1. An update on CGIAR reform:
reinvigorating global research on
agriculture
Frank Rijsberman, CEO CGIAR Consortium, July 24, 2012
2. Overview
• CGIAR Reform: much is accomplished
• Food Security: the greatest challenge facing
humanity in coming decades
• Is the CGIAR up to the challenge?
• CGIAR Reform: the last mile, what will it take
• Performance Management
• Partnerships
• Gender, Agrobiodiversity, Capacity Building
3. CGIAR Reform in 2012
• CGIAR Consortium – constitution signed by 15
members– single organization representing 15
• CGIAR Fund – 60+ donors coming together -
Joint Agreement & increasing contributions
• CRP Portfolio: 15 (+1) programs instead of
3000 projects (moving from 3000 to 300)
• Major achievements in just 2-3 years
• The tools are available to “finish the job”
• Are we done? No, last mile is critical
4. Success bred Decades of Neglect for Agriculture
• Abundant food and record low food prices led
to steady erosion of investment in agriculture
• For example: ODA for Agriculture:
– 1980s: over $20 BN
– 2006: as little as $3 BN
– 2011: slowly climbing back up to $9 BN
• Increasing food prices & price spikes of
2008, 10, 11 served as harsh wake-up call
5. Global Cereal Yield Trends, 1966-2009
2009
5 corn: 1.3%
Corn yield
Grain yield (t ha )
-1 -1
slope = 64 kg ha y
-1
4 1966 (~1 bu ac-1 y-1) rice: 1.3%
Rice yield
-1 -1
slope = 53 kg ha y
3 corn: 2.8%
wheat: 1.4%
Wheat yield
rice: 2.9%
2 -1 -1
slope = 40 kg ha y
wheat: 2.9%
1
1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010
Source: FAOSTAT Year
6. Stagnating yields for rice in Korea, Japan, and China; wheat
in northwest Europe and India; maize in China, and irrigated
maize in the USA.
Grassini et al., 2011. FCR 120:142-152
Cassman, 1999. PNAS, 96: 5952-5959
8 8 12 USA-irrigated
Rice Wheat Maize
Grain yield (t ha )
10
-1
6 R.Korea 6 Northwest Europe
China 8
USA-rainfed
4 Indonesia
4 China 6
4 China
2 India 2
India 2 Brazil
0 0 0
1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010
Year Year Year
Cassman et al., 2003, ARER 28: 315-358
Cassman et al., 2010, Handbook of Climate Change
7. Greatest Challenge Facing Humanity
• Producing 70% more food by 2050 without
destroying the environment
• Yields are plateauing, price increases lead
farmers to put more land under the plough
than during Green Revolution – dead end
street
• Have to get yields up – requires increased
investment in agriculture, particularly
research to drive S&T based innovation
8. Importance of Smallholder farmers
• Low income developing country: 50% GDP and
80% employment from agriculture – mostly
smallholder farmers (<2ha), majority women –
total 500 million globally
• Over 70% of 1.4BN poor live in rural areas
• Over 75% food insecure in rural areas
• With food 80-90% of household budget, very
vulnerable to price spikes; 2010-11 spikes
pushed 44M people into poverty
9. What will it take?
• Massive increase in investment:
– Africa: +$21BN/YR ($7BN public)
– CGIAR: 2013: $1BN; 2020: $1.6BN (+0.5%/yr yield growth)
• Holistic approach – ecological intensification
– Life science revolution: bred germplasm
– Delivery to farmers in farming systems
– Access to markets, supply chains, cut losses
11. Desired outcomes of CGIAR Reform
FROM TO
Clear vision with focused priorities that respond to
Mission creep and trying to do everything
global development challenges
Duplicative mandate of the Centers without clear Centers that collaborate, work toward the System
System-wide vision and strategy for impact agenda and priorities, and deliver impact
Complex and cumbersome governance and lack of Streamlined and effective System-level governance
accountability with clear accountability
Static partnerships that are not enabling scalable Strong and innovative partnerships with NARS, the
impact and research adoption private sector and civil society that enable impact
Lack of coordination among investors Strengthened, coordinated funding mechanisms
that are linked to the System agenda and priorities
Declining core resources Stabilization and growth of resource support
Greater impact on food security and poverty reduction
11
12. Integration and
2011 transformation CGIAR Consortium
CGIAR Fund
USD 673 million
Reform
2010 15 CGIAR Centers
64 Members, including
USD 673 million 25 from the developing world
Rethink
2000 16 CGIAR Centers
58 Members, including
USD 331 million 22 from the developing world
Expansion
1990 16 CGIAR Centers
40 Members, including
USD 235 million 6 from the developing world
Multidisciplinary
1980 13 CGIAR Centers
35 Members, including
USD 123 million 4 from the developing world
Disciplinary
1971 4 CGIAR Centers
18 Members
USD 20 million
13. A strategic partnership dedicated to advancing science to address the central
development challenges of our time:
• Reducing rural poverty
• Improving food security
• Improving nutrition and health
• Sustainably managing natural resources
Its research is carried out by 15 International Agricultural Research
Centers, working in close collaboration with hundreds of partners worldwide.
14.
15. Partnership at all levels
CGIAR
System Level
(e.g. Fund, Cons, ISPC, IEA)
Resources, Science
Evaluation
Partnership Partnership
CONSORTIUM
(Shared Voice)
Strategy, Services
Leadership Center
CRP
Research Focus Staffing, Partners
Infrastructure
Partnership
16. Overview of CGIAR Fund inflows and outflows
from December 2010 to December 2011
Window 1 Window 2 Window 3 Provisional Total
Received 252.7 51.1 63.0 11.9 378.8
Disbursements 159.5 30.2 61.6 251.3
Fund Balance 93.2 20.9 1.4 11.9 127.5
2011 Contributions in
Process* 1.3 1.5 3.9 6.6
* Funds were received but Contribution Agreements had not been signed by 12/31/2011, or
Contribution Agreements were signed by year end, but funds were not received in 2011.
