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ISSN 2581-3463
RESEARCH ARTICLE
Optimal Portfolio Selection for a Defined Contribution Pension Fund with Return
Clauses of Premium with Predetermined Interest Rate under Mean-variance Utility
Edikan E. Akpanibah1
, Bright O. Osu2
*
1
Department of Mathematics and Statistics, Federal University Otuoke, P.M.B 126, Yenagoa,
Bayelsa State, Nigeria, 2
Department of Mathematics, Michael Okpara University of Agriculture, Umudike,
Abia State, Nigeria
Received: 20-02-2018; Revised: 21-03-2018; Accepted: 20-04-2018
ABSTRACT
This paper investigates the optimal investment strategies for a defined contribution pension fund with
return clauses of premiums with interest under the mean-variance criterion. Using the actuarial symbol,
we formalize the problem as a continuous time mean-variance stochastic optimal control. The pension
fund manager considers investments in risk and risk-free assets to increase the remaining accumulated
funds to meet the retirement needs of the remaining members. Using the variational inequalities methods,
we established an optimized problem from the extended Hamilton–Jacobi–Bellman Equations and
solved the optimized problem to obtain the optimal investment strategies for both risk-free and risky
assets and also the efficient frontier of the pension member. Furthermore, we evaluated analytically and
numerically the effect of various parameters of the optimal investment strategies on it. We observed that
the optimal investment strategy for the risky asset decreases with an increase in the risk-averse level,
initial wealth, and the predetermined interest rate.
Key words: Defined contribution pension fund, HJB, optimal investment strategies, variational
inequalities methods, return of premiums clauses, interest rate
INTRODUCTION
The investment strategy is one of the ways in which
financial institutions select how the investment is
made to achieve maximum profit and reduce the
risk involved in such an investment. There are
several ways in which financial institutions invest
their funds; this includes risk-free asset (cash),
coupon bond, and risky asset (stock). Portfolio
optimization and risk management as an area
of study have received a fast-growing attention,
and it is important in the field of mathematical
finance. The optimal investment strategy is a way
of investing in different assets for optimal profit.
This is applied in most financial institutions such
as pension boards, insurance companies, and banks
defined contribution (DC) scheme is a scheme that
requires members to pay a certain proportion of
Address for Correspondence:
Bright O. Osu,
E-mail: osu.bright@mouau.edu.ng
their income to the pension managers who will
help plan for their retirement. It is important in the
retirement income system in most countries and is
growing every day to get most workers involved
in it. The DC scheme as compared to the defined
benefit scheme is somehow new but forms a
determining factor of the old age income adequacy
for future retirees. This system underscores the
need to understand better the risks that affect the
income provided by this plan.
Much has been studied about optimal investment
strategies in DC pension fund some of which
include[1]
who studied an asset allocation problem
under a stochastic interest rate. Boulier et al.[2]
studied optimal investment for DC with stochastic
interest rate and Battocchio and Menoncin[3]
considered a case where the interest rate was
Vasicek model, Gao,[1]
Deelstra et al.,[4]
and
Chubing and Ximing[5]
studied the affine interest
rate which includes the Cox–Ingersoll–ross model
and Vasicek model. Recently, more attention has
been given to constant elasticity of variance (CEV)
model in DC pension fund investment strategies.[6]
Akpanibah and Osu: Optimal Portfolio Selection for a DC Pension Fund with Return of Premium
AJMS/Apr-Jun-2018/Vol 2/Issue 2 20
Investigated the CEV model and the Legendre
transform-dualsolutionforannuitycontracts.Since
geometric Brownian motion can be considered
as a special case of the CEV model, such work
extended the research of Xiao et al.,[6]
where they
applied CEV model to derive dual solution of a
constant relative risk aversion (CRRA) utility
function through Legendre transform, also Xiao
et al.[6]
and Gao[7]
extended by obtaining solutions
for investor with CRRA and constant absolute risk
aversion (CARA) utility function. Blake et al.[8]
investigated an asset allocation problem under a
loss-averse preference. Cairns et al.[9]
considered a
stochastic salary income of a pension beneficiary
and find the investment strategy which maximizes
the expected power utility of the ratio of the
terminal fund and the terminal salary. Korn et al.[10]
investigated a utility optimization problem for a
DC pension plan with a stochastic salary income
and a stochastic contribution process in a regime-
switching economy. Gao[11]
studied optimal
portfolios for DC pension plans under a CEV
model. Dawei and Jingyi[12]
extended the work in
Gao[11]
by modeling pension fund with multiple
contributors where benefit payment are made after
retirement, he went on to find the explicit solution
for CRRA and CARA using power transformation
method. Osu et al.[13]
studied optimal investment
strategies in DC pension fund with multiple
contributions using Legendre transformation
method to obtain the explicit solution for CRRA
and CARA. Akpanibah and Samaila[14]
studied the
stochastic strategies of optimal investment for DC
pension fund with multiple contrisbutors where
they considered the rate of contribution to be
stochastic. Othusitse and Xiaoping[15]
considered
an inflationary market. In their work, the plan
member made extra contribution to amortize
the pension fund; the CRRA utility function
was used to maximize the terminal wealth. The
most commonly used utility functions are the
CRRA[1,2,4,9]
and CARA.[3,7]
Recently, He and Liang[16]
studied optimal
investment strategy for a DC pension plan with
the return of premiums clauses in a mean-variance
framework,[17]
studied optimal time-consistent
investment strategy for a DC pension with the
return of premiums clauses and annuity contracts.
Li et al.[18]
studied equilibrium investment strategy
for DC pension plan with default risk and return of
premiums clauses under CEV model.
This research investigates the optimal investment
strategy for a DC pension fund with a return
of premium clauses with interest under mean-
variance criterion. We assume that the return
clause includes the risk-free interest due to the
death member unlike what we have in the literature
where death members are only entitled to their
accumulation; also we assume the remaining
accumulations after return are not shared equally
by the members that are alive. We use the actuarial
symbol and formalize the problem as a continuous
time mean-variance stochastic optimal control.
We consider investment in both risk-free and risky
asset to increase the remaining accumulated fund
to meet up the retirement need of the remaining
members. Using the variational inequalities
methods, we established an optimized problem
from the extended Hamilton–Jacobi–Bellman
Equations and solved the optimized problem to
obtain the optimal investment strategies for both
risk-free and risky assets and also the efficient
frontier of the pension member. We also evaluated
analytically the effect of various parameters of the
optimal investment strategies on it.
PRELIMINARIES
Starting with a complete and frictionless financial
market which is continuously open over a fixed
time interval 0 ≤ t ≤ T, where T is the retirement
time of a given shareholder.
Let the market be a risk-free asset (cash) and a
risky asset (stock). Suppose (Ω, F, P) is a complete
probability space such that Ω is a real space and
P a probability measure{W0
(t): ≥ 0}is a standard
Brownian motion. F is the filtration and denotes
the information generated by the Brownian motion
{W0
(t)}.
Let Bt
(t) denote the price of the risk-free asset, and
its model is given as:
( )
( )
t
t
dB t
=rdt,
B t
 (1)
Where r is the risk-free interest rate, which is
predetermined.
Let St
(t) denote the price of the risky asset and its
dynamics is given based on its stochastic nature
and the price process is described as follows:
( )
( )
t
0
t
dS t
= dt+ dW
S t
 σ  (2)
Where ϑ an expected instantaneous rate of return of
the risky asset and satisfies the general condition.
ϑ  r. σ is the instantaneous volatility of the risky
asset.
Akpanibah and Osu: Optimal Portfolio Selection for a DC Pension Fund with Return of Premium
AJMS/Apr-Jun-2018/Vol 2/Issue 2 21
Let q be the premium received at a given time,
which is known, ω0
represent the initial age of
accumulation phase, T is the time frame of the
accumulation phase such that ω0
+T is the end
age. The actuarial symbol 0
1
, t
n

 
+
 
 
is the mortality
rate from time t to
1
t
n
+ , tq is the premium
accumulated at time t, 0
1
tqd , t
n

 
+
 
  is the premium
returned to the death members. Furthermore,
we assume that after return of premium to death
members, the remaining accumulations are not
shared equally unlike in.[16]
Second, we assume
that apart from the accumulated fund of the death
member, a certain interest is paid as well from the
investment in the risk-free asset since the interest
rate is predetermined.
Let ρ represents the proportion of the wealth to be
invested in risky assets and 1-ρ, the proportion to
be invested in the risk-free asset.
Considering the time interval
1
[t,t+ ]
n
, the
differential form associated with the fund size is
given as:
( ) ( )
( )
( )
( )
0 0
1 1
t t
n n
t t
t
1 1
, t , t
t
n n
S B
1
t X t 1
n S B
dB t
1
q tq (t) 1
n B t
+ +
   
ω + ω +
   
   
 
