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DAILY AGRI COMMODITY REPORT
4 JANUARY 2016
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1
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Alternate: +91 731 664 2320
Or give us a missed call at
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Our Presence
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Market Views
2
MONTH OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE % CHG VOL MONTH OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE % CHG VOL
TURMERIC
APR 9802 9860 9730 9802 +0.22% 3945
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP 1
9734.6
SUPP. 2
9667.3
PIVOT
9797.3
Turmeric short term
trend is bullish and
May continue in
coming days.RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
9864.6
RES. 2
9927.3
CORIANDER
JAN 7200 7260 7045 7100 -1.65% 3040
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP.1
7010
SUPP. 2
6920
PIVOT
7135
Coriander short term
trend is bearish and May
continue in coming
days.
RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
7225
RES. 2
7350
GUARGUM
JAN 6500 6640 6480 6620 +2.48% 7313
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT
SUPP. 1
6520
SUPP. 2
6420
PIVOT
6580
Guargum short term
trend is bullish and
May continue in
coming days.
RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
6680
RES. 2
6740
CASTORSEED
JAN 3751 3802 3705 3754 +0.37% 67520
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT
SUPP. 1
3705.3
SUPP. 2
3656.6
PIVOT
3753.6
Castorseed short term
trend is bullish and
May continue in
coming day.RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
3802.3
RES. 2
3850.6
Most Active Contract
3
NCDEX INDICES
Index Value
Pre.
Close
%
Change
CASTORSEED 3751 3754 +0.37%
CHANA 4812 4805 -0.04%
CORIANDER 7200 7100 -1.65%
GUARGUM 6500 6220 +2.48%
JEERA 14370 14265 -1.21%
MUSTARD
SEED
4270 4256 -0.77%
SOYABEAN 3725 3710 -0.51%
TURMERIC 9802 9802 +0.22%
TOP LOSERS
SYMBOL EXPIRY DATE
CURRENT
PRICE
CHANGE
CHANGE
%
JEERA 20-01-2016 14270.00 -135.00 -0.94%
CORIANDER 20-01-2016 7100.00 -63.00 -0.88%
SOYABEAN 20-01-2016 3710.00 -25.00 -0.67%
RAPESEED-MUSTARD
SEED
20-01-2016 4256.00 -21.00 -0.49%
TOP GAINERS
SYMBOL EXPIRY DATE
CURRENT
PRICE
CHANGE CHANGE %
BARLEY 20-01-2016 1439.50 34.50 2.46%
COTTON SEED OIL CAKE
AKOLA
20-01-2016 2138.00 49.00 2.35%
CASTOR SEED NEW 20-01-2016 3754.00 24.00 0.64%
Commodities In News
4
ECONOMIC NEWS
The total cotton output in the country is estimated to be 362 lakh bales
for the 2015-16 season, which began on October 1, industry body CAI said
today. This estimate is 8.50 lakh bales lower than the October estimate of
370.50 lakh bales, the Cotton Association of India (CAI) said in a release
here. The total output for the cotton season 2014-15 stood at 382.75 lakh
bales, it added. CAI has also estimated reduction in the production as well
as consumption of cotton in the country during the cotton season 2015-16.
The Cotton Association of India (CAI) has estimated cotton production in
2015-16 to fall to 362 lakh bales of 170 kg each from 382.75 lakh bales in
2014-15, a decline of 5.7%. CAI has released its November estimate of the
cotton crop for the 2015-16 season, which began on October 1 2015. The
CAI has placed its November estimate of the cotton crop for the 2015-16
season at 362 lakh bales of 170 kilogram each. The projected balance sheet
drawn by the CAI estimated total cotton supply for the season 2015-16 at
454.65 lakh bales while the domestic consumption is estimated at 318.00
lakh bales thus leaving an available surplus of 136.65 lakh bales.
Rates stabilized for Chana as traders anticipate the domestic demand
to start rising from this week onwards. Even as fundamentals remained
strong, uncertainty still prevailed in the markets on regular Govt
initiatives to control rising prices even as falling stocks and lower
production reports keep supporting prices
PMentha Oil kept trading near the 900 mark as lack of strong export
demand amidst moderate arrivals in mandis kept preventing any strong
upside movement for the rates. With International markets closing for
Christmas and New Year holidays, export demand may remain weak
but domestic demand from pharma industries are reportedly picking up.
Low export demand kept preventing prices from recovering much.
Warmer weather in growing states of Gujarat and Rajasthan though
supported prices. But with rates having fallen a lot over last few weeks,
traders expect that any adverse weather may cause apprehensions of
crop damage for the standing crops—leading to moderate firmness in
prices. Weather in growing areas remain a very important factor for the
near term market sentiments. Cool weather is beneficial for crop
growth, while a warmer weather may damage the standing crop also
Guar rates did find some support over last few days even as trading
activities remained low from closure of international markets and no
strong recovery in crude oil prices. Sources do indicate however that
the downtrend too may be limited with prices having fallen a lot over
last few months.