17. Contributions in the Fund as of May 15, 2012
Australia BMGF Canada China Denmark Finland France
$17.45m $31.42m $15.58m $1.60m $8.49m $3.84m $1.72m
IDRC India
Total Receipts:
Ireland Italy Japan Korea Luxembourg
$6.49m $2.67m
USD 423 million
$2.60m $1.93m $1.81m $0.29m $0.83m
Netherlands New Zealand Nigeria Norway Portugal Russia Spain
$7.89m $2.01m $0.38m $19.95m $0.63m $8.50m $0.95m
Sweden Switzerland Turkey United Kingdom United States World Bank
$33.42m $15.53m $0.5m $103.26m $33.58m $100.00m
18. Increased and Sustained Investment:
Doubling of CGIAR funding in five years (2008-2013)
1,100 CGIAR Total Funding Trends
Nominal and in 1972 dollars 1,000
1,000
900 855
800
766
700
725
600
US$ million
500
400
300
200 1972 dollars, 121
100
20
0
Actual, Nominal 1972 dollars Target _____ projected, nominal
19. Increased and Sustained Investment:
Doubling of CGIAR funding in five years (2008-2013)
1,800 Expected Funding Trends
2005-2025 1,611
1,600
1,400
1,393
1,200
1,000
US$ million
1,000 907
813
800
855
766
600 725
400
200 121
0
2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025
Actual, Nominal 1972 dollars Target Projected, nominal Linear (1972 dollars)
20. Institutional Cost Rate (a.k.a. overhead)
CGIAR average
2004: 24% 2008: 19%
2005: 21% 2009: 17%
2006: 20% 2010: 19%
2007: 20% 2011: 16%
Goal: 2015: 13% (+2 % system cost)
Declines due to:
- Implies improving efficiency
- Revised calculations (more items direct charged)
- Larger budgets overall
21. CGIAR Reform: last mile
• SRF:
– SLOs lack metrics
– System lacks priority setting
– Still risk of “micro management” / high
transaction costs
• CRP portfolio:
– too much constructed looking in rear view mirror
– outcomes: hundreds of them & too granular
• Partnerships: unfulfilled expectations
22. Remaining reform priorities
1. Making the CRPs a focused set of 15(+1)
programs that are an attractive investment
portfolio with clear outcomes, demonstrated
value for money, and effective but efficient
monitoring and impact assessment
2. Fulfilling the partnership promise: opening
up the CGIAR so that partnership
expectations match self assessment
23. How?
1. Performance Management System –
developed through SRF Action Plan
2. Partnerships:
– Partnership Perception Survey: 2012 baseline
– CAADP-CGIAR mapping and alignment process
3. Cross cutting issues:
– Gender Research: implementation starts in 2013
– Agrobiodiversity conservation: workshop now
– Capacity Strengthening: strategy coming
4. Efficiency drive for Consortium operations
24. Performance Management
• ISPC White Paper on Priority Setting June 2012
• System level priority setting – “top down”:
– Targets for system level impacts
– Intermediate Development Outcomes for System
• CRP level priority setting – “bottom up”
– IDOs for CRPs – contribution to SLOs
– Value propositions – value for money
• Consortium: changing CGIAR funding system to
paying for performance: outcomes delivered
25. Timeline
October ‘12/ GCARD2 / Punta del Este:
• SRF Action plan for discussion and adoption
• “Design” of Performance Management System
• First set of CRP outcomes, based on current
status
Mid 2013:
• System level priorities
• “negotiated” outcomes at CRP level
• PMS ready to roll in 2014
26. Concluding
• The CGIAR reform is already a major
institutional achievement -“just in time” for
renewed focus on food security as top priority
• Centers are growing again – 30-40% this year
• CRPs are beginning to make a difference
• We know we have urgent “last mile” work left
to be done to ensure the CGIAR reform really
delivers on its promise: delivering impact
against the four key system level objectives
28. GRiSP
Potential impact (2035)
• cut rice expenditures by the poor by $11BN
• lift 150 million people out of poverty
• alleviate malnutrition for 70 million people
29. Livestock and Fish
Potential impacts in 10 years:
• dairy and pigs: doubling productivity and incomes
• aquaculture: double national production (Uganda)
• goats and sheep: increase productivity to double incomes
30. Climate Change, Agriculture and Food Security
Four themes:
• Adaptation through managing climate risk
• Adaptation to progressive climate change
• Pro-poor climate mitigation
• Integration for decision-making
Editor's Notes
In 2011, the CGIAR Fund was successful in pooling significant resources for research priorities, despite the fact that many CGIAR Research Programs (CRPs) were approved only during the year and a few were in their initial stages of implementation. By the end of 2011, the CGIAR Fund had received a total of $378.8 million and disbursed $251.3 million, demonstrating strong commitment by donors to the new CGIAR. As of December 31, 2011, contributions from six Fund Donors (China, Finland, South Africa, Morocco, Bangladesh, and Thailand) were still in process.
Based on IFPRI analysis, to maintain momentum of international agricultural research to support expanding regional and national agricultural productivity, investments in the CGIAR need to increase at least 4.2% annually to reach 1.6 billion by 2025.