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ECONOMIC/THEMATIC RESEARCH:
Prepared by:
Lynette Lee
Mazlina Abdul Rahman
Syed Mohamad Bukhari Syed Bakeri
SMEBank-EconomicResearch@smebank.com.my
(603) 2615 2020
MALAYSIAN STATES’
ANALYSIS
GDP & INVESTMENT
Sources: CEIC, Department of Statistics Malaysia (DOSM), Malaysian Investment Development Authority (MIDA) and SME Bank Economic Research
However, only 4 out of 14
states have returned to pre-
pandemic level GDP…
Note 1: States include Kuala Lumpur Federal Territory.
Note 2: Latest available GDP data by state are as of 2021 while investment are as of 2022.
…where the recovery wasn’t
standardized across sectors
5 out of 14 states
outperformed national GDP
growth rate
Regardless, mining sector
remain a laggard in all states
Wholesale & retail trade, F&B
and accommodation dominate
services sector in 8 states…
…while government services
lead services sector in Perlis and
Kelantan
8 states focus on E&E and
optical products as their main
manufacturing activities…
…while petroleum, chemical,
rubber & plastic dominate
manufacturing sector in Melaka,
Pahang, Terengganu and Sarawak
Johor made up the largest share (17%) of
total manufacturing investment, followed by
Pulau Pinang (16%) & Selangor (15%)…
Investment in manufacturing sector
recorded at RM84 bil, 57% short of
what it was in 2021
…may have been propelled by investment
in E&E as it is the focus industry
Some states (e.g. Kedah, Negeri Sembilan &
Melaka) identify aerospace as emerging
industry and provide opportunities
• Extend tax incentives to mfg. companies
that move operations to Malaysia
• 15% tax rate to C-Suites until 2024 to
attract investment into Malaysia
• Extend income tax incentives &
investment tax allowances until 2025
Summary of Malaysia GDP and Investment
2
131,056
2.4
9.5
25774
2.4
1.9
35152
3.6
2.5
55,354
0.9
4.0
98,964
6.8
7.1
47,471
3.2
3.4
76,780
3.5
5.5
343,501
5.0
24.8
47,696
3.0
3.4
41,814
2.0
3.0
GDP (RM mil)
Share to MYS GDP (%)
GDP Growth (%)
78,760
1.1
5.7
131,175
2.9
9.5
7,629
0.5
0.6
5,866
1.5
0.4
218,233
0.8
15.7
Note: W.P. Kuala Lumpur includes W.P. Putrajaya
• Malaysia’s GDP growth advanced to 8.7% YoY in 2022, up from 3.1% in 2021 (2020: -5.5%).
• Growth in 2021 was mainly contributed by Selangor (1.2 ppt.), Pulau Pinang (0.5 ppt.) and
Sarawak (0.3 ppt).
• In terms of annual growth rate, Pulau Pinang (6.8% YoY), Selangor (5.0%) and Terengganu
(3.6%) grew the most from 2020 levels and have also performed above national level.
Gross Domestic Product (GDP): Malaysia
3 Sources: CEIC, DOSM and SME Bank Economic Research
*Supra state covers production activities that are beyond the center of predominant economic interest for any state
Services
Mining &
Quarrying
Construction
Manufacturing
Agriculture
17.1
14.6
13.1
12.6
11.9
3.3
2.8
2.0
1.0
0.1
Top 5
Bottom 5
SUPRA 44.7
29.7
21.9
0.8
0.7
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
32.0
13.9
12.1
11.0
5.3
1.8
1.8
0.4
0.4
0.1
34.3
23.5
8.9
6.7
5.0
2.0
1.8
0.8
0.3
0.3
25.9
24.8
8.6
6.0
5.9
2.6
2.3
2.3
0.8
0.5
State’s share to GDP (%) by Sector, Top 5 & Bottom 5
• Selangor has the biggest contribution in construction (34.3%), manufacturing (32%) and services (25.9%) sector. The gap with the 2nd largest contributor in
both manufacturing & construction is quite substantial. Despite having vigorous E&E activities and being top exporter of the country, Pulau Pinang’s manufacturing
share is not even half of Selangor’s.
• Johor contributes the most in agriculture and followed closely by Sarawak. Sarawak also dominates mining & quarrying sector.
Sources: CEIC, DOSM and SME Bank Economic Research
4
Note: Data are average of 2022 except for GDP per capita & unemployment rate in 2021
Johor & Pulau Pinang exports the most in 2022, reflecting their
roles in global supply chain.
Highest inflation in Putrajaya (7.3%) and Selangor (4.2%),
exceeded national level of 3.4% in 2022.
KL GDP per capita is 2.6x above national figure but remain
below pre-pandemic level (RM129.7k)
Sabah has the highest unemployment rate
but it also has one of the largest number of employment
Key Indicators: Malaysia
Sources: CEIC, DOSM and SME Bank Economic Research
5
• More global companies are establishing their
global service hub in KL due to robust
infrastructure and dynamic pool of talent, among
others – reflects high dependency on services
sector (90% of GDP) – which continue providing
support to economic growth moving forward.
• Some of the latest presence were British public-
listed software development company Endava
Plc, and Baxter Southeast Asia.
• Moreover, government has mandated Tun Razak
Exchange (TRX) as Malaysia's international
financial hub to attract high quality foreign
investment from the global financial industry.
• Besides that, Microsoft Corp has announced
plans to establish its first data centre region in the
country – USD1 bil (RM4.12 bil)
commitment/investment to Malaysia over the next
5 years – include building and setting up the data
centre.
• KL’s economy has not fully recovered to pre-
pandemic level, (-6.7% YoY vs 2019). All four
sectors remain below 2019’s level.
• Assuming GDP grow by 4.2% for the next 4 years
(2022-2025), it will still fall short of 12MP target
(RM265.2 bil in 2025) by circa 3.0%.
Kuala Lumpur’s GDP growth underperformed national level GDP and its 12MP average growth target of 4.2%.
Kuala Lumpur GDP breakdown by sector
SERVICES
MANUFACTURING
AGRICULTURE MINING CONSTRUCTION
YoY %
Share %
0
50
100
150
200
250
Total Mi Ma C S
RM mil
KL GDP by sector:
2021 vs 12MP target
2021
12MP Target 2025
3.1
0.8
-10
-5
0
5
10
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
GDP: KL vs Malaysia (%YoY)
Malaysia Kuala Lumpur
- -3.1 1.6
4.3 -12.1
- 0.1 2.7 5.5 90.0
Wholesale & retail trade, food &
beverage and accommodation
Finance & insurance, real estate and
business services
Government services
Utilities, transportation & storage,
information and communication
Subsectors
0.8
0.5
5.8
4.0
39.8
28.7
14.7
12.2
Other manufactures
E&E and optical products
Vegetable & animal oils & fats, food
processing, beverages & tobacco
Wood products, furniture, paper
products and printing
Subsectors
1.6
7.5
11.4
-2.8
36.1
24.5
16.5
13.4
YoY % YoY %
Share % Share %
Note: 12MP average growth for 2021-2025
Economic Profile: Kuala Lumpur (KL)
Sources: CEIC, DOSM, Economic Planning Unit (EPU) and SME Bank Economic Research
6
Top manufacturing investments in 2021:
• Manufacturing approved investment in KL contracted by -49.9% YoY in
2022 (2021: -78.7%), in line with national level (-56.8%)
• KL’s low investment in manufacturing sector is consistent with its share to
national manufacturing GDP (0.2% in 2022).
• This is in line with its focus industries which are skewed more to regional
business & shared service centres, logistics, transportation, &
mobility, digital economy, e-commerce, green tech, etc.
• In 2021, KL secured RM2.46 bil in investments through 13 global
services hubs by leading multinationals (MNCs) and fast-growing
companies – making it the best performing year in the last decade.
• State government has targeted RM35 bil of investments by 2030
(currently based on available data: RM18.3 bil since 2011).
Industry
Domestic
(RM mil)
Foreign
(RM mil)
Total
(RM mil)
Paper, printing & publishing 95.0 0.0 95.0
Food manufacturing 54.8 0.0 54.8
Chemicals & chemical products 36.6 1.6 38.2
Plastic products 34.4 0.0 34.4
Textiles and textile products 21.8 2.7 24.4
Transport equipment 5.0 0.0 5.0
Fabric metal products 0.8 0.0 0.8
Other 25.7 0.0 25.7
Total 274.1 4.3 278.4
Ongoing/Upcoming Key Projects
AstraZeneca global business services hub (2023)
Bukit Bintang City Centre Phase 2 & 3 (2025)
Arnott’s Group (food mfg) Asia Hub 3-stage expansion
Microsoft Data Centre (2026)
1
2
3
Investment opportunities: Kuala Lumpur (KL)
4
Sources: CEIC, DOSM, MIDA, InvestKL and SME Bank Economic Research
Note: Latest available data for mfg. approv. investment by state and industry is in 2021.
7
0
100
200
300
400
Total A Mi Ma C S
RM mil
Selangor GDP by sector:
2021 vs 12MP target
2021
12MP Target 2025
• Selangor has the highest share in construction
GDP (34.3%) but the sector has yet to return to
its pre-pandemic level in 2021.
• Nonetheless, the performance is anticipated to be
more brisk from 2022 onwards benefitting from
full economic reopening along with various
development and mega projects (e.g. LRT3,
KVDT II, West Coast, redevelopment of Shah
Alam stadium) – spill over effects to other sectors
such as transportation and sports & amusement
& recreation activities.
• Real estate activities remains on recovery path
and continue to offer opportunities to the state –
Selangor dominated the market, accounting for
about 24% of total residential property
transactions in Malaysia in 3Q 2022
• Selangor’s economy remains slightly below pre-
pandemic level, (-0.4% YoY vs 2019).
• Nonetheless, manufacturing sector has
recovered while agriculture was not affected
significantly in the first place.
• Selangor seems to be on track in achieving
12MP target of RM404 bil in 2025.
Selangor’s GDP growth outperformed national level GDP and its 12MP average growth target of 4.3%.
Selangor GDP breakdown by sector
SERVICES
MANUFACTURING
AGRICULTURE MINING CONSTRUCTION
YoY %
Share %
3.1
5.0
-10
-5
0
5
10
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
GDP: Selangor vs Malaysia
(% YoY)
Malaysia Selangor
4.9 -3.0 2.2
13.1 -6.6
1.4 0.2 31.4 5.1 59.5
Wholesale & retail trade, food &
beverage and accommodation
Utilities, transportation & storage,
information and communication
Finance & insurance, real estate and
business services
Government services
Subsectors
0.5
4.2
2.7
5.7
35.6
29.5
18.7
9.1
E&E and optical products
Other manufactures
Petroleum, chemical, rubber and
plastic products
Vegetable & animal oils & fats, food
processing, beverages & tobacco
Subsectors
22.0
6.8
23.6
9.2
29.3
23.4
18.5
16.1
YoY % YoY %
Share % Share %
Economic Profile: Selangor
Note: 12MP average growth for 2021-2025
Sources: CEIC, DOSM, EPU and SME Bank Economic Research
8
Top manufacturing investments in 2021:
• Manufacturing approved investment in Selangor doubled by 62.5% YoY in 2022
(2021: -59.2%), in contrast to national level (-56.8%).
• It has also surpassed RM10 bil target set by the state government. Share to total
manufacturing approved investment also went up to 12.2% (2021: 7.5%) – the 3rd
largest recipient by state.
• In 2021, the biggest contributor (29.1%) came from rubber products, followed
by chemicals & chemical products (17.3%) and E&E (15%), broadly in line
with some focus areas of the state, namely 1) E&E and 2) Life sciences which
include specialty chemicals.
• Additionally, 2 new industries (logistics services & digital investment) have
been identified – have the potential to boost Selangor as an investment
destination.
Industry
Domestic
(RM mil)
Foreign
(RM mil)
Total
(RM mil)
Rubber products 2,135.6 47.6 2,183.2
Chemicals & chemical products 1,170.2 130.5 1,300.7
Electrical & electronic products 284.6 844.6 1,129.2
Transport equipment 743.4 2.2 745.6
Food manufacturing 444.7 32.1 476.7
Fabric metal products 330.8 45.8 376.7
Paper, printing & publishing 185.5 85.1 270.6
Basic metal products 164.7 74.4 239.1
Plastic products 121.6 46.7 168.3
Furniture & equipment 104.8 26.2 131.0
Others 366.8 123.2 490.0
Total 6,052.8 1,458.3 7,511.0
Ongoing/Upcoming Key Projects
Note: Latest available data for mfg. approv. investment by state and industry is in 2021.
4 new schools: SK Cyberjaya 2, SMK Denai Alam, SMK
Johan Setia, SK Setia Alam
LRT 3 (expected to complete in Feb 2024)
Rasau water treatment plant (June 2025)
Klang Valley Double Track Phase II (2026)
West Coast Highway (2026)
ECRL (Dec 2027)
Selangor Maritime Gateway (2031)
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Investment opportunities: Selangor
Sources: CEIC, DOSM, MIDA, Invest Selangor and SME Bank Economic Research
12.2
84.3
0
5
10
15
20
25
0
50
100
150
200
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
(%)
RM(bil)
Manufacturing Approv. Investment: Selangor vs Malaysia
Selangor Malaysia Shares (RHS)
9
• Expected to be fully completed by the end of 2024, except for a 10 km
stretch from Section 7B which is expected to be completed by June 2026.
• An economic catalyst for small towns in both Selangor and Perak.
• Provide opportunities for manufacturers and SMEs to relocate their
factories to areas along the new highway as time taken to get to these
areas will be reduced.
• Additionally, there will be many opportunities for small businesses to grow
especially tourism related.
Investment opportunities: West Coast Expressway
Sources: www.selangormaritimegateway.com and SME Bank Economic Research
10
• Price of commodities remain supportive to
Sarawak’s continuous recovery but severe labor
shortage particularly in the palm oil sector remain
a major concern.
• Besides that, ongoing mega projects such as
Sarawak Coastal Road and Pan Borneo
Highway will provide further support to the state’s
recovery.
• Government also plan to develop cities bordering
Kalimantan, Indonesia such as Ba'kelalan,
Sarawak.
• Moreover, there are significant rooms for
developing basic infrastructure – roads, bridges,
water & electricity supply, and telecommunication
network.
• Development project of Halal Hub Center at
Tanjung Manis – will develop competitiveness
and sustainability of local companies – to offer
quality, innovative and competitive halal products
• Sarawak’s economy has not fully recovered to
pre-pandemic level, (-4.10% YoY vs 2019).
• Manufacturing and construction sectors have
recovered.
• Assuming the GDP grow by 5.3% for the next 4
years (2022-2025), it will still fall short of 12MP
target (RM164.3 bil in 2025) by circa 1.9%.
Sarawak’s GDP growth underperformed national level GDP and its 12MP average growth target of 5.3%.
Sarawak GDP breakdown by sector
SERVICES
MANUFACTURING
AGRICULTURE MINING CONSTRUCTION
YoY %
Share %
0
40
80
120
160
Total A Mi Ma C S
RM mil
Sarawak GDP by sector:
2021 vs 12MP target
2021
12MP Target 2025
3.1
2.9
-10
-5
0
5
10
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
GDP: Sarawak vs Malaysia (% YoY)
Malaysia Sarawak
-3.2 -3.3 2.1
11.2 10.2
11.0 21.1 28.4 3.4 35.9
Wholesale & retail trade, food &
beverage and accommodation
Utilities, transportation & storage,
information and communication
Government services
Finance & insurance, real estate and
business services
Subsectors
0.0
3.4
5.4
2.3
30.1
21.9
20.3
19.7
Petroleum, chemical, rubber and
plastic products
Transport equipment, other
manufacturing and repair
Wood products, furniture, paper
products and printing
Subsectors
15.1
-2.2
-7.5
82.1
12.4
5.5
YoY % YoY %
Share % Share %
Economic Profile: Sarawak
Note: 12MP average growth for 2021-2025
Sources: CEIC, DOSM, EPU and SME Bank Economic Research
11
Top manufacturing investments in 2021:
• Manufacturing approved investment in Sarawak declined -77.3% YoY in
2022 (2021: -64.0%), worse than national level (-56.8%)
• Its share to total approved investment in the sector is also among the lowest
at 1.5% (2021: 2.9%; 5-year average: 9.9%).
• This is quite inconsistent with its significant contribution to national
manufacturing GDP in 2021 at 11% i.e., the 4th largest.
• In 2021, 74% of the manufacturing investments in Sarawak were in E&E
products followed by chemicals & chemical products (25.1%) – both
entirely from foreign sources.
• Socio-Economic Transformation Plan (2016-2030) – driven by Sarawak
Corridor of Renewable Energy (SCORE) with 10 priority industries such
as aluminum-based, steel & other metal-based, solar-based and
tourism focused on new hydro-power lakes.
Industry
Domestic
(RM mil
Foreign
(RM mil)
Total
(RM mil)
Electrical & electronic products 0.0 4,193.0 4,193.0
Chemicals & chemical products 0.0 1,425.0 1,425.0
Basic metal products 37.4 0.0 37.4
Wood & wood products 12.0 0.0 12.0
Fabric metal products 0.5 0.0 0.5
Total 49.9 5,618.0 5,667.9
Investment opportunities: Sarawak
Note: Latest available data for mfg. approv. investment by state and industry is in 2021.
Sources: CEIC, DOSM, MIDA, www.sarawak.gov and SME Bank Economic Research
Ongoing/Upcoming Key Projects
Sarawak Coastal Road - Muara Lassa Bridge, Mukah (2024)
Bintulu-Samalaju gas pipeline (2025)
Kuching Urban Transportation System (KUTS) Phase 1 (2025)
Baleh Hydroelectric (2027)
Sarawak-Sabah Link Road (SSLR) Phase II (2027)
Pan Borneo Highway Phase 2 / Northern Coastal Highway (2028)
1
2
3
4
5
6
1.3
84.3
0
5
10
15
20
0
50
100
150
200
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
(%)
RM(bil)
Manufacturing Approv. Investment: Sarawak vs Malaysia
Sarawak Malaysia Shares (RHS)
12
• Stretching approximately
89km across Limbang
and Lawas
• 4-lane dual carriageway
of JKR R5 standard
• Provide connectivity for
road-users travelling on
the Pan Borneo Highway
Sarawak (from Telok
Melano to Miri) through
neighbouring Brunei and
onwards to the Pan
Borneo Highway Sabah.