Trading was sluggish in the spot markets as most global and domestic
centres were closed owing to New year holidays. Short term trend
looks some more weakness that could set in for the commodity. Some
apprehensions of impositions of stock limits in Madhya Pradesh for
Soybean too weighed on the market sentiments for Soy Oil as the entire
oil complex sector traded weak.
5
Fundamental Watch : Castorseed
CASTORSEED
PRICES AT KEY SPOT MARKET
National Market Update
Rajkot Castor Seed futures open with bearish tonne taking clue from weak inner
tonne prevalent in the cash market. Ample stock from previous season and higher crop
estimate (over 15 lakh tonne ) this year have restricted bulls to go for speculative
buying. Seed arrivals in Rajkot was registered at higher level to 15000 bags against
7000 bags in previous trading session. It is being traded at 685 to 720 per 20 kg and
may stay steady in coming days.
Good production prospects this year despite good export volume may continue to
restrict price. With increasing possibility of ample supply from new crop and active
bears operators have weakened sentiments in the cash market. As prices are ruling at
lower level, slight recovery is expected in futures market. However, overall tone
remains bearish. At peak arrival season prices may hover in the range of Rs 3000 to
3200 per qtl.
India exported 54.60 % lower castor oil in the week ending 27th Dec-2015.Total oil
export was registered at 7125.44 tonne against 19775 tonne exported in the last week
of Nov-2015.China continued to maintain the status of biggest buyer once again
buying 3158.65 tonne last week. Exporters realized 0.60 % lower average FoB quote
last week. It was $1333.09 per tonne. The highest and lowest quotes were $1959 &
$1000 per tonne
New arrival is expected one month earlier and may hit market by Feb end. Till then
stockists would try to drag market up by restricting stock release. Stake holder should
buy seed around Rs 3500 to Rs3600 per qtl and hold it for one and a half month.
Production picture for 2015-16 would be clear in Global Castor Conference in Feb,
scheduled to be held on 12 th Feb in Ahmadabad.
CENTER 02-Jan-16 31-Dec-15 Change
JODHPUR 3600 3650 -50
AHEMDABAAD NA NA -
RAJKOT 3490 3460 30
PATAN 3700 3710 -10
KADI 3625 3600 25
GANDHINAGAR 3600 3625 -25
JUNAGADH NA CLOSED -
Technical Outlook
6
SELL CORIANDER JAN BELOW 7050 TARGET 7005 6855 SL
ABOVE 7115
BUY GUARGUM JAN 15 LOTSABOVE 6640 TARGET 6690 6760
SL BELOW 6580
BUY TURMERIC APRIL ABOVE 9930 TARGET 9974 10034 SL
BELOW 9870
BUY CASTORSEED JAN ABOVE 3790 TARGET 3815 3845 SL
BELOW 3765
Disclaimer
 The information and views in this report, our website & all the service we provide are believed to be reliable, but we do not accept any
responsibility (or liability) for errors of fact or opinion. Users have the right to choose the product/s that suits them the most.
 Sincere efforts have been made to present the right investment perspective. The information contained herein is based on analysis and
up on sources that we consider reliable. This material is for personal information and based upon it & takes no responsibility.
 The information given herein should be treated as only factor, while making investment decision. The report does not provide
individually tailor-made investment advice. Epic research recommends that investors independently evaluate particular investments
and strategies, and encourages investors to seek the advice of a financial adviser. Epic research shall not be responsible for any
transaction conducted based on the information given in this report, which is in violation of rules and regulations of NSE and BSE.
 The share price projections shown are not necessarily indicative of future price performance. The information herein, together with all
estimates and forecasts, can change without notice. Analyst or any person related to epic research might be holding positions in the
stocks recommended. It is understood that anyone who is browsing through the site has done so at his free will and does not read any
views expressed as a recommendation for which either the site or its owners or anyone can be held responsible for. Any surfing and
reading of the information is the acceptance of this disclaimer. All Rights Reserved.
 Investment in equity & bullion market has its own risks.
