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An update on CGIAR reform:
reinvigorating global research on
agriculture
Frank Rijsberman, CEO CGIAR Consortium, July 24, 2012
Overview
• CGIAR Reform: much is accomplished
• Food Security: the greatest challenge facing
  humanity in coming decades
• Is the CGIAR up to the challenge?
• CGIAR Reform: the last mile, what will it take
• Performance Management
• Partnerships
• Gender, Agrobiodiversity, Capacity Building
CGIAR Reform in 2012
• CGIAR Consortium – constitution signed by 15
  members– single organization representing 15
• CGIAR Fund – 60+ donors coming together -
  Joint Agreement & increasing contributions
• CRP Portfolio: 15 (+1) programs instead of
  3000 projects (moving from 3000 to 300)
• Major achievements in just 2-3 years
• The tools are available to “finish the job”
• Are we done? No, last mile is critical
Success bred Decades of Neglect for Agriculture


• Abundant food and record low food prices led
  to steady erosion of investment in agriculture
• For example: ODA for Agriculture:
  – 1980s: over $20 BN
  – 2006: as little as $3 BN
  – 2011: slowly climbing back up to $9 BN
• Increasing food prices & price spikes of
  2008, 10, 11 served as harsh wake-up call
Global Cereal Yield Trends, 1966-2009
                                                                                          2009

                         5                                                                 corn: 1.3%
                                                      Corn yield
   Grain yield (t ha )


                                                                   -1 -1
                                                 slope = 64 kg ha y
  -1




                         4      1966                (~1 bu ac-1 y-1)                       rice: 1.3%


                                                                        Rice yield
                                                                                   -1 -1
                                                                   slope = 53 kg ha y
                         3         corn: 2.8%


                                                                                           wheat: 1.4%
                                                                      Wheat yield
                                   rice: 2.9%
                         2                                                        -1 -1
                                                                  slope = 40 kg ha y

                                   wheat: 2.9%
                         1
                         1960          1970         1980          1990       2000          2010
Source: FAOSTAT                                            Year
Stagnating yields for rice in Korea, Japan, and China; wheat
                          in northwest Europe and India; maize in China, and irrigated
                          maize in the USA.

                                                                                                 Grassini et al., 2011. FCR 120:142-152
                          Cassman, 1999. PNAS, 96: 5952-5959

                      8                                             8                                       12              USA-irrigated
                          Rice                                          Wheat                                    Maize
Grain yield (t ha )




                                                                                                            10
-1




                      6      R.Korea                                6 Northwest Europe
                                                      China                                                  8
                                                                                                                                    USA-rainfed
                      4                          Indonesia
                                                                    4                    China               6

                                                                                                             4                  China
                      2                               India         2
                                                                                          India              2                       Brazil

                      0                                             0                                         0
                      1960   1970      1980    1990     2000   2010 1960   1970   1980 1990       2000   2010 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010
                                         Year                                        Year                                   Year


                                              Cassman et al., 2003, ARER 28: 315-358
                                                                              Cassman et al., 2010, Handbook of Climate Change
Greatest Challenge Facing Humanity
• Producing 70% more food by 2050 without
  destroying the environment
• Yields are plateauing, price increases lead
  farmers to put more land under the plough
  than during Green Revolution – dead end
  street
• Have to get yields up – requires increased
  investment in agriculture, particularly
  research to drive S&T based innovation
Importance of Smallholder farmers
• Low income developing country: 50% GDP and
  80% employment from agriculture – mostly
  smallholder farmers (<2ha), majority women –
  total 500 million globally
• Over 70% of 1.4BN poor live in rural areas
• Over 75% food insecure in rural areas
• With food 80-90% of household budget, very
  vulnerable to price spikes; 2010-11 spikes
  pushed 44M people into poverty
What will it take?
• Massive increase in investment:
  – Africa: +$21BN/YR ($7BN public)
  – CGIAR: 2013: $1BN; 2020: $1.6BN (+0.5%/yr yield growth)
• Holistic approach – ecological intensification
  – Life science revolution: bred germplasm
  – Delivery to farmers in farming systems
  – Access to markets, supply chains, cut losses
Delivering on the Vision:
     SRF and CRPs
Desired outcomes of CGIAR Reform

                       FROM                                                     TO
                                                        Clear vision with focused priorities that respond to
 Mission creep and trying to do everything
                                                         global development challenges
 Duplicative mandate of the Centers without clear      Centers that collaborate, work toward the System
  System-wide vision and strategy for impact             agenda and priorities, and deliver impact
 Complex and cumbersome governance and lack of         Streamlined and effective System-level governance
  accountability                                         with clear accountability
 Static partnerships that are not enabling scalable    Strong and innovative partnerships with NARS, the
  impact and research adoption                           private sector and civil society that enable impact