Investment opportunities: Sarawak: Northern Coastal Highway
Sources: www.maltimur.com and SME Bank Economic Research
13
• The primary sectors (agriculture and mining)
contribute a substantial share to the state’s GDP.
With commodity prices (e.g. CPO & crude
petroleum) above pre-pandemic levels, despite
trending downward in recent months, it remains
supportive to Sabah’s recovery.
• However, acute labor shortage especially in palm
oil sector is unlikely to be fully resolved this year
hence remain a critical concern.
• Meanwhile, tourism services are expected to
continue its momentum amid space capacity and
on the prospect of returning tourists from China –
makes up the majority of foreign travelers coming
into Sabah (± 15% of total in 2019).
• In addition, port activities remain bright with
expansion of Sepanggar Bay Container Port – will
be able to handle 1.25 mil twenty-foot equivalent
units (TEUs) from 500k at present.
• Government also plan to develop cities bordering
Kalimantan, Indonesia such as Kalabakan, Sabah
• Sabah’s economy has not fully recovered to
pre-pandemic level, (-8.1% YoY vs 2019).
• Assuming GDP grow by 6.5% for the next 4 years
(2022-2025), it will still fall short of 12MP target
(RM106 bil in 2025) by circa 4.6%.
Sabah’s GDP growth underperformed national level GDP and its 12MP average growth target of 6.5%.
Sabah GDP breakdown by sector
SERVICES
MANUFACTURING
AGRICULTURE MINING CONSTRUCTION
YoY %
Share %
0
20
40
60
80
100
Total A Mi Ma C S
RM mil
Sabah GDP by sector:
2021 vs 12MP target
2021
12MP Target 2025
3.1
1.1
-10
-5
0
5
10
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
GDP: Sabah vs Malaysia (% YoY)
Malaysia Sabah
-2.4 2.4 1.8
-1.8 7.9
15.9 26.0 7.5 3.0 47.3
Wholesale & retail trade, food &
beverage and accommodation
Government services
Utilities, transportation & storage,
information and communication
Finance & insurance, real estate and
business services
Subsectors
-0.8
6.1
2.6
2.1
34.4
25.0
18.0
14.3
Vegetable & animal oils & fats, food
processing, beverages & tobacco
Wood products, furniture, paper
products and printing
Non-metallic mineral products, basic
metal and fabricated metal products
Transport equipment, other
manufacturing and repair
Subsectors
-8.1
25.0
5.6
11.4
67.1
12.7
11.4
8.8
YoY % YoY %
Share % Share %
Economic Profile: Sabah
Note: 12MP average growth for 2021-2025
Sources: CEIC, DOSM, EPU and SME Bank Economic Research
14
Top manufacturing investments in 2021:
• Manufacturing approved investment in Sabah soared 72.4% YoY (2021: -
59.3%), in contrast to national level (-56.8%).
• In 2021, close to 90% of the manufacturing investments in Sabah were in
basic metal products – entirely from foreign source.
• Sabah is more reliant on mining & quarrying (26% of GDP in 2021) and
agriculture (15.9%) to be compared with manufacturing (7.5%)
• Nonetheless, Sabah Maju Jaya (SMJ) Development Plan for 2021 to 2025
has outlined manufacturing as 1 of its 3 main economic sectors focus.
• In line, more related investments are seen coming in e.g. Construction of
solar glass panel manufacturing plant from China’s Kibing Group and
copper foil factory from SK Nexilis.
Industry
Domestic
(RM mil)
Foreign
(RM mil)
Total
(RM mil)
Basic metal products 0.0 4,286.3 4,286.3
Food manufacturing 254.6 13.3 268.0
Chemicals & chemical products 160.0 79.8 239.8
Fabric metal products 31.2 0.0 31.2
Plastic products 15.5 0.0 15.5
Beverages & Tobacco 9.4 0.0 9.4
Transport equipment 7.3 0.0 7.3
Machinery & equipment 4.0 0.0 4.0
Total 482.0 4,379.5 4,861.4
Ongoing/Upcoming Key Projects
Pan Borneo highway (2024)
Phase 4: Gumusut-Kakap-Geronggong-Jagus East deepwater offshore (2024)
Sand silica project to produce solar panels (2024)
Expansion Sepanggar Bay Container Port (Feb 2025)
Pavilion Harbour City project (2032)
1
2
3
4
5
Investment opportunities: Sabah
Note: Latest available data for mfg. approv. investment by state and industry is in 2021.
Sources: CEIC, DOSM, MIDA, Sabah Economic Development and Investment Authority and SME Bank Economic Research
8.4
84.3
0
10
20
30
40
0
50
100
150
200
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
(%)
RM(bil)
Manufacturing Approv. Investment: Sabah vs Malaysia
Sabah Malaysia Shares (RHS)
15
Investment opportunities: Sabah: Pavilion Harbour City
Sources: Sabah Economic Development and Investment Authority and SME Bank Economic Research
16
Economic Profile: Johor
0
40
80
120
160
Total A Mi Ma C S
RM mil
Johor GDP by sector:
2021 vs 12MP target
2021
12MP Target 2025
3.1
2.4
-10
-5
0
5
10
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
GDP: Johor vs Malaysia (% YoY)
Malaysia Johor
• Johor’s economy has not fully recovered to
pre-pandemic level, (-2.4% YoY vs 2019).
• Manufacturing sector has recovered while
agriculture was not really affected in the first
place.
• Assuming the GDP grows by 5.1% for the next 4
years (2022-2025), it will still fall short of the
12MP target (RM164.2 in 2025) by circa 2.6%.
Johor’s GDP growth underperformed national level GDP and its 12MP average growth target of 5.1%.
Utilities, transportation & storage,
information and communication
Wholesale & retail trade, food &
beverage and accommodation
Finance & insurance, real estate and
business services
Government services
Subsectors
6.7
-1.4
2.0
5.9
26.9
26.6
19.5
17.4
YoY % Share %
E&E and optical products
Petroleum, chemical, rubber and
plastic products
Transport equipment, other
manufacturing and repair
Vegetable & animal oils & fats, food
processing, beverages & tobacco
Subsectors
32.9
22.0
19.6
13.0
YoY % Share %
-2.5
7.0
9.0
7.6
Johor GDP breakdown by sector
0.6
12.9
-7.5 2.6
5.5 -18.0
0.5 31.1 2.6 51.9
SERVICES
MANUFACTURING
AGRICULTURE MINING CONSTRUCTION
YoY %
Share %
• Given the proximity to Singapore, Johor will
benefit from the reopening of the Malaysia-
Singapore border as Singapore tops the list of
tourist arrivals in Malaysia for the first 3Q 2022 at
around 54% of the total.
• Ongoing mega projects such as Johor Baru-
Singapore Rapid Transit System (RTS) and
Electrified Double Track (Gemas - JB) will
provide further support to the state’s recovery.
• Demand for ICT related services remain intact
with Bridge Data Centres expanded into Johor
(Kidex Sedenak business park) – span 3
buildings with combined capacity of 100MW
where phase 1 has completed in 2022 – next to
look out for is phase 2.
• Industries viewed to be benefitting from
datacentres include supply of components (e,g.
generator, servers, storage, cables, desktops)
Note: 12MP average growth for 2021-2025
Sources: CEIC, DOSM, EPU and SME Bank Economic Research
17
Top manufacturing investments in 2021:
Industry
Domestic
(RM mil)
Foreign
(RM mil)
Total
(RM mil)
Basic metal products - 1,541.5 1,541.5
Chemicals & chemical products 679.9 745.3 1,425.2
Electrical & electronic products 895.7 418.1 1,313.8
Rubber products 454.5 102.5 557.0
Food manufacturing 283.2 200.8 484.07
Machinery & equipment 80.0 291.8 371.8
Plastic products 126.2 173.6 299.9
Petroleum products (including
petrochemicals)
182.0 38.8 220.8
Fabric metal products 82.7 124.8 207.5
Transport equipment 123.1 42.4 165.6
Others 198.1 167.9 366.1
Total 3,105.4 3,847.5 6,953.3
Ongoing/Upcoming Key Projects
Electrified Double Track (Gemas - JB) (expected to complete in June 2023)
Equinix Inc - International Business Exchange (IBX) data centre (2024)
Hospital Pasir Gudang (2024)
Related to Integrated Bekok Oil project (2024)
Rapid Transit System Link (RTS) Johor – Singapore (2026)
Mixed-income housing (MIH) project in Iskandar Puteri (2026)
1
2
3
4
5
6
• Manufacturing approved investment in Johor surged 109.7% YoY in 2022
(2021: 2.5%), in contrast to national level (-56.8%)
• Share to total approved manufacturing investment have reversed its
downward trend (2019-2021) by clocking at 17.3% (2021: 3.6%) – the
largest recipient by state.
• In 2021, the biggest contributor (22.2%) were basic metal products, followed
by chemical & chemical products (20.5%) and E&E products (18.9%).
• The top 10 investments were somewhat in line with focus industries of the
state, such as E&E, rubber-based product and petrochemical, oil & gas.
• There are also some emerging industries (expected to drive the state’s
economic growth in the next 2 decades) such as 1) finance, insurance,
real estate & business services; 2) healthcare; 3) ICT, among others
which are mainly centred in the Iskandar Malaysia.
Investment opportunities: Johor
Note: Latest available data for mfg. approv. investment by state and industry is in 2021.
Sources: CEIC, DOSM, MIDA, Invest Johor and SME Bank Economic Research
14.6
84.3
0
10
20
30
40
50
0
50
100
150
200
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
(%)
RM(bil)
Manufacturing Approv. Investment: Johor vs Malaysia
Johor Malaysia Shares (RHS)
18
• Upon completion, RTS will reduces congestion on Johor-Singapore Causeway and encourages more visitors into
Malaysia including those of business.
• Government also plans to improve the highway facilities to Pengerang through the construction of an overtaking lane
on the Senai Desaru Expressway.
• Government will upgrade the North-South Highway in Senai Utara-Sedenak, Johor Bahru from 4 to 6 lane.
• All these improvement in transportation and connectivity will encourage tourism activities besides having potential to
increase real estate activities with Singaporeans buying properties in the state, addressing the glut of unsold luxury
homes – as of 3Q 2022, Johor has the highest volume of overhang houses at 5,348 units
Investment opportunities: Johor: Rapid Transit System (RTS)
SME Profile: Johor
Sources: MyMRT.com, National Property Information Centre (Napic), SME Bank Economic Research
19
• Pulau Pinang’s economy has fully recovered to
pre-pandemic level (4.6% YoY vs 2019), solely
driven by manufacturing sector.
• It seems to be on track in achieving 12MP target
of RM120.4 bil in 2025.
• As the state’s economic structure is dominated by
2 main sectors: services & manufacturing (94.7%
of GDP) – should benefit from the spillover
effect of E&E investment and FDI diversion to
ASEAN amid ongoing US-China tension – but
high competition with Vietnam.
• Although global demand for E&E is currently
slowing down after pandemic boom (US’s Intel
has been laying off workers since last year),
Malaysia is less affected due to competitive cost
relatively e.g. to US based operation. The
medium and long term prospects of the E&E
sector are still intact driven by the global
technology upcycle.
• There are also some emerging industries
(expected to drive the state’s economic growth in
the next decades) such as construction –
Penang Transport Master Plan by 2030 (state
govt project).
• The RM46 bil project will consist of construction
of undersea tunnel, LRT, monorail, highways,
tram, cable cars and Bus Rapid Transit (BRT).
• Among plans to finance the project is through
reclamation of Penang South Islands (upcoming
construction/real estate project to generate
RM16.1 bil of revenue) – also involving relocation
of villages along the site
Pulau Pinang’s GDP growth outperformed national level GDP and its 12MP average growth target of 5.4%.
Pulau Pinang GDP breakdown by sector
SERVICES
MANUFACTURING
AGRICULTURE MINING CONSTRUCTION
YoY %
Share %
0
40
80
120
Total A Mi Ma C S
RM mil
Pulau Pinang GDP by sector:
2021 vs 12MP target
2021
12MP Target 2025
-2.4 -4.1 2.1
12.4 12.9
2.0 0.1 47.3 2.5 47.4
Wholesale & retail trade, food &
beverage and accommodation
Utilities, transportation & storage,
information and communication
Finance & insurance, real estate and
business services
Government services
Subsectors
-1.7
5.4
4.0
4.5
30.3
24.6
19.8
14.4
E&E and optical products
Transport equipment, other
manufacturing and repair
Petroleum, chemical, rubber and
plastic products
Non-metallic mineral products, basic
metal and fabricated metal products
Subsectors
16.5
-0.2
5.0
7.8
71.0
12.7
9.0
7.3
YoY % YoY %
Share % Share %
Economic Profile: Pulau Pinang
Note: 12MP average growth for 2021-2025
Sources: CEIC, DOSM, EPU and SME Bank Economic Research
20
3.1
6.8
-8
-4
0
4
8
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
GDP: Pulau Pinang vs Malaysia
(% YoY)
Malaysia Pulau Pinang
Top manufacturing investments in 2021:
• Manufacturing approved investment in Pulau Pinang fell by -82.0% YoY in
2022 to RM13.7 bil (2021: 440.1%) – worse than the national level (-56.8%
YoY).
• Likewise, share to total approved investment in the sector went down to
16.3% in 2022 (2021: 39.1%) – but still the 2nd largest among the states.
• In 2021, almost the entire manufacturing investment came from E&E (97%).
• The top investment was in line with the focus industry of the state which is
E&E – dubbed “The Silicon Valley of the East” due to its critical function to
the global E&E supply chain.
• The state contributes >5% of global semiconductor sales and ~60% of
Malaysia's overall E&E exports.
Industry
Domestic
(RM mil)
Foreign
(RM mil)
Total
(RM mil)
Electrical & electronic products 408.4 73,494.4 73,902.8
Fabricated metal products 579.3 252.0 831.3
Machinery and equipment 331.8 448.9 780.7
Food manufacturing 179.3 6.5 185.8
Scientific and measuring
equipment
59.9 70.8 130.7
Transport equipment 50.9 65.0 115.9
Chemicals & chemical products 29.9 79.8 109.7
Plastic product 54.0 10.8 64.8
Wood & wood products 35.7 0.0 35.7
Paper, printing and publishing 33.3 0.0 33.3
Others 22.0 11.0 33.0
Total 1,784.6 74,439.1 76,223.7
Ongoing/Upcoming Key Projects
Northern Corridor Highway (NCH)
Penang International Airport expansion
Oyster Farming
NCER Single Campus Initiative
Penang Transport Master Plan (2030)
1
2
3
4
5
Investment opportunities: Pulau Pinang
Note: Latest available data for mfg. approv. investment by state and industry is in 2021.
13.7
84.3
0
10
20
30
40
0
50
100
150
200
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
(%)
RM(bil)
Manufacturing Approv. Investment:
Pulau Pinang vs Malaysia
Pulau Pinang Malaysia Shares (RHS)
Sources: CEIC, DOSM, EPU and SME Bank Economic Research
21
Z13 – Transkrian Development Zone
Z15 – Batu Kawan Industrial Zone
Z16 – Greater Butterworth – Permatang Pauh – Bukit
Mertajam Growth Corridor
Z17 – Kepala Batas – Tasik Gelugor Growth Node
Z18 – Seberang Perai Aquaculture Zone
Z19 – George Town Development Zone
Z20 – Penang Kepala Batas National Food Security Zone
Z21 – Balik Pulau – Teluk Bahang Biodiversity Zone
Z22 – Kota Kuala Muda
Investment opportunities: Pulau Pinang
22 Sources: NCER and SME Bank Economic Research
• Kedah’s economy has returned to pre-
pandemic level, (1.0% YoY vs 2019) backed by
manufacturing and agriculture sector.
• Nonetheless, assuming the GDP grows by 6.2%
for the next 4 years (2022-2025), it will still be a
short of 12MP target (RM62.2 bil in 2025) by
circa 2.9%.
• Inflow of investments amid spill over from Pulau
Pinang’s E&E value chain (Kulim Hi-Tech
Park) and reopening of international borders will
help uplift lagged recovery sectors including
services - the biggest chunk of the state’s GDP
share.
• Moreover, the state offered vast tourist
attractions including Langkawi island, Kilim
Geoforest Park, Ulu Muda Eco Park, Payar
island, Dayang Bunting lake, Bujang Valley
Archaeology Museum, Baling mountain and Lata
Bayu waterfall.
• Ongoing/incoming high impact projects such as
Kedah Rubber city and Pulau Bunting
development (hub for tourism, industrialised
offshore aquaculture, petrochemical and
renewable energy) will further boost the state’s
growth.
• Kedah’s Aerotropolis project (airport and
aerospace industry) is expected to spur economic
activity (total cost > RM7 bil). However, federal
government decided to halt the project due to
high cost.
Kedah’s GDP growth outperformed national level GDP, yet underperformed 12MP average growth target of 6.2%.
Kedah GDP breakdown by sector
SERVICES
MANUFACTURING
AGRICULTURE MINING CONSTRUCTION
YoY %
Share %
0
20
40
60
Total A Mi Ma C S
RM mil
Kedah GDP by sector:
2021 vs 12MP target
2021
12MP Target 2025
3.1
3.2
-10
-5
0
5
10
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
GDP: Kedah vs Malaysia (% YoY)
Malaysia Kedah
2.6 -4.5 1.9
6.2 -8.4
11.9 0.2 30.5 2.1 54.5
Wholesale & retail trade, food &
beverage and accommodation
Government services
Utilities, transportation & storage,
information and communication
Finance & insurance, real estate and
business services
Subsectors
-2.4
4.1
6.0
3.2
28.5
27.1
17.8
14.0
YoY % Share %
E&E and optical products
Other Manufactures
Petroleum, chemical, rubber and
plastic products
Non-metallic mineral products, basic
metal and fabricated metal products
Subsectors
10.6
8.8
-3.8
-4.5
49.5
21.1
19.6
5.4
YoY % Share %
Economic Profile: Kedah
Note: 12MP average growth for 2021-2025
Sources: CEIC, DOSM, EPU and SME Bank Economic Research
23
Top manufacturing investments in 2021:
• Manufacturing approved investment in Kedah shrank -81.9% YoY in 2022 to
RM12.0 bil (2021: 1,528.9%). Likewise, its share to national level narrowed
sharply to 14.2% (2021: 33.9%).