 We, however, do not vouch for the accuracy or the completeness thereof. we are not responsible for any loss incurred whatsoever for
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Epic research daily agri report 04 jan 2016

  • 1. DAILY AGRI COMMODITY REPORT 4 JANUARY 2016 HNI & NRI Sales Contact Australia Mintara Road, Tarneit, Victoria. Post Code 3029 Phone.: +61 422 063855 HNI & NRI Sales Contact USA 2117 Arbor Vista Dr. Charlotte (NC) Cell: +1 704 249 2315 Toll Free Number 1-800-200-9454 All queries should be directed to Info@epicresearch.co 1 Epic Research India 411 Milinda Manor (Suites 409- 417) 2 RNT Marg. Opp Central Mall Indore (M.P.) Hotline: +91 731 664 2300 Alternate: +91 731 664 2320 Or give us a missed call at 026 5309 0639 Our Presence YOURMINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
  • 2. Market Views 2 MONTH OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE % CHG VOL MONTH OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE % CHG VOL TURMERIC APR 9802 9860 9730 9802 +0.22% 3945 INTRADAY LEVELS SUPPORT SUPP 1 9734.6 SUPP. 2 9667.3 PIVOT 9797.3 Turmeric short term trend is bullish and May continue in coming days.RESISTAN CE RES. 1 9864.6 RES. 2 9927.3 CORIANDER JAN 7200 7260 7045 7100 -1.65% 3040 INTRADAY LEVELS SUPPORT SUPP.1 7010 SUPP. 2 6920 PIVOT 7135 Coriander short term trend is bearish and May continue in coming days. RESISTAN CE RES. 1 7225 RES. 2 7350 GUARGUM JAN 6500 6640 6480 6620 +2.48% 7313 INTRADAY LEVELS SUPPORT SUPP. 1 6520 SUPP. 2 6420 PIVOT 6580 Guargum short term trend is bullish and May continue in coming days. RESISTAN CE RES. 1 6680 RES. 2 6740 CASTORSEED JAN 3751 3802 3705 3754 +0.37% 67520 INTRADAY LEVELS SUPPORT SUPP. 1 3705.3 SUPP. 2 3656.6 PIVOT 3753.6 Castorseed short term trend is bullish and May continue in coming day.RESISTAN CE RES. 1 3802.3 RES. 2 3850.6
  • 3. Most Active Contract 3 NCDEX INDICES Index Value Pre. Close % Change CASTORSEED 3751 3754 +0.37% CHANA 4812 4805 -0.04% CORIANDER 7200 7100 -1.65% GUARGUM 6500 6220 +2.48% JEERA 14370 14265 -1.21% MUSTARD SEED 4270 4256 -0.77% SOYABEAN 3725 3710 -0.51% TURMERIC 9802 9802 +0.22% TOP LOSERS SYMBOL EXPIRY DATE CURRENT PRICE CHANGE CHANGE % JEERA 20-01-2016 14270.00 -135.00 -0.94% CORIANDER 20-01-2016 7100.00 -63.00 -0.88% SOYABEAN 20-01-2016 3710.00 -25.00 -0.67% RAPESEED-MUSTARD SEED 20-01-2016 4256.00 -21.00 -0.49% TOP GAINERS SYMBOL EXPIRY DATE CURRENT PRICE CHANGE CHANGE % BARLEY 20-01-2016 1439.50 34.50 2.46% COTTON SEED OIL CAKE AKOLA 20-01-2016 2138.00 49.00 2.35% CASTOR SEED NEW 20-01-2016 3754.00 24.00 0.64%
  • 4. Commodities In News 4 ECONOMIC NEWS The total cotton output in the country is estimated to be 362 lakh bales for the 2015-16 season, which began on October 1, industry body CAI said today. This estimate is 8.50 lakh bales lower than the October estimate of 370.50 lakh bales, the Cotton Association of India (CAI) said in a release here. The total output for the cotton season 2014-15 stood at 382.75 lakh bales, it added. CAI has also estimated reduction in the production as well as consumption of cotton in the country during the cotton season 2015-16. The Cotton Association of India (CAI) has estimated cotton production in 2015-16 to fall to 362 lakh bales of 170 kg each from 382.75 lakh bales in 2014-15, a decline of 5.7%. CAI has released its November estimate of the cotton crop for the 2015-16 season, which began on October 1 2015. The CAI has placed its November estimate of the cotton crop for the 2015-16 season at 362 lakh bales of 170 kilogram each. The projected balance sheet drawn by the CAI estimated total cotton supply for the season 2015-16 at 454.65 lakh bales while the domestic consumption is estimated at 318.00 lakh bales thus leaving an available surplus of 136.65 lakh bales. Rates stabilized for Chana as traders anticipate the domestic demand to start rising from this week onwards. Even as fundamentals remained strong, uncertainty still prevailed in the markets on regular Govt initiatives to control rising prices even as falling stocks and lower production reports keep supporting prices PMentha Oil kept trading near the 900 mark as lack of strong export demand amidst moderate arrivals in mandis kept preventing any strong upside movement for the rates. With International markets closing for Christmas and New Year holidays, export demand may remain weak but domestic demand from pharma industries are reportedly picking up. Low export demand kept preventing prices from recovering much. Warmer weather in growing states of Gujarat and Rajasthan though supported prices. But with rates having fallen a lot over last few weeks, traders expect that any adverse weather may cause apprehensions of crop damage for the standing crops—leading to moderate firmness in prices. Weather in growing areas remain a very important factor for the near term market sentiments. Cool weather is beneficial for crop growth, while a warmer weather may damage the standing crop also Guar rates did find some support over last few days even as trading activities remained low from closure of international markets and no strong recovery in crude oil prices. Sources do indicate however that the downtrend too may be limited with prices having fallen a lot over last few months. Trading was sluggish in the spot markets as most global and domestic centres were closed owing to New year holidays. Short term trend looks some more weakness that could set in for the commodity. Some apprehensions of impositions of stock limits in Madhya Pradesh for Soybean too weighed on the market sentiments for Soy Oil as the entire oil complex sector traded weak.