   
Χ +
= ρ + − ρ +
 
   
 
 
− δ − Χ − ρ δ
 
 
 (3)
( )
( )
( )
( )
( )
0 0
1
t
t t
n
t t t
1
t
t t
n
t t t
t
1 1
, t , t
t
n n
S
S S
( ) 1
S S S
1
X t X t B
n B B
B B B
dB t
1
q tq (t) 1
n B t
+
+
   
ω + ω +
   
   
 
 
ρ − + + − ρ
 
   
+ +
   
   
 
 
− +
 
 
 
 
 
− δ − Χ − ρ δ
 
 
 (4)
( )
( )
( )
( )
( )
0 0
1
t
t t
n
t t t
1
t
t t
n
t t t
t
1 1
, t , t
t
n n
S
S S
( ) 1
S S S
1
X t t B
n B B
B B B
dB t
1
q tq X(t) 1
n B t
+
+
   
ω + ω +
   
   
 
 
ρ − + + − ρ
 
   
+ =
Χ +
   
   
 
 
− +
 
 
 
 
 
− δ − − ρ δ
 
 
	
 (5)
( )
( )
( )
( )
( )
t
t
0 0
1
t S
n
t
1
t B
n
t
t
1 1
, t , t
t
n n
S
( ) 1
S
1
X t X(t) t
B
n
( )
B
dB t
1
q tq (t) 1
n B t
+ −
+ −
   
ω + ω +
   
   
 
 
ρ + − ρ
 
 
+ − =
Χ +
 
 
   
 
 
 
− δ − Χ − ρ δ
 
 
	
 (6)
( )
( )
0
1
n
0
1
, t
0
n
0
1 exp{ t s ds}
1 1
t O( )
n n
 
ω +
 
 
δ = − − µ ω + + =
µ ω + +
∫
 (7)
( )
( )
( )
( )
( )
0
t t
0
1
, t
n
1 1
t S t B
t t
n n
t t t t
1
n , t dt, q
n
S B
dS t dB t
qdt, ,
S S t B B t
 
ω +
 
 
+ − + −
 
→ ∞ δ = µ ω + →
 
 
→ →
 (8)
Substituting (8) into (6) we have
( ) ( )
( )
( )
( )
( )
( )
( )
( )
( )
( )
( )
t t
t t
0
t
0
t
dS t dB t
dX t X t 1
S t B t
qdt tq t dtX(t)
dB t
1 t dt
B t
 
   
= ρ + − ρ +
 
   
   
 
− µ ω +
− ρ µ ω +
 (9)
dX(t) = X(t)(ρ(ϑdt + σdW0
) + (1-ρ) (rdt)) + qdt-
tqµ(ω0
+t)dt-X(t)(1- ρ)rdt(ω0
+t) dt (10)
( )
( )
( ) ( )
0
0
0
0
0
0
0 0
t 1
r +
t
X t +
t 1
dX t
= dt
r
t
2t
q
t
X t dW X 0 =x
 
 
 
 
ω− ω − −
ρ −
 
 
 
 
ω− ω −
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
ω− ω − −
 
 
 
 
ω− ω −
 
 
 
 
 
ω− ω −
 
 
 
ω− ω −
 
 
+ρ σ
ϑ
	
 (11)
Where
( )
1
t = 0 t
-t
µ ω
ω
≤  (12)
μ(t)is the force function and is the maximal age of
the life table.
Akpanibah and Osu: Optimal Portfolio Selection for a DC Pension Fund with Return of Premium
AJMS/Apr-Jun-2018/Vol 2/Issue 2 22
METHODOLOGY
Considering the pension wealth and the volatility
of the accumulation, the surviving members will
want to maximize the fund size and at the same
time minimize the volatility of the accumulated
wealth. Hence, we formulate the optimal
investment problem under the mean-variance
criterion as follows:
( ) ( )
{ }
t,x t,x
sup E X T Var X T
ρ ρ
ρ
−  (13)
Our interest, here, is to obtain the optimal
investment strategies for both the risk-free
and risky asset using the mean-variance utility
function.
Applying variational inequality method in He
and Liang[16]
and Björk and Murgoci,[19]
the
mean-variance control problem in equation (13)
is equivalent to the following Markovian time
inconsistent stochastic optimal control problem
with value function M (t,x).
( ) ( )
( )
( ) ( ) ( )
(
( )
( ) ( )
t,x
t,x
2
t,x t,x
2
t,x
N t,x, E [ T ]
Var [ T ]
2
N t,x, E [ T ] E [ T
2
(E [X T ]) )
M t,x sup N t,x,
ρ
ρ
ρ ρ
ρ
ρ
 ρ
= Χ −

γ
 Χ

 γ 
 ρ
= Χ − Χ −
 



= ρ





 (14)
Following[16]
the optimal investment strategy ρ*
satisfies:
M(t,x)=supρ
N(t,x,ρ*) (15)
γisaconstantrepresentingriskaversioncoefficient
of the members
Let uρ
(t,x)=Et,x
[Xρ
(T)], vρ
(t,x)=Et,x
[Xρ
(T)2
] then
M(t,x)=supρ
f(t,x,uρ
(t,x),vρ
(t,x))
Where,
( ) 2
f t,x,u,v =u (v u )
2
γ
− −  (16)
Theorem 3.1 (verification theorem). If there exist
three real functions F, G, H: [0,T]×R→R satisfying
the following extended Hamilton–Jacobi–Bellman
Equation:
( )
( )
( ) ( )
0
0
0
t t x x
0
0
0
2 2 2
xx xx
2
t 1
r
t
x
t 1
F -f F f r
t
sup
2t
q
t
1
F U x
2
F T,x f t,x,x,x
ρ
  
 
 
 
 
ω− ω − −
  
ρ ϑ− +
 
 
 
 
ω− ω −
  
 
 
 
 
  
 
 
 
ω− ω − −
  
 
 
+ −  
  
 
 
 
ω− ω −
 
 
  
 

 
  
 
ω− ω −
+
 
  
 
ω− ω −
 
 
  
 
 

 
 + − ρ σ
 
 
=



 	
 (17)
Where,
2 2 2
xx xx xu x xv x uu x uv x x vv x x
0
0
2 2 2
0
t x xx
0
0
0
f 2f u 2f v f u 2f u v f v u
t 1
r
t
x
1
t 1
G G G x 0
r
2
t
2t
q
t
T
U
G
=
+ + + + + =
γ
 
 
 
 
 
ω − ω − −
 
ρ ϑ − +
 
 
 
 
ω − ω −
 
 
 
 
  +
 
 
 
 
 
ω − ω − −
 
 
+ + ρ σ =
 
 
 
 
ω − ω −
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
ω − ω −
 
 
 
 
ω − ω −
 
 
 
( )
,x x











 =

	
 (18)
( )
0
0
2 2 2
0
t x xx
0
0
0
2
t 1
r +
ù ù t
x +
1
t 1
H +H + H x =0
r
2
t
2t
q
t
H T,x = x

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
  
 
 
  
 
 
 
  
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 



ω− ω − −
ρ −
− −
ω− ω − −
ρ σ
ω− ω −
ω− ω −
ω− ω −
	
 (19)
Then, M(t,x)=F(t,x),uρ
*=G(t,x),vρ
*=H(t,x) for the
optimal investment strategy ρ*
Proof:
The details of the proof can be found in He and
Liang[20-23]
Our focus now is to obtain the optimal investment
strategies for both risky and riskless asset as well
as the efficient frontier by solving.[5,18,19]
Recall that ( ) 2
f t,x,u,v =u (v u )
2
γ
− −
t x xx xu xv uv
vv u uu v
= = = = =
= =
f =f f f f f
f 0,f 1+ u, = =
f ,f
2
γ
γ γ −
 (20)
Substituting (20) into (17) and differentiating (17)
with respect to ρ and solving for ρ we have:
Akpanibah and Osu: Optimal Portfolio Selection for a DC Pension Fund with Return of Premium
AJMS/Apr-Jun-2018/Vol 2/Issue 2 23
( )
0
0
*
x 2 2
xx x
t 1
r
t
F
F G x
 
 
 
ω − ω − −
ϑ −
 
 
 
ω − ω −
 
 
 
ρ =−
 
− γ σ
 
 
 
 (21)
Substituting (21) into (17) and (18) we have
( )
0 0
t x
0 0
2
0
0
2
x 2 2
xx x
t 1 2t
F +F rx +q
t t
t 1
r
t
F =
0
F G

 
   
 
   
   
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
ω− ω − − ω− ω −
−
ω− ω − ω− ω −
ω− ω − −
−
ω− ω −
− γ σ
(22)
( )
( )
0 0
t x
0 0
2
0
0
x 2 2
xx x
2
0
0
2
xx x 2 2
xx x
t 1 2t
G G rx q
t t
t 1
r
t
F
F G
t 1
r
t
G F 0
2 F G
 