• In 2021, the investment was driven almost totally by FDI (99.4%) where E&E
sector contributed 96.8%.
• As the state offers low costs of industrial land and office rent, this could attract
investors and leverage on the spillover from E&E hub and land scarcity in
Pulau Pinang.
• Meanwhile, Kedah remained an attractive destination for global
automakers through Inokom manufacturing facilities (assembly brands
like Porsche, BMW, KIA, Mazda, Hyundai, Mini Cooper, Peugeot, etc.)
• Some emerging industries such as oil & gas are expected to drive the
state’s economic growth in the next decades.
Industry
Domestic
(RM mil)
Foreign
(RM mil)
Total
(RM mil)
Electrical & electronic products 63,756.0 63,782.7
Scientific - 1,947.0 1,947.0
Chemicals & chemical products 50.6 85.4 136.0
Rubber products 117.4 1.7 119.1
Food manufacturing 72.3 - 72.3
Fabric metal products 32.8 34.7 67.6
Basic metal products 31.3 - 31.3
Transport equipment 20.8 - 20.8
Plastic product 17.0 - 17.0
Drinks & Tobacco 13.8 - 13.8
Others 3.1 8.6 11.7
Total 385.9 65,833.4 66,219.3
Ongoing/Upcoming Key Projects
Pulau Bunting development (2025)
Bukit Kayu Hitam Special Border Economic Zone (2025)
Northern Corridor Highway (NCH)
Kedah Aerotropolis (2035)
Kedah Rubber City (2035)
1
2
3
4
5
Investment opportunities: Kedah
Note: Latest available data for mfg. approv. investment by state and industry is in 2021.
12.0
84.3
0
10
20
30
40
0
50
100
150
200
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
(%)
RM(bil)
Manufacturing Approv. Investment: Kedah vs Malaysia
Kedah Malaysia Shares (RHS)
Sources: CEIC, DOSM, EPU and SME Bank Economic Research
24
Z1 – Bukit Kayu Hitam Special Border Economic Zone
Z2 – Perlis – Langkawi – Satun Biodiversity Zone
Z5 – Kedah Rubber City
Z6 – Kota Setar – Pendang National Food Security Zone
Z7 – Alor Setar Heritage City
Z8 – Pedu – Ulu Muda Biodiversity Zone
Z9 – Kedah Maritime Zone
Z10 – Gunung Jerai – Lembah Bujang Eco – Archaeo
Tourism Zone
Z11 – Kulim – Sungai Petani – Gurun Growth Corridor
Z12 – Baling – Pengkalan Hulu – Betong Border Zone
Z13 – Transkrian Development Zone
Z14 – Kuala Muda Biodiversity Zone
Investment opportunities: Kedah
Sources: NCER and SME Bank Economic Research
25
• Malaysia Vision Valley (MVV) 2.0, a state-led &
private sector-driven development – a major
catalyst for the state’s long term growth, spans
over 30-year – expected to generate 6.2% - 7.3%
annual GDP growth.
• Various sectors (e.g. construction, real estate,
aerospace manufacturing, IT, healthcare, tourism)
to benefit from the MVV 2.0 development.
• A memorandum of understanding with Turkish
Aerospace Industries has been signed to set up a
helicopter assembly plant at the MVV 2.0 –
development of aerospace component
manufacturing, maintenance, repair and overhaul.
• Acknowledging big potential in aerospace,
Government:
 extend tax incentives to aerospace manufacturing
companies moving operations to Malaysia and
15% tax rates to the C-Suite until 2024.
 extend income tax incentives and investment tax
allowances until December 31, 2025 to promote
capacity expansion in existing companies and
attract investment from new company.
• Negeri Sembilan’s economy has not fully
recovered to pre-pandemic level, (-0.7% YoY
vs 2019).
• Nonetheless, services and manufacturing sectors
have recovered.
• Assuming the GDP grow by 5% for the next 4
years (2022-2025), it will still be a short of 12MP
target (RM59.1 bil in 2025) by circa 1.8%.
Negeri Sembilan’s GDP growth underperformed national level GDP and its 12MP average growth target of 5.0%.
Negeri Sembilan GDP breakdown by sector
SERVICES
MANUFACTURING
AGRICULTURE MINING CONSTRUCTION
YoY %
Share %
0
20
40
60
Total A Mi Ma C S
RM mil
Negeri Sembilan GDP by sector:
2021 vs 12MP target
2021
12MP Target 2025
-0.4 -3.4 2.0
7.2 -0.3
6.9 0.4 37.7 2.9 50.9
Utilities, transportation & storage,
information and communication
Wholesale & retail trade, food &
beverage and accommodation
Government services
Finance & insurance, real estate and
business services
Subsectors
1.8
-1.1
5.3
6.7
31.9
26.0
19.8
12.6
E&E and optical products
Petroleum, chemical, rubber and
plastic products
Other manufactures
Vegetable & animal oils & fats, food
processing, beverages & tobacco
Subsectors
9.7
10.6
3.5
-5.9
36.2
33.8
21.8
8.2
YoY % YoY %
Share % Share %
Economic Profile: Negeri Sembilan
Note: 12MP average growth for 2021-2025
Sources: CEIC, DOSM, EPU and SME Bank Economic Research
26
3.1
3.0
-6
-3
0
3
6
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
GDP: Negeri Sembilan vs Malaysia
(% YoY)
Malaysia Negeri Sembilan
Top manufacturing investments in 2021:
• Manufacturing approved investment in Negeri Sembilan surged 145.8%
YoY in 2022 (2021: -53.0%), in contrast to national level (-56.8%).
• Likewise, its share to total approved investment in the manufacturing sector
jumped to 8.5% (2021: 1.5%; 5-year average: 3.4%).
• The state government has an ambitious target of RM35 bil investments
for 2023 contributing by various sectors including manufacturing to drive it
up – claimed to have reached 90% in that direction.
• The target said to be achieved via the implementation of various high-
impact investments, such as aerospace, maritime development, and
semiconductor.
• The biggest contributor (34.5%) in 2021 came from transport equipment,
followed by food manufacturing (18.6%) and rubber products (14.6%),
broadly in line with some focus industries of the state, such as aerospace.
Industry
Domestic
(RM mil)
Foreign
(RM mil)
Total
(RM mil)
Transport equipment 0 1,001.50 1,001.50
Food manufacturing 7.0 532.9 539.9
Rubber products 339.7 84.0 423.7
Electrical & electronic products 0.3 304.8 305.1
Textiles and textile products 0.0 150.0 150.0
Mineral & non-metallic products 80.9 37.1 117.9
Basic metal products 18.8 82.5 101.3
Fabric metal products 4.0 86.6 90.6
Plastic products 0.0 57.4 57.4
Chemicals & chemical products 31.9 9.6 41.4
Others 45.3 27.1 72.4
Total 527.8 2,373.4 2,901.2
Ongoing/Upcoming Key Projects
Electrified Double Track (Gemas - JB) (June 2023)
Additional blocks at Hospital Ampuan Najihah, Kuala Pilah (2024)
Central Spine Road (2026)
Klang Valley Double Track Phase II (2026)
Malaysia Vision Valley 2.0 (2045)
1
2
3
4
5
Investment opportunities: Negeri Sembilan
Note: Latest available data for mfg. approv. investment by state and industry is in 2021.
Sources: CEIC, DOSM, MIDA, Invest Negeri Sembilan and SME Bank Economic Research
7.1
84.3
0
2
4
6
8
10
0
50
100
150
200
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
(%)
RM(bil)
Manufacturing Approv. Investment:
Negeri Sembilan vs Malaysia
Negeri Sembilan Malaysia Shares (RHS)
27
Investment opportunities: Negeri Sembilan: Malaysia Vision Valley 2.0
Sources: NS Corporation, www.uniwall.com.my and SME Bank Economic Research
28
• Melaka’s economy has not fully recovered to
pre-pandemic level, (-4.1% YoY vs 2019). By
sector, only agriculture has recovered.
• Assuming the GDP grows by 4.8% for the next 4
years (2022-2025), it will still fall short of the
12MP target (RM51.8 bil in 2025) by circa 2.7%.
Melaka’s GDP growth underperformed national level GDP and its 12MP average growth target of 4.8%.
Melaka GDP breakdown by sector
SERVICES
MANUFACTURING
AGRICULTURE MINING CONSTRUCTION
YoY %
Share %
3.1
2.0
-10
-5
0
5
10
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
GDP: Melaka vs Malaysia (% YoY)
Malaysia Melaka
0
20
40
60
Total A Mi Ma C S
RM mil
Melaka GDP by sector:
2021 vs 12MP target
2021
12MP Target 2025
-0.6 -4.4 2.3
3.3 -9.5
10.9 0.1 37.9 2.1 48.8
Wholesale & retail trade, food &
beverage and accommodation
Utilities, transportation & storage,
information and communication
Government services
Finance & insurance, real estate and
business services
Subsectors
-0.0
6.4
5.6
2.8
35.6
21.0
18.3
13.5
Petroleum, chemical, rubber and
plastic products
E&E and optical products
Motor vehicles & transport equipment
Other manufactures
Subsectors
6.7
5.2
-1.3
1.1
30.2
29.2
22.6
18.0
YoY % YoY %
Share % Share %
• On top of being KL, Selangor and Negeri
Sembilan’s weekend tourists spot, the state
should also benefit from the spillover effects of
the reopening of Malaysia-Singapore border.
• The tourism prospects remain bright with various
efforts to boost tourism sector including Malaysia-
Indonesia collaboration via 'Tukar-Tukar Rasa'
tourism package to attract tourists from Riau.
• In line, Government will upgrade Jalan Tun
Hamzah to Semabok intersection at Lebuh AMJ
Melaka Tengah District to reduce congestion
issue that have been affecting tourist hotspots.
• In addition, Government will extend the Stage
Bus Service Transformation (SBST) program to
the cities of Melaka.
• Many proposals across sectors were also made
e.g. world-class industrial area in Alor Gajah;
military-styled theme park, and if materialised, will
contribute significantly to economic growth
Economic Profile: Melaka
Note: 12MP average growth for 2021-2025
Sources: CEIC, DOSM, EPU and SME Bank Economic Research
29
Top manufacturing investments in 2021:
Industry
Domestic
(RM mil)
Foreign
(RM mil)
Total
(RM mil)
Electrical & electronic products 10.9 3,255.0 3,265.9
Machinery & equipment 34.4 288.6 321.0
Rubber products 131.4 0 131.4
Food manufacturing 105.5 0 105.5
Paper, printing & publishing 38.4 0 38.4
Mineral & non-metallic
products
9.8 9.4 19.1
Plastic products 17.2 0 17.2
Transport equipment 8.5 1.6 10.1
Fabric metal products 9.4 0 9.4
Others 2.0 0 2.0
Total 367.4 3,554.6 3,922.0
Ongoing/Upcoming Key Projects
Takungan Air Pinggiran Sungai (TAPS)
Reclamation project – artificial island (2027)
D-8 Education City – Phase 1 (2027)
Expansion of microchip factory, Koa Denko (2027)
1
2
3
4
• Manufacturing approved investment in Melaka expanded 80.8% YoY in
2022 (2021: 100.5%), in contrast to national performance (-56.8%).
• It has also surpassed the state government’s target of RM5 bil.
• Although investments can be lumpy, share to total approved investment in
the manufacturing sector rose to 8.4% (2021: 2%; 5-year average: 3.2%).
• In 2022, most of the manufacturing investments were into the electronics
and semiconductor sector – in line with the state’s main focus area
which is the E&E. This is a continuation from previous trend in 2020 and
2021 where E&E investments made up more than 80% share of
manufacturing investment in the state – almost all were foreign.
• While the state also offers opportunities in areas such as automotive and
aerospace, investments in these were meagre.
Investment opportunities: Melaka
Note: Latest available data for mfg. approv. investment by state and industry is in 2021.
Sources: CEIC, DOSM, MIDA, Invest Melaka and SME Bank Economic Research
7.1
84.3
0
2
4
6
8
10
0
50
100
150
200
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
(%)
RM(bil)
Manufacturing Approv. Investment: Melaka vs Malaysia
Melaka Malaysia Shares (RHS)
30
• .
• Perak’s economy has returned to the pre-
pandemic level, (1.0% YoY vs 2019).
• Manufacturing and agriculture have fully
recovered while services, construction, and
mining & quarrying sectors are still catching up.
• Nonetheless, assuming the GDP grows by 5.6%
for the next 4 years (2022-2025), it will still fall
short of the 12MP target (RM97.4 in 2025) by
circa 2.0%.
• Prior to pandemic (2019), Perak received the
most domestic tourists in Malaysia at 10.1 mil.
In 2021, the state recorded 4.5 mil tourists (2020:
13.2 mil). 22% of the tourists were from Selangor,
while 18.2% from KL. 56.7% of the trips were
made to visit relatives & friends then followed by
for holidays (31.1%)
• Picked as the feature destination at the MATTA
fair, Perak has abundant tourist attractions e.g.
Royal Belum, Matang mangrove, Geopark
Lembah Kinta & Lenggong, Taiping zoo night
safari, Menara Condong, Ipoh and Pangkor
Island.
• Ongoing high impact projects such as
SilverValley technology park and DRB-Hicom
Automotive High-Technology Valley will
provide further support to the state’s growth.
• It also has quite a strong agriculture activities;
• The largest Mango producer (25.1%)
• 2nd largest guava producer (40.8%) after
Johor (41.8%)
Perak GDP breakdown by sector
SERVICES
MANUFACTURING
AGRICULTURE MINING CONSTRUCTION
YoY %
Share %
0
20
40
60
80
100
Total A Mi Ma C S
RM mil
Perak GDP by sector:
2021 vs 12MP target
2021
12MP Target 2025
3.1
3.5
-6
-4
-2
0
2
4
6
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
GDP: Perak vs Malaysia (% YoY)
Malaysia Perak
Perak’s GDP growth outperformed national level GDP, yet underperformed 12MP average growth target of 5.6%.
Utilities, transportation & storage,
information and communication
Wholesale & retail trade, food &
beverage and accommodation
Government services
Finance & insurance, real estate and
business services
Subsectors
4.3
-1.0
5.6
4.0
32.2
27.5
19.6
12.5
E&E and optical products
Petroleum, chemical, rubber and
plastic products
Vegetable & animal oils & fats, food
processing, beverages & tobacco
Non-metallic mineral products, basic
metal and fabricated metal products
Subsectors
9.0
18.0
3.4
4.7
33.6
24.8
15.8
15.2
YoY % YoY %
Share % Share %
3.1 -3.4 2.4
9.2 -6.7
15.3 0.5 20.1 2.5 61.4
Economic Profile: Perak
Note: 12MP average growth for 2021-2025
Sources: CEIC, DOSM, EPU and SME Bank Economic Research
31
Top manufacturing investments in 2021:
• Manufacturing approved investment in Perak declined by -35.6% YoY in
2022 (National level: -56.8% YoY).
• Share to total approved investment in the sector have reversed its
downward trend (2019-2021) by clocking at 4.6% (2021: 3.1%).
• In 2021, the biggest contributor was food manufacturing (49.9%) followed
by rubber products (37.2%), and chemical & chemical products (6.3%).
• Perak is the home for ASEAN’s biggest “Surimi” food manufacturer (e.g,
fish cake, fish ball, fish snack) QL Food. This has spill over effect to the
fisheries industry- outsource from local fishermen.
• Meanwhile, it also has big players in sectors such as E&E: Unisem,
Carsem, Yamaha, automotive: PROTON and China Railway Rolling Stock
Corp. rubber: Top Glove
• The top 10 investments were somewhat in line with focus industries of the
state, such as E&E, food manufacturing, chemical, rubber and plastic
products.
Industry
Domestic
(RM mil)
Foreign
(RM mil)
Total
(RM mil)
Food manufacturing 7.2 3,029.1 3,036.3
Rubber products 1,605.9 653.8 2,259.7
Chemicals & chemical products 75.9 308.5 384.5
Plastic products 102.6 0.0 102.6
Transport equipment 14.0 78.5 92.5
Electrical & electronic products 84.6 0.0 84.6
Wood & wood products 32.5 13.7 46.2
Mineral & non-metallic products 25.5 0.0 25.5
Paper, printing & publishing 14.7 0.0 14.7
Fabric metal products 13.0 0.6 13.7
Others 20.5 0.5 21.0
Total 1,996.5 4,084.8 6,081.3
Ongoing/Upcoming Key Projects
SilverValley Technology Park (2023)
Lumut Maritime Terminal 2 & 3 (2023)
Construction of Perak Contingent Police New Headquarter
and police quarters
Ipoh Raya Industrial Park (2028)
Ipoh Smart City (2030)
1
2
3
4
5
Investment opportunities: Perak
Note: Latest available data for mfg. approv. investment by state and industry is in 2021.
Sources: CEIC, DOSM, MIDA, MIDF, NCER and SME Bank Economic Research
3.9
84.3
0
2
4
6
8
10
0
50
100
150
200
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
(%)
RM(bil)
Manufacturing Approv. Investment: Perak vs Malaysia
Perak Malaysia Shares (RHS)
32
Z12 – Baling – Pengkalan Hulu – Betong Border Zone
Z13 – Transkrian Development Zone
Z23 – Royal Belum Biodiversity Zone
Z24 – Greater Ipoh – Taiping – Pangkor Growth Corridor
Z25 – Slim River – Sungkai Biodiversity Zone
Z26 – Tanjung Malim Automotive Hub
Z27 – Hilir Perak National Food Security Zone
Z28 – Larut Matang Biodiversity Zone
Z29 – Lenggong Unesco
Z30 – Tapah Education City
Investment opportunities: Perak
Z24
Sources: NCER and SME Bank Economic Research
33
• Terengganu’s economy has yet to fully
recovered to pre-pandemic level, (-2.4% YoY
vs 2019) as all sectors underperformed.
