expectation of fall in production by 10-15%. ICRA in its report said that in the
last four year (CY 2011-12 to 2014-15), the global cotton prices and trade
were majorly driven by government policies in various producing and
consuming countries, despite the increasing supply and negligible growth in
demand.
India exported 0.439 lakh bales of cotton last week (15-21 June 2015),
which was 0.449 lakh bales previous to last week (08-14 June 2015),
according to the data released by IBIS and compiled by Agriwatch. Imports on
the other hand stood 0.297 lakh bales last week, which was 0.259 lakh bales
previous to last week.
Cotton sowing has been started in almost every cotton growing region
including Punjab, Haryana, Rajasthan, Gujarat, Maharashtra and Karnataka
following the arrival of good rainfall in the states. Cumulative rainfall during
01 June to 22 June in the current monsoon season (starting form 01 June)
stood 126.1 mm, around 21% higher than the normal rainfall of 103.8 mm for
the same period.
World cotton production estimates for the season 2015-16 has been
upwardly revised by USDA. Cotton production on global front is likely to
stand around 24.238 million tons in the coming season around 0.07% higher
when compared to the estimates of previous month which was 24.222 million
tons and around 6.34% lower when compared to the production of current
month.
CENTER 26-June-15 25-June-15 Change
RAJKOT 4500 4500 UNCH
BHIWANI 4650 4750 -100
ADAMPUR NA NA -
AHMEDABAD 4500 4350 +150
GONDAL 4565 4545 +20
GUNTUR NA NA -
RAICHUR 4537 4600 -63
Technical Outlook
6
SELL CORIANDER JULY BELOW 11800 TARGET 11775 11735 SL
ABOVE 11830
BUY GUARGUM JULY ABOVE 11000 TARGET 11050 11120 SL
BELOW 10940
SELL TURMERIC JULY BELOW 6970 TARGET 6930 6870 SL
ABOVE 7030
SELL CASTORSEED JULYBELOW 4010 TARGET 3985 3955 SL
ABOVE 4040
Disclaimer
 The information and views in this report, our website & all the service we provide are believed to be reliable, but we do not accept any
responsibility (or liability) for errors of fact or opinion. Users have the right to choose the product/s that suits them the most.
 Sincere efforts have been made to present the right investment perspective. The information contained herein is based on analysis and
up on sources that we consider reliable. This material is for personal information and based upon it & takes no responsibility.
 The information given herein should be treated as only factor, while making investment decision. The report does not provide
individually tailor-made investment advice. Epic research recommends that investors independently evaluate particular investments
and strategies, and encourages investors to seek the advice of a financial adviser. Epic research shall not be responsible for any
transaction conducted based on the information given in this report, which is in violation of rules and regulations of NSE and BSE.
 The share price projections shown are not necessarily indicative of future price performance. The information herein, together with all
estimates and forecasts, can change without notice. Analyst or any person related to epic research might be holding positions in the
stocks recommended. It is understood that anyone who is browsing through the site has done so at his free will and does not read any
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Epic research daily agri report 29th june 2015

  • 1. DAILY AGRI COMMODITY REPORT 29 June 2015 HNI & NRI Sales Contact Australia Mintara Road, Tarneit, Victoria. Post Code 3029 Phone.: +61 422 063855 HNI & NRI Sales Contact USA 2117 Arbor Vista Dr. Charlotte (NC) Cell: +1 704 249 2315 Toll Free Number 1-800-200-9454 All queries should be directed to Info@epicresearch.co 1 Epic Research India 411 Milinda Manor (Suites 409- 417) 2 RNT Marg. Opp Central Mall Indore (M.P.) Hotline: +91 731 664 2300 Alternate: +91 731 664 2320 Or give us a missed call at 026 5309 0639 Our Presence YOURMINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
  • 2. Market Views 2 MONTH OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE % CHG VOL MONTH OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE % CHG VOL TURMERIC JULY 6910 7098 6910 7000 +1.30 12795 INTRADAY LEVELS SUPPORT SUPP. 1 6907 SUPP. 2 6815 PIVOT 7003 Turmeric short term trend is down and May continue in coming days.RESISTAN CE RES. 1 7095 RES. 2 7191 CORIANDER JULY 12134 12198 11817 11832 -2.22 15170 INTRADAY LEVELS SUPPORT SUPP.1 11700 SUPP. 2 11568 PIVOT 11949 Coriander short term trend is down and May continue in coming days.RESISTAN CE RES. 1 12081 RES. 2 12330 GUARGUM JULY 10900 11140 10580 10800 -0.09 15928 INTRADAY LEVELS SUPPORT SUPP. 1 10520 SUPP. 2 10240 PIVOT 10830 Guargum short term trend is up and May continue in coming days.RESISTAN CE RES. 1 11110 RES. 2 11420 CASTORSEED JULY 4028 4055 4011 4025 +0.10 37260 INTRADAY LEVELS SUPPORT SUPP. 1 4006 SUPP. 2 3986 PIVOT 4030 Castorseed short term trend is down and May continue in coming days..RESISTAN CE RES. 1 4050 RES. 2 4074