   
ω − ω − − ω − ω −
+ + −
 
   
ω − ω − ω − ω −
   
 
 
 
ω − ω − −
ϑ −
 
 
ω − ω −
 
  +
− γ σ
 
 
ω − ω − −
ϑ −
 
 
ω − ω −
 
  =
− γ σ
	
 (23)
Next, we assume a solution for F(t,x) and G(t,x)
as follows:
( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) ( )
( ) ( ) ( )
( ) ( ) ( )
( ) ( ) ( )
1 2 1 2
1 2 1 2
t 1t 2t x 1 xx
t 1t 2t x 1 xx
F t,x =A t x+A t A T =1, A T =0
G t,x =B (t)x+B (t) B T =1, B T =0
F =xA t +A t , F =A t , F =0,
G =xB t +B t , G =B t , G =0








 	
 (24)
Substituting (24) into (22) and (23)
( ) ( )
( ) ( )
( )
( )
0
1t 1
0
0
2t 1
0
2
0
0
2
1 2 2
1
- - t -1
A t r A t 0
- - t
- - 2t
A t A t q
- - t
- - t -1
- r
- - t
A t 0
2 B t
  
ω ω
+ =
  
ω ω
 

  
ω ω
 + +
  
ω ω
 


 
 
ω ω
 ϑ
 
 
 ω ω
 
 
 =
γ σ


 (25)
( ) ( )
( ) ( )
( )
( )
0
1t 1
0
0
2t 1
0
2
0
0
1 2
1
t 1
B t r B t 0
t
2t
B t B t q
t
t 1
r
t
A t 0
A t
  
ω − ω − −
+ =
  
ω − ω −
 

  
ω − ω −
 + +
  
ω − ω −
 


 
 
ω − ω − −
 ϑ −
 
 
 ω − ω −
 
 
 =
γ σ


 (26)
Solving (25) and (26), we have
( )
1
r
- -T r(T - t)
0
A t e
- - t
0
 
ω ω
=  
 
ω ω
 
 (27)
( )
r
r(T t)
0
1
0
T
B t e
t
−
 
ω − ω −
=  
ω − ω −
 
 (28)
( )
( ) ( ) ( )
2
2r
2
2 2
0
0 0
T
rT r r
0
0 1 r
0
t
r T t r
1
A t T r
2 ln
t t
2
qe ( T) e d
( )
− τ
+
 
ϑ − − − ϑ −
 
= +
 
 
ω − ω −
γσ +
 
 
ω − ω − ω − ω −
 
 
ω − ω − τ
ω − ω − τ
ω − ω − τ
∫
	
 (29)
( )
( ) ( ) ( )
2
2r
2
2 2
0
0 0
T
rT r r
0
0 1 r
0
t
r T t r ln
1
B t T r
t t
2
qe ( T) e d
( t)
− τ
+
 
ϑ − − − ϑ−
 
= +
 
 
ω − ω −
γσ +
 
 
ω − ω − ω − ω −
 
 
ω − ω − τ
ω − ω − τ
ω − ω −
∫
	(30)
( )
( ) ( ) ( )
r
r(T t)
0
0
2
2r
2
2
0
0 0
T
rT r r
0
0 1 r
0
t
t
F t,x x e
T
r T t r ln
1
T r
2
t t
2
qe ( T) e d
( )
− −
− τ
+
 
ω − ω −
= +
 
ω − ω −
 
 
ϑ− − − ϑ−
 
+
 
 
ω − ω −
γσ +
 
 
ω − ω − ω − ω −
 
 
ω − ω − τ
ω − ω − τ
ω − ω − τ
∫
	 (31)
Akpanibah and Osu: Optimal Portfolio Selection for a DC Pension Fund with Return of Premium
AJMS/Apr-Jun-2018/Vol 2/Issue 2 24
( )
( ) ( ) ( )
r
r(T t)
0
0
2
2r
2
2 0
0 0
T
rT r r
0
0 1 r
0
t
t
G t,x x e
T
r T t r ln
1
T r
t t
2
qe ( T) e d
( )
− −
− τ
+
 
ω − ω −
+
 
ω − ω −
 
 
ϑ − − − ϑ −
 
 
+
 
 
ω − ω −
γσ +
 
 
ω − ω − ω − ω −
 
 
 
ω − ω − τ
ω − ω − τ
ω − ω − τ
∫
 (32)
Hence, (21) becomes
0
r
0
* r(T t)
0
2
0
t 1
r
t
t
e
T x
− −
 
 
 
ω − ω − −
ϑ −
 
 
 
ω − ω −
 
   
ω − ω −  
ρ =
   
ω − ω − γ σ
 
 
 
  	
 (33)
Next, we compute the efficient frontier:
( ) ( ) ( )
( ) ( ) ( )
( )
( ) ( ) ( )
*
*
*
2 2
t,x t,x t,x
t,x
2
2r
2
t,x 2 2
0
0 0
Var [X T ] E [X T ] (E [X T ])
2
Var [X T ] (G t,x F t,x )
r T t r
1
Var [X T ] T r
ln
t t
ρ ρ ρ
ρ
ρ
= −
= −
γ
 
ϑ − − − ϑ −
 
=  
 
ω − ω −
γ σ +
 
 
ω − ω − ω − ω −
 
  	
 (34)
( )
( ) ( ) ( )
*
t,x
2
2r
2
0
0 0
Var [X T ]
1
r T t r ln
T r
t t
ρ
= σ
γ  
ϑ− − − ϑ −
 
 
 
ω − ω −
+
 
 
ω − ω − ω − ω −
 
 
 (35)
( ) ( ) ( )
( ) ( ) ( )
*
t,x t,x
2
r
r(T t)
0 2r
2
2
0
0
0 0
T
rT r r
0
0 1 r
0
t
E [X T ] G t,x E [X T ]
r T t r ln
T 1
x e T r
t
t t
2
qe ( T) e d
( )
ρ ρ
−
− τ
+
= =
 
ϑ − − − ϑ −
 
 
ω − ω −
+ +
 
 
ω − ω −
 
ω − ω − γσ
  +
 
 
ω − ω − ω − ω −
 
 
ω − ω − τ
ω − ω − τ
ω − ω − τ
∫
	
 (36)
Substitute (35) in (36), we have:
( ) ( )
( )
( )
( ) ( ) ( )
( )
*
*
r
r T t
0
t,x
0
T
r
rT r
0
0 1 r
t 0
2
2r
0
t,x
0
2
0
T
E [X T ] x e
t
2
qe T e d
r T t r ln
T
1
Var [X T ]
t
r
t
−
ρ
− τ
+
ρ
 
ω − ω −
= +
 
ω − ω −
 
ω − ω − τ
ω − ω − τ +
ω − ω − τ
 
 
 
 
ϑ − − − ϑ −
 
 
 
 
 
ω − ω −
 
+
 
 
 
σ ω − ω −
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
ω − ω −
 
 
 
∫
	
 (37)
RESULT ANALYSIS
Next, we study the effect of the various parameters
on the optimal investment strategy
Proposition 1
Assume
r
r(T t)
0
0
t
0,e 0
T
− −
 
ω − ω −
 
 
ω − ω −
 
, and
0
0
2
t 1
r
t
0
x
 
 
 
ω − ω − −
ϑ −
 
 
 
ω − ω −
 
 
  
 
γ σ
 
 
 
Then
*
d
0
d
ρ

γ
Proof:
0
r
*
0 r(T t)
0
2 2
0
t 1
r
t
t
d
e
d T x
− −
 
 
 
ω − ω − −
ϑ −
 
 
 
ω − ω −
 
   
ω − ω −
ρ  
= −    
γ ω − ω − γ σ
 
 
 
 
But
r
r(T t)
0
0
t
0,e 0
T
− −
 
ω − ω −
 
 
ω − ω −
 
, and
Akpanibah and Osu: Optimal Portfolio Selection for a DC Pension Fund with Return of Premium
AJMS/Apr-Jun-2018/Vol 2/Issue 2 25
0
0
2 2
t 1
r
t
0
x
 
 
 
ω − ω − −
ϑ −
 
 
 
ω − ω −
 
 
  
 
γ σ
 
 
 
Therefore
*
d
0
d
ρ

γ
Proposition 2
Assume
0
r
0
* r(T t)
0
2
0
t 1
r
t
t
e
T x
− −
 
 
 
ω − ω − −
ϑ −
 
 
 
ω − ω −
 
   
ω − ω −  
ρ =
   
ω − ω − γ σ
 
 
 
 
such that
r
r(T t)
0
0
T
0,e 0
t
−
− −
 
ω − ω −
 
 
ω − ω −
 
, and
0
0
2
t 1
r
t
0
x
 
 
 
ω − ω − −
ϑ −
 
 
 