• Assuming the GDP grows by 5.1% for the next 4
years (2022-2025), it will still fall short of the
12MP target (RM164.2 in 2025) by circa 2.6%.
• Terengganu is known for petroleum & chemical
hub in Kerteh – led by Petronas. Petronas Gas
Kerteh has processing capacity of 1.75 bil
standard cubic feet per day which provide 76% of
total gas demand in peninsular Malaysia.
• Apart from that, tourism is also among the key
sectors for the state supported by a list of
destinations from inland to islands such as Kenyir
Lake duty-free zone, Southeast Asia’s 1st tower
drawbridge, islands (e.g. Redang, Perhentian,
Kapas, Lang Tengah).
• Malaysia’s first green energy islands will be
Pulau Redang and Pulau Perhentian, getting 24-
hour low-carbon electricity supply by 2025 – solar
• Moreover, with a cost of RM66.02 bil, East Coast
Rail Link (ECRL) will provide high spill over
effect connecting Terengganu with Klang Valley –
boost tourism activity, develop rural & sub urban
area, logistic/cargo
• Other ongoing/upcoming high impact projects
such as East Coast Highway project (LPT3)
and Mayang Mall (Sogo 1st branch outside Klang
Valley) will further spur economic activity in
the state.
Terengganu’s GDP growth outperformed national level GDP, yet underperformed 12MP average growth target of 6.6%.
Terengganu GDP breakdown by sector
SERVICES
MANUFACTURING
AGRICULTURE MINING CONSTRUCTION
YoY %
Share %
0
20
40
60
Total A Mi Ma C S
RM mil
Terengganu GDP by sector:
2021 vs 12MP target
2021
12MP Target 2025
3.1
3.6
-6
-4
-2
0
2
4
6
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
GDP: Terengganu vs Malaysia (% YoY)
Malaysia Terengganu
-5.3 3.5 1.2
9.5 2.5
7.8 0.5 37.0 3.2 51.5
Utilities, transportation & storage,
information and communication
Government services
Wholesale & retail trade, food &
beverage and accommodation
Finance & insurance, real estate and
business services
Subsectors
-0.7
4.6
-1.0
3.6
31.4
30.0
22.3
8.3
Petroleum, chemical, rubber and
plastic products
Other manufactures
Non-metallic mineral products, basic
metal and fabricated metal products
Subsectors
10.0
8.4
-1.3
94.6
3.4
2.1
YoY % YoY %
Share % Share %
Economic Profile: Terengganu
Note: 12MP average growth for 2021-2025
Sources: CEIC, DOSM, EPU and SME Bank Economic Research
34
Top manufacturing investments in 2021:
• Manufacturing approved investment in Terengganu dropped by 91.9% YoY
in 2022 – worse than the national level (-56.8% YoY).
• Only RM310 mil manufacturing investment was recorded – the 3rd lowest in
the country (0.4% share), after Kuala Lumpur (0.2%) and Perlis (0.0%).
• In 2021, almost the entire manufacturing investment in Terengganu were in
basic material products (98%), funded entirely by foreign investments.
• The state also is the hub of Kerteh refinery with capacity of 124k barrels
per day (bpd) < Pengerang 300k bpd. Raw material source – Kerteh (local),
while Pengerang (50%-70% from Saudi Aramco).
• The state also has 13 industrial parks (nationwide: ~600) mainly, on wood
& products, F&B, oil & gas, chemical, and E&E. Kerteh Biopolymer Park
(KBP) – hub for biopolymer and bio-based chemical products including
global brand CJ Bio (Korean global leading bio-ingredient producer for feed
and food).
Industry
Domestic
(RM mil)
Foreign
(RM mil)
Total
(RM mil)
Basic material products 5.3 3,747.4 3,752.7
Wood & wood products 27.6 - 27.6
Transport equipment 19.0 - 19.0
Machinery and equipment 11.1 - 11.1
Fabricated metal products 7.3 - 7.3
Chemicals & chemical
products
6.9 - 6.9
Food manufacturing 6.8 - 6.8
Total 84.0 3,747.4 3,831.4
Ongoing/Upcoming Key Projects
Mayang Mall (2023)
Dungun Town Coastal Tourism
Teluk Lipat Coastal Protection Works
Upgrading of Hybrid Solar System Pulau Kapas
East Coast Rail Line (ECRL) 2026
1
2
3
4
5
Investment opportunities: Terengganu
Note: Latest available data for mfg. approv. investment by state and industry is in 2021.
0.3
84.3
0
2
4
6
8
10
0
50
100
150
200
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
(%)
RM(bil)
Manufacturing Approv. Investment:Terengganu vs Malaysia
Terengganu Malaysia Shares (RHS)
Sources: CEIC, DOSM, EPU and SME Bank Economic Research
35
Investment opportunities: Terengganu
Sources: ECERDC and SME Bank Economic Research
36
• Pahang’s economy has not fully recovered to
pre-pandemic level, (5.3% YoY vs 2019).
• Manufacturing sector has recovered while
agriculture was not affected in the first place.
• Assuming the GDP grows by 6.3% for the next 4
years (2022-2025), it will still be short of 12MP
target (RM74.8 bil in 2025) by circa 5.5%.
• Pahang is the home of cold weather tourism
attractions in peninsular e.g. Genting Highland,
Cameron Highland, Fraser Hill, and Bukit Tinggi.
The state is also rich in natural attractions e.g.
Taman Negara, Pahang River and Janda Baik.
• 3rd most visited state by tourist in 2021 after
Johor and Perak.
• 5 top destinations; 1) Pantai Cherating, 2)
Cameron Highlands, 3) East Coast Mall,
4) Janda Baik dan 5) Pantai Teluk
Cempedak
• In line with higher agricultural share-to-GDP,
Pahang is the 3rd largest crude palm oil (CPO)
producer in Malaysia (3.3 mil tonnes) behind
Sabah (4.3 mil) and Sarawak (4.0 mil) in 2022.
• Price of CPO remain supportive to Pahang’s
continuous recovery but severe labor shortage
particularly in the palm oil sector remain a major
concern.
• Ongoing/upcoming major projects such as
ECRL and new road from Habu to Tanah Rata in
Cameron Highlands will provide further support
to the state’s growth.
Pahang’s GDP growth underperformed national level GDP and its 12MP average growth target of 6.3%.
Pahang GDP breakdown by sector
SERVICES
MANUFACTURING
AGRICULTURE MINING CONSTRUCTION
YoY %
Share %
0
20
40
60
80
Total A Mi Ma C S
RM mil
Pahang GDP by sector:
2021 vs 12MP target
2021
12MP Target 2025
3.1
0.9
-10
-5
0
5
10
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
GDP: Pahang vs Malaysia (% YoY)
Malaysia Pahang
-0.1 -13.5 -1.4
6.1 18.5
23.5 1.0 23.5 2.9 49.1
Wholesale & retail trade, food &
beverage and accommodation
Government services
Other services
Utilities, transportation & storage,
information and communication
Subsectors
-1.4
5.4
-19.5
3.7
35.4
26.4
13.8
13.4
Petroleum, chemical, rubber and
plastic products
Motor vehicles & transport equipment
Other manufactures
Vegetable & animal oils & fats, food
processing, beverages & tobacco
Subsectors
5.4
11.7
14.9
-8.5
46.8
23.6
16.2
13.5
YoY % YoY %
Share % Share %
Economic Profile: Pahang
Note: 12MP average growth for 2021-2025
Sources: CEIC, DOSM, EPU and SME Bank Economic Research
37
Top manufacturing investments in 2021:
• Manufacturing approved investment in Pahang decreased by -75.8%
YoY in 2022, worse than the national level (-56.8%).
• In 2021, 90% of the manufacturing investment were in basic metal
products, funded entirely by foreign investment.
• Pahang is the biggest supplier (Lynas) of rare earth elements
(REEs) in Malaysia which are used in a variety of industrial
applications, including electronics, clean energy, aerospace,
automotive and defence.
• Besides Gebeng Industrial Estate (hub for chemical and
petrochemical), Pekan Automotive Park is the hub for manufacturing
of automotive, among the largest after Kedah (foreign automakers)
which are currently occupied by Mercedes Benz, Isuzu, Suzuki and
Volkswagen.
Industry
Domestic
(RM mil)
Foreign
(RM mil)
Total
(RM mil)
Basic metal products 0.0 9,440.6 9,440.6
Chemicals & chemical
products
0.0 617.8 617.8
Food manufacturing 146.7 0.0 146.7
Wood & wood products 0.0 123.0 123.0
Fabricated metal products 85.0 0.0 85.0
Paper, printing and publishing 0.0 67.7 67.7
Minerals products and non-
metal
8.0 0.0 8.0
Rubber product 0.0 1.6 1.6
Total 239.7 10,250.7 10,490.4
Ongoing/Upcoming Key Projects
Kemaman-Gebeng Water Distribution Pipeline
Development of Pantai Hiburan, Rompin
Tanjung Agas Maritime Park Phase 3 (2025)
Central Spine Road (2026)
Pahang Aerospace City (2026)
1
2
3
4
5
Investment opportunities: Pahang
Note: Latest available data for mfg. approv. investment by state and industry is in 2021.
Sources: CEIC, DOSM, MIDA, ECERDC and SME Bank Economic Research
2.5
84.3
0
2
4
6
8
10
0
50
100
150
200
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
(%)
RM(bil)
Manufacturing Approv. Investment: Pahang vs Malaysia
Pahang Malaysia Shares (RHS)
38
Investment opportunities: Pahang
Sources: ECERDC and SME Bank Economic Research
39
• Kelantan’s economy has recovered to pre-
pandemic level, (+1.2% vs 2019) driven by
services, construction and agriculture.
• Nonetheless, sssuming the GDP grows by 6.7%
for the next 4 years (2022-2025), it will still be a
short of 12MP target (RM34.8 bil in 2025) by
circa 4%.
• Kelantan is known as shopping destination
e.g. free duty zone in Pengkalan Kubor and
Rantau Panjang. Various products such as
dishes, food, clothes and home furnishings can
be bought at a cheaper price.
• With the reopening of Malaysia-Thailand border,
economic activities along the borders should
recover. However, it could be limited by ringgit
depreciation against Thai Baht.
• The 2nd largest sector is agriculture (2021:
22.8% of GDP). Kelantan was the largest
producer for Chili in 2021 (24.7% of national
production). National Self-sufficiency ratio for
Chili (29.3<100 – insufficient).
• The largest Watermelon producer
(30.7%).
• 2nd largest rice producer (13.7%) after
Kedah (37.3%).
• 3rd largest Durian producer (9.3%) after
Johor (27.2%) and Pahang (24.0%).
• Upcoming high impact projects such as 1)
bridges across the Golok River, 2) Integrated
River Basin Development of Golok River Phase 3
(flood mitigation), and 3) Tok Bali industrial park
(fisheries) will provide further support to the
state’s growth.
Kelantan’s GDP growth underperformed national level GDP and its 12MP average growth target of 6.7%.
Kelantan GDP breakdown by sector
SERVICES
MANUFACTURING
AGRICULTURE MINING CONSTRUCTION
YoY %
Share %
3.1
2.4
-10
-5
0
5
10
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
GDP: Kelantan vs Malaysia (%YoY)
Malaysia Kelantan
0
10
20
30
40
Total A Mi Ma C S
RM mil
Kelantan GDP by sector:
2021 vs 12MP target
2021
12MP Target 2025
1.0 5.1 2.7
2.1 1.2
22.8 1.4 4.9 1.6 69.2
Government services
Wholesale & retail trade, food &
beverage and accommodation
Utilities, transportation & storage,
information and communication
Other services
Subsectors
4.5
-1.0
5.7
1.7
37.1
30.0
13.9
10.6
Other manufactures
E&E and optical products
Petroleum, chemical, rubber and
plastic products
Vegetable & animal oils & fats, food
processing, beverages & tobacco
Subsectors
6.2
6.9
0.6
-10.8
38.6
24.9
20.6
15.9
YoY % YoY %
Share % Share %
Economic Profile: Kelantan
Note: 12MP average growth for 2021-2025
Sources: CEIC, DOSM, EPU and SME Bank Economic Research
40
Top manufacturing investments in 2021:
Industry
Domestic
(RM mil)
Foreign
(RM mil)
Total
(RM mil)
Rubber products 81.3 0 81.3
Chemicals & chemical
products
9.5 0 9.5
Total 90.7 - 90.7
Ongoing/Upcoming Key Projects
Tok Bali Integrated Fisheries Park
Tok Bali Industrial Park
Redevelopment of Pasar Terapung
Palekbang-Kota Bharu Bridge
Central Spine Road (2026)
1
2
3
4
5
• Manufacturing approved investment in Kelantan surged by 994.3% YoY in
2022 (national level: -56.8%), the 3rd consecutive year of expansion.
• In 2022, it increased quite significantly to RM1.0 bil compared to its
historical trend (<RM100mil) – likely to be contributed by Rohm
Semiconductor’s investment of RM0.91 bil. (Rohm’s global ranking: 33rd
by revenue)
• Likewise, its share to total approved investment in the sector increased to
1.2%, above historical trend (2016- 2021: 0.3%).
• Despite a relatively small manufacturing sector contribution (4.9% of GDP),
top global semiconductor player – Rohm Semiconductor - has factory in
Kelantan since 1988. In 2022, the company has proceeded to expand its
overall production capacity by 1.5 times.
• In 2021, the state recorded 2 manufacturing investments: 1) rubber (share
of 89.6%), 2) chemical & chemical products (10.4%).
Investment opportunities: Kelantan
Note: Latest available data for mfg. approv. investment by state and industry is in 2021.
Sources: CEIC, DOSM, MIDA, ECERDC and SME Bank Economic Research
1.0
84.3
0
1
2
3
4
0
50
100
150
200
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
(%)
RM(bil)
Manufacturing Approv. Investment: Kelantan vs Malaysia
Kelantan Malaysia Shares (RHS)
41
Investment opportunities: Kelantan
Sources: ECERDC and SME Bank Economic Research
42
• Perlis’s economy has not fully recovered to
pre-pandemic level, (4.6% YoY vs 2019). Only
services sector has recovered but that could be
due to government services which dominates the
sector (close to 40% share of services sector).
• Assuming the GDP grow by 5.8% for the next 4
years (2022-2025), it will still be a short of 12MP
target (RM7.7 bil in 2025) by circa 4.5%.
• Perlis should benefit from the reopening of
Malaysia-Thailand border. Perlis main export
destination was Thailand in 2021 (62.3% of total
state export).
• Government has announced plan to develop
Sanglang port which will add value to the state
economy – to handle petroleum and bulk cargo.
• Besides that, Perlis is known for agricultural
product such as mango “Harum manis”. In
overall, Perlis is the 3rd largest mango producer
after Perak and Sabah.
• Ongoing major projects such as Perlis Inland
Port and Chuping Valley Industrial Area (hub for
green manufacturing, Halal industries, renewable
energy generation, and automotive) will provide
further support to the state’s recovery.
Perlis’s GDP growth underperformed national level GDP and its 12MP average growth target of 5.8%.
Perlis GDP breakdown by sector
SERVICES
MANUFACTURING
AGRICULTURE MINING CONSTRUCTION
YoY %
Share %
0
2
4
6
8
Total A Mi Ma C S
RM mil
Perlis GDP by sector:
2021 vs 12MP target
2021
12MP Target 2025
3.1
1.5
-10
-5
0
5
10
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
GDP: Perlis vs Malaysia (% YoY)
Malaysia Perlis
-6.0 -2.3 2.3
5.4 0.2
17.4 0.5 8.0 2.6 70.2
Government services
Utilities, transportation & storage,
information and communication
Wholesale & retail trade, food &
beverage and accommodation
Finance & insurance, real estate and
business services
Subsectors
4.8
2.1
-0.8
1.6
39.7
24.3
17.5
10.0
Non-metallic mineral products, basic
metal and fabricated metal products
Vegetable & animal oils & fats, food
processing, beverages & tobacco
Petroleum, chemical, rubber and
plastic products
Other manufactures
Subsectors
0.4
12.6
2.2
8.6
30.7
25.4
23.4
20.5
YoY % YoY %
Share % Share %
Economic Profile: Perlis
Note: 12MP average growth for 2021-2025
Sources: CEIC, DOSM, EPU and SME Bank Economic Research
43
Top manufacturing investments in 2021:
• There was no inflow of manufacturing approved investment in Perlis in
2022, leaving the state at the bottom of the investment ranking.
• In 2021, there was only one manufacturing investment which is in the
food subsector.
• Compared to year 2020, Perlis received some investments in chemical,
mineral, metal, and machinery.
• Meanwhile, industries such as logistics and seaport hub are expected
to drive the state’s economic growth in the next decade in addition to
the state’s focus on tourism, halal hub, and agriculture.
Industry
Domestic
(RM mil)
Foreign
(RM mil)
Total
(RM mil)
Food manufacturing - 12.3 12.3
Others - - -
Total - 12.3 12.3
Ongoing/Upcoming Key Projects
Perlis Inland Port (PIP)
Chuping Valley Industrial Area (CVIA)
FGV Dairy Farm Chuping
Perlis Maritime Corridor
Kangar Sentral
1
2
3
4
5
Investment opportunities: Perlis
Note: Latest available data for mfg. approv. investment by state and industry is in 2021.
