How did Canada performed in 2016

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This presentation will look at both industry as well as macro/micro indicators when it comes to the Canadian economy. The presentation will also look fiscal management include deficit/debt as part understanding the impact of government fiscal policy on the Canadian economy.

Economy & Finance

Agenda
• Summary
• GDP / 2017 Outlook
• Housing Market – 2016
• Labor Market - 2016
• Oil Market / Canada
• Steel Production/Canada
• Trade – Exports and Imports – Canada
• Retail Sales
• Fiscal Management

Summary
• 2016 Employment/Labor market seen 216,000 new jobs. Bulk of all new
jobs were part-time
• Wage growth for 2016 is predicted to be less than 1%. Wages are not
keeping pace with inflation and/or housing prices
• New rules for housing market may impact people entering the real
estate market
• Retail sales which drives 2/3 of the economy maybe impacted by
carbon taxation/price for carbon in provinces like Alberta and Ontario
• New USA government is moving forward with new trade and tax
policies.
• Many governments in Canada including the federal are struggling with
deficits.

Canada Economic Forecast 2017
• Source – RBC
Risk Factors
• Impact new USA government trade and taxation policies
• Slow world growth
• Impact of carbon taxation/price for carbon

Housing Market – Canada
Source: CMHC, BMO, Scotiabank and National Bank of Canada

Labor Market – Canada
• Source – Stats Canada
Comment:
• 71% of jobs created
are part-time
• Wage growth is not
keeping pace with
inflation
• Goods producing
sector lost jobs in
2016
• Economy is driving
service and
government jobs

Oil Market – Canada
Source – BMO, JW Energy and Baker Hughes
2017 Capital Investment

Automotive Sales / Canada
Source - http://www.desrosiers.ca/pdfs/autowatch.pdf

Steel Production / Canada
• Source – World Steel Institute
Article and letters did not mentioned the following:
• Hydro Rates
• Carbon Taxation
• Canada content rules for infrastructure spending
• Training and skills development.

Trade (Exports and Imports) – Canada
• Stats Canada

Fiscal Management – Canada
• Source – Government of Canada and CBC
Commentary:
• There is slow world
Growth
• Government has bee
slow with infrastructure
funding
• Carbon Tax/Price for
Carbon could impact
consumer spending

Other information
• Contact email: paul_young_cga@Hotmail.com

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How did Canada performed in 2016

1. How did Canada performed in 2016

2. Agenda • Summary • GDP / 2017 Outlook • Housing Market – 2016 • Labor Market - 2016 • Oil Market / Canada • Steel Production/Canada • Trade – Exports and Imports – Canada • Retail Sales • Fiscal Management

3. Summary • 2016 Employment/Labor market seen 216,000 new jobs. Bulk of all new jobs were part-time • Wage growth for 2016 is predicted to be less than 1%. Wages are not keeping pace with inflation and/or housing prices • New rules for housing market may impact people entering the real estate market • Retail sales which drives 2/3 of the economy maybe impacted by carbon taxation/price for carbon in provinces like Alberta and Ontario • New USA government is moving forward with new trade and tax policies. • Many governments in Canada including the federal are struggling with deficits.

4. Canada Economic Forecast 2017 • Source – RBC Risk Factors • Impact new USA government trade and taxation policies • Slow world growth • Impact of carbon taxation/price for carbon

5. Housing Market – Canada Source: CMHC, BMO, Scotiabank and National Bank of Canada

6. Labor Market – Canada • Source – Stats Canada Comment: • 71% of jobs created are part-time • Wage growth is not keeping pace with inflation • Goods producing sector lost jobs in 2016 • Economy is driving service and government jobs

7. Oil Market – Canada Source – BMO, JW Energy and Baker Hughes 2017 Capital Investment

8. Automotive Sales / Canada Source - http://www.desrosiers.ca/pdfs/autowatch.pdf

9. Steel Production / Canada • Source – World Steel Institute Article and letters did not mentioned the following: • Hydro Rates • Carbon Taxation • Canada content rules for infrastructure spending • Training and skills development.

10. Trade (Exports and Imports) – Canada • Stats Canada

11. Retail Sales / Canada

12. Fiscal Management – Canada • Source – Government of Canada and CBC Commentary: • There is slow world Growth • Government has bee slow with infrastructure funding • Carbon Tax/Price for Carbon could impact consumer spending

13. Other information • Contact email: paul_young_cga@Hotmail.com

Editor's Notes

http://www.cbc.ca/news/business/crea-monthly-house-price-december-2016-1.3937296 http://www.moneysense.ca/spend/real-estate/canadian-real-estate-market-outlook-2017/
1. http://www.jwnenergy.com/article/2017/1/68-canadian-oil-and-gas-companies-will-spend-more-2017/
https://www.bdo.ca/en-ca/insights/industries/manufacturing-distribution/2017-the-year-of-the-carbon-tax/ http://www.huffingtonpost.ca/marty-warren/canadian-steel-industry_b_9018964.html
1. http://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/decades-deficits-morneau-1.3923060

How did Canada performed in 2016

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Editor's Notes