ω − ω −
 
 
  
 
γ σ
 
 
 
Then,
*
d
0
d
ρ

γ
Proof:
0
r
0
* r(T t)
0
2
0
t 1
r
t
t
e
T x
− −
 
 
 
ω − ω − −
ϑ −
 
 
 
ω − ω −
 
   
ω − ω −  
ρ =
   
ω − ω − γ σ
 
 
 
 
( )
0
r
*
r T t
0 0
2
0
t 1
t t
d
e
dr x T
− −
 
ω − ω − −
−  
ω − ω −  
  ω − ω −
ρ
=  
γ σ ω − ω −
 
( ) ( )
0
r
0 r T t
0
2
0
t 1
r
t
t
T t e
T x
− −
 
 
 
ω − ω − −
ϑ −
 
 
 
ω − ω −
 
   
ω − ω −  
− − −
   
ω − ω − γ σ
 
 
 
 
0
r
0 r(T t)
0 0
2
0 0
t 1
r
t
T T
ln e
t t x
−
− −
 
 
 
ω − ω − −
ϑ −
 
 
 
ω − ω −
 
     
ω − ω − ω − ω −  
     
ω − ω − ω − ω − γ σ
   
 
 
 
( )
( ) ( )
0
r
r T t
0 0
2
0
0
r
0 r T t
0
2
0
*
r
0 0
0 0
0
0
t 1
t t
e
x T
t 1
r
t
t
T t e
T x
d
dr
T T
ln
t t
t 1
r
t
− −
− −
−
 
ω − ω − −
 
ω − ω −  
  ω − ω −
+
 
γ σ ω − ω −
 
 
 
 
ω − ω − −
ϑ −
 
 
 
ω − ω −
 
   
ω − ω −  
− +
   
ω − ω − γ σ
 
 
ρ  
= −  
   
ω − ω − ω − ω −
   
ω − ω − ω − ω −
   
 
 
ω − ω − −
ϑ −
  
ω − ω −
 
 r(T t)
2
e
x
− −
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 


 
 
 
 
γ σ
 
 
 
 
 
 
Since
r
r(T t)
0
0
T
0,e 0,
t
−
− −
 
ω − ω −
 
 
ω − ω −
 
and
0
0
2
t 1
r
t
0
x
 
 
 
ω − ω − −
ϑ −
 
 
 
ω − ω −
 
 
  
 
γ σ
 
 
 
Hence,
*
d
0
d
ρ

γ
Proposition 3
Assume
r
r(T t)
0
0
t
0,e 0
T
− −
 
ω − ω −
 
 
ω − ω −
 
, and
0
0
2
t 1
r
t
0
x
 
 
 
ω − ω − −
ϑ −
 
 
 
ω − ω −
 
 
  
 
γ σ
 
 
 
Then,
*
d
0
dx
ρ

Proof:
0
r
*
0 r(T t)
0
2 2
0
t 1
r
t
t
d
e
dx T x
− −
 
 
 
ω − ω − −
ϑ −
 
 
 
ω − ω −
 
   
ω − ω −
ρ  
= −    
ω − ω − γσ
 
 
 
 
However,
r
r(T t)
0
0
t
0,e 0
T
− −
 
ω − ω −
 
 
ω − ω −
 
, and
Akpanibah and Osu: Optimal Portfolio Selection for a DC Pension Fund with Return of Premium
AJMS/Apr-Jun-2018/Vol 2/Issue 2 26
0
0
2 2
t 1
r
t
0
x
 
 
 
ω − ω − −
ϑ −
 
 
 
ω − ω −
 
 
  
 
γ σ
 
 
 
Therefore,
*
d
0
dx
ρ

Proposition 4
Assume
0
r
0
* r(T t)
0
2
0
t 1
r
t
t
e
T x
− −
 
 
 
ω − ω − −
ϑ −
 
 
 
ω − ω −
 
   
ω − ω −  
ρ =
   
ω − ω − γ σ
 
 
 
 
such that
r
r(T t)
0
0
T
0 r 1, 0,e 0
t
−
− −
 
ω − ω −
   
 
ω − ω −
 
,
and
0
0
2
t 1
r
t
0
x
 
 
 
ω − ω − −
ϑ −
 
 
 
ω − ω −
 
 
  
 
γ σ
 
 
 
Then,
*
d
0
dt
ρ

Proof:
0
r
0
* r(T t)
0
2
0
t 1
r
t
t
e
T x
− −
 
 
 
ω − ω − −
ϑ −
 
 
 
ω − ω −
 
   
ω − ω −  
ρ =
   
ω − ω − γ σ
 
 
 
 
0
r 1
*
0 r(T t)
0
2
0
0
r
0 r(T t)
0
2
0
t 1
r
t
t
d
r e
dt T x
t 1
r
t
t
r e
T x
−
− −
− −
 
 
 
ω −ω − −
ϑ −
 
 
 
ω −ω −
 
   
ω −ω −
ρ  
=
− +
   
ω −ω − γ σ
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
ω −ω − −
ϑ −
 
 
 
ω −ω −
 
   
ω −ω −  
   
ω −ω − γ σ
 
 
 
 
r 2
0 r(T t)
0
2
0
r
( t)
t
e
T x
− −
 
 
 
 
ω − ω −
   
ω − ω −  
+    
ω − ω − γ σ
 
 
 
However,
0
r
0 r(T t)
0
2
0
0
r 1
0 r(T t)
0
2
0
0
r
0
0
0
t 1
r
t
t
r e
T x
t 1
r
t
t
r e
T x
t 1
r
t
t
r
T
− −
−
− −
 
 
 
ω − ω − −
ϑ −
 
 
 
ω − ω −
 
   
ω − ω −  
   
ω − ω − γ σ
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
ω − ω − −
ϑ −
 
 
 
ω − ω −
 
   
ω − ω −  
−    
ω − ω − γ σ
 
 
 
 
  
ω − ω − −
ϑ −
  
ω − ω −
 
  
ω − ω −
=  
ω − ω −
 
( )
r T t
2
r r 1
0 0
0 0
e
x
t t
0
T T
− −
−
 

 


 
 
γ σ
 
 
 
 
   