Sources: CEIC, DOSM, MIDA, UPU Perlis, NCER and SME Bank Economic Research
0.0
84.3
0
1
2
3
4
0
50
100
150
200
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
(%)
RM(bil)
Manufacturing Approv. Investment: Perlis vs Malaysia
Perlis Malaysia Shares (RHS)
44
Z1 – Perlis – Kedah – Thailand Strategic Border Zone
Z2 – Perlis – Langkawi – Satun Biodiversity Zone
Z3 – Kuala Perlis – Kangar – Kota Raja Growth Corridor
Z4 – Perlis National Food Security Zone
Investment opportunities: Perlis
Sources: NCER and SME Bank Economic Research
45
46
DISCLAIMER
SME BANK has exclusive proprietary rights in the data or information provided herein. This document is the property of SME BANK and is
protected by Malaysian and international copyright laws and conventions. The data and information shall only be used for intended purposes
and not for any improper or unauthorised purpose. All information contained herein shall not be copied or otherwise reproduced, repackaged,
transmitted, transferred, disseminated, redistributed or resold for any purpose, in whole or in part, in any form or manner, or by any means
or person without SME BANK’s prior written consent.
This research report provides general information only. Neither the information nor any opinion expressed constitutes an offer or an
invitation to make an offer, to buy or sell any securities or other investment or any options, futures or derivatives related to such securities
or investments. It is not intended to provide personal investment advice and it does not take into account the specific investment objectives,
financialsituation andtheparticularneedsofanyspecific person whomayreceive this report. Investors should seek financial advice regarding
the appropriateness of investing in any securities, other investment or investment strategies discussed or recommended in this report and
should understand that statements regarding future prospects may not be realised. Investors should note that income from such securities
or other investments, if any, may fluctuate and that price or value of such securities and investments may rise or fall. Accordingly, investors
may receive back less than originally invested. Past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance. Any information relating to
the tax status of financial instruments discussed herein is not intended to provide tax advice or to be used by anyone to provide tax advice.
Investors are urged to seek tax advice based on their particular circumstances from an independent tax professional.
Any opinion, analysis, observation, commentary and/or statement made by SME BANK are solely statements of opinion based on
information obtained from sources which SME BANK believes to be reliable and therefore, shall not be taken as a statement of fact under
any circumstance. SME BANK does not and is in no position to independently audit or verify the truth and accuracy of the information
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MalaysianStates_AnalysisGDPandInvestment_web (1).pdf

  • 1. ECONOMIC/THEMATIC RESEARCH: Prepared by: Lynette Lee Mazlina Abdul Rahman Syed Mohamad Bukhari Syed Bakeri SMEBank-EconomicResearch@smebank.com.my (603) 2615 2020 MALAYSIAN STATES’ ANALYSIS GDP & INVESTMENT
  • 2. Sources: CEIC, Department of Statistics Malaysia (DOSM), Malaysian Investment Development Authority (MIDA) and SME Bank Economic Research However, only 4 out of 14 states have returned to pre- pandemic level GDP… Note 1: States include Kuala Lumpur Federal Territory. Note 2: Latest available GDP data by state are as of 2021 while investment are as of 2022. …where the recovery wasn’t standardized across sectors 5 out of 14 states outperformed national GDP growth rate Regardless, mining sector remain a laggard in all states Wholesale & retail trade, F&B and accommodation dominate services sector in 8 states… …while government services lead services sector in Perlis and Kelantan 8 states focus on E&E and optical products as their main manufacturing activities… …while petroleum, chemical, rubber & plastic dominate manufacturing sector in Melaka, Pahang, Terengganu and Sarawak Johor made up the largest share (17%) of total manufacturing investment, followed by Pulau Pinang (16%) & Selangor (15%)… Investment in manufacturing sector recorded at RM84 bil, 57% short of what it was in 2021 …may have been propelled by investment in E&E as it is the focus industry Some states (e.g. Kedah, Negeri Sembilan & Melaka) identify aerospace as emerging industry and provide opportunities • Extend tax incentives to mfg. companies that move operations to Malaysia • 15% tax rate to C-Suites until 2024 to attract investment into Malaysia • Extend income tax incentives & investment tax allowances until 2025 Summary of Malaysia GDP and Investment 2
  • 3. 131,056 2.4 9.5 25774 2.4 1.9 35152 3.6 2.5 55,354 0.9 4.0 98,964 6.8 7.1 47,471 3.2 3.4 76,780 3.5 5.5 343,501 5.0 24.8 47,696 3.0 3.4 41,814 2.0 3.0 GDP (RM mil) Share to MYS GDP (%) GDP Growth (%) 78,760 1.1 5.7 131,175 2.9 9.5 7,629 0.5 0.6 5,866 1.5 0.4 218,233 0.8 15.7 Note: W.P. Kuala Lumpur includes W.P. Putrajaya • Malaysia’s GDP growth advanced to 8.7% YoY in 2022, up from 3.1% in 2021 (2020: -5.5%). • Growth in 2021 was mainly contributed by Selangor (1.2 ppt.), Pulau Pinang (0.5 ppt.) and Sarawak (0.3 ppt). • In terms of annual growth rate, Pulau Pinang (6.8% YoY), Selangor (5.0%) and Terengganu (3.6%) grew the most from 2020 levels and have also performed above national level. Gross Domestic Product (GDP): Malaysia 3 Sources: CEIC, DOSM and SME Bank Economic Research
  • 4. *Supra state covers production activities that are beyond the center of predominant economic interest for any state Services Mining & Quarrying Construction Manufacturing Agriculture 17.1 14.6 13.1 12.6 11.9 3.3 2.8 2.0 1.0 0.1 Top 5 Bottom 5 SUPRA 44.7 29.7 21.9 0.8 0.7 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 32.0 13.9 12.1 11.0 5.3 1.8 1.8 0.4 0.4 0.1 34.3 23.5 8.9 6.7 5.0 2.0 1.8 0.8 0.3 0.3 25.9 24.8 8.6 6.0 5.9 2.6 2.3 2.3 0.8 0.5 State’s share to GDP (%) by Sector, Top 5 & Bottom 5 • Selangor has the biggest contribution in construction (34.3%), manufacturing (32%) and services (25.9%) sector. The gap with the 2nd largest contributor in both manufacturing & construction is quite substantial. Despite having vigorous E&E activities and being top exporter of the country, Pulau Pinang’s manufacturing share is not even half of Selangor’s. • Johor contributes the most in agriculture and followed closely by Sarawak. Sarawak also dominates mining & quarrying sector. Sources: CEIC, DOSM and SME Bank Economic Research 4
  • 5. Note: Data are average of 2022 except for GDP per capita & unemployment rate in 2021 Johor & Pulau Pinang exports the most in 2022, reflecting their roles in global supply chain. Highest inflation in Putrajaya (7.3%) and Selangor (4.2%), exceeded national level of 3.4% in 2022. KL GDP per capita is 2.6x above national figure but remain below pre-pandemic level (RM129.7k) Sabah has the highest unemployment rate but it also has one of the largest number of employment Key Indicators: Malaysia Sources: CEIC, DOSM and SME Bank Economic Research 5
  • 6. • More global companies are establishing their global service hub in KL due to robust infrastructure and dynamic pool of talent, among others – reflects high dependency on services sector (90% of GDP) – which continue providing support to economic growth moving forward. • Some of the latest presence were British public- listed software development company Endava Plc, and Baxter Southeast Asia. • Moreover, government has mandated Tun Razak Exchange (TRX) as Malaysia's international financial hub to attract high quality foreign investment from the global financial industry. • Besides that, Microsoft Corp has announced plans to establish its first data centre region in the country – USD1 bil (RM4.12 bil) commitment/investment to Malaysia over the next 5 years – include building and setting up the data centre. • KL’s economy has not fully recovered to pre- pandemic level, (-6.7% YoY vs 2019). All four sectors remain below 2019’s level. • Assuming GDP grow by 4.2% for the next 4 years (2022-2025), it will still fall short of 12MP target (RM265.2 bil in 2025) by circa 3.0%. Kuala Lumpur’s GDP growth underperformed national level GDP and its 12MP average growth target of 4.2%. Kuala Lumpur GDP breakdown by sector SERVICES MANUFACTURING AGRICULTURE MINING CONSTRUCTION YoY % Share % 0 50 100 150 200 250 Total Mi Ma C S RM mil KL GDP by sector: 2021 vs 12MP target 2021 12MP Target 2025 3.1 0.8 -10 -5 0 5 10 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 GDP: KL vs Malaysia (%YoY) Malaysia Kuala Lumpur - -3.1 1.6 4.3 -12.1 - 0.1 2.7 5.5 90.0 Wholesale & retail trade, food & beverage and accommodation Finance & insurance, real estate and business services Government services Utilities, transportation & storage, information and communication Subsectors 0.8 0.5 5.8 4.0 39.8 28.7 14.7 12.2 Other manufactures E&E and optical products Vegetable & animal oils & fats, food processing, beverages & tobacco Wood products, furniture, paper products and printing Subsectors 1.6 7.5 11.4 -2.8 36.1 24.5 16.5 13.4 YoY % YoY % Share % Share % Note: 12MP average growth for 2021-2025 Economic Profile: Kuala Lumpur (KL) Sources: CEIC, DOSM, Economic Planning Unit (EPU) and SME Bank Economic Research 6
  • 7. Top manufacturing investments in 2021: • Manufacturing approved investment in KL contracted by -49.9% YoY in 2022 (2021: -78.7%), in line with national level (-56.8%) • KL’s low investment in manufacturing sector is consistent with its share to national manufacturing GDP (0.2% in 2022). • This is in line with its focus industries which are skewed more to regional business & shared service centres, logistics, transportation, & mobility, digital economy, e-commerce, green tech, etc. • In 2021, KL secured RM2.46 bil in investments through 13 global services hubs by leading multinationals (MNCs) and fast-growing companies – making it the best performing year in the last decade. • State government has targeted RM35 bil of investments by 2030 (currently based on available data: RM18.3 bil since 2011). Industry Domestic (RM mil) Foreign (RM mil) Total (RM mil) Paper, printing & publishing 95.0 0.0 95.0 Food manufacturing 54.8 0.0 54.8 Chemicals & chemical products 36.6 1.6 38.2 Plastic products 34.4 0.0 34.4 Textiles and textile products 21.8 2.7 24.4 Transport equipment 5.0 0.0 5.0 Fabric metal products 0.8 0.0 0.8 Other 25.7 0.0 25.7 Total 274.1 4.3 278.4 Ongoing/Upcoming Key Projects AstraZeneca global business services hub (2023) Bukit Bintang City Centre Phase 2 & 3 (2025) Arnott’s Group (food mfg) Asia Hub 3-stage expansion Microsoft Data Centre (2026) 1 2 3 Investment opportunities: Kuala Lumpur (KL) 4 Sources: CEIC, DOSM, MIDA, InvestKL and SME Bank Economic Research Note: Latest available data for mfg. approv. investment by state and industry is in 2021. 7
  • 8. 0 100 200 300 400 Total A Mi Ma C S RM mil Selangor GDP by sector: 2021 vs 12MP target 2021 12MP Target 2025 • Selangor has the highest share in construction GDP (34.3%) but the sector has yet to return to its pre-pandemic level in 2021. • Nonetheless, the performance is anticipated to be more brisk from 2022 onwards benefitting from full economic reopening along with various development and mega projects (e.g. LRT3, KVDT II, West Coast, redevelopment of Shah Alam stadium) – spill over effects to other sectors such as transportation and sports & amusement & recreation activities. • Real estate activities remains on recovery path and continue to offer opportunities to the state – Selangor dominated the market, accounting for about 24% of total residential property transactions in Malaysia in 3Q 2022 • Selangor’s economy remains slightly below pre- pandemic level, (-0.4% YoY vs 2019). • Nonetheless, manufacturing sector has recovered while agriculture was not affected significantly in the first place. • Selangor seems to be on track in achieving 12MP target of RM404 bil in 2025. Selangor’s GDP growth outperformed national level GDP and its 12MP average growth target of 4.3%. Selangor GDP breakdown by sector SERVICES MANUFACTURING AGRICULTURE MINING CONSTRUCTION YoY % Share % 3.1 5.0 -10 -5 0 5 10 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 GDP: Selangor vs Malaysia (% YoY) Malaysia Selangor 4.9 -3.0 2.2 13.1 -6.6 1.4 0.2 31.4 5.1 59.5 Wholesale & retail trade, food & beverage and accommodation Utilities, transportation & storage, information and communication Finance & insurance, real estate and business services Government services Subsectors 0.5 4.2 2.7 5.7 35.6 29.5 18.7 9.1 E&E and optical products Other manufactures Petroleum, chemical, rubber and plastic products Vegetable & animal oils & fats, food processing, beverages & tobacco Subsectors 22.0 6.8 23.6 9.2 29.3 23.4 18.5 16.1 YoY % YoY % Share % Share % Economic Profile: Selangor Note: 12MP average growth for 2021-2025 Sources: CEIC, DOSM, EPU and SME Bank Economic Research 8
  • 9. Top manufacturing investments in 2021: • Manufacturing approved investment in Selangor doubled by 62.5% YoY in 2022 (2021: -59.2%), in contrast to national level (-56.8%). • It has also surpassed RM10 bil target set by the state government. Share to total manufacturing approved investment also went up to 12.2% (2021: 7.5%) – the 3rd largest recipient by state. • In 2021, the biggest contributor (29.1%) came from rubber products, followed by chemicals & chemical products (17.3%) and E&E (15%), broadly in line with some focus areas of the state, namely 1) E&E and 2) Life sciences which include specialty chemicals. • Additionally, 2 new industries (logistics services & digital investment) have been identified – have the potential to boost Selangor as an investment destination. Industry Domestic (RM mil) Foreign (RM mil) Total (RM mil) Rubber products 2,135.6 47.6 2,183.2 Chemicals & chemical products 1,170.2 130.5 1,300.7 Electrical & electronic products 284.6 844.6 1,129.2 Transport equipment 743.4 2.2 745.6 Food manufacturing 444.7 32.1 476.7 Fabric metal products 330.8 45.8 376.7 Paper, printing & publishing 185.5 85.1 270.6 Basic metal products 164.7 74.4 239.1 Plastic products 121.6 46.7 168.3 Furniture & equipment 104.8 26.2 131.0 Others 366.8 123.2 490.0 Total 6,052.8 1,458.3 7,511.0 Ongoing/Upcoming Key Projects Note: Latest available data for mfg. approv. investment by state and industry is in 2021. 4 new schools: SK Cyberjaya 2, SMK Denai Alam, SMK Johan Setia, SK Setia Alam LRT 3 (expected to complete in Feb 2024) Rasau water treatment plant (June 2025) Klang Valley Double Track Phase II (2026) West Coast Highway (2026) ECRL (Dec 2027) Selangor Maritime Gateway (2031) 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Investment opportunities: Selangor Sources: CEIC, DOSM, MIDA, Invest Selangor and SME Bank Economic Research 12.2 84.3 0 5 10 15 20 25 0 50 100 150 200 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 (%) RM(bil) Manufacturing Approv. Investment: Selangor vs Malaysia Selangor Malaysia Shares (RHS) 9
  • 10. • Expected to be fully completed by the end of 2024, except for a 10 km stretch from Section 7B which is expected to be completed by June 2026. • An economic catalyst for small towns in both Selangor and Perak. • Provide opportunities for manufacturers and SMEs to relocate their factories to areas along the new highway as time taken to get to these areas will be reduced. • Additionally, there will be many opportunities for small businesses to grow especially tourism related. Investment opportunities: West Coast Expressway Sources: www.selangormaritimegateway.com and SME Bank Economic Research 10
  • 11. • Price of commodities remain supportive to Sarawak’s continuous recovery but severe labor shortage particularly in the palm oil sector remain a major concern. • Besides that, ongoing mega projects such as Sarawak Coastal Road and Pan Borneo Highway will provide further support to the state’s recovery. • Government also plan to develop cities bordering Kalimantan, Indonesia such as Ba'kelalan, Sarawak. • Moreover, there are significant rooms for developing basic infrastructure – roads, bridges, water & electricity supply, and telecommunication network. • Development project of Halal Hub Center at Tanjung Manis – will develop competitiveness and sustainability of local companies – to offer quality, innovative and competitive halal products • Sarawak’s economy has not fully recovered to pre-pandemic level, (-4.10% YoY vs 2019). • Manufacturing and construction sectors have recovered. • Assuming the GDP grow by 5.3% for the next 4 years (2022-2025), it will still fall short of 12MP target (RM164.3 bil in 2025) by circa 1.9%. Sarawak’s GDP growth underperformed national level GDP and its 12MP average growth target of 5.3%. Sarawak GDP breakdown by sector SERVICES MANUFACTURING AGRICULTURE MINING CONSTRUCTION YoY % Share % 0 40 80 120 160 Total A Mi Ma C S RM mil Sarawak GDP by sector: 2021 vs 12MP target 2021 12MP Target 2025 3.1 2.9 -10 -5 0 5 10 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 GDP: Sarawak vs Malaysia (% YoY) Malaysia Sarawak -3.2 -3.3 2.1 11.2 10.2 11.0 21.1 28.4 3.4 35.9 Wholesale & retail trade, food & beverage and accommodation Utilities, transportation & storage, information and communication Government services Finance & insurance, real estate and business services Subsectors 0.0 3.4 5.4 2.3 30.1 21.9 20.3 19.7 Petroleum, chemical, rubber and plastic products Transport equipment, other manufacturing and repair Wood products, furniture, paper products and printing Subsectors 15.1 -2.2 -7.5 82.1 12.4 5.5 YoY % YoY % Share % Share % Economic Profile: Sarawak Note: 12MP average growth for 2021-2025 Sources: CEIC, DOSM, EPU and SME Bank Economic Research 11