 Lack of coordination among investors                  Strengthened, coordinated funding mechanisms
                                                         that are linked to the System agenda and priorities

 Declining core resources                              Stabilization and growth of resource support




                    Greater impact on food security and poverty reduction


                                                                                                          11
Integration and
2011              transformation      CGIAR Consortium
                                      CGIAR Fund
USD 673 million

                      Reform
2010                                  15 CGIAR Centers
                                      64 Members, including
USD 673 million                       25 from the developing world
                      Rethink
2000                                  16 CGIAR Centers
                                      58 Members, including
USD 331 million                       22 from the developing world
                     Expansion

1990                                  16 CGIAR Centers
                                      40 Members, including
USD 235 million                       6 from the developing world

                  Multidisciplinary

1980                                  13 CGIAR Centers
                                      35 Members, including
USD 123 million                       4 from the developing world

                    Disciplinary
1971                                  4 CGIAR Centers
                                      18 Members
USD 20 million
A strategic partnership dedicated to advancing science to address the central
development challenges of our time:
               • Reducing rural poverty
               • Improving food security
               • Improving nutrition and health
               • Sustainably managing natural resources
Its research is carried out by 15 International Agricultural Research
Centers, working in close collaboration with hundreds of partners worldwide.
Partnership at all levels

                         CGIAR
                     System Level
                 (e.g. Fund, Cons, ISPC, IEA)
                 Resources, Science
                    Evaluation
 Partnership                                        Partnership
                  CONSORTIUM
                       (Shared Voice)
                 Strategy, Services
                      Leadership                    Center
    CRP
Research Focus                                  Staffing, Partners
                                                  Infrastructure
                       Partnership
Overview of CGIAR Fund inflows and outflows
 from December 2010 to December 2011



                                  Window 1              Window 2              Window 3 Provisional      Total

Received                              252.7                  51.1                  63.0          11.9   378.8
Disbursements                         159.5                  30.2                  61.6                 251.3


Fund Balance                           93.2                  20.9                   1.4          11.9   127.5



2011 Contributions in
Process*                                1.3                   1.5                   3.9                  6.6




       * Funds were received but Contribution Agreements had not been signed by 12/31/2011, or
       Contribution Agreements were signed by year end, but funds were not received in 2011.
Contributions in the Fund as of May 15, 2012


 Australia      BMGF        Canada        China          Denmark        Finland       France
 $17.45m       $31.42m      $15.58m      $1.60m           $8.49m        $3.84m        $1.72m




   IDRC          India
                               Total Receipts:
                            Ireland       Italy           Japan          Korea      Luxembourg
  $6.49m        $2.67m
                            USD 423 million
                            $2.60m       $1.93m          $1.81m         $0.29m        $0.83m




Netherlands   New Zealand   Nigeria      Norway          Portugal       Russia         Spain
  $7.89m        $2.01m      $0.38m       $19.95m         $0.63m         $8.50m        $0.95m




 Sweden       Switzerland   Turkey    United Kingdom   United States   World Bank
 $33.42m       $15.53m      $0.5m       $103.26m         $33.58m       $100.00m
Increased and Sustained Investment:
                Doubling of CGIAR funding in five years (2008-2013)


              1,100        CGIAR Total Funding Trends
                                  Nominal and in 1972 dollars                                                         1,000
              1,000

               900                                                                                                           855

               800
                                                                                                                          766
               700
                                                                                                                    725
               600
US$ million




               500

               400

               300

               200                                                                                       1972 dollars, 121
               100
                      20
                 0




                           Actual, Nominal          1972 dollars   Target   _____   projected, nominal
Increased and Sustained Investment:
Doubling of CGIAR funding in five years (2008-2013)


              1,800          Expected Funding Trends
                                         2005-2025                                                                           1,611
              1,600

              1,400
                                                                                                                             1,393
              1,200
                                                                1,000
US$ million




              1,000                                       907
                                                    813
               800
                                                                855
                                                          766
               600                                  725

               400

               200                                  121

                 0
                  2005        2007      2009       2011         2013        2015   2017     2019        2021      2023      2025



                      Actual, Nominal          1972 dollars             Target     Projected, nominal          Linear (1972 dollars)
Institutional Cost Rate (a.k.a. overhead)

CGIAR average

   2004:   24%   2008: 19%
   2005:   21%   2009: 17%
   2006:   20%   2010: 19%
   2007:   20%   2011: 16%

Goal: 2015: 13% (+2 % system cost)