ω − ω − ω − ω −
− 
 
   
ω − ω − ω − ω −
   
 
Therefore,
*
d
0
dt
ρ

NUMERICAL SIMULATIONS
Inthissection,wepresentednumericalsimulations
of the optimal investment strategy with respect
to time and observed the effect of the various
parameters of the optimal investment strategy on
it using math lab programming language.
DISCUSSION
From proposition 1 and Figure 1, the optimal
investment strategy increases with a decrease in
the risk-aversion coefficient. The implication is
that members with high risk averse will prefer to
invest more in riskless asset and will reduce that
of the risky asset.
Proposition 2 and Figure 2 show that the optimal
investment strategy increases with a decrease in the
interest rate of the risk-free asset. This implies that
if the interest rate of the risk-free asset is high, the
members will increase the proportion of its wealth
to be invested in risk-free asset thereby reducing the
proportion invested in risky asset and vice versa.
Proposition 3 shows that the optimal investment
strategy decreases with an increase in the initial
wealth. The implication here is that if the initial
Akpanibah and Osu: Optimal Portfolio Selection for a DC Pension Fund with Return of Premium
AJMS/Apr-Jun-2018/Vol 2/Issue 2 27
wealth of the plan member is high, the member
will prefer to invest more in risk free asset to
minimize risk instead of investing more in risky
asset but if the initial wealth is low, the member
prefers taking the risk to grow the wealth by
investing in risky asset.
Figure 1: The optimal investment strategy with different risk averse level
Figure 2: The optimal investment strategy with different predetermined interest rates
Figure 3: The optimal investment strategy with different initial wealth
Proposition 4 shows that the optimal investment
strategy increases as time increases, the implication
is that as retirement age approaches, the member
is eager to grow his or her wealth hence an
increase in investment in the risky asset. This is
confirmed numerically from the simulation shown
Akpanibah and Osu: Optimal Portfolio Selection for a DC Pension Fund with Return of Premium
AJMS/Apr-Jun-2018/Vol 2/Issue 2 28
in Figures 1-3 that the graphs give positive slopes,
indicating that as t increases, the optimal investment
strategy increases also. Observed that proposition
1, 2, and 3 are confirm numerically in these figures.
In general, we observe that at the beginning of
the accumulated phase, the pension manager will
invest more in risk-free asset because there is no
return initially, but once there is a return to the
death members, the fund manager will increase its
investment in the risky asset to meet the retirement
needs of the remaining members. Furthermore,
we observe that if the return clause is with
predetermined interest, the fund size will reduce
even more with time. Hence, cause an increase in
the optimal investment strategy.
CONCLUSION
We investigated optimal investment strategies for
DC pension fund with a return of premium clauses
with interest under mean-variance criterion. Using
the actuarial symbol, we formalize the problem
as a continuous time mean-variance stochastic
optimal control. The pension fund manager
considers investment in both risk-free and risky
asset to increase the remaining accumulated fund
to meet up the retirement need of the remaining
members. Using the variational inequalities
methods, we established an optimized problem
from the extended Hamilton–Jacobi–Bellman
Equations and solved the optimized problem to
obtain the optimal investment strategies for both
risk-free and risky assets and the efficient frontier
of the member. We also evaluated analytically
the effect of various parameters of the optimal
investment strategies on it. In general, we observe
that at the beginning of the accumulated phase,
the pension manager will invest more in risk-free
asset because there is no return initially, but once
there is a return to the death members, the fund
manager will increase its investment in the risky
asset to meet the retirement needs of the remaining
members. Furthermore, we observe that if the
return clause is with risk-free interest, the fund
size will reduce even more with time due to the
clause, hence leading to an increase in the optimal
investment strategy.
REFERENCES
1.	 Gao J. Stochastic optimal control of DC pension funds.
Insurance 2008;42:1159-64.
2.	 Boulier JF, Huang S, Taillard G. Optimal management
under stochastic interest rates: The case of a protected
defined contribution pension fund. Insurance
2001;28:173-89.
3.	 BattocchioP,MenoncinF.Optimalpensionmanagement
in a stochastic framework. Insurance 2004;34:79-95.
4.	 Deelstra G, Grasselli M, Koehl PF. Optimal investment
strategies in the presence of a minimum guarantee.
Insurance 2003;33:189-207.
5.	 Chubing Z, Ximing R. Optimal investment strategies for
DC pension with astochastic salary under affine interest
rate model. Discrete Dyn Nat Soc 2013;2013:1-11.
6.	 Xiao J, Hong Z, Qin C. The constant elasticity of
variance(CEV) model and the legendre transform-dual
solution for annuity contracts. Insurance 2007;40:302-10.
7.	 Gao J. The optimal investment strategy for annuity
contracts under the constant elasticity of variance
(CEV) model. Insurance 2009;45:9-18.
8.	 Blake D, Wright D, Zhang YM. Target-driven investing:
Optimal investment strategies in defined contribution
pension plans under loss aversion. J Econ Dyn Control
2012;37:195-209.
9.	 Cairns AJ, Blake D, Dowd K. Stochastic lifestyling:
Optimal dynamic asset allocation for defined
contribution pension plans. J Econ Dyn Control
2006;30:843-77.
10.	 Korn R, Siu TK, Zhang A. Asset allocation for a DC
pension fund under regime switching environment. Eur
Actuar J 2011;1:361-77.
11.	 Gao J. Optimal portfolios for DC pension plans under a
CEV model. Insur Math Econ 2009;44:479-90.
12.	 Dawei G, Jingyi Z. Optimal Investment Strategies for
Defined Contribution Pension Funds with Multiple
Contributors; 2014. Available from: http://dx.doi.
org/10.2139/ssrn.2508109.
13.	 Osu BO, Akpanibah EE, Oruh BI. Optimal investment
strategies for defined contribution (DC) pension fund
with multiple contributors via legendre transform and
dual theory. Int J Pure Appl Res 2017;2:97-105.
14.	 Akpanibah EE, Samaila SK. Stochastic strategies for
optimal investment in a defined contribution (DC)
pension fund. Int J Appl Sci Math Theory 2017;3:48-55.
15.	 Othusitse B, Xiaoping X. Stochastic optimal investment
under inflammatory market with minimum guarantee
for DC pension plans. J Math 2015;7.
16.	 He L, Liang Z. The optimal investment strategy for the
DC plan with the return of premiums clauses in a mean-
variance framework. Insurance 2013;53:643-9.
17.	 Sheng D, Rong X. Optimal time consistent investment
strategy for a DC pension with the return of premiums
clauses and annuity contracts. Discrete Dyn Nat Soc
2014;2014:1-13.
18.	 Li D, Rong X, Zhao H, Yi B. Equilibrium investment
strategy for DC pension plan with default risk and return
of premiums clauses under CEV model. Insurance
2017;72:6-20.
19.	 Björk T, Murgoci A. A General Theory of Markovian
Time Inconsistent Stochastic Control Problems.
Working Paper. Stockholm School of Economics; 2009.
20.	 He L, Liang Z. Optimal financing and dividend control
of the insurance company with proportional reinsurance
Akpanibah and Osu: Optimal Portfolio Selection for a DC Pension Fund with Return of Premium
AJMS/Apr-Jun-2018/Vol 2/Issue 2 29
policy. Insur Math Econ 2008;42:976-83.
21.	 He L, Liang Z. Optimal financing and dividend control
of the insurance company with fixed and proportional
transaction costs. Insur Math Econ 2009;44:88-94.
22.	 Liang Z, Huang J. Optimal dividend and investing
control of an insurance company with higher solvency
constraints. Insur Math Econ 2011;49:501-11.
23.	 Zeng Y, Li Z. Optimal time consistent investment and
reinsurance policies for mean-variance insurers. Insur
Math Econ 2011;49:145-54.

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Optimal Portfolio Selection for a Defined Contribution Pension Fund with Return Clauses of Premium with Predetermined Interest Rate under Mean-variance Utility