  • 12. Top manufacturing investments in 2021: • Manufacturing approved investment in Sarawak declined -77.3% YoY in 2022 (2021: -64.0%), worse than national level (-56.8%) • Its share to total approved investment in the sector is also among the lowest at 1.5% (2021: 2.9%; 5-year average: 9.9%). • This is quite inconsistent with its significant contribution to national manufacturing GDP in 2021 at 11% i.e., the 4th largest. • In 2021, 74% of the manufacturing investments in Sarawak were in E&E products followed by chemicals & chemical products (25.1%) – both entirely from foreign sources. • Socio-Economic Transformation Plan (2016-2030) – driven by Sarawak Corridor of Renewable Energy (SCORE) with 10 priority industries such as aluminum-based, steel & other metal-based, solar-based and tourism focused on new hydro-power lakes. Industry Domestic (RM mil Foreign (RM mil) Total (RM mil) Electrical & electronic products 0.0 4,193.0 4,193.0 Chemicals & chemical products 0.0 1,425.0 1,425.0 Basic metal products 37.4 0.0 37.4 Wood & wood products 12.0 0.0 12.0 Fabric metal products 0.5 0.0 0.5 Total 49.9 5,618.0 5,667.9 Investment opportunities: Sarawak Note: Latest available data for mfg. approv. investment by state and industry is in 2021. Sources: CEIC, DOSM, MIDA, www.sarawak.gov and SME Bank Economic Research Ongoing/Upcoming Key Projects Sarawak Coastal Road - Muara Lassa Bridge, Mukah (2024) Bintulu-Samalaju gas pipeline (2025) Kuching Urban Transportation System (KUTS) Phase 1 (2025) Baleh Hydroelectric (2027) Sarawak-Sabah Link Road (SSLR) Phase II (2027) Pan Borneo Highway Phase 2 / Northern Coastal Highway (2028) 1 2 3 4 5 6 1.3 84.3 0 5 10 15 20 0 50 100 150 200 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 (%) RM(bil) Manufacturing Approv. Investment: Sarawak vs Malaysia Sarawak Malaysia Shares (RHS) 12
  • 13. • Stretching approximately 89km across Limbang and Lawas • 4-lane dual carriageway of JKR R5 standard • Provide connectivity for road-users travelling on the Pan Borneo Highway Sarawak (from Telok Melano to Miri) through neighbouring Brunei and onwards to the Pan Borneo Highway Sabah. Investment opportunities: Sarawak: Northern Coastal Highway Sources: www.maltimur.com and SME Bank Economic Research 13
  • 14. • The primary sectors (agriculture and mining) contribute a substantial share to the state’s GDP. With commodity prices (e.g. CPO & crude petroleum) above pre-pandemic levels, despite trending downward in recent months, it remains supportive to Sabah’s recovery. • However, acute labor shortage especially in palm oil sector is unlikely to be fully resolved this year hence remain a critical concern. • Meanwhile, tourism services are expected to continue its momentum amid space capacity and on the prospect of returning tourists from China – makes up the majority of foreign travelers coming into Sabah (± 15% of total in 2019). • In addition, port activities remain bright with expansion of Sepanggar Bay Container Port – will be able to handle 1.25 mil twenty-foot equivalent units (TEUs) from 500k at present. • Government also plan to develop cities bordering Kalimantan, Indonesia such as Kalabakan, Sabah • Sabah’s economy has not fully recovered to pre-pandemic level, (-8.1% YoY vs 2019). • Assuming GDP grow by 6.5% for the next 4 years (2022-2025), it will still fall short of 12MP target (RM106 bil in 2025) by circa 4.6%. Sabah’s GDP growth underperformed national level GDP and its 12MP average growth target of 6.5%. Sabah GDP breakdown by sector SERVICES MANUFACTURING AGRICULTURE MINING CONSTRUCTION YoY % Share % 0 20 40 60 80 100 Total A Mi Ma C S RM mil Sabah GDP by sector: 2021 vs 12MP target 2021 12MP Target 2025 3.1 1.1 -10 -5 0 5 10 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 GDP: Sabah vs Malaysia (% YoY) Malaysia Sabah -2.4 2.4 1.8 -1.8 7.9 15.9 26.0 7.5 3.0 47.3 Wholesale & retail trade, food & beverage and accommodation Government services Utilities, transportation & storage, information and communication Finance & insurance, real estate and business services Subsectors -0.8 6.1 2.6 2.1 34.4 25.0 18.0 14.3 Vegetable & animal oils & fats, food processing, beverages & tobacco Wood products, furniture, paper products and printing Non-metallic mineral products, basic metal and fabricated metal products Transport equipment, other manufacturing and repair Subsectors -8.1 25.0 5.6 11.4 67.1 12.7 11.4 8.8 YoY % YoY % Share % Share % Economic Profile: Sabah Note: 12MP average growth for 2021-2025 Sources: CEIC, DOSM, EPU and SME Bank Economic Research 14
  • 15. Top manufacturing investments in 2021: • Manufacturing approved investment in Sabah soared 72.4% YoY (2021: - 59.3%), in contrast to national level (-56.8%). • In 2021, close to 90% of the manufacturing investments in Sabah were in basic metal products – entirely from foreign source. • Sabah is more reliant on mining & quarrying (26% of GDP in 2021) and agriculture (15.9%) to be compared with manufacturing (7.5%) • Nonetheless, Sabah Maju Jaya (SMJ) Development Plan for 2021 to 2025 has outlined manufacturing as 1 of its 3 main economic sectors focus. • In line, more related investments are seen coming in e.g. Construction of solar glass panel manufacturing plant from China’s Kibing Group and copper foil factory from SK Nexilis. Industry Domestic (RM mil) Foreign (RM mil) Total (RM mil) Basic metal products 0.0 4,286.3 4,286.3 Food manufacturing 254.6 13.3 268.0 Chemicals & chemical products 160.0 79.8 239.8 Fabric metal products 31.2 0.0 31.2 Plastic products 15.5 0.0 15.5 Beverages & Tobacco 9.4 0.0 9.4 Transport equipment 7.3 0.0 7.3 Machinery & equipment 4.0 0.0 4.0 Total 482.0 4,379.5 4,861.4 Ongoing/Upcoming Key Projects Pan Borneo highway (2024) Phase 4: Gumusut-Kakap-Geronggong-Jagus East deepwater offshore (2024) Sand silica project to produce solar panels (2024) Expansion Sepanggar Bay Container Port (Feb 2025) Pavilion Harbour City project (2032) 1 2 3 4 5 Investment opportunities: Sabah Note: Latest available data for mfg. approv. investment by state and industry is in 2021. Sources: CEIC, DOSM, MIDA, Sabah Economic Development and Investment Authority and SME Bank Economic Research 8.4 84.3 0 10 20 30 40 0 50 100 150 200 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 (%) RM(bil) Manufacturing Approv. Investment: Sabah vs Malaysia Sabah Malaysia Shares (RHS) 15
  • 16. Investment opportunities: Sabah: Pavilion Harbour City Sources: Sabah Economic Development and Investment Authority and SME Bank Economic Research 16
  • 17. Economic Profile: Johor 0 40 80 120 160 Total A Mi Ma C S RM mil Johor GDP by sector: 2021 vs 12MP target 2021 12MP Target 2025 3.1 2.4 -10 -5 0 5 10 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 GDP: Johor vs Malaysia (% YoY) Malaysia Johor • Johor’s economy has not fully recovered to pre-pandemic level, (-2.4% YoY vs 2019). • Manufacturing sector has recovered while agriculture was not really affected in the first place. • Assuming the GDP grows by 5.1% for the next 4 years (2022-2025), it will still fall short of the 12MP target (RM164.2 in 2025) by circa 2.6%. Johor’s GDP growth underperformed national level GDP and its 12MP average growth target of 5.1%. Utilities, transportation & storage, information and communication Wholesale & retail trade, food & beverage and accommodation Finance & insurance, real estate and business services Government services Subsectors 6.7 -1.4 2.0 5.9 26.9 26.6 19.5 17.4 YoY % Share % E&E and optical products Petroleum, chemical, rubber and plastic products Transport equipment, other manufacturing and repair Vegetable & animal oils & fats, food processing, beverages & tobacco Subsectors 32.9 22.0 19.6 13.0 YoY % Share % -2.5 7.0 9.0 7.6 Johor GDP breakdown by sector 0.6 12.9 -7.5 2.6 5.5 -18.0 0.5 31.1 2.6 51.9 SERVICES MANUFACTURING AGRICULTURE MINING CONSTRUCTION YoY % Share % • Given the proximity to Singapore, Johor will benefit from the reopening of the Malaysia- Singapore border as Singapore tops the list of tourist arrivals in Malaysia for the first 3Q 2022 at around 54% of the total. • Ongoing mega projects such as Johor Baru- Singapore Rapid Transit System (RTS) and Electrified Double Track (Gemas - JB) will provide further support to the state’s recovery. • Demand for ICT related services remain intact with Bridge Data Centres expanded into Johor (Kidex Sedenak business park) – span 3 buildings with combined capacity of 100MW where phase 1 has completed in 2022 – next to look out for is phase 2. • Industries viewed to be benefitting from datacentres include supply of components (e,g. generator, servers, storage, cables, desktops) Note: 12MP average growth for 2021-2025 Sources: CEIC, DOSM, EPU and SME Bank Economic Research 17
  • 18. Top manufacturing investments in 2021: Industry Domestic (RM mil) Foreign (RM mil) Total (RM mil) Basic metal products - 1,541.5 1,541.5 Chemicals & chemical products 679.9 745.3 1,425.2 Electrical & electronic products 895.7 418.1 1,313.8 Rubber products 454.5 102.5 557.0 Food manufacturing 283.2 200.8 484.07 Machinery & equipment 80.0 291.8 371.8 Plastic products 126.2 173.6 299.9 Petroleum products (including petrochemicals) 182.0 38.8 220.8 Fabric metal products 82.7 124.8 207.5 Transport equipment 123.1 42.4 165.6 Others 198.1 167.9 366.1 Total 3,105.4 3,847.5 6,953.3 Ongoing/Upcoming Key Projects Electrified Double Track (Gemas - JB) (expected to complete in June 2023) Equinix Inc - International Business Exchange (IBX) data centre (2024) Hospital Pasir Gudang (2024) Related to Integrated Bekok Oil project (2024) Rapid Transit System Link (RTS) Johor – Singapore (2026) Mixed-income housing (MIH) project in Iskandar Puteri (2026) 1 2 3 4 5 6 • Manufacturing approved investment in Johor surged 109.7% YoY in 2022 (2021: 2.5%), in contrast to national level (-56.8%) • Share to total approved manufacturing investment have reversed its downward trend (2019-2021) by clocking at 17.3% (2021: 3.6%) – the largest recipient by state. • In 2021, the biggest contributor (22.2%) were basic metal products, followed by chemical & chemical products (20.5%) and E&E products (18.9%). • The top 10 investments were somewhat in line with focus industries of the state, such as E&E, rubber-based product and petrochemical, oil & gas. • There are also some emerging industries (expected to drive the state’s economic growth in the next 2 decades) such as 1) finance, insurance, real estate & business services; 2) healthcare; 3) ICT, among others which are mainly centred in the Iskandar Malaysia. Investment opportunities: Johor Note: Latest available data for mfg. approv. investment by state and industry is in 2021. Sources: CEIC, DOSM, MIDA, Invest Johor and SME Bank Economic Research 14.6 84.3 0 10 20 30 40 50 0 50 100 150 200 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 (%) RM(bil) Manufacturing Approv. Investment: Johor vs Malaysia Johor Malaysia Shares (RHS) 18
  • 19. • Upon completion, RTS will reduces congestion on Johor-Singapore Causeway and encourages more visitors into Malaysia including those of business. • Government also plans to improve the highway facilities to Pengerang through the construction of an overtaking lane on the Senai Desaru Expressway. • Government will upgrade the North-South Highway in Senai Utara-Sedenak, Johor Bahru from 4 to 6 lane. • All these improvement in transportation and connectivity will encourage tourism activities besides having potential to increase real estate activities with Singaporeans buying properties in the state, addressing the glut of unsold luxury homes – as of 3Q 2022, Johor has the highest volume of overhang houses at 5,348 units Investment opportunities: Johor: Rapid Transit System (RTS) SME Profile: Johor Sources: MyMRT.com, National Property Information Centre (Napic), SME Bank Economic Research 19
  • 20. • Pulau Pinang’s economy has fully recovered to pre-pandemic level (4.6% YoY vs 2019), solely driven by manufacturing sector. • It seems to be on track in achieving 12MP target of RM120.4 bil in 2025. • As the state’s economic structure is dominated by 2 main sectors: services & manufacturing (94.7% of GDP) – should benefit from the spillover effect of E&E investment and FDI diversion to ASEAN amid ongoing US-China tension – but high competition with Vietnam. • Although global demand for E&E is currently slowing down after pandemic boom (US’s Intel has been laying off workers since last year), Malaysia is less affected due to competitive cost relatively e.g. to US based operation. The medium and long term prospects of the E&E sector are still intact driven by the global technology upcycle. • There are also some emerging industries (expected to drive the state’s economic growth in the next decades) such as construction – Penang Transport Master Plan by 2030 (state govt project). • The RM46 bil project will consist of construction of undersea tunnel, LRT, monorail, highways, tram, cable cars and Bus Rapid Transit (BRT). • Among plans to finance the project is through reclamation of Penang South Islands (upcoming construction/real estate project to generate RM16.1 bil of revenue) – also involving relocation of villages along the site Pulau Pinang’s GDP growth outperformed national level GDP and its 12MP average growth target of 5.4%. Pulau Pinang GDP breakdown by sector SERVICES MANUFACTURING AGRICULTURE MINING CONSTRUCTION YoY % Share % 0 40 80 120 Total A Mi Ma C S RM mil Pulau Pinang GDP by sector: 2021 vs 12MP target 2021 12MP Target 2025 -2.4 -4.1 2.1 12.4 12.9 2.0 0.1 47.3 2.5 47.4 Wholesale & retail trade, food & beverage and accommodation Utilities, transportation & storage, information and communication Finance & insurance, real estate and business services Government services Subsectors -1.7 5.4 4.0 4.5 30.3 24.6 19.8 14.4 E&E and optical products Transport equipment, other manufacturing and repair Petroleum, chemical, rubber and plastic products Non-metallic mineral products, basic metal and fabricated metal products Subsectors 16.5 -0.2 5.0 7.8 71.0 12.7 9.0 7.3 YoY % YoY % Share % Share % Economic Profile: Pulau Pinang Note: 12MP average growth for 2021-2025 Sources: CEIC, DOSM, EPU and SME Bank Economic Research 20 3.1 6.8 -8 -4 0 4 8 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 GDP: Pulau Pinang vs Malaysia (% YoY) Malaysia Pulau Pinang
  • 21. Top manufacturing investments in 2021: • Manufacturing approved investment in Pulau Pinang fell by -82.0% YoY in 2022 to RM13.7 bil (2021: 440.1%) – worse than the national level (-56.8% YoY). • Likewise, share to total approved investment in the sector went down to 16.3% in 2022 (2021: 39.1%) – but still the 2nd largest among the states. • In 2021, almost the entire manufacturing investment came from E&E (97%). • The top investment was in line with the focus industry of the state which is E&E – dubbed “The Silicon Valley of the East” due to its critical function to the global E&E supply chain. • The state contributes >5% of global semiconductor sales and ~60% of Malaysia's overall E&E exports. Industry Domestic (RM mil) Foreign (RM mil) Total (RM mil) Electrical & electronic products 408.4 73,494.4 73,902.8 Fabricated metal products 579.3 252.0 831.3 Machinery and equipment 331.8 448.9 780.7 Food manufacturing 179.3 6.5 185.8 Scientific and measuring equipment 59.9 70.8 130.7 Transport equipment 50.9 65.0 115.9 Chemicals & chemical products 29.9 79.8 109.7 Plastic product 54.0 10.8 64.8 Wood & wood products 35.7 0.0 35.7 Paper, printing and publishing 33.3 0.0 33.3 Others 22.0 11.0 33.0 Total 1,784.6 74,439.1 76,223.7 Ongoing/Upcoming Key Projects Northern Corridor Highway (NCH) Penang International Airport expansion Oyster Farming NCER Single Campus Initiative Penang Transport Master Plan (2030) 1 2 3 4 5 Investment opportunities: Pulau Pinang Note: Latest available data for mfg. approv. investment by state and industry is in 2021. 13.7 84.3 0 10 20 30 40 0 50 100 150 200 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 (%) RM(bil) Manufacturing Approv. Investment: Pulau Pinang vs Malaysia Pulau Pinang Malaysia Shares (RHS) Sources: CEIC, DOSM, EPU and SME Bank Economic Research 21
  • 22. Z13 – Transkrian Development Zone Z15 – Batu Kawan Industrial Zone Z16 – Greater Butterworth – Permatang Pauh – Bukit Mertajam Growth Corridor Z17 – Kepala Batas – Tasik Gelugor Growth Node Z18 – Seberang Perai Aquaculture Zone Z19 – George Town Development Zone Z20 – Penang Kepala Batas National Food Security Zone Z21 – Balik Pulau – Teluk Bahang Biodiversity Zone Z22 – Kota Kuala Muda Investment opportunities: Pulau Pinang 22 Sources: NCER and SME Bank Economic Research