  • 3. Most Active Contract 3 NCDEX INDICES Index Value Pre. Close % Change CASTORSEED 4025 4021 +0.10 CHANA 4167 4162 +0.12 CORIANDER 11832 12101 -2.22 GUARGUM 10800 10810 -0.09 JEERA 16425 16035 -2.43 MUSTARD SEED 4150 4129 +0.51 SOYABEAN 3490 3444 +1.34 TURMERIC 7000 6910 +1.30 TOP LOSERS SYMBOL EXPIRY DATE CURRENT PRICE CHANGE CHANGE % CORIANDER 20-07-2015 11832.00 -288.00 -2.38% COTTON SEED OIL CAKE AKOLA 20-07-2015 1818.00 -7.00 -0.38% BARLEY 20-07-2015 1234.00 -4.00 -0.32% TOP GAINERS SYMBOL EXPIRY DATE CURRENT PRICE CHANGE CHANGE % JEERA 20-07-2015 16425.00 390.00 2.43% SOYABEAN 20-08-2015 3490.00 48.00 1.39% RAPESEED-MUSTARD SEED 20-07-2015 4150.00 27.00 0.65% TURMERIC 20-07-2015 7000.00 34.00 0.49% CHANA 20-07-2015 4167.00 9.00 0.22% CASTOR SEED NEW 20-07-2015 4025.00 8.00 0.20% REFINED SOY OIL 20-08-2015 588.80 0.75 0.13%
  • 4. Commodities In News 4 ECONOMIC NEWS In the past seven years, the prices of many food items seem to have doubled in Delhi. The Economic Survey of Delhi for 2014-15 shows that pulses, oil and even mutton are now twice as costly.Interestingly, Delhi's consumer price index during 2014 at 223 was lesser than the national average of 247, indicating that inflation in Delhi since 2001 has actually been lower than in most other cities.The survey ,however, shows that potato and onion have registered an insignificant rise in their wholesale price since 2007 - onion has gone up from Rs 1,107 per quintal to Rs 1,200 per quintal while potato is up from Rs 685 per quintal to Rs 750 per quintal.Against this, the price of pulses has risen exponentially in the wholesale market and its impact has been felt more acutely in the retail market. Arhar has gone up from Rs 3,365 per quintal to Rs 6,400 per quintal while price of moong has risen from Rs 3,784 per quintal to Rs 6,550 per quintal."Barring seasonal fluctuations in some commodities like onion, potato and wheat - due to decline in arrivals, inclement weather in the major producing areas, transportation bottlenecks, increase in cost of movement and lower stocks the retail prices of most essential commodities have exhibited a steady trend in all metro cities in India."It has attributed the rise in prices to low production, market inefficiencies, wastage due to inadequate storage facilities etc.In the case of pulses, Naresh Gupta, president of the grain merchants association, says a change in the minimum supply price has been instrumental in the sharp rise in prices, but more importantly, a shortage in supply is responsible for the rise in the price of grains."Moong is the major crop grown in India but the rest is largely imported.The dollar exchange rate has also gone up significantly in he past 10 years. When we have been unable to meet demand, the prices will, of course, rise," he said.Kahiq-uz-Zaman Khan, owner of Raj Eggs Mart, says hat prices of chicks, medicine, feed etc have risen quite steeply over the past few years, resulting in a rise in the price of eggs. Guarseed gained further amid continued bargain hunting on friday. Prices have dropped heavily in last few days as market players continued to track the cues from monsoon. The IMD noted in its latest weekly update that conditions are favourable for further advance of southwest monsoon into remaining parts of north Arabian sea, Gujarat state, Chhattisgarh, Jharkhand, entire Bihar, Uttarakhand, Himachal Pradesh, Jammu & Kashmir, most parts of Madhya Pradesh and some parts of Uttar Pradesh, Punjab, Haryana, Chandigarh & Delhi and Rajasthan during next couple of days. Some parts in Rajasthan continue to witness good rains and traders took it as a good sign for the current season's harvest. Turmeric arrivals in the Nizamabad and Erode mandis were reported lower with stable prices. Traders also noted that rainfall was reported in some parts of Andhra Pradesh and Karnataka. Traders are expecting the total production in the range of 50-52 lakh bags in the previous year, down 20 lakh bags. Sources also stated that around 68 lakh bags of total stocks have been reported in local mandies. Heavy rains in Gujarat are supporting the sentiments. Stockists are keeping Jeera steady after latest correction. Spot Jeera extended its losses amid thin demand and very less arrivals. The stocks in ready market are poor and though the demand for Ramadan is expected to support the commodity in near term, not much of buying emerged on friday. Castorseed sowing has started on a good note amid steady progress in monsoon. Last two years have seen farmers getting good returns on castor and the acreage is expected to increase this year too.The counter is off its lowest levels in last one month.