  • 1. www.ajms.com 19 ISSN 2581-3463 RESEARCH ARTICLE Optimal Portfolio Selection for a Defined Contribution Pension Fund with Return Clauses of Premium with Predetermined Interest Rate under Mean-variance Utility Edikan E. Akpanibah1 , Bright O. Osu2 * 1 Department of Mathematics and Statistics, Federal University Otuoke, P.M.B 126, Yenagoa, Bayelsa State, Nigeria, 2 Department of Mathematics, Michael Okpara University of Agriculture, Umudike, Abia State, Nigeria Received: 20-02-2018; Revised: 21-03-2018; Accepted: 20-04-2018 ABSTRACT This paper investigates the optimal investment strategies for a defined contribution pension fund with return clauses of premiums with interest under the mean-variance criterion. Using the actuarial symbol, we formalize the problem as a continuous time mean-variance stochastic optimal control. The pension fund manager considers investments in risk and risk-free assets to increase the remaining accumulated funds to meet the retirement needs of the remaining members. Using the variational inequalities methods, we established an optimized problem from the extended Hamilton–Jacobi–Bellman Equations and solved the optimized problem to obtain the optimal investment strategies for both risk-free and risky assets and also the efficient frontier of the pension member. Furthermore, we evaluated analytically and numerically the effect of various parameters of the optimal investment strategies on it. We observed that the optimal investment strategy for the risky asset decreases with an increase in the risk-averse level, initial wealth, and the predetermined interest rate. Key words: Defined contribution pension fund, HJB, optimal investment strategies, variational inequalities methods, return of premiums clauses, interest rate INTRODUCTION The investment strategy is one of the ways in which financial institutions select how the investment is made to achieve maximum profit and reduce the risk involved in such an investment. There are several ways in which financial institutions invest their funds; this includes risk-free asset (cash), coupon bond, and risky asset (stock). Portfolio optimization and risk management as an area of study have received a fast-growing attention, and it is important in the field of mathematical finance. The optimal investment strategy is a way of investing in different assets for optimal profit. This is applied in most financial institutions such as pension boards, insurance companies, and banks defined contribution (DC) scheme is a scheme that requires members to pay a certain proportion of Address for Correspondence: Bright O. Osu, E-mail: osu.bright@mouau.edu.ng their income to the pension managers who will help plan for their retirement. It is important in the retirement income system in most countries and is growing every day to get most workers involved in it. The DC scheme as compared to the defined benefit scheme is somehow new but forms a determining factor of the old age income adequacy for future retirees. This system underscores the need to understand better the risks that affect the income provided by this plan. Much has been studied about optimal investment strategies in DC pension fund some of which include[1] who studied an asset allocation problem under a stochastic interest rate. Boulier et al.[2] studied optimal investment for DC with stochastic interest rate and Battocchio and Menoncin[3] considered a case where the interest rate was Vasicek model, Gao,[1] Deelstra et al.,[4] and Chubing and Ximing[5] studied the affine interest rate which includes the Cox–Ingersoll–ross model and Vasicek model. Recently, more attention has been given to constant elasticity of variance (CEV) model in DC pension fund investment strategies.[6]
  • 2. Akpanibah and Osu: Optimal Portfolio Selection for a DC Pension Fund with Return of Premium AJMS/Apr-Jun-2018/Vol 2/Issue 2 20 Investigated the CEV model and the Legendre transform-dualsolutionforannuitycontracts.Since geometric Brownian motion can be considered as a special case of the CEV model, such work extended the research of Xiao et al.,[6] where they applied CEV model to derive dual solution of a constant relative risk aversion (CRRA) utility function through Legendre transform, also Xiao et al.[6] and Gao[7] extended by obtaining solutions for investor with CRRA and constant absolute risk aversion (CARA) utility function. Blake et al.[8] investigated an asset allocation problem under a loss-averse preference. Cairns et al.[9] considered a stochastic salary income of a pension beneficiary and find the investment strategy which maximizes the expected power utility of the ratio of the terminal fund and the terminal salary. Korn et al.[10] investigated a utility optimization problem for a DC pension plan with a stochastic salary income and a stochastic contribution process in a regime- switching economy. Gao[11] studied optimal portfolios for DC pension plans under a CEV model. Dawei and Jingyi[12] extended the work in Gao[11] by modeling pension fund with multiple contributors where benefit payment are made after retirement, he went on to find the explicit solution for CRRA and CARA using power transformation method. Osu et al.[13] studied optimal investment strategies in DC pension fund with multiple contributions using Legendre transformation method to obtain the explicit solution for CRRA and CARA. Akpanibah and Samaila[14] studied the stochastic strategies of optimal investment for DC pension fund with multiple contrisbutors where they considered the rate of contribution to be stochastic. Othusitse and Xiaoping[15] considered an inflationary market. In their work, the plan member made extra contribution to amortize the pension fund; the CRRA utility function was used to maximize the terminal wealth. The most commonly used utility functions are the CRRA[1,2,4,9] and CARA.[3,7] Recently, He and Liang[16] studied optimal investment strategy for a DC pension plan with the return of premiums clauses in a mean-variance framework,[17] studied optimal time-consistent investment strategy for a DC pension with the return of premiums clauses and annuity contracts. Li et al.[18] studied equilibrium investment strategy for DC pension plan with default risk and return of premiums clauses under CEV model. This research investigates the optimal investment strategy for a DC pension fund with a return of premium clauses with interest under mean- variance criterion. We assume that the return clause includes the risk-free interest due to the death member unlike what we have in the literature where death members are only entitled to their accumulation; also we assume the remaining accumulations after return are not shared equally by the members that are alive. We use the actuarial symbol and formalize the problem as a continuous time mean-variance stochastic optimal control. We consider investment in both risk-free and risky asset to increase the remaining accumulated fund to meet up the retirement need of the remaining members. Using the variational inequalities methods, we established an optimized problem from the extended Hamilton–Jacobi–Bellman Equations and solved the optimized problem to obtain the optimal investment strategies for both risk-free and risky assets and also the efficient frontier of the pension member. We also evaluated analytically the effect of various parameters of the optimal investment strategies on it. PRELIMINARIES Starting with a complete and frictionless financial market which is continuously open over a fixed time interval 0 ≤ t ≤ T, where T is the retirement time of a given shareholder. Let the market be a risk-free asset (cash) and a risky asset (stock). Suppose (Ω, F, P) is a complete probability space such that Ω is a real space and P a probability measure{W0 (t): ≥ 0}is a standard Brownian motion. F is the filtration and denotes the information generated by the Brownian motion {W0 (t)}. Let Bt (t) denote the price of the risk-free asset, and its model is given as: ( ) ( ) t t dB t =rdt, B t (1) Where r is the risk-free interest rate, which is predetermined. Let St (t) denote the price of the risky asset and its dynamics is given based on its stochastic nature and the price process is described as follows: ( ) ( ) t 0 t dS t = dt+ dW S t  σ (2) Where ϑ an expected instantaneous rate of return of the risky asset and satisfies the general condition. ϑ r. σ is the instantaneous volatility of the risky asset.