Declines due to:
  - Implies improving efficiency
  - Revised calculations (more items direct charged)
  - Larger budgets overall
CGIAR Reform: last mile
• SRF:
  – SLOs lack metrics
  – System lacks priority setting
  – Still risk of “micro management” / high
    transaction costs
• CRP portfolio:
  – too much constructed looking in rear view mirror
  – outcomes: hundreds of them & too granular
• Partnerships: unfulfilled expectations
Remaining reform priorities
1. Making the CRPs a focused set of 15(+1)
   programs that are an attractive investment
   portfolio with clear outcomes, demonstrated
   value for money, and effective but efficient
   monitoring and impact assessment
2. Fulfilling the partnership promise: opening
   up the CGIAR so that partnership
   expectations match self assessment
How?
1. Performance Management System –
   developed through SRF Action Plan
2. Partnerships:
  – Partnership Perception Survey: 2012 baseline
  – CAADP-CGIAR mapping and alignment process
3. Cross cutting issues:
  – Gender Research: implementation starts in 2013
  – Agrobiodiversity conservation: workshop now
  – Capacity Strengthening: strategy coming
4. Efficiency drive for Consortium operations
Performance Management
• ISPC White Paper on Priority Setting June 2012
• System level priority setting – “top down”:
  – Targets for system level impacts
  – Intermediate Development Outcomes for System
• CRP level priority setting – “bottom up”
  – IDOs for CRPs – contribution to SLOs
  – Value propositions – value for money
• Consortium: changing CGIAR funding system to
  paying for performance: outcomes delivered
Timeline
October ‘12/ GCARD2 / Punta del Este:
• SRF Action plan for discussion and adoption
• “Design” of Performance Management System
• First set of CRP outcomes, based on current
   status
Mid 2013:
• System level priorities
• “negotiated” outcomes at CRP level
• PMS ready to roll in 2014
Concluding
• The CGIAR reform is already a major
  institutional achievement -“just in time” for
  renewed focus on food security as top priority
• Centers are growing again – 30-40% this year
• CRPs are beginning to make a difference
• We know we have urgent “last mile” work left
  to be done to ensure the CGIAR reform really
  delivers on its promise: delivering impact
  against the four key system level objectives
THANK YOU
GRiSP
Potential impact (2035)
• cut rice expenditures by the poor by $11BN
• lift 150 million people out of poverty
• alleviate malnutrition for 70 million people
Livestock and Fish
Potential impacts in 10 years:
• dairy and pigs: doubling productivity and incomes
• aquaculture: double national production (Uganda)
• goats and sheep: increase productivity to double incomes
Climate Change, Agriculture and Food Security
Four themes:
• Adaptation through managing climate risk
• Adaptation to progressive climate change
• Pro-poor climate mitigation
• Integration for decision-making