  • 5. 5 Fundamental Watch : Castorseed CASTORSEED PRICES AT KEY SPOT MARKET National Market Update Rajkot Castor Seed futures open with bearish tonne taking clue from weak inner tonne prevalent in the cash market. Ample stock from previous season and higher crop estimate (over 15 lakh tonne ) this year have restricted bulls to go for speculative buying. Seed arrivals in Rajkot was registered at higher level to 15000 bags against 7000 bags in previous trading session. It is being traded at 685 to 720 per 20 kg and may stay steady in coming days. Good production prospects this year despite good export volume may continue to restrict price. With increasing possibility of ample supply from new crop and active bears operators have weakened sentiments in the cash market. As prices are ruling at lower level, slight recovery is expected in futures market. However, overall tone remains bearish. At peak arrival season prices may hover in the range of Rs 3000 to 3200 per qtl. India exported 54.60 % lower castor oil in the week ending 27th Dec-2015.Total oil export was registered at 7125.44 tonne against 19775 tonne exported in the last week of Nov-2015.China continued to maintain the status of biggest buyer once again buying 3158.65 tonne last week. Exporters realized 0.60 % lower average FoB quote last week. It was $1333.09 per tonne. The highest and lowest quotes were $1959 & $1000 per tonne New arrival is expected one month earlier and may hit market by Feb end. Till then stockists would try to drag market up by restricting stock release. Stake holder should buy seed around Rs 3500 to Rs3600 per qtl and hold it for one and a half month. Production picture for 2015-16 would be clear in Global Castor Conference in Feb, scheduled to be held on 12 th Feb in Ahmadabad. CENTER 02-Jan-16 31-Dec-15 Change JODHPUR 3600 3650 -50 AHEMDABAAD NA NA - RAJKOT 3490 3460 30 PATAN 3700 3710 -10 KADI 3625 3600 25 GANDHINAGAR 3600 3625 -25 JUNAGADH NA CLOSED -
  • 6. Technical Outlook 6 SELL CORIANDER JAN BELOW 7050 TARGET 7005 6855 SL ABOVE 7115 BUY GUARGUM JAN 15 LOTSABOVE 6640 TARGET 6690 6760 SL BELOW 6580 BUY TURMERIC APRIL ABOVE 9930 TARGET 9974 10034 SL BELOW 9870 BUY CASTORSEED JAN ABOVE 3790 TARGET 3815 3845 SL BELOW 3765
  • 7. Disclaimer  The information and views in this report, our website & all the service we provide are believed to be reliable, but we do not accept any responsibility (or liability) for errors of fact or opinion. Users have the right to choose the product/s that suits them the most.  Sincere efforts have been made to present the right investment perspective. The information contained herein is based on analysis and up on sources that we consider reliable. This material is for personal information and based upon it & takes no responsibility.  The information given herein should be treated as only factor, while making investment decision. The report does not provide individually tailor-made investment advice. Epic research recommends that investors independently evaluate particular investments and strategies, and encourages investors to seek the advice of a financial adviser. Epic research shall not be responsible for any transaction conducted based on the information given in this report, which is in violation of rules and regulations of NSE and BSE.  The share price projections shown are not necessarily indicative of future price performance. The information herein, together with all estimates and forecasts, can change without notice. Analyst or any person related to epic research might be holding positions in the stocks recommended. It is understood that anyone who is browsing through the site has done so at his free will and does not read any views expressed as a recommendation for which either the site or its owners or anyone can be held responsible for. Any surfing and reading of the information is the acceptance of this disclaimer. All Rights Reserved.  Investment in equity & bullion market has its own risks.  We, however, do not vouch for the accuracy or the completeness thereof. we are not responsible for any loss incurred whatsoever for any financial profits or loss which may arise from the recommendations above epic research does not purport to be an invitation or an offer to buy or sell any financial instrument. Our Clients (Paid Or Unpaid), Any third party or anyone else have no rights to forward or share our calls or SMS or Report or Any Information Provided by us to/with anyone which is received directly or indirectly by them. If found so then Serious Legal Actions can be taken.