  • 23. • Kedah’s economy has returned to pre- pandemic level, (1.0% YoY vs 2019) backed by manufacturing and agriculture sector. • Nonetheless, assuming the GDP grows by 6.2% for the next 4 years (2022-2025), it will still be a short of 12MP target (RM62.2 bil in 2025) by circa 2.9%. • Inflow of investments amid spill over from Pulau Pinang’s E&E value chain (Kulim Hi-Tech Park) and reopening of international borders will help uplift lagged recovery sectors including services - the biggest chunk of the state’s GDP share. • Moreover, the state offered vast tourist attractions including Langkawi island, Kilim Geoforest Park, Ulu Muda Eco Park, Payar island, Dayang Bunting lake, Bujang Valley Archaeology Museum, Baling mountain and Lata Bayu waterfall. • Ongoing/incoming high impact projects such as Kedah Rubber city and Pulau Bunting development (hub for tourism, industrialised offshore aquaculture, petrochemical and renewable energy) will further boost the state’s growth. • Kedah’s Aerotropolis project (airport and aerospace industry) is expected to spur economic activity (total cost > RM7 bil). However, federal government decided to halt the project due to high cost. Kedah’s GDP growth outperformed national level GDP, yet underperformed 12MP average growth target of 6.2%. Kedah GDP breakdown by sector SERVICES MANUFACTURING AGRICULTURE MINING CONSTRUCTION YoY % Share % 0 20 40 60 Total A Mi Ma C S RM mil Kedah GDP by sector: 2021 vs 12MP target 2021 12MP Target 2025 3.1 3.2 -10 -5 0 5 10 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 GDP: Kedah vs Malaysia (% YoY) Malaysia Kedah 2.6 -4.5 1.9 6.2 -8.4 11.9 0.2 30.5 2.1 54.5 Wholesale & retail trade, food & beverage and accommodation Government services Utilities, transportation & storage, information and communication Finance & insurance, real estate and business services Subsectors -2.4 4.1 6.0 3.2 28.5 27.1 17.8 14.0 YoY % Share % E&E and optical products Other Manufactures Petroleum, chemical, rubber and plastic products Non-metallic mineral products, basic metal and fabricated metal products Subsectors 10.6 8.8 -3.8 -4.5 49.5 21.1 19.6 5.4 YoY % Share % Economic Profile: Kedah Note: 12MP average growth for 2021-2025 Sources: CEIC, DOSM, EPU and SME Bank Economic Research 23
  • 24. Top manufacturing investments in 2021: • Manufacturing approved investment in Kedah shrank -81.9% YoY in 2022 to RM12.0 bil (2021: 1,528.9%). Likewise, its share to national level narrowed sharply to 14.2% (2021: 33.9%). • In 2021, the investment was driven almost totally by FDI (99.4%) where E&E sector contributed 96.8%. • As the state offers low costs of industrial land and office rent, this could attract investors and leverage on the spillover from E&E hub and land scarcity in Pulau Pinang. • Meanwhile, Kedah remained an attractive destination for global automakers through Inokom manufacturing facilities (assembly brands like Porsche, BMW, KIA, Mazda, Hyundai, Mini Cooper, Peugeot, etc.) • Some emerging industries such as oil & gas are expected to drive the state’s economic growth in the next decades. Industry Domestic (RM mil) Foreign (RM mil) Total (RM mil) Electrical & electronic products 63,756.0 63,782.7 Scientific - 1,947.0 1,947.0 Chemicals & chemical products 50.6 85.4 136.0 Rubber products 117.4 1.7 119.1 Food manufacturing 72.3 - 72.3 Fabric metal products 32.8 34.7 67.6 Basic metal products 31.3 - 31.3 Transport equipment 20.8 - 20.8 Plastic product 17.0 - 17.0 Drinks & Tobacco 13.8 - 13.8 Others 3.1 8.6 11.7 Total 385.9 65,833.4 66,219.3 Ongoing/Upcoming Key Projects Pulau Bunting development (2025) Bukit Kayu Hitam Special Border Economic Zone (2025) Northern Corridor Highway (NCH) Kedah Aerotropolis (2035) Kedah Rubber City (2035) 1 2 3 4 5 Investment opportunities: Kedah Note: Latest available data for mfg. approv. investment by state and industry is in 2021. 12.0 84.3 0 10 20 30 40 0 50 100 150 200 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 (%) RM(bil) Manufacturing Approv. Investment: Kedah vs Malaysia Kedah Malaysia Shares (RHS) Sources: CEIC, DOSM, EPU and SME Bank Economic Research 24
  • 25. Z1 – Bukit Kayu Hitam Special Border Economic Zone Z2 – Perlis – Langkawi – Satun Biodiversity Zone Z5 – Kedah Rubber City Z6 – Kota Setar – Pendang National Food Security Zone Z7 – Alor Setar Heritage City Z8 – Pedu – Ulu Muda Biodiversity Zone Z9 – Kedah Maritime Zone Z10 – Gunung Jerai – Lembah Bujang Eco – Archaeo Tourism Zone Z11 – Kulim – Sungai Petani – Gurun Growth Corridor Z12 – Baling – Pengkalan Hulu – Betong Border Zone Z13 – Transkrian Development Zone Z14 – Kuala Muda Biodiversity Zone Investment opportunities: Kedah Sources: NCER and SME Bank Economic Research 25
  • 26. • Malaysia Vision Valley (MVV) 2.0, a state-led & private sector-driven development – a major catalyst for the state’s long term growth, spans over 30-year – expected to generate 6.2% - 7.3% annual GDP growth. • Various sectors (e.g. construction, real estate, aerospace manufacturing, IT, healthcare, tourism) to benefit from the MVV 2.0 development. • A memorandum of understanding with Turkish Aerospace Industries has been signed to set up a helicopter assembly plant at the MVV 2.0 – development of aerospace component manufacturing, maintenance, repair and overhaul. • Acknowledging big potential in aerospace, Government:  extend tax incentives to aerospace manufacturing companies moving operations to Malaysia and 15% tax rates to the C-Suite until 2024.  extend income tax incentives and investment tax allowances until December 31, 2025 to promote capacity expansion in existing companies and attract investment from new company. • Negeri Sembilan’s economy has not fully recovered to pre-pandemic level, (-0.7% YoY vs 2019). • Nonetheless, services and manufacturing sectors have recovered. • Assuming the GDP grow by 5% for the next 4 years (2022-2025), it will still be a short of 12MP target (RM59.1 bil in 2025) by circa 1.8%. Negeri Sembilan’s GDP growth underperformed national level GDP and its 12MP average growth target of 5.0%. Negeri Sembilan GDP breakdown by sector SERVICES MANUFACTURING AGRICULTURE MINING CONSTRUCTION YoY % Share % 0 20 40 60 Total A Mi Ma C S RM mil Negeri Sembilan GDP by sector: 2021 vs 12MP target 2021 12MP Target 2025 -0.4 -3.4 2.0 7.2 -0.3 6.9 0.4 37.7 2.9 50.9 Utilities, transportation & storage, information and communication Wholesale & retail trade, food & beverage and accommodation Government services Finance & insurance, real estate and business services Subsectors 1.8 -1.1 5.3 6.7 31.9 26.0 19.8 12.6 E&E and optical products Petroleum, chemical, rubber and plastic products Other manufactures Vegetable & animal oils & fats, food processing, beverages & tobacco Subsectors 9.7 10.6 3.5 -5.9 36.2 33.8 21.8 8.2 YoY % YoY % Share % Share % Economic Profile: Negeri Sembilan Note: 12MP average growth for 2021-2025 Sources: CEIC, DOSM, EPU and SME Bank Economic Research 26 3.1 3.0 -6 -3 0 3 6 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 GDP: Negeri Sembilan vs Malaysia (% YoY) Malaysia Negeri Sembilan
  • 27. Top manufacturing investments in 2021: • Manufacturing approved investment in Negeri Sembilan surged 145.8% YoY in 2022 (2021: -53.0%), in contrast to national level (-56.8%). • Likewise, its share to total approved investment in the manufacturing sector jumped to 8.5% (2021: 1.5%; 5-year average: 3.4%). • The state government has an ambitious target of RM35 bil investments for 2023 contributing by various sectors including manufacturing to drive it up – claimed to have reached 90% in that direction. • The target said to be achieved via the implementation of various high- impact investments, such as aerospace, maritime development, and semiconductor. • The biggest contributor (34.5%) in 2021 came from transport equipment, followed by food manufacturing (18.6%) and rubber products (14.6%), broadly in line with some focus industries of the state, such as aerospace. Industry Domestic (RM mil) Foreign (RM mil) Total (RM mil) Transport equipment 0 1,001.50 1,001.50 Food manufacturing 7.0 532.9 539.9 Rubber products 339.7 84.0 423.7 Electrical & electronic products 0.3 304.8 305.1 Textiles and textile products 0.0 150.0 150.0 Mineral & non-metallic products 80.9 37.1 117.9 Basic metal products 18.8 82.5 101.3 Fabric metal products 4.0 86.6 90.6 Plastic products 0.0 57.4 57.4 Chemicals & chemical products 31.9 9.6 41.4 Others 45.3 27.1 72.4 Total 527.8 2,373.4 2,901.2 Ongoing/Upcoming Key Projects Electrified Double Track (Gemas - JB) (June 2023) Additional blocks at Hospital Ampuan Najihah, Kuala Pilah (2024) Central Spine Road (2026) Klang Valley Double Track Phase II (2026) Malaysia Vision Valley 2.0 (2045) 1 2 3 4 5 Investment opportunities: Negeri Sembilan Note: Latest available data for mfg. approv. investment by state and industry is in 2021. Sources: CEIC, DOSM, MIDA, Invest Negeri Sembilan and SME Bank Economic Research 7.1 84.3 0 2 4 6 8 10 0 50 100 150 200 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 (%) RM(bil) Manufacturing Approv. Investment: Negeri Sembilan vs Malaysia Negeri Sembilan Malaysia Shares (RHS) 27
  • 28. Investment opportunities: Negeri Sembilan: Malaysia Vision Valley 2.0 Sources: NS Corporation, www.uniwall.com.my and SME Bank Economic Research 28
  • 29. • Melaka’s economy has not fully recovered to pre-pandemic level, (-4.1% YoY vs 2019). By sector, only agriculture has recovered. • Assuming the GDP grows by 4.8% for the next 4 years (2022-2025), it will still fall short of the 12MP target (RM51.8 bil in 2025) by circa 2.7%. Melaka’s GDP growth underperformed national level GDP and its 12MP average growth target of 4.8%. Melaka GDP breakdown by sector SERVICES MANUFACTURING AGRICULTURE MINING CONSTRUCTION YoY % Share % 3.1 2.0 -10 -5 0 5 10 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 GDP: Melaka vs Malaysia (% YoY) Malaysia Melaka 0 20 40 60 Total A Mi Ma C S RM mil Melaka GDP by sector: 2021 vs 12MP target 2021 12MP Target 2025 -0.6 -4.4 2.3 3.3 -9.5 10.9 0.1 37.9 2.1 48.8 Wholesale & retail trade, food & beverage and accommodation Utilities, transportation & storage, information and communication Government services Finance & insurance, real estate and business services Subsectors -0.0 6.4 5.6 2.8 35.6 21.0 18.3 13.5 Petroleum, chemical, rubber and plastic products E&E and optical products Motor vehicles & transport equipment Other manufactures Subsectors 6.7 5.2 -1.3 1.1 30.2 29.2 22.6 18.0 YoY % YoY % Share % Share % • On top of being KL, Selangor and Negeri Sembilan’s weekend tourists spot, the state should also benefit from the spillover effects of the reopening of Malaysia-Singapore border. • The tourism prospects remain bright with various efforts to boost tourism sector including Malaysia- Indonesia collaboration via 'Tukar-Tukar Rasa' tourism package to attract tourists from Riau. • In line, Government will upgrade Jalan Tun Hamzah to Semabok intersection at Lebuh AMJ Melaka Tengah District to reduce congestion issue that have been affecting tourist hotspots. • In addition, Government will extend the Stage Bus Service Transformation (SBST) program to the cities of Melaka. • Many proposals across sectors were also made e.g. world-class industrial area in Alor Gajah; military-styled theme park, and if materialised, will contribute significantly to economic growth Economic Profile: Melaka Note: 12MP average growth for 2021-2025 Sources: CEIC, DOSM, EPU and SME Bank Economic Research 29
  • 30. Top manufacturing investments in 2021: Industry Domestic (RM mil) Foreign (RM mil) Total (RM mil) Electrical & electronic products 10.9 3,255.0 3,265.9 Machinery & equipment 34.4 288.6 321.0 Rubber products 131.4 0 131.4 Food manufacturing 105.5 0 105.5 Paper, printing & publishing 38.4 0 38.4 Mineral & non-metallic products 9.8 9.4 19.1 Plastic products 17.2 0 17.2 Transport equipment 8.5 1.6 10.1 Fabric metal products 9.4 0 9.4 Others 2.0 0 2.0 Total 367.4 3,554.6 3,922.0 Ongoing/Upcoming Key Projects Takungan Air Pinggiran Sungai (TAPS) Reclamation project – artificial island (2027) D-8 Education City – Phase 1 (2027) Expansion of microchip factory, Koa Denko (2027) 1 2 3 4 • Manufacturing approved investment in Melaka expanded 80.8% YoY in 2022 (2021: 100.5%), in contrast to national performance (-56.8%). • It has also surpassed the state government’s target of RM5 bil. • Although investments can be lumpy, share to total approved investment in the manufacturing sector rose to 8.4% (2021: 2%; 5-year average: 3.2%). • In 2022, most of the manufacturing investments were into the electronics and semiconductor sector – in line with the state’s main focus area which is the E&E. This is a continuation from previous trend in 2020 and 2021 where E&E investments made up more than 80% share of manufacturing investment in the state – almost all were foreign. • While the state also offers opportunities in areas such as automotive and aerospace, investments in these were meagre. Investment opportunities: Melaka Note: Latest available data for mfg. approv. investment by state and industry is in 2021. Sources: CEIC, DOSM, MIDA, Invest Melaka and SME Bank Economic Research 7.1 84.3 0 2 4 6 8 10 0 50 100 150 200 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 (%) RM(bil) Manufacturing Approv. Investment: Melaka vs Malaysia Melaka Malaysia Shares (RHS) 30
  • 31. • . • Perak’s economy has returned to the pre- pandemic level, (1.0% YoY vs 2019). • Manufacturing and agriculture have fully recovered while services, construction, and mining & quarrying sectors are still catching up. • Nonetheless, assuming the GDP grows by 5.6% for the next 4 years (2022-2025), it will still fall short of the 12MP target (RM97.4 in 2025) by circa 2.0%. • Prior to pandemic (2019), Perak received the most domestic tourists in Malaysia at 10.1 mil. In 2021, the state recorded 4.5 mil tourists (2020: 13.2 mil). 22% of the tourists were from Selangor, while 18.2% from KL. 56.7% of the trips were made to visit relatives & friends then followed by for holidays (31.1%) • Picked as the feature destination at the MATTA fair, Perak has abundant tourist attractions e.g. Royal Belum, Matang mangrove, Geopark Lembah Kinta & Lenggong, Taiping zoo night safari, Menara Condong, Ipoh and Pangkor Island. • Ongoing high impact projects such as SilverValley technology park and DRB-Hicom Automotive High-Technology Valley will provide further support to the state’s growth. • It also has quite a strong agriculture activities; • The largest Mango producer (25.1%) • 2nd largest guava producer (40.8%) after Johor (41.8%) Perak GDP breakdown by sector SERVICES MANUFACTURING AGRICULTURE MINING CONSTRUCTION YoY % Share % 0 20 40 60 80 100 Total A Mi Ma C S RM mil Perak GDP by sector: 2021 vs 12MP target 2021 12MP Target 2025 3.1 3.5 -6 -4 -2 0 2 4 6 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 GDP: Perak vs Malaysia (% YoY) Malaysia Perak Perak’s GDP growth outperformed national level GDP, yet underperformed 12MP average growth target of 5.6%. Utilities, transportation & storage, information and communication Wholesale & retail trade, food & beverage and accommodation Government services Finance & insurance, real estate and business services Subsectors 4.3 -1.0 5.6 4.0 32.2 27.5 19.6 12.5 E&E and optical products Petroleum, chemical, rubber and plastic products Vegetable & animal oils & fats, food processing, beverages & tobacco Non-metallic mineral products, basic metal and fabricated metal products Subsectors 9.0 18.0 3.4 4.7 33.6 24.8 15.8 15.2 YoY % YoY % Share % Share % 3.1 -3.4 2.4 9.2 -6.7 15.3 0.5 20.1 2.5 61.4 Economic Profile: Perak Note: 12MP average growth for 2021-2025 Sources: CEIC, DOSM, EPU and SME Bank Economic Research 31
  • 32. Top manufacturing investments in 2021: • Manufacturing approved investment in Perak declined by -35.6% YoY in 2022 (National level: -56.8% YoY). • Share to total approved investment in the sector have reversed its downward trend (2019-2021) by clocking at 4.6% (2021: 3.1%). • In 2021, the biggest contributor was food manufacturing (49.9%) followed by rubber products (37.2%), and chemical & chemical products (6.3%). • Perak is the home for ASEAN’s biggest “Surimi” food manufacturer (e.g, fish cake, fish ball, fish snack) QL Food. This has spill over effect to the fisheries industry- outsource from local fishermen. • Meanwhile, it also has big players in sectors such as E&E: Unisem, Carsem, Yamaha, automotive: PROTON and China Railway Rolling Stock Corp. rubber: Top Glove • The top 10 investments were somewhat in line with focus industries of the state, such as E&E, food manufacturing, chemical, rubber and plastic products. Industry Domestic (RM mil) Foreign (RM mil) Total (RM mil) Food manufacturing 7.2 3,029.1 3,036.3 Rubber products 1,605.9 653.8 2,259.7 Chemicals & chemical products 75.9 308.5 384.5 Plastic products 102.6 0.0 102.6 Transport equipment 14.0 78.5 92.5 Electrical & electronic products 84.6 0.0 84.6 Wood & wood products 32.5 13.7 46.2 Mineral & non-metallic products 25.5 0.0 25.5 Paper, printing & publishing 14.7 0.0 14.7 Fabric metal products 13.0 0.6 13.7 Others 20.5 0.5 21.0 Total 1,996.5 4,084.8 6,081.3 Ongoing/Upcoming Key Projects SilverValley Technology Park (2023) Lumut Maritime Terminal 2 & 3 (2023) Construction of Perak Contingent Police New Headquarter and police quarters Ipoh Raya Industrial Park (2028) Ipoh Smart City (2030) 1 2 3 4 5 Investment opportunities: Perak Note: Latest available data for mfg. approv. investment by state and industry is in 2021. Sources: CEIC, DOSM, MIDA, MIDF, NCER and SME Bank Economic Research 3.9 84.3 0 2 4 6 8 10 0 50 100 150 200 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 (%) RM(bil) Manufacturing Approv. Investment: Perak vs Malaysia Perak Malaysia Shares (RHS) 32