  • 5. 5 Fundamental Watch : Cotton COTTON ARRIVALS AT KEY SPOT MARKET National Market Update According to Investment Information and Credit Rating Agency of India (ICRA), cotton prices in year 2016 is likely to remain range bound despite the expectation of fall in production by 10-15%. ICRA in its report said that in the last four year (CY 2011-12 to 2014-15), the global cotton prices and trade were majorly driven by government policies in various producing and consuming countries, despite the increasing supply and negligible growth in demand. India exported 0.439 lakh bales of cotton last week (15-21 June 2015), which was 0.449 lakh bales previous to last week (08-14 June 2015), according to the data released by IBIS and compiled by Agriwatch. Imports on the other hand stood 0.297 lakh bales last week, which was 0.259 lakh bales previous to last week. Cotton sowing has been started in almost every cotton growing region including Punjab, Haryana, Rajasthan, Gujarat, Maharashtra and Karnataka following the arrival of good rainfall in the states. Cumulative rainfall during 01 June to 22 June in the current monsoon season (starting form 01 June) stood 126.1 mm, around 21% higher than the normal rainfall of 103.8 mm for the same period. World cotton production estimates for the season 2015-16 has been upwardly revised by USDA. Cotton production on global front is likely to stand around 24.238 million tons in the coming season around 0.07% higher when compared to the estimates of previous month which was 24.222 million tons and around 6.34% lower when compared to the production of current month. CENTER 26-June-15 25-June-15 Change RAJKOT 4500 4500 UNCH BHIWANI 4650 4750 -100 ADAMPUR NA NA - AHMEDABAD 4500 4350 +150 GONDAL 4565 4545 +20 GUNTUR NA NA - RAICHUR 4537 4600 -63
  • 6. Technical Outlook 6 SELL CORIANDER JULY BELOW 11800 TARGET 11775 11735 SL ABOVE 11830 BUY GUARGUM JULY ABOVE 11000 TARGET 11050 11120 SL BELOW 10940 SELL TURMERIC JULY BELOW 6970 TARGET 6930 6870 SL ABOVE 7030 SELL CASTORSEED JULYBELOW 4010 TARGET 3985 3955 SL ABOVE 4040
  • 7. Disclaimer  The information and views in this report, our website & all the service we provide are believed to be reliable, but we do not accept any responsibility (or liability) for errors of fact or opinion. Users have the right to choose the product/s that suits them the most.  Sincere efforts have been made to present the right investment perspective. The information contained herein is based on analysis and up on sources that we consider reliable. This material is for personal information and based upon it & takes no responsibility.  The information given herein should be treated as only factor, while making investment decision. The report does not provide individually tailor-made investment advice. Epic research recommends that investors independently evaluate particular investments and strategies, and encourages investors to seek the advice of a financial adviser. Epic research shall not be responsible for any transaction conducted based on the information given in this report, which is in violation of rules and regulations of NSE and BSE.  The share price projections shown are not necessarily indicative of future price performance. The information herein, together with all estimates and forecasts, can change without notice. Analyst or any person related to epic research might be holding positions in the stocks recommended. It is understood that anyone who is browsing through the site has done so at his free will and does not read any views expressed as a recommendation for which either the site or its owners or anyone can be held responsible for. Any surfing and reading of the information is the acceptance of this disclaimer. All Rights Reserved.  Investment in equity & bullion market has its own risks.  We, however, do not vouch for the accuracy or the completeness thereof. we are not responsible for any loss incurred whatsoever for any financial profits or loss which may arise from the recommendations above epic research does not purport to be an invitation or an offer to buy or sell any financial instrument. Our Clients (Paid Or Unpaid), Any third party or anyone else have no rights to forward or share our calls or SMS or Report or Any Information Provided by us to/with anyone which is received directly or indirectly by them. If found so then Serious Legal Actions can be taken.