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An update on CGIAR reform

  • 1. An update on CGIAR reform: reinvigorating global research on agriculture Frank Rijsberman, CEO CGIAR Consortium, July 24, 2012
  • 2. Overview • CGIAR Reform: much is accomplished • Food Security: the greatest challenge facing humanity in coming decades • Is the CGIAR up to the challenge? • CGIAR Reform: the last mile, what will it take • Performance Management • Partnerships • Gender, Agrobiodiversity, Capacity Building
  • 3. CGIAR Reform in 2012 • CGIAR Consortium – constitution signed by 15 members– single organization representing 15 • CGIAR Fund – 60+ donors coming together - Joint Agreement & increasing contributions • CRP Portfolio: 15 (+1) programs instead of 3000 projects (moving from 3000 to 300) • Major achievements in just 2-3 years • The tools are available to “finish the job” • Are we done? No, last mile is critical
  • 4. Success bred Decades of Neglect for Agriculture • Abundant food and record low food prices led to steady erosion of investment in agriculture • For example: ODA for Agriculture: – 1980s: over $20 BN – 2006: as little as $3 BN – 2011: slowly climbing back up to $9 BN • Increasing food prices & price spikes of 2008, 10, 11 served as harsh wake-up call
  • 5. Global Cereal Yield Trends, 1966-2009 2009 5 corn: 1.3% Corn yield Grain yield (t ha ) -1 -1 slope = 64 kg ha y -1 4 1966 (~1 bu ac-1 y-1) rice: 1.3% Rice yield -1 -1 slope = 53 kg ha y 3 corn: 2.8% wheat: 1.4% Wheat yield rice: 2.9% 2 -1 -1 slope = 40 kg ha y wheat: 2.9% 1 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 Source: FAOSTAT Year
  • 6. Stagnating yields for rice in Korea, Japan, and China; wheat in northwest Europe and India; maize in China, and irrigated maize in the USA. Grassini et al., 2011. FCR 120:142-152 Cassman, 1999. PNAS, 96: 5952-5959 8 8 12 USA-irrigated Rice Wheat Maize Grain yield (t ha ) 10 -1 6 R.Korea 6 Northwest Europe China 8 USA-rainfed 4 Indonesia 4 China 6 4 China 2 India 2 India 2 Brazil 0 0 0 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 Year Year Year Cassman et al., 2003, ARER 28: 315-358 Cassman et al., 2010, Handbook of Climate Change
  • 7. Greatest Challenge Facing Humanity • Producing 70% more food by 2050 without destroying the environment • Yields are plateauing, price increases lead farmers to put more land under the plough than during Green Revolution – dead end street • Have to get yields up – requires increased investment in agriculture, particularly research to drive S&T based innovation
  • 8. Importance of Smallholder farmers • Low income developing country: 50% GDP and 80% employment from agriculture – mostly smallholder farmers (<2ha), majority women – total 500 million globally • Over 70% of 1.4BN poor live in rural areas • Over 75% food insecure in rural areas • With food 80-90% of household budget, very vulnerable to price spikes; 2010-11 spikes pushed 44M people into poverty
  • 9. What will it take? • Massive increase in investment: – Africa: +$21BN/YR ($7BN public) – CGIAR: 2013: $1BN; 2020: $1.6BN (+0.5%/yr yield growth) • Holistic approach – ecological intensification – Life science revolution: bred germplasm – Delivery to farmers in farming systems – Access to markets, supply chains, cut losses
  • 10. Delivering on the Vision: SRF and CRPs
  • 11. Desired outcomes of CGIAR Reform FROM TO  Clear vision with focused priorities that respond to  Mission creep and trying to do everything global development challenges  Duplicative mandate of the Centers without clear  Centers that collaborate, work toward the System System-wide vision and strategy for impact agenda and priorities, and deliver impact  Complex and cumbersome governance and lack of  Streamlined and effective System-level governance accountability with clear accountability  Static partnerships that are not enabling scalable  Strong and innovative partnerships with NARS, the impact and research adoption private sector and civil society that enable impact  Lack of coordination among investors  Strengthened, coordinated funding mechanisms that are linked to the System agenda and priorities  Declining core resources  Stabilization and growth of resource support Greater impact on food security and poverty reduction 11
  • 12. Integration and 2011 transformation CGIAR Consortium CGIAR Fund USD 673 million Reform 2010 15 CGIAR Centers 64 Members, including USD 673 million 25 from the developing world Rethink 2000 16 CGIAR Centers 58 Members, including USD 331 million 22 from the developing world Expansion 1990 16 CGIAR Centers 40 Members, including USD 235 million 6 from the developing world Multidisciplinary 1980 13 CGIAR Centers 35 Members, including USD 123 million 4 from the developing world Disciplinary 1971 4 CGIAR Centers 18 Members USD 20 million
  • 13. A strategic partnership dedicated to advancing science to address the central development challenges of our time: • Reducing rural poverty • Improving food security • Improving nutrition and health • Sustainably managing natural resources Its research is carried out by 15 International Agricultural Research Centers, working in close collaboration with hundreds of partners worldwide.
  • 14.
  • 15. Partnership at all levels CGIAR System Level (e.g. Fund, Cons, ISPC, IEA) Resources, Science Evaluation Partnership Partnership CONSORTIUM (Shared Voice) Strategy, Services Leadership Center CRP Research Focus Staffing, Partners Infrastructure Partnership
  • 16. Overview of CGIAR Fund inflows and outflows from December 2010 to December 2011 Window 1 Window 2 Window 3 Provisional Total Received 252.7 51.1 63.0 11.9 378.8 Disbursements 159.5 30.2 61.6 251.3 Fund Balance 93.2 20.9 1.4 11.9 127.5 2011 Contributions in Process* 1.3 1.5 3.9 6.6 * Funds were received but Contribution Agreements had not been signed by 12/31/2011, or Contribution Agreements were signed by year end, but funds were not received in 2011.
  • 17. Contributions in the Fund as of May 15, 2012 Australia BMGF Canada China Denmark Finland France $17.45m $31.42m $15.58m $1.60m $8.49m $3.84m $1.72m IDRC India Total Receipts: Ireland Italy Japan Korea Luxembourg $6.49m $2.67m USD 423 million $2.60m $1.93m $1.81m $0.29m $0.83m Netherlands New Zealand Nigeria Norway Portugal Russia Spain $7.89m $2.01m $0.38m $19.95m $0.63m $8.50m $0.95m Sweden Switzerland Turkey United Kingdom United States World Bank $33.42m $15.53m $0.5m $103.26m $33.58m $100.00m
  • 18. Increased and Sustained Investment: Doubling of CGIAR funding in five years (2008-2013) 1,100 CGIAR Total Funding Trends Nominal and in 1972 dollars 1,000 1,000 900 855 800 766 700 725 600 US$ million 500 400 300 200 1972 dollars, 121 100 20 0 Actual, Nominal 1972 dollars Target _____ projected, nominal
  • 19. Increased and Sustained Investment: Doubling of CGIAR funding in five years (2008-2013) 1,800 Expected Funding Trends 2005-2025 1,611 1,600 1,400 1,393 1,200 1,000 US$ million 1,000 907 813 800 855 766 600 725 400 200 121 0 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 Actual, Nominal 1972 dollars Target Projected, nominal Linear (1972 dollars)
  • 20. Institutional Cost Rate (a.k.a. overhead) CGIAR average 2004: 24% 2008: 19% 2005: 21% 2009: 17% 2006: 20% 2010: 19% 2007: 20% 2011: 16% Goal: 2015: 13% (+2 % system cost) Declines due to: - Implies improving efficiency - Revised calculations (more items direct charged) - Larger budgets overall
  • 21. CGIAR Reform: last mile • SRF: – SLOs lack metrics – System lacks priority setting – Still risk of “micro management” / high transaction costs • CRP portfolio: – too much constructed looking in rear view mirror – outcomes: hundreds of them & too granular • Partnerships: unfulfilled expectations
  • 22. Remaining reform priorities 1. Making the CRPs a focused set of 15(+1) programs that are an attractive investment portfolio with clear outcomes, demonstrated value for money, and effective but efficient monitoring and impact assessment 2. Fulfilling the partnership promise: opening up the CGIAR so that partnership expectations match self assessment
  • 23. How? 1. Performance Management System – developed through SRF Action Plan 2. Partnerships: – Partnership Perception Survey: 2012 baseline – CAADP-CGIAR mapping and alignment process 3. Cross cutting issues: – Gender Research: implementation starts in 2013 – Agrobiodiversity conservation: workshop now – Capacity Strengthening: strategy coming 4. Efficiency drive for Consortium operations
  • 24. Performance Management • ISPC White Paper on Priority Setting June 2012 • System level priority setting – “top down”: – Targets for system level impacts – Intermediate Development Outcomes for System • CRP level priority setting – “bottom up” – IDOs for CRPs – contribution to SLOs – Value propositions – value for money • Consortium: changing CGIAR funding system to paying for performance: outcomes delivered
  • 25. Timeline October ‘12/ GCARD2 / Punta del Este: • SRF Action plan for discussion and adoption • “Design” of Performance Management System • First set of CRP outcomes, based on current status Mid 2013: • System level priorities • “negotiated” outcomes at CRP level • PMS ready to roll in 2014
  • 26. Concluding • The CGIAR reform is already a major institutional achievement -“just in time” for renewed focus on food security as top priority • Centers are growing again – 30-40% this year • CRPs are beginning to make a difference • We know we have urgent “last mile” work left to be done to ensure the CGIAR reform really delivers on its promise: delivering impact against the four key system level objectives
  • 28. GRiSP Potential impact (2035) • cut rice expenditures by the poor by $11BN • lift 150 million people out of poverty • alleviate malnutrition for 70 million people
  • 29. Livestock and Fish Potential impacts in 10 years: • dairy and pigs: doubling productivity and incomes • aquaculture: double national production (Uganda) • goats and sheep: increase productivity to double incomes
  • 30. Climate Change, Agriculture and Food Security Four themes: • Adaptation through managing climate risk • Adaptation to progressive climate change • Pro-poor climate mitigation • Integration for decision-making

Editor's Notes

  1. In 2011, the CGIAR Fund was successful in pooling significant resources for research priorities, despite the fact that many CGIAR Research Programs (CRPs) were approved only during the year and a few were in their initial stages of implementation. By the end of 2011, the CGIAR Fund had received a total of $378.8 million and disbursed $251.3 million, demonstrating strong commitment by donors to the new CGIAR. As of December 31, 2011, contributions from six Fund Donors (China, Finland, South Africa, Morocco, Bangladesh, and Thailand) were still in process.
  2. Based on IFPRI analysis, to maintain momentum of international agricultural research to support expanding regional and national agricultural productivity, investments in the CGIAR need to increase at least 4.2% annually to reach 1.6 billion by 2025.