  • 33. Z12 – Baling – Pengkalan Hulu – Betong Border Zone Z13 – Transkrian Development Zone Z23 – Royal Belum Biodiversity Zone Z24 – Greater Ipoh – Taiping – Pangkor Growth Corridor Z25 – Slim River – Sungkai Biodiversity Zone Z26 – Tanjung Malim Automotive Hub Z27 – Hilir Perak National Food Security Zone Z28 – Larut Matang Biodiversity Zone Z29 – Lenggong Unesco Z30 – Tapah Education City Investment opportunities: Perak Z24 Sources: NCER and SME Bank Economic Research 33
  • 34. • Terengganu’s economy has yet to fully recovered to pre-pandemic level, (-2.4% YoY vs 2019) as all sectors underperformed. • Assuming the GDP grows by 5.1% for the next 4 years (2022-2025), it will still fall short of the 12MP target (RM164.2 in 2025) by circa 2.6%. • Terengganu is known for petroleum & chemical hub in Kerteh – led by Petronas. Petronas Gas Kerteh has processing capacity of 1.75 bil standard cubic feet per day which provide 76% of total gas demand in peninsular Malaysia. • Apart from that, tourism is also among the key sectors for the state supported by a list of destinations from inland to islands such as Kenyir Lake duty-free zone, Southeast Asia’s 1st tower drawbridge, islands (e.g. Redang, Perhentian, Kapas, Lang Tengah). • Malaysia’s first green energy islands will be Pulau Redang and Pulau Perhentian, getting 24- hour low-carbon electricity supply by 2025 – solar • Moreover, with a cost of RM66.02 bil, East Coast Rail Link (ECRL) will provide high spill over effect connecting Terengganu with Klang Valley – boost tourism activity, develop rural & sub urban area, logistic/cargo • Other ongoing/upcoming high impact projects such as East Coast Highway project (LPT3) and Mayang Mall (Sogo 1st branch outside Klang Valley) will further spur economic activity in the state. Terengganu’s GDP growth outperformed national level GDP, yet underperformed 12MP average growth target of 6.6%. Terengganu GDP breakdown by sector SERVICES MANUFACTURING AGRICULTURE MINING CONSTRUCTION YoY % Share % 0 20 40 60 Total A Mi Ma C S RM mil Terengganu GDP by sector: 2021 vs 12MP target 2021 12MP Target 2025 3.1 3.6 -6 -4 -2 0 2 4 6 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 GDP: Terengganu vs Malaysia (% YoY) Malaysia Terengganu -5.3 3.5 1.2 9.5 2.5 7.8 0.5 37.0 3.2 51.5 Utilities, transportation & storage, information and communication Government services Wholesale & retail trade, food & beverage and accommodation Finance & insurance, real estate and business services Subsectors -0.7 4.6 -1.0 3.6 31.4 30.0 22.3 8.3 Petroleum, chemical, rubber and plastic products Other manufactures Non-metallic mineral products, basic metal and fabricated metal products Subsectors 10.0 8.4 -1.3 94.6 3.4 2.1 YoY % YoY % Share % Share % Economic Profile: Terengganu Note: 12MP average growth for 2021-2025 Sources: CEIC, DOSM, EPU and SME Bank Economic Research 34
  • 35. Top manufacturing investments in 2021: • Manufacturing approved investment in Terengganu dropped by 91.9% YoY in 2022 – worse than the national level (-56.8% YoY). • Only RM310 mil manufacturing investment was recorded – the 3rd lowest in the country (0.4% share), after Kuala Lumpur (0.2%) and Perlis (0.0%). • In 2021, almost the entire manufacturing investment in Terengganu were in basic material products (98%), funded entirely by foreign investments. • The state also is the hub of Kerteh refinery with capacity of 124k barrels per day (bpd) < Pengerang 300k bpd. Raw material source – Kerteh (local), while Pengerang (50%-70% from Saudi Aramco). • The state also has 13 industrial parks (nationwide: ~600) mainly, on wood & products, F&B, oil & gas, chemical, and E&E. Kerteh Biopolymer Park (KBP) – hub for biopolymer and bio-based chemical products including global brand CJ Bio (Korean global leading bio-ingredient producer for feed and food). Industry Domestic (RM mil) Foreign (RM mil) Total (RM mil) Basic material products 5.3 3,747.4 3,752.7 Wood & wood products 27.6 - 27.6 Transport equipment 19.0 - 19.0 Machinery and equipment 11.1 - 11.1 Fabricated metal products 7.3 - 7.3 Chemicals & chemical products 6.9 - 6.9 Food manufacturing 6.8 - 6.8 Total 84.0 3,747.4 3,831.4 Ongoing/Upcoming Key Projects Mayang Mall (2023) Dungun Town Coastal Tourism Teluk Lipat Coastal Protection Works Upgrading of Hybrid Solar System Pulau Kapas East Coast Rail Line (ECRL) 2026 1 2 3 4 5 Investment opportunities: Terengganu Note: Latest available data for mfg. approv. investment by state and industry is in 2021. 0.3 84.3 0 2 4 6 8 10 0 50 100 150 200 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 (%) RM(bil) Manufacturing Approv. Investment:Terengganu vs Malaysia Terengganu Malaysia Shares (RHS) Sources: CEIC, DOSM, EPU and SME Bank Economic Research 35
  • 36. Investment opportunities: Terengganu Sources: ECERDC and SME Bank Economic Research 36
  • 37. • Pahang’s economy has not fully recovered to pre-pandemic level, (5.3% YoY vs 2019). • Manufacturing sector has recovered while agriculture was not affected in the first place. • Assuming the GDP grows by 6.3% for the next 4 years (2022-2025), it will still be short of 12MP target (RM74.8 bil in 2025) by circa 5.5%. • Pahang is the home of cold weather tourism attractions in peninsular e.g. Genting Highland, Cameron Highland, Fraser Hill, and Bukit Tinggi. The state is also rich in natural attractions e.g. Taman Negara, Pahang River and Janda Baik. • 3rd most visited state by tourist in 2021 after Johor and Perak. • 5 top destinations; 1) Pantai Cherating, 2) Cameron Highlands, 3) East Coast Mall, 4) Janda Baik dan 5) Pantai Teluk Cempedak • In line with higher agricultural share-to-GDP, Pahang is the 3rd largest crude palm oil (CPO) producer in Malaysia (3.3 mil tonnes) behind Sabah (4.3 mil) and Sarawak (4.0 mil) in 2022. • Price of CPO remain supportive to Pahang’s continuous recovery but severe labor shortage particularly in the palm oil sector remain a major concern. • Ongoing/upcoming major projects such as ECRL and new road from Habu to Tanah Rata in Cameron Highlands will provide further support to the state’s growth. Pahang’s GDP growth underperformed national level GDP and its 12MP average growth target of 6.3%. Pahang GDP breakdown by sector SERVICES MANUFACTURING AGRICULTURE MINING CONSTRUCTION YoY % Share % 0 20 40 60 80 Total A Mi Ma C S RM mil Pahang GDP by sector: 2021 vs 12MP target 2021 12MP Target 2025 3.1 0.9 -10 -5 0 5 10 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 GDP: Pahang vs Malaysia (% YoY) Malaysia Pahang -0.1 -13.5 -1.4 6.1 18.5 23.5 1.0 23.5 2.9 49.1 Wholesale & retail trade, food & beverage and accommodation Government services Other services Utilities, transportation & storage, information and communication Subsectors -1.4 5.4 -19.5 3.7 35.4 26.4 13.8 13.4 Petroleum, chemical, rubber and plastic products Motor vehicles & transport equipment Other manufactures Vegetable & animal oils & fats, food processing, beverages & tobacco Subsectors 5.4 11.7 14.9 -8.5 46.8 23.6 16.2 13.5 YoY % YoY % Share % Share % Economic Profile: Pahang Note: 12MP average growth for 2021-2025 Sources: CEIC, DOSM, EPU and SME Bank Economic Research 37
  • 38. Top manufacturing investments in 2021: • Manufacturing approved investment in Pahang decreased by -75.8% YoY in 2022, worse than the national level (-56.8%). • In 2021, 90% of the manufacturing investment were in basic metal products, funded entirely by foreign investment. • Pahang is the biggest supplier (Lynas) of rare earth elements (REEs) in Malaysia which are used in a variety of industrial applications, including electronics, clean energy, aerospace, automotive and defence. • Besides Gebeng Industrial Estate (hub for chemical and petrochemical), Pekan Automotive Park is the hub for manufacturing of automotive, among the largest after Kedah (foreign automakers) which are currently occupied by Mercedes Benz, Isuzu, Suzuki and Volkswagen. Industry Domestic (RM mil) Foreign (RM mil) Total (RM mil) Basic metal products 0.0 9,440.6 9,440.6 Chemicals & chemical products 0.0 617.8 617.8 Food manufacturing 146.7 0.0 146.7 Wood & wood products 0.0 123.0 123.0 Fabricated metal products 85.0 0.0 85.0 Paper, printing and publishing 0.0 67.7 67.7 Minerals products and non- metal 8.0 0.0 8.0 Rubber product 0.0 1.6 1.6 Total 239.7 10,250.7 10,490.4 Ongoing/Upcoming Key Projects Kemaman-Gebeng Water Distribution Pipeline Development of Pantai Hiburan, Rompin Tanjung Agas Maritime Park Phase 3 (2025) Central Spine Road (2026) Pahang Aerospace City (2026) 1 2 3 4 5 Investment opportunities: Pahang Note: Latest available data for mfg. approv. investment by state and industry is in 2021. Sources: CEIC, DOSM, MIDA, ECERDC and SME Bank Economic Research 2.5 84.3 0 2 4 6 8 10 0 50 100 150 200 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 (%) RM(bil) Manufacturing Approv. Investment: Pahang vs Malaysia Pahang Malaysia Shares (RHS) 38
  • 39. Investment opportunities: Pahang Sources: ECERDC and SME Bank Economic Research 39
  • 40. • Kelantan’s economy has recovered to pre- pandemic level, (+1.2% vs 2019) driven by services, construction and agriculture. • Nonetheless, sssuming the GDP grows by 6.7% for the next 4 years (2022-2025), it will still be a short of 12MP target (RM34.8 bil in 2025) by circa 4%. • Kelantan is known as shopping destination e.g. free duty zone in Pengkalan Kubor and Rantau Panjang. Various products such as dishes, food, clothes and home furnishings can be bought at a cheaper price. • With the reopening of Malaysia-Thailand border, economic activities along the borders should recover. However, it could be limited by ringgit depreciation against Thai Baht. • The 2nd largest sector is agriculture (2021: 22.8% of GDP). Kelantan was the largest producer for Chili in 2021 (24.7% of national production). National Self-sufficiency ratio for Chili (29.3<100 – insufficient). • The largest Watermelon producer (30.7%). • 2nd largest rice producer (13.7%) after Kedah (37.3%). • 3rd largest Durian producer (9.3%) after Johor (27.2%) and Pahang (24.0%). • Upcoming high impact projects such as 1) bridges across the Golok River, 2) Integrated River Basin Development of Golok River Phase 3 (flood mitigation), and 3) Tok Bali industrial park (fisheries) will provide further support to the state’s growth. Kelantan’s GDP growth underperformed national level GDP and its 12MP average growth target of 6.7%. Kelantan GDP breakdown by sector SERVICES MANUFACTURING AGRICULTURE MINING CONSTRUCTION YoY % Share % 3.1 2.4 -10 -5 0 5 10 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 GDP: Kelantan vs Malaysia (%YoY) Malaysia Kelantan 0 10 20 30 40 Total A Mi Ma C S RM mil Kelantan GDP by sector: 2021 vs 12MP target 2021 12MP Target 2025 1.0 5.1 2.7 2.1 1.2 22.8 1.4 4.9 1.6 69.2 Government services Wholesale & retail trade, food & beverage and accommodation Utilities, transportation & storage, information and communication Other services Subsectors 4.5 -1.0 5.7 1.7 37.1 30.0 13.9 10.6 Other manufactures E&E and optical products Petroleum, chemical, rubber and plastic products Vegetable & animal oils & fats, food processing, beverages & tobacco Subsectors 6.2 6.9 0.6 -10.8 38.6 24.9 20.6 15.9 YoY % YoY % Share % Share % Economic Profile: Kelantan Note: 12MP average growth for 2021-2025 Sources: CEIC, DOSM, EPU and SME Bank Economic Research 40
  • 41. Top manufacturing investments in 2021: Industry Domestic (RM mil) Foreign (RM mil) Total (RM mil) Rubber products 81.3 0 81.3 Chemicals & chemical products 9.5 0 9.5 Total 90.7 - 90.7 Ongoing/Upcoming Key Projects Tok Bali Integrated Fisheries Park Tok Bali Industrial Park Redevelopment of Pasar Terapung Palekbang-Kota Bharu Bridge Central Spine Road (2026) 1 2 3 4 5 • Manufacturing approved investment in Kelantan surged by 994.3% YoY in 2022 (national level: -56.8%), the 3rd consecutive year of expansion. • In 2022, it increased quite significantly to RM1.0 bil compared to its historical trend (<RM100mil) – likely to be contributed by Rohm Semiconductor’s investment of RM0.91 bil. (Rohm’s global ranking: 33rd by revenue) • Likewise, its share to total approved investment in the sector increased to 1.2%, above historical trend (2016- 2021: 0.3%). • Despite a relatively small manufacturing sector contribution (4.9% of GDP), top global semiconductor player – Rohm Semiconductor - has factory in Kelantan since 1988. In 2022, the company has proceeded to expand its overall production capacity by 1.5 times. • In 2021, the state recorded 2 manufacturing investments: 1) rubber (share of 89.6%), 2) chemical & chemical products (10.4%). Investment opportunities: Kelantan Note: Latest available data for mfg. approv. investment by state and industry is in 2021. Sources: CEIC, DOSM, MIDA, ECERDC and SME Bank Economic Research 1.0 84.3 0 1 2 3 4 0 50 100 150 200 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 (%) RM(bil) Manufacturing Approv. Investment: Kelantan vs Malaysia Kelantan Malaysia Shares (RHS) 41
  • 42. Investment opportunities: Kelantan Sources: ECERDC and SME Bank Economic Research 42
  • 43. • Perlis’s economy has not fully recovered to pre-pandemic level, (4.6% YoY vs 2019). Only services sector has recovered but that could be due to government services which dominates the sector (close to 40% share of services sector). • Assuming the GDP grow by 5.8% for the next 4 years (2022-2025), it will still be a short of 12MP target (RM7.7 bil in 2025) by circa 4.5%. • Perlis should benefit from the reopening of Malaysia-Thailand border. Perlis main export destination was Thailand in 2021 (62.3% of total state export). • Government has announced plan to develop Sanglang port which will add value to the state economy – to handle petroleum and bulk cargo. • Besides that, Perlis is known for agricultural product such as mango “Harum manis”. In overall, Perlis is the 3rd largest mango producer after Perak and Sabah. • Ongoing major projects such as Perlis Inland Port and Chuping Valley Industrial Area (hub for green manufacturing, Halal industries, renewable energy generation, and automotive) will provide further support to the state’s recovery. Perlis’s GDP growth underperformed national level GDP and its 12MP average growth target of 5.8%. Perlis GDP breakdown by sector SERVICES MANUFACTURING AGRICULTURE MINING CONSTRUCTION YoY % Share % 0 2 4 6 8 Total A Mi Ma C S RM mil Perlis GDP by sector: 2021 vs 12MP target 2021 12MP Target 2025 3.1 1.5 -10 -5 0 5 10 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 GDP: Perlis vs Malaysia (% YoY) Malaysia Perlis -6.0 -2.3 2.3 5.4 0.2 17.4 0.5 8.0 2.6 70.2 Government services Utilities, transportation & storage, information and communication Wholesale & retail trade, food & beverage and accommodation Finance & insurance, real estate and business services Subsectors 4.8 2.1 -0.8 1.6 39.7 24.3 17.5 10.0 Non-metallic mineral products, basic metal and fabricated metal products Vegetable & animal oils & fats, food processing, beverages & tobacco Petroleum, chemical, rubber and plastic products Other manufactures Subsectors 0.4 12.6 2.2 8.6 30.7 25.4 23.4 20.5 YoY % YoY % Share % Share % Economic Profile: Perlis Note: 12MP average growth for 2021-2025 Sources: CEIC, DOSM, EPU and SME Bank Economic Research 43
  • 44. Top manufacturing investments in 2021: • There was no inflow of manufacturing approved investment in Perlis in 2022, leaving the state at the bottom of the investment ranking. • In 2021, there was only one manufacturing investment which is in the food subsector. • Compared to year 2020, Perlis received some investments in chemical, mineral, metal, and machinery. • Meanwhile, industries such as logistics and seaport hub are expected to drive the state’s economic growth in the next decade in addition to the state’s focus on tourism, halal hub, and agriculture. Industry Domestic (RM mil) Foreign (RM mil) Total (RM mil) Food manufacturing - 12.3 12.3 Others - - - Total - 12.3 12.3 Ongoing/Upcoming Key Projects Perlis Inland Port (PIP) Chuping Valley Industrial Area (CVIA) FGV Dairy Farm Chuping Perlis Maritime Corridor Kangar Sentral 1 2 3 4 5 Investment opportunities: Perlis Note: Latest available data for mfg. approv. investment by state and industry is in 2021. Sources: CEIC, DOSM, MIDA, UPU Perlis, NCER and SME Bank Economic Research 0.0 84.3 0 1 2 3 4 0 50 100 150 200 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 (%) RM(bil) Manufacturing Approv. Investment: Perlis vs Malaysia Perlis Malaysia Shares (RHS) 44
  • 45. Z1 – Perlis – Kedah – Thailand Strategic Border Zone Z2 – Perlis – Langkawi – Satun Biodiversity Zone Z3 – Kuala Perlis – Kangar – Kota Raja Growth Corridor Z4 – Perlis National Food Security Zone Investment opportunities: Perlis Sources: NCER and SME Bank Economic Research 45
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