Here is a look at crime

1. Better Public
Safety
Management
using Analytics
Paul Young CPA CGA
Senior Customer Success Manager and Business Strategist
September 11, 2023

2. Paul Young – Senior Data and
AI SME
• CPA, CGA
• Academia (PF1, FA4, FN2, MU1. and MS2)
• SME – Risk Management
• SME – Close, Consolidate and Reporting
• SME – Public Policy
• SME – Sustainability and ESG Policy and
Reporting
• SME – Emerging Technology
• SME – Business Process Change
• SME – Financial Solutions
• SME – Macro/Micro Indicators
• SME – Supply Chain Management
• SME – Data, AI, Security, and Platform
• SME – Internal Controls and Auditing
Contact information email: paul.young_cga@outlook.com
Linked-In: https://www.linkedin.com/in/paul-young-055632b/
SlideShare - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga

3. Agenda
• Public Safety Costs
• Main issues facing
Policing/Public safety
• Use of Analytics with Policing
and Public Safety
• Building Machine Learning
models
• Building expense forecasting
models
• Dashboards and Cognos
Analytics
3

4. Public Safety Costs
September 9, 2014
• OECD countries spend about 1.7% of their GDP on public safety related protection -
https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/statistics-
explained/index.php/Government_expenditure_on_public_order_and_safety
• Policing costs continues to increase per capita / Canada -
https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/daily-quotidien/191003/dq191003a-eng.htm
• USA local and state government spend about 4% of their budgets on policingSource -
https://www.urban.org/policy-centers/cross-center-initiatives/state-and-local-finance-
initiative/state-and-local-backgrounders/police-and-corrections-expenditures

5. Key focus points for Policing / Public Safety
September 9, 2014
• Complexity of crime, i.e. cybercrimes
• Bail and sentencing
• High cost of labor
• Detect and preventing crime
• Oversight and accountability

6. Canada Crime Rate
September 9, 2014

7. Crime Rates
September 9, 2014

8. SPSS Modeler and Public Safety
September 9, 2014

9. Building machine learning models / SPSS
September 9, 2014

10. Dashboard / Cognos Analytics
September 9, 2014
Dashboards could easily be created using police stats

11. What is next for Crime in Canada
11
• After being relatively stable the previous two years of data collection, the rate of police strength in Canada in 2022
continued the downward trend started more than a decade earlier. In 2022, the rate of police strength was 181
officers per 100,000 population, down 1% from the year prior. There were 70,566 police officers in Canada on May
15, 2022, 406 more than on the same date in 2021. Despite this increase in the number of police officers, an even
greater increase in the growth rate of the Canadian population led to the lower rate of police strength
• Undertaking bail reforms - https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/manitoba/danny-smyth-bail-reform-1.6944916
• Undertaking a review of Corrections Canada review of high profile prisoner movement - https://san.com/media-
miss/corrections-head-questioned-how-mendicino-was-kept-in-dark-over-bernardo-transfer/
• Tougher gun control laws for illegal guns
• Addressing crimes related to eco-terrorism - https://san.com/media-miss/corrections-head-questioned-how-
mendicino-was-kept-in-dark-over-bernardo-transfer/
• More oversight of the police - https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/newfoundland-labrador/conway-ottenheimer-police-
oversight-1.6942307
• Leverage generative AI as part of managing crime - https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/revolutionizing-law-enforcement-
harnessing-power-ai-jonathan-martin