  • 3. Akpanibah and Osu: Optimal Portfolio Selection for a DC Pension Fund with Return of Premium AJMS/Apr-Jun-2018/Vol 2/Issue 2 21 Let q be the premium received at a given time, which is known, ω0 represent the initial age of accumulation phase, T is the time frame of the accumulation phase such that ω0 +T is the end age. The actuarial symbol 0 1 , t n    +     is the mortality rate from time t to 1 t n + , tq is the premium accumulated at time t, 0 1 tqd , t n    +     is the premium returned to the death members. Furthermore, we assume that after return of premium to death members, the remaining accumulations are not shared equally unlike in.[16] Second, we assume that apart from the accumulated fund of the death member, a certain interest is paid as well from the investment in the risk-free asset since the interest rate is predetermined. Let ρ represents the proportion of the wealth to be invested in risky assets and 1-ρ, the proportion to be invested in the risk-free asset. Considering the time interval 1 [t,t+ ] n , the differential form associated with the fund size is given as: ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) 0 0 1 1 t t n n t t t 1 1 , t , t t n n S B 1 t X t 1 n S B dB t 1 q tq (t) 1 n B t + +     ω + ω +               Χ + = ρ + − ρ +           − δ − Χ − ρ δ     (3) ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) 0 0 1 t t t n t t t 1 t t t n t t t t 1 1 , t , t t n n S S S ( ) 1 S S S 1 X t X t B n B B B B B dB t 1 q tq (t) 1 n B t + +     ω + ω +             ρ − + + − ρ       + +             − +           − δ − Χ − ρ δ     (4) ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) 0 0 1 t t t n t t t 1 t t t n t t t t 1 1 , t , t t n n S S S ( ) 1 S S S 1 X t t B n B B B B B dB t 1 q tq X(t) 1 n B t + +     ω + ω +             ρ − + + − ρ       + = Χ +             − +           − δ − − ρ δ     (5) ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) t t 0 0 1 t S n t 1 t B n t t 1 1 , t , t t n n S ( ) 1 S 1 X t X(t) t B n ( ) B dB t 1 q tq (t) 1 n B t + − + −     ω + ω +             ρ + − ρ     + − = Χ +               − δ − Χ − ρ δ     (6) ( ) ( ) 0 1 n 0 1 , t 0 n 0 1 exp{ t s ds} 1 1 t O( ) n n   ω +     δ = − − µ ω + + = µ ω + + ∫ (7) ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) 0 t t 0 1 , t n 1 1 t S t B t t n n t t t t 1 n , t dt, q n S B dS t dB t qdt, , S S t B B t   ω +     + − + −   → ∞ δ = µ ω + →     → → (8) Substituting (8) into (6) we have ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) t t t t 0 t 0 t dS t dB t dX t X t 1 S t B t qdt tq t dtX(t) dB t 1 t dt B t       = ρ + − ρ +             − µ ω + − ρ µ ω + (9) dX(t) = X(t)(ρ(ϑdt + σdW0 ) + (1-ρ) (rdt)) + qdt- tqµ(ω0 +t)dt-X(t)(1- ρ)rdt(ω0 +t) dt (10) ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 t 1 r + t X t + t 1 dX t = dt r t 2t q t X t dW X 0 =x         ω− ω − − ρ −         ω− ω −                 ω− ω − −         ω− ω −           ω− ω −       ω− ω −     +ρ σ ϑ (11) Where ( ) 1 t = 0 t -t µ ω ω ≤ (12) μ(t)is the force function and is the maximal age of the life table.
  • 4. Akpanibah and Osu: Optimal Portfolio Selection for a DC Pension Fund with Return of Premium AJMS/Apr-Jun-2018/Vol 2/Issue 2 22 METHODOLOGY Considering the pension wealth and the volatility of the accumulation, the surviving members will want to maximize the fund size and at the same time minimize the volatility of the accumulated wealth. Hence, we formulate the optimal investment problem under the mean-variance criterion as follows: ( ) ( ) { } t,x t,x sup E X T Var X T ρ ρ ρ − (13) Our interest, here, is to obtain the optimal investment strategies for both the risk-free and risky asset using the mean-variance utility function. Applying variational inequality method in He and Liang[16] and Björk and Murgoci,[19] the mean-variance control problem in equation (13) is equivalent to the following Markovian time inconsistent stochastic optimal control problem with value function M (t,x). ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ( ) ( ) ( ) t,x t,x 2 t,x t,x 2 t,x N t,x, E [ T ] Var [ T ] 2 N t,x, E [ T ] E [ T 2 (E [X T ]) ) M t,x sup N t,x, ρ ρ ρ ρ ρ ρ  ρ = Χ −  γ  Χ   γ   ρ = Χ − Χ −      = ρ      (14) Following[16] the optimal investment strategy ρ* satisfies: M(t,x)=supρ N(t,x,ρ*) (15) γisaconstantrepresentingriskaversioncoefficient of the members Let uρ (t,x)=Et,x [Xρ (T)], vρ (t,x)=Et,x [Xρ (T)2 ] then M(t,x)=supρ f(t,x,uρ (t,x),vρ (t,x)) Where, ( ) 2 f t,x,u,v =u (v u ) 2 γ − − (16) Theorem 3.1 (verification theorem). If there exist three real functions F, G, H: [0,T]×R→R satisfying the following extended Hamilton–Jacobi–Bellman Equation: ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) 0 0 0 t t x x 0 0 0 2 2 2 xx xx 2 t 1 r t x t 1 F -f F f r t sup 2t q t 1 F U x 2 F T,x f t,x,x,x ρ            ω− ω − −    ρ ϑ− +         ω− ω −                     ω− ω − −        + −            ω− ω −                  ω− ω − +        ω− ω −                + − ρ σ     =     (17) Where, 2 2 2 xx xx xu x xv x uu x uv x x vv x x 0 0 2 2 2 0 t x xx 0 0 0 f 2f u 2f v f u 2f u v f v u t 1 r t x 1 t 1 G G G x 0 r 2 t 2t q t T U G = + + + + + = γ           ω − ω − −   ρ ϑ − +         ω − ω −           +           ω − ω − −     + + ρ σ =         ω − ω −               ω − ω −         ω − ω −       ( ) ,x x             =  (18) ( ) 0 0 2 2 2 0 t x xx 0 0 0 2 t 1 r + ù ù t x + 1 t 1 H +H + H x =0 r 2 t 2t q t H T,x = x                                                                                        ω− ω − − ρ − − − ω− ω − − ρ σ ω− ω − ω− ω − ω− ω − (19) Then, M(t,x)=F(t,x),uρ *=G(t,x),vρ *=H(t,x) for the optimal investment strategy ρ* Proof: The details of the proof can be found in He and Liang[20-23] Our focus now is to obtain the optimal investment strategies for both risky and riskless asset as well as the efficient frontier by solving.[5,18,19] Recall that ( ) 2 f t,x,u,v =u (v u ) 2 γ − − t x xx xu xv uv vv u uu v = = = = = = = f =f f f f f f 0,f 1+ u, = = f ,f 2 γ γ γ − (20) Substituting (20) into (17) and differentiating (17) with respect to ρ and solving for ρ we have:
  • 5. Akpanibah and Osu: Optimal Portfolio Selection for a DC Pension Fund with Return of Premium AJMS/Apr-Jun-2018/Vol 2/Issue 2 23 ( ) 0 0 * x 2 2 xx x t 1 r t F F G x       ω − ω − − ϑ −       ω − ω −       ρ =−   − γ σ       (21) Substituting (21) into (17) and (18) we have ( ) 0 0 t x 0 0 2 0 0 2 x 2 2 xx x t 1 2t F +F rx +q t t t 1 r t F = 0 F G                                ω− ω − − ω− ω − − ω− ω − ω− ω − ω− ω − − − ω− ω − − γ σ (22) ( ) ( ) 0 0 t x 0 0 2 0 0 x 2 2 xx x 2 0 0 2 xx x 2 2 xx x t 1 2t G G rx q t t t 1 r t F F G t 1 r t G F 0 2 F G       ω − ω − − ω − ω − + + −       ω − ω − ω − ω −           ω − ω − − ϑ −     ω − ω −     + − γ σ     ω − ω − − ϑ −     ω − ω −     = − γ σ (23) Next, we assume a solution for F(t,x) and G(t,x) as follows: ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 t 1t 2t x 1 xx t 1t 2t x 1 xx F t,x =A t x+A t A T =1, A T =0 G t,x =B (t)x+B (t) B T =1, B T =0 F =xA t +A t , F =A t , F =0, G =xB t +B t , G =B t , G =0          (24) Substituting (24) into (22) and (23) ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) 0 1t 1 0 0 2t 1 0 2 0 0 2 1 2 2 1 - - t -1 A t r A t 0 - - t - - 2t A t A t q - - t - - t -1 - r - - t A t 0 2 B t    ω ω + =    ω ω       ω ω  + +    ω ω         ω ω  ϑ      ω ω      = γ σ   (25) ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) 0 1t 1 0 0 2t 1 0 2 0 0 1 2 1 t 1 B t r B t 0 t 2t B t B t q t t 1 r t A t 0 A t    ω − ω − − + =    ω − ω −       ω − ω −  + +    ω − ω −         ω − ω − −  ϑ −      ω − ω −      = γ σ   (26) Solving (25) and (26), we have ( ) 1 r - -T r(T - t) 0 A t e - - t 0   ω ω =     ω ω   (27) ( ) r r(T t) 0 1 0 T B t e t −   ω − ω − =   ω − ω −   (28) ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) 2 2r 2 2 2 0 0 0 T rT r r 0 0 1 r 0 t r T t r 1 A t T r 2 ln t t 2 qe ( T) e d ( ) − τ +   ϑ − − − ϑ −   = +     ω − ω − γσ +     ω − ω − ω − ω −     ω − ω − τ ω − ω − τ ω − ω − τ ∫ (29) ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) 2 2r 2 2 2 0 0 0 T rT r r 0 0 1 r 0 t r T t r ln 1 B t T r t t 2 qe ( T) e d ( t) − τ +   ϑ − − − ϑ−   = +     ω − ω − γσ +     ω − ω − ω − ω −     ω − ω − τ ω − ω − τ ω − ω − ∫ (30) ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) r r(T t) 0 0 2 2r 2 2 0 0 0 T rT r r 0 0 1 r 0 t t F t,x x e T r T t r ln 1 T r 2 t t 2 qe ( T) e d ( ) − − − τ +   ω − ω − = +   ω − ω −     ϑ− − − ϑ−   +     ω − ω − γσ +     ω − ω − ω − ω −     ω − ω − τ ω − ω − τ ω − ω − τ ∫ (31)
  • 6. Akpanibah and Osu: Optimal Portfolio Selection for a DC Pension Fund with Return of Premium AJMS/Apr-Jun-2018/Vol 2/Issue 2 24 ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) r r(T t) 0 0 2 2r 2 2 0 0 0 T rT r r 0 0 1 r 0 t t G t,x x e T r T t r ln 1 T r t t 2 qe ( T) e d ( ) − − − τ +   ω − ω − +   ω − ω −     ϑ − − − ϑ −     +     ω − ω − γσ +     ω − ω − ω − ω −       ω − ω − τ ω − ω − τ ω − ω − τ ∫ (32) Hence, (21) becomes 0 r 0 * r(T t) 0 2 0 t 1 r t t e T x − −       ω − ω − − ϑ −       ω − ω −       ω − ω −   ρ =     ω − ω − γ σ         (33) Next, we compute the efficient frontier: ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) * * * 2 2 t,x t,x t,x t,x 2 2r 2 t,x 2 2 0 0 0 Var [X T ] E [X T ] (E [X T ]) 2 Var [X T ] (G t,x F t,x ) r T t r 1 Var [X T ] T r ln t t ρ ρ ρ ρ ρ = − = − γ   ϑ − − − ϑ −   =     ω − ω − γ σ +     ω − ω − ω − ω −     (34) ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) * t,x 2 2r 2 0 0 0 Var [X T ] 1 r T t r ln T r t t ρ = σ γ   ϑ− − − ϑ −       ω − ω − +     ω − ω − ω − ω −     (35) ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) * t,x t,x 2 r r(T t) 0 2r 2 2 0 0 0 0 T rT r r 0 0 1 r 0 t E [X T ] G t,x E [X T ] r T t r ln T 1 x e T r t t t 2 qe ( T) e d ( ) ρ ρ − − τ + = =   ϑ − − − ϑ −     ω − ω − + +     ω − ω −   ω − ω − γσ   +     ω − ω − ω − ω −     ω − ω − τ ω − ω − τ ω − ω − τ ∫ (36) Substitute (35) in (36), we have: ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) * * r r T t 0 t,x 0 T r rT r 0 0 1 r t 0 2 2r 0 t,x 0 2 0 T E [X T ] x e t 2 qe T e d r T t r ln T 1 Var [X T ] t r t − ρ − τ + ρ   ω − ω − = +   ω − ω −   ω − ω − τ ω − ω − τ + ω − ω − τ         ϑ − − − ϑ −           ω − ω −   +       σ ω − ω −                 ω − ω −       ∫ (37) RESULT ANALYSIS Next, we study the effect of the various parameters on the optimal investment strategy Proposition 1 Assume r r(T t) 0 0 t 0,e 0 T − −   ω − ω −   ω − ω −   , and 0 0 2 t 1 r t 0 x       ω − ω − − ϑ −       ω − ω −         γ σ       Then * d 0 d ρ γ Proof: 0 r * 0 r(T t) 0 2 2 0 t 1 r t t d e d T x − −       ω − ω − − ϑ −       ω − ω −       ω − ω − ρ   = −     γ ω − ω − γ σ         But r r(T t) 0 0 t 0,e 0 T − −   ω − ω −   ω − ω −   , and
  • 7. Akpanibah and Osu: Optimal Portfolio Selection for a DC Pension Fund with Return of Premium AJMS/Apr-Jun-2018/Vol 2/Issue 2 25 0 0 2 2 t 1 r t 0 x       ω − ω − − ϑ −       ω − ω −         γ σ       Therefore * d 0 d ρ γ Proposition 2 Assume 0 r 0 * r(T t) 0 2 0 t 1 r t t e T x − −       ω − ω − − ϑ −       ω − ω −       ω − ω −   ρ =     ω − ω − γ σ         such that r r(T t) 0 0 T 0,e 0 t − − −   ω − ω −   ω − ω −   , and 0 0 2 t 1 r t 0 x       ω − ω − − ϑ −       ω − ω −         γ σ       Then, * d 0 d ρ γ Proof: 0 r 0 * r(T t) 0 2 0 t 1 r t t e T x − −       ω − ω − − ϑ −       ω − ω −       ω − ω −   ρ =     ω − ω − γ σ         ( ) 0 r * r T t 0 0 2 0 t 1 t t d e dr x T − −   ω − ω − − −   ω − ω −     ω − ω − ρ =   γ σ ω − ω −   ( ) ( ) 0 r 0 r T t 0 2 0 t 1 r t t T t e T x − −       ω − ω − − ϑ −       ω − ω −       ω − ω −   − − −     ω − ω − γ σ         0 r 0 r(T t) 0 0 2 0 0 t 1 r t T T ln e t t x − − −       ω − ω − − ϑ −       ω − ω −         ω − ω − ω − ω −         ω − ω − ω − ω − γ σ           ( ) ( ) ( ) 0 r r T t 0 0 2 0 0 r 0 r T t 0 2 0 * r 0 0 0 0 0 0 t 1 t t e x T t 1 r t t T t e T x d dr T T ln t t t 1 r t − − − − −   ω − ω − −   ω − ω −     ω − ω − +   γ σ ω − ω −         ω − ω − − ϑ −       ω − ω −       ω − ω −   − +     ω − ω − γ σ     ρ   = −       ω − ω − ω − ω −     ω − ω − ω − ω −         ω − ω − − ϑ −    ω − ω −    r(T t) 2 e x − −                                                   γ σ             Since r r(T t) 0 0 T 0,e 0, t − − −   ω − ω −   ω − ω −   and 0 0 2 t 1 r t 0 x       ω − ω − − ϑ −       ω − ω −         γ σ       Hence, * d 0 d ρ γ Proposition 3 Assume r r(T t) 0 0 t 0,e 0 T − −   ω − ω −   ω − ω −   , and 0 0 2 t 1 r t 0 x       ω − ω − − ϑ −       ω − ω −         γ σ       Then, * d 0 dx ρ Proof: 0 r * 0 r(T t) 0 2 2 0 t 1 r t t d e dx T x − −       ω − ω − − ϑ −       ω − ω −       ω − ω − ρ   = −     ω − ω − γσ         However, r r(T t) 0 0 t 0,e 0 T − −   ω − ω −   ω − ω −   , and
  • 8. Akpanibah and Osu: Optimal Portfolio Selection for a DC Pension Fund with Return of Premium AJMS/Apr-Jun-2018/Vol 2/Issue 2 26 0 0 2 2 t 1 r t 0 x       ω − ω − − ϑ −       ω − ω −         γ σ       Therefore, * d 0 dx ρ Proposition 4 Assume 0 r 0 * r(T t) 0 2 0 t 1 r t t e T x − −       ω − ω − − ϑ −       ω − ω −       ω − ω −   ρ =     ω − ω − γ σ         such that r r(T t) 0 0 T 0 r 1, 0,e 0 t − − −   ω − ω −   ω − ω −   , and 0 0 2 t 1 r t 0 x       ω − ω − − ϑ −       ω − ω −         γ σ       Then, * d 0 dt ρ Proof: 0 r 0 * r(T t) 0 2 0 t 1 r t t e T x − −       ω − ω − − ϑ −       ω − ω −       ω − ω −   ρ =     ω − ω − γ σ         0 r 1 * 0 r(T t) 0 2 0 0 r 0 r(T t) 0 2 0 t 1 r t t d r e dt T x t 1 r t t r e T x − − − − −       ω −ω − − ϑ −       ω −ω −       ω −ω − ρ   = − +     ω −ω − γ σ               ω −ω − − ϑ −       ω −ω −       ω −ω −       ω −ω − γ σ         r 2 0 r(T t) 0 2 0 r ( t) t e T x − −         ω − ω −     ω − ω −   +     ω − ω − γ σ       However, 0 r 0 r(T t) 0 2 0 0 r 1 0 r(T t) 0 2 0 0 r 0 0 0 t 1 r t t r e T x t 1 r t t r e T x t 1 r t t r T − − − − −       ω − ω − − ϑ −       ω − ω −       ω − ω −       ω − ω − γ σ               ω − ω − − ϑ −       ω − ω −       ω − ω −   −     ω − ω − γ σ            ω − ω − − ϑ −    ω − ω −      ω − ω − =   ω − ω −   ( ) r T t 2 r r 1 0 0 0 0 e x t t 0 T T − − −            γ σ             ω − ω − ω − ω − −       ω − ω − ω − ω −       Therefore, * d 0 dt ρ NUMERICAL SIMULATIONS Inthissection,wepresentednumericalsimulations of the optimal investment strategy with respect to time and observed the effect of the various parameters of the optimal investment strategy on it using math lab programming language. DISCUSSION From proposition 1 and Figure 1, the optimal investment strategy increases with a decrease in the risk-aversion coefficient. The implication is that members with high risk averse will prefer to invest more in riskless asset and will reduce that of the risky asset. Proposition 2 and Figure 2 show that the optimal investment strategy increases with a decrease in the interest rate of the risk-free asset. This implies that if the interest rate of the risk-free asset is high, the members will increase the proportion of its wealth to be invested in risk-free asset thereby reducing the proportion invested in risky asset and vice versa. Proposition 3 shows that the optimal investment strategy decreases with an increase in the initial wealth. The implication here is that if the initial
  • 9. Akpanibah and Osu: Optimal Portfolio Selection for a DC Pension Fund with Return of Premium AJMS/Apr-Jun-2018/Vol 2/Issue 2 27 wealth of the plan member is high, the member will prefer to invest more in risk free asset to minimize risk instead of investing more in risky asset but if the initial wealth is low, the member prefers taking the risk to grow the wealth by investing in risky asset. Figure 1: The optimal investment strategy with different risk averse level Figure 2: The optimal investment strategy with different predetermined interest rates Figure 3: The optimal investment strategy with different initial wealth Proposition 4 shows that the optimal investment strategy increases as time increases, the implication is that as retirement age approaches, the member is eager to grow his or her wealth hence an increase in investment in the risky asset. This is confirmed numerically from the simulation shown
  • 10. Akpanibah and Osu: Optimal Portfolio Selection for a DC Pension Fund with Return of Premium AJMS/Apr-Jun-2018/Vol 2/Issue 2 28 in Figures 1-3 that the graphs give positive slopes, indicating that as t increases, the optimal investment strategy increases also. Observed that proposition 1, 2, and 3 are confirm numerically in these figures. In general, we observe that at the beginning of the accumulated phase, the pension manager will invest more in risk-free asset because there is no return initially, but once there is a return to the death members, the fund manager will increase its investment in the risky asset to meet the retirement needs of the remaining members. Furthermore, we observe that if the return clause is with predetermined interest, the fund size will reduce even more with time. Hence, cause an increase in the optimal investment strategy. CONCLUSION We investigated optimal investment strategies for DC pension fund with a return of premium clauses with interest under mean-variance criterion. Using the actuarial symbol, we formalize the problem as a continuous time mean-variance stochastic optimal control. The pension fund manager considers investment in both risk-free and risky asset to increase the remaining accumulated fund to meet up the retirement need of the remaining members. Using the variational inequalities methods, we established an optimized problem from the extended Hamilton–Jacobi–Bellman Equations and solved the optimized problem to obtain the optimal investment strategies for both risk-free and risky assets and the efficient frontier of the member. We also evaluated analytically the effect of various parameters of the optimal investment strategies on it. In general, we observe that at the beginning of the accumulated phase, the pension manager will invest more in risk-free asset because there is no return initially, but once there is a return to the death members, the fund manager will increase its investment in the risky asset to meet the retirement needs of the remaining members. Furthermore, we observe that if the return clause is with risk-free interest, the fund size will reduce even more with time due to the clause, hence leading to an increase in the optimal investment strategy. REFERENCES 1. Gao J. Stochastic optimal control of DC pension funds. Insurance 2008;42:1159-64. 2. Boulier JF, Huang S, Taillard G. Optimal management under stochastic interest rates: The case of a protected defined contribution pension fund. Insurance 2001;28:173-89. 3. BattocchioP,MenoncinF.Optimalpensionmanagement in a stochastic framework. Insurance 2004;34:79-95. 4. Deelstra G, Grasselli M, Koehl